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Sunday 6/5/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
We nailed a goal prop on Saturday, as Connor McDavid got us the win just seconds into Game 3 of the Western Conference Final.
My free plays for you tonight are a smattering of player props from Game 2 of the NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and Golden State Warriors.
I like the value I see with a few players with specific props, and will give you a quick reason for each one without getting too deep:
GOLDEN STATE
- Stephen Curry 3+ 3-pointers made 1H (+205) ... if there is one person who has to set the tone with his shooting it's one of the greatest 3-point shooters in the history of the sport. Curry buried seven 3-pointers in Game 1, the third time he canned five or more in five games. After seeing how the Celtics closed Game 1, I expect Curry to come out firing.
- Andrew Wiggins Over 1' Assists (+105) ... no surprise with this line as Wiggins is averaging 1.6 assists per game during the postseason. But he's averaging 2.3 over the last six games. That numbers might be bigger had he not turned in a 0 in Game 1. Wiggins has to be better and more efficient at dishing the rock, and I'm banking on him dealing at least two dimes tonight.
BOSTON
- Al Horford Over 11' points (-115) ... will this wily veteran score 26 again? I doubt it. Especially since we need to see a better game from Jayson Tatum. But with the way I expect the Warriors to defend Tatum and Jaylen Brown, it wouldn't shock me to see Horford put up at least 12.
I am taking this one straight to the bank, so make sure you are along for the ride.
Thursday night the Celtics got very hot in the 4th quarter of play in their 120-108 comeback win against the Warriors in a game that landed Over the total by 13 points.
I don't think the C's are going to be lights out from distance like they were on Thursday, but I do think we are once again going to land Over the total in Game Two of the NBA Finals from Chase Center.
Boston comes into this second game of the series having played Over the total in 2 of their last 3 this postseason, and in 5 of their last 8 playoff games overall.
Meanwhile, Golden State has tipped Over the posted price in 5 of their last 8 as well, including each of their last 3 playoff games Over the posted price.
I get the feeling this series is going to shape up to be a little bit more on the offensive side of things.
Celtics-Warriors Over the total for Sunday night in San Francisco.
My free play for Sunday will be the Washington Nationals over the Cincinnati Reds.
We just saw these two put an 18-spot on the board Saturday, as the Nationals beat Cincinnati, 10-8.
Both teams have been allowing large numbers of runs.
Since May 23, the Nationals' pitching staff has an ERA of 6.61, and has been pelted for 86 runs in 13 games, an average of 6.6 per game.
Going back to May 24, the Reds' staff has an ERA of 4.96, and has allowed 55 runs over 11 games, an average of 4.0 per game.
Overall this season, only Colorado has allowed more runs than Washington and Cincinnati. And lest we forget the Rockies host teams in Denver's rarified air.
Washington hands the ball to Patrick Corbin, who is having an awful season. He is 1-8 with a 6.96 ERA, including an 0-4 mark with 8.17 ERA in five road starts this season.
Now, I know Cincinnati starter Luis Castillo has been pitching well for the Reds of late, but he also has a 4.65 ERA in two home starts this season. Castillo is 0-4 with a 4.94 ERA against Washington in five career starts.
Washington has gone high in 10 of 14, while the Reds have gone high in 17 of 24 in Cincinnati.
Let's look for the weekend at Kauffman Stadium to end the way it began, and that is with an Over in the Astros-Royals Sunday afternoon series finale.
Yesterday's game held Under the total, as the Astros did not score!
I have a feeling that will change this afternoon.
KC has still played Over the total in 11 of their last 15 games contested!
The Astros will go with Framber Valdez who sports a season ERA of 2.57, so the Royals runs may be a bit limited today, but the Astros should be able to do the "heavy lifting" today against Jonathan Heasley and his 4.66 season ERA.
The bats have been making noise this weekend, and I say stay the course and look for them to make some more noise on Sunday in the series finale.
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