Saturday 3/19/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Buster Sports

CBB - NIT

Northern Iowa Panthers +6

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Chip Chirimbes

CBB

Michigan Wolverines +6

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ASA

Mar 19 '22, 4:00 PM in 31m
NCAA-B | VCU vs Wake Forest

Play on: VCU +5½ -110 at Mirage

#801 ASA FREE PLAY ON VCU +5 over Wake Forest, Saturday at 4 PM ET - Wake advanced to the 2nd round of the NIT by beating Towson at home by 10 points. The Deacs shot nearly 50% from the field in that game (Towson shot 35%) and went to the FT line 29 times to just 16 for the Tigers. They did that vs a defense that ranks outside the top 100 in efficiency. We highly doubt they’ll have that level of success in this game vs a VCU defense than ranks 6th nationally in efficiency, 8th in eFG% allowed, and 4th in 3 point % allowed. Another strength of this Ram defense is their ability to create turnovers. They do it very well causing opponents to give the ball away 25% of the time which is 4th nationally. WF doesn’t protect the ball very well ranking 222nd in TO percentage so we expect a number of extra offensive possessions for VCU. One of VCU’s weaknesses offensively is they turn the ball over a lot as well. However, Wake is not a defense that creates TO’s so that shouldn’t hurt the Rams as much as it might have vs a more aggressive type defense. VCU has been fantastic on the road (9-2 SU record) as well as a big money maker as an underdog (8-2 ATS this season). The top rated team in the A10, Davidson, we have rated almost identical to this Wake Forest team. VCU went to Davidson and won as a 3 point dog. Now they are getting 5 points which we feel is some nice value. The Rams will gave the Demon Deacons all they can handle here. Take the points.

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Kenny Walker

Mar 19 '22, 4:05 PM in 36m
NHL | Kings vs Golden Knights

Play on: Golden Knights -125 at Ace

Free Pick on Golden Knights

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Info Plays

Mar 19 '22, 5:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | California Baptist vs Middle Tennessee

Play on: California Baptist +6½ -110 at Mirage

1* FREE INFO PLAY on California Baptist +6½ -110

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Jimmy Boyd

Mar 19 '22, 6:10 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Richmond vs Providence

Play on: Providence -2½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on Providence -2½ -110

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Bobby Conn

Mar 19 '22, 6:10 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Richmond vs Providence

Play on: Providence -2½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Providence -2½ -110

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Dave Price

Mar 19 '22, 6:10 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Richmond vs Providence

Play on: Providence -2½ -110 at Caesars

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on Providence -2.5
The Key: The Providence Friars are playing with a chip on their shoulder due to everyone calling them overrated. They beat South Dakota State handily last round as a 2.5-point favorite, and now they are only 2.5-point favorites against Richmond. Keep in mind Richmond was a double-digit underdog to Iowa and pulled the upset. Now they are only 2.5-point underdogs to Providence. This is too big of an adjustment as Iowa isn't that much better than Providence. The price is right to pull the trigger on the Friars. They are 26-5 this year and legitimately one of the best teams in the country. At some point, the Spiders are going to run out of gas after playing 4 games in the Atlantic 10 Tournament and 5 consecutive games that went down to the wire. This may just be the spot. The Friars are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games against a team that wins at least 60% of their games. Take Providence.

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Dustin Hawkins

Mar 19 '22, 7:05 PM in 3h
NHL | Senators vs Canadiens

Play on: Canadiens -140 at Ace

1 Dimer on Canadiens -140

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Timothy Black

Mar 19 '22, 7:10 PM in 3h
NBA | Mavs vs Hornets

Play on: Mavs -110 at BetCris

1* Best Bet on Mavs -110

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Jack Jones

Mar 19 '22, 7:10 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | St. Mary's vs UCLA

Play on: UNDER 126½ -110

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: St. Mary's/UCLA UNDER 126.5
This Round of 32 game between UCLA and St. Mary's will be played at a snail's pace tonight. These are two teams that like to eat up the entire shot clock, and both play great defense. It's a low total but the books haven't set it low enough.
St. Mary's ranks 338th in adjusted tempo and 9th in adjusted defense this season. UCLA ranks 263rd in adjusted tempo and 14th in adjusted defense. Both teams were dominant defensively in their first games of the NCAA Tournament. St. Mary's held Indiana to 53 points and 34% shooting, while UCLA held Akron to 53 points and 39.6% shooting.
UCLA is 7-0 UNDER in its last seven games away from home vs. teams that allow 64 or fewer points per game. St. Mary's 25-8 UNDER in its last 33 neutral site games as an underdog. The Gaels are 51-18 UNDER in their last 69 games as underdogs overall. The UNDER is 18-6 in Bruins last 24 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. The UNDER is 12-3 in Bruins last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

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Black Widow

Mar 19 '22, 7:10 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | St. Mary's vs UCLA

Play on: UCLA -2½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on UCLA -2½ -110

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Jesse Schule

Mar 19 '22, 7:10 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | St. Mary's vs UCLA

Play on: St. Mary's +3 -110 at SC Consensus

This is a free play on SMC.
The Gaels were a lot more impressive in their first round victory over Indiana than UCLA was in their come from behind win over Akron. The Gaels were just one of three teams to beat the #1 ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs this season. The Gaels are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. St. Mary's shot over 51 percent from the field and over 47 percent from three-point range in their first round win. The Bruins scored just 57 point on 35.2 percent shooting against Akron. They will need to be a lot better if they want to survive the next round.
GL,
Jesse Schule

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Sean Murphy

Mar 19 '22, 8:05 PM in 4h
NHL | Rangers vs Lightning

Play on: UNDER 5½ -102

Saturday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Tampa Bay at 8:05 pm et on Saturday.
We won with the 'under' in the Rangers most recent game - a 2-1 home loss to the Islanders two nights ago. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as the Blueshirts head to Tampa to face the Lightning on Saturday. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 10-3 with the Rangers playing on the road off a home loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons, as is the case here, leading to an average total of just 5.1 goals. Better still, the 'under' is 13-2 with New York coming off a game in which four or fewer total goals were scored this season, resulting in just 4.8 total goals on average in that spot. The Lightning, meanwhile, have seen the 'under' cash at a 13-6 clip when playing at home after winning two of their last three games this season, leading to an average total of 5.3 goals. Noting the Rangers won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a 4-0 score, the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 with the Lightning playing at home seeking revenge for a loss by 3+ goals against an opponent over the last two seasons, resulting in an average total of only 4.3 goals. Take the under.

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John Martin

Mar 19 '22, 8:40 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | New Mexico State vs Arkansas

Play on: Arkansas -6½ -108 at linepros

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Arkansas -6.5
The Arkansas Razorbacks are 16-3 SU & 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall. They beat Vermont 75-71 as 4.5-point favorites to fail to cover the spread. But keep in mind they were without their best player in JD Notae (18.9 PPG) for most of the first half due to foul trouble. New Mexico State pulled the upset over UConn and is now getting a lot of love. I think we are getting the Razorbacks at a short price here as only 6.5-point favorites. Arkansas is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games off an ATS loss. The Razorbacks will force the Aggies to play at their break-neck pace in this one and create havoc, which they are so good at doing. New Mexico State prefers to play at a slow tempo but won't be able to when they get behind big early. Give me Arkansas.