Sunday 4/10/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:55 AM

Today’s Free Horse Picks – Sunday, April 10th 2022
By Reggie Garrett

We are covering 7 tracks on Sunday, April 10th, 2022. Reggie Garrett has his picks for each race at Gulfstream Park, Golden Gate Fields, Aqueduct and more. Good luck and enjoy!

Aqueduct – 1:20 ET
Race 1: 2 Catch the Smoke
Race 2: 4 My First Love
Race 3: 1 Exalted Charm
Race 4: 6 Group Hug
Race 5: 6 Starrystarryknight
Race 6: 1 Baltasar
Race 7: 5 Pop the Bubbly
Race 8: 3 Frost Point
Race 9: 1 Whatlovelookslike

Golden Gate Fields – 1:50 PT
Race 1: 1 Traffic Stopper
Race 2: 7 Cajun Bettor
Race 3: 4 Torrey’s Girl
Race 4: 4 Friday’s At Shady
Race 5: 2 Affectionoto Autism
Race 6: 6 Nicole Grace
Race 7: 1 War Games
Race 8: 7 Sadie Bluegrass
Race 9: 8 Jedi Knight

Gulfstream Park – 1:05 ET
Race 1: 8 Emma and I
Race 2: 3 Playa Inclusion
Race 3: 8 Raff’s Venture
Race 4: 1 Inter Miami
Race 5: 2 Built Different
Race 6: 6 Inevitable Me
Race 7: 3 Silvery Rill
Race 8: 4 Rhymes Like Dimes
Race 9: 1 Winning Factor
Race 10: 9 Irish Adventure

Keeneland – 1:00 ET
Race 1: 8 Seachrome
Race 2: 11 Latte Dolce
Race 3: 1 Al Qahira
Race 4: 6 Bagboss
Race 5: 10 Eons
Race 6: 12 Veterans Highway
Race 7: 2 Slipstream
Race 8: 1 Lady Scarlet
Race 9: 7 Calloway Peak

Oaklawn Park – 1:00 CT
Race 1: 1 Ike
Race 2: 7 Remember Normandy
Race 3: 2 Rock Star Parking
Race 4: 3 Penetrator
Race 5: 7 Mo Heat
Race 6: 10 Demuro
Race 7: 1 Secretary At War
Race 8: 7 Tempt Fate
Race 9: 5 J’s Little Man

Santa Anita Park – 1:00 PT
Race 1: 4 La V.
Race 2: 4 Lookin At Sweetie
Race 3: 2 Cotopaxi
Race 4: 7 Princess Alexis
Race 5: 1 Golden Sandals
Race 6: 3 Musica
Race 7: 1 Savvy Gal
Race 8: 6 Restrainedvengence
Race 9: 7 Machtenhaironfire
Race 10: 8 She’s a Bit Sassy

Tampa Bay Downs – 12:15 ET
Race 1: 5 Thawed
Race 2: 7 Ginger Sparkle
Race 3: 1 Procurador
Race 4: 1 Whiskey Plank
Race 5: 5 Monetized
Race 6: 3 Sweet Penelope
Race 7: 8 Great Britain
Race 8: 7 Spanish Delight
Race 9: 8 Golovkin

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:55 AM

Keeneland Picks: Beaumont S. takes center stage on April 10
By J.N. Campbell

Keeneland Picks - Sunday, April 10, 2022

Race 1: 1-7-2-8
Race 2: 8-2-5-9
Race 3: 4-1-8-10
Race 4: 5-2-4-6
Race 5: 7-3-1/1A-10
Race 6: 11-5-4-9
Race 7: 7-2-5-8
Race 8: 2-1-7-6
Race 9: 5-2-7-11
**Most Likely: Highest Honors #7 (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Sweet As Pie #11 (Race 6)**

Most Likely Winner: (Race 5: Highest Honors #7, 4/1):

It has already been an “on fire” weekend for both Chad Brown and Tyler Gaffalione. The pair come together with this 6-yr-old by Tapit, and Bill Farish has a fine-looking turfer on his hands. This one is peaking at the right time, and let’s face it, Brown is set to have a highly-successful April, as he proved on Saturday. I always like Tyler Gaffalione’s attitude and level of patience in the saddle. He finds that spot within the pack, and knows how to reserve enough for that late turn-of-foot. With loads of OC experience under his saddle, the gold chevrons should be headed to the winner’s circle.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #7

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 6: Sweet as Pie #11, 6/1):

Here is a well-rested filly for Todd Pletcher that should be ready to fire off-the-shelf. Pletcher is good that way … it is what he does … Getting Luis Saez aboard sounds like a plan to me, especially since he was the pilot when this Tapit filly broke her maiden on debut. I am not sure if the 1st time Lasix will help, but what I am hopeful about is that she will be around 6/1 come post time.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #11 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 8: Dirt, 7F, Beaumont S. (G3), $400k, 3F):

The fillies were on display in the G1 Ashland Stakes on Friday, and now a different group returns to the MT at Keeneland for this shortened affair. This Grade 3 pits 7 runners against one another as they contest the 1-turn distance. As far as a race time favorite, I am sure Brad Cox’s entry will be considered … seriously. Matareya #7 was awfully sharp in late February at Cox’s southern base in New Orleans. She took over the lead in an ALLW Co. contest, and ran off with the prize. It was a 5+ length score, and I am guessing that her expert conditioner will have her primed to take the step-up in class. Flavien Prat teamed with Cox starting on Friday, and they make a formidable pair. In case this on-the-engine-type cannot get the job done, then you could toss your support behind Mike Maker’s Lady Scarlet #1. Owned partly by Paradise Farms, this daughter of Union Rags that was claimed from Cox rattled off 2 wins in succession. She was stellar at Oaklawn Park in a tough OC80kn1x in late February (18/1), and then Maker shipped her to Aqueduct, and she promptly won the Cicada S. $100k against a good field of NY-based horses. Coming to Maker’s hometown, the filly gets Jose Ortiz in the irons. I would not be surprised one bit if this one scores at Keeneland. When it comes to a top selection, I am particularly keen on Shug McGaughey’s own NYRA runner … by Gun Runner, a 3-yr-old named Radio Days #2. She is cutting back a touch after ending up 4th in the Busher Invitational at Aqueduct in early March. She ran poorly because she did not have any pace to run into … That could change significantly here, if the speed sets some stiff fractions. There is a chance that Wesley Ward’s Chi Town Lady #6 might shift tactics with John Velazquez aboard, and use her gate ability to try and steal this thing. If that happens, then Joel Rosario (aboard Shug’s entry) needs to be ready to pounce. What a race this is going to be on Sunday! Let’s go racing …

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Wheel, 2 w 1/6/7 w 1/6/7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:55 AM

Aqueduct Picks: Top Flight Invitational tees up on April 10
By J.N. Campbell

Aqueduct Picks - Saturday, April 10, 2022

Race 1: 3-1/1A-5-2
Race 2: 8-2-3-7
Race 3: 4-6-1-5
Race 4: 1-4-6-2
Race 5: 6-2-4-5
Race 6: 3-6-8-1
Race 7: 4-2-7-6
Race 8: 4-3-2-5
Race 9: 2-1-6-9
**Most Likely: Full Moon Fever #1 (Race 4)**
**Best Value: Menily #2 (Race 9)**

Most Likely Winner: (Race 4: Full Moon Fever #1, 9/2):

To say that this gelding by Effinex was involved in a “troubled trip” last time out, would be an understatement. He was jostled around so much, it looked like a Pachinko machine in a parlor in Queens. Mark Hennig used this time to assess the situation, and I am sure he understood that this runner needed another chance. With the expert riding ability of Dylan Davis, he should have a much better chance, if he can exit the gate without incident …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #1

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 9: Menily #2, 12/1):

If you are after a price play on this Sunday Aqueduct card, then do not miss Ray Handal’s second-out runner by Malibu Moon. She is well-meant, and I like the idea of putting her on the turf for the 1st time. She will be stretching out to 2-turns, but I know first-hand that her workout on 26 March went well. After seeing Handal’s workout regime, he really does things properly. What a price this one is going to be … If rider Jalon Samuel can get her to settle early, then she has a great chance of getting to the winner’s circle at a significant price. In Handal … we trust …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #2 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 8: Dirt, 1 1/8th, Top Flight Invitational S., $100k, F&M 4+):

To say this race is “interesting” doesn’t quite pass muster … it is downright salty, and should be a superb betting race. Maybe one of the best of the weekend at Aqueduct … I am pretty interested in the Falcone Barn’s Maiden Beauty #2. This mare by Revolutionary has 36 starts to her credit, and over $643k in earnings. She still has zip in her fastball, and I would not count out Kendrick Carmouche, who is her regular pilot. If she gets loose on the lead, then she can be pretty destructive. This 6-yr-old likes to control the fractions, and she has the class to back up any argument. An antidote to her frontend power is the Godolphin homebred right next door. Bill Mott’s Frost Point #3 is well-bred, and she has some late gears. Her HOF trainer has brought her along steadily, and she will be dipping her hooves in the “Non-G” pool for the 1st time. The “Boys in Blue” make excellent choices when it comes to investments in breeding, and we will see how Manny Franco handles her for the 1st time. Another entry that will take money is Rob Atras’ Battle Bling #5. Since the Vancouver (AUS) filly was claimed from Danny Gargan, she has really accelerated her game in a pair of tough “Non-G” races. The able-bodied Trevor McCarthy gets the call once again, and he can be a bulldog when it counts. As far as a top selection, I am most intrigued by the tactical power of Jonathan Thomas’ Into Vanishing #4. To my eye, this filly by Into Mischief says “win bet.” She can rate, ran nicely in the Royal Delta (G3) at Gulfstream Park against Letruska, and has an attempt on this surface at “The Big A.” Eric Cancel has his best chance to visit the winner’s circle with this one … probably my “best bet” on the Sunday card. Here is the play …

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Wheel, 4 w 2/3/5 w 2/3/5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:56 AM

Daily Racing Tips – Terang – April 10th

Home - Expert Tips - Harry White - Daily Racing Tips – Terang – April 10th

Harry White

RSN Expert Form Analyst Harry White has the best Daily Racing Tips for the Terang Cup day meeting at Terang & District Racing Club on Sunday 10th of April for the RSN Punter.

Along with our Daily Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus Interstate Racing Tips, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: True Entire Circuit
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Fine
Penetrometer: 5.35
Harry White Terang Tips

Terang, 10th April 2022

Race 1 Selections: 5,10,2,4
Race 2 Selections: 12,8,9,5
Race 3 Selections: 14,11,7,12
Race 4 Selections: 11,9,8,6
Race 5 Selections: 9,6,1,13
Race 6 Selections: 11,5,1,3
Race 7 Selections: 4,8,6,1 (Cup)
Race 8 Selections: 1,12,2,4
Best Bet

Race 6 – 11. Stripped Back
Best Value

Race 2 – 12. Ready Set Tap
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 1,6,8,9,13
Quaddie 2: 5,11
Quaddie 3: 1,3,4,6,8
Quaddie 4: 1,2,4,5,6,12
Play Of The Day

Running Double – Race 3 – #11,14 / Race 4 – #9,11

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:56 AM

Today's Horse Racing Tips: Sunday April 10th
Stephen Harris
bettingexpert Racing editor

Today’s Racing Tips – April 10th

There are 3 meetings in Britain and Ireland on Sunday, with the highlight very much a cracking flat card at the Curragh. The Group 3’s at 3.05 and 3.40 are sure to attract entries from all the big Irish stables, and there should be plenty of clues for the long summer ahead. Jumps fans have low key cards at Stratford and Wincanton to study, and both will bye hoping for the forecast rain to have eased conditions through the week.
Today’s Daily Nap

Carolines Charm

Wincanton 2:05pm

Neil Mulholland has his team in blistering form this spring, with 3 winners in the last 14 days, and this fair handicap chaser is fancied to get back on track now the ground has dried out. He comes here fresh after 157 days off the track, and a return to hurdling in a very weak looking novice hurdle can work the oracle under Adam Wedge.

Odds: 4.00
Today’s Value Angle

River Bray

Wincanton 1:30pm

Wincanton and decent ground are the optimum conditions for Victor Dartnall’s 9-y-o, and he returned to his best form when winning here 20 days ago. This 1f longer trip should be no issue, and another positive ride from the front should make him hard to pass up the straight.

Odds: 5.50

Odds are best odds available as at 1am April 10th 2022. Odds may now differ.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:56 AM

Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday, April 10
Posted on April 9, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 4: FULL MOON FEVER (#1)

Rudy Rodriguez holds a strong hand in this starter allowance affair, sending out a pair of contenders. #4 Perceived could go off as the favorite after running a strong second at this level last time in his first start off the claim for Rudy. He got a pretty good trip that day and was just second best to the improved Rocco Strong, finishing ahead of today’s rival Group Hug. This horse owns plenty of prior speed figures that make him formidable against this group, but he’s going to be a much shorter price than the 9-1 he was last time. Rudy’s other horse #2 Midaswellrun is more interesting to me. He’s stepping way up in class after defeating $30k maiden claimers last time. However, I liked the way he took control of that race in the late stages, opening up on the field across the wire. He was flattered when the horse who defeated him two starts back, Rock Sugar, returned to win here impressively earlier in the week. I have him as a major player, but there are others to consider. Some may take a liking to #5 Purple Hearted off his blowout win last time, but he was riding a gold rail that day. The aforementioned #6 Group Hug is always a contender in races such as this, but he often settles for minor awards. I actually prefer a runner who finished behind Group Hug last time. #1 Full Moon Fever showed improvement off the claim for Mark Hennig two back, dominating a claiming affair in the slop. It appears that he regressed last time out when moved up to this level, but he had some subtle trouble in that spot. He attained forward position coming out of the chute, but got steadied between horses about two furlongs into the race, losing position down the backstretch. He never stopped trying after that, but the pace was very slow and the leaders failed to back up. I expect him to get a more aggressive ride from the inside post position this time and believe he’s a candidate to rebound at a square price.

RACE 6: RHUMJAR (#4)

There are many ways to go in this highly competitive maiden claiming affair. #3 Inspiration Point and #1 Baltasar appear to have the strongest credentials after checking in second and third behind a well meant first time starter at this level last time. Inspiration Point made a nice middle move to reach contention that day, but hung in the late stages. Baltasar probably ran the better race, considering that he got rank in the early stages and was forced to steady a couple of times leaving the backstretch. He actually did well to get back into contention after that, but had little left for the final furlong. They’re both contenders, but seem fairly obvious in a race that features a few intriguing 3-year-olds. There are a trio of first time starters, all of whom have some pedigree. I’m most afraid of the Todd Pletcher-trained #6 Wegottaguy, a son of Mohaymen who appears to be training decently for his debut. However, this isn’t a particularly weak race for the level so a firster really needs to show up to win. I want to go in a different direction with the more experienced 3-year-old #4 Rhumjar. This gelding returns to the Tim Hills barn after making one start for Bruce Brown last time. It appears that he put in a poor effort that day, but he may have been somewhat compromised by racing on the rail. The inside path might not have been the place to be on March 20, and he was down inside every step of the way. His form prior to that is a little spotty, but he did earn a competitive speed figure in the slop in late December. I think this horse has more to offer and he figures to be a square price even as he drops in for a tag for the first time in his career.

RACE 8: FROST POINT (#3)

It’s a little hard to build a case for longshot #1 Exotic West in this Top Flight, but the other 5 entrants are all solid contenders in this wide open affair. #5 Battle Bling is probably the horse to beat after just missing to the talented Bank Sting in the Heavenly Prize last time. She made a strong late charge at that rival but was somewhat compromised by the slow early pace. She’s probably better going slightly farther than that, which she displayed two back when she overcame a track bias to win the Ladies. I view her as the horse to beat but she’s probably going to be favored this time now that her improved form for Rob Atras is totally exposed. She defeated #2 Maiden Beauty in that last start despite that rival having a significant pace advantage. Maiden Beauty owns a set of competitive speed figures, but she benefited from a track bias when she won two back and may find these waters a little too deep. An intriguing new face is #4 Into Vanishing, who exits a second-place finish behind the champion Letruska in the Grade 3 Royal Delta last time out. While she earned a career-best speed figure that day, she was no match for the heavy favorite, just staying on to best the rest. That said, it was her first start back on dirt in a long time and she may have woken up returning to her preferred surface. My top pick is #3 Frost Point. This filly gets a major class test as she tries stakes company for the first time, but I like the way she’s been progressing for Bill Mott. She ran a couple of nice races in Kentucky last year before a brief freshening. She was a visually impressive winner at Laurel two back before trying tougher at this venue last time. I thought she was clearly best that day, but she just didn’t get an ideal trip, buried inside and behind horses for much of her journey. She had to alter course a couple of times in upper stretch before finally finding room when it was too late. She strikes me as one that should have no trouble with the 1 1/8 miles and she could fly under the radar given her lack of flashy speed figures.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:56 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Keeneland, Oaklawn Park, and Aqueduct for April 10, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

This massive week of racing comes to a close with the final day of the week today! For the free pick 4, we will head to Keeneland once again. We will also have full card selections for Oaklawn Park and Aqueduct for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s go!

Below is our free Late Pick 4 for Keeneland:

Keeneland April 10, 2022

Race 6: Allowance

#4 Bombdiggity looks to make it two in a row in this spot after romping at Fair Grounds last time out. #5 Arrobatic was an impressive debut winner last time out and should move forward off of that effort. Both of these horses could have a bright future.

Race 7: Palisades Stakes
freestar

#7 Twilight Gleaming is back for her 3-year-old debut after taking home the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint last year at Del Mar. She should roll in this race if she is ready to fire. #2 Slipstream cuts back in distance for this race, which should make her tough to beat.

Race 8: Beaumont Stakes (G3)

#2 Radio Days cuts back to 7 furlongs for this race, which is where she is at her best. #1 Lady Scarlet will look to make it three in a row in this spot after two impressive victories against pretty solid horses at Oaklawn Park and Aqueduct.

Race 9: Maiden Special Weight

#11 Ridleys Major has been close in two starts for Chad Brown, showing improvement last time out. He fits in well with this group. #3 Trending has also been close to winning since moving to the turf and should like the distance of todays race.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-9) 4,5,6,9,11,12 / 7 / 1,2,7 / 3,11 – $18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:57 AM

Aqueduct Picks - Sunday, April 10, 2022

Race 1: 3-1/1A-5-2
Race 2: 8-2-3-7
Race 3: 4-6-1-5
Race 4: 1-4-6-2
Race 5: 6-2-4-5
Race 6: 3-6-8-1
Race 7: 4-2-7-6
Race 8: 4-3-2-5
Race 9: 2-1-6-9
**Most Likely: Full Moon Fever #1 (Race 4)**
**Best Value: Menily #2 (Race 9)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:57 AM

Keeneland Picks - Sunday, April 10, 2022

Race 1: 1-7-2-8
Race 2: 8-2-5-9
Race 3: 4-1-8-10
Race 4: 5-2-4-6
Race 5: 7-3-1/1A-10
Race 6: 11-5-4-9
Race 7: 7-2-5-8
Race 8: 2-1-7-6
Race 9: 5-2-7-11
**Most Likely: Highest Honors #7 (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Sweet As Pie #11 (Race 6)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:57 AM

Oaklawn Park Picks - Sunday, April 10, 2022

Race 1: 7-5-2-3
Race 2: 6-8-3-7
Race 3: 3-1-5-4
Race 4: 2-3-1-5
Race 5: 4-7-2-3
Race 6: 3-10-8-4
Race 7: 6-7-3-8
Race 8: 7-4-3-5
Race 9: 6-2-8-3
**Most Likely: Stock Deal #7 (Race 8)**
**Best Value: Practical Man #6 (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:57 AM

Laurel Park Picks - Sunday, April 10, 2022

Race 1: 5-3-1-6
Race 2: 5-2-1-4
Race 3: 3-1-7-6
Race 4: 5-3-6-1
Race 5: 8-7-2-1
Race 6: 7-3-1-4
Race 7: 2-5-6-1
Race 8: 5-6-2-1
Race 9: 6-5-2-1
**Most Likely Winner: Vodkatini #3 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Bombardier #6 (Race 9)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:58 AM

Al Cimaglia: Rosecroft Raceway Pick 4 Analysis

April 10, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

The 13-race card at Rosecroft Raceway kicks off with the feature, a Maryland Preferred Open Handicap with a $12,500 purse. The 0.50 Pick 4 starts in Race 9, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

2-My Name Is Hairy (3-1)-The 0-9 record this year is cause for pause but now drops to a competitive level. Has been plagued by poor post draws and has the gate speed to make the most of this opportunity.
5-Danceathon (7/2)-This will be the 2nd start of 2022 and the 1st race at RcR this season. It looks like a nice spot for a debut. Hasn't missed the board in 3 RcR starts and should be a player.
7-Boot Leg (9/2)-Has been hurt by tough trips and recent form hasn't been good enough. Looking for a Roberts to work a smooth journey and a better finish to the mile at a solid price.

Race 10

3-Shim (3-1)-Has been trying hard and starting from post 3 instead of post 7 could make a significant difference. Foster can blast out and not look back.
5-Maurice (7/2)-Steps-up and will need its best versus this group but has the gate speed to land in the pocket behind #3. Appears to have a tactical advantage over most of these and it's best to not overlook.

Race 11

6-Jack Quick (3-1)-Drops to the level of the last win on 3-20 and this post draw should suit. Foster could find some live cover and roll by down the lane.

Race 12

2-Twin B Fighter (5/2)-Made its RcR debut last week and had a game effort off a tough trip. Will be difficult to beat if dials it up a notch after a sharp try in an acclimating mile and did miss a start.
6-Transparency (9/2)-Drops out of the Open class after 2 very good races versus this kind. Wagner should be leaving hard and could get a close-up seat. This 4-year-old has won 10 of 28 here and might be overlooked at the windows.

0.50 Pick 4

2,5,7/3,5/6/2,6
Total Bet=$6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:58 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary

April 10, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 5-Stoic Luna; 4-La V., 2-Ready Jet Go

Forecast: The Sunday opener is a challenging five furlong turf sprint for restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming fillies and mares. Stoic Luna (TOC=9/2; ML=5-1 shows the route-sprint-angle combined with a class drop and earned a speed figure two races back when breaking her maiden that is good enough to win at this level. As for the grass, who knows? Her pedigree suggests she should be okay with it. La V. (TOC=4-1; ML=4-1) has been stopped and started on a few times, so she clearly has her problems, but the L. Powell-trained filly has enough speed to be effective at this five furlong trip and numbers that make her a fit. However, she’s another with unproven form on turf. Ready Jet Go (TOC=5-1; ML=7/2) is a perfect one-for-one over the Santa Anita turf course and returns to her claim level after having a tightener in a mixed-breed allowance race at Los Alamitos last month. With a forward move today, she should be right there. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with very slight edge on top to Stoic Luna.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 2-Roman Empress; 4-Lookin At Sweetie

Forecast: Lookin At Sweetieis listed as the 6/5 morning line favorite after crossing the wire first in a maiden $20,000 sprint earlier this meeting but then losing the purse due to a bad test (she was also a voided claim in that race). If she can turn in two alike, she can win, and this raise to the $40,000 is a sign of confidence, but at the price she sure seems like an underlay. Roman Empress is a much more attractive gamble, especially at 8-1 on the morning line. The daughter of Empire Way stretches for the first time, has sprint numbers that fit, and has a pedigree that suggests she should improve around two turns. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with ‘Empress getting the nod on top due to price considerations.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:06 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 3-Kandarel; 5-Indian Peak

Forecast: Kandarel (TOC=3-1; ML=3-1 has been away since last summer but he is a prototype late-running turf sprinter with a perfect two-for-two record over the local lawn and with workouts that indicate he’s fit and ready. A winner of this very same Siren Lure Stakes last year, the son of Candy Ride should have enough pace up front to compliment his style, and with regular pilot J. Hernandez taking the call the R. Mandella-trained gelding is sure to receive the patient ride he requires. Indian Peak (TOC=7/5; ML=2-1), second in a pair of graded stakes races down the Hill, switches to the flat course today and will be heard from in the final furlong. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with the main punch reserved for Kandarel.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:36 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference: 3-Unwritten Code; 7-Princess Alexis

Forecast: Unwritten Code (TOC=2-1; ML=3-1) stumbled badly and lost her position when far back in a fast turf sprint last month but deserves another chance in a similar starter’s allowance sprint on dirt. The daughter of Desert Code earned a pretty decent number when graduating over this track and distance two runs back, and a repeat of that effort today makes her the one to beat. Princess Alexis (TOC=5/2; ML=4-1) scored at first asking in mid-February, returns protected, is comfortably drawn outside and shows a steady series of recent workouts to have her plenty fit. She’ll need to step it up in the speed figure department but could easily do so. We’ll give Unwritten Code a slight edge on top but include both in rolling exotic play.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:08 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 4-Lansdowne; 4-Trainer Please

Forecast: Lansdowne (TOC=6-1; ML=9/5) was well-meant in his U.S. debut last summer over this course and distance but settled for second in a solid effort. However, he went to the sidelines and missed the remainder of the year. A recent series of steady workouts should have him fit enough, so if the P. D’Amato-trained gelding returns as well as he left he should be able to handle this moderate band of older maiden turf sprinters. Trainer Please (TOC=8/5; ML=5/2) has finished in the money in five of six career starts but has proven to be vulnerable under pressure in the final stages of his races. The D. O’Neill-trained gelding has solid speed figures and enough early speed to establish the pace, so he should win one of these eventually, perhaps today. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with a slight edge on top to Lansdowne.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: X
Use (in order of preference): 7-Ganadora; 3-Musica

Forecast: Ganadora won like a future star in her debut when trained by B. Baffert, strolling home by more than six lengths in powerful fashion while earning a stakes-quality speed figure. Now in the S. McCarthy barn, the daughter of Quality Road once again lands the cozy outside post, which gives her the option to pop and go, or stalk and pounce. She’s listed at 6/5 on the morning line but we suspect will go lower. Also worth including on your ticket, at least as a back-up, is Musica, a hot maiden winner in her second start after finishing a sharp runner-up to next-out winner Ironic Twist in her debut. Based strictly on speed figures, she’s reasonably competitive with the favorite, though Ganadora’s upside may be unlimited.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference) 6-Miss Louna; 1-Savvy Gal; 5-Bristol Bayou

Forecast: Miss Louna (TOC=6-1; ML=4-1) makes her U.S. debut in a starter’s allowance turf sprint after competing for a mid-level tag last year in France. She subsequently improved enough to win a black-type race at Longchamp last fall, so she should be able to outclass this field. The works look good and the barn generally does well with European imports. Savvy Gal (TOC=5/2; ML=4-1); and Bristol Bayou (TOC=7/2; ML=4-1), one-two finishers in a similar starter’s allowance grass affair last month, both should fire good shots right back and are the ones to fear most. The former is a three-time winner over the local lawn and will be running on strongly late, while the latter, although racing in good form, is winless in 10 career outings on turf. All three should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Miss Louna.

Notable Workouts:

Miss Louna (March 23, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.3h TT). Grade: B
Solo half mile training track breeze for L. Powell, never asked, splits of :24.4 and :48.3, easy early and strong late. Was a listed stakes winner at Longchamp last fall and should be quite competitive in decent comeback on this circuit. Seems fairly fit and can be tough sprinting or up to a mile.
View Workout Video

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RACE 8: Post: 4:40 PT Grade: B+
Use: 2-Triple Tap; 4-Royal Ship

Forecast: Royal Ship (TOC=2-1; ML=5/2), rested since last summer, returns in a listed main track mile stakes that his connections hope will produce a confidence-building win to kick off his 2022 campaign. Successful in the Californian S.-G2 here almost a year ago, the Brazilian-bred gelding subsequently missed in a photo in the Hollywood Gold Cup-G1 to Country Grammer, who won the Dubai World Cup-G1 a couple of weeks ago. If the R. Mandella-trained son of Midshipman is anywhere near fit he will be tough to beat, but it must be noted that he does have a history of racing himself into shape, so we’re concerned that he might not be 100 percent cranked up. Triple Tap (TOC=5-1; ML=3-1) had no visible excuse at 20 cents on the dollar when third in a recent second-level allowance sprint but he’s returned to work very impressively with blinkers on, and we suspect the addition of the hood may make a world difference to the son of Tapit. American Pharoah’s half-brother is stretching out for the first time and he should love the added distance. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference – at 3-1 on the morning line – to Triple Tap.

Notable Workouts:

Triple Tap (March 31, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:11.3h). Grade: A
In blinkers, in company with Defunded (6f, 1:14.4h) and left that one far behind while being ridden mildly through the lane, extra sharp drill, final quarter mile in an eye-catching :23.2. The hood may have really woken this colt up. Ready for a career top effort, it would appear.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:12 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 7-Machtenhaironfire; 6-Boisterously Irish

Forecast: Boisterously Irish finished an okay second in her debut last month and a similar effort probably will be good enough to handle this bottom-rung maiden claiming sprint field of older fillies and mares. However, she is going to be short price and was lugging out late, so we’re not quite sure what we are going to see today. Machtenhaironfire, a weakening fourth in the same race after cutting out the fractions from the rail, may have as much if not more improvement in her and will be a better price at 4-1 on the morning line. It’s hard to ignore anything V. Cerin sends out these days. Both should be used in rolling exotic play in a race that you should treat with caution.

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RACE 10: Post: 5:44 PT Grade: X
Single: 1-Barrister’s Ride

Forecast: Barrister’s Ride should have been unsaddled when second in a similar state-bred turf event last month. Severe traffic at a critical stage entering the lane cost her valuable momentum but once clear she finished eagerly, only to run out of room. The whole world saw the trouble, so she’s listed at 6/5 on the morning line and may even go lower than that. She lands the rail and retains R. Gonzales, so with any kind of good racing luck she should be along in plenty of time as a logical, short-priced rolling exotic single.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-10-2022, 10:58 AM

Brian W. Spencer Daily Picks

Oaklawn - Race #2
Picks Notes
#7 Remember Normandy Slight class dropper really moved up off the claim last time when a adding Lasix and finishing a distant 4th in a very fast race for the level and today meets a much easier crew.
#5 La Flecha Dicey ML favorite will like the drop from the 30-50k ranks but it's not like he did any running in his last three, as he looks to be going the other way since the claim.
#8 Nugget of Grace Logical sort seems stuck in place a bit, as he really hasn't been able to move forward and now rises in class too, which isn't likely to help him breakthrough.
Race Summary Remember Normandy seems to be on the improve and makes his second start for Contreras, while La Flecha and Nugget of Grace have little to no upside to them, yet the former figures to be a square price, especially if the 2-1 ML on the chalk holds. -- Brian W. Spencer

Oaklawn - Race #4
Picks Notes
#5 Jerry's Eighty Stalker has won two straight while rising up the class ladder and now tackles his toughest test to date, though he gets a huge edge by catching a field loaded with early speed to set him up.
#1 Charco The inside speed and horse to beat just-missed against lesser last time and will need to be caught, but the rail offers no bargain, he'll be overbet, and there's plenty of speed to his outside as well.
#6 Cairama Tricky read tried the Triple Crown Trail to no avail and now cuts way back, though he might find this speedy group way too sharp, which means he could be left with too much to do off the far turn.
Race Summary Jerry's Eighty hasn't blinked yet, so there's no reason to think he can't handle this assignment either, especially with all the speed signed on that will allow him to trip out beautifully. -- Brian W. Spencer

Oaklawn - Race #8
Picks Notes
#2 Promising Shoes Class riser has won two straight at Hou off the claim and now runs in a spot where he's not for a sale, which is a confident move, not to mention the race flow will suit his staling style too.
#1 K J's Nobility Stretchout sprinter shows a 3-0-2-1 record at this trip, and this rail post is ideal too, as he can save all the group and attempt a late run in a race that looks like with sketchy speed.
#4 Man in the Can The obvious horse to beat ran off the screen when setting a solid but uncontested pace, which looks nothing like what he'll encounter today, with sprint speed to his outside.
Race Summary Pace makes the race and there's plenty of it here, and it comes from those very tough to trust at two turns, which will play right into the hands of Promising Shoes, since he's proven routing and will love all the heat that he should get up front. -- Brian W. Spencer