Friday 5/20/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Busan Friday: Race-By-Race Preview (May 20)

The weekend’s action gets underway at Busan on Friday where there are 8 races from 12:00 to 18:00. All betting locations are open. Here are the previews:

Busan Race 1: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

Three-year-old maidens in the opener. It’s hard to look far past (4) SEOBU TEUKGEUP. She’s raced twice so far, finishing 4th and 3rd. both over this distance and registering times far superior than any of the other experienced ones in the race have come close to. She draws very nicely to be on or close to the pace and having won the Derby last Sunday, jockey Perovic should be returning to Busan with a win here. (7) POINT REIGN is the clear second-pick. It took him three trials to qualify but once he did, he ran well for 4th place at this distance on debut on April 10th. With some natural improvement for that run, he can give the favourite a race here. (10) MORNING MUSE has hinted at some ability over four starts so far, with fair times in his latest couple. (3) PURE MAGIC and (8) JANGSEONG DAERO are first-timers who in this company can be competitive first-up.
Selections (4) Seobu Teukgeup (7) Point Reign (10) Morning Muse (3) Pure Magic
Next Best 8, 1
Fast Start 2, 4, 7, 10

Busan Race 2: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

More three-year-old maidens and another hot favourite. (6) MAN OF THE MAN trialed up promisingly a couple of times before running a strong 2nd on debut at this distance on April 17th when handy throughout and running on. He won’t need to improve much at all on that run to win here and can lead or sit handy again and prove far too strong. (1) UNJU STAR showed significant improvement at his latest outing when stepped up to 1300M on March 20th. He sat midfield and ran on well for 3rd that day and while he does come back in trip, he gets a good draw on the inside and can continue to make progress here. (10) WALTZ CHARM improved on her second start and while he does come up in the weights as a result of an apprentice not being engaged this time, he too seems be heading in the right direction. (5) LOUD COLOR looks the best of the two debut-makers at this stage, while (9) COME ON FIRST is another who can improve off a middling debut.
Selections (6) Man Of The Man (1) Unju Star (10) Waltz Charm (5) Loud Color
Next Best 9, 8
Fast Start 3, 5, 6, 9

Busan Race 3: Class 6 (1400M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

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We’ll take a chance on (7) NOBLE SPIRIT here. He returned from almost six months out to run a creditable 4th over 1200M on April 22nd when settling midfield and then running on well in a fair time. He should strip fitter for that run and the additional furlong may well suit. Despite the Perovic factor, he should be available at an each-way price. Probable favourite is (3) MAGIC WHISPER. He comes in having led almost the entire way around over 1300M on April 15th, only to be beaten late on by Wonderful File. From a good draw, he should lead again and will surely be in this a long way. (2) ZET CASH has already raced over this distance a couple of time, finishing 4th on both occasions, including at this latest outing on April 8th. He tends to go right back and then run on but may be ridden handier from a better draw today. He does come up 4kg in the weights due to not having an apprenticed booked, but he should be competitive. (10) SPEED SUNSHINE has been consistent and can aim for another money finish. (9) CHOEGANG DUDEURIM, a last start 2nd at big odds, another in the frame.
Selections (7) Noble Spirit (3) Magic Whisper (2) Zet Cash (10) Speed Sunshine
Next Best 9, 5
Fast Start 3, 7, 8, 10

Busan Race 4: Class 5 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

(5) HIT THE ROAD has the joint-fastest time of any of these at the distance, and comes back in trip following a 6th place over a mile on April 29th. Two starts back he was 2nd at this distance when handy to the lead throughout. An apprentice jockey takes some weight off here and he looks very nicely in to add a second win at what will be his twenty-second start. (3) O.K. THUNDER was a good winner on debut at 1200M on Boxing Day. He didn’t reappear until April 17th when he stepped up to this class and ran 7th of twelve over 1300M. He should have benefited from that run and be much more competitive here. (4) KING PARTY was a good winner at this distance two starts back before running 5th on his first try at this class on April 29th. He draws well and can go close. (2) JIN MARK got her maiden win at start number fourteen over this distance at class 6 level on April 29th, when going right back and running on. She draws nicely, carries a light weight, and can measure up. (7) LIGHT STORY among others to consider.
Selections (5) Hit The Road (3) O.K. Thunder (4) King Party (2) Jin Mark
Next Best 7, 1
Fast Start 1, 5, 7, 8

Busan Race 5: Class 5 (1600M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

(2) TOP ADELE comes in having made all to win at class and distance back in February. That was a good fourteen weeks ago but coming in fresh shouldn’t be a problem and nor should the additional 3kg on his back. He draws very well again and can lead all the way again. The most credible danger to the favourite is (4) DAEHO NURI. His solitary win came at 1300M two starts back when he came from well off the pace and he ran similarly on his first go at this class on April 17th, again at the 1300M. The step up to the mile could well suit and he can go close here. (6) B J’S TERMS returned to action on April 29th following nine months out. He ran well, finishing in 3rd place on a sloppy track over 1400M. His reward is he has to come up in class but in this company he can measure up and while he may not be a wining chance, he can place again. (1) GREEN PAPAGO and (7) DIA FORCE are others in at least the placing frame.
Selections (2) Top Adele (4) Daeho Nuri (6) B J’s Terms (1) Green Papago
Next Best 7, 3
Fast Start 1, 2, 3, 6

Busan Race 6: Class 4 (1600M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

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(1) TRIUMPH CAT returned to action after almost six months out on April 10th and he ran well for 2nd at this class and distance, settling back and running on. He comes up slightly in the weights today but draws very well and looks to be the one to beat. (2) HANBIT YEONGGWANG is yet to win in nineteen attempts but ran well for 3rd on her latest start on April 17th when just off the pace throughout and running on well over 1400M. She steps up in trip today and from a good draw, it can suit. (8) RUN FIGHTER was a class and distance winner two starts back on March 4th when on pace throughout and winning emphatically. He could only manage 6th on his reappearance on April 24th but can be given another chance here despite the high weight. (6) K K WON came home in 3rd place in that April 24th race and along with (7) CHEONGMA HWANGHU is another to consider for the minors.
Selections (1) Triumph Cat (2) Hanbit Yeonggwang (8) Run Fighter (6) K K Won
Next Best 7, 5
Fast Start 1, 5, 6, 8

Busan Race 7: Class 4 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

Fillies and mares only here. (4) MY DESTINY will be a warm favourite to win. Her sole win came at this distance and she has eleven top-five finishes from thirteen starts. At her latest outing on April 29th, she beat three of these on her way to 2nd place over 1400M racing handy throughout. She comes up a couple of kilos in the weights, but that is balanced by a better draw and she may take some beating. (5) MORNING THUNDER comes up in class following a good win at this distance on April 15th, when she ran on strongly after a going back at the start. She comes down in the weights, draws nicely and should measure up at this level. (3) K.B. BOSS was a last start winner at this class and distance, settling midfield and then running on. She comes up 2.5kg but should still be competitive on that and can go close. (2) ACHIM BIT and (9) NAMDO QUEEN are others in the hunt.
Selections (4) My Destiny (5) Morning Thunder (3) K.B. Boss (2) Achim Bit
Next Best 9, 8
Fast Start 4, 6, 9, 10

Busan Race 8: Class 3 (1800M) Allowance / KRW 75 Million

(8) BURNING PARTY comes in having won the TCK Trophy at this distance on April 3rd when she tracked the leader throughout, hitting the front at the top of the straight and then running on comfortably. That was her second win at the distance and while a couple of these have beaten her before, she looks to be the one in-form. (2) ADELE PUPIL was 2nd in that race having been handy throughout. She meets Burning Party 2kg better here and from a great draw will be a danger. (4) GEUMA KAIROS returned to action on April 15th after more than a year out. He ran 5th of nine over 1200M and should be much the better for it. He won at this class and distance before the layoff and don’t rule out a big performance here. (5) HILL MORE, up significantly in weight after a last start class and distance score, and (9) ALIVE CAPTAIN, up rapidly in class following back-to-back wins, are others who can enter the calculations.
Selections (8) Burning Party (2) Adele Pupil (4) Geuma Kairos (5) Hill More
Next Best 9, 7
Fast Start 2, 4, 8, 10

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Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

May 20, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Hoosier Park begins the weekend with a 14-race card. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11, and the sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Starlit Dandy (4-1)-Beat this kind last week after breaking stride in the previous start. Winner of 2 of the last 3 should be a player if minds manners.
3-Head Games (3-1)-Trotted home with a 56.3 back half but fell short at 3/5. A slow start prevented a 2-race win streak but can make amends with an alert beginning.
4-Northern Rocks (7/2)-This 8-time winner in 2021 woke up last week in the 3rd start off the bench. That was the 1st picture on Lasix and could stay good for another.

Race 12

1-Street Boy (6-1)-Recent form has been dull but isn't facing $50k and $60k claimers here. Will look for improvement and should be forwardly placed.
3-Palomar (5/2)-Shipped in from M1 and finished a well beaten 4th going off at even money. Should be better tonight but is 0-3 at HoP and might offer little value.
10-Ima Real Ladys Man (9/2)-Is only 1-12 in 2022 and drops to a more competitive level. Bates could follow #1 and race near the top of the stack. That type of trip could lead to a brush down the lane to roll by this crew.

Race 13

5-Lou's A Pansy (5/2)-Finally gets a decent post draw after starting from post 10 three straight times. This is the 4th start off the bench and could be sitting on a big try.
7-Great Image (2-1)-Rallied with a 54.4 back half to beat 3 from this field in last. This program chalk should be a main threat again.

Race 14

3-This Kit Rocks (5-1)-Has had trouble beating Caption This (8) as others in this field have. Gets a post draw edge and will take a swing a for a solid price.
6-Brookview Bullet (3-1)-Likes to race near the lead and should be able to follow that plan. DeLong takes the lines, recent form has been good and should be driven aggressively here.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,3,4/1,3,10/5,7/3,6
Total Bet=$18

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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 5/20/22

May 20, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst


Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 5-Acquired Class; 6-Helladic

Forecast: The opener is a five furlong sprint on grass for 2-year-olds that have never trained on turf, with four of the seven having been prepared out of sight at San Luis Rey Downs. In what amounts to a guessing game, we’ll double the race in rolling exotic play but otherwise pass. Acquired Class, a $70,000 yearling by Cairo Prince, comes from a winning outfit but shows only four listed training center workouts, the last two from the gate. Maybe he can run some, but who (other than maybe his connections) really knows? Helladic has displayed good speed in morning dirt workouts (see below), as one would expect from a son of Kantharos, but with City Zip on the bottom side of his pedigree he should like the lawn, too, so if he can shake loose early he may be able to keep on going in what appears to be a lackluster group of babies. Tread lightly here.

Notable Workouts:

Helladic (May 11, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.1hg). Grade: B-
Was hustled along from the gate while always outrunning Royal Halo (3f, 34.3hg, asked hard, sent a few ticks lower than given) while earning splits of :23.4, :35.1, :47.4 and 1:01.2 on our watches, slowing up noticeably late and while failing to change leads. Has good zip, probably not much stick, the shorter the better for this juvenile son of Kantharos, have to think he’ll be quite competitive in a soft field.
View Workout Video


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RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade:
Single: 2-Lunatic

Forecast: Lunatic (TOC=2/5; ML=6/5) is listed as the 6/5 morning line favorite and almost certainly will leave at odds-on in this $20,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares. First or second in her last six starts, exiting a pair of tougher starter allowance sprints but remaining above her $16,000 claim level, the R. Alvarado-trained mare should have no difficultly handling this soft assignment as a no-value rolling exotic single. It’ll be interesting to see how many claims are submitted for her.


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RACE 3: Post: 2:09 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 3-Madiha; 5-Big Clare

Forecast: This California-bred first-level allowance turf miler drew a field of six, but the way we see it really offers only two winning possibilities. Madiha (TOC-Evens; ML=2-1) has finished first or second in four of five career starts over the local lawn and seems well-spotted to fire another big shot. The barn (2-for-60 this year) offers little confidence, but this daughter of Shaman Ghost has a good stalking style that should keep her free of trouble and has numbers – including a career top mark last time out - that are better than par for this level. Big Clare (TOC=2-1; ML=5/2) always has preferred to run second or third (eight times) rather than win (once) but she is another with solid in the speed figured and has a prior victory over this course and distance. She’s never been known to punch it in under pressure but against this group can’t help but be a major player with anything close to her best effort.


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RACE 4: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference: 5-Breakfast Ride; 2-Tahoe Secrets

Forecast: Breakfast Ride is the 7/5 morning line favorite in this maiden $40,000 extended sprint for older horses, not because of anything he’s done but simply as a default measure in a woefully weak affair. The J. Sadler-trained colt exits a hot race (speed/fade) but with this monumental class drop the son of Distorted Humor could shake loose early and get very brave. Tahoe Secrets flashed some speed in his debut before fading back to be a distant fourth in a similar affair last month. He’ll adds blinkers today for a barn that has respectable stats with the second-time starter angle, so it’s within the realm of possibilities that the son of Secret Circle improves enough to be a factor.


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RACE 5: Post: 3:07 PT Grade: B+
Single: 4-Ikigai

Forecast: Ikigai (TOC=7/2; ML=3-1) was vanned up north seeking a confidence-building maiden win over the Golden Gate Fields all-weather surface last month and did what was expected when crushing a better-than-par field in a visually pleasing effort that earned a much improved, career top number. As expected, the result was franked when the runner-up returned to graduate in a canter next time. This son of Bayern will be making his first start on grass but the surface switch shouldn’t be an issue, and with the ability to stalk and pounce the R. Alvarado-trained sophomore projects to draft in behind the dueling need-the-lead types Hot Box and Trainer Please and then go on with it when ready. At 3-1 on the morning line, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.


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RACE 6: Post: 3:39 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 3-Loma Vista; 6-Work to Live; 2-Talkative Gal; 1-Pequena Tormenta

Forecast: This starter’s allowance event for fillies and mares looks highly-competitive, so we’ll spread the race going four deep in rolling exotic play but otherwise sit it out. Loma Vista (TOC=2-1; ML=5/2) has the proper style for this extended sprint distance and should enough help up front to set things up for her closing kick. The P. D’Amato-trained filly has rising numbers and a healthy work pattern since raced, so we’re expecting a career top effort. Work to Live (TOC=6-1; ML=3-1) had little behind her when graduating by 11 lengths in-March and the number was modest but did it with plenty left and returns after a two-month vacation protected in a sign of confidence and from a cozy outside that allows her to dictate the race tempo. Talkative Gal (TOC=5-1; ML=4-1), away since breaking her maiden in a $50,000 affair last October, returns as a first-time Lasix user with a nice series of local workouts that should have her plenty fit. She could easily be a better type this time around and her numbers from last year give her a major look even if she isn’t. Pequena Tormenta (TOC=3-1; ML=3-1) must overcome the rail but she looked decent graduating in her comeback in late March with a nice figure when trained by R. Baltas, and if she duplicate that type of performance for new trainer G. Papaprodromou she’ll be competitive right back.

Notable Workouts:

Porquena Tormenta (May 8, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h). Grade: B-
Broke off a length behind Balladeer (5f, 1:00.4h) and finished about a neck back at the wire while a tad second best but without much pressure, splits of :24.1, :36 flat and 1:00.4 on our watches, a tick slower than given but decent, nonetheless. In good shape, should be competitive on the raise.
View Workout Video

Talkative Gal (May 14, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3hg). Grade: B-
Decent solo gate drill for comebacker in D. O’Neill barn, easy early, asked a bit late, splits of :25 flat, :36.2, :48.1 and 1:00.3 on our watches. Coming back as well as she left, has starter’s allowance conditions.
View Workout Video


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RACE 7: Post: 4:11 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 5-Barsabas; 1-Cowboy Charlie; 4-Shut Up Michael

Forecast: In a high-priced claiming turf sprint restricted to 3-year-olds, Barsabas (TOC=Evens; ML=7/2) turns back in trip after exiting a series of tougher middle distance events and fits nicely on all levels as the logical top pick. He is strong in the speed figure department, shows a prior win over the local lawn and projects to settle into a comfortable pace-stalking position and have every chance from there. The analytics given him an even money chance to win, though he’ll certainly go higher than that. Cowboy Charlie (TOC=6-1; ML=6-1) turns back to a sprint, adds blinkers for the first time and could be the controlling speed if he breaks sharply from the rail. He’s a tad light in the speed figure department but if she can shake loose early he could take this field a long way. Shut Up Michael (TOC=5-1; ML=7/2) broke his maiden sprinting over this turf course in January but wasn’t able to act with allowance foes in four subsequent starts so this drop in class is warranted. We like the blinkers off and route-to-sprint angles and suspect this P. D’Amato-trained Irish-bred gelding will make some noise late.


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RACE 8: Post: 4:42 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference: 4-Team Concept; 9-Big Rosie

Forecast: The nightcap is a nine furlong maiden claiming turf event for older fillies and mares. The two that we’ll be using have a bit more potential (and are less exposed) than the others so we’ll try to get without a stiff investment. Team Concept stayed on reasonably well with third in a similar affair in her first outing on grass and acts like she’ll appreciate today’s longer trip. With any kind of forward move, the daughter of Acclamation should be highly-competitive against this group at 6-1 on the morning line. Big Rosie had a right to be a bit short when making the pace before fading late against much stronger starter optional claiming foes in her first outing since August. She returns to the level at which she was claimed, and in her second off the layoff the daughter of Kitten’s Joy seems sure to improve a bunch. The outside post is no bargain but if good enough she’ll overcome it.

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Jeff Siegel's Best Plays for Pimlico - Friday, May 20, 2022

May 20, 2022

Best Plays - Pimlico
Friday, May 20, 2022
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst


Pimlico - Second Race. Post time: 12:01 ET
1-Run Raegan Run (8/5)

Maryland-bred sophomore finally makes it to the post almost exactly a year after being purchased for $87,000 at the 2021 Timonium sale, where she was quite impressive breezing a furlong in 10 1/5 seconds (galloped out a quarter mile in 21 4/5 seconds). Quick-actioned filly had put together a healthy series of recent workouts for a barn that has impressive stats (24%) with the first-time starter angle, so we’re going to assume that she’s fit and ready. The stable’s go to-rider (J. Toledo) takes the call, so with a clean break from the rail the daughter of Golden Lad should be hard to beat in this waiver $40,000 six furlong sprint.

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Pimlico – Fourth Race. Post time: 1:02 ET
7-Affable Monarch (4-1)

Promising colt won his debut sprinting by six and one-half lengths last summer at Monmouth Park, so we know he can fire fresh, but then was stopped on and turned out after finishing an unlucky second while probably best in the subsequent Rocky Run S. over a mile at Delaware Park the following month. This talented son of Arrogate returns as a first-time Lasix user with a series of easy breezes at the Colts Neck Stable training center that hopefully will have him fit and ready. The long winded son of Arrogate has a chance to develop into a very useful type and based on his two runs last year could easily outclass this 3-year-olds only first-level allowance middle distance affair.

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Pimlico – Eleventh Race. Post time: 4:38 ET
1-Phantom Vision (6-1)

This Michael Maker-trained filly drew the far outside in the 13-runner Giant’s Causeway Stakes at Keeneland last month and never really had much of a chance after racing wide throughout and then winding up eighth (beaten nine lengths) against a much tougher field than she’s facing today. She’s beautifully drawn on the rail today in this five furlong dash while switching to Flavian Prat, so we’re expecting to see the daughter of Declaration of War revert to her best form, which based on speed figures is good enough to win. There is excellent value available in the win pool and in the various exotics at or near her morning line of 6-1.

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Pimlico – Twelfth Race. Post time: 5:10 ET
6-Capacostello (6-1)

Morning line favorite (2-1) Vindicative may be the one to beat in this year’s renewal of the Pimlico Special-G3 and should be included in the exotics but let’s go for price in the win pool with this former Panamanian champion, who had a couple of promising outings earlier this year at Gulfstream Park and seems primed to produce a significant forward move. After finishing a distant fourth behind the top class Olympiad in January, the Kentucky-bred son of Cross Traffic rallied strongly but too late when second to the multi-stakes winner Fearless in the Ghostzapper S.-G3 last month. Today, with an extra furlong to work with and with the switch to Flavian Prat, the four-time South American Group-1 winner has a legitimate chance to pull off a mild surprise.

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Pimlico – Thirteenth Race. Post time: 5:44 ET
10-Adare Manor (5/2)

Lost a toughie at odds-on when out-photo’d by Desert Dawn in the Santa Anita Oaks last month but was flattered when ‘Dawn returned to finish an excellent third in the Kentucky Oaks-G1 behind Secret Oath. This daughter of Uncle Mo has trained in sensational fashion in the last few weeks and appears ready to regain the form that had produced back-to-back wins by a combined 25 lengths and speed figures that are good enough to handle this assignment. She projects to be on or near lead throughout and will offer plenty of wagering value at her morning line of 5/2, if you can get it.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pimlico Black-Eyed Susan Pick 4 | Friday, May 20

May 20, 2022 | By Frank Carulli

PIMLICO BLACK-EYED SUSAN PICK 4 ANALYSIS
Friday May 20, 2022

Preakness weekend will kick into high gear with a 14-race card Friday, featuring the Grade III Miss Preakness and Grade II Black-Eyed Susan stakes, both for 3-year-old fillies, and the Grade III Pimlico Special for older colts and geldings. All three races are part of a 50-cent, all-stakes Pick 4 wager that shapes up this way:

PIM 10th race (4:07 EST) -- LA CASA D’ORO awakened in her first start for 2021 Maryland Trainer of the Year Brittany Russell, driving clear in mid-stretch to a 5-1/2F maiden win that timed 1-1/5 seconds faster than a same-day allowance won by hard-hitting filly Mattitude (4-9, $164k). She takes a big step up in class in the Grade III Miss Preakness, but she projects an ideal stalking trip in a speed-laden field at a big price. SAUCY LADY T, who rallied for third in three consecutive graded sprints last fall – one against champion Echo Zulu -- makes her seasonal debut for new trainer Graham Motion, who excels with layoff types of 180-plus days. HAPPY SOUL passed by recent Grade II runner-up Pretty Birdie when she won the $150,000 Dixie Belle Stakes off an eight-month layoff. She pressed the pace for 6F in the Grade I Ashland in her first route attempt and worked a 5F bullet since then. UNDER THE STARS can be excused for stumbling badly in the Grade II Santa Anita Oaks. The 8-5 morning-line favorite is the only graded stakes winner in the field; however, the horses she beat in the 7F Santa Inez are 5/0-0-0 since then, losing by a combined 66 lengths.

PIM 11th race (4:38 EST) -- The 10-percent chance of rain is a favorable weather forecast for PAYNTDEMBLUESAWAY in the $100,000 Very One Stakes. But she’s not on our ticket despite winning 9 of 11 starts sprinting on firm turf courses throughout the East. She starts outside, offers little value and the rivals she defeated in her last three wins were a combined 2-for-24 in their next start. PHANTOM VISION is a better-priced option after she began her sophomore season with back-to-back wins on the main track but couldn’t overcome a very wide trip from post 13 in the Giant’s Causeway Stakes on the Keeneland lawn last out. She dueled on a short lead in her prior turf sprint try before Toby’s Heart, a three-time turf stakes winner in her last nine starts, passed by. HONEY PANTS, installed as the 5-2 morning-line choice, looms equally dangerous after she followed the move of the 7-to-5 allowance favorite and drew away in the final sixteenth while wearing blinkers for the first time.

PIM 12th race (5:10 EST) -- Trainer Todd Pletcher has two live entrants as he seeks his third victory in the Grade III, $300,000 Pimlico Special. VINDICTIVE is our top choice, having won 3 of his last 5 starts at 1-1/8 miles and finishing a troubled third behind Speaker’s Corner, impressive winner of the Grade I Carter Handicap last month. UNTREATED, Pletcher’s uncoupled entrant, will try to avenge a photo-finish setback against FOREWARNED in the Excelsior Stakes in his most recent start. Both finished ahead of favored First Constitution, who came back with a wire-to-wire romp in the 1-3/8-mile Flat Out Stakes. CAPOCOSTELLO, a Grade I winner in Panama at 1-5/16 miles, broke slowly in his U.S. debut, then lagged far back in the Grade III Ghost Zapper Stakes before launching a stretch rally to finish second between winning odds-on favorite Fearless (6-15, $906k) and third-place finisher Greatest Honour, winner of the Grade II Fountain of Youth earlier this year. FIRST CAPTAIN trailed after a half mile but ‘noticeably quickened late’ to reel in the loose leader in a 7F allowance to remain perfect while running on Lasix. He tired in the Grade I Carter Handicap next out, but shows three bullet workouts since then and wears blinkers for the first time.

PIM 13th race (5:44 EST) -- Maryland-based star LUNA BELLE is every bit as good – maybe better – than she looked in winning five consecutive minor stakes by a combined 20 lengths. The farther she ran, the faster she appeared to finish for unheralded jockey Dennis Arajuo. She gets top call in the Grade II Black-Eyed Susan at 1-1/8 miles. ADARE MANOR shook a duel on the final turn with Grade II winner Ain’t Easy, then battled to a photo-finish setback in the stretch with drifting winner Desert Dawn, who came back to finish third in the Grade I Kentucky Oaks. INTERSTATEDAYDREAM ran away from her 1-to-2 stablemate to win off a seven-month layoff, then she set the pace and tired in the Grade I Ashland Stakes won by Kentucky Oaks favorite and runner-up Nest (4-6, $850k). BEGUINE, on the improve since stretching out in distance, rode the rail the entire way and just missed in the Grade III Fantasy. She fired a bullet workout leading up to the Kentucky Oaks, but didn’t draw into the race from the also-eligible list. She is another viable longshot.

Suggested 50-cent Ticket

PIM 10TH Race: 2, 4, 5, 6
PIM 11th Race: 1, 2
PIM 12th Race: 1, 6, 8
PIM 13th Race: 5, 6, 9, 10

COST: $48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita Park Picks for May 20, 2022 – Horse Racing Betting Tips

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — May 20th, 2022 12:34am PDT

Santa Anita Park Picks for May 20, 2022 – Horse Racing Betting Tips

It’s the eve of the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course. The Preakness is the second leg of the Kentucky Derby and always a good party in Baltimore.

If you aren’t for how formal the Kentucky Derby is then you’d like to go to the Preakness Stakes. You can still dress up, but it’s more of a rowdy atmosphere at Pimlico. That’s the allure of the Preakness.
No Triple Crown Allure
With no Triple Crown bid on the line, the party at Pimlico Race Course is the main attraction for most people. You will have to go to the infield festival if you’re looking for a wild party.

We’re stopping for the Friday card at Pimlico and Santa Anita Park. Santa Anita has eight races worth $402,000 in California on Saturday afternoon. Head below for our best Santa Anita picks on May 20, 2022.
Rank
Betting Site
Bonus Bet Now
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Race 2
(1) Chrome of Our Own
+500 (5/1)
(2) Lunatic
+120 (6/5)
(3) Starship Defiant
+250 (5/2)
(4) Stoic Luna
+250 (5/2)
(5) Back On the Street
+800 (8/1)

Post Time: 1:32 p.m. PST

Distance:6 Furlongs

Purse: $26,000

Race 2 is a 6-furlong event for a $26,000 prize. Look at Starship Defiant and Lunatic to have a good chance at the wire.

Starship Defiant is a two-time winner in 11 attempts. The filly won four races back in a $26,000 assignment. Since then, Starship Defiant finished 2nd, 2nd, 4th.

In her last race, Starship Defiant placed 2nd behind Flat Out Joy by 2

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Pimlico Race Course Picks for May 20, 2022 – Horse Racing Betting Tips

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — May 19th, 2022 9:54pm PDT

Pimlico Race Course Picks for May 20, 2022 – Horse Racing Betting Tips

The 147th Preakness Stakes is quickly approaching this weekend. The Preakness has a post time scheduled for 7:01 p.m. EST at Pimlico Race Course on Saturday. There isn’t as much drama involved in this race as most would have hoped for in Baltimore.
Skipping The Preakness
Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, is bypassing the Preakness Stakes to prepare for the Belmont Stakes in two weeks. The longer distance at Belmont Park should appease Rich Strike rather than the shortest race of the Triple Crown at Pimlico.

Friday is a pretty big day at Pimlico as well. There are six stakes races, with the feature the $300,000 Pimlico Special (Gr. 3). We’re at Pimlico for raceday to open Preakness Weekend. There is a total of $1,508,000 in prize money available.

Head below for our best Pimlico picks on May 20, 2022.
Rank
Betting Site
Bonus Bet Now
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Race 4
(1) Uncle Irish
+400 (4/1)
(2) Natagar
+350 (7/2)
(3) Rustys Gfivefifty
+300 (3/1)
(4) Majestic Frontier
+1000 (10/1)
(5) Gallant Gold
+2000 (20/1)
(6) Shady Munni
+1200 (12/1)
(7) Affable Monarch
+400 (4/1)
(8) Heffner
+500 (5/1)

Post Time: 1:02 p.m. EST

Distance:1 1/16 Miles

Purse: $58,000

Race 4 is a $58,000 race covering 1 1/16 miles on the dirt. Look for Rustys Gfivefifty and Affable Monarch to put forth big bids in this one.

Rustys Gfivefifty is 3 for 10 and he is coming off back-to-back wins on April 9 and April 22. In the first of two wins, Rustys Gfivefifty was a 2 length winner for a $41,728 purse on April 9.

The gelding followed up two weeks later with a 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pimlico Tip Sheet - May 20

PIMLICO TIPS - FRIDAY, MAY 20, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $58,000 ALLOWANCE 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 11:30 AM ET
BEST BET: #14 HARD TO BE HUMBLE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	14	Hard to Be Humble	J C Alvelo
PLACE	9-2	8	Credit River	J Rosario
SHOW	15-1	5	Dathoss	J Ruiz
WILD CARD	4-1	9	Detroit City	L Saez
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	15	Our Shot	J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	3	Chauffeur	M Enriquez Jr.
* EXACTA: 14-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/8/14 BOX, 5/8/9 BOX
RACE #2 $32,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:01 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 RUN RAEGAN RUN
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	1	Run Raegan Run	J Toledo
PLACE	5-2	2	Saint Eros Girl	T Gaffalione
SHOW	12-1	6	Utterly Courageous	J D Acosta
WILD CARD	8-1	8	Miss Midnight	M Rowland
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	3	Practically There	C Cedeno
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	4	Swayin to and Fro	J Barbosa
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX
RACE #3 $58,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:32 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	10	Never Explain	F Prat
PLACE	3-1	4	King Vega	L Saez
SHOW	12-1	8	Undercover Kitty	J Ruiz
WILD CARD	12-1	14	Great Idea	J Toledo
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	2	Spitball	D Centeno
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	7	Sea Ghost	G Whitacre
* EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-14 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/8/10 BOX, 4/8/14 BOX
RACE #4 $58,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:02 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	3	Rustys Gfivefifty	J Barbosa
PLACE	4-1	1	Uncle Irish	J Rodriguez
SHOW	10-1	4	Majestic Frontier	X Perez
WILD CARD	4-1	7	Affable Monarch	J Toledo
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	8	Heffner	C Cedeno
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Gallant Gold	D Araujo
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
RACE #5 $62,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:33 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	2	Vulcan	J Rodriguez
PLACE	2-1	3	Nottoway
SHOW	9-2	7	Comedy Town	V R Carrasco
WILD CARD	12-1	1	Valued Notion	X Perez
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	W W Springtime	C E Lopez
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	4	Tommy Shelby	D Araujo
* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
RACE #6 $58,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 ANOTHER WOMAN
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	2	Another Woman	J Toledo
PLACE	9-2	3	Escape Fund	J C Alvelo
SHOW	15-1	1	R Bs Star	J Barbosa
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Tweet Away Robin	C Marquez
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	5	Awfully Foxy	L Corujo
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	9	Shinelikeadiamond	K Gomez
* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
RACE #7 $62,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:34 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	13	Benandjoe	J C Alvelo
PLACE	7-2	2	Mandate	A Wolfsont
SHOW	15-1	8	Pretty Good Year	J Rodriguez
WILD CARD	3-1	5	Gentleman Joe	H Karamanos
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	4	American dOro	D Centeno
ALTERNATE 2	50-1	12	I Am That I Am	Y Aviles
* EXACTA: 13-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/8/13 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX
RACE #8 $150,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:05 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150K ALLAIRE DUPONT DISTAFF STAKES G3
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	1	Exotic West	J Castellano
PLACE	3-1	6	Frost Point	F Prat
SHOW	5-2	4	Super Quick	F Geroux
WILD CARD	9-2	5	Lil Kings Princess	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	2	Into Vanishing	L Saez
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	3	Click to Confirm	A Cruz
* EXACTA: 1,4,6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,4,6 /1,4,5,6/1,4,5,6
COMMENTS: EXOTIC WEST put up the top last race speed figure with major improvement in her late pace numbers. FROST POINT was considerably better in the second half of her last start and will try to move forward in her second start after a layoff. SUPER QUICK has plenty of early pace and her resume says she will be difficult to pass if she has the lead going into the stretch. LIL KINGS PRINCESS is another with plenty of gas at the jump. She is an all or nothing horse on a fast track with three wins in five races.
RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:36 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100K HILLTOP STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-5	4	Pizza Bianca	J L Ortiz
PLACE	9-2	8	Vergara	L Saez
SHOW	12-1	7	Murph	J Toledo
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Diamond Hands	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	1	Determined Gold	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Determined Star	V R Carrasco
* EXACTA: 4/6,7,8
* TRIFECTA: 4,8/4,6,7,8/1,4,6,7,8
COMMENTS: PIZZA BIANCA never ran off the board in four starts with a pair of wins and a pair of competitive seconds. VERGARA showed some early pop in previous races and gest first time Lasix today. That can be a winning combination. MURPH tried grass for the first time in her last race and she set a personal best speed figure. DIAMOND HANDS has not run since November but her speed figures where on par with this bunch and she could be plenty better as a three year old.
RACE #10 $150,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:07 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150K MISS PREAKNESS STAKES G3
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	2	Under the Stars	F Prat
PLACE	6-1	3	Lady Scarlet	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	5-2	6	Happy Soul	J R Velazquez
WILD CARD	20-1	7	Sweet Solare	J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	La Casa dOro	J Toledo
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	8	Gimmick	T Gaffalione
* EXACTA: 2,3,6,7 Box
* TRIFECTA: 2,3,6/2,3,6,7/2,3,4,6,7
COMMENTS: UNDER THE STARS welcomes back jockey Flavien Prat who has two wins a second and third when riding. LADY SCARLET has plenty of early pace and has won two of three at the distance. HAPPY SOUL won three laughers in a row before trying her luck in a Grade I. The small drop in class should help. SWEET SOLARE is coming off a big win where she dramatically improved her early burst and improved her pace numbers from start to finish.
RACE #11 $100,000 STAKES 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:38 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100K THE VERY ONE STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	1	Phantom Vision	F Prat
PLACE	5-2	2	Honey Pants	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	12-1	6	Can the Queen	V R Carrasco
WILD CARD	3-1	10	Payntdembluesaway	F Lynch
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	3	Princess Kokachin	X Perez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	11	Spun Glass
* EXACTA: 1,2,6,10 Box
* TRIFECTA: 1,2,6/1,2,6,10/1,2,3,6,10
COMMENTS: This race looks fairly open. So, we are hoping to catch some value. PHANTOM VISION started way outside in her last race. The move to the rail should improve her fortunes. HONEY PANTS improved from race to race in her first two starts following a layoff and is likely to be better in round three. CAN THE QUEEN has a win at this level and it was at the track, distance and surface. PAYNTDEMBLUESAWAY is mostly a win or sometimes nothing horse with nine wins in 15 races with a second.
RACE #12 $300,000 STAKES 1 3/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300K PIMLICO SPECIAL STAKES G3
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	1	Vindictive	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	12-1	4	Workin On a Dream	H Karamanos
SHOW	12-1	10	Mischief Afoot	J L Ortiz
WILD CARD	12-1	9	Treasure Trove	J Toledo
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	3	Untreated	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Capocostello	F Prat
* EXACTA: 1,4,9,10 Box
* TRIFECTA: 1,4,10/1,4,9,10/1,3,4,9,10
COMMENTS: VINDICTIVE ran the highest last race speed figure and has 18 furlongs of solid workouts since. WORKING ON A DREAM has a bullet workout on May 8 and if he busts to an early lead, he could be tough to catch. MISCHIEF AFOOT upped his pace figures from start to finish in his last race and has a bullet work since. He should be sharp. TREASURE TROVE regained his form in 2022 and should be rolling at the end.
RACE #13 $250,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:44 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250K BLACK-EYED SUSAN STAKES G2
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	10	Adare Manor	J R Velazquez
PLACE	9-2	6	Luna Belle	D Araujo
SHOW	6-1	7	Distinctlypossible	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	15-1	4	Midnight Stroll	J Castellano
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	13	Morning Matcha	F Pennington
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	9	Interstatedaydream	F Geroux
* EXACTA: 6,7,10/4,6,7,10,13
* TRIFECTA: 1,4,10/1,4,9,10/1,3,4,9,10
COMMENTS: ADARE MANOR is a couple of necks from winning four of her first five races. A bullet work following a strong effort says she will be a major player here. LUNA BELLA is on a five race win streak, making them all look easy. DISTINCTLYPOSSIBLE just broke her maiden in the third go but finished second in a GI race in her second career effort. MIDNIGHT STROLL improved her speed figure in each of her start after her debut. She made the last two look easy on the lead from start to finish.
RACE #14 $55,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:23 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	5	Heavens Got Fire	J Trejos
PLACE	8-5	7	Peligroso	J R Leparoux
SHOW	15-1	4	Blame B B	H Karamanos
WILD CARD	3-1	1	Bali Dove	J R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	8	Fully Connected	J Toledo
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	9	Claudee Boy	J Toledo
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - May 20

CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - FRIDAY, MAY 20, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	6	Grand Oak	M Garcia
PLACE	9-5	7	Cowichan	J Graham
SHOW	8-1	4	Moon Magic Chrissy	D Cannon
WILD CARD	5-1	1	Realitos	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	3	Dominicana	C Landeros
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	2	Shes Jersey Tuff	R Bejarano
* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
RACE #2 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 4 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	6	Late September	J Graham
PLACE	5-2	7	Tivy	B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW	12-1	4	Archarch Cat	J Padron-Barcenas
WILD CARD	7-2	8	Easy Big Boy	U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1	Jeremys Jet	J Gilligan
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Revere Note	M Murrill
* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX
RACE #3 $16,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Queen Louise	A Beschizza
PLACE	8-5	1	Matts Honey	R Bejarano
SHOW	4-1	6	Carry On	E Herrforth
WILD CARD	5-1	5	Positive Vibes	J Graham
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	2	She Wants More	E Morales
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
RACE #4 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 RUFA RED KNOT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	4	Rufa Red Knot	A Beschizza
PLACE	8-5	5	Very Wealthy	R Gutierrez
SHOW	8-1	2	Tones	C J Hernandez
WILD CARD	2-1	6	Hot Anna	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1	Cami Cat	R Diaz
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	7	Shrimpie	F De La Cruz
* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
RACE #5 $50,000 CLAIMING 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	4	Attentive	R Santana Jr.
PLACE	3-1	5	Next	B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW	7-2	2	Cowboy Diplomacy	A Beschizza
WILD CARD	3-1	3	Intraday	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	Good Juju	C Landeros
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1A	Celerity	G Saez
* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
RACE #6 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	8	Best Bet	R Santana Jr.
PLACE	6-1	5	Hill of Gold	V Cheminaud
SHOW	10-1	7	Active Duty	R Gutierrez
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Cant Hush This	R Diaz
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	10	Sea Force	U Rispoli
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	6	Overslept	J Graham
* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
RACE #7 $50,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 VERB
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Verb	J Graham
PLACE	5-2	8	Full Impact	C J Lanerie
SHOW	12-1	1	Emerald Express	U Rispoli
WILD CARD	7-2	6	Roderick	J Sanchez
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	7	Hope and Dignity	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Picasso	J Gilligan
* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX
RACE #8 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	17	Pirates Punch	A Beschizza
PLACE	4-1	18	Claytnthelionheart	G Saez
SHOW	3-1	5	Skyro	U Rispoli
WILD CARD	6-1	13	Megacity	J Rocco Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Point Me By	A Beschizza
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	8	Speitful Sam	E Morales
* EXACTA: 17-18 BOX, 18-5 BOX, 5-13 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/17/18 BOX, 5/13/18 BOX
RACE #9 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 PLAUSIBLE DENILE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	2	Plausible Denile	F Arrieta
PLACE	8-1	3	Prize Fighter	C Landeros
SHOW	3-1	6	Open Road	R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD	6-1	9	Paid Twice	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Kiawah Breeze	M Murrill
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	5	Boones Path	J Talamo
* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/6/9 BOX

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Belmont Park Tip Sheet - May 20

BELMONT PARK TIPS - FRIDAY, MAY 20, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 REQUESTFORPROPOSAL
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	1-1	6	Requestforproposal	M Franco
PLACE	10-1	7	Gailhorsewind	H K Harkie
SHOW	9-2	5	Masabeeh	J Lezcano
WILD CARD	10-1	2	Belleshazza	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Quaria Thunder	E Cancel
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	3	Dont Be Cheeky	J A Davis
* EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
RACE #2 $96,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:32 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	3	Dealing Justice	D Davis
PLACE	3-1	4	Piece of My Heart	M Franco
SHOW	8-1	5	Just Read It	T McCarthy
WILD CARD	1-2	1	Caramel Swirl	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 1	30-1	2	Letmetakethiscall	L Cardenas
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #3 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	3	My Delicious	L Cardenas
PLACE	4-1	7	Ace Girl	M Franco
SHOW	7-2	6	Ms No Vax	D Davis
WILD CARD	7-2	4	Miscreant	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Twenty Two Elle	J L Samuel
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	1	Keen Dancer	L A Rodriguez Castro
* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
RACE #4 $30,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:32 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	9	Born a Gambler	D Davis
PLACE	4-1	12	Exalted Charm	J A Gomez
SHOW	15-1	1	Super Wicked Charm	R E Mena
WILD CARD	9-2	2	Achilles Heel	M Franco
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	10	Noble Conquest	T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	11	Ocean Deep	O Hernandez Moreno
* EXACTA: 9-12 BOX, 12-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/9/12 BOX, 1/2/12 BOX
RACE #5 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/4 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 3:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	11	Balthus	M Franco
PLACE	6-1	8	Snows Island	K Carmouche
SHOW	5-1	7	Grand Cay	J Lezcano
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Remote	T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	4	Good Medicine	L A Rodriguez Castro
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	12	Gregs Honor	J L Samuel
* EXACTA: 11-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/8/11 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX
RACE #6 $50,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:34 PM ET
BEST BET: #1A PRINTRACK
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	1A	Printrack	J Lezcano
PLACE	5-2	2	Dots Dollar	D Davis
SHOW	2-1	3	Doinittherightway	M Franco
WILD CARD	6-1	6	Heads Or Tails	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	1	Silipo	E Cancel
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	7	Sailor Speed	L Cardenas
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
RACE #7 $85,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:08 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 CHASING CARA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	2	Chasing Cara	D Davis
PLACE	8-5	6	Khali Magic	T McCarthy
SHOW	9-2	3	Pretty Clever	K Carmouche
WILD CARD	5-2	5	Bank On Anna	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	Towering Orbit	J A Vargas Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Wailin Josie	L Cardenas
* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
RACE #8 $85,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	1-1	8	Graded On a Curve	M Franco
PLACE	8-1	7	Ruse	T McCarthy
SHOW	4-1	10	Therisastormbrewin	Rider TBA
WILD CARD	7-2	4	Hush of a Storm	D Davis
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	1	Danzigwiththestars	J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	2	K P All Systems Go	A S Worrie
* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/8/10 BOX, 4/7/10 BOX
RACE #9 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:12 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	14	B C Glory Days	D Davis
PLACE	9-5	16	Lucky Brody	Rider TBA
SHOW	9-2	12	Bless Bless	J A Gomez
WILD CARD	6-1	2	Sensibleconclusion	E Cancel
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Pivotal Run	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	3	Cagney	L A Rodriguez Castro
* EXACTA: 14-16 BOX, 16-12 BOX, 12-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 12/14/16 BOX, 2/12/16 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Hotlist - May 20

May 19, 2022

Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Friday, May 20, 2022
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (7) Cowichan is a firster from Ward who looks best in this spot. (1) Realitos debuts for Asmussen and deserves respect. (6) Grand Oak was second in her debut and will be a threat here. (3) Dominicana might wake up for Ward here. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-7. Exactas: 1-7 with 3-6 and 3-6 with 1-7. Doubles: 1-3-6-7 with 1-6-7-8.
2nd race – (7) Tivy is training sharply for his debut for Asmussen and merits top billing. (6) Late September can move forward off a fourth in his debut. (8) Easy Big Boy is another firster who seems to have some talent. The (1) entry of Jeremy’s Jet and You Choose Wisely is also worth a look. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-7-8.
6th race – (5) Hill of Gold (B) was a troubled third in his career debut and Can make amends here. (8) Best Bet was second or third in his last three starts and should be the main rival. (9) Bluegrass Royale could be a factor in his debut. (10) Sea Force may find smooth sailing in his debut for Asmussen. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-8-9-10.
8th race – (6) Monition set the pace and led most of the way before finishing a close third. (9) Haig Point chases a third straight win and looks like the one to fear. (12) Ocean Atlantique fits better here. (1) Continental Coins was hurt by a wide trip and should welcome breaking from the rail. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-9-12. Doubles: 1-6-9-12 with 2-4-6-7.
9th race – (6) Open Road is training sharply for his career debut and may be hard to catch. (4) Predominate is another firster who may have some ability. (7) York Tavern is eligible to win at first asking. (2) Plausible Denile may be better suited by a little more distance. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-7.

No.

Letter/Last race

Today’s race

Comment

(5)

Hill of Gold

B, 4/29

6 CD

Was a troubled third in debut

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Belmont Park Hotlist - May 20

May 19, 2022

Today’s New York Hot List races to watch – Friday, May 20, 2022 at Belmont Park
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1^st race [Md 40000, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (8) Candlestick Maker (B) clipped heels in his debut race and almost went down when he was a well bet at 9-2 for Bruce Levine. (5) Masabeeh moved back to the grass following a four-month layoff and finished second after having the lead. (6) Requestforproposal had a pair of fourths for Chad Brown at Tampa Bay in maiden special weights. (4) Quaria Thunder was claimed at Turfway Park for $30,000 by Mike Maker after three good efforts on the artificial surface.
6^th race [OC40k/SAL40k, 6F] – (3) Doin’ittherightway was claimed from a victory in a similar spot for $40,000 also by Mike Maker. He cuts back from a mile to a distance at which he won his only start. (2) Dot’s Dollar was a maiden claiming winner for $40,000 in his first start for Tom Morley who had just claimed him. (1) Silipo was second in his first start following a claim by Linda Rice in the same kind of condition. (6) Heads Or Tails had a pair of good efforts at this level.
7^th race [NY, OC45k/N2X, 6

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

05/20/22, GP, Race 2, 1.18 ET
05/20/22,GP,2,5F [Dirt] 00:56:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $65,000 (includes up to $10,000 Other Sources). (INCLUDES UP TO $5,000 State Bred) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 118 lbs. Two Year Olds must reach date of birth by race date.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Awesome Flay(b+)	8/1	Berrios H I	Slivka Sandra L.	SFEW	154	31.17	1.44/$1
098.6576	2	Keanu(b+)	3/1	Lopez P	David Carlos A.		238	36.97	1.25/$1
097.9458	6	Big John	7/2	Jaramillo E	D'Angelo Francisco	J	154	31.17	1.44/$1
097.9308	9	Boppy O	9/2	Gonzalez E	Casse Mark E.	T	154	31.17	1.44/$1
097.2843	7	Three Zero	8/1	Meneses M	Abreu Fernando		154	31.17	1.44/$1
096.4247	8	Quickening	4/1	Camacho. Jr. S	Orseno Joseph F.		154	31.17	1.44/$1
096.3491	1	Free Soul	15/1	Vasquez M A	Munoz Carlos		154	31.17	1.44/$1
094.5187	5	English Bob	12/1	Reyes L	Pita Daniel		154	31.17	1.44/$1
093.5806	4	Christensen	20/1	Rios J M	Gonzalez Oscar M.		154	31.17	1.44/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.51, ROI 0.78/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.3424
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] *Race Entries Not Greater Than 9 -with-
[Dirt MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
*Scratches may change this condition

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Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

Free Winners for Friday, May 20th 2022 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
CHARLES TOWN
RACE #7
TIME: 10:02 PM EST
PICK: BET #2 Platinum Frolic 7/2 odds to win @ Bovada

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Philadelphia w/Suarez +133 over LA Dodgers