Sunday 4/17/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:30 AM

Today’s Free Horse Picks – Sunday, April 17th 2022
By Reggie Garrett

We are covering 4 tracks on Sunday, April 17th, 2022. Reggie Garrett has his picks for each race at Gulfstream Park, Golden Gate Fields, Santa Anita Park and more. Good luck and enjoy!

Golden Gate Fields – 1:15 PT
Race 1: 4 Cocorita
Race 2: 1 Knockout Bert
Race 3: 5 Mayhem and Chaos
Race 4: 6 Big Chick
Race 5: 3 Last Starfighter
Race 6: 1 Mileys Bluecat
Race 7: 6 Tam Tricky
Race 8: 7 Truth Seeker
Race 9: 3 Queen of the Track

Gulfstream Park – 1:05 ET
Race 1: 1 Arete’s Chalice
Race 2: 3 Forest Survivor
Race 3: 2 Usurped
Race 4: 7 Bailey
Race 5: 1 Frageelay
Race 6: 4 In the Union
Race 7: 2 Shawnee Princess
Race 8: 12 Stage Ready
Race 9: 4 Famous Gent
Race 10: 2 Kodiak Mamba

Santa Anita Park – 1:00 PT
Race 1: 3 She’s a Joker
Race 2: 3 Parnelli
Race 3: 6 Bally’s Charm
Race 4: 7 Union Train
Race 5: 3 Unfaithful Ways
Race 6: 7 Bossy Soul
Race 7: 4 Charges Dropped
Race 8: 2 Gerlach’s
Race 9: 10 Current Mood

Woodbine – 1:10 ET
Race 1: 6 Bodie
Race 2: 2 Wild River Wolf
Race 3: 4 Feelthebeat
Race 4: 1 Silent Poet
Race 5: 6 Summertime Magic
Race 6: 3 Tragically Quewick
Race 7: 1 Threefiftyseven
Race 8: 5 Robusto

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:30 AM

National League
Nationals (4-6) @ Pirates (4-4)
— Corbin is 0-2, 10.80 in his first two ’22 starts.
— He is 4-2, 3.12 in ten starts vs Pittsburgh
— Nationals are 4-6 in their first ten games.
— Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

— Quintana allowed a run in 5.1 IP (71 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He gave up five runs in 4 IP in his one start vs Washington.
— Pirates won four of their last six games.
— Over is 4-2-2 in their games.

Diamondbacks (3-5) @ Mets (6-3)
— bullpen game for Arizona
— Arizona lost five of its last seven games.
— Under is 6-2 in their games this season.

— This is Peterson’s first ’22 start.
— He was 2-6, 5.54 in 15 starts last year.
— He gave up 8 runs in two IP, in two starts vs Arizona
— Mets won six of their first nine games.
— Under is 5-3-1 in New York games.

Phillies (4-5) @ Marlins (3-5)
— Wheeler allowed a run in 4.2 IP (65 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 3-0, 1.55 in six starts at Miami
— Phillies lost five of their last seven games.
— Under is 4-3-1 in their last eight games.

— Hernandez allowed four runs in 4.2 IP (76 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 3-0, 4.24 in six games (4 starts) vs Philly.
— Marlins lost five of their first eight games.
— Five of last seven Miami games stayed under the total.

Cardinals (5-2) @ Brewers (4-5)
— Hudson allowed three runs in four IP (70 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 1-1, 4.50 in six games (3 starts) vs Milwaukee.
— Cardinals won five of their first seven games.
— Over was 4-2-1 in those games.

— This is Ashby’s first ’22 start.
— He is 3-2, 4.17 in 15 MLB games (4 starts)
— He allowed 5 runs in 8.1 IP in three relief stints vs St Louis.
— Brewers won four of their last seven games.
— Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

Cubs (4-4) @ Rockies (6-2)
— Smyly threw five scoreless IP (68 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 0-1, 4.76 in three games (2 starts) vs Colorado.
— Cubs lost three of their last four games.
— Over is 4-3-1 in their games.

— Gomber allowed 3 runs in 4.2 IP (78 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 0-1, 6.08 in seven games (2 starts) vs Chicago.
— Colorado won six of its last seven games.
— Under is 4-3-1 in their games this season.

Reds (2-7) @ Dodgers (6-2)
— Mahle is 1-0, 5.00 in his first two ’22 starts.
— He is 2-1, 2.05 in four starts vs Los Angeles.
— Reds lost seven of their last eight games.
— Over is 4-3-1 in those games.

— Heaney allowed a run in 4.1 IP (67 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He allowed a run in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Cincinnati.
— Dodgers won six of their first eight games.
— Under was 5-2-1 in those games.

Braves (5-5) @ Padres (5-5)
— Elder allowed three runs in 5.2 IP (85 PT) in his first MLB start.
— He put only six man on base, got 10 whiffs on 38 swings.
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.
— Braves lost four of their last seven games.
— Over is 5-4-1 in their games this month.

— Darvish is 0-1, 10.56 in his first two starts.
— He is 0-4, 5.79 in five starts vs Atlanta.
— San Diego lost four of its last five games.
— Under is 7-3 in their games this month.

American League
Bronx (5-4) @ Orioles (2-6)
— Cortes allowed no runs in 4.1 IP (72 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 1-0, 2.30 in four games (2 starts) vs Baltimore.
— New York lost four of its last seven games.
— Seven of last eight New York games stayed under the total.

— Zimmerman allowed no runs in 4 IP (66 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 1-1, 4.82 in two games (1 start) vs New York.
— Baltimore lost six of its first eight games.
— Under was 7-0-1 in those games.

Twins (3-5) @ Red Sox (4-4)
— Ober allowed four runs in five IP (79 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He tossed five shutout innings in his one start vs Boston.
— Twins lost five of first eight games.
— Under is 5-2-1 in their first eight games.

— Wacha allowed a run in 4.1 IP (72 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 2-1, 5.71 in three starts vs Minnesota.
— Red Sox won four of their last six games.
— Five of Boston’s last seven games stayed under the total.

A’s (5-4) @ Blue Jays (5-4)
— Oller allowed five runs in 1.1 IP (56 PT) in his first MLB start.
— 8 of the 12 batters he faced reached base.
— A’s won five of their last seven games.
— Over is 5-4 in their first nine games.

— Manoah allowed no runs in six IP (89 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He allowed six runs in 5 IP in his one start vs Oakland.
— Toronto won three of its five home games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Tigers (4-5) @ Royals (3-5)
— Alexander allowed three runs in 5.1 IP (73 PT) in his first ’22 start
— He is 1-1, 5.19 in seven relief stints vs Kansas City
— Detroit is 4-5 in its first nine games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

— Hernandez allowed four runs in 4.1 IP (68 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 0-1, 5.84 in four games (3 starts) vs Detroit.
— Royals lost five of their last six games.
— Last three Kansas City games stayed under the total.

Rays (4-5) @ White Sox (6-2)
— bullpen game for Tampa Bay
— Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

— Velasquez allowed a run in four IP (62 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 0-0, 3.27 in two starts vs Tampa Bay.
— White Sox won six of their last seven games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Angels (5-4) @ Rangers (2-6)
— Suarez allowed two runs in 4.1 IP (75 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 2-0, 2.89 in three starts vs Texas.
— Angels won five of their last seven games.
— Under is 5-3-1 in their games.

— Perez allowed three runs in four IP (68 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 7-5, 3.90 in 20 games (16 starts) vs Anaheim
— Rangers are off to a 2-6 start, despite scoring 46 runs.
— Over was 4-2-2 in those games.

Astros (5-3) @ Mariners (4-5)
— Urquidy allowed one run in five IP (72 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He is 1-0, 3.38 in four games (3 starts) vs Seattle.
— Astros won five of their first eight games.
— Under was 6-2 in those games.

— Brash allowed two runs in 5.1 IP (82 PT) in his MLB debut.
— He allowed 5 baserunners, got 11 whiffs on 43 swings.
— Seattle lost five of their last seven games.
— Under is 6-3 in their games.

Interleague
Giants (6-2) @ Guardians (4-4)
— Wood allowed two runs in 4.1 IP (86 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He threw 5.2 scoreless IP, in his one start vs Cleveland.
— Giants won six of their first eight games.
— Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

— Civale allowed four runs in 3.1 IP (74 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— He was 5-4, 4.82 in ten home starts LY.
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.
— Cleveland won four of its last six games.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Cleveland games.
— Guardians scored total of four runs in their four losses.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:31 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Santa Anita, Gulfstream Park, and Golden Gate for April 17, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

Happy Easter to everyone! We have a light day on tap; however, there is still plenty of action to keep us entertained For the free pick 4, we will head to Gulfstream Park for the late sequence on the card. We will also have full card selections for Golden Gate and Santa Anita for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s go!

Below is our free Late Pick 4 for Gulfstream Park:

Gulfstream Park April 17, 2022

Race 7: Maiden Optional Claiming

#2 Shawnee Princess will move back to the dirt for this race after a decent turf performance last time out. The dirt still appears to be the best surface for her, though. #7 Jazla has been close at this level in a couple of prior starts; however, she did struggle last time out at this level. Look for her to rebound in this spot today.

Race 8: Claiming
freestar

#4 Heza Kitten runs second off of the claim for a solid trainer, so you can expect the horse to improve a bit today. His best race is good enough to win in this spot today. #1 Benelux won a similar race to this one last time out and should be competitive again today. He also runs for a new trainer today that is solid with these types of runners.

Race 9: Allowance

#2 Richy has won two of three starts over the synthetic surface, all of which came in similar races to this one. His normal effort should be good enough to get the job done at this level. #3 Grainger County won over the synthetic surface three races back, while finishing second against turf allowance horses last time out. This is a good spot for him today.

Race 10: Maiden Claiming

#2 Kodiak Mamba takes a drop down in class for this race after running third at a higher level last time out. This seems to be a logical spot for him today. #11 Food Bank Helper will take a big class drop for this one, which looks to be needed after a poor effort last time out against tougher runners.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-10) 2,7 / 1,4,6,12 / 2,3,4,7 / 2,9,11 – $48

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:31 AM

Today’s Horse Racing Tips – 17th April 2022
By: Racing & Sports

Racing and Sports highlight our standout plays at Australian TAB meetings for April 17.

STAWELL: RACE 7 @ 4:40 PM

ONE MORE TRY (4) is definitely up to these if fit enough first up. Only one jump out and a long time between wins is the query but she's classy on her day. Perhaps her biggest threat comes from her stablemate SIGN SEAL DELIVER (12) who drops back in trip after he was well held last time in eighth over 2500m at Flemington. Two placings prior were good and the lead could be there for the taking. DON'T DOUBT DORY (2) boxed on well in the Bairnsdale Cup last start. No tougher here and third up is when he usually runs his best races. LORENTE (6) is building nicely into the campaign and must be seen as a chance. SELECTIONS: Can back the Cumani pair; One More Try and Sign Seal Deliver.

SUNSHINE COAST: RACE 8 @ 4:45 PM

TICKLER (4) is in strong form and looks close to another win following a last start nose second over 1400m as the $1.70 favourite. Drawn well and will be well supported once in another race that he looks well up to winning. SUPER CONTENDER (3) has won one of three of his races with the sting out of the ground, rates highly in this line-up and will be right in it at the finish. CHECKERS (2) scored by a long neck last start over this journey at this track when sent out as the $2.30 favourite. Has a solid record at this course and distance, including two wins and four placings. Hard to stop again. SELECTIONS: Tickler to win.
DUBBO: RACE 3 @ 1:25 PM

MY KHALEESI (11) is a very honest campaigner who has hit the top four at her past eight outings and this is not an overly strong contest. Strips fitter second-up after a decent spell and has placed two from two around this circuit. Gets her chance to finally shed the maiden tag here. LIFE WELL LIVED (4) has been thereabouts in all four starts to date and will be at his peak now. Looms as the main danger. SUOMENLINNA (14) has had a few chances but is rarely far away and is a must for the multiples. MCLELLAN (7) has placed two of three this time in including one at this track. In the mix. BILLIETHEFILLIE (6) went down by the narrowest of margins last time out and is drawn to get all the favours from the inside alley. Can sneak into the finish. SELECTIONS: My Khaleesi to win.
MORNINGTON: RACE 5 @ 3:35 PM

MAN OF HEART (14) was a close up fourth in a slowly run race at Listed level prior to spelling. He resumed with an excellent third in town behind Prix De Turn who has gone on to win at Group 2 level. He looks ideally placed to break through third up from a good draw. Look for him to go close. OUR CHEVALIER (4) made sharp improvement last start when ridden closer. He can run well again despite drawing awkwardly. OLMETO (1) draws one and comes off a win. Should get a cheap run and while this is tougher than Avoca last time the yard is always respected on their home deck. SELECTIONS: Man Of Heart may have more upside than his rivals here.
NOWRA: RACE 4 @ 3:40 PM

FLYING ANNIE (4) has won 2/3 this preparation and just missed the others. In a top national barn and has been saved for this. Has the handy 3kg claim and can go on with it. TITAN STAR (9) has been plain the last two but the form prior reads well. Ran favourite at Goulburn the latest and is in light with the 2kg claim. Worth another chance. ABSOLUTELY FOXY (5) missed 1L at Goulburn first up and is improved. Will have the run of the race and fitter is a player. C'MON REG (3) resumes and will race over further. Has a 2kg claim and expect him to be hitting the line. SELECTIONS: Backing Flying Annie.
PENOLA: RACE 9 @ 4:35 PM

PICAROON (5) was in need of his fresh up run in open company and dropped out in the straight to finish behind midfield. She is much better than that effort suggests and has performed with distinction in some very handy fields in the past. She has won her only start on the track and can turn her form around quickly. Hard to beat. RIALTOR (6) did not help himself with a slow beginning last start but did well to finish third against his usual pattern of racing. He should settle much closer today and has proved that when in front he is very hard to get past. Watch closely. GIGGLON (1) is a quality sprinter who has won four races from seven starts on the track. He hit the line strongly fresh up and will be cherry ripe leading into this assignment. The four kilo claim will also help. Can win. SELECTIONS: Picaroon win bet.

ALBANY: RACE 8 @ 4:40 PM

TENA KOUTOU (3) looked to be in need of his run last start when only battling in to sixth, his form prior to that was very good including a win at long odds three starts back. He is on a relatively quick backup and with any luck from his wide draw should be fighting out the finish. SUGAR CAIN (5) built nicely for her win third up last start. She has a terrific record at the distance and handles any track condition. She is capable of going back to back. BIG BADA BOOM (2) has been racing well since winning easily at Ascot three starts back. He ruined his winning chances last start with a slow getaway but found the line strongly when finishing fourth. He has won three races from five starts on the course and looks primed for a big effort. WILD FUSION (15) can be hard to catch but loves racing here and gets in with a light weight. He was only beaten by a nose two starts back and will give the locals plenty to cheer about. SELECTIONS: Tena Koutou win bet.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:31 AM

Today's Horse Racing Tips: Sunday April 17th
Stephen Harris
bettingexpert Racing editor

Today’s Racing Tips – April 17th

There are 6 meetings on Easter Sunday in Britain and Ireland, with a cracking card at Fairyhouse the highlight in terms of quality (with two enthralling Grade 1s). Newbury stages a popular flat meeting with some competitive handicaps sure to be big betting races, while there is NH action from Ffos Las, Market Rasen and Plumpton. All-weather fans can study a low grade card at Southwell, with the first race there underway
at 2.32pm.
Today’s Daily Nap

Discretion

Newbury 3:21pm

Harry and Roger Charlton hit form with a couple of winners in last week, and this promising filly has been found a terrific opening at Newbury on Easter Sunday. She showed plenty of talent amongst greenness in her maiden last year on testing ground, and is just the type her trainer will place to maximum effect in the coming
months.

Odds: 9.00
Today’s Value Angle

Berkshire Rebel

Newbury 3:56pm

Andrew Balding’s 3-y-o colt was highly tried in warm company after an impressive winning debut at Goodwood last season, and is likely to make up into a cracking middle distance performer this summer. He is sure to be primed after 190 days off the track, and the drying ground conditions here should suit ideally.

Odds: 13.00

Odds are best odds available as at 9pm April 16th 2022. Odds may now differ.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:32 AM

Sunday Horse Racing Tips – April 17th, 2022
April 16, 2022 by admin

Dubbo

—
ADVERTISEMENT
Race 1. (12:15) Triple M Souths Rabbitohs C1 (2200m)

#2 – Knife’s Edge @ $3 – Bet @ Ladbrokes

Knife’s Edge is getting close to a win after three consecutive minor placings and it won’t take him long to win again.

The five-year-old has figured in the money in nine of his 18 starts, so the consistency is good and being on the quick back-up could work the trick.

We expect the $3 to firm to around $2.40.
Race 2. (12:50) Wheel Conn Crete Maiden (1300m)

#14 – Velvet Star @ $3.10 – Bet @ Ladbrokes

Velvet Star comes off back-to-back second placings and she should be right around the mark again.

The four-year-old daughter of Al Maher was only 1.5 lengths behind the winner last time out and she only needs luck from the wide draw.

Carrying 55.5kg on her back helps and she should be tough to beat.
Race 6. (15:15) Macca’s 40 Years in Dubbo C1 (1000m)

#1 – Driving Force @ $3.20 – Bet @ Ladbrokes

Driving Force is drifting in betting markets but the four-year-old has been in good recent form.

The four-year-old gelding won at Coonamble two back before placing at Mudgee behind New Republic, so the form checks out.

Punters should be expecting another tidy effort.
Race 8. (16:35) Ronald McDonald House BM58 (1200m)

#3 – Rylan’s Pick @ $5.50 – Bet @ Ladbrokes

Rylan’s Pick comes off a heavy-track win at Wellington and he’s already a three-time winner from eight starts.

The four-year-old gelding carried a big weight to win, so he has class on his side and every chance to keep his win streak alive.

Punters get each-way odds to enjoy.

—
Stawell

—
Race 2. (13:30) Russ Studio Jewelers Maiden (1300m)

#7 – Belle Et Riche @ $2.70 – Bet @ Ladbrokes

Belle Et Riche is close to breaking through after posting two placings from two starts, so punters should be confident.

The three-year-old comes off a nice second placing at Kyneton where she was the $2.70 favorite and the money has come again.

She should be winning shortly.
Race 4. (14:40) Hewitt & Whitty Saddlery BM70 (1100m)

#2 – McKeever @ $2.25 – Bet @ Ladbrokes

McKeever is looking to score three consecutive wins and we like his chances of achieving the feat.

The four-year-old son of Deep Field handles all tracks, so racing on good surfaces won’t be an issue and he also loves the distance.

We’re not surprised by odds available and they could firm to around $2.
Race 5. (15:20) Frew’s Foods BM64 (1600m)

#8 – Festivus @ $2.70 – Bet @ Ladbrokes

Festivus is better than his record suggests and the son of Teofilo should be tough to beat on Sunday.

The McEvoy-trained three-year-old finished second at Ballarat two back before running well enough last start, which are good form guides.

Having a strong rider in the saddle helps and punters get fair odds.
Race 7. (16:40) Stawell Gold Cup (2000m)

#11 – Excelleration @ $5.50 – Bet @ Ladbrokes

Excelleration owns two wins and five placings from nine starts, so he doesn’t know how to run a bad race.

The five-year-old had plenty of betting support when running fifth fresh up at Geelong, so expectations are high.

The each-way odds are worth taking in the feature race and we’re in his camp.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:32 AM

Golden Gate Picks - Sunday, April 17, 2022

Race 1: 5-3-4-6
Race 2: 2-1-4-3
Race 3: 2-5-6-4
Race 4: 1-5-6-2
Race 5: 3-1-8-5
Race 6: 6-4-7-1
Race 7: 8-3-1-6
Race 8: 7-2-1-4
Race 9: 4-1-3-8
**Most Likely: Galen Gray #2 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Walking Boss #6 (Race 6)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:32 AM

Gulfstream Park Picks - Sunday, April 17, 2022

Race 1: 11-3-2-9
Race 2: 3-1-4-2
Race 3: 6-2-7-4
Race 4: 8-2-6-7
Race 5: 2-1-9-3
Race 6: 6-4-1-2
Race 7: 1-6-5-7
Race 8: 6-12-4-8
Race 9: 1-4-3-6
Race 10: 7-5-9-11
**Most Likely: No Commission #8 (Race 4)**
**Best Value: Katniss #1 (Race 7)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:32 AM

Santa Anita Park Picks - Sunday, April 17, 2022

Race 1: 8-2-6-1
Race 2: 3-2-4-1
Race 3: 1-2-4-6
Race 4: 3-5-4-7
Race 5: 7-6-2-8
Race 6: 9-5-7-1
Race 7: 3-5-2-4
Race 8: 8-2-5-6
Race 9: 1-4-10-2
**Most Likely: Scary Fast Smile #8 (Race 8)**
**Best Value: Dialing Scotty #1 (Race 9)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:33 AM

Woodbine Picks - Sunday, April 17, 2022

Race 1: 4-1-6-5
Race 2: 3-5-2-6
Race 3: 1-5-2-4
Race 4: 8-1-4-3
Race 5: 3-1-2-6
Race 6: 6-3-5-2
Race 7: 1-3-2-6
Race 8: 4-5-2-1
**Most Likely: Ibrim #1 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Lenny K #8 (Race 4)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:33 AM

Al Cimaglia: Handle Surge Wasn't Enough For The Pomp To Survive

April 17, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

This will be the final night of racing at the “Winter Capital” of harness racing, Pompano Park. Ironically, the track isn’t being shuttered because of a run of bad years. The 2021 handle for the Pomp was the best since the track opened in 1964. But when corporations are involved and it is determined there is a “better use” for the land, the property is sold or used for a different purpose. Recently the same reasoning happened concerning the decision to close Arlington Park. But Gabe Prewitt, Director of Racing for Caesar's Entertainment-Racing wasn’t at the controls in Arlington Heights.

Prewitt is the track announcer at the south Florida track, and he is a good one. But make no mistake, Gabe influenced every aspect of racing at the Pomp. What Prewitt managed to do was create a club without a membership fee and called it the SendItIn# army which is how he promoted it on Twitter. Send it in, meaning your bets and that is exactly what happened.

In a world where hyperbole is commonplace, I’m comfortable in saying the turn-around at the Pomp over the last four years or so, will never be equaled in harness racing. It didn’t happen in a few weeks but once the SendItIn army gained momentum Pompano became a destination for horseplayers that it hadn’t been since the 80's, albeit not on site.

What Prewitt did best was to make an awful situation better by playing the hand that was dealt and telling the truth. He can talk the horsemen’s language and doesn’t come across like a management suit. Prewitt is also a horseplayer, so he knows what is important to gamblers. Everyone relates to Gabe.

Without saying so, Prewitt knew people like to embrace a cause and we are all lemmings to a degree. So, the rallying cry was to keep betting so the Pomp could survive. The handle rose, purses got better, the field size increased and the guarantees on horizontals were boosted.

Everything fell into place despite a facility in need of repair, nothing stopped the turn-around. Electrical outages, tote and starting car malfunctions were part of the vibe. The video was circa 1980's poor, the finish line camera position had a bias of at least a long nose. Without the sound, bettors wouldn’t know if it was the 6 horse or the 3 crossing the line first, the same with the 1 or 7. Prewitt knew about the issues and didn’t like it but continued to promote to survive. His efforts added at least a year of life to the Pomp, probably two.

There was a time when race tracks were owned by families who were backed by generational wealth. They would be able to shoulder tough times with the aspiration of continuing a legacy of racing at their facility for future generations. It’s much different now and harness racing in total is not a guaranteed life for future generations of horsemen.

Unfortunately, that’s the truth, and there are few involved in racing like Prewitt, who can make a significant difference. Prewitt will continue doing his regular stint of calling races at the Red Mile. When I asked Gabe about his future otherwise, he simply said it will be fine and he worries more about the people at Pompano.

There isn’t a doubt Gabe will be fine, he is too talented not to be, whether in racing or not. But it would be a shame if he weren’t heavily involved in promoting another track. The 2022 harness racing handle is down 9.8% compared to the same time last year.

It’s time to SendItIn# and there might be someone available who knows how to make that happen.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:33 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 4/17/22

April 17, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 3-She’s a Joker; 8-Queen of Pompeii

Forecast: She’s a Joker has done all of her preparatory work at San Luis Rey Downs, so she has avoided the xbtv.com camera but we did catch a glimpse of her a year ago at the OBS April Sale, where she breezed a furlong in 10 1/5 seconds and looked quite good doing it. Purchase through the ring for $110,000, the daughter of Practical Joke out of a half-sister to multiple champion sprinter Roy H makes her debut in a moderate California-bred maiden turf sprint for fillies and mares and appears well-spotted for a major effort for a barn that has superior stats (with a small sample) with first-time starters. At 4-1 on the morning line, we’ll put her on top. Queen of Pompeii may be the best of those that have raced. Away since last summer, the daughter of Temple City hit the board in both of her prior outings over the local lawn when rallying from off the pace and should appreciate today’s extended sprint trip. She has the blinkers off angle that we like and retains J. Hernandez, who was aboard in all three of her previous outings. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play with the main punch going to She’s a Joker.

Notable Workouts:

Baker Kait (April 10, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01hg). Grade: B-
Did okay without being asked for her best while even but slightly best with Classic Dr Al (same time) for D. O’Neill, splits of :25 flat, :36.4, :48.2 and 1:01 flat, not fast early but decent late, though failing to change leads after straightening for home. Has some run, may be worth some consideration vs. moderate state-bred foes in her debut.
View Workout Video

Margot’s Girl (April 7, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.1hg). Grade: B-
Much best over Norah’s Princess (same time) for C. Lewis in team gate drill, able to go faster if permitted but never being asked for speed, splits of :24.3, :36.1 and :48.4 on our watches, slower than given but not bad from a visual standpoint. Seems fair fit, seeking a soft state-bred sprint.
View Workout Video

Summer Lake (March 11, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1hg). Grade: C+
Solo gate work for B. Heap, stumbled at the start but got into stride and went under mild urging while much slower than given on our watches, splits of :24.4, :36.1, :48.1 and 1:01.2, fair to moderate while very late changing leads. Let’s see one first.
View Workout Video

Queen of Pompeii (April 1, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2hg). Grade: B
No blinkers, clearly best over Team Concept (5f, 1:00.4hg) in gate drill for C. Gaines, coasting throughout while earning splits of :24.2, :36 flat, :48 flat and 1:00.2, plenty left late. Away since last summer but is coming back well, seems fit.
View Workout Video

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RACE 2: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: X
Single: 4-There Goes Harvard

Forecast: There Goes Harvard is listed as the 6/5 morning line favorite in this five-runner first-level allowance optional claiming main track router and probably will win, though at the price he won’t be offering any real wagering value. He has one win from nine career starts to go along with seven seconds/thirds, so the son of Will Take Charge, who has failed to deliver the goods the three times he left as the public choice, may not be one to trust. That said, a repeat of his last outing – a runner-up effort while nearly five lengths clear of the rest – should be more than good enough to handle this modest task. You can use him as a rolling exotic single or simply pass the race.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: B+
Single: 3-Worse Read Sanchez

Forecast: In a race loaded with front-running or pace-pressing types, Worse Read Sanchez should have every opportunity to produce the last run in this California-bred first-level allowance turf miler restricted to 3-year-olds. With a distinct edge in the speed figure department and a prior win over the course, ‘Sanchez seems likely to go lower than his morning line of 5/2, though we suggest you take it if you can get it. The D. O’Neill-trained colt will get the patient ride he requires from regular pilot M. Gutierrez, and with fractions that are sure to compliment his style the son of Square Eddie should be along in time as a logical rolling exotic single.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:38 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference: 7-Union Train; 3-Q B One

Forecast: Union Train was on the verge of developing into a real nice colt last fall before he had to be stopped on, and if returns as well as he left this promising sophomore should be a major player in this competitive two-turn main track maiden event. An excellent second in a strong dirt miler at Del Mar last November, the J. Shirreffs-trained colt has trained well enough to be fit and ready and returns with Lasix for a barn that has solid stats with layoff runners. He’ll have to avoid being forced wide from his outside draw, but if he can get over and secure a good stalking spot, the son of Union Rags should have every chance. Q B One might be coming around now that he’s been gelded. A willing but non-threatening third in a tougher maiden heat last month, the son of Uncle Mo from champion mare Beholder lacks tactical speed but should be running on late, and with a projected pace flow that should be faster than par he could make some noise close home at 8-1 on the morning line. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with preference on top to Union Train.

Notable Workouts:

Got Thunder (April 9, Santa Anita, 5f, :58.3h). Grade: B
In blinkers, second best in a three-runner team drill with Ce Ce (5f, :58h, tons best) and Queen Goddess (5f, 1:00.3h), ridden through the lane to finish three lengths behind after the trio broke off head-and-head, splits for the Arrogate colt in :22.3, :33.4 and :58.3, extremely fast time but appearing to lose some of his punch late. Always has trained like a good colt but has been a major disappointment in the afternoon. Might show more speed with the addition of the hood but we’re not convinced the equipment change will otherwise provide all that much improvement.
View Workout Video

Union Train (April 8, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h). Grade: B
Just coasting through the lane to be even but slightly best over Angel of Freedom (same time), final three furlongs in :37 flat, able to go much faster if asked. Coming back very well for Shirreffs, has a chance to make a decent sort of 3-year-old.
View Workout Video

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RACE 5: Post: 3:11 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 3-Unfaithful Ways; 8-Spring Spinning

Forecast: Unfaithful Ways missed by a neck in a similar turf miler last time out when benefitting from a race shape (fast early, slow late) that complimented her style. A similar effort today might be good enough, especially with a pace flow that once again should promote her closing style. She switches to J. Bravo, one of the stable’s “go to” riders, so at 5/2 on the morning line the daughter of Street Boss seems fairly logical. Spring Spinning was victimized by a disastrous start when a distant third sprinting on grass in her debut last month and seem sure to improve today with a race under her belt and today’s added distance. The daughter of Hard Spun makes a positive trainer switch to D. O’Neill and picks up J. Hernandez, plus she shows a bullet five furlong training track drill (:59 2/5) two weeks ago that catches the eye. Unfaithful Ways gets top billing but we’ll have tickets using both in our rolling exotics.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:42 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 9-Take a Leap; 7-Bossy Soul

Forecast: Here’s a race that should be approached with some caution. Take A Leap, dropping to the bottom off a J. Wong claim after rallying too late as the favorite when second in a $12,500 sprint last month, stretches out again but must leave from the extreme outside post in this dirt miler for fillies and mares. Never worse than second in four career outings over the local main track, the seven-year-old mare can handle this assignment with anything close to her best effort but must avoid getting packed wide early. At 8/5 on the morning line, there really isn’t much wagering value to be found. Rolling exotic players should also find room on their ticket for Bossy Soul. Overmatched in state-bred allowance company last time out on turf, the S. Knapp-trained filly returns to her claim level and has a look off her strong third place effort behind Take a Leap over this track and distance two runs back.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:12 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 1-Heathers Grey ; 5-New Heat

Forecast: Heathers Grey has been away since last July but she has looked quite good in morning workouts for trainer S. McCarthy and projects to enjoy an ideal pace-stalking trip from her favorable rail draw – or perhaps even on the lead - in a race that projects to have soft early splits. A two-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course, the veteran mare gets a break in the weights under bug boy D. Herrera and offers good wagering value at or near her morning line of 8-1. New Heat is a three-time winner over the local lawn and just earned a career top speed figure when closing against the grain to be willing second behind loose-on-the-lead winner Park Avenue. If she can get some help up front at this shorter one mile trip, the daughter of Unusual Heat will be heard from late.

Notable Workouts:

Heathers Grey (March 21, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.3h). Grade: B
Hard held most of the way while appearing quite sharp in solo half mile main track breeze for S. McCarthy, final three furlongs in :36.1. Freshened since last July and appears to be returning in fine fettle.
View Workout Video

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RACE 8: Post: 4:42 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 8-Scary Fast Smile; 2-Gerlach’s

Forecast: Scary Fast Smile earned a career top number when trouncing similar state-bred first-level allowance optional claiming foes two races back but then bounced to the moon when a dull fourth at 6/5 in his most recent start against optional $50,000 claimers last month. Back at his winning level today, the D. O’Neill-trained gelding switches to bug boy D. Herrera to get a bit of a weight break, and if given the patient ride he prefers at this extended seven furlong sprint trip the son of Smiling Tiger should be capable of regaining his winning form. At 5/2 on the morning line, we’ll make him a win play and rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Scary Fast Smile (April 3, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h). Grade: B+
Very easy early and breezing through the lane, splits of :24.2, :36.1 and 1:00.3, quite nice for D. O’Neill. Disappointed last time out but appears ready to bounce back in a big way.
View Workout Video

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RACE 9: Post: 5:12 PT Grade: B+
Single: 1-Dialing Scotty

Forecast: Dialing Scotty has done some excellent work in the morning leading up to her debut for C. Gaines and in this below average maiden turf sprint for California-bred fillies and mares the daughter of Dialed In looks ready to win at first asking. Though her workout times don’t jump off the page, she has done everything asked of her in the a.m. while always appearing to have plenty more to give if required. At an enticing 6-1 on the morning line, we’ll use here in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

Notable Workouts:

Dialing Scotty (April 10, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.1h TT). Grade: B+
Broke off a couple of lengths behind Candybox (5f, 1:01.3h TT) and was under restraint through the lane to finish head-and-head, never asked at any stage, very nice while coming the final three furlongs in :12.1 and :36.4. Looks fit, seems to have a good late turn of foot and should be live at first asking vs. state-bred foes.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 08:34 AM

Brian W. Spencer Daily Picks

Hawthorne - Race #3
Picks Notes
#2 Treasury He has some good pace to put to use as he heads north after a string of really solid efforts in New Orleans, and he might be fast enough to get the jump on the class dropper drawn further out.
#5 Current Tough to argue with the overall form after he shipped out west to land a graded stakes placing going long on the turf, but his work has generally come on the lawn, and I worry he’s overbet here.
#4 Going With Style He looks in tough compared to the top pair, but he might be good enough to grind along for a piece underneath. Would be a stretch in the winner’s circle.
Race Summary Treasury and Current should dominate the wagering in this top-heavy race, but the former might be a slightly better price and has proven dirt form against the class dropping question mark. -- Brian W. Spencer

Hawthorne - Race #7
Picks Notes
#6 Malpais He has landed eight of his last ten, so the form is there for him to handle this tougher group today as he comes up from starter spots. He’s got perfect pressing pace that should give him another great trip, and there might be enough other talent here to keep the price fair.
#2 Like a Saltshaker His form can be spotty at times, but his best stuff keeps him in the mix with these, and he may actually offer an honest enough price for a top team.
#4 Home Base He’s prone to turning in dull races, but his better tries stack up nicely with these, and he has some bounce back potential after the clunker last time out. Chance with a better run today.
Race Summary Malpais is in excellent form and should land a perfect trip up top here, and the hope is he’ll offer something like 5/2 in a decent group. -- Brian W. Spencer

Hawthorne - Race #8
Picks Notes
#8 High Brow He didn’t get the cleanest of trips in his debut run, and it still probably won’t take anything more than a repeat of that effort to get the job done here. Price won’t be much, but he seems tough to get around in the finale.
#6 Coal Town Road He has several lengths to turn on the top choice, and he tends to give away ground in the final call. Think he’s a logical alternative, but I wouldn’t want to be sitting here at anything like the 5/2 ML price.
#1 Big Tipper Debuter doesn’t bring any kind of flashy worktab to this, but at least he hasn’t run up a bunch of bad losses yet, so it wouldn’t be a shock to see him land a piece in a group lacking depth.
Race Summary High Brow will get bet for a tough team, and he should handle this group in the closer barring a huge step back. Not going to get any bang out of it, but he looks like a very reasonable single. -- Brian W. Spencer

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-17-2022, 10:46 AM

Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Philadelphia w/Wheeler -150 over Miami