Thursday 5/12/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Belterra Park Picks - Thursday, May 12, 2022

Race 1: 3-5-4-1
Race 2: 3-4-6-2
Race 3: 2-3-5-4
Race 4: 2-4-1-3
Race 5: 2-1-4-5
Race 6: 3-2-1-5
Race 7: 1-4-2-5
Race 8: 8-7-5-1/1A
**Most Likely Winner: Zebra Cake (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Gran Rojo (Race 2)**

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Churchill Downs Picks - Thursday, May 12, 2022

Race 1: 2-8-6-5
Race 2: 4-6-2-7
Race 3: 5-1-6-2
Race 4: 6-1-5-8
Race 5: 5-2-3-9
Race 6: 2-7-9-1
Race 7: 3-1-6-2
Race 8: 8-7-4-6
**Most Likely: Beverly's Charge #4 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Viburnum #8 (Race 8)**

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Gulfstream Park Picks - Thursday, May 12, 2022

Race 1: 8-7-6-3
Race 2: 5-1-4-6
Race 3: 8-7-9-1
Race 4: 2-7-1-4
Race 5: 8-4-3-7
Race 6: 3-5-4-6
Race 7: 4-2-3-5
Race 8: 3-8-5-6
**Most Likely Winner: Choose To Be Happy (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Tag Her (Race 5)**

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Pimlico Opening Day Picks - Thursday, May 12, 2022

Race 1: 4-1-3-5
Race 2: 2-4-3-6
Race 3: 6-1-5-2
Race 4: 7-9-4-1
Race 5: 3-7-5-6
Race 6: 6-3-7-9
Race 7: 4-2-3-7
Race 8: 2-1-4-3
**Most Likely: Miss Moreno #2 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: My Sacred Place #3 (Race 5)**

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Woodbine Picks - Thursday, May 12, 2022

Race 1: 1-4-6-2
Race 2: 2-6-3-4
Race 3: 5-4-3-2
Race 4: 8-4-3-7
Race 5: 5-6-4-3
Race 6: 6-1-7-2
Race 7: 1-2-4-6
Race 8: 3-1-9-8
**Most Likely Winner: At The Lyric (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Delightful Dreamer (Race 2)**

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Pimlico Primer: Betmix, 1/ST BET Hints for Old Hilltop

May 12, 2022 | By 1/ST BET

Pimlico’s 12-day Spring Meet kicks off Thursday and, of course, boasts the 147th Preakness Stakes on Saturday, May 21. First post time each day will be 12:40 pm ET with the exception of Preakness (10:30 am ET) and Black-Eyed Susan (11:30 am ET). The Thursday-Sunday weekly lineup includes a dark day on Sunday, May 22 (post-Preakness) and a special Memorial Day, Monday, May 30 offering on closing day before Maryland action returns to Laurel Park.

Some Betmix Angler pointers for Pimlico: Sire Curlin’s offspring win 32% on the dirt since 2016 … Trainer Keiron Magee aims here with 50 dirt winners since 2015 at a 29% strike rate (particularly strong in dirt routes) … Trainer Charles “Spider” Frock is the longshot look to make in dirt races. You’d have returned $1.89 for every $1 bet on his 99 starters at Pimlico since 2015, including a $27 winner last Spring … On turf, horses exiting turf races with 14% while those exiting dirt races win 9% - an important distinction as its early in the grass season in the Mid-Atlantic … With 1-1/16 miles races at Pimlico the go-to route vs. the 1-turn mile at Laurel, note horses exiting Laurel 1-turn miles and 2-turn routes both win at 15% in these races at Pimlico (no advantages).

The 1/ST BET app provides artificial intelligence handicapping picks and data for races throughout North America. Here’s how the AI shapes up the opening-day allowance feature Thursday at Pimlico:

Pimlico // Race 7 // allowance // 1-1/16 miles (turf) // 4:00 pm ET

#6 Helluva Lady (12-1) // 27%W
#7 My Candy Girl (7-2) // 21%W
#4 Why Not Tonight (3-1) // 12%W
#2 I’m Blushing (9-2) // 10%W

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Gulfstream 5 Facts | May 9-16, 2022

May 10, 2022 | By 1/ST BET

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$135,184 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Thursday)

$4,359 // Super High 5 (Thursday)

Feature Race(s):

$75,000 Roar // 3-year-old turf sprinters // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Trainer Current Meet (28%, +$26.60)

Avg. E2 Pace (33%, -$3.20)

ITM (In the Money) % (29 %, -$5.60)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Jose Francisco D’Angelo // 8: 4-0-1 (50%, $3.83 ROI) // $6, $11, $12, $30 winners // 3 of 4 wins on turf

T: Jorge Delgado // 5: 3-0-1 (60%, $2.00 ROI) // $4, $6, $9 winners // 2 dirt maiden scores

T: Saffie Joseph Jr. // 6: 3-2-0 (50%, $2.03 ROI) // 2-2 with favorites + $17 winner

J: Emisael Jaramillo // 24: 6-7-4 (25%, $1.08 ROI) // 5: 3-1-1 with favorites // won for 6 different trainers

J: Chantal Sutherland // 9: 4-0-1 (44%, $2.77 ROI) // $6, $13, $14, $16 winners // won 3 of her last 4 mounts

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Churchill Downs - Race #5
Picks Notes
#4 Fort Moultrie His turf form from last year was pretty good, as he turned in a couple good on the grass and only ran poorly when trying stakes company. He's probably going to get bet a bit, but I think the presence of the guy listed next might keep things just playable here.
#2 Kygo This spot is obviously a whole lot easier than most of what he has seen since arriving in the states, but I'm not sure he's a really clear cut above a couple others in here, and I wouldn't want to be here from way off the pace at too short of a price.
#7 Policy Option I'd want him on the deeper tickets off those Fair Grounds tries, as those turf conditioned claimers can have some okay horses in them, and he'll be a better fit while getting back in a claiming spot today.
Race Summary Fort Moultrie and Kygo seem likely to settle this, but the former may offer a slightly better price while getting a better trip closer to the front end early. Thinking he gets the jump and holds Kygo late.

Churchill Downs - Race #6
Picks Notes
#4 Full Charge Still like it when a barn grabs one and moves them into starter company like this, and a scan of the overall form here suggests he might be a pretty snug fit at this kind of level. Tactical player has plenty of appeal.
#7 Invisible War He ran a really good race with starter company at Fair Grounds, and I like that something similar to his recent efforts would leave him in a great spot while tracking the pace. Reliable and in the mix.
#3 Perfect Cut He looks well placed for the new team, and he's another who can land a good trip while tracking the pace. It wouldn't be a surprise to see him move up a bit here, and and he doesn't have much improving to do in order to land this.
Race Summary The form on Full Charge looks a lot better when you consider his clunkers this year came off the layoff and over synthetic footing, and his form gets really attractive when you give him a pass for those. I'd be thrilled at something like the 7/2 ML price.

Churchill Downs - Race #8
Picks Notes
#6 Dreamful On one hand, she might be a trap horse after settling for underneath slices in the last five starts, but in the end I think she's supposed to win this race from close range, as there aren't many other forward players to quicken the tempo too early.
#4 Hatari She's an appealing alternative to the top choice, and she'll offer a better number for sure. She has some pretty reliable finishing form on the grass and figures in the frame late for a piece.
#7 Youens She has been in really good form since getting back on the grass in February, and I like that she's not a desperately deep closer in a race that might not have a super quick pace. She's a threat into the far turn.
Race Summary Dreamful has good pace and an ability to stay, and she's just not meeting many others who want to force the issue early. Easy to see her blowing this open into the stretch after participating in a modest tempo. Thought we'd get much better last out from #1 Hat Tip, and I wouldn't be at all surprised to see her bounce back here. Think she's useful in the gimmicks at a big price.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

The Meadows - Race #1
Picks Notes
#2 HILLBILLY KISSES Useful comeback chasing rapid pace, knows how to win.
#5 DIAMOND OFFICIAL Can make good use of her speed in this spot with Palone.
#3 SAGE IVY Northfield invader drops, changes driver for fifth consecutive start.
Race Summary Hillbilly Kisses chased the fleet-footed winning favorite and finished third in her seasonal debut. She finished first or second in 11 of 25 starts last year and could be poised to strike again. Play 2-3 and 2-5 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#3 PROCRASTINATOR U.S. invader deserves look at 15-1 with MacDonald in bike.
#4 DREAMFAIR ARNIE B Bet down to 3-to-5 in seasonal debut but equipment broke.
#5 WILLIAM HANOVER Hit board in three straight, the latest from post 10.
Race Summary Procrastinator, no factor from post 7 against better, ran well two starts back at 5/8-mile Miami Valley. He tracked the 1-to-5 pace setter and 3-1 pocket sitter, angled 3-wide at the top of the stretch and finished an even third, earning the top speed figure of anyone in today’s field. Play a 3-4-5 exacta box.

Hoosier Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#4 JKs LIFESAVER Awaited room at

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Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

Free Winners for Thursday, May 12th 2022 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
CHARLES TOWN
RACE #7
TIME: 9:49 PM EST
PICK: BET #6 Sniff 9/5 odds to win @ Bovada

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Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	MLB – Athletics +110
2.	Gameday Network	MLB – Reds +115
3.	Sports Action 365	NBA – Heat over 207
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	NBA – Suns -2
5.	VegasSI.com	NHL – Kings +120
6.	PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY)	NHL – Maple Leafs over 6.5
7.	Henry Brown Sports	NHL – Bruins -125
8.	Winning Big Sports	MLB – Twins over 8.5
9.	Lou Panelli	MLB – Dodgers -130
10.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	MLB – Nationals under 8.5
11.	William E. Stockton	NBA – Heat +2
12.	Vincent Pioli	NBA – Suns -2
13.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	NBA – Heat over 207
14.	SCORE	NHL – Maple Leafs +115
15.	Tony Campone	NHL – Bruins -125
16.	Chicago Sports Group	NHL – Maple Leafs over 6.5
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	NBA – Suns under 212
18.	VIP Action	NBA – Heat +2
19.	South Beach Sports	MLB – Nationals +140
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	MLB – Twins over 8.5
21.	NY Players Club	MLB – Yankees over 8
22.	Fred Callahan	MLB – Dodgers -130
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	NHL – Blues -115
24.	Michigan Sports	NHL – Bruins under 6
25.	National Consensus Report	NHL – Maple Leafs +115

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Odds Shark (Gareth Wheeler)

Soccer
Arsenal - Tottenham
Tottenham ML (+120)

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August Young

Phoenix / Dallas Under 212.5

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Ross Benjamin

NBA

Suns/Mavericks under 212'

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Jimmy Adams

MLB

Chicago White Sox (-135) - Cease/Gil must start