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MLB, 04/12 4:15 PM Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds
PICK: Under 8 for 2 Units
If you are going to tail, I recommend doing it soon because this total has dropped to 8 at many books. Cincinnati is a great hitters' park but the wind is blowing in a bit today and that game time should have some affect on batters in terms of shadows around home plate. Yes, the Guardians have been raking the past two days -- Steven Kwan!?!? -- in Kansas City but Reds starter Tyler Mahle was good in his season debut and is countered by former Cy Young winner Shane Bieber of the Guards (that's my shortened nickname for them), and he should largely shut down Cincinnati.
MLB, 04/12 4:15 PM Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox
PICK: Chicago White Sox -118 for 2 Units
This line has been dropping so Ill happily take the White Sox now at this value. Matt Brash hasn’t pitched above double A and he has only played in the minor leagues for two seasons. He did pitch well in Spring Training which is why I think the public money is coming in on the Mariners, but the real thing is a completely different story. This will be the White Sox home opener and they should have their full lineup in. Vince Velasquez has struggled his past couple seasons but I don’t think he will pitch more than 3 innings today. The White Sox had yesterday off so they have all their bullpen arms available. Mariners also have a very good bullpen, and they should have their top arms available as well. However, the White Sox have a big lineup advantage, and they were very good at home last season at 53-28. Take the White Sox in their home opener.
MLB, 04/12 7:45 PM Los Angeles Dodgers vs Minnesota Twins
PICK: Los Angeles Dodgers -128 for 2 Units
Honestly, I am not really sure why the Dodgers are so cheap here. Heaney struggled in Spring Training, but once again, players don’t care about results in Spring Training. Andrew Heaney isn’t one of their top guys, but he is more than capable of pitching a gem at any point, and the Twins struggled against lefties last season ranked just 22nd in the league in wOBA. Heaney also faced the Twins once last season pitching a 7-inning gem, only allowing 2 ER. Chris Archer is starting for the Twins today and I am surprised he is still in the league. The Twins also used their top bullpen arms in their last two games, both wins. The Dodgers lost 2 of 3 games at Colorado but the Rockies were one of the best home teams in the league last season. The Dodgers had yesterday off so they should be ready and rested, take the Dodgers on the road.
MLB, 04/12 9:50 PM San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants
PICK: San Francisco Giants -103 for 2 Units
Alex Cobb will be making his Giants debut after coming off one of his best seasons in a while. These Padres hitters didn’t face him last season and I think that gives the pitcher an advantage. The Giants were just 11-8 against the Padres last season and 6-4 at home, which is why I laid off the Giants at -150 last night. However, this price is much more affordable facing a Padres team that used its top relievers last night. Yu Darvish pitched extremely well in his Opening Day start against the Diamondbacks, but he seriously struggled away from home last season. He was just 2-7 with a 5.54 ERA on the road. Darvish pitched well in his two home starts against the Giants last year but he was hit hard in his only start in San Francisco. The Giants were one of the best home teams in the league last season, take the Giants at home.
NHL, 04/12 7:10 PM Carolina Hurricanes vs NY Rangers
PICK: Carolina Hurricanes -119 for 2 Units
The Hurricanes are ranked No. 2 in shots allowed and fourth in faceoff winning percentage, while the Rangers are 15th and 25th, respectively. Carolina owns a plus-380 shot differential, while New York is minus-156 this season. The Rangers posted a 2-0 road victory against the Hurricanes on March 20 despite being outshot 44-18. But New York has a revenge game at Philadelphia coming up on Wednesday, so take Carolina in this spot.
NHL, 04/12 8:10 PM San Jose Sharks vs Nashville Predators
PICK: Nashville Predators -195 for 2 Units
he Sharks are playing out the string and Nashville absolutely can't afford to lose a game like this at home as it chases a playoff spot. I was waiting to make sure that Preds No. 1 goaltender Juuse Saros was cleared to start and he has been. Saros is 22-11 at home with a 2.15 GAA and 2-0 this year vs. San Jose, which has lost six straight games overall and has five road wins in its past 20.
NHL, 04/12 9:40 PM Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars
PICK: Tampa Bay Lightning -155 for 2 Units
The Stars are very good at home but for some reason are starting mega-shaky Scott Wedgewood in net again instead of Jake Oettinger. In addition, winger Alex Radulov (21 points) has been ruled out with an illness. This is more about fading Wedgewood, though, against Andrei Vasilevskiy even though Andrei has lost his past three. Time to get right ahead of the postseason, and he has had a few days off. It's a third game in four nights for Dallas.
MLB
7:05 PM EST: Blue Jays/Yankees Over 9.5 runs.Kikuchi/Corte.The Blue Jays are a hot-hitting team that will lead the league in runs. The current Yankees roster can hit the cheap home runs to rightfield. Both teams will start left-handed pitchers with high career ERA that should give up a lot of runs. Look for fireworks tonight. Take the Over.
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