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Re: 2-9-09
Seabass
Steam (100) Phil NBA
50 Clippers under
50 Mizzou
20 WVU, Furman
20 Calgary
Seabass
Steam (100) Phil NBA
50 Clippers under
50 Mizzou
20 WVU, Furman
20 Calgary
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Re: 2-9-09
Matt Farrgo
7* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GOW 13-2 RUN
Houston at Milwaukee
Play: Milwaukee +5.5
Milwaukee caught some bad luck in its last game as it pretty much outplayed Detroit but ended up losing in overtime and lost the cover as well. That was the Bucks second straight loss following a bad game in New Jersey prior to that. They remain home where they are 14-9 on the season which is better than what the Rockets have done on the road. Milwaukee has not benefited from an easy schedule so far as 23 games have been at home while 30 have been on the road. That has led to the 13th ranked schedule in the league and the 8th hardest in the Eastern Conference. The loss of Michael Redd can not be overstated but Milwaukee is making things happen in his absence and after a few games, the Bucks are now familiar enough with the new lineup to get back into the groove. After dropping the first two games in his absence against Indiana and Minnesota, they bounced back with victories over Toronto and Atlanta before these last two setbacks. They are 1-1 at home and could feasibly be 2-0 if not for a missed free throw toward the end of regulation against the Pistons. They are catching a great number Monday. I went against Houston on Saturday and it was having a rough time with Minnesota for about three quarters before a 17-2 sealed the deal. It was a needed win for a struggling team but hitting the road could remain an issue. The Rockets are 13-14 away from home but since right before Christmas, they are just 3-8 on the road including some bad losses against Memphis, New York, Indiana, Philadelphia, Atlanta and Toronto. Note how the latter five all reside in the Eastern Conference. The Rockets, who are 20-10 within their own conference, are just 11-10 against the much weaker Eastern Conference showing how they play up or down to the competition. Road favorites are usually a good proposition to at least win outright but it is feast or famine with Houston who is only 8-7 straight up as a road chalk including a 7-8 ATS mark. Houston is 5-10 ATS on the road against teams with a losing record and coming off a win does not help with momentum as it does for a lot of team as the Rockets are 10-19-1 ATS after a victory and 5-16-1 ATS after win against the number. Tracy McGrady is coming off another bad performance and his 15.9 ppg average is his worst since 1999-00 which was his final season with the Raptors. That was so long ago, people may not realize that he even played for Toronto. He is shooting 39.3 percent from the floor, the first time in his entire career that he is shooting below 40 percent. While still a weapon, he is a small weapon as his injuries and limited game played are really cutting his game down. Ron Artest was brought in to help with some of the scoring responsibilities, but he has been a huge disappointment. He is averaging 15.7 ppg and while it can be argued that his scoring along with McGrady’s are better combined that those of McGrady alone last season but I’m not buying that at all. Artest is shooting 38 percent from the floor which is just the second time in his career that he is below 40 percent and the second worst percentage in his 10-year career. To have two NBA stars having their worse shooting year ever is the big reason that Houston, who was a sexy preseason pick to win out west, is struggling as bad as it is. 31-20 may not seem like struggling to some but over the last 23 games, Houston is just 12-11 and I consider that struggling. Along with Redd, Andrew Bogut is out eight weeks and point guard Luke Ridnour is also out with a fractured thumb. That is three starters who average a combined 43.6 ppg. Sure it hurts but other players will step up and we have seen it already as Charlie Villanueva has picked up his game. He is averaging 15.5 ppg and 6.6 rpg, but, in the last eight games, he averaged 23.8 ppg, including 28-point, 32-point and 33-point outings, and 8.0 rpg. Ramon Sessions, taking over for Ridnour, scored a career high 44 points and dished out 12 assists against Detroit in his first start. This team has options and because of the injuries, we get a lot of value. The Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite while Milwaukee is 2-1 ATS in its last three as a home underdog but that goes all the way back to November so you can see how those injuries are affecting this line. The Bucks get it done tonight. 7* Milwaukee BucksComment
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Re: 2-9-09
L*e K os t ros k i
REASON FOR PICK: 7* Philadelphia vs. Phoenix UNDER 211.5
Monday, February 9 – 6:00 PM CST
After getting two big wins against the Pistons and Warriors, this will be Phoenix’ 3rd game in the past 4 nights. They have a big road game @Cleveland on Wednesday waiting in the wings, so expect the Suns to use a lot of their bench minutes tonight. They used just 8 players against the Warriors and 9 against the Pistons, so it’s obvious they don’t have the most talented bench. The ‘Sixers young, talented athletes have been giving opposing offenses fits, allowing 95.6 points per game. Look for Philly’s defense to cause problems for the fatigued Suns tonight.
Phoenix’ thrives when Shaquille O’Neal and Amare Stoudemire can dominate the paint, they also like to get out and run on the fast break whenever the opportunity presents itself. In the last 10 games, Phoenix averages 20.7 points per game on fast breaks and 54.4 points in the paint. Philly is great at stopping both; In the ‘Sixers last 10 games, they allow just 11.3 fast break points and 36.4 points in the paint per game.
Our math model projects just 199 points in this game. The Suns have finished UNDER in their last four games on no days rest. Philly is 21-9-1 UNDER in their last 31 home games. In their last 23 games the 76ers and their opponent have topped 211 total points just 3 times. When these two teams match up, they have finished UNDER in 5 of their last 7 meetings. With a fatigued lineup against a great defense, this game will NOT surpass 211 points. Go with the UNDER.Comment
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Re: 2-9-09
Indian Cowboy
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4 Unit Play. #519. Take Furman +8 over Elon College (Monday @ 7pm est). Congrats on the 5-2 week in CBB last week, the 5-2 week in the NBA and the Overall 10-4 Week in Hoops which has allowed us to bank +22.4 net Units in Overall profit. Let's continue to focus, research and roll as per this week as we look to duplicate last week's 10-4, and last month's +66 Overall Units. This line is likely to rise as the day continues as there are 7.5's out there and now, we are beginning to see sprinklings of +8 as I write this in the early morning. I like the Southern Conference. After all, we rode The Citadel Outright over App. State most recently in the conference. These two teams have not met this year but certainly Furman remembers their dubbing they took at the hands of Elon last year when they lost 52-37 at Elon and the fact the game prior to that last year when they lost 58-60 at home to Elon. Well, Fuman is a team that seems to be getting some mo-jo back as conference play continues. Keep in mind that this team has won just 3 conference games all year and have lost 10. But, 2 of those 2 conference games they have won come in their last two games as back to back victories. This team defeated both Samford and Chattanooga at home who were teams ranked in the top 275 and top 200. Bear in mind that these were both Outright wins as Furman was dogged by 6.5 and 2.5. In fact, what has gone unnoticed is the fact that Furman has covered their last 5 straight contests and this is important considering this team si 7-10 ATS overall this year. Furman is improving its play. It is obvious by their ATS covers of late and the fact they have been rewarded with back to back conference wins at home. Does this translate into a competitive spirit on the road? Yes, I believe so. After all, prior to the win over Samford at home, this team lost to App. State by just 2 points and they were dogged by 13 in that game. In fact, in the game prior to that, this team was dogged by 13 to Western Carolina and fell short by 9 points on the road. Who is to say that our Furman Paladins who are 4-0 ATS as underdogs of late, who are 5-0 ATS overall of late, the Elon Phoenix who are 0-4 ATS at home of late, with Furman having revenge and now with a renewed sense of play which has led them to ATS wins and increasing their conference wins by 200% in a span of two games, will not be competitive here? Paladins baby! (p.s. The Paladins were known as the twelve peers and were the foremost warriors in Charlemagne's court - we can use 7 of those warriors tonight).
4 Unit Play. Take Under (no line out yet) between New Orleans Hornets @ Memphis Grizzlies (Monday @ 8pm est). There is no reason why this game shouldn't go under today. Are you aware what the final total was between the Raptors vs. Grizzlies? Try 150 (78-72 as the Grizzlies won). The combination of Conley, Mayo and Warrick scored 15, 16, and 16 points as if it was a college game. Part of this reason was because of Gay and Arthur did not play in the contest due to Arthur's personal reasons and Gay's Hip Flexor. Tack on the fact that Kyle Lowry did not play either as he is day to day with an ankle injury. Do you want to know why Toronto had trouble scoring? Well, they had no Chris Bosh and consequently, this team barely scored above 70 points. What is the similarity between Toronto and New Orleans? The fact that both teams are banged and Chris Paul and Chandler are likely to still be out and note, David West might be serving his suspension today. So, when you tack all this on what you are looking at is two banged up teams that will be struggling to score over 85 points a piece. In fact, I think the Grizzlies likely win this game outright, but how can one take the Grizzlies without knowing if Arthur or Gay is playing for certain and with a possibility of Paul playing and a possibility of West playing. I liked the under without the possibilities of injuries, but the chance that 5 of the better/best players of either of these teams combined might not be seeing action, certainly allows for me to take the under here. The Under is 5-2 for the Hornets following an ATS win and the Under is 6-2 when the Grizzlies play a winning team at home.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.Comment
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Re: 2-9-09
Indian Cowboy
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4 Unit Play. #519. Take Furman +8 over Elon College (Monday @ 7pm est). Congrats on the 5-2 week in CBB last week, the 5-2 week in the NBA and the Overall 10-4 Week in Hoops which has allowed us to bank +22.4 net Units in Overall profit. Let's continue to focus, research and roll as per this week as we look to duplicate last week's 10-4, and last month's +66 Overall Units. This line is likely to rise as the day continues as there are 7.5's out there and now, we are beginning to see sprinklings of +8 as I write this in the early morning. I like the Southern Conference. After all, we rode The Citadel Outright over App. State most recently in the conference. These two teams have not met this year but certainly Furman remembers their dubbing they took at the hands of Elon last year when they lost 52-37 at Elon and the fact the game prior to that last year when they lost 58-60 at home to Elon. Well, Fuman is a team that seems to be getting some mo-jo back as conference play continues. Keep in mind that this team has won just 3 conference games all year and have lost 10. But, 2 of those 2 conference games they have won come in their last two games as back to back victories. This team defeated both Samford and Chattanooga at home who were teams ranked in the top 275 and top 200. Bear in mind that these were both Outright wins as Furman was dogged by 6.5 and 2.5. In fact, what has gone unnoticed is the fact that Furman has covered their last 5 straight contests and this is important considering this team si 7-10 ATS overall this year. Furman is improving its play. It is obvious by their ATS covers of late and the fact they have been rewarded with back to back conference wins at home. Does this translate into a competitive spirit on the road? Yes, I believe so. After all, prior to the win over Samford at home, this team lost to App. State by just 2 points and they were dogged by 13 in that game. In fact, in the game prior to that, this team was dogged by 13 to Western Carolina and fell short by 9 points on the road. Who is to say that our Furman Paladins who are 4-0 ATS as underdogs of late, who are 5-0 ATS overall of late, the Elon Phoenix who are 0-4 ATS at home of late, with Furman having revenge and now with a renewed sense of play which has led them to ATS wins and increasing their conference wins by 200% in a span of two games, will not be competitive here? Paladins baby! (p.s. The Paladins were known as the twelve peers and were the foremost warriors in Charlemagne's court - we can use 7 of those warriors tonight).
4 Unit Play. Take Under (no line out yet) between New Orleans Hornets @ Memphis Grizzlies (Monday @ 8pm est). There is no reason why this game shouldn't go under today. Are you aware what the final total was between the Raptors vs. Grizzlies? Try 150 (78-72 as the Grizzlies won). The combination of Conley, Mayo and Warrick scored 15, 16, and 16 points as if it was a college game. Part of this reason was because of Gay and Arthur did not play in the contest due to Arthur's personal reasons and Gay's Hip Flexor. Tack on the fact that Kyle Lowry did not play either as he is day to day with an ankle injury. Do you want to know why Toronto had trouble scoring? Well, they had no Chris Bosh and consequently, this team barely scored above 70 points. What is the similarity between Toronto and New Orleans? The fact that both teams are banged and Chris Paul and Chandler are likely to still be out and note, David West might be serving his suspension today. So, when you tack all this on what you are looking at is two banged up teams that will be struggling to score over 85 points a piece. In fact, I think the Grizzlies likely win this game outright, but how can one take the Grizzlies without knowing if Arthur or Gay is playing for certain and with a possibility of Paul playing and a possibility of West playing. I liked the under without the possibilities of injuries, but the chance that 5 of the better/best players of either of these teams combined might not be seeing action, certainly allows for me to take the under here. The Under is 5-2 for the Hornets following an ATS win and the Under is 6-2 when the Grizzlies play a winning team at home.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
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Re: 2-9-09
ChicagoSportsConnection
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CHARLOTTE -1 vs Clippers....7:05 EDT
The mighty Clippers and their 12-39 record are suddenly getting respect at the windows.
What a joke.
They won their last two games against ATL & MEMP by shooting 57% and 59% from the field.
I was listening to the home radio feed for the Clippers the other night, and their announcers were laughing like little girls because their team couldn't miss.
It was quite amusing actually....but ,back to the game tonight.
The Clippers will play their last of 7 games on this East Coast swing.
....and it's 7 games in 11 days, which makes this a bad spot for them....especially since they've won the last two.
CHAR on the other hand is hungry.
They have lost their last 5 games....but they have excuses.
The last 2 games (@ MIA & vs ATL) were tough losses that could have gone either way.
The 3 losses before that were...
@ Utah
@ Denver
@ Portland.
They won @ The Lakers in the 6th game back.
Before that stretch ,you remember, they were the team to bet on (covered 8 straight).
We say CHAR gets back on track tonight with a comfortable win.
We know Wallace is out, but they played tuff without him in the last two.Comment
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Re: 2-9-09
NSA's Selection
CBB West Virginia @ Pittsburgh 7:00 PM EST 20* West Virginia +8
CBB Kansas @ Missouri 9:00 PM EST 10* Missouri -4
CBB Boise St @ Fresno St 10:00 PM EST 10* Boise St +1
NBA LA Clippers @ Charlotte 7:00 PM EST 10* LA Clippers +2
NBA LA Clippers @ Charlotte 7:00 PM EST 10* OVER 195
NBA Houston @ Milwaukee 8:00 PM EST 10* Houston -5.5Comment
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Re: 2-9-09
Stan Sharp | NBA Sides Double-Dime Bet
507 HOU -6.0 (-110) BetUS vs 508 MIL
Analysis: Stan is Betting HOUSTON today. Stan notes that Milwaukee is coming off of a high scoring game on Saturday and thus we are getting line value with the Houston side. Houston's defense will slow Milwaukee down and enable Houston to cover the short number. Houston wins this by 10-13 points. TAKE Houston as STAN SHARP'S MONDAY NIGHT BEST BET and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.Comment
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