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Thursday 5/26/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
May 26 '22, 7:45 PM in 51m
MLB | Brewers vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals -115 at Caesars
Thursday's MLB Free Pick: St Louis Cardinals -115
I'll take my chances with the Cardinals as a slim -115 home favorite against the Brewers. This is just too good a price to pass up with St Louis at home. Cardinals are going to be fresh after an off-day Wednesday, while Milwaukee had to fly in to St Louis after closing out their series in San Diego against the Padres yesterday.
I also love looking to back veteran Adam Wainwright when he's on the mound at home. Last year Wainwright had a 2.74 ERA in 19 home starts. He's off to another great start at home in 2022, as he's got a 2.50 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in 3 starts. Not to mention a 2.74 ERA and 1.116 WHIP over nearly 50 (43) career starts against the Brewers.
Milwaukee will go with Eric Lauer, who is an impressive 4-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 0.936 WHIP in 7 outings. Not to say he hasn't pitched well, but I do think he's benefited from a bit of a sof slate. His 7 starts have come against the Orioles, Pirates, Phillies, Cubs, Braves, Marlins and Nationals. Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Miami and Washington all rank in the bottom 10 in runs scored. Philly is the highest of those in 8th with Chicago T-14 and Atlanta 16th.
St Louis is Top 5 and No.5 in runs scored. They scored just 1 in their last game against the Blue Jays, but Toronto had Gausman on the mound. Prior to that they had scored 4 or more in 7 straight with 5 or more in 5 straight. Give me the Cardinals -115! Confidence Rating: 5 (Scale of 1-10)
May 26 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Red Sox vs White Sox
Play on: Red Sox -102 at Caesars
Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Boston Red Sox -102
The Boston Red Sox are finally starting to play up to their potential. They are 6-1 in their last seven games overall and scoring 7.9 runs per game during this stretch. They have a big advantage on the mound over the Chicago White Sox tonight.
Michael Wacha is 3-0 with a 1.76 ERA and 1.011 WHIP In six starts this season. The Red Sox have gone 5-1 in his six starts as he has consistently been undervalued. The White Sox are hitting just .222 and scoring 3.4 runs per game against right-handed starters this season.
Dallas Keuchel is the weak link in Chicago's rotation. He is 2-4 with a 6.90 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 23 earned runs in 30 innings with 18 walks and only 16 K's. Keuchel has posted a 5.09 ERA and 1.475 WHIP in seven career starts against Boston.
Chicago is 1-7 in its last eight home games vs. a right-handed starter. Bet the Red Sox Thursday.
May 26 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Red Sox vs White Sox
Play on: Red Sox -102 at circa
1* FREE PLAY RED SOX.
Yesterday I gave out a play on the White Sox. I advised laying the chalk, and Chicago came away with the 3-1 victory. On Thursday though I think the value has swung the other way. I like Michael Wacha in this matchup. The Red Sox were on a 6-game win streak which saw them plate 54 runs, but yesterday it left 12 runners stranded and went just 1-for-9 with men in scoring position. Wacha though is 3-0 with a 1.76 ERA this year. Keuchel is 2-4 with a 6.60 ERA this season. Look for Boston to get back on track at the plate and for Wacha to take care of the rest. Consider the Red Sox on Thursday night!
AAA Sports
May 26 '22, 9:38 PM in 2h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Angels
Play on: Angels -155 at Mirage
My free play is on the LA Angels at 9:38 ET.
The Blue Jays missed a wild card spot by ONE game in 2021 but were a 'sexy' preseason pick to best the Rays, Red Sox and Yankees in the brutally tough AL East in 2022. The Angels are coming off a 77-85 season and the franchise's only World Series title came back in 2002. I'm sure it seems like even more than two decades ago to Angel fans, as the team has missed the postseason 11 times in the last 12 years (got swept 3-0 in a 2014 ALDS in its lone appearance in that span). However, as Toronto opens a four-game series in Anaheim against the Angels on Thursday, the Blue Jays are just 23-20, 7 1/2-games behind the NY Yankees in the AL East. Meanwhile, the Angels check in at 27-18, just TWO games behind the Astros in the AL West.
Hyun Jin Ryu (1-0, 6.00 ERA) will make his fifth start of the season for the Blue Jays. Ryu missed a month because of a sore left forearm, but he has eased concerns in the two starts since his return, allowing just one run in 10.2 innings. He is coming off his best start and his only victory of 2022, when he threw six scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds on Friday in a 2-1 win. Shohei Ohtani, LA's two-way superstar, is 3-2 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in seven starts (Angels are just 3-4). Ohtani seems to have regained velocity on his fastball that dipped a little a couple starts ago. I realize his pitching stats are below expectations but note that he still owns a 53-9 KW ratio and opponents are batting just .205 against him. Ryu's status is still unclear and it's important to note that while Toronto owns a minus-7 run differential, the Angels own a plus-48 differential, second in the AL to only the Yankees (plus-68). Take Ohtani and the Angels!
Good luck...Larry
Play - Texas Rangers w/Perez vs. Montas (Game 921).
Edges - Rangers: Perez 3-0 with 0.00 ERA and 0.91 WHIP away this season; and 7-0 last 7 team-starts in May … Athletics: Montas 0-3 last three team-starts versus the Pinstripes; and 0-7 last 7 team-starts in May … With that, we recommend a 1* play on Texas. Thank you and good luck as always.
Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Texas Rangers +108 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Texas Rangers tonight as underdogs to the Oakland A's. Martin Perez has been one of the top starters in the American League this year and goes for the Rangers tonight. Perez is 3-2 with a 1.64 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 8 starts this year, and 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 3 road starts. Perez had yielded just one earned run in 12 innings in his last 2 starts against the A's. Frankie Montas is 0-3 with a 6.87 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Rangers while yielding 14 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings. Take Texas.
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