Sunday 4/3/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369813

    #106
    NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS. LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

    The Los Angeles Clippers will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Sunday when they take on the New Orleans Pelicans at Crypto.com Arena.

    Oddsmakers opened the Clippers as -3-point favorites versus the Pelicans, while the game's total opened at 224.5.

    The Clippers were a 153-119 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Bucks. They covered the +3.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (272) made winners of OVER bettors.

    In their last action, New Orleans was a 114-111 winner on the road against the Lakers. They covered the +2-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (225) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

    New Orleans:
    Team record: 32-43 SU,38-36-1 ATS
    New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games

    Los Angeles:
    Team record: 36-39 SU,35-39-1 ATS
    Current Streak: lost 5 straight games.
    LA Clippers is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    LA Clippers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games

    Next up:
    New Orleans at Sacramento Tuesday, April 5
    Los Angeles home to Phoenix Wednesday, April 6
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369813

      #107
      BETTING ODDS TRENDS

      Los Angeles Clippers
      LA Clippers is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
      LA Clippers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
      LA Clippers is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 11 games at home
      LA Clippers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
      LA Clippers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
      LA Clippers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
      LA Clippers is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against New Orleans
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 9 games when playing at home against New Orleans

      New Orleans Pelicans
      New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
      New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
      New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
      New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
      New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
      New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
      New Orleans is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369813

        #108
        MILWAUKEE is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

        BOSTON is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

        LA LAKERS are 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

        DETROIT is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

        PHILADELPHIA is 9-28 ATS (-21.8 Units) in road games after a combined score of 225 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

        NEW YORK is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.

        OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game - 2nd half of the season in the current seson.

        PORTLAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season.

        MIAMI is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games after 2+ road games in the current season.

        HOUSTON is 22-50 ATS (-33 Units) in home games after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

        SACRAMENTO is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369813

          #109
          NBA
          Sunday, April 3
          Trend Report

          Washington @ Boston
          Washington
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Boston
          Boston
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Washington

          Dallas @ Milwaukee
          Dallas
          Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
          Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
          Milwaukee
          Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
          Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

          Denver @ LA Lakers
          Denver
          Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games
          LA Lakers
          LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
          LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

          Detroit @ Indiana
          Detroit
          Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
          Indiana
          Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

          Philadelphia @ Cleveland
          Philadelphia
          Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
          Cleveland
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games at home

          New York @ Orlando
          New York
          New York is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
          New York is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
          Orlando
          Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
          Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

          Minnesota @ Houston
          Minnesota
          Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
          Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
          Houston
          Houston is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Minnesota
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota

          Phoenix @ Oklahoma City
          Phoenix
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
          Oklahoma City
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
          Oklahoma City is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Phoenix

          Portland @ San Antonio
          Portland
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
          San Antonio
          San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

          Miami @ Toronto
          Miami
          Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Miami is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
          Toronto
          Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

          Golden State @ Sacramento
          Golden State
          Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
          Golden State is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
          Sacramento
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games
          Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          New Orleans @ LA Clippers
          New Orleans
          New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
          New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
          LA Clippers
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 11 games at home
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369813

            #110
            The Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
            The Bucks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
            The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Milwaukee.
            The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Bucks' games.


            The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
            The Lakers are 8-3 SU in their last 11 matchups against Denver.
            The total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine Nuggets' games.
            The Lakers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games.
            The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight Lakers' games.
            The total has gone OVER in nine of the last 12 matchups between the Lakers and Nuggets.


            The Raptors are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
            The Heat are 5-5 ATS in their last ten matchups against Toronto.
            The total has gone UNDER in five of the last seven Raptors' games.
            The total has gone UNDER in five of the last eight matchups between Miami and Toronto.


            The Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
            The Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
            The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last eight Pelicans' games.
            The total has gone OVER in five straight Clippers' games.
            The Pelicans are 6-0 ATS in their last six matchups against the Clippers.
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369813

              #111
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hawthorne

              Hawthorne - Race 1
              $1 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 20 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / 50 Cent Pick 5 / $1 Daily Double
              Claiming $6,250 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 65 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 2:50P
              FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 3 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Lone Front-runner. AVASARALA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PRINCESS CORA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. AVASARALA: H orse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. NOFANSINTHESTANDS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Hors e ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
              4
              PRINCESS CORA
              8/5
              7/2
              2
              AVASARALA
              9/2
              4/1
              6
              NOFANSINTHESTANDS
              7/2
              9/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              2
              AVASARALA
              2
              9/2
              Front-runner
              67
              70
              68.8
              44.2
              37.2
              6
              NOFANSINTHESTANDS
              6
              7/2
              Trailer
              73
              72
              0.0
              40.8
              36.8
              4
              PRINCESS CORA
              4
              8/5
              Alternator/Trailer
              86
              75
              54.0
              55.0
              52.5
              3
              I LOVE TO RACE
              3
              4/1
              Alternator/Trailer
              68
              58
              47.6
              54.2
              46.2
              1
              HOOSIER GOLD CASE
              1
              6/1
              Alternator/Trailer
              71
              55
              36.6
              47.2
              38.7
              5
              COOKIN ROSES
              5
              12/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              59
              61
              67.4
              42.0
              31.0
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369813

                #112
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



                Camarero - Race 1
                Exacta / Daily Double 1-2
                Maiden Claiming $8,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 26 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 2:45P
                FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. 1# A CLASF.$8,000 ALLOWED 1 LBS. 2# INFERIORES Y DEBTS ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. PREJUICIOSA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PREJUICIOSA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SOLARIEGA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TR ADUCTORA: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
                2
                PREJUICIOSA
                7/2
                7/2
                5
                SOLARIEGA
                15/1
                9/2
                4
                TRADUCTORA
                15/1
                5/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                2
                PREJUICIOSA
                2
                7/2
                Front-runner
                39
                33
                19.8
                19.8
                14.8
                4
                TRADUCTORA
                4
                15/1
                Front-runner
                33
                15
                18.3
                18.3
                11.3
                5
                SOLARIEGA
                5
                15/1
                Front-runner
                49
                15
                16.2
                16.2
                10.2
                3
                FLOR SALVAJE
                3
                2/1
                Stalker
                33
                15
                14.2
                14.2
                7.2
                1
                SUENOS Y CERVEZAS
                1
                4/1
                Alternator/Trailer
                31
                15
                13.4
                13.4
                6.4
                6
                BELLA PRIMAVERA
                6
                20/1
                Alternator/Trailer
                36
                6
                11.0
                11.0
                1.5
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369813

                  #113
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 3 - SO - 6.0f on the Turf. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 97

                  FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING $50,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 6 NEWPARK (IRE) 9/5
                  # 3 CHERUBIC FACTOR 5/2
                  # 4 MY SUMMER DREAM 3/1
                  NEWPARK (IRE) should be supported as the bet in here. Has run strongly when running a turf sprint race. Tough to pass on this gelding with Gonzalez in the irons. He should definitely be given a shot given the very good speed numbers. CHERUBIC FACTOR - Has run well when running a turf sprint race. Garnered a strong speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. MY SUMMER DREAM - He has a very good distance/surface win record - 1 for 4.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369813

                    #114
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                    Oaklawn Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:02pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $32,000 Class Rating: 69

                    Rating:

                    #4 DIXIE PENNY (ML=5/1)


                    DIXIE PENNY - Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the form to make her presence felt.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 AIDANIKE (ML=2/1), #5 DARLING JOANNA (ML=7/2), #1 LITTLE BURRITO (ML=4/1),

                    AIDANIKE - You should normally gamble against favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last 3 weeks. DARLING JOANNA - I find it hard to bet on any horse in a short distance race at 7/2 when she hasn't shown any successful efforts in sprints in the last couple of months. LITTLE BURRITO - Not easy to bet on this horse this time. Make her show you something in a sprint race before you wager on her in a race of 6 furlongs.



                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #4 DIXIE PENNY on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
                    EXACTA WAGERS: None

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    None
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369813

                      #115
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fonner Park

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.




                      Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7920 Class Rating: 63

                      FOR CERTIFIED NE BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 1 TOO MANY CAPTAINS 8/5
                      # 2 FOR REEL 2/1
                      # 3 PAISANO JIM 8/1
                      TOO MANY CAPTAINS is my choice. Is tough not to consider based on Speed Figures which have been very good - 59 avg - of late. Ought to go to the lead and should never look back. Has to be given consideration based on the very good Equibase speed fig put up in the last outing. FOR REEL - Ran a sharp last race. Has been running in the most competitive company of the group of horses recently. PAISANO JIM - Trainer boasts strong win numbers at this distance and surface. With Roman on top him, this gelding should be able to break out quickly for this event.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369813

                        #116
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                        Golden Gate Fields - Race #7 - Post: 4:25pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 81

                        Rating:

                        #2 BOLDACIOUS (ML=5/1)
                        #6 EXECUTIVE CHEF (ML=7/2)
                        #11 I'M DR. O (ML=10/1)
                        #9 TIZ A THRILL (ML=20/1)


                        BOLDACIOUS - Always be wary of the longer priced animal when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. As the only front-runner in the race, I expect this colt to be long gone. This racer coming off a solid try in the last month or so is a contender in my book. Just missed hitting the board on March 6th at Golden Gate Fields. With pretty good morning line odds in this event, he has my interest. EXECUTIVE CHEF - Orozco was aboard this gelding last time out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. When Orozco and Wright join forces on horses the return on investment has been wonderful at +77. This horse isn't the M/L favorite, but finished ahead of today's M/L favorite in his last race (March 13th at Golden Gate Fields). I'M DR. O - This handler has an ROI of +58 with horses first time out. The 'x-factor' at work here is that this gelding has been working over this track getting ready for his first start. TIZ A THRILL - Just missed hitting the board on March 6th at Golden Gate Fields. With decent odds in this event, he has my interest. Adding blinkers often leads to an improved performance on the racetrack.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #10 HUNTER JOHN (ML=3/1), #7 SECOND NATURE (ML=9/2), #12 SMILING AT VAL (ML=6/1),

                        HUNTER JOHN - If he goes off near the oddsmaker's morning line of 3/1, I'll have to pass. SECOND NATURE - Would have to get quite a bit more than the oddsmaker's morning line of 9/2 to wager on this mount. SMILING AT VAL - Trying to beat this entrant this time at the price of 6/1.

                        GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - I'M DR. O - Lasix should have a 'wake-up' effect on this thoroughbred. Take this gelding all the way to the bank.





                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #2 BOLDACIOUS on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,11] Box [2,9]

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        Skip
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

                        SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
                        [2,6] with [2,6,9,11] with [2,6,9,11] with [1,2,6,9,11,12] with [1,2,6,9,11,12] Total Cost: $72
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