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Teddy Covers
Under-the-Radar 19-1 Angle Winner
4* Houston Rockets +17
My clients and I have been betting against the Nets as home chalk regularly this season; the betting marketplace gift that keeps on giving. Brooklyn might be a legitimate contender to win the NBA title this June, but they’ve been nothing short of awful in this home favorites role, to the tune of 1-19 ATS in their last 20 tries, cashing at a 5% clip. Since last November, the ONLY point spread the Nets have covered as home favorites came on January 15th against the Pelicans as -5.5 point chalk.
I understand the Nets are as healthy as they’ve been all season, and Kyrie Irving is now available for home games. I also watched the Nets lose to Charlotte in outright fashion last Sunday; yet another failure as home chalk. Then they failed to cover against the lowly Pistons on Tuesday; in a life and death battle just to win the game. It’s important to note that the Nets shot 55% from the floor, 54% from three-point range, and 31-34 (91%) from the free-throw line and STILL never sniffed a point spread cover. They followed that up with a pair of SU and ATS losses; not a team clicking on all cylinders as the playoffs approach.
In 21 games since the All-Star Break, the Rockets have lost a grand total of three times by more than the 17 point spread tonight – it’s not like Houston is getting crushed in a non-competitive fashion on a nightly basis; even after sitting their veterans. At some point, Brooklyn is likely to pull away and win this game, but don’t expect that victory to come by any significant margin.
Take the Rockets.
line parameter: 4% at +16 or higher, 3% at +15.5 or lower
Under-the-Radar 19-1 Angle Winner
4* Houston Rockets +17
My clients and I have been betting against the Nets as home chalk regularly this season; the betting marketplace gift that keeps on giving. Brooklyn might be a legitimate contender to win the NBA title this June, but they’ve been nothing short of awful in this home favorites role, to the tune of 1-19 ATS in their last 20 tries, cashing at a 5% clip. Since last November, the ONLY point spread the Nets have covered as home favorites came on January 15th against the Pelicans as -5.5 point chalk.
I understand the Nets are as healthy as they’ve been all season, and Kyrie Irving is now available for home games. I also watched the Nets lose to Charlotte in outright fashion last Sunday; yet another failure as home chalk. Then they failed to cover against the lowly Pistons on Tuesday; in a life and death battle just to win the game. It’s important to note that the Nets shot 55% from the floor, 54% from three-point range, and 31-34 (91%) from the free-throw line and STILL never sniffed a point spread cover. They followed that up with a pair of SU and ATS losses; not a team clicking on all cylinders as the playoffs approach.
In 21 games since the All-Star Break, the Rockets have lost a grand total of three times by more than the 17 point spread tonight – it’s not like Houston is getting crushed in a non-competitive fashion on a nightly basis; even after sitting their veterans. At some point, Brooklyn is likely to pull away and win this game, but don’t expect that victory to come by any significant margin.
Take the Rockets.
line parameter: 4% at +16 or higher, 3% at +15.5 or lower
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