2-10-09

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Sports Club
February 10, 2009

NBA:

Spurs -5
Kings/Mavs over 213
Knicks/Warriors over 233

NCAA:

Michigan St. -4
Villanova -4
Seton Hall/Depaul over 144

NHL:

Bruins -130
Lightning -150
Leafs/Panthers over 6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

BeatYourBookie

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Tuesday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Florida (+4) over Kentucky (NCAA)
(SEC Game of the Year)

Florida is 2-0 SU & ATS in road games when the total is between 145 and 149.5
Florida is 9-0 SU coming off a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons
Florida is 5-0 SU when playing on a Tuesday this season
Florida is 13-1 SU after failing to cover the spread in the last game



100* Play Marquette (+4.5) over Villanova (NCAA)

Marquette is 5-0 ATS vs. Villanova since 1997
Marquette is 9-1 SU vs. conference opponents this season
Marquette is 12-1 SU when playing on a Tuesday this season
Marquette is 2-0 SU & ATS in road games when the total is between 140 and 149.5


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Bonus Hoops & Hockey Plays

50* Play Minnesota (+1.5) over Toronto (NBA)

Toronto is 16-30 ATS when playing in the 2nd half of the season the last 2 years
Toronto is 18-30 ATS when playing in non-conference games
Toronto is 6-20 ATS after allowing 85 points or less the last game


30* Play Detroit (-175) over Nashville (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

Vegas Sports Experts


The VSE Tuesday Hoops Power Plays are:


VSE Power Plays

10* Take Hofstra (+1.5) over Old Dominion (NCAA Power Play)

Old Dominion
• 0-10 ATS coming off a conference win by 10 points or more
• 3-8 ATS when playing as a favorite this season



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5* Take Dallas (-12) over Sacramento (NBA Bonus Play)

Sacramento
• 1-11 SU over the last 12 games
• 2-24 SU coming off a road game this season
• 1-13 SU coming off a loss by 6 points or less




Bonus Hoops & NHL Plays are:

3* Take Oklahoma State (+9) over Texas (NCAA)

3* Take Florida (-185) over Toronto (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

Winning Angle Plays for Tuesday

NCAA

Play South Florida (pick) over Providence* (Top NCAA Play)

Providence has lost 3 consecutive games and they have also lost 8 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing in the month of February. Providence has lost 7 consecutive games against the spread on the road after allowing 75 points or more in the last game.


Play Florida State (-10) over Virginia* (Top NCAA Play)

Virginia has lost 7 consecutive games and they have also lost 10 of the last 11 games when playing as an underdog this season. Virginia has lost 16 of the last 21 games against the spread vs. Florida State.


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NBA Hoops

Play Chicago (-2) over Detroit* (NBA Bonus Play)



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NHL

Play Florida (-185) over Toronto* (NHL Bonus Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

Craig Davis Tuesday's Lineup

40 Dime ---- RAPTORS

10 Dime ---- MARQUETTE

10 Dime ---- SETON HALL

[Guest]

Re: 2-10-09

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Murray State (-1-1/2) yesterday.

Today it's Texas

[Guest]

Re: 2-10-09

NBA
Write-up


Tuesday, February 10

Hot Teams
-- Wizards are 0-4 vs spread in game after their last four wins.
-- Cavaliers won five of their last six road games.
-- Nuggets won seven of their last nine games. Heat won five of their last six home games.
-- Nets won four of their last five games.
-- Bulls are 6-0-1 vs spread in their last seven games.
-- Mavericks won last three home games by 24-1-5 points.
-- Lakers won last six games (5-0-1 vs spread) could be in for letdown as they played Celtics, Cleveland in last two games.

Cold Teams
-- Hawks lost four of their last six home games.
-- Pacers lost four of their last five games.
-- Raptors lost their last six games (0-5-1 vs spread).
-- Minnesota lost six of last seven games, is now without Jefferson, who is now out (knee).
-- Pistons are 3-5 in last eight games (0-5 vs spread in last five).
-- Kings lost 11 of last 12 games (4-8 vs spread).
-- Golden State is 1-9 vs spread in game after its last ten wins. Knicks lost last four games, but are 9-2 vs spread in their last eleven.
-- Oklahoma City failed to cover its last three road games.

Totals
-- Last six Washington games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Miami games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten New Jersey games stayed under the total.
-- Last six San Antonio games all went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Chicago games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Dallas games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Golden State games stayed under the total; Knicks' last six games all went over.
-- Eight of last ten Laker games went over the total.

Back-to Back
-- Cavaliers are 2-3 vs spread on road if they play again the next night.
-- Denver is 6-2 vs spread on road if they play again the next night.
-- Spurs are 0-3-1 vs spread if playing first of two consecutive nights on the road.
-- Raptors are 2-7 vs spread if they play again the next night.
-- Detroit is 5-2 vs spread if it plays again the next night.
-- Sacramento is 5-1 vs spread if playing first of two consecutive nights on the road.
-- Knicks are 3-3 vs spread if they play again the next night.
-- Thunder is 6-2-1 vs spread if they play again the next night.

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Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM CLEVELAND vs. INDIANA
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Indiana is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Cleveland


7:00 PM WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home


7:30 PM DENVER vs. MIAMI
Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Miami is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Denver


7:30 PM SAN ANTONIO vs. NEW JERSEY
San Antonio is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing New Jersey
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


8:00 PM TORONTO vs. MINNESOTA
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games


8:30 PM DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
Detroit is 19-6 ATS in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Detroit is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Detroit


8:30 PM SACRAMENTO vs. DALLAS
Sacramento is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Sacramento


10:30 PM NEW YORK vs. GOLDEN STATE
New York is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
Golden State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing New York


10:30 PM OKLAHOMA CITY vs. LA LAKERS
Oklahoma City is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 13 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 2-4-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

[Guest]

Re: 2-10-09

NHL
Write-up


Tuesday, February 10

Hot teams
-- Bruins won six of their last eight games.
-- Kings won three in row, six of last seven games.
-- Florida is 5-1 in game following its last five losses.
-- Red Wings won last four games, outscoring foes 20-10. Predators won four of their last five games.
-- Blues won six of their last nine games. Canucks won their last couple games, scoring eleven goals.

Cold teams
-- Sharks lost last three games, the last two in overtime.
-- Islanders are 5-12 in last 17 games, but allowed total of six goals in last four contests.
-- Colorado lost eight of its last eleven games. Columbus lost three of its last four games.
-- Thrashers lost six of their last seven games. Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
-- Maple Leafs are 1-5 in game following their last six wins.

Totals
-- Three of last four San Jose road games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Islander games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in Colorado's last dozen games.
-- Three of last four Thrasher games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Florida games stayed under the total; eight of last ten Toronto games went over.
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total; five of Nashville's last six games stayed under.
-- Last four St Louis home games stayed under the total; Vancouver's last four games all went over.

Back-to-Back
-- Sharks are 4-3 of they play again the next night.
-- Islanders are 2-5 if they play again the next night.
-- Colorado is 1-3 if it plays again the next night.
-- Thrashers are 1-3 on road if they play again the next night.

Series Records
-- Road team won last two San Jose-Boston games.
-- Kings won last two games against the Islanders, 4-2/3-1.
-- Columbus won five of last six against the Avalanche.
-- Thrashers won six of last eight against Tampa Bay.
-- Road team won seven of last eight Florida-Toronto games.
-- Red Wings lost three of last four visits to Nashville.
-- Canucks won three of last four games against St Louis.
Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM COLORADO vs. COLUMBUS
Colorado is 10-4-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Colorado is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games
Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado


7:00 PM LOS ANGELES vs. NY ISLANDERS
Los Angeles is 3-5-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders are 1-3-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles


7:00 PM SAN JOSE vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Jose's last 12 games on the road
San Jose is 5-9-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Boston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home


7:30 PM ATLANTA vs. TAMPA BAY
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta


7:30 PM TORONTO vs. FLORIDA
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games at home
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


8:00 PM DETROIT vs. NASHVILLE
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Nashville is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Detroit
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit


8:30 PM VANCOUVER vs. ST. LOUIS
Vancouver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games

[Guest]

Re: 2-10-09

Dave Cokin

(719) MICHIGAN STATE
(720) MICHIGAN
Take "(719) MICHIGAN STATE"

Tuesday's free opinion is Michigan State to get past Michigan. I definitely like what John Beilein has accomplished this season with the youthful Wolverines, but they're still a year away. Raymer Morgan is still likely out for the Spartans, and I can't therefore step out with the road team here, but the price is short enough for me to at least lean Michigan State's way.

[Guest]

Re: 2-10-09

Jim Feist

(717) NEW YORK KNICKS
(718) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Take "Over"

The uptempo Knicks average 104 ppg, fifth most in the NBA, but allow 106 ppg -- fourth most in the league. Oddsmakers still haven't been able to adjust, as the Knicks are on a 6-0 run over the total. Golden State is second in scoring and allows 111 ppg -- most in the NBA. They've allowed 110 or more points in four of the last five games, and here comes the "push it up the floor" Knicks. These teams have already met and with a total of 224, the final score was 138-125 -- 39 points over the total. Play the Knicks/Warriors over the total.

[Guest]

Re: 2-10-09

JEFFERSON-SPORTS 1-1 on MON

EARLY RELEASE NBA

OKLAHOMA CITY+13

Tough to get up for this one if you are LA. Kobe battling flu, off huge wins vs cavs and celtics. Big road game in Utah coming up. Oklahoma City playing well and scoring more. Brooks gets them fired up and we should stay within this number.

[Guest]

Re: 2-10-09

Mr. A's

San Antonio Spurs 5
Chicago Bulls -2
Dallas Mavericks -12

[Guest]

Re: 2-10-09

Cappers Access

Michigan
Seton Hall

Arthur Ralph

Free Play Marquette

John Morrison

2/10 Toronto

[Guest]

Re: 2-10-09

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

(9) Michigan State (19-4, 11-8-1 ATS) at Michigan (15-9, 10-8-1 ATS)

Michigan takes on its second consecutive Top 10 opponent when it entertains Michigan State, which brings a perfect Big Ten road record into Chrisler Arena in Ann Arbor.

The Wolverines went to No. 1 Connecticut on Saturday and took a one-point lead into halftime but couldn’t finish the job, losing 69-61 while cashing easily as a 16½-point road favorite. Although it has covered the spread in back-to-back outings, Michigan is just 2-6 SU in its last eight, with both victories coming in Big Ten home games (68-59 over Northwestern and 71-51 over Penn State). The Wolverines have scored 61 points or fewer in all six losses during their 2-6 funk.

The Spartans are coming off near-identical blowout home wins over Minnesota (76-47) and Indiana (75-47), cashing in both contests to move to 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five. In the last two wins, Michigan State gave just 28 field goals in 94 attempts (29.8 percent), and they’ve held six of 11 conference foes to 58 points or less.

Michigan State sits alone atop the Big Ten standings at 9-2 (6-4-1 ATS), two games ahead of both Ohio State and Illinois. Most impressively, Tom Izzo’s squad is 5-0 (4-0-1 ATS) in Big Ten road games and it is 7-0 in true road contests this season (5-0-1 ATS in lined action). Michigan is 5-6 in conference (4-7 ATS), including 4-2 SU and ATS at home.

These rivals met just once last year, with Michigan State rolling to a 77-62 home win but coming up just short as a 15½-point favorite. The host has won the last five meetings (4-1 ATS) in this rivalry and is 8-2 (7-3 ATS) in the last 10.

In addition to the Spartans’ ATS hot streaks of 4-1 in Big Ten play and 5-0-1 on the road, they’re 5-0-1 ATS as a favorite of less than eight points this season and 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a victory of more than 20 points. However, they’ve failed to cash in four consecutive Tuesday outings. Conversely, despite its 2-5 ATS slump in conference action, Michigan is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 at home and 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 on Tuesday, but the Wolverines are 0-3-1 ATS as an underdog of less than eight points

Michigan State has topped the total four consecutive road games, but the under is 6-1 in its last seven on Tuesday and 12-5-1 in its last 18 following a victory of more than 20 points. Also, Michigan is on “under” stretches of 4-0 overall, 16-5-1 in Big Ten play, 4-1-1 on Tuesday and 9-3-1 after a SU defeat.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


(10) Marquette (20-3, 10-7-1 ATS) at (13) Villanova (19-4, 12-7 ATS)

Marquette will try to rebound from its first Big East loss of the season when it hits the road for the third consecutive game in a battle against red-hot Villanova at The Pavilion.

The Golden Eagles kicked off the conference season with a 79-72 home victory over then-No. 15 Villanova on New Year’s Day and eventually got to 8-0 in Big East play before Friday’s last-second 57-56 loss at South Florida as an 8½-point road favorite. That defeat snapped Marquette’s 12-game overall win streak (8-2-1 ATS) going back to the non-conference campaign. It also marked the first time all season the Eagles were held under 60 points and the first time in Big East play they they’d scored fewer than 71.

Villanova topped the century mark for the second time this season in Saturday’s 102-85 pounding of Syracuse, covering easily as a 6½-point home favorite. The Wildcats have won five straight games (all against the Big East) and they’re also on a 7-0 ATS tear (all in conference). During the five-game winning streak, Jay Wright’s club has averaged 80.8 ppg on 48 percent shooting while allowing 68.8 ppg on 36.5 percent shooting.

Marquette is tied with Louisville – both a half-game behind UConn – in the Big East race with a 9-1 SU mark (7-3 ATS), including 4-1 on the highway (3-2 ATS). Villanova is in fifth place at 7-3 SU and ATS, including 4-1 SU and ATS in their two home venues (The Pavilion on campus and the Wachovia Center in nearby Philadelphia).

Including last month’s seven-point win at home, Marquette has won three straight and four of five against Villanova since 2002, cashing in all five contests (four times as a favorite). In last year’s trip to The Pavilion, the Eagles rolled to an 85-75 victory as a 1½-point road chalk.

The Golden Eagles are on a bunch of ATS hot streaks, including 8-3 overall, 12-5 on the highway (5-1 last six), 15-6 in Big East action, 4-1-1 after a SU loss, 6-2-1 after a non-cover and 5-0 against winning teams. Meanwhile, in addition to its 7-0 ATS run (all in Big East action), Villanova is on pointspread upticks of 4-0 at home, 6-0 versus teams with a winning record and 9-3 as a favorite of less than 15 points.

Marquette is 4-1 SU and ATS against Top 25 teams and the Wildcats are 2-3 against ranked competition (3-2 ATS, including three straight spread-covers).

The over is on streaks of 5-2 for Villanova overall, 8-3 for Villanova against Big East rivals and 4-1 in this rivalry. However, the under is on stretches of 20-7 for the Wildcats at home, 5-2 for the Wildcats on Tuesday, 10-4 for the Wildcats after a SU win, 6-0 for the Wildcats after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game, 5-2 for Marquette on the road and 5-1 for Marquette on Tuesday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


(12) Clemson (19-3, 8-8-1 ATS) at Boston College (18-7, 11-9 ATS)

Two ACC rivals that had winning streaks snapped over the weekend will try to get back on track when Boston College hosts Clemson at the Conte Forum.

The Tigers took a three-game SU and ATS winning streak into Saturday’s home game against Florida State, including a stunning 27-point victory over fourth-ranked Duke on Wednesday. However, Clemson blew a 15-point lead with less than 10 minutes to play and fell to the Seminoles 65-61 as a nine-point home chalk. Since starting the season 16-0, the Tigers have split their last six games both SU and ATS, all against ACC competition.

After an ugly four-game SU and ATS losing skid that came on the heels of a shocking upset at then-No. 1 North Carolina, Boston College saved its season with a five-game winning streak (4-1 ATS). However, the Eagles’ run ended in Sunday’s 93-76 blowout loss at Wake Forest as an 11-point road underdog.

Clemson is one of four ACC teams with a 5-3 conference record (4-3-1 ATS), including 2-1 SU and ATS on the road. Boston College is 6-4 in the ACC (5-5 ATS), and after losing their first two conference home games (0-2 ATS) the Eagles have won two straight at Conte Forum (1-1 ATS).

This rivalry has belonged to the home team, which has won all six regular-season meetings going back to 2003 (3-1-2 ATS). Last year, Clemson rolled to a 78-56 victory as a 10½-point home chalk, then blitzed the Eagles out of the ACC tournament with an 82-48 romp as a nine-point favorite. The Tigers are 5-0-2 ATS all-time against B.C., and the favorite is 4-1-2 ATS.

Clemson’s pointspread trends include 4-1 on the road, 7-3-1 in ACC action and 7-1 on the highway against teams with a winning record. Boston College is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 on Tuesday, but 1-4 ATS in its last five as a host.

The last five meetings in this rivalry have stayed under the total, and the under is also on stretches of 7-2 for Clemson overall, 5-2 for Clemson in ACC play, 4-0 for Clemson against winning teams and 5-0 for the Eagles against squads with a winning record. However, the over is on runs of 5-0 for the Tigers on the road, 5-1-1 for Boston College overall, 21-7 for Boston College at home and 7-3-1 for Boston College on Tuesday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEMSON


NBA

San Antonio (34-15, 24-23-2 ATS) at New Jersey (24-28, 28-24 ATS)

Fresh off Sunday’s impressive upset victory at Boston, the Spurs continue their brutal eight-game road trip when the make their only visit of the season to Continental Airlines Arena for a clash with the Nets, who have lost 12 consecutive games to San Antonio.

The Spurs went to Boston after a four-day layoff and knocked off the defending champs 105-99 as a 6½-point road underdog. San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 and 5-0-1 ATS in its last six, averaging 106.2 points per game in those six games, including scoring 105 or more five times. Also, the Spurs have won nine of 12 on the road (8-3-1 ATS).

New Jersey had a four-game SU and ATS winning streak snapped in Sunday’s 101-84 loss at Orlando, falling short as a 13-point underdog. The Nets have scored 88 points or fewer in four of their last eight games, and although they’ve cashed in three straight home games, they’re just 7-10 SU in their last 17 at Continental Airlines Arena. In fact, Lawrence Frank’s troops have a better record on the road (13-13, 17-9 ATS) than at home (11-15 SU and ATS).

San Antonio defeated the Nets for the 12th straight time on Jan. 23, holding on for a 94-91 victory but never threatening to cover as an 11½-point home favorite. Despite that non-cover, the Spurs are 14-3-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings, including eight consecutive wins and covers in New Jersey. The favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six clashes and the visitor is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven.

The Spurs are on ATS runs of 4-0-1 on the highway and 12-5-2 when playing on one day of rest, but despite Sunday’s upset win of the Celtics, they’re still just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 against the Eastern Conference and 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 against the Atlantic Division. New Jersey has cashed in 14 of its last 20 games after a double-digit loss, but otherwise the Nets are on ATS slides of 7-15-2 against the Southwest Division and 4-13-1 on Tuesday.

For San Antonio, the over is on streaks of 6-0 overall, 5-0 on the road, 4-1 against the Atlantic Division, 4-1-1 on Tuesday and 4-0 when playing after one day off. Conversely, the Nets are riding under stretches of 5-1 overall, 8-3 at home, 4-1 after a SU loss, 4-0 against the Western Conference, 4-0 against winning teams and 4-1 when playing on one day of rest. Finally, the last four Nets-Spurs clashes have stayed low, and the under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in New Jersey.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN ANTONIO and UNDER


Denver (34-17, 28-22-1 ATS) at Miami (27-23, 23-25-2 ATS)

The Nuggets continue an eight-game road trip with a stop at American Airlines Arena in South Beach as they look to knock off the Heat for the eighth consecutive time.

Denver has been idle since Saturday, when its four-game winning streak came to an end in an embarrassing 114-70 loss at New Jersey as a 2½-point road favorite. The Nuggets, who had averaged 113 ppg during their four-game winning streak, hadn’t scored fewer than 81 points in a game this season and shot just 35.6 percent from the field. Despite that effort, Denver is still 7-2 in its last nine games (3-3 on the road).

Miami enters this contest in a 2-4 SU and ATS funk, most recently edging Charlotte 96-92 on Sunday but failing to cover as an eight-point favorite. On the bright side, the Heat have won five of their last six home games (4-2 ATS). For the season, Dwyane Wade and Co. are 17-8 at home, but 11-13-1 ATS, averaging 96.5 ppg and allowing 92 ppg.

The Nuggets routed the Heat 108-97 in Denver on Jan. 7, covering as a 5½-point favorite to move to 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven series meetings, including 3-0 in Miami (2-1 ATS). In last year’s clash in South Beach, the Nuggets needed overtime to escape with a 114-113 victory as a 5½-point road chalk. The host has covered in the last four series battles.

Denver has failed to cash in six of its last seven when playing on two days’ rest, but it is otherwise on ATS streaks of 4-1 after both a SU and ATS loss and 6-2 after a double-digit defeat. Miami is on ATS runs of 7-0 on Tuesday, 7-1 when playing on one day of rest and 5-2 against the Western Conference, but it is 14-32-3 ATS in its last 49 games after a SU victory.

The over is on streaks of 4-1 in this rivalry, 5-1 for Miami overall, 7-1 for Miami against the Western Conference, 24-8-1 for Miami against the Northwest Division, 4-1 for Denver on the road, 7-3 for Denver on the road 11-4 for Denver against the Eastern Conference, 4-1 for Denver against the Southeast Division and 5-0 for Denver after a non-cover.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER and OVER

[Guest]

Re: 2-10-09

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Boston Bruins -130

Game 2 - Columbus Blue Jackets -150

Game 3 - LA Kings vs. NY Islanders over 5.5

Game 4 - Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers over 6