2-10-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Nets +5 over Spurs

NCAA Basketball
Villanova -4.5 over Marquette
Oklahoma State +8.5 over Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

ETHAN LAWS TUESDAY

Verdict: Wright State 53, Loyola Chicago 56
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON Loyola Chicago +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

Marc Lawrence

100% Perfect NBA Fan Appreciation Play!

Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat
Play On: Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets look to regroup following a devastating 44-point loss Saturday night at New Jersey when they invade South Beach to take on the Heat in Miami tonight. The good news for Denver is their success in this series where they stand 11-2 SU and 8-4-1 ATS of late, including 3-0 SU and ATS when playing off a double-digit loss. In addition, the Nuggets are 12-1 ATS in non-division games when playing off a loss of 36 or more points. The clincher, though, is this angle from our data base. It tells us to: Play On any NBA road team off a loss of 40 or more points vs. a .540 or greater non division opponent. That's because these teams are 9-0 ATS in this role since 1990. Look for Denver to resume its winning ways here today.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

DOC

4 Unit Play. #719 Take Michigan State over Michigan (7:00 pm ESPN) The Wolverines are a bottom half of the Big 10 team and if they do not make three point shoots, they will be blown out of this game. Michigan State has yet to lose a game on the road in Big 10 play and is 6-0 in true road games this season. Raymar Morgan is questionable but regardless if he plays or not, the Spartans will emerge victories.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

CHARLIE

cbb. miami ohio-7' (500*)
cbb. florida+3' (30*)
cbb. michigan+4 (20*)
cbb. kent st-9' (20*)
nba. knicks @ golden state over 233 (10*)
nba. new jersey+5 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

Stan Sharp

Loyola-Chicago (double dime)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

L*e K os t ros k i
REASON FOR PICK: 7* PLAY UNDER 218.5 Oklahoma City Thunder vs. LA Lakers - 10:35 pm EST

This is one of those Total bets that you have to plug your nose to swallow as it’s not going to be a popular play. Take the UNDER in the Oklahoma City vs. LA Lakers game. The Lakers are first in the league in offensive efficiency and average 108 ppg and they’re 4th in the NBA in pace of play with 97 offensive possessions per game. Oklahoma City is 8th in the league in pace of play at 96.1 but they’re 27th in the league in offensive efficiency. Defensively it’s pretty much the same story as these two clubs are at the opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to defensive efficiency. The Lakers are 6th in the league while OKC is 25th. So why do we like the UNDER in this game. First off, our highly successful math-model which continues to prove itself projects a Total on this game of just 203 which is a full 15-points less than the number the oddsmakers have posted. The Lakers are coming off a brutal 6 game East Coast road trip which saw them finish up with TWO huge wins over the Celtics and Cavaliers. How motivated will they be tonight facing the Thunder AND they have the Jazz on deck. This number of 218 is simply too high as 19 of the Lakers 27 home games have resulted in less than 218 total points. The oddsmakers have posted Totals on Thunder games higher than tonight’s number of 218 just TWO times this season. Vegas had to set this number this high with the way these two team can play but the Lakers will dictate the tempo, rest starters for tomorrow night and keep this game from turning into a track meet. Easy call with the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

L*e K os t ros k i
FREE PICK 1*: Tonight we side with the home team Bulls over the Pistons in this Central Division showdown. The Pistons continue to slide with a 4-6 SU record their last 10 games and are looking to make a big trade before the deadline to improve the club. How far have the Pistons fallen compared to last season you ask? Well, last year at the All-Star break (with Billups) the Pistons were 39-13. This year with a few game remaining and having Iverson on the team the Pistons are just 27-22. Chicago had high expectations this season and they’ve certainly had their share of problems with injuries but they’re finally starting to play better having won 4 of their last seven, all of which were on the road. They also managed to cash in at the ticket window in 6 of those seven road contests. The Pistons have always been known for their defense but in their last five games they’ve allowed foes to hit over 45% from the field. That’s not a good thing considering the hot shooting Bulls are making over 49% of their shots in their last five games and again that was on the road. The Bulls improvement can be seen in their point differentials as they are currently +7.6 their last five games compared to a negative -1.92 season differential. Comparing the Pistons differentials we find Detroit’s season number to be minus -.24 compared to minus -4.00 their last five. The home team has covered 5 of the last six in this rivalry and we side with the Bulls again here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

SEABASS

NBA

20* Spurs
100* Tor
100* Tor over

NCAAB

20* Prov
100* Kent St

100* "Steam Play" OK City

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

ras under miaoh
ras under minny/INDIANA

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

indiancowboy


Unit Play. Take Under 192.5 between Toronto @ Minnesota (Tuesday @ 8:05pm est).

Yesterday: 1-0-1 (EZ 20 point cover on the Under and although many got a win with Furman at +8.5, I went ahead and counted it as a push as I had +8 in the morning. Let's roll again today:

7 Straight Winning NBA Weeks (11-3 last 14 Selections and 3 in a Row).
10-4 (71%) Last week in Hoops
5-2 (71%) in NBA.
5-2 (71%) in CBB.
+66 Units in January Hoops (64% Overall).
+20 Units in February (64% Overall)

Congrats on yesterday's winning day as we are en route to our 8th straight winning week in the NBA as we are 11-3 over our last 14 Selections. As per today, well, let's ride another Under except this time in Minnesota. We rode the Under as New Orleans visited Memphis yesterday in part because there were several injuries to both teams and the question begged who was going to score to get up to such a high total of 186? Well, the Under covered by about 20 points or more as that scoring load was never picked up as Arthur, Gay, Paul and Chandler did not play. Such is the case with this game as Minnesota will be without the services of one of the best up and coming players in the league who was establishing himself as a superstar in Al Jefferson. Folks, Jefferson can ball. It's a shame that he went out with this season ending injury as Minnesota was beginning to gel very well with the likes of Foye, Gomes, Love and Telfair. I actually think Minny likely wins this game Outright whenever one follows the theory, "bet on a team that just lost its star player". One can even look to as early as the Magic who played the Clippers after losing Nelson in a game which they covered relatively easily. One can look at the game when the Hawks were at Minnesota and manged to cover as well. The question begs, similar to yesterday's game, who is going to pick up the scoring? With no Chris Bosh, the Raptors lineup features Calderon, O'Neal (who blows), Graham, Parker and Bargnani. This lineup put up a ravishing 70 points at Memphis. Note, Toronto is a defensive team that needs to rely on its defense as their offense is questionable at best right now with no Bosh. Consequently, this is the first full game for the Twolves without big Al. Look for both teams to be sluggish on offense and rely on defense as the Twolves likely win this game - but more importantly, look for this total to dip under. The Under is 6-2 between these two teams when they were healthy in the last 8 games and the under is 5-1 between these two teams in Minny.




4 Unit Play. #728. Take Central Michigan +8 over Miami of Ohio (Tuesday @ 7pm est). Although many clients received the win on Furman with the +8.5 line, I went ahead and took a push with the +8 line for our records. In essence, we kissed our sister as we look to duplicate the 5-2 week last week and our 16-8 (66%) run over the last 24 days with our PODs. For starters, I have respect for Miami of Ohio and what they have done this year. This team is a top 75 team, they are a 14 win team thus far, a solid 7-2 in conference play and the schools they have lost to for their 7 losses come against elite schools such as UCLA by 5 on the road, Pittsburgh, Xavier by 7 on the road, West Virginia, Dayton by 5 on the road, Ohio and Buffalo at home. I mention this to say that they are a worthy opponent. But, to catch 8 points in a game where Miami of Ohio only beat this team by 4 points last year at home, with over 66% of the public riding the road chalk, on a total of just 120 is great. What if someone told you that in a game that is expected to score 120 points, they wanted to give you 8 points which is about 6.7% of the points with the home court advantage - would you do it? I would. The question then begs how competitive can Central Michigan be? For starters, this is an evening game, there will be a decent crowd at Central Michigan for this contest, Miami of Ohio typically only scores 63 points per game on average and Central Michigan is the same team that beat top 140 Ohio at home as well as Ball State. Remember, Ohio - they are the same team that Miami of Ohio lost to at home. Central Michigan comes off a tough loss to Bowling Green at home and to their credit only lost by 1 point to Buffalo on the road - remember Buffalo? They are the same team that beat Miami of Ohio on the road as well. Thus, considering the matchups between these two squads in a low scoring game, with home court advantage, off a tough loss, I think Central Michigan will be very competitive here tonight. I do not expect this line to budge and I expect the public to take it up the chin a bit here as once again 2/3rds are riding the road chalk as The Chippewas are 4-1 ATS when playing a team with a winning record meaning they get up for the better teams such as Buffalo and Ohio and will likely get up once again for the Red Hawks at home.

Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

THE BOOOOJ:

25 UNITS PROVIDENCE -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

teddy june

marq/vill under

kentucky

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-10-09

helmut

over loyal chi