Thursday 4/28/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358318

    #16
    Keeneland Picks - Thursday, April 28, 2022

    Race 1: 7-4-5-2/2B
    Race 2: 10-12-4-11
    Race 3: 3-5-6-2
    Race 4: 8-7-4-6
    Race 5: 8-4-2-3
    Race 6: 12-10-1-4
    Race 7: 10-7-4-5
    Race 8: 1-3-6-5
    Race 9: 7-5-1-11
    **Most Likely: Polyglot #7 (Race 9)**
    **Best Value: Whenthedawnbreaks #10 (Race 7)**
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358318

      #17
      Laurel Park Picks - Thursday, April 28, 2022

      Race 1: 5-1-4-3
      Race 2: 10-6-9-3
      Race 3: 6-3-7-2
      Race 4: 1-4-8-6
      Race 5: 7-1/1A-4-3
      Race 6: 3-4-10-11
      Race 7: 2-5-4-1
      Race 8: 2-4-8-1
      Race 9: 7-6-3-5
      **Most Likely Winner: Love Is Strong #6 (Race 3)**
      **Best Value: Rebel Victory #10 (Race 2)**
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358318

        #18
        Lone Star Park Picks - Thursday, April 28, 2022

        Race 1: 9-7-6-4
        Race 2: 6-4-1-3
        Race 3: 4-3-6-7
        Race 4: 6-5-2-7
        Race 5: 4-5-1-3
        Race 6: 4-11-1-10
        Race 7: 10-1-4-7
        Race 8: 2-5-6-3
        Race 9: 1-7-12-6
        **Most Likely: Golden Quality #10 (Race 7)**
        **Best Value: Nanas Boy #6 (Race 2)**
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358318

          #19
          Penn National Picks - Thursday, April 28, 2022

          Race 1: 5-1-3-4
          Race 2: 4-3-1-7
          Race 3: 1-3-2-6
          Race 4: 5-4-2-3
          Race 5: 1-2-5-6
          Race 6: 1-5-6-7
          Race 7: 8-9-4-6
          Race 8: 1-4-7-6
          **Most Likely Winner: Studio B (Race 4)**
          **Best Value: Vishnu (Race 3)**
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358318

            #20
            Thistledown Picks - Thursday, April 28, 2022

            Race 1: 3-2-5-4
            Race 2: 3-4-6-5
            Race 3: 4-3-5-6
            Race 4: 8-5-6-3
            Race 5: 6-4-5-2
            Race 6: 7-8-4-6
            Race 7: 9-8-3/3C-7
            Race 8: 6-4-5-2
            **Most Likely Winner: Weekender (Race 3)**
            **Best Value: Christmas (Race 5)**
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358318

              #21
              Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Thursday, April 28

              By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

              MUSSELBURGH

              ROBIN GOODFELLOW

              1.50 Cotai Pearl

              2.20 The Resdev Way

              2.50 Markazi

              3.25 Atiyah

              4.00 Colinton

              4.35 Moon Bay

              5.05 Fanzone

              GIMCRACK

              1.50 Seagrave Fox

              2.20 Tomorrow’s Angel

              2.50 Carter Cowboy

              3.25 Primo’s Comet

              4.00 Can Can Girl

              4.35 Moon Bay

              5.05 Sir Maxi



              CHEPSTOW

              ROBIN GOODFELLOW

              4.30 Let’s Fly Again

              5.00 Arcadian Nights

              5.35 Adaay Atatime

              6.10 Some Nightmare (nap)

              6.45 Symbol of Hope

              7.20 Russian Rumour

              7.53 Lost Gold

              GIMCRACK

              4.30 Let’s Fly Again

              5.00 Holdenhurst

              5.35 Profit And Loss

              6.10 Some Nightmare

              6.45 Equally Fast

              7.20 Thibault

              7.53 Nathanael Greene


              LINGFIELD

              ROBIN GOODFELLOW

              1.00 Casi Crudo

              1.30 True Accolade

              2.00 Prince Rock

              2.30 Court Of Session

              3.00 Arctician

              3.35 Audience

              4.05 Wings Of A Dove (nb)

              GIMCRACK

              1.00 Eight Of Diamonds

              1.30 March Moon

              2.00 Covert Mission

              2.30 Island Bandit

              3.00 Arctician

              3.35 Audience

              4.05 San Juan



              CHELMSFORD CITY

              ROBIN GOODFELLOW

              4.40 Daytona Lady

              5.10 Brute Force

              5.45 Legende D’art

              6.20 Hellomydarlin

              6.55 Dubai Souq

              7.30 Pips Tune

              8.00 Terra Mitica

              GIMCRACK

              4.40 Kind Spirit

              5.10 Estrela Star

              5.45 Capla Spirit

              6.20 Symphony Perfect (nap)

              6.55 Dubai Souq

              7.30 The Bay Warrior

              8.00 Hesperantha

              Newmarket – 6.55 Dubai Souq (nap); 8.00 Terra Mitica (nb).


              REDCAR

              ROBIN GOODFELLOW

              1.40 Mythical Madness

              2.10 Signorina Merisi

              2.40 Gemcutter

              3.15 Sense Of Duty

              3.50 Ardat

              4.25 Grifter

              4.56 Ha Long Bay

              GIMCRACK

              1.40 Kingson

              2.10 Ward Castle

              2.40 Comedian Leader (nb)

              3.15 Sense Of Duty

              3.50 Ardat

              4.25 Clarets Glory

              4.56 Ha Long Bay

              Northerner – 4.25 Monsieur Jumbo (nb); 4.56 Ha Long Bay (nap).
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358318

                #22
                Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

                Keeneland - Race #5
                Picks Notes
                #3 Gold Heritage He returns off the layoff after a good effort in a small stakes field at Colonial, and he rallied nicely to land his career debut going short on the turf. Think he's interesting here with Lasix and blinkers off the bench.
                #2 Castle Eloch He is another who is stepping up to try winners for the first time, and he has a little bit of positional pace to use for a tough team at this kind of trip. The one to beat?
                #1 Switzer Think he has a chance to land a piece of this while rising to face winners, and he'll be a nice price as he makes his turf debut today. Interesting enough to include underneath.
                Race Summary Gold Heritage gets the edge at what should be a mid-range price with the presence of a couple other tough players hopefully keeping that number fair, and he showed a little bit of quality in a couple of starts as a 2yo.

                Keeneland - Race #7
                Picks Notes
                #7 Lavish Habits She graduated last out with a nice closing effort here earlier this month, and she looks capable with these if she doesn't take a step back off that nice run last time out. Price should be fair.
                #2 Bravo Kitten She stepped up nicely to turn in a good runner-up effort when facing similar here last time out, and she hasn't done much wrong yet through three starts. Talented player can land this.
                #5 Beside Herself She should appreciate the class relief after trying Grade III company in Florida last out, and she has some tactical speed that should serve her well with this group. Better here.
                Race Summary Lavish Habits steps up to face winners off a nice graduation effort going long here, and she may still have a little upside with just the three career starts under her belt.

                Keeneland - Race #9
                Picks Notes
                #7 Polyglot He debuts for a very tough turf team, and he's tough to discount from a barn like this in a race where the form on paper is at least a little suspect. Wouldn't be shocked to see him land this out of the box.
                #6 Mighty Sea Think he has a little price chance in here after a dud off the bench at Turfway, as he will try the turf for the first time and will hopefully be rolling late in a race with a couple potential questionable pace players.
                #5 Lord Zed He's protected off the claim here after a decent try against cheaper, and he was competitive with special weight company in New Orleans before dipping in for the tag. Not out of it.
                Race Summary Polyglot debuts for Juddmonte/Brown/Prat, and he might be ready enough to get past these late with what feels like a fair enough pace likely to unfold here.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358318

                  #23
                  Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

                  Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #4
                  Picks Notes
                  #6 MOJAVE HANOVER Chased honest splits, held third in 1:56, Tetrick returns in bike.
                  #5 FRANKIE HILL Chased 7-2, 2-1 and 1-1 wire-to-wire winners in last three starts.
                  #7 TAKATO Took serious money, finished third in seasonal debut.
                  Race Summary Mojave Hanover staked the top two finishers and held third through a :57.2 back half, setting him up well in the same spot. He should be able to get forward position despite moving from the rail to post 6. Bet to win and place.

                  Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #7
                  Picks Notes
                  #2 LEAN HANOVER No anxious moments in romp, three-peat well within his reach.
                  #7 MACMORRIS HANOVER Caught the odds-on fave but got caught by deep closer at Pocono.
                  #1 BIG NUDGE Steps up off win, rail helps in speed-laden field.
                  Race Summary Lean Hanover controlled the pace as the field raced single file for 3/4s of a mile, but he was under a snug hold in the stretch en route to an easy repeat victory. No reason to think the $587k earner won’t handle another class rise and win for the 30th time. Bet to win and place.

                  Hoosier Park - Race #1
                  Picks Notes
                  #4 MARLA’S GOT LEGS Recent qualifier encouraging enough, price attached.
                  #2 AVERIANA Lone winner in field can be excused for try from post 9 last out.
                  #5 FILTHY MCNASTY Improved third in second start back, hit board in 10 of 13.
                  Race Summary It’s anybody’s race, so why not a price stab on Marla’s Got Legs (8-1), who finished a close-up third twice as a 2-year-old at the fairs last fall and stepped it up a notch in a recent qualifier to get ready for her return. Play a 2-4-5 exacta box.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358318

                    #24
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel
                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.

                    Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $23100 Class Rating: 66

                    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $8,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.


                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    The Walker Group Picks

                    # 3 PEARLYVILLE 10/1

                    # 4 COLOROFACLOUD 5/2

                    # 1 DIXIELAND DANCER 2/1

                    PEARLYVILLE looks respectable to best this field and is a quite good value bet given the line at 10/1. Sound average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this horse a solid contender. She ought to be given a chance given the respectable speed figures. Looks quite good against this group of horses and should be one of the leaders. COLOROFACLOUD - Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is sound for this animal. DIXIELAND DANCER - She has earned decent figures under today's conditions and will most likely fare well against this field. Is a contender - given the 58 speed figure from her most recent race.
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