Sunday 5/8/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:34 AM

Today’s Free Horse Picks – Sunday, May 8th 2022
By Reggie Garrett

We are covering 8 tracks on Sunday, May 8th, 2022. Reggie Garrett has his picks for each race at Gulfstream Park, Golden Gate Fields, Santa Anita Park and more. Good luck and enjoy!

Belmont Park – 1:00 ET
Race 1: 2 Mr. Buckley
Race 2: 4 Kay Tee Gal
Race 3: 5 Six Percent
Race 4: 10 Wine Goddess
Race 5: 1 Kid Cash
Race 6: 6 Miss Bella Ciao
Race 7: 9 Honey Money
Race 8: 4 Search Results
Race 9: 4 Amount

Golden Gate Fields – 1:45 PT
Race 1: 5 Earnest
Race 2: 2 Union Wave
Race 3: 3 Holy Zags
Race 4: 1 First Time Player
Race 5: 5 Exceed Speed Limit
Race 6: 3 Oyster Shooter
Race 7: 4 Love of the Sport
Race 8: 6 Bourbonwithatwist
Race 9: 8 Dublin Blue Echo

Gulfstream Park – 1:05 ET
Race 1: 5 Lee Ann’s Warrior
Race 2: 5 Especiallea
Race 3: 6 Smiling Teufles
Race 4: 1 Alba Mia
Race 5: 4 Miss Sugar Hill
Race 6: 2 You’re Killin Me
Race 7: 7 Running Memories
Race 8: 3 Stellar Ride
Race 9: 6 Lucky Peridot
Race 10: 8 Artemus Sweetheart

Louisiana Downs – 3:05 CT
Race 1: 3 Alhambra Palace
Race 2: 8 Ciroc O Clock
Race 3: 1 Hug the Munny
Race 4: 6 Rydenseek
Race 5: 3 Silent Tap
Race 6: 6 Jack Bob and Larry
Race 7: 3 Akhnas

Monmouth Park – 12:15 ET
Race 1: 7 Let Freedom Spring
Race 2: 3 Its Over
Race 3: 1 Penetrator
Race 4: 9 Pogi
Race 5: 8 Fleet Warrior
Race 6: 1 Straight Shot
Race 7: 8 My Beautiful Belle
Race 8: 5 There Are No Words
Race 9: 2 Moraz

Oaklawn Park – 12:15 CT
Race 1: 1 Miss Wow Wow
Race 2: 8 Dancing Cossack
Race 3: 1 Marvin
Race 4: 7 Roaming Union
Race 5: 10 Hightail Cowboy
Race 6: 6 Charco
Race 7: 4 Dr Jack
Race 8: 8 Go West
Race 9: 4 Jalen Journey
Race 10: 9 Blueridge Mountain

Santa Anita Park – 1:00 PT
Race 1: 8 Square Cat
Race 2: 3 Dorita’s Happy
Race 3: 4 Clampett
Race 4: 2 Commander Khai
Race 5: 3 Elm Drive
Race 6: 8 Admiral Halsey
Race 7: 11 Quick Take
Race 8: 2 Twirling Grace
Race 9: 7 Defunded
Race 10: 4 Farquhar

Woodbine – 1:10 ET
Race 1: 1 Kawacatoose
Race 2: 6 Take It Easy
Race 3: 6 His Time
Race 4: 3 Speed Chess
Race 5: 1 Big Ginger
Race 6: 4 Artie’s Princess
Race 7: 2 Juan Pablo
Race 8: 3 Executive Sight
Race 9: 6 Absolute Jewel

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:35 AM

Belmont Horses in Focus for Sunday, May 8
Posted on May 7, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 5: KID CASH (#1)

I’m not particularly fond of the possible favorite, #4 Bold Victory. He was supposed to show more off the layoff last time when bet down to 1-2 favoritism against a pretty soft field. I’m not sure the turnback to 7 furlongs really works in this horse’s favor, since he’s a grinder without much early speed. I’m more afraid of shipper #8 Floki’s Flight, who makes his second start for Ned Allard. This horse wasn’t meeting the toughest field on debut, but he didn’t have the easiest journey. A phalanx of 7 horses were battling for the early lead that day, and he was closest to the rail, slightly shuffled back into the far turn. All things considered he stayed on well for second. He now gets a massive rider upgrade to Irad Ortiz and will be dangerous if able to build on that debut. My top pick is the returning #1 Kid Cash. This horse obviously ran some races that would beat this field very early in his career, finishing third behind subsequent stakes winners Weyburn and Nova Rags. Something obviously went awry over the winter of 2020-2021, as his form fell apart. He developed some gate issues, which often led to difficult trips. Yet now he’s returning from a lengthy layoff and Rudy Rodriguez has solid numbers with this move. Over the past 5 years, Rudy is 6 for 16 (38%, $2.15 ROI) off 180+ day layoffs while dropping in for a tag for the first time. Kid Cash has to break better, but he’s been freshened up and has one of the best speed riders on the circuit on his back.

RACE 8: LADY ROCKET (#2)

Morning line favorite #3 Royal Flag may be the most talented horse in this field, but I doubt this Ruffian is the ultimate goal for her. She’s just starting off her 6-year-old campaign, likely using this as a prep for a race like the Grade 1 Ogden Phipps. I expect her to come running late, but a mile isn’t her ideal distance and there’s very little pace in here to set up her late run. I find it interesting that Chad Brown has also entered #4 Search Results in this race, and it may be a good sign that she’s running back on relatively short rest following a poor return effort in the Distaff Handicap. She just never traveled like herself that day, and if she’s going to bounce back this seems like a perfect spot in which to do it. A mile is her best distance and she has the perfect running style to stalk right outside the leaders. I didn’t put her on top, but do think she’s dangerous. My top selection in the Ruffian is #2 Lady Rocket. Her effort in the Grade 1 Madison off the bench was a lot better than it looks. That was a wicked early pace that completely fell apart in the late stages, as the two runners who were trailing early passed the entire field to complete the exacta. She showed that she’s capable of handling a mile in the Go For Wand last year. I don’t necessarily expect her to repeat the huge speed figure she earned at Aqueduct that day, but she has plenty of other strong races in her past performances. John Velazquez figures to send her to the front, and I think she can take them all the way.

RACE 9: FULL MOON FEVER (#1)

I’m somewhat against the horse that I made the morning line favorite in this finale. #4 Amount did win impressively last time, but did so against a weaker conditioned claiming field with a perfect trip. He’s capable of coming from off the pace, but he put forth that career-best effort last time racing on top of a moderate early pace. I don’t think he’s getting anywhere near the early lead here, since there is plenty of early speed signed on. The TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace, and it’s hard to see anyone getting in front of the speedy #10 Nicholas James in the early going. This horse laid down a wicked opening quarter when he won his debut, which translates to an insane 138 Early Pace Rating on TimeformUS. This feels like a race that is ripe to fall apart, so I want some runners that can rally from off the pace. The most logical of those is #3 Luni Sima, who could vie for favoritism. This horse put in a big effort last time, overcoming a wide trip to just miss behind heavy favorite Electability. He earned a field-best 113 TimeformUS Speed Figure for that performance, and a repeat of that number makes him too tough for this field to handle. I think he’s dangerous, but my top pick at a bigger price is #1 Full Moon Fever. I have to give this horse one more chance after meeting a slightly tougher field at this level last time. He got a good trip, but there just wasn’t much closing happening that day. I thought he ran well enough to be competitive here in his two starts prior to that. He was an impressive winner in the slop three back, and horses have run back out of that race to flatter the form. Then two back he didn’t get the most comfortable trip, shuffled back in the early going before staying on late. He’s going to get the right pace setup, and is better than he looks.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:36 AM

Korean Oaks Sunday: Busan & Seoul Race-By-Race Preview (May 8)

Sunday’s feature race is the Korean Oaks at Busan – See here for full preview – part of a 6-race card on the south-coast from 12:00 to 16:45. There are also 11 races at Seoul from 10:45 to 18:00. Here are the previews:

Seoul Race 1: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

Three-year-old maidens in the opener. (2) JAY PHOENIX has raced only once and it was back in December, but he ran well, being on pace before ultimately finishing 3rd behind a couple of useful ones over 1000M. He won a trial in early April and from a great draw, will be expected to win first-up here. (4) GRAY THOR has also raced just the once, in his case over 1200M on April 3rd when he settled handy to the lead and ran on for 6th, beating a couple of today’s rivals. That followed a promising trial and with some natural improvement, he can go close today. (10) CUPID SAFE comes in with an improved 3rd and 2nd from her latest two, both at 1300M. In the first of those she settled back in the field and at the most recent she was handy so she is versatile enough to overcome the wide gate here and can be dangerous. (6) ECHO ZONE and (8) NONSTOP ALI the best of the rest.
Selections (2) Jay Phoenix (4) Gray Thor (10) Cupid Safe (6) Echo Zone
Next Best 8, 11
Fast Start 2, 3, 8, 11

Seoul Race 2: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

Maiden fillies and mares only here. (5) P N S CHANCE enters with a 2nd and a 3rd from her latest two, both at this distance and both times running on strongly. The engagement of an apprentice jockey brings her significantly down in the weights and she can run on strongly and go close here. The main danger is (3) GALSAEK HYANGGI. She comes in following a good 2nd place over 1400M on March 19th when handy throughout. That was her best finish in six starts to date and with similar tactics today, she looks sure to be in the finish again. It’s hard to go past those two for the quinella. (10) HAMPYEONG FIGHTER was well back behind P N S Chance at her latest outing but has hinted at ability. (8) SHINE MUSIC and (12) BARO QUEEN are among others that can be considered for the places.
Selections (5) P N S Chance (3) Galsaek Hyanggi (10) Hampyeong Fighter (8) Shine Music
Next Best 12, 6
Fast Start 1, 10, 11, 12

Seoul Race 3: Class 5 (1400M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

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(3) BRAVO MAY will be the favourite here. He looks to be working back up to another win with a good 4th and 3rd from his latest two, both at this class and distance and last time out beating a couple of today’s rivals when settling midfield and running on well. He has posted decent times and from a great draw, has every chance here. (7) FIRST DREAM is yet to win in twenty-one attempts but came back to this trip last start after several goes around two turns and registered a career-best 2nd place on April 3rd when he got to the lead from gate nine and was only beaten by a very good winner. If he can be ridden forward again, he can be in this a long way. (5) PIEONADA ran adequately enough for 5th on her latest appearance on April 10th and may appreciate the step back up in trip here. (8) JISANGUN mixes his form but has placed at class and distance and along with (2) KAILLUM JEWANG, should be in the minor money hunt.
Selections (3) Bravo May (7) First Dream (5) Pieonada (8) Jisangun
Next Best 2, 4
Fast Start 1, 3, 5, 7

Busan Race 1: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

There are a couple of tempting debut-makers here, but we shall side with experience and put (5) GREAT CAPTAIN on top. He has steadily improved across his four appearances to date, culminating with a strong 2nd at this distance on March 27th, when as has been his style after his debut, he settled just behind the early speed and then ran on well. An apprentice brings his weight down here and today can be his day. (4) STAR MATTA looked very well when winning a trial by as many as he pleased in a fast time on a dry track on April 23rd. His half-brother Lucas Sun has won a couple of races here and a bold showing first-up seems likely. The other first-timer is (1) GEUMA INFINITE. He trialed up in a different heat on the same morning and while he didn’t win the heat, he stopped the clock in exactly the same time as Smart Matta. All three half-siblings to make the track won. Returning to the experienced ones, (8) TRIPLE THUNDER and (7) MEOTJIN HARU look the best.
Selections (5) Great Captain (4) Star Matta (1) Geuma Infinite (8) Triple Thunder
Next Best 7, 2
Fast Start 4, 5, 6, 8

Seoul Race 4: Class 5 (1400M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

(1) HANGANG BOSS will be hot favourite to win here. He got his maiden victory two starts back over 1300M before running a strong 4th from the widest gate on his first try at this class over 1200M on March 19th when he simply couldn’t find a decent position early and had to run on from a long way back. He gets a much better gate today and the additional furlong should favour him. The logical danger is (5) SOJUNGHAN DANGSIN. Despite remaining a maiden, she comes up in class here following a few too many near-misses at class 6 level and has recently been running well over 1300M. She is another for who the slight step up in trip can suit and she should be in the mix here. The form really drops off after those two, though. (4) HAPPY SOCKS has the fastest time of any of these for the distance and that’s enough to put him into the placing frame here. (3) YEONGUNG DAEMA and (2) WHITE WING others to consider for minor money.
Selections (1) Hangang Boss (5) Sojunghan Dangsin (4) Happy Socks (3) Yeongung Daema
Next Best 2, 7
Fast Start 1, 2, 4, 5

Busan Race 2: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

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(5) KING BOSS has only raced twice and has been a beaten favourite twice, finishing 4th and 3rd, both times at 1200M. He has raced prominently both times and draws nicely again to do the same here. His time at the distance is quicker than all but one has recorded, and it can be third-time lucky as market leader today. (2) CHOEGANG MUJIGAE took a few goes to figure things out but has a 2nd and a 3rd to his name now at this level. He draws nicely here and under a light weight, can be in the mix. (4) WORLD FLOWER remains a maiden but comes in off a career-best 2nd place scored at this distance on April 10th when she went right back and ran on. If she doesn’t leave herself too much to do, she can be considered here. (3) CHONGAL CHARM and (1) WONDERFUL DIGGER are others who can have minor money claims.
Selections (5) King Boss (2) Choegang Mujigae (4) World Flower (3) Chongal Charm
Next Best 1, 11
Fast Start 3, 5, 9, 11

Seoul Race 5: Class 5 (1300M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

(3) WONPYEONG COD was a beaten favourite at class and distance on April 9th. He previously ran a very fast 2nd on a wet track on his first try at this class. He draws nicely again and could be worth another chance. The favourite will be (6) CLAIR BEST. He got his maiden win at start number three over this distance on April 2nd, when he made all, winning by as many as he pleased. He comes up in class here but is marginally down in the weights and draws the same gate he won from. He has every chance of leading from start to finish again today. (11) RISING HAWK got her maiden win at 1200M before running 3rd on her first try at class and distance on April 2nd. She doesn’t get a great draw today, but she doesn’t need to lead, and she can run on here. (8) CUPID WAY was disappointing in the same race in which Wonpyeong Cod underwhelmed on April 9th. Previously a smart winner at 1200M, she too can be given another chance here. (1) MAGIC RUSH another to consider.
Selections (3) Wonpyeong Cod (6) Clair Best (11) Rising Hawk (8) Cupid Way
Next Best 1, 2
Fast Start 6, 7, 8, 9

Busan Race 3: Class 5 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

Fillies and mares only here. (2) A ONE PLUS has a severe case of “second-itis”, having finished as runner-up on six occasions but still yet to win. It’s where she has finished in three of her last four including her latest effort on April 15th when she sat just behind the speed and ran on strongly. She comes up 2kg for that, but it’s balanced by her getting a much better draw, and it could be her day at last. If you think she will find one too quick again, that one could be (7) HAVANA JANE. She has been a bit of a revelation in recent outings, getting her maiden win three starts back at 1200M and then recording back-to-back runner-up finishes on her promotion to this class. She is worth some thought. (1) ECHO LADY got her maiden win at class and distance on April 10th when the longest shot on the board. Under today’s handicap conditions, she comes in at a similar weight and form a much better draw another strong showing can’t be ruled out. (9) ANASTASIA and (10) MENI AGAIN others who can place.
Selections (2) A One Plus (7) Havana Jane (1) Echo Lady (9) Anastasia
Next Best 10, 5
Fast Start 4, 8, 9, 10

Seoul Race 6: Class 5 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

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Fillies and mares only here. (1) SUPERDIA comes up in class following her maiden win at start number three over this distance on April 3rd when she stalked the leader before taking command in the home straight. She carries the same weight, draws the same gate and she can measure up. (9) WONDERFUL KITTY was 2nd in that April 3rd race having settled midfield and then run on strong. She is without a win but has put in some merit-filled runs and she too should fit in among this company. (4) CONCORD SPARK did nothing on debut in January and accordingly wen back to trial. She was much better on her re-appearance on April 2nd, making all for a very easy win at this distance. Yet another up in class, she can be dangerous again here. Continuing the theme, (12) DOLBAE and (11) BLOOD MOON were also last start winners over the distance at class 6 and despite the wide draws – which Dolbae overcame last time – neither should be too out of place.
Selections (1) Superdia (9) Wonderful Kitty (4) Concord Spark (12) Dolbae
Next Best 11, 5
Fast Start 1, 2, 5, 10

Busan Race 4: Class 5 (1600M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

Tricky puzzle here. We’ll go with (1) ILNYEOM CHEONHA, a good runner up at the mile two starts back before weakening in the closing stages after leading when stepped up to 1800M last time out. Back in trip today and drawn nicely on the inside where Franco can pick his spot, he can win. (6) GOLD TAP has only raced twice so far, winning on debut over 1200M when overcoming a wide draw and then running on for 5th over 1400M at this class. The stretch out to a mile should suit and he can be in the finish. (2) GRAND CHUKJE remains a maiden but is rarely far away. From his last four outings, he has three runner-up finishes, all at this distance and most recently at this class too. An apprentice keeps the weight nice and low and it’s not impossible he could go one better today. (10) DOCTOR PRO and (9) WONDERFUL BIRD are among others with placing claims.
Selections (1) Ilnyeom Cheonha (6) Gold Tap (2) Grand Chukje (10) Doctor Pro
Next Best 9, 5
Fast Start 1, 6, 8, 10

Seoul Race 7: Class 4 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

Fillies and mares only here. (4) WOL YEONG I comes down in weight and into a much better gate than at her latest two starts. She should be on the pace here and with those two things in her favour, has every chance of returning to the winner’s circle. (10) K N MAGIC comes back in trip following back-to-back runner up finishes over 1400M. She has only missed the top four on two occasions and despite coming up slightly in weight and drawing wide, she should be closing here. (1) SOEWAKKOT arrested a run of dreadful form with a win over this distance on April 10th when sent off at odds of 50/1. She is up in class but down in the weights and draws well and she could be an each-way chance again at what will probably be another big price. (6) MAGIC TIDE and (9) BEST TIME are among others who can enter the calculations
Selections (4) Wol Yeong I (10) K N Magic (1) Soewakkot (6) Magic Tide
Next Best 9, 7
Fast Start 4, 6, 7, 11

Busan Race 5: Class Open (1800M) Korean Oaks (KOR-G2) Allowance / KRW 600 Million

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The second leg of the filly Triple Crown and (4) CHAMJOEUN CHINGU can overturn the form from the first leg, the Luna Stakes on April 10th, when she got nailed on the line in a seemingly winning position. She has won over 1700M at Seoul at class 4 level when making all and as an on-pace type, today’s draw should suit far better than the gate fourteen she got in the Luna. That Luna winner was (5) GOLDEN POWER and because of that, she probably warrants favourite status. She also gets a better draw than she did that day and while she has only stretched out to a mile so far, she certainly gets back from off the pace and there is no reason why the two-turns can’t suit. She looks a quality filly and was going by far the best at the end of the Mile in the Luna. (1) WONDERFUL RAISE has a great draw and can get an easier run than she did when 4th in the Luna when she was wide all the way from gate thirteen. That day’s 3rd placegetter, (10) RAON THE SPURT is less favoured by the draw as she likes to lead, but it is a smaller field than in the Luna, she has plenty of gate speed and with a bit of luck can get to the front. If she does, she has loads of ability and will be in this a long way. For a long shot at good odds, (9) ALPHA SONGDANG is unexposed and could be anything.
Selections (4) Chamjoeun Chingu (5) Golden Power (1) Wonderful Raise (10) Raon The Spurt
Next Best 9, 6
Fast Start 2, 4, 9, 10

Seoul Race 8: Class 3 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 75 Million

(6) EAST IMPACT is probably the one to beat here based on current form. He was an on-pace winner over 1200M at class 4 level two starts back before finishing 2nd at this class and distance behind Cobra Ball on April 10th when handy throughout. He comes up 2kg in the weights but should be able to get forward again and can go all the way. (3) JEDI has proven a force to be reckoned with and while she was a beaten favourite, at 1400M on a very wet track last time out, can be given another chance here. She must take care not to get too far back, but she will be running on strong at the end. (1) RAON CHAMPSELY steps back in trip following a couple of efforts around two turns, finishing well back in last month’s Gold Circle Trophy race. She comes down 3kg in the weights today and the last time she ran at this distance, at class 4 level in January, she was a winner. From a great draw, she can go close. (2) VICEROY and (4) MY MEMBER, the latter who will lead, others to take into account.
Selections (6) East Impact (3) Jedi (1) Raon Champsely (2) Viceroy
Next Best 4, 7
Fast Start 1, 2, 4, 6

Busan Race 6: Class 4 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

(7) RAON THE TANK comes up in class following an emphatic win over this distance at class 5 level on April 8th when he sat handy early before asserting command and running on for a six-length score. This is tougher but the manner of that win suggests there is more to come, and he can win again today. The logical danger is (6) BEAUTIFUL KING. He comes up in trip after back-to-back wins, most recently at this class over 1200M on April 1st. All three of his victories so far have been at shorter but he looks ready for another crack at seven furlongs and should be on the early speed again here. (5) INDIAN PARTY is yet to win in twenty-four starts, but he has no fewer than fourteen top-four finishes. He has run good times at this distance, and he can place again. (1) GLOBAL SEUNGNI and (3) AFLEET TAPIT are others who can be considered for the minor money.
Selections (7) Raon The Tank (6) Beautiful King (5) Indian Party (1) Global Seungni
Next Best 3, 4
Fast Start 2, 4, 6, 8

Seoul Race 9: Class 4 (1700M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

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Competitive race. (1) WONDERFUL K was a winner two starts back over 1700M at class 5 level before running a decent enough 3rd at this class and distance on April 9th when midfield and running on. She carries the same weight today but draws much better and can win. (2) JANGSAN GUARD has probably earned the right to be favourite. He comes in following an excellent win at class and distance on April 3rd when he was on pace throughout and battled on strongly. He does come up 3.5kg in the weights but has run well under similar before and has every chance of making it two in a row. (8) LAPIEO BAN has mixed her form, but she has run the joint-fastest time over this distance and in this small field can’t be ruled out. (6) SPEED BELLE and (3) FIRENZE HILL others with minor money potential.
Selections (1) Wonderful K (2) Jangsan Guard (8) Lapieo Ban (6) Speed Belle
Next Best 3, 7
Fast Start 2, 3, 4, 6

Seoul Race 10: Class 3 (1800M) Allowance / KRW 75 Million

(4) TYCHE FIRE is the one to beat here. He has fifteen top-five finishes from nineteen starts and was a class and distance winner in March. At his latest appearance on April 2nd, he beat several of today’s rivals on his way to 3rd place, again at class and distance, and while he does come up 2kg to a big 58kg, he can win. (9) JEONGMUN ACE looks to be the biggest danger. He ran 4th, just a length behind Tyche Fire in that April 2nd race and was also a class and distance winner two starts back. He gets 2kg on Tyche Fire today and can go close. (7) GREEN DARC ran a strong 4th in the Gold Circle Trophy at this distance on April 3rd at very big odds and perhaps warrants a little more respect today. (3) BIG TRIPLE and (6) MUNHAK ENCORE are others who can challenge for the places.
Selections (4) Tyche Fire (9) Jeongmun Ace (7) Green Darc (3) Big Triple
Next Best 6, 8
Fast Start 1, 2, 6, 7

Seoul Race 11: Class 1 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 110 Million

A very competitive class 1 sprint to conclude the card. (9) MIGHTY GO shapes as the one to beat. He is a class 1 winner over 1400M in a very fast time and comes in having beaten a few of these at this distance on February 20th, sitting handy from the same gate as today and then running on. He has had eleven weeks off since and does come up 2kg in the weights but nevertheless should put in another bold showing. (8) CHEUNGDAM GENIE was a class and distance winner on April 3rd, when settling midfield and running on. He remains very nicely weighted here and should be going close again. (5) LEGEND DAY used up plenty of energy getting to the lead from a wide gate over 1400M last time out, but back in trip and with a better draw, can be more competitive here. (4) MASK and (1) GLOBAL CAPTAIN are others in the placing frame.
Selections (9) Mighty Go (8) Cheungdam Genie (5) Legend Day (4) Mask
Next Best 1, 11
Fast Start 3, 5, 6, 11

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:36 AM

Belmont Park Picks - Sunday, May 8, 2022

Race 1: 2-5-1-4
Race 2: 4-2-1-6
Race 3: 3-5-4-1
Race 4: 4(MTO)-10-8-3
Race 5: 3-8-5-1
Race 6: 13(MTO)-8-2-6
Race 7: 6-7-2-9
Race 8: 2-4-3-6
Race 9: 10-4-2-8
**Most Likely: Lady Rocket #2 (Race 8)**
**Best Value: Smart Joker #3 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:36 AM

Lone Star Park Picks - Sunday, May 8, 2022

Race 1: 4-6-3-1
Race 2: 3-1-5-2
Race 3: 1-5-6-2
Race 4: 6-4-2-3
Race 5: 4-5-2-6
Race 6: 6-2-4-5
Race 7: 3-5-8-2
Race 8: 2-6-1-7
Race 9: 1-3-8-6
Race 10: 4-7-1-8
**Most Likely: Quick Quick Quick #1 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Now We Got A Show #6 (Race 4)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:37 AM

Monmouth Park Picks - Sunday, May 8, 2022

Race 1: 4-7-5-8
Race 2: 5-7-4-2
Race 3: 3-1-6-4
Race 4: 9-7-6-5
Race 5: 1-6-3-4
Race 6: 4-3-1-7
Race 7: 4-7-8-3
Race 8: 5-1-8-7
Race 9: 7-8-4-2
**Most Likely: Love In The Air (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Leader Of The Band (Race 9)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:37 AM

Mountaineer Park Picks - Sunday, May 8, 2022

Race 1: 3-4-7-6
Race 2: 8-2-7-3
Race 3: 6-3-4-1
Race 4: 5-6-3-2
Race 5: 3-5-1-2
Race 6: 4-2-3-1
Race 7: 3-7-6-5
Race 8: 7-8-1-4
**Most Likely Winner: Marriage Counselor (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Sophie Rules (Race 1)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:38 AM

Oaklawn Park Picks - Sunday, May 8, 2022

Race 1: 8-1-2-3
Race 2: 10-6-3-4
Race 3: 1-4-3-5
Race 4: 2-7-1-8
Race 5: 8-10-9-4
Race 6: 9-2-6-12
Race 7: 8-10-4-5
Race 8: 1-8-3-9
Race 9: 5-1-6-2
Race 10: 5-9-4-1
**Most Likely: Aux Arcs (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Unembellished (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:38 AM

Santa Anita Park Picks - Sunday, May 8, 2022

Race 1: 7-1-8-10
Race 2: 1-9-7-3
Race 3: 5-3-1-2
Race 4: 3-2-5-7
Race 5: 4-3-2-6
Race 6: 2-3-1-11
Race 7: 11-5-7-3
Race 8: 2-1-8-6
Race 9: 4-5-7-3
Race 10: 4-1-10-11
**Most Likely: High Connection (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Kazuhiko (Race 6)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:38 AM

Woodbine Picks - Sunday, May 8, 2022

Race 1: 6-2-1-3
Race 2: 4-2-5-7
Race 3: 4-6-3-2
Race 4: 6-3-4-7
Race 5: 1-2-5-4
Race 6: 2-5-4-6
Race 7: 2-5-1-6
Race 8: 1-5-3-2
Race 9: 2-6-1-8
**Most Likely Winner: Gozilla (Race 8)**
**Best Value: Moment Of Peace (Race 3)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:39 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

May 8, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Northfield Park has a 15-race program set to begin at 6:00 EST. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

4-Not Today (5/2)-Drops out of Open company where the water was too deep. Fits better here and should be forwardly placed throughout.
5-Hippestcatintown (2-1)-Was bet down to 2/5 in its NFLD debut and tried to wire the field. This Burke trainee fell 1/2 length shy and will look for an even better effort tonight.

Race 12

2-Ok Kudo (7/2)-Drops in the 2nd start for the Holzman barn and this time isn't stuck with the 8-hole. Davis should have in striking range turning for the wire and could reward new connections.
3-Sir Charles Of Sky (5/2)-Charles drops to the level of recent success and Grismore could have this Burke 4-year-old racing near the top of the stack. Looks like a player in a short price affair.

Race 13

5-One Last Laugh (7-1)-Steps-up after wiring the field last week and the fractions were snappy. Will respect chances with this post draw and should offer a solid price.
9-Bettor Than Spring (5/2)-Might be an odds-on choice if drew inside and will need some help with this post. There is some gate speed inside and Myers may end up with a close-up seat and then use a big brush to take control.

Race 14

5-True To Mach (7/2)-Likes to grind it out and one move-type should get an opportunity to roll by down the lane with this post draw.
6-You'remyhearthrob (7/2)-Not the handiest but has good speed. If finds a up-close seat, chances for a picture go up. Needs a good steer to beat this kind and will rely on Grismore doing his part.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

4,5/2,3/5,9/5,6
Total Bet=$16

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:39 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 5/8/22

May 8, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 11-Talklessworkmore; 8-Square Cat

Forecast: The Sunday opener is a grass grab bag over a mile for older state-bred maidens. We’ll try to get by using just two, but you may find the need to spread deeper than that. Talklessworkmore is stuck on the far outside 11 post position, but if he can somehow manage to get over and navigate a decent trip the S. Ruis-trained gelding should have as good a chance as any. A respectable third despite a troubled trip in a similar affair in late March, the son of Summer Front recorded a bullet half mile workout in :46 flat (fastest of 74) last week to indicate he’s ready to produce another forward move, so at 4-1 on the morning line we’ll put him on top. Square Cat, in the money in five of six career starts ran well enough to be second under these conditions last time out and really won’t have to improve much to win.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 7-Red Panty Night; 8-Liberalism; 9-Stoic Luna

Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in the second race, a $16,000 restricted (nw-2) claiming sprint for fillies and mares. Red Panty Night (TOC=5/2; ML=5/2) drops to her lowest level ever and is good enough to handle this task with a repeat of her bottom-rung maiden claiming win at Los Alamitos two races back. She was overmatched in her most recent start – a starter’s allowance sprint here in late February – but against this group the K. Mulhall-trained filly could get loose early and never look back. Additionally, she’s reunited with “win rider” R. Gonzalez and shows a steady, healthy recent series of workouts to indicate she’s right on edge. Liberalism (TOC=5-1; ML=6-1) is another dangerous class dropper that should be very competitive in this league. She projects to be part of the pace throughout and has numbers that fit. Stoic Luna (TOC=5-1; ML=4-1) is back sprinting on the main track, the scene of her 10 length maiden claiming win in mid-February. That race, if repeated today, makes her a major player.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: X
Single: 5-High Connection

Forecast: High Connection (TOC=3/5; ML=4/5) destroyed at maiden field in his debut by 10 widening lengths and did so with a stakes quality speed figure, so if he can duplicate that performance on the one-level raise while stretching out around two turns he’ll almost certainly win right back at a very short price. The son of Connect certainly is bred to run long and seems certain to be the controlling speed without having to be sent. At 4/5 on the morning line and likely to be closer to half that on the tote, he’s a no-value rolling exotic single in a race that we’ll otherwise pass.

Notable Workouts:

High Connection (May 1, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.4h). Grade: B+
Breezed outside Hopper (same time) while earning splits of :23.2 and :47.4, well in hand and finishing with plenty left. Broke his maiden easily in his debut and should be double tough on the raise. Acts like added distance will be easily within his scope.
View Workout Video

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RACE 4: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference: 5-Doncic; 3-Explosive

Forecast: Here’s a fairly contentious starter’s allowance extended turf sprint over the flat course that we’ve boiled down to two main contenders. Doncic has the proper style for this distance, improving speed figures, and a healthy work pattern since raced, so we’re expecting a career top performance from the son of Cairo Prince. The V. Cerin barn has been hot all meeting and we suspect jockey R. Curatolo will be on several live mounts in the coming weeks for this stable. Explosive, a clever winner over the all-weather surface up north in late March, has the route-to-sprint angle that we like and speed figures that make him a strong contender. The Liam’s Map gelding should find himself in an ideal pace-stalking position and then have every chance from the quarter pole home.

Notable Workouts:

Explosive (April 30, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:13.4h TT). Grade: B+
In blinkers, breezing most of the way while coming the final five furlongs in solo training track drill in :24.1, :36.2 and 1:00.4. Looks plenty fit and ready for a sharp effort.
View Workout Video

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RACE 5: Post: 3:07 PT Grade: X
Use (in order of preference): 4-Eda; 2-Empire Gal; 3-Elm Drive

Forecast: We’ll spread this year’s renewal of the Angel’s Flight S. for sophomore fillies while recognizing that Eda (TOC=Evens; ML=4/5) is the logical top pick and deserved favorite. But this may wind up being a more contentious race than anticipated by the punters. The daughter of Munnings, away for two months following her score in the Santa Ysabel S.-G3, will be seeking her fifth straight win for new trainer S. McCarthy, and has trained well enough to expect a good effort, but on pure numbers she’s not quite the standout than the form suggests. Debut winner Empire Gal (TOC=12-1; ML=4-1), so impressive at first asking at Del Mar in November, returns for M. McCarthy and has looked terrific in her a.m. drills. The daughter of Empire Maker cannot be underestimated. Elm Drive (TOC=11-1; ML=5/2) actually beat Eda last summer at Del Mar in the Sorrento S.-G3 and she, too, has trained like she’s ready to embark on a productive sophomore campaign. She won her debut by eight lengths at Los Alamitos last summer so you know she can fire fresh, and a :58 4/5 bullet five furlong workout (fastest of 64) last week tells us she’s fit and ready.

Notable Workouts:

Empire Gal (April 30, Santa Anita, 5f, :59hg). Grade: B+
Best in team gate drill with Quintecents (5f, :59.4hg) while looking very impressive, splits of :232.4, :35 flat, :47 flat and :59.1 on our watches, never really asked much and finishing with something left. On the upgrade and will get tested for class next time out. Decent filly, at the very least.
View Workout Video

Elm Drive (April 25, 5f, 1:00.4hg). Grade: B+
Much best in team gate drill with Golf Drama (4f, :48.4hg), easy early in hand and then strong late without being asked, splits of :25 flat, :36.2, :48.1 and 1:00.4. Aways since October but is returning in strong fashion and should make a very nice 3-year-old.
View Workout Video

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RACE 6: Post: 3:39 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 8-Admiral Halsey; 7-National Road; 10-Twokidsfromdabronx

Forecast: Admiral Halsey has improving form, rising speed figures, and exits a productive race, so the War Front gelding should be ready to earn his diploma in career start number seven. He has the proper style for this extended sprint distance over the flat course and should have every chance from a second flight, stalking position. National Road is a Midwest invader making his first local start and his first since last June. He could be a better type this time around for new trainer M. Glatt. First Class Dad returned off a year layoff to run a bang-up second in a productive high-priced maiden claimer and is protected today while returning to grass. The J. Bonde-trained colt, a strong runner-up over the local lawn last year, is a fit on numbers and with a forward move today will be the one to fear most at a generous 8-1 on the morning line. A recent bullet workout (:46 3/5, fastest of 76) certainly catches the eye. Twokidsfromdabronx has shown some ability in the a.m. for R. Hanson and is worth tossing in as well at 5-1 on the morning line. A $200,000 yearling purchase, the son of Cupid certainly won’t have to be a world beater to act with these and we suspect he’ll be competitive at this level.

Notable Workouts:

National Road (April 10, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.4h). Grade: B
In blinkers, final half mile in :23.4 and :48.1. light coaxing only, something left late. Been away since last June but is returning in good shape and seems fairly fit. Lightly-raced and may be better than shown.
View Workout Video

Twokidsfromdabronx (April 30, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.1hg). Grade: B
In blinkers, very nice gate drill, not particularly fast early but finishing strongly and with plenty left in team gate drill with Don’tcrossthedevil (4f, :49.2hg) and Classic California (4f, :59.4hg), splits of :23.4, :35.1 and :47 flat on our watches. Cupid gelding looks to have some talent and should make the entries soon.
View Workout Video

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RACE 7: Post: 4:11 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 7-Never Sway; 11-Quick Take

Forecast: This maiden $50,000 sprint for older state-bred fillies and mares came up soft. Never Sway has numbers that are good enough to win and looks ready to break through after three successive runner-up efforts against competition that was softer than what she’ll see today. She was almost four lengths clear of the rest in her most recent outing and though she’s already had five chances she may still have some improvement in her. Quick Take is a first-time Lasix user and has shown enough early speed to be dangerous in a race without much in it. Freshened since December, the sophomore filly should enjoy a clean trip from outside draw, so at 5-1 on the morning line she’s worth including on your ticket.

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RACE 8: Post: 4:42 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 3-Grandiosely; 8-Topolina; 1-M Is for Magic

Forecast: The known element in this soft maiden $50,000 claiming turf sprint for fillies and mares doesn’t inspire let’s go with a fresh face. Grandiosely finally makes it to the post at age five and this homebred daughter of City Zip is bred to love turf and has workouts at Los Alamitos that catch the eye, though fast times are the norm over a surface that always plays quick. The barn has strong stats with debut runners (20%) so at 5-1 on the morning line she’s worth a good look. Topolina has proven form at the level and after finishing a weakening third in a much stronger straight maiden affair over this course and distance in mid-March she drops for the money run while switching to good young rider R. Curatolo. M Is for Magic is a 13-race maiden and not one to trust, but on pure numbers she’s right there with the rest of them and from her rail post she’s guaranteed a good ground-saving trip. We’ll use all three in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Grandiosely.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:13 PT Grade: B+
Single: 2-Bold Endeavor

Forecast: Though we’re not convinced either one has to win, stable mates Triple Tap (TOC=6/5; ML=8/5) and Defunded (TOC=3-1; ML=4-1) should receive the bulk of the play in this second-level allowance main track miler for older horses. Here is the problem: ‘Tap has speed figures that have stagnated, and the once-promising half-brother to American Pharoah has failed when well-backed in each of his last three starts. He’s listed at 8/5 on the morning line and offers no real value at that price. Defunded hasn’t been out since winning an entry-level allowance race at Del Mar last summer, and while he has worked well for his return, the gelded son of Dialed In shows speed figures that are lower than par for this level. So, where does that leave us? Bold Endeavor (TOC=10-1; ML=5-1), away since September, has looked especially sharp in morning drills for M. Glatt (excellent with layoff runners) and shows numbers that are good enough to win at this level. First or second in eight of 14 outings over the Santa Anita main track, the son of Bernardini went a bit stale after a tough summer campaign but after several months of R&R should fire a huge shot fresh. At 5-1 on the morning line, he represents strong wagering value as a win play and rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Bold Endeavor (April 23, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01h). Grade: B
In blinkers, caught him from the half mile pole to the wire in :23.1 and :47.4 without being asked, sharp and eager on the comeback trail for M. Glatt. Coming back in good shape and should fire a good shot fresh.
View Workout Video

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RACE 10: Post: 5:43 PT Grade: A-
Single: 5-Noble Reflection

Forecast: This starter’s allowance/claiming turf miler has several entrants that on paper qualify as major contenders but have proven to be untrustworthy. So let’s look elsewhere. Noble Reflection (TOC=12-1; ML=8-1) stumbled badly at the start and lost all chance when far back in a main track miler in mid-March and before that was disappointing in a pair of sprints following an extended layoff. He drops into a claimer for the first time, switches to one of the barn’s “go to” riders (J. Bravo) and blew out a half mile in a sizzling :45 4/5 (fastest of 31) nine days ago to have him cranked and ready. With good racing luck today, the son of Liam’s Map has a chance to produce a form reversal. He earned a stakes-quality speed figure in his second career start sprinting at Oaklawn Park last year, so the talent is there, and at 8-1 on the morning line the R. Baltas-trained gelding could find himself as the controlling speed and never look back. Let’s take a stand and make him a win play and rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Noble Reflection (April 23, Santa Anita. 5f, :59.4h). Grade: B+
Sharp as a tack in solo breeze, final three furlongs in :36.2, plenty left late. Has to be better than recent races show. Will have big look with a class drop.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:40 AM

Odds Shark (Gareth Wheeler)

Soccer
Leeds - Arsenal over 3 (-105)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-08-2022, 06:41 AM

Scott Rickenbach

West Ham United vs Norwich City

Norwich City +369