Wednesday 4/13/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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National League
Nationals (2-4) @ Braves (3-3)
— Gray allowed four runs in 4 IP (80 PT) in his ’22 debut.
— He is 0-1, 3.27 in two starts vs Atlanta.
— Nationals lost four of their first six games.
— Under is 3-3 in their games this month.

— Fried allowed five runs in 5.2 IP in his first ’22 start (84 PT)
— He is 4-3, 4.53 in 12 games (11 starts) vs Washington
— Braves split their first six games, giving up 6+ runs four times.
— Over was 4-1-1 in those games.

Cubs (3-1) @ Pirates (1-3)
— Hendricks allowed a run in 5.1 IP in his first ’22 start.
— He is 4-4, 3.18 in 13 starts at Pittsburgh.
— Cubs won three of their first four games.
— Over was 2-1-1 in those games.

— Thompson was 3-7, 3.24 in 26 games (14 starts) for Miami LY.
— He is 0-1, 0.90 in two starts vs Chicago.
— Pirates lost three of their first four games.
— Over was 3-0-1 in those games.

Mets (4-2) @ Phillies (3-2)
— Scherzer allowed three runs in 6 IP (80 PT) in his Mets’ debut.
— Scherzer is 8-1, 2.23 in 12 starts at Philadelphia.
— Mets won four of their first six games.
— Under is 4-1-1 in New York games.

— Nola allowed four runs in six IP (76 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 9-3, 3.12 in 20 starts against the Mets.
— Phillies won three of their first five games.
— Under was 3-1-1 in those games.

Padres (4-2) @ Giants (3-2)
— Manaea didn’t allow a hit in seven IP (88 PT) in his first start, at Arizona.
— He is 2-2, 2.68 in seven starts against the Giants.
— San Diego won four of its last five games.
— Under is 4-2 in their games this month.

— Webb allowed a run in 6 IP (85 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 1-1, 4.33 in six games (5 starts) vs San Diego.
— Giants won three of their first five games.
— Under was 3-2 in those games.

American League
Red Sox (2-3) @ Tigers (2-3)
— Eovaldi allowed three runs in 5 IP (76 PT) first ’22 start.
— He is 2-0, 3.86 in four starts vs Detroit.
— Red Sox lost three of their first five games.
— Boston’s last four games stayed under the total.

— Rodriguez allowed three runs in 4 IP (83 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He pitched for the Red Sox for last seven years, making 154 starts.
— Detroit lost three of their last four games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

A’s (2-3) @ Rays (4-1)
— Montas allowed 5 runs in five IP (92 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 1-1, 2.66 in four games (3 starts) vs Tampa Bay
— A’s lost three of their first five games.
— Over is 3-2 in their first five games.

— McClanahan threw 4.1 scoreless IP (68 PT) in his first ’22 start
— He is 0-0, 5.63 in two starts vs Oakland.
— Tampa Bay won four of its first five games.
— Over is 3-2 in their games this season.

Blue Jays (3-2) @ Bronx (3-2)
— Berrios gave up 4 runs in 0.1 IP (34 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 2-2, 4.73 in five starts vs New York.
— Toronto won three of its first five games.
— Under was 3-2 in those games.

— Cole allowed 3 runs in four IP (68 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 5-1, 3.33 in nine starts vs Toronto.
— New York won three of its first five games.
— Last four New York games stayed under the total.

Mariners (2-3) @ White Sox (3-1)
— Ray allowed one run in 7 IP (96 PT) in his ’22 debut.
— He is 0-0, 1.35 in two starts vs Chicago.
— Seattle lost three of first five games.
— Under was 4-1 in those games.

— Keuchel was 5-2, 4.80 in 16 home games (14 starts) LY.
— He is 2-0, 1.29 in three starts vs Seattle.
— White Sox won last three games, scoring 18 runs.
— Under is 2-2 in their games this month.

Interleague
Guardians (3-2) @ Reds (2-3)
— McKenzie was 5-9, 4.95 in 24 starts LY.
— He gave up two runs in 3 IP (47 PT) in relief Thursday.
— He gave up a run in five IP, in one start vs Cincinnati
— Cleveland won its last three games, scoring 37 runs.
— Over is 3-2 in Cleveland games.

— Lodolo is making his MLB debut here.
— He was 0-1, 5.40 in three AAA starts LY.
— Reds lost three of their first five games.
— Over was 3-1-1 in those games.

Dodgers (2-2) @ Twins (2-3)
— Kershaw was 5-5, 4.06 in 11 starts on road LY.
— He has never pitched against Minnesota.
— Dodgers split their first four games.
— Under was 2-1-1 in those games.

— Paddack is making his Minnesota debut here.
— He is 20-19, 4.21 in 60 career starts.
— He is 1-3, 7.07 in six starts against the Dodgers.
— Twins lost three of first five games.
— Under is 3-1-1 in their first five games.

Royals (2-3) @ Cardinals (3-1)
— Greinke allowed a run in 5.2 IP (84 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 13-6, 3.58 in 21 games (19 starts) vs St Louis.
— Royals lost last three games, giving up 32 runs.
— Last three games went over the total.

— Wainwright threw 6 shutout IP (81 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 6-3, 3.90 in 15 games (12 starts) vs KC.
— Cardinals scored 25 runs in their 3-1 start.
— Over was 3-0-1 in those games.

Astros (4-1) @ Diamondbacks (1-4)
— Valdez threw 6.2 scoreless IP (84 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.
— Astros won four of their first five games.
— Under was 4-1 in those games.

— Kelly threw 4 scoreless IP (75 PT) in his ’22 debut.
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston
— Arizona lost last four games, outscored 20-8.
— Under is 4-1 in their games this season.

Brewers (2-3) @ Orioles (1-4)
— Burnes allowed 3 runs in five IP (83 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He was 7-1, 1.94 in 13 road starts LY.
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.
— Brewers lost three of first five games, scoring 14 runs.
— Over was 2-1-2 in those games.

— Means allowed a run in 4 IP (84 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.
— Baltimore lost four of its first five games.
— Under was 3-1-1 in those games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs - Race 1	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 1-2-3) / Pick 5 ($.50 minimum) (Races 1-5)
Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 1 Mile 40 yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 65 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 12:40
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 (REGISTERED FLORIDA BREDS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * WASSER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ONLY GIRL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. AMAZING MSKITTY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	WASSER	4/1	3/1
6	ONLY GIRL	1/1	9/2
5	AMAZING MSKITTY	9/2	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	ONLY GIRL	6	1/1	Alternator/Stalker	57	56	56.4	51.4	45.4
4	WASSER	4	4/1	Alternator/Trailer	71	65	55.8	58.6	55.6
5	AMAZING MSKITTY	5	9/2	Alternator/Trailer	60	59	39.9	50.9	46.9
2	BEAUTIFUL ROSALIA	2	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	58	50	48.3	20.9	12.9
1	J'S STAR JET	1	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	37.0	37.0	27.5
3	KILKENNY BELLA	3	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	17.1	17.1	6.1

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 3	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 3-4) Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / Pick 6 (Races 3-4-5-6-7-8)
Claiming $5,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $15,700 • Post: 7:57P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF FOUR RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MAJESTIC SEAS is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MAJESTIC SEAS: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Tod ay is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. DISTANT THUNDER: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COUNT THE SHELLS: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2	MAJESTIC SEAS	6/5	5/2
4	DISTANT THUNDER	9/2	6/1
1	COUNT THE SHELLS	5/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	MAJESTIC SEAS	2	6/5	Front-runner	74	76	84.2	72.4	67.9
4	DISTANT THUNDER	4	9/2	Front-runner	78	76	82.6	59.2	50.2
1	COUNT THE SHELLS	1	5/1	Alternator/Front-runner	79	70	71.0	55.0	44.0
6	EPIC WEST	6	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	81	79	71.4	53.0	41.0
3	GOLDEN G	3	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	83	71	67.2	60.8	52.3
7	WILLIE THE WHALE	7	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	76	63	60.2	64.2	57.7
8	I'D LIKE TO KNOW	8	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	62	77.4	54.6	42.6
5	GAMING JACK	5	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	90	81	34.6	54.0	47.0

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Keeneland

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $110000 Class Rating: 99

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $22,800 SINCE FEBRUARY 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. $21,600 SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 SISAWAY NOW 20/1
# 3 UNPREDICTABLE BAY 5/1
# 7 UNDERHILL'S TAB 9/2

SISAWAY NOW is the strongest bet in this competition especially at such a decent 20/1. Could provide positive gains based on strong recent Speed Figures with an average of 87. The Equibase Speed Figure of 87 from his last contest looks very strong in here. Must be considered given the class of races run lately. UNPREDICTABLE BAY - Change in Lasix (on Lasix) may be the means to a return to the track. Has to be given a chance against this field displaying competitive figures recently and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 92 under similar conditions. UNDERHILL'S TAB - Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group recently. Has to be carefully examined versus this field displaying quite good numbers lately and an average speed figure of 94 under similar conditions.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Evangeline Downs - Race #8 - Post: 8:40pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 49

Rating:

#8 CONSERVATVE VALUES (ML=12/1)
#4 TWO PUNCH FIST (ML=3/1)


CONSERVATVE VALUES - This horse collects a lot of dough per race around the track. In the top spot in this event. Getting a break of 8 lbs from last race at Fair Grounds. She should make the most of this advantage. TWO PUNCH FIST - Have to like the way Flint has raced this filly back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think she'll run well today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 HIGHER NOTE (ML=9/5), #1 IT'S TIME BABY (ML=4/1), #7 LUMBERJACK EMPIRE (ML=8/1),

HIGHER NOTE - Should have at least finished in the money in the last 60 days in a short distance event to be worth the risk at minimal odds in a sprint. This horse hasn't shown much life in the last two contests. IT'S TIME BABY - This filly hasn't been showing me anything in the last two outings. LUMBERJACK EMPIRE - A bit of a lackluster try when this mare finished sixth.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #8 CONSERVATVE VALUES to win if you can get odds of 6/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #2 - Post: 1:12pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,100 Class Rating: 61

Rating:

#1 WAITING ON WILLIAM (ML=2/1)


WAITING ON WILLIAM - Reed enters this one in a spot where she should fit well based on her last two speed figures. Taking a big class drop in class rating points from her Mar 5th race at Turfway Park. Based on that valuable data, I will give this horse the advantage. Sneaky speed on this one. She'll probably be stalking ponies on the back side, then bury them down the stretch. Past performance data show this campaigner with three improving Equibase speed figures. Leon should be on a horse ready to go in this field. The last speed figure of 70 is the top last race speed figure in the group. I like this filly. Has the highest earnings per race entered in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 TIGER JO (ML=8/5), #4 HIGH HEAVEN (ML=3/1), #2 MY WYNTER ECHO (ML=6/1),

TIGER JO - Showed very little in the last race. Really no reason to expect any improvement today. When looking at today's class figure, she will have to garner a better speed rating than in the last race to be competitive in this dirt route. HIGH HEAVEN - Hard to wager on this mount out of the Mar 26th race. Only faced maidens in that one. MY WYNTER ECHO - You figure that this equine is going to win just because she's always close. Just doesn't get the job done frequently.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - WAITING ON WILLIAM - This filly is ready to do some damage in today's race. She has recorded three excellent speed ratings over her last three affairs.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #1 WAITING ON WILLIAM on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 77

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE MARCH 13 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 FRISKY FEELING 9/2
# 8 LIL TATER 8/1
# 4 HOLMDEL PARK 3/1

FRISKY FEELING looks to be a decent contender. Reason to like this mare as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. Gonzalez has an excellent ROI over the past 30 days (+5) which should help wagerers with this choice. LIL TATER - Is a key contender - given the 63 speed fig from her most recent race. Seems to have a solid class edge based on the most recent company kept. HOLMDEL PARK - Overall the Speed Figures of this animal look very good in this race. Is hard not to consider given the company run in recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

04/13/22, TAM, Race 9, 4.54 ET
04/13/22,TAM,9,1M [Turf] 1:33:01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $20,950 (includes up to $1,700 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since March 13 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since February 13 Allowed 4 lbs. (Condition Eligibility). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and Forty Yards.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	China Beach	12/1	Bridgmohan J V	Brown Donald L.	T	100	31.00	1.80/$1
097.8077	3	Double Demon	8/1	Camacho S	Barbazon III Lester		100	31.00	1.80/$1
097.7358	4	Harpoon Harry	5/2	De La Cruz F	Bennett Gerald S.		100	31.00	1.80/$1
094.3022	1	Brother Brad(b-)	20/1	Batista J A	Morici Diane D.		100	31.00	1.80/$1
092.1174	9	Harrow	3/1	Alvarado. Jr. R	Hamm Timothy E.	W	100	31.00	1.80/$1
091.2272	2	Magical Adventure	4/1	Morales P	Manning Dennis J.	J	131	29.01	1.59/$1
091.1321	6	Van	8/1	Santos A	Albertrani Thomas		100	31.00	1.80/$1
090.4125	10	Reiner	10/1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Lerman Roy S.		100	31.00	1.80/$1
089.8739	12	Hellfire Bob	30/1	Rodriguez A A	Negrete Javier		100	31.00	1.80/$1
089.7197	5	Boca	20/1	Quinonez A	Falk Jacqueline	FC	100	31.00	1.80/$1
087.8294	8	Barahin	10/1	Bisono J	Escobar Alison		100	31.00	1.80/$1
087.6529	11	Tape to Tape	6/1	Batista J A	McGoey Monica	SEL	100	31.00	1.80/$1

Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 33.33, ROI 1.64/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1923
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Equal To Today -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Lasix No Change

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Odds Shark (Gareth Wheeler)

Soccer
Man City ML (-125)

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TAMPASPORTSHANDICAPPER

KANSAS CITY +1.5 R. LINE

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Boston w/Eovaldi -115 over Detroit

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY:BOSTON (Eovaldi) -110 over Detroit

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Totals4U

Wednesday's Free Selection: Toronto Blue Jays/New York Yankees over 8 1/2

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Atlantic Sports

Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Milwaukee Brewers - 170