Friday 3/4/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    #16
    Oaklawn Picks: Diodoro breaks through on March 4
    By J.N. Campbell


    Oaklawn Park Picks - Friday, March 4, 2022

    Race 1: 3-9-5-2
    Race 2: 4-8-10-3
    Race 3: 3-5-4-1
    Race 4: 2-4-5-1
    Race 5: 9-1-7-4
    Race 6: 3-7-2-5
    Race 7: 6-4-1-2
    Race 8: 4-3-8-2
    Race 9: 2-9-5-10
    **Most Likely Winner: Clancy's Pistol #3 (Race 6)**
    **Best Value: Best Bet #2 (Race 9)**

    Most Likely Winner: (Race 6: Clancy’s Pistol #3, 5/1):

    Here is a “best play” that I think really has a chance to make it 2 wins in-a-row. Formerly trained by Donnie Von Hemel, this gelding was awfully smart last time out in a tough MC30k event @OP … David Cabrera handled him perfectly in that route, and I see why Robertino Diodoro snatched this one up off-the-claim. The Hot Springs-based conditioner is not wasting any time with his new acquisition, entering this son of Lookin At Lucky in an ALLW Co. race. This isn’t going to be an easy one, but I think this is an opportunity to catch one advancing up the class ladder. Diodoro can get hot at any moment, and this looks like one of his classic “claims.” The switch to Ramon Vazquez, who returns after a blockbuster Rebel S., is a welcome addition. A router drawn to the inside, like he was last time, only adds to the argument.

    Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #3



    Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 9: Best Bet #2, 8/1):

    Trainer Brad Cox has earned his keep this past week … jet-setting to Saudi Arabia, and running simultaneously at both the Fair Grounds and Oaklawn. Don’t forget, he also has a strong string at Turfway. In Hot Springs, he sends this well-bred colt by Uncle Mo back to the oval. This is a great wager because you are getting some major value. Gary and Mary West own this 4-yr-old, that is getting the “Blinks-off.” In Cox’s defense, after getting this runner from Kelly Breen back in August, he only has 1 start with the barn. With works under him now, Cox has done some tinkering. The stretch out and Ricardo Santana make this one formidable in my estimation. I only can dream that he will be 8/1 when they start to load in front of the OP Grandstand.

    Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #2 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



    Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 8: Dirt, 1 1/16th, St. ALLW40k, 4+):

    These “Starter” spots are really tough races because you never know who is going to show up. We have a good field of 8 that are drawn-in, and I am sure many will jump on Mike Maker’s entry, Exulting #3. That is not non-sensical, especially considering this Maker runner routes well at Oaklawn. The 9-yr-old gelding is proving that he still has gas left in the tank. Still, I am looking elsewhere because I found a horse that I really want to back. As I mentioned above, the Diodoro Barn has not reached its normal level of “wins” at the Hot Springs Meet. They can, and will, do much better. At this level, Indimaaj #4 makes a ton of sense to me. Dropping down from one of those very difficult ALLW100k’s, he should enjoy this opportunity to go 2-turns. The last time we saw him was against Fan Club, Palace Coup, and Martini Blu … so, it stands to reason that taking on this 7-horse bunch should be a piece of cake. David Cohen takes the mount, and he can help this outfit get to the Larry Snyder Circle. Along with those 3 sharp works, I see this as a best bet … Diodoro? Back on the winning trail? It is not too late …

    Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Cold, 4 w 3
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358349

      #17
      Top Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 4, 2022
      By J.W. Paine in Horse Racing

      Aqueduct Racetrack, Fonner Park, and Santa Anita Park all yielded sleepers for our Friday wagering entertainment and bankroll enrichment.

      Aqueduct served up a couple of underdogs and a sleeper, while Fonner Park had nothing but longer-odds underdogs to offer. Santa Anita was the only track where I had to agree with the morning line at all, and then it still surprised us with a 6/1 sleeper in race six.

      Before you head down to the details, be sure to take a look at all the races at one of our top horseracing wagering sites.

      Good luck!
      Friday’s Picks for Aqueduct Racetrack

      Let’s begin with race four, a six-furlong starter allowance run on the dirt track for fillies and mares three years old and upward. My money’s on the second-favored (at 5/2) Tellaperfecttale, ridden by newcomer Jose Antonio Gomez.

      This four-year-old filly finished six of her nine career starts in the money, winning two. That gives her a good statistical standing in this field of six, and Gomez’ apprentice weight allowance certainly won’t hurt her chances.

      Regularly ranked among the top 100 trainers since 2016 for wins, earnings, or both, Wayne Potts trains Tellaperfecttale for owner Peter Tournas.

      Race five is a 1-1/8 miles allowance race on the dirt track for three-year-olds and upward. I’m betting my two dollars on the second-favored (at 9/5) Three Jokers, with Dylan Davis in the irons.

      This five-year-old moneyed nine of his 15 career starts, winning three. He already outran this race’s morning-line favorite back in December, and I don’t see any reason that won’t happen again.
      Need additional evidence? Three Jokers has moneyed numerous Black Type stakes races, including seconds in both the Evan Shipman Handicap at Saratoga last August and the Ashley T. Cole Stakes at Belmont Park in September.

      Longtime horseracing veteran John P. Terranova II trains Three Jokers for Gatsas Stables, R. A. Hill Stable, and Swick Stable.

      Race seven is a 6-1/2 furlong allowance optional claiming race on the dirt track for fillies and mares three years old and upward. This could be the tightest race you’ll see Friday, but I’m buying a win ticket on the 8/1 sleeper, Shesalittle Edgy, with Eric Cancel aboard.

      This five-year-old mare finished in the money 12 of her 18 career starts, with six wins. More to the point, she moneyed ten of her last eleven starts, winning six. She’ll do.

      Mertkan Kantarmaci trains Shesalittle Edgy for owner Robert J. Amendola.
      My Friday Picks for Fonner Park

      Let’s begin on the dirt track with race four, a starter allowance run for fillies and mares three-years-old and upward. I’m backing the 6/1 sleeper in this race—A Bunch for Lunch, piloted by veteran jockey Chris Fackler.

      This seven-year-old mare has been a consistent producer since winning her initial maiden attempt back in 2018 at Prairie Meadows. For the record, A Bunch for Lunch finished in the money 18 of her 28 career starts, winning eleven. Of her most recent six races, she’s won three.

      A Bunch for Lunch is trained by owner and 40-year horseracing veteran John Ness.

      Race six is a six-furlong allowance race on the dirt track for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I like one of the third-favored entries (the morning line has four at 6/1 in this race): Queens Gift, ridden by Jake L. Olesiak.

      This four-year-old filly finished in the money ten of her 13 career starts, winning three. In comparison, the 5/2 morning-line favorite, moneyed eight of her 15 starts, with four wins.
      Neither has won an allowance-level race. I’m giving the advantage to Queens Gift.

      Robert G. Hoffman trains Queens Gift for owner James Harder.

      Race seven is a six-furlong claiming race on the dirt track for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m calling this one for the 6/1 underdog, Cline Time, with Jake L. Olesiak in the irons.

      This five-year-old mare moneyed 12 of her 17 career starts, winning three, giving her a statistical edge on the morning-line favorite, who moneyed nine of her 18 starts, winning three.

      Cline Time is trained by owner and 45-year horseracing veteran Milton M. Gaede.
      Friday Picks for Santa Anita Park

      We’ll start on the turf course with race one, a six-furlong allowance optional claiming run for California-bred or -sired three-year olds and upward. This one’s my no-brainer pick of the day: Morning-line 2/1 favorite Letsgetlucky, piloted by veteran jockey Drayden Van Dyke.

      This four-year-old gelding finished in the money all eight of his career starts, winning two.

      Successfully campaigned at the stakes level, Letsgetlucky finished third in the Echo Eddie Stakes (Black Type) here at Santa Anita last April, the Real Good Deal Stakes (Black Type) at Del Mar last July, and the Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint Stakes (Black Type) at Santa Anita in January 2022. He’ll do.

      Breeders’ Cup veteran Brian J. Koriner trains Letsgetlucky for owners Ed “Rusty” J. Brown, Alan P. Klein, and Philip Lebherz.

      Race six is a 6-1/2 furlong starter optional claiming on the turf course for four-year-0olds and upward. I’m betting my two dollars on the 6/1 sleeper, General Mathis, with jockey Jose Valdivia, Jr. aboard.

      This five-year-old gelding moneyed three of his six career starts, winning one. That’s about as impressive as the stats get in this nine-horse field.
      The one exception is Commander Khai, who had some impressive money finishes in graded stakes races back in 2020—but hasn’t moneyed even an allowance race since last July. Even with Joe Bravo aboard, I don’t see a win happening for Commander Khai.

      Kristin Mulhall—who took Imperialism to the third-place finish at the 2004 Kentucky Derby—trains General Mathis for Twilight Racing LLC, Tanya Melen, and Steve Taub.

      We’ll move back to the dirt track for race seven, a six-furlong allowance optional claiming race for California-bred or -sired three-year-olds. I’m going to agree with the morning line here and buy a win ticket on the 8/5 favorite, What in Blazes, ridden by top jockey Flavien Prat.

      This three-year-old colt finished two of his three career starts in the money, winning one. After finishing second in his initial maiden attempt last June, he graduated on his next try in July. His one non-money performance was a last-place finish in the San Vicente Stakes (Grade II) in January.

      John W. Sadler trains What in Blazes for owner-breeder KMN Racing LLC.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358349

        #18
        DRF's Horse Racing Playbook for Friday, March 4, 2022
        DRF StaffMar 03, 2022

        Daily Racing Form has served as the most trusted source of news and information about the sport since 1894, and moving forward we have decided to provide a free daily playbook – something that both hardcore horseplayers and casual observers can reference to get informed of each day’s action.

        12:43 TAM 2nd TOUR FOR GOLD (#4, 6-1) is worth a shot in this wide-open maiden claiming route, as she does have a couple of breezes that hint at speed and she needn't be all that fast to win this; dam was best on turf but won on dirt, and her lone starter to date won early in her career, in her second career start as a 2-year-old. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        12:56 LRL 2nd It's fair to question JUSTINTHENICKOTIME's (#4, 9-2) will as he's finished second in 10 of 27 starts, and seemed to hang when it counted as the favorite at Penn National last month. He's earned solid Beyers in his last couple of races, however, and might work out a decent trip behind the expected solid pace. -Dan Illman | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        1:43 TAM 4th GOLD SPECIAL (#5, 6-1) had pace excuses in his last pair, and though he was well off the board in the Pasco Stakes he was simply overmatched there; he was only a little over a length behind Morning Line favorite Cyberviking in that race but he figures to be at least three times the price of that runner here. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        2:22 AQU 3rd CALIBOGUE SOUND (#1, 4-1) chased won a solid pace to score at Finger Lakes last September and has caught wet tracks in all three starts since; cuts back making her first start of the year for a barn that has been running hot lately. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        2:31 GP 4th CHROME REPUBLIC (#4, 7-2) came off 10 week layoff with his best yet when beaten only a couple of lengths by red hot Scalding who flattered effort most recently winning an N1X allow. at Tampa with an 89 Beyer. Repeat of last on dry land might make him best here. -Mike Welsch | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        2:45 TAM 6th GEMO (#8, 6-1) is back to 5 1/2 furlongs, and his best recent try was at this distance, when he rallied for the place; he may have to pass most of these in the lane but there is proven pace to is inside and he may be able to make the last run. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        2:54 AQU 4th CADEAU DE PAIX (#6, 3-1) hasn't won a race since scoring over $20k claimers last April; she has hit the board in six of her nine starts since then, all at this level, and she might have been best last time when leaving the strong rail open for a rallying winner; nice fit here. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        2:58 LRL 6th Perhaps POSITIVE POWER (#1, 10-1) received a huge confidence-booster with recent trip to Penn National. That race was nothing more than a paid workout at 1 to 10 odds as she tracked the pace outside, took over with three furlongs to go and was merely breezing under the line. Might offer some value, but must improve stepping up substantially in class. -Dan Illman | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        4:00 AQU 6th HOW LUCKY (#6, 3-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Mike Beer). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        4:03 OP 5th BRASKA (#5, 20-1) owns some competitive Beyer Figures and has an age edge on a number of these as he is 4. -Mary Rampellini | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        4:08 GP 7th ROADTRIPTONOWHERE (#6, 9-2) a good second to late running and promising Mott winner when trying turf last time and a steadily improving sort who looks to be sitting on that diploma at the present time. -Mike Welsch | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        4:26 TUP 4th CRITICAL CONDITION (#5, 12-1) puts the blinkers ON and goes third off the layoff. A better start is needed and that is where the blinkers might come in handy. State-bred tries open but this field is average at best. Last race came back key when 4 of 7 returned to win with figs of 53, 43, 34, and 40. Any of those figs could easily win this. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        4:33 OP 6th SILENT DISCO (#7, 4-1) seems like one who will make good use of the added ground he picks up in this spot. He also could be sitting on a peak effort in the third start of his form cycle. -Mary Rampellini | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        4:57 TUP 5th LEMON DROP LADY (#3, 9-2) is a DRF Best Bet (Scott Ehlers). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        5:32 TUP 6th PASSED BY PAUL (#8, 12-1) never got a breather in his most recent but won anyway. That race came back key when 3 of 8 returned to win with figs of 65, 74, and 68. This barn is 31% with horses that won their last race and 22% going sprint to route. Race flow is fine. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        5:39 OP 8th CATDADDY (#6, 5-1) might get a nice tracking trip off a few of these and like that he put up his best career Beyer Speed Figure at Oaklawn. -Mary Rampellini | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        9:00 WBS (Harness) 7th POSTMODERNISM (#8, 4-1) looks ready to deploy a ‘drop and pop’ tonight and expect an aggressive drive similar to the one she got when she last raced in this class on 1/28. – Garnet Barnsdale | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        9:15 YR (Harness) 8th STREET GOSSIP (#2, 4-1) proved last week that he belongs with these Open trotters and the 4-year-old should be in line for a nice trip, perhaps even taking command from this inside post. – Matt Rose | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

        10:40 MED (Harness) 12th BETTORS HEART N (#6, 7-2) was unimpressive at Freehold after setting soft fractions but perhaps that will improve our price tonight. She’s better suited to the mile track and should perk up accordingly. – Derick Giwner
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358349

          #19
          Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Friday, March 4
          By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

          NEWBURY

          ROBIN GOODFELLOW

          1.45 Shearer

          2.20 In The Air

          2.55 Glorious Lady

          3.30 Gelino Bello

          4.05 Coeur de Lion

          4.35 Monsieur Lecoq

          5.05 Notnowlinda

          GIMCRACK

          1.45 Shearer (nb)

          2.20 In The Air

          2.55 Fortunes Melody

          3.30 Peking Rose

          4.05 Stellar Magic

          4.35 Monsieur Lecoq

          5.05 Notnowlinda


          NEWCASTLE

          ROBIN GOODFELLOW

          5.11 Grimsby Town

          5.45 Urban Road

          6.15 Gowanlad

          6.45 Storm Asset

          7.15 Glorious Charmer

          7.45 Spartan Fighter (nb)

          GIMCRACK

          5.11 Grimsby Town

          5.45 Urban Road

          6.15 Gowanlad

          6.45 Storm Asset

          7.15 Atrafan

          7.45 Shallow Hal

          NORTHERNER - 5.11 Grimsby Town (nap); 7.45 Spartan Fighter (nb).


          LINGFIELD

          ROBIN GOODFELLOW

          1.00 Golden Spice

          1.35 Intervention

          2.10 Gold Medal

          2.45 Swiss Pride

          3.20 Teagarden Jazz

          3.55 Warranty

          4.25 Twilight Bay

          GIMCRACK

          1.00 Golden Spice

          1.35 Intervention

          2.10 Gold Medal

          2.45 Puerto De Vega (nap)

          3.20 Ocean Ruler

          3.55 Cherokee Dance

          4.25 Twilight Bay

          NEWMARKET - 1.00 Golden Spice (nap); 2.45 Puerto De Vega (nb).


          DONCASTER

          ROBIN GOODFELLOW

          2.00 Tanarpino

          2.30 Merry Mistress

          3.05 Boombawn

          3.40 The Unit

          4.15 Moonamacaroona

          4.45 Get Your Own

          5.20 Twoshotsoftequila (nap)

          GIMCRACK

          2.00 Steel Wave

          2.30 Fiveandtwenty

          3.05 Harry Du Berlais

          3.40 The Unit

          4.15 My Girl Lollipop

          4.45 Get Your Own

          5.20 Enlighten
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358349

            #20
            Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Friday, March 4
            Posted on March 3, 2022 by David Aragona

            RACE 2: MANIFEST DESTINY (#1A)

            Banyan Breeze looks formidable at first glance, but I think he’s a beatable favorite. The first inclination is to say he was just in over his head at the much tougher $32k claiming level and had a right to lose. However, he was terrible in that spot. The pace was on the slow side and he readily threw in the towel once asked for run. Aside from two races last fall at Finger Lakes, he’s basically a cheap claimer. His surrounding form doesn’t make him worthy of being a short price, and the quick drop in class is concerning. This trainer and rider also haven’t had much success on this circuit. Among those with Finger Lakes form, I prefer both Lohengrin Two and P J Advantage. The former is the clear speed in a race that the TimeformUS Pace Projector indicates may be favorable to the front-runner. He’s run reasonably well against slightly tougher competition in some recent starts and may just have found the right spot. P J Advantage has a similar look to Banyan Breeze, but he’s been claimed by James Ferraro, who has had some minor success claiming horses recently. They’re both interesting to me, but my top pick is Manifest Destiny. This stronger half of the William Younghans entry is clearly good enough to beat this field when at his best. The question is whether we’ll see his top effort, as he’s been a little lackluster since the move to Aqueduct. He did produce a career-best performance as recently as Oct. 17 when running down superior rivals at Belmont. While he hasn’t been competitive since then, he’s faced tougher foes on most occasions. Some may be bothered by his performance at this level last time, but now he’s reunited with Kendrick Carmouche, who rode him to that autumn victory.

            RACE 4: CHLOE ROSE (#3)

            Likely favorite Norman Queen took advantage of a strong rail bias when she broke her maiden off the layoff, but she backed up that performance last time. She just got run down as the 2-1 favorite at this level, but she did all the heavy lifting on the front end in a race won by a deep closer. The Jeffrey Englehart barn has been on a roll lately, winning at a high rate over the last month or so. The cutback to 6 furlongs is to her benefit. Plus she’s drawn well outside of her main pace rivals, and she may be faster than them anyway. I’m not way against her, but I do think there are a couple of dangerous alternatives. Not among them is Tellaperfecttale. This filly will be tough if she repeats that 101 TimeformUS Speed Figure she earned last time. However, one has to decide if that’s a number that will be predictive moving forward. She beat a vastly inferior field and did so over a muddy track. None of her prior races make her even remotely competitive at this level, so I’m proceeding with skepticism. Cadeau de Paix is one of the other logical options. Some things went right for her, and others went wrong last time. Jose Ortiz gave her a great ride for a half-mile, as he hugged the rail until the quarter pole on a track that featured a strong inside bias. However, he guided her into the 3-path for the stretch drive, letting the winner come up the gold rail. She probably should have won that race, but would have done so with a bias-aided trip, so I don’t want to upgrade her too much. Her overall form is pretty solid, as she ran well against a speed bias two back, but she needs some pace to close into, as always. My top pick is Chloe Rose. She’s never been at her best over a sealed racetrack, so perhaps she just didn’t appreciate the going last time. You can also make an excuse for her performance two back, when she was asked to go a mile. Now gets back to an appropriate distance, and she’d be pretty formidable off her efforts for this barn from late 2021. She has tactical speed, but doesn’t need the lead to be most effective, and goes out for a dangerous barn.

            RACE 7: DEALING JUSTICE (#3)

            Eloquent Speaker turned out to be quite the claim for owner/trainer Natalia Lynch, who was the only taker when she was risked for $45k on Dec. 11. She wheeled her back to win for a bigger pot just 6 days later, and then collected a stakes placing a couple weeks after that. Eloquent Speaker was aided by a track bias in that La Verdad on Jan. 2, riding a rail and speed bias to that narrow loss. Yet she still put a scare into a pretty good horse in Bank Sting. Lynch then astutely made the most of that recent stakes placing, entering her into the Fasig-Tipton February Mixed Sale where she sold for $200k. Now she’s back at Aqueduct, with new trainer Chris Englehart. She fits at this open N2X level off her last couple of performances, but that last effort is dressed up and it remains to be seen if she can hold her improved form for a new barn. At what figures to be a short price, I’m inclined to search for an alternative. The only other viable win candidates that interest me are both trained by Ray Handal. Rossa Veloce comes off a victory, but earned it against New York-breds with a perfect trip. I think last time was the opportunity to have her. I prefer Dealing Justice. There’s no doubt that she’s been disappointing since returning from a layoff late last year. However, she’s caught wet, sealed racetracks in all of those starts and she may not care for that going. She was also racing towards the inside last itme on a day that featured a strong outside bias, so that compromised by her chances. This time she’s supposed to be in front in a situation the Pace Projector pegs as favorable. She gets one more chance on a fast track.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358349

              #21
              Busan Friday: Race-By-Race Preview (March 4)

              The weekend’s racing will be headlined on Sunday the Classic trials at both Busan and Seoul. The southern track gets things underway though on Friday with an eight-race card from 12:00 to 18:00. All betting locations are open but attendance should still be pre-booked through the MyCard app. Here are the previews:

              Busan Race 1: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

              Three-year-old maidens kick things off with five of the nine racing for the first time. The hot favourite will be (2) KING SATURDAY. Draw a line through his latest outing at 1400Mwhen from gate ten he got on pace then weakened, and instead go on his first two when he went close at both 1000M and today’s 1200M. From a good draw and against modest opposition he will be hard to beat. (3) YEONGCHEON POWER ran fairly at this distance before and looks the logical second pick while among the first-time starters, (1) GOODBYE RABBITS went the best in trials and from a favourable draw should be aiming for the money first-up here. (5) FANTASTIC MAGIC and (7) POWER GUY are others who could plausibly place.
              Selections (2) King Saturday (3) Yeongcheon Power (1) Goodbye Rabbits (5) Fantastic Magic
              Next Best 7, 8
              Fast Start 1, 2, 4, 5

              Busan Race 2: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

              More three-year-old maidens, this time with three of the eight racing for the first time. We’ll side with one of these first timers, (8) MARIA’S GAL. She was on pace in her trial, ultimately crossing the line in 2nd place and with a bit of natural progression from that looks the one to beat here. (7) GASOK DAY hasn’t exactly shown much in the way of speed in two outings to date, both at 1000M, but she has managed to finish 5th and 4th. The slight step up in trip can suit and she should be in the finish here. So too (3) CROWD ONE who made a significant improvement to 2nd at start number two January 9th. She comes up in distance as well and has claims. (2) ADELE GOLD and another first-time starter, (4) DOKBO are others who can enter the calculations.
              Selections (8) Maria’s Gal (7) Gasok Day (3) Crowd One (2) Adele Gold
              Next Best 4, 7
              Fast Start 3, 5, 7, 8

              Busan Race 3: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

              (1) PLAY THE INDY has finished 5th in both starts so far, both at 1000M. He worked home fairly enough on both occasions and up in trip and with a nice draw is the one they need to beat here. (4) INTO MARINE races for the first time since last July. He had hinted at some ability in five outings with the best being a 3rd place over this distance. He trialed up fairly at the end of January and can pick up from where he left off here. Draw a line through the latest from (8) BAEK SEOL QUEEN when she was slowly away and never made an impact over 1400M. Her prior form was relatively promising, and she looks worth another chance in this company (5) SORI TAEPUNG and (3) WONDERFUL SMARTY are others who should be in the placing frame.
              Selections (1) Play The Indy (4) Into Marine (8) Baek Seol Queen (5) Sori Taepung
              Next Best 3, 9
              Fast Start 1, 2, 5, 6

              Busan Race 4: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

              Competitive race. We’ll take a chance on (8) ARTIE’S GAL, who comes in after a 3rd and a 5th in two starts since returning from several months off. She has the best start among these so should be able to get on pace early and may be able to hold on. (6) GREEN CHEETAH has been improving across four starts so far with her best being her latest over this distance on February 13th when an on-pace 3rd. She will be up on the speed again and can go even closer today. (3) SPEED SUNSHINE didn’t offer much in early appearances but looks to be figuring things out with two 4th place finishes and a 3rd from his latest three. He too will be aiming to get on to the early speed and can maintain his positive run of form here. (9) GALLOP BOY and the first-time starter (4) CUTE GUY are others in the hunt.
              Selections (8) Artie’s Gal (6) Green Cheetah (3) Speed Sunshine (9) Gallop Boy
              Next Best 4, 2
              Fast Start 3, 6, 7, 8

              Busan Race 5: Class 6 (1600M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

              It’s hard to go far past (4) ORANGE GARAGE here. He stepped up to this distance on January 28th and beat a few of today’s rivals on his way to 3rd place having sat handy throughout from gate eleven. He gets a much better draw today, will be on pace from the start, and won’t be easy to beat. (3) KING GRACE beat Orange Garage when the pair came home 4th and 5th over 1400M two starts back before running 5th on his first try at a mile on February 11th. He shapes to be the main danger here. (8) HIT RUNNER was 6th behind Orange Garage at his latest start and can be competitive again here while (6) MAJOR FORCE has run a decent time at the distance and comes back up in trip following a good 4th over 1200M when coming from well off the pace last time out. (1) DANGDAE BLUE the best of a limited rest.
              Selections (4) Orange Garage (3) King Grace (8) Hit Runner (6) Major Force
              Next Best 1, 9
              Fast Start 4, 7, 8, 11

              Busan Race 6: Class 5 (1400M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

              A competitive race. (11) CHEONGMA YEONGUNG was a winner at this distance at class 6 level two starts back before overcoming gate fourteen to run a good 2nd on his first try at this level on January 21st making up excellent ground late on. He doesn’t get the best of the draw again here and is up a little in the weights but should be running on strong again. A good draw makes (3) HAMAN BONGHWASAN the probable betting favourite. She ran 2nd at this distance on debut before winning on her second outing when making all over 1300M. She comes up in class here but remains well weighted and from a great gate will be aiming to lead all the way again. (10) INDIAN PARTY has the fastest time of any of these at the distance and enters in consistent form. Remarkably he is yet to win but has ten top-three finishes and can maintain that record here. (8) USEUNG MELODY and (9) TAEPUNGI are others in at least the placing hunt.
              Selections (11) Cheongma Yeongung (3) Haman Bonghwasan (10) Indian Party (8) Useung Melody
              Next Best 9, 5
              Fast Start 3, 5, 9, 12

              Busan Race 7: Class 5 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

              (3) ALIVE STAR will take some beating here. A maiden winner at 1200M two starts back, he stepped up to 1400M for his first try at this class on February 13th and ran 2nd to a good winner having been handy throughout. He comes back in trip here, draws good gate and should win. (5) QUEEN STAR was an unfancied winner on debut over 1000M last month. She came from off the pace and worked home well so while this is tougher, it may suit, and she can measure up. (1) TTEUGEOUN MANNAM finished midfield when drawn wide over 1300M at his latest start. A more favourable barrier today and back slightly in trip puts him into contention here. (4) BEAUTIFUL KING and (6) A ONE PLUS are among others with placing chances.
              Selections (3) Alive Star (5) Queen Star (1) Tteugeoun Mannam (4) Beautiful King
              Next Best 6, 8
              Fast Start 2, 3, 8, 10

              Busan Race 8: Class 4 (1600M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

              (3) GOLDEN POWER comes up rapidly in class having won two of her latest three, most recently a smart score at class 5 level over 1400M on January 21st when coming from off the pace and running on. Her racing style suggests a mile will suit and under a light weight she has every chance of continuing her hot streak. (11) RUN FIGHTER is ultra-consistent having finished no worse than 5th in eight starts to date. He comes in off a 2nd and a 3rd at this distance, the latest of which was at this class, and he will surely be very competitive again. (9) GALLANT WARRIOR races for the first time since winning over 1800M at class 5 level last November. He is another who should suit a mile and he looked well enough when trialing two weeks ago. (6) GEUMA STARLET and (2) ROSE BULLET others in the hunt.
              Selections (3) Golden Power (11) Run Fighter (9) Gallant Warrior (6) Geuma Starlet
              Next Best 2, 7
              Fast Start 1, 2, 6, 7
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358349

                #22
                Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 5 Analysis-$75,000 Guaranteed Pool

                March 4, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

                Due to a $12,851 carryover the 0.20 Pick 5 at Cal Expo will have a guaranteed pool of $75,000. The sequence has a 16% takeout on money wagered this evening, and it will be my focus.

                Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                Race 1

                2-Alway's Close (5-1)-Stewart can work a suck-around trip from here and this is a wide-open race. Looking for a fair price and the driver change should help.
                3-Fox Valley Triton (6-1)-Raced from the rear into a .58 half last time. Lackey got the 6-year-old going and came the 2nd half in 56.1 but was too far back. Expecting Triton to be much closer to the lead this time.
                5-Some Playa (8-1)-Hasn't had luck versus $5k claimers and this Plano trainee should like the company. This drop could mean go time and will use despite the 2-42 record at CalX.
                6-Major Mac (2-1)-Roland could leave and try to take control. This field appears to be not as deep as in recent races. Not loving the short price but figures to be a player.
                8-Outlaw Blue By You (9/2)-Doesn't have the gate speed to leave for the top so Kennedy may look to duck and come off cover. Needs the right trip plus honest fractions and all that could happen here.

                Race 2

                3-Western Devil (9/5)-Has hit the board in 5 of the last 8 starts while facing $5k claimers. Comes off a win, merits program favoritism and Roland returns. It would be tough to leave off the ticket.
                5-Terror Of The Night (4-1)-This veteran put in an honest effort from the 8-hole last week. Now drops in for only $5k and the short field should help.
                6-Dance Traveler (4-1)-Claimed by Plano last week for $5k and now drops in for $6k, so will start from post 6. The post draw should not be a hinderance but can help the price. Plano has steered before, and he represents a positive driver change.

                Race 3

                6-Major Al-Mar (2-1)-Drops after racing against Open company as do 3 others. Has hit the board in 15 of 27 CalX starts with 7 pictures. Should be tough to beat if this Bertrand trainee is dialed on high. Has some gate speed and Stewart should be out and rolling and may not look back.

                Race 4

                1-Sporty Fox (5-1)-Trip dependent mare doesn't like to win. But may have the best chance to drop into the pocket and roll by #2 down the lane.
                2-Starstruck Cowgirl (2-1)-Took the long way around in last with the trainer between the pipes. Plano gets this assignment and drops to a level of previous success.

                Race 5

                2-Artspire (3-1)-Lands in the lowest level in quite a while. This smells like a drop and pop situation and Roland is back between the pipes.
                7-Mibwest Kid (2-1)-Winner of the last 2 has been in fine form since its debut here on 12-5. Winner of 5 of 7 in 2022 has shown the ability to win from this post and it's best to not overlook.

                0.20 Pick 5

                2,3,5,6,8/3,5,6/6/1,2/2,7
                Total Bet=$12
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358349

                  #23
                  Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

                  Charles Town - Race #6
                  Picks Notes
                  #1 Rocket Sound Think he's worth a little look at a mid-range price while getting down in class after a string of races against better. Certainly a little concern about the drop off the dull try, but he's a good fit at this level if he gets back near his baseline.
                  #7 Chasing Anna The form is there for him to land this, but he does have a habit of settling for underneath shares after getting good tracking trips. Obvious player, but he doesn't have to win this.
                  #8 Perth Amboy He ran well enough when dropping to this level last time out, and he has the kind of tactical speed to keep up with those who are hustling early. His form can be inconsistent, and I worry the price may not match the risk.
                  Race Summary Rocket Sound drops in for this one after turning in some decent races with better, and he's interesting enough in a race where some of the logical pairs have already had recent tries with this kind of company and settled for pieces.

                  Charles Town - Race #7
                  Picks Notes
                  #1 Jackson Man Love these types who break through like he did last time out, and he might be a decent price while rising with competitive form. Think he might get a pretty cozy go of things from the fence, as he has some pace and an ability to tuck in if necessary.
                  #3 C R's Mandate There's no doubt he's good enough to win this, but he has been toiling mostly at this level for quite some time, and I think he's going to be a shorter price here than he offered last time out. Capable, but not for me.
                  #7 My Boy Clyde He's another class riser off the maiden win, but he also has some upside with just two career starts. His positional speed should put him in a perfect spot to see if he's good enough with winners.
                  Race Summary Jackson Man could get a nice run from the inside after a romping win last time out to graduate, and I'd be willing to take a stand with just the two listed maiden winners rising up here -- Jackson Man and My Boy Clyde.

                  Charles Town - Race #8
                  Picks Notes
                  #3 Gram's Gal She's probably going to get bet here, but this is the type of field she should be able to handle with anything like her last. She's fast enough to be in the mix early on, and this does not feel like a good bunch, even for this level.
                  #6 Sister June She has faded badly in both career starts, but she's getting in for half the claiming price today while meeting a very suspect bunch. Wouldn't be a shock if she turned in something good enough here.
                  #8 Bads Lil Lady She has had 21 starts and has always done her best work with WV-breds, but she's better than she showed last time out, and she might be able to land a piece for this at a nice price if she can bounce back.
                  Race Summary Gram's Gal is really logical in here and has the right kind of style to get a winning trip. Feels like it's either her race to land as the logical chalk, otherwise it wouldn't surprise me to see some surprising results in here.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358349

                    #24
                    Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

                    Freehold - Race #2
                    Picks Notes
                    #2 NATIVE IDEAL Can maximize speed in this spot, good value play at 6-1 on morning line.
                    #4 BEAVER CREEK MISTY Ranged up alongside 'Ideal' but was out-kicked in the stretch.
                    #7 MAYDAYMAVERICKHOPE Knows how to win, post remains the concern.
                    Race Summary Native Ideal led to the stretch in her last two starts but settled for minor awards. Early 'interference' proved costly two back and she couldn't fend off the 3-to-5 favorite last out. Bet to win and place.

                    Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1
                    Picks Notes
                    #9 SPECTRUM SEELSTER Drops, changes pilots, could work out trip despite post.
                    #3 TAHUYA BREW Rallied in fast heat after missing a week sick.
                    #4 MAYHEM LIKE ME Led long way, caught by 5-2 pocket sitter.
                    Race Summary Spectrum Seelster gets class relief and ample pace flow to rally into as he seeks his first win of the year to enchance a gaudy 78/14-20-15 career record. He switches drivers again but is a proven fit at this level. Bet to win and place.

                    Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #10
                    Picks Notes
                    #2 JIMBELINA Shuffled to last, finished well while 5-wide, moves inside.
                    #5 SAULSBROOK OLYMPIA Earned $78k at 3, qualifiers indicate readiness for return.
                    #1 SHES NUN BETTOR N Controlled easy pace and got caught as the favorite, rail helps.
                    Race Summary Jimbelina found an early seat from post 10, but was shuffled to last in the middle half last week. She rallied fastest and widest in the stretch and continued strong on the gallop out. Give her the nod with an inside draw. Play a 2-ALL exacta.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358349

                      #25
                      Aqueduct Racetrack Selections for March 4, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

                      By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Mar 3rd, 2022 11:56pm PST

                      Aqueduct Racetrack Selections for March 4, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

                      It should be a good card on Friday, as we approach a big day on Saturday at Santa Anita Park. The BetOnline racebook 15 racecourses are available for wagering on Friday.

                      Industry Leading 9% Cashback!

                      Santa Anita is taking a break before opening up a big card tomorrow. There are several big races on the schedule, with the $650,000 Santa Anita Handicap (Gr. 1) the feature race.

                      Also running at Santa Park tomorrow is the $500,000 Frank E. Kilroe Mile (Gr. 1) and $500,000 Beholder Mile (Gr. 1). The card also includes the $400,000 San Felipe Stakes (Gr. 2).

                      The San Felipe is a Road to the Kentucky Derby prep race with 50-20-10-5 in points available to be won. Our first look Friday afternoon is at Aqueduct Racetrack. Aqueduct has eight races with $394,000 in prize money available.

                      Head below for our best Aqueduct Racetrack picks on March 4, 2022.
                      Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
                      Race 3
                      (1) Calibogue Sound
                      +400 (4/1)
                      (2) Stencil
                      +140 (7/5)
                      (3) Investment Grade
                      +1200 (12/1)
                      (4) Charlotte Webley
                      +800 (8/1)
                      (5) Awesomenewyear
                      +2000 (20/1)
                      (6) Polishedgem
                      +250 (5/2)
                      (7) Mebs Web
                      +600 (6/1)

                      Post Time: 2:22 p.m. EST
                      Distance: 6 ½ Furlongs
                      Purse:$28,000

                      Race 3 covers 6 ½ furlongs on the dirt for a $28,000 purse. Look at Polished Gem and Stencil for serious contenders.

                      Polished Gem is 2 for 12 and has to be considered in this spot. She is 6th, 4th, 5th in her previous three races, going 5th on February 10 for a $28,000 prize.

                      That was disappointing after she finished 4th on December 10 for $37,000. She can do better than what we’ve seen recently, so still one to consider.

                      Stencil is 2 for 7 in her career, with finishes of 7th, 1st, 5th in three races. The filly had a win on January 16, with a 5 ¼ length $45,000 win. Impressive.

                      She couldn’t play the same role on February 4, though. Stencil finished 5th for a $55,000 purse, so a big class drop is in order. This might be too far down to $28,000.

                      Stencil should be tough to overcome in this assignment.
                      The Bet
                      (2) STENCIL
                      +140
                      Place Bet Now!
                      Race 4
                      (1) Early Edition
                      +600 (6/1)
                      (2) Thegoddessofsnakes
                      +1200 (12/1)
                      (3) Chloe Rose
                      +500 (5/1)
                      (4) Tellaperfecttale
                      +250 (5/2)
                      (5) Norman Queen
                      +180 (9/5)
                      (6) Cadeau de Paix
                      +300 (3/1)

                      Post Time: 2:54 p.m. EST
                      Distance: 6 Furlongs
                      Purse:$55,000

                      Race 4 at Aqueduct Racetrack covers 6 furlongs on the dirt for a $55,000 prize. Good work from Chloe Rose and Norman Queen is expected in this one.

                      Chloe Rose looks like a contender as one of the longshots to win. She is 3 for 15 in her career, finishing 1st, 2nd, 5th, 3rd in her previous four attempts.

                      The filly was a 2 length winner on October 29 in a $45,000 assignment. This was impressive from Chloe Rose, though still looking to go back to the winner’s circle.

                      Norman Queen is 4th, 1st, 2nd in three races. She had an 11 ½ length win for a $70,000 purse two races back and then came back to place 2nd behind Gallina by ¾ lengths in a $55,000 event.

                      She has to be close to the front for a win in Race 4.
                      The Bet
                      (5) NORMAN QUEEN
                      +180
                      Place Bet Now!
                      Race 7
                      (1) Eloquent Speaker
                      +100 (1/1)
                      (2) Royal Meghan
                      +500 (5/1)
                      (3) Dealing Justice
                      +400 (4/1)
                      (4) Tara’s Talent
                      +800 (8/1)
                      (5) Rossa Veloce
                      +450 (9/2)
                      (6) Shesalittle Edgy
                      +800 (8/1)

                      Post Time: 4:32 p.m. EST
                      Distance:6 ½ Furlongs
                      Purse:$84,000

                      Race 7 is an $84,000 event covering 6 ½ furlongs on the dirt. Look for Dealing Justice and Eloquent Speaker to do well on these terms.

                      Dealing Justice is 2 for 8 and could improve on Friday. She is 1st, 4th, 4th, 3rd in her four attempts. Dealing Justice recorded a $102,000 win in impressive form on May 20 at Churchill Downs.

                      In her latest showing, Dealing Justice showed 3rd on February 4 for $84,000. That was a good attempt. She will likely be hanging around the front with a chance to win.

                      Eloquent Speaker should put a bold effort together for another win. The mare is 4 for 14 in her career and is 2nd, 1st, 2nd in the previous three races.

                      She was an $82,000 winner by 1 ¼ lengths, and then competed well in the $100,000 La Verdad Stakes on January 2. Eloquent Speaker placed 2nd behind Bank Sting by a neck.

                      Back down to the $84,000 level, this should be a beatable assignment for Eloquent Speaker. Look for this one to go well for the No. 1.
                      The Bet
                      (1) ELOQUENT SPEAKER
                      +100
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