Saturday 6/11/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Hawthorne - Race #4
Picks Notes
#1 Hey Ma She ran okay here last year when racing for more than three times the price, and she might be able to fire fresh after tailing off at Turfway in December. Might have to be aggressive from the fence.
#4 Victoria's Doll She caught a runaway winner in the debut try, but she's definitely not exposed with only that one start under her belt, as many of these have had their share of chances. Very tough with any improvement.
#3 New China She's another logical player as she drops back into the maiden claiming ranks after trying much better on the turf last time out. The team took her out of the debut, tried to get something better out of her, and now here she is right back in a very logical spot.
Race Summary With most eyes on Belmont today, here are a few potential plays that might fly under the radar. Hey Ma might get a little overlooked as something like the third choice behind the other listed pair, and I think she might like this kind of level with the locals.

Hawthorne - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 Remember the Maine Pretty interested in this one after the mild rally with allowance company last out, as he wasn't too far off these in the two-back run and figures to benefit from a solid pace today.
#4 Omar Attack Think he gets a similar setup to the top choice, and he proved a really good fit with this kind of company last out. Looks like one of the obvious players.
#3 Red Hot Devil He benefits if this comes over to the dirt, as he would probably be the inside pace with a chance to run all the other forward players off their feet.
Race Summary Remember the Maine looks interesting at what should be a mid-range price, as he's run well on the grass in the past and looks likely to get a pretty good race flow to work with today.

Hawthorne - Race #8
Picks Notes
#8 Chipofftheoldblock Overall he looks a touch cheap for these, but that two-back effort behind Jackie's Warrior was really sharp, and I think he might be able to get the right kind of first-jump trip today.
#10 What's Up Dude Think he might be able to settle off the splits and hope some of the pace starts coming back, and his very best stuff keeps him in the frame today.
#9 Isolate He should be in the picture early with his pace, but I worry that he might get a touch outrun early, leaving to have to try to finish from off the splits.
Race Summary Lots of respect for #2 Kneedeepinsnow, but he doesn't always back up his big efforts, and he figures to take some cash here. Chipofftheoldblock would be interesting at anything like his 8/1 ML price, as he looks in line for an advantageous trip and has shown some solid talent in the past.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Northfield Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#6 CAMPUS QUEEN Parlayed perfect trip into easy victory, steps up in class.
#2 JANS LEGACY Useful try with first-time Lasix from second-tier starting spot last out.
#4 BEARCREEKHONEY Failed as the odds-on favorite in 3 of her last 5 starts.
Race Summary Campus Queen worked out a perfect trip from post 8, bid 3-wide past the dueling leaders on the backstretch and held safe to win for the 22nd time in 96 starts. Play a 6/2,4/ALL trifecta.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#2 TWIN B HEART THROB Rallied for big upset in 1:51.3 two back, versatility a plus.
#8 JOELSYY HANOVER No match for top one, but running style suits this spot.
#7 ROCKAWAY BAY Also projects ideal trip from off the pace, use underneath in gimmicks.
Race Summary Twin B Heart Throb sprung a 23-1 upset two starts back and, just as important, showed a passing gear that could come in handy again with several front-end types surrounding him. Bet to win and place.

Scioto Downs - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 BETTOR OF THE WEST Can handle class rise with move forward off last pair.
#5 HAVEFAITHINME N No threat in 1:49.3 on drop out of open company, seeks 40th win.
#4 CHIEF MATE Usually makes middle move, will have to time it right today.
Race Summary Bettor of the West blazed through a :55.1 middle half two back and just missed in a photo finish, then he rallied first-over for third in a slower-paced race. He was heavily bet in both starts and could reward his loyal backers today. Play 3-4 and 3-5 exactas.

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Belmont Stakes Free Picks, Predictions and Preview (6/11/22)
numberFire Racing

Race 3 – Acorn Stakes (Gr 1)

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1 - Dream Lith - Won twice as a two-year-old, including the Grade 2 Golden Rod Stakes at Churchill Downs but has struggled in graded company this year.

2 - Inventing - Runner-up in maidens at Gulfstream and Belmont on both her starts, the latter over this trip. Needs a huge amount of improvement.

3 - Divine Huntress - Won twice in minor company over the winter and has contested Grade 2/3 events since, running her best race when fourth to Interstatedaydream in the Black-Eyed Susan at Pimlico last time. Needs to find more on the top two.

4 - Matareya - Was successful in only one of her four races last year, but has won all three so far this year, the Grade 3 Beaumont Stakes at Keeneland and the Grade 2 Eight Belles Stakes at Churchill Downs on her last two. She justified short odds for her last win after edging ahead of Pretty Birdie in the final furlong. The step back up to a mile should be in her favor.

5 - Echo Zulu - Had won her first five starts, including the Spinaway, Frizette and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies at Del Mar last year, and the Grade 2 Fair Grounds Oaks in March, but suffered her first defeat in the Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs last time. She was prominent throughout in a strongly-run race there and did well to hang on for fourth, but had a hard race. This drop back from 9f should suit her, but she has to give weight away all round.

Verdict:
Matareya is taken to make use of the 3 lbs she receives from Echo Zulu and extend her winning sequence. These two stand out, while Divine Huntress looks best of the others.
Race 4 – Longines Just A Game Stakes (Gr 1)

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1 - Leggs Galore - Is in good form and has been successful on all three of her starts this year, including the Grade 2 Buena Vista Stakes and the listed Mizdirection Stakes, both at Santa Anita, on her most recent outings, but this will be her first attempt at Grade 1 company.

2 - Regal Glory - Was only fourth in this race last year, but is a better performer now and has won her last three starts, including the Grade 1 Jenny Wiley at Keeneland, where she put up her best effort to beat Shantisara by a length last time.

3 - Speak of The Devil - Trained last year in France, and she made an eye-catching US debut in the Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile at Churchill Downs, beating two of her rivals here, In Italian and Wakanaka. Difficult to see either of those reversing the form this time.

4 - In Italian - Won three successive races, including the Grade 3 Honey Fox Stakes at Gulfstream, before finding Speak of The Devil too good in the Distaff Turf Mile at Churchill Downs last time.

5 - Wakanaka - Last year’s Italian 1000 Guineas winner, has been placed in the Grade 3 Honey Fox Stakes at Gulfstream (second behind In Italian) and the Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile at Churchill Downs (third to Speak of The Devil and In Italian) on her last two starts. Hard to see her turning that form around.

Verdict:
Trainer Chad Brown’s attempt at a fifth successive win in this race came unstuck last year, but he’s three-handed again this time (all owned by Peter Brant) and Speak of The Devil should get the better of her stable-companion Regal Glory, with the same combination’s In Italian third best.

Race 6 – Woody Stephens Stakes (Gr 1)

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1 - Jack Christopher - Has won all three of his races, including the Champagne Stakes at Belmont last October and the Grade 2 Pat Day Mile at Churchill Downs in May, the latter by nearly four lengths from Pappacap. He’s open to further improvement and is difficult to oppose despite the drop in trip here (had already taken Pappacap’s measure at the furlong pole last time).

2 - Pappacap - Second to Corniche in last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, and was almost back to that form when runner-up to Jack Christopher in the Grade 2 Pat Day Mile at Churchill Downs last time. Has nearly four lengths to make up on that winner here, but could close the gap over this furlong shorter trip.

3 - Wit - Has been in the first three in all his five races, including when placed in two Grade 1s as a two-year-old, and made a winning reappearance in the Grade 3 Bay Shore Stakes at Aqueduct, where he gained the verdict only on the nod from Highly Respected, but he did well to catch that rival. More required here though.

4 - Morello - Has run only at Aqueduct, winning his first three starts, the latest the Grade 3 Gotham Stakes by four and a half lengths. Was slowly into his stride, never got involved, and was beaten a long way when favorite for the Grade 2 Wood Memorial last time. Plenty to prove now.

5 - Chasing Time - Won an optional claimer at Oaklawn in January, but has had his limitations exposed in graded company over trips between 6f and 9f since, third in the Grade 3 Chick Lang Stakes at Pimlico last time. Wears first-time blinkers here.

6 - Provocateur - Much improved on his last two outings, winning a listed race at Gulfstream in March and finishing a good second to Senbei in a similar event at Belmont last time. A step back up in trip here shouldn’t be a problem, but the big jump in class is more of a worry.

Verdict
Trainers Todd Pletcher and Steve Asmussen both run two in this race, but they may have to play second fiddle to Chad Brown’s Jack Christopher, who is seeking to extend his unbeaten record to four. Pappacap may have to settle for second again, while Wit looks best of the others.
Race 7 - Ogden Phipps (Gr.1)

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1 - Letruska - Bold front-running mare with a fantastic strike rate. Met defeat just twice in 2021 whilst winning four Grade 1 contests, including this. Has won both starts this season, including the Apple Blossom Handicap at Oaklawn Park last time. Looks like the obvious starting point for win purposes.

2 - Bonny South - Won the Doubledogdare at Keeneland last year before running second to Letruska in this. Rounded out her season with a trio of creditable placed efforts. Chased home Malathaat in the latest renewal of the Doubledogdare on her return. Strong pace is required for her run style and is in receipt of weight all round.

3 - Malathaat - Seven wins from nine starts. Beat Search Results and Clairiere in last year’s Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs, whilst also adding the Ashland and Alabama to her haul. Returned with success over Bonny South in the Doubledogdare at Keeneland in April. A tough filly who will very much appreciate a good test at this distance.

4 - Clairiere - Has developed into a very smart filly, winning the Rachel Alexandra at Fair Grounds in 2021 and later adding the Cotillion at Parx before a close fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff. Cozy winner of an allowance at former track on return before chasing home Letruska in the Apple Blossom Handicap. Is another who sits off the pace.

5 - Search Results - Won the Acorn on this card last year after running Malathaat close in last year’s Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs. Disappointed on return but got back on track when winning the Ruffian on a muddy track here last month. May attempt to give Letruska a bit more of a challenge on the pace.

Verdict:
While this may lack quantity, it certainly has quality in spades. Letruska could get loose on the front end and narrowly gets the verdict, though that’s not to say she won’t have these snapping at her heels should she underperform. Bonny South gets a notable weight concession and will be finishing strongly from off the pace, whilst Malathaat can see out the 1-2-3.

Race 8 - Jaipur (Gr.1)

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1 - Change of Control - Won four times last season, including twice in Grade 3 company. Has hit the board on each of her four starts this season, beaten just a neck on the latest in Unbridled Sidney at Churchill Downs last month. Has plenty of miles on the clock but should give her running.

2 - Omaha City - A two-time winner who has dipped his toe into graded races before with a second to Royal Ascot-bound Golden Pal in last year’s Quick Call at Saratoga his best finish. Has plenty on his plate.

3 - True Valour (IRE) - Hasn’t had much racing of late but is a smart sort at best. Ran creditably in the Al Quoz Sprint at Meydan in March 2021 but missed the rest of the year. Returned with a battling success in the King T. Leatherbury Stakes at Laurel Park in April. Wouldn’t be a surprise if he outran his odds.

4 - Casa Creed - Done most of his racing over 1m but landed last year’s running of this when dropping back to sprinting, beating Chewing Gum by 2 lengths. Sent to the Middle East earlier in the year and won the Turf Sprint Cup in Saudi Arabia before a creditable fifth in the Al Quoz Sprint at Meydan. Has some good recent workouts and should be thereabouts.

5 - Arrest Me Red - Hasn’t looked back since joining Wesley Ward, winning all but one of his last five starts. Beat several of today’s rivals when adding the Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs to his haul on latest outing. Has won all three starts at this distance, including last year’s Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational, and looks the one to beat.

6 - Greyes Creek - Lightly raced for age. Rattled off a hat-trick routing in 2020 for Chad Brown. Ran only once since finishing down the field in this last year and this requires a marked step forward on their reappearance effort.

7 - Whatmakessammyrun - Won his only start here as a juvenile. Had some wide posts to overcome the last twice, the latest when finishing towards the rear behind in the Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs last month. Has left Mark Glatt and is hard to make a case for.

8 - Scuttlebuzz - Comes here chasing the 4-timer.Won the Elusive Quality here with a career-best performance on latest outing, one of three-course successes. In great heart but will need some luck given his run style.

9 - Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) - Won first three starts when trained in Brazil in 2019, including a pair of graded successes. Wasn’t seen again until last summer under the care of Mark Casse, winning an allowance at Woodbine. Absent again until April when well beaten in the Shakertown at Keeneland. A bit to prove now.

10 - Smokin' Jay - A three-time winner last year. Ran a good second in Jim McKay Turf Sprint at Pimlico on return. Can be relied upon to run his race, though this is a deeper event than he usually contests.

11 - Chasing Artie - Tasted success on three occasions when trained by Wesley Ward last season before moving to Saffie Joseph. Won an allowance optional claimer at Gulfstream in April but had excuses when stumbling badly at the start in the Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs next time. Will be hoping to get back on track.

12 - Gear Jockey - Only has the four victories on his record sheet for one of his talent. Has been a little disappointing overall this season, but he’s heading back in the right direction on the speed figures. Fourth behind Arrest Me Red and Gregorian Chant in the Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs last time. May well make his presence felt back under Lezcano.

13 - Gregorian Chant (GB) - Has a positive strike rate, adding a seventh career success in an allowance optional claimer at Santa Anita on this year’s return. Finished well for third after racing behind from the inside post in the Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs last time. May well only be battling for minor money again.

Verdict:
Arrest Me Red is progressing in leaps and bounds and can land a Grade 1 at the first attempt here. Gear Jockey is improving by the run this year and can chase the selection home if back to his best. Casa Creed is working well and can round out the places if backing that up after a two-month absence.
Race 9 - Met Mile (Gr.1)

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1 - Flightline - Could hardly have made a better impression by winning all his three starts by a combined total of nearly 38 lengths. Had a setback that has kept him off the track since winning the Malibu at Santa Anita in December, though absences haven’t been an obstacle in the past. Stretches out to 1m and is the one to beat.

2 - Speaker's Corner - Completed the hat-trick in the Carter Handicap at Aqueduct last time, adding to wins at Gulfstream in the Hooper and Gulfstream Park Mile earlier in the year. Those races are working out well and it’s hard not to be impressed by his 4

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Santa Anita Park Picks for June 11, 2022 – Horse Racing Betting Tips

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Jun 11th, 2022 2:51am PDT

Santa Anita Park Picks for June 11, 2022 – Horse Racing Betting Tips

Belmont Stakes Day has arrived at Belmont Park, but this isn’t the only horse racing on the docket. There’s plenty of action elsewhere, and we’ll see what we can do with it on Saturday.

That said, the stakes racing is quiet at other locations. The biggest stakes race outside of Belmont Park is the $100,000 Lady’s Secret Stakes at Monmouth Park.
Santa Anita and Belmont
We are playing two tracks on Saturday at Belmont Park and Santa Anita Park. Of course, we have the Belmont Stakes pick and more selections from Belmont this afternoon.

Santa Anita Park has ten races worth $609,000 in California. Five are on the dirt, and five are on the turf. Head below for our best Santa Anita Park picks on June 11, 2022.
Rank
Betting Site
Bonus Bet Now
1FantasyDraft Logo FantasyDraft

FantasyDraft
Free Entry up to $4 Go to Site
Race 3
(1) Suzie Qzz Brother
+400 (4/1)
(2) Condumdrum
+160 (8/5)
(3) Do Not Swipe Left
+1500 (15/1)
(4) River Tiber
+400 (4/1)
(5) Superman Shaq
+500 (5/1)
(6) Priano
+250 (5/2)

Post Time:2:01 p.m. PST

Distance:6

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Belmont Stakes Saturday Key Horses
The Pony Conductor

Race 1: #4 Safalow’s Mission (5/1), #7 Win for Gold (2/1)

Race 2: #1A Bright Future (2/1) / #1 Power Agenda (2/1)

Race 3: #3 Devine Huntress (12/1)

Race 4: #3 Speak of the Devil (1/1)

Race 5: #3 Warrant (3/1)

Race 6: #1 Jack Christopher (1/2)

Race 7: #3 Malathaat (5/2)

Race 8: #11 Chasing Artie (15/1), #9 Filo Di Arianna (20/1), #12 Gear Jockey (6/1), #13 Gregorian Chant (8/1)

Race 9: #1 Flightline (3/5), #4 Happy Saver (8/1)

Race 10: #5 In Love (15/1), #3 Tokyo Gold (30/1), #8 Highland Chief (6/1), #6 Rockemperor (10/1)

Belmont Stakes Race 11: *Pony of the Day #3 Nest (8/1)

#1 We the People (2/1), #2 Skippylongstocking (20/1)

Race 12: #4 Just Like This (8/1), #9 Cheeky Tico (15/1), #12 North Carolina (9/5)

Race 13: #1 Solib (8/1), #13 Theodora Grace (10/1), #12 Palace Gossip (3/1)

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Jeff Nahill’s Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, June 11

FIRST RACE: 5-3-2-6

SECOND: 2-5-3-4

THIRD: 6-2-4-5

FOURTH: 3-8-2-7

FIFTH: 5-6-4-7

SIXTH: 2-1-4-6

SEVENTH: 1-2-5-6

EIGHTH: 9-3-2-1

NINTH: 1-3-4-5 (BEST BET)

10TH: 5-6-11-2

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Jeff Nahill’s Belmont Park opinions for Saturday, June 11 (Races 5-13)

FIFTH RACE: 7-3-1-2

SIXTH RACE: 4-1-3-2

SEVENTH RACE: 1-3-5-2

EIGHTH RACE: 8-4-12-13

NINTH RACE: 2-1-3-4

10TH RACE: 4-2-8-3 (BEST BET)

11TH RACE: 5-1-4-8

12TH RACE: 6-8-12-11

13TH RACE: 12-11-6-7

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 1	$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 57 • Purse: $26,400 • Post: 12:25
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MAMA CHUY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MAMA CHUY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MY D'VALENTINE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1	MAMA CHUY	5/2	2/1
2	MY D'VALENTINE	6/1	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	MAMA CHUY	1	5/2	Front-runner	0	0	62.6	51.2	46.7
2	MY D'VALENTINE	2	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	67	59	32.2	44.4	39.4
6	BELLAVALENCIA	6	3/1	Alternator/Trailer	60	51	32.4	41.9	36.9
4	ROMA MONA	4	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	65	48	58.1	38.3	31.3
5	MISS ENCISO	5	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	54	29	26.9	23.5	12.5
3	MALIBU SKY	3	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	4.3	16.8	8.3

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Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - June 11

CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - SATURDAY, JUNE 11, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 DUAL THREAT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	3	Dual Threat	J Graham
PLACE	4-1	6	Commander Compton	F Geroux
SHOW	4-1	5	Calipari	R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD	5-1	2	Arrow Strike	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	1	Marvelousmoondance	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	4	Bright Spark	M Murrill
* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
RACE #2 $20,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Irish Hokie	M Garcia
PLACE	7-2	6	J. E.s Handmedown	R Bejarano
SHOW	5-2	3	Established	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	6-1	2	Caramelito	A Beschizza
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	1	In Sky We Trust	J Rocco Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	Estilo Varonil	R Santana Jr.
* EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
RACE #3 $10,000 CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	1	Diamond Lydiamarie	G Corrales
PLACE	2-1	2	Montgomery Park	F Arrieta
SHOW	9-5	6	Aidanike	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	10-1	3	Field Daisey	C Landeros
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	7	Beauty Day	R Diaz
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	5	Her Giant	J K Court
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
RACE #4 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 AL QAHIRA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	3	Al Qahira	J Graham
PLACE	10-1	10	Blissful	V Cheminaud
SHOW	2-1	1	Eminent Victor	R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD	6-1	9	Whenthedawnbreaks	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Fannie and Freddie	C J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	2-1	1A	Schlofmitz	G Corrales
* EXACTA: 3-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/10 BOX, 1/9/10 BOX
RACE #5 $10,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	5	Captain Fantastic	G Corrales
PLACE	3-1	8	Terawatt	R Bejarano
SHOW	7-2	3	Drop Anchor	R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD	5-1	1	Can Man Do	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Ingersoll	R Diaz
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	7	Speed Boat	C J Hernandez
* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX
RACE #6 $127,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 SALUTE THE FLAG
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	4	Salute the Flag	M Murrill
PLACE	3-1	5	Take Charge Lorin	J K Court
SHOW	9-5	6	Nosilverspoonshere	C J Lanerie
WILD CARD	12-1	2	Jazzy Lady	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	3	Richebourg	E Morales
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	1	Sunny Isle Beach	J R Leparoux
* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
RACE #7 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	8	Onyourmarkgetsetgo	F Peterson
PLACE	3-1	4	Ox Doc	R Diaz
SHOW	7-2	6	Mumayaz	F Arrieta
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Scotch No Rocks	M Murrill
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	1	Per Diem	J K Court
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	7	Honorable Vow	C Miller
* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
RACE #8 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	1	More Than Vows	G Franco
PLACE	4-1	12	Little Blaze	R Bejarano
SHOW	5-1	10	Run Up the Score	R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD	10-1	8	Twentytwenty Hoax	M Murrill
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	5	Dial Toni	R Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	9	American Pyramid	J Gilligan
* EXACTA: 1-12 BOX, 12-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/10/12 BOX, 8/10/12 BOX
RACE #9 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	7	Razor Glass	J Graham
PLACE	5-2	4	Kaelys Sister	R Santana Jr.
SHOW	4-1	6	Gerri B	A Beschizza
WILD CARD	6-1	3	Connie K	J K Court
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	1	Liberty M D	J R Leparoux
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	8	Jungle Juice	E Morales
* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #10 $160,000 STAKES 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:26 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	2	Just Might	R Bejarano
PLACE	7-5	4	Carotari	F Geroux
SHOW	8-1	5	Johnny Unleashed	G Corrales
WILD CARD	9-2	7	Smokin Jay	A Beschizza
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	9	Charcoal	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	1	Major Wager	E Morales
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX
RACE #11 $127,000 ALLOWANCE 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:58 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	5	Lend It Tewmey	C Miller
PLACE	5-1	7	Ready to Answer	F Geroux
SHOW	4-1	10	Mr Sippi	M Murrill
WILD CARD	10-1	6	Jura	D Cannon
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Overtaxed	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	4	Stayed in for Half	R Santana Jr.
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/10 BOX, 6/7/10 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Tip Sheet - June 11

BELMONT PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, JUNE 11, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $80,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:20 AM ET
BEST BET: #7 WIN FOR GOLD
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	7	Win for Gold	K Carmouche
PLACE	7-2	6	Tapn de Bank	J R Velazquez
SHOW	5-1	4	Safalows Mission	J Lezcano
WILD CARD	10-1	3	My Last Mission	L Rodriguez Castro
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	1	Vincent	S Leon
ALTERNATE 2	3-1	8	Unique Unions	M Franco
* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #2 $92,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:55 AM ET
BEST BET: #1A BRIGHT FUTURE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	1A	Bright Future	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	10-1	2	Uncle Moonlight	K Carmouche
SHOW	4-1	6	Three Jokers	L Saez
WILD CARD	9-2	8	Higher Quality	M Franco
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	3	Set Sail	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Strong Quality	J L Ortiz
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX
RACE #3 $500,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:33 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K ACORN STAKES G1
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-5	5	Echo Zulu	J Rosario
PLACE	6-5	4	Matareya	F Prat
SHOW	12-1	3	Divine Huntress	L Saez
WILD CARD	20-1	2	Inventing	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	1	Dream Lith	R A Vazquez
* EXACTA: 5/3,4
* TRIFECTA: 4,5/4,5/1,2,3
COMMENTS: ECHO ZULU usually gets her way when she gets the lead, going four for four when she has the lead at the first call. She will likely be in charge from the get go. MATAREYA is coming off a win where she ran much better fractions than in the previous start, winning the GII Eight Belles Stakes. DIVINE HUNTRESS is making her third start off the bench after significantly improving her early pace numbers in the Black Eyed Susan. INVENTING has not won a race in her two starts but finished second in both by less than a length with speed figures almost on the level.
RACE #4 $500,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:08 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K JUST A GAME STAKES G1
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	4	In Italian	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	1-1	3	Speak of the Devil	F Prat
SHOW	6-5	2	Regal Glory	J Ortiz
WILD CARD	12-1	1	Leggs Galore	R Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	5	Wakanaka	J Rosario
* EXACTA: 3,4/1,2,3,4
* TRIFECTA: 1,2,3,4/3,4/1,2,3,4
COMMENTS: IN ITALIAN should improve noticeably in her second start following a layoff. She has early speed and cuts back in distance today, which should work to her advantage. SPEAK OF THE DEVIL ran past the top choice last in her last as the favorite. She has a few nice workouts since, including a bullet, suggesting she will be sharp. REGAL GLORY ran the top, last race speed figure and is the most versatile horse in the field, capable of winning from the front, middle or back. LEGGS GALORE could steal this wire to wire if she can get the lead without too much pressure.
RACE #5 $400,000 STAKES 1 1/2 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:47 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400K BROOKLYN STAKES G2
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	1	Lone Rock	R Vazquez
PLACE	3-1	3	Warrant	F Prat
SHOW	9-2	5	First Constitution	J Lezcano
WILD CARD	3-1	7	Fearless	L Saez
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Max Player	J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	6	Locally Owned	D Davis
* EXACTA: 1,3,5,7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,3,5/1,3,5,7/1,2,3,5,7
COMMENTS: LONE ROCK is a master at the distance with five wins and a second in six efforts. WARRANT missed as the favorite last out in his only race that did not end in the money. Trainer Brad Cox rebounds at 30 percent the next time out with fallen favorites. FIRST CONSTITUTION will try to get to the front and take the field wire to wire like he has in two of his last three races. FEARLESS has a strong late pace edge over this group. If they burn up the early fractions, he will take advantage.
RACE #6 $400,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:22 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400K WOODY STEPHENS STAKES G1
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	1-2	1	Jack Christopher	J Ortiz
PLACE	15-1	6	Provocateur	L Saez
SHOW	7-2	3	Wit	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	9-2	4	Morello	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	2	Pappacap	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Chasing Time	T Gaffalione
* EXACTA: 1/3,4,6
* TRIFECTA: 1/3,4,6/2,3,4,6
COMMENTS: We hate to ever say this, but JACK CHRISTOPHER looks like the most obvious winner on the Saturday card. PROVOCATEUR is likely to chase the leader and might be able to stay there with some of the best late pace figures in the field. WIT has been off since early April and has been working well for this spot. He faced the top pick before but finished a distance third. MORELLO won his first three races and was the Wood Memorial favorite but hit the gate at the start and never recovered. His first three starts would make him a contender.
RACE #7 $500,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:05 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K ODGEN PHIPPS STAKES G1
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-5	1	Letruska	J Ortiz
PLACE	5-2	3	Malathaat	J Velazquez
SHOW	9-2	5	Search Results	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	3-1	4	Clairiere	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	Bonny South	F Prat
* EXACTA: 1/3,4,5
* TRIFECTA: 1/3,4,5/2,3,4,5
COMMENTS: When LETRUSKA gets the lead, she wins. She will get the lead at a distance where she has seven wins and a second in eight races. MALATHAAT is a half length and a head away from going nine for nine to start her career, including a win at Belmont. SEARCH RESULTS tried Belmont Park twice and ended in the winners circle both times. CLAIRERE is the top closer in the field and hit the board in eight of eight at the distance. The concern is a short field where she might not get the pace she needs.
RACE #8 $400,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:53 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400K JAIPUR STAKES G1
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	4	Casa Creed	L Saez
PLACE	5-2	5	Arrest Me Red	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	6-1	8	Scuttlebuzz	J Castellano
WILD CARD	12-1	3	True Valour	F Lynch
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	7	Whatmakessammyrun	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	1	Change of Control	M Franco
* EXACTA: 3,4,5,8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4,5,8/3,4,5,8/3,4,5,7,8
COMMENTS: Bettors might overlook CASA CREED as he raced in Dubai in his last two start, finishing fifth in his last. However, the horses he lost to would likely be the favorites here. ARREST ME RED ran the highest, last race speed figure and his resume says to expect more in the second start after a layoff. SCUTTLEBUZZ loves the distance with an uppercase L, taking home the top prize in six of eight with a pair of close seconds. TRUE VALOR smoked his way through the opening half mile to win his first after more than a year on the sidelines. He is probably the one to catch.
RACE #9 $1,000,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:43 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M HILL N DALE METROPOLITAN HANDICAP G1
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	2	Speakers Corner	J Alvarado
PLACE	3-5	1	Flightline	F Prat
SHOW	8-1	4	Happy Saver	I Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD	6-1	3	Aloha West	J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 1	50-1	5	Informative	D Haddock
* EXACTA: 1,2/1,2,3,4
* TRIFECTA: 1,2/1,2/ALL
COMMENTS: There has to be an upset somewhere with all these short fields. We give SPEAKERS CORNER a shot to finish ahead of the heavy favorite FLIGHTLINE. It will be the first time outside of California for FLIGHTLINE whereas SPEAKERS CORNER is two for two at Belmont Park. HAPPY SAVER is another that likes the Belmont track with three wins and a second in four outings. ALOHA WESTs chances rise if the track is wet as he won both efforts on an off track. It is supposed to rain a lot.
RACE #10 $750,000 STAKES 1 1/4 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:38 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $750K MANHATTAN STAKES G1
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-1	10	Channel Maker	L Saez
PLACE	7-2	9	Santin	T Gaffalione
SHOW	3-1	2	Gufo	J Rosario
WILD CARD	8-1	7	Tribhuvan	M Franco
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	8	Highland Chief	T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	1	LImperator	E Cancel
* EXACTA: 2,7,9,10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2,9,10/2,7,9,10/2,7,8,9,10
COMMENTS: Pace makes the race and if jockey Luis Saez does not lose track of time, CHANNEL MAKER could control the tempo from beginning to end. SANTIN is a steadily improving colt that should sit off the leaders and fire at the end. GUFO is making his third start after a layoff. His past performances say the third race should be the best of the cycle. TRIBHUVAN needs the lead to win whereas CHANNEL MAKER does not. If he gets the lead and holds it into the stretch, he will be hard to pass.
RACE #11 $1,500,000 STAKES 1 1/2 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:44 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1.5 M BELMONT STAKES G1
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	1	We the People	F Prat
PLACE	6-1	5	Creative Minister	B Hernandez Jr.
SHOW	8-1	3	Nest	J L Ortiz
WILD CARD	5-2	6	Mo Donegal	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	4	Rich Strike	S Leon
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	2	Skippylongstocking	M Franco
* EXACTA: 1,5/1,3,4,5,6
* TRIFECTA: 1,5/1,3,5,6/1,3,4,5,6
COMMENTS: Again, pace is likely to dictate the winner in the Belmont Stakes and WE THE PEOPLE should get out to the lead with comfortable fractions. The distance is the only question. CREATIVE MINISTER finished behind EPICENTER and EARLY VOTING in the Preakness, either would be the likely favorite here. NEST will try to do what SECRET OATH could not do and beat all the boys. Her speed numbers say maybe, but it will be a tough task. MO DONEGAL gets the nod over fellow closer and Kentucky Derby champ RICH STRIKE because MO DONEGAL has a win at Belmont and Belmont is not Churchill Downs.
RACE #12 $75,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:29 PM ET
BEST BET: #12 NORTH CAROLINA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	12	North Carolina	J Lezcano
PLACE	2-1	8	Als Rocket	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	5-1	7	Flokis Flight	J L Ortiz
WILD CARD	15-1	9	Cheeky Tico	L Saez
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Zuzudini	R TBA
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	3	Strike Price	F Prat
* EXACTA: 12-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/8/12 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX
RACE #13 $80,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:05 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	12	Palace Gossip	F Prat
PLACE	6-1	4	Shamalamadingdong	J Rosario
SHOW	5-1	6	Fontanafredda	L Saez
WILD CARD	10-1	2	Flip My Id	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	1	Solib	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	10	Act of Congress	J Castellano
* EXACTA: 12-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/12 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Stakes FULLCARD Hotlist - June 11

June 10, 2022

Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – Saturday, June 11, 2021 at Belmont Park
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt8
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1^st race – [NY, Alw 80000 N1X, 6F] - (7) Win for Gold (C) took a lot of late money as a longshot and dropped from 23-1 to 15-1. He finished second in an allowance behind an impressive winner from the Chad Brown barn after a debut victory. (8) Unique Unions was second in NY Stallion Series stakes race with a stalking trip that work well in this field that is loaded with speed. (4) Safalow’s Mission moved from turf to dirt and got his maiden victory after closing from third. (6) Tap’n de Bank got his first career win following a September layoff in his second start for Brad Cox.
2^nd race – [Alw 92000 N1X, 1 mi] - (6) Three Jokers won his way through his NY-bred conditions, finished second in a pair of state-bred stakes, and then moved to open company where he recently missed the win by a half-length. (1A) Bright Future drew off to win his debut at Gulfstream Park going a one-turn mile for Todd Pletcher at odds of 4-1. (4) Strong Quality spent the winter at Fair Grounds for Mark Casse where he broke his maiden in his second try and then was second in his first try in allowance company. (3) Set Sail shipped to New York for the Peter Pan (G3) but did not seem to like the wet track. He is now in the barn of Bill Mott who brings him right back in a much softer spot.
3^rd race – [Acorn (G1), 1 mi] – (5) Echo Zulu tasted defeat for the first time in the Kentucky Oaks (G1) when she did not get to lead in the early going and finished fourth. Now she cuts back to a one-turn mile which may be her ideal race. Last year, she won the Frizette (G1) at Belmont which was run at the same distance. (4) Matareya won her last three starts for Brad Cox which came in 2022 and included the recent Eight Belles (G1) at Churchill Downs. (3) Divine Huntress had two big wins at Parx when she broke her maiden and then won an allowance. She moved to the barn of Graham Motion and has been racing in graded stakes. (2) Inventing was second in her first two starts for the Pletcher barn and Irad Ortiz stays on board.
4^th race – [Just A Game (G1), 1 mi TURF] – (3) Speak of the Devil won her American debut for Chad Brown in the Distaff Turf Mile (G2) at Churchill after racing in France. (2) Regal Glory has three wins in a row for Brown with a pair of Grade 1s and a Grade 3 at three different tracks on both coasts. She has 11 wins from 18 career starts. (4) In Italian is the speedy winner of 3 out of 5 career starts also for the Brown barn. She was second last time behind the top choice. (5) Wakanaka was a Group 3 winner in Italy last year before moving to the barn of Bill Mott. In her three American starts she ran behind each of the top three in this field.
5^th race – [Brooklyn (G2), 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Hotlist - June 11

June 10, 2022

Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Saturday, June 11, 2022
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (3) Dual Threat was fourth against better company and should prove best here. (5) Calipari might prefer a dry track. (6) Commander Compton should be helped by a switch to Florent. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6. Doubles: 3-5-6 with 1-3-6.
2nd race – (6) J.E.’s Handmedown returns to a claimer and can handle this group. (1) In Sky We Trust was a good third last time and may be the main rival. (3) Established should be competitive at this level. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6.
4th race – The (1) entry of Eminent Victor and Schlofmitz is the standout in this field. (9) Whenthedawnbreaks should pose a big threat in the stretch. (3) Al Qahira is worth a look after a maiden win. (12) Fancy Martini has some ability but must overcome a bad post if she draws in. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-9-12.
6th race – (4) Salute the Flag (B) finished a game second in her debut against winners and should make amends here. (2) Jazzy Lady was second in her last two starts and should be the main foe. (1) Sunny Isle Beach should be a threat from the rail. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4.
10th race – (4) Carotari seeks a fourth straight win and should notch it here. (5) Johnny Unleashed disappointed last time but can bounce back here. (6) Oceanic had a rough trip last time and merits a second chance here. (7) Smokin’ Jay was second to the top pick and should not be ignored. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6-7.

No.

Letter/Last race

Today’s race

Comment

(4)

Salute the Flag

B, 5/21

6 CD

Was a game second last time

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | June 11, 2022

June 10, 2022

Race 8 at Belmont Park | Saturday June 11 | Post Time 3:53 PM Eastern
Jaipur Stakes – Grade 1 | Purse $400,000 | Six Furlongs on Turf | Three Year Olds and Upward

Top Contenders:

With a possible 13 horse field if there are no scratches, this year’s Jaipur Stakes is going to be an incredible race to watch and wager on. Seven of the 13 enter the race off in-the-money finishes and a couple others encountered trouble in their most recent starts so might have also been included in that count. Separating them has been a difficult task, but I think four of the 13 have bigger shots to succeed than the rest and a couple of those open at 12 to 1 while my top choice opens at 6 to 1.
Scuttlebuzz (8) is that top pick, not only as he enters the race off a win on the course in a stakes but because that effort came on the heels of nearly five months off. Going back to last September, he’s won four of five, the last two under Castellano, who rides back. He won without Lasix last time out so there’s no concern there and he’s only been worse than second one time in six starts on the Belmont grass. He closed powerfully while five wide and still was drawing away in the Elusive Quality Stakes last month and he’s won six of eight career starts at this six furlong turf trip, accounting for all but one of his career wins. We would not get this kind of value except for the depth and size of the field and we must grab it with gusto as Scuttlebuzz is the likely winner of this race by repeating or improving on his last effort.
That being said, two horses who come out of the Turf Sprint Stakes on Derby day figure to make a lot of noise. Those are Chasing Artie (11) and Arrest Me Red (5). Also exiting that race are Gear Jockey (12) and Gregorian Chant (13), who for reasons mentioned later is are contenders for exacta bets but not win contenders.
Of the pair, Chasing Artie (11) opens at 15 to 1 odds impossible to pass up because he was ELIMINATED at the start when stumbling badly to get away last of 13 in an extremely tough field. Still, although with little chance he rallied from 12^th of 13, 13 lengths back with three furlongs to run and was beaten just four lengths at the end. Subtracting that effort, he’s a perfect four-for-four on turf including two stakes races. John Velazquez rode Chasing Artie just once, a winning race at five furlongs on turf and the horse has tactical speed to can go for the lead or sit off the pace. If he breaks well, he’s highly likely to run a lot better than his high odds suggest he will.
Arrest Me Red (5) won the Turf Sprint on Derby day, as the 5 to 2 favorite, and did so gamely after pressing the pace in the five path early then drawing off late. He also won the Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational last October, both wins coming under Irad Ortiz, Jr., who rides here. He is making his third start off the layoff since last year so has a one race edge over Scuttlebuzz, plus was flattered when Turf Sprint runner-up Bran shipped to California to win a stakes race recently. He’s a perfect three-for-three at the trip which can’t be knocked but I prefer Scuttlebuzz’s six for eight record and 6 to 1 starting odds to that of Arrest Me Red so he’s not as good a win bet in my opinion. Just the same, Arrest Me Red is a MUST to use on any exacta or trifecta tickets we play.
Last among the quartet which could make us a lot of money in this race is True Valour (3), who like Chasing Artie opens at double digit odds, 12 to 1 in this case. He’s another who recently returned from a layoff, winning the King T. Leatherbury Stakes at five and one-half furlongs on turf near the end of April and following 13 months off. He’s earned over a half-million dollars and was stakes placed in the Joe Hernandez Stakes at Santa Anita just before the layoff. Fergal Lynch rode True Valour for the first time in that last race and rides back and although the horse led from start to finish that day he’s shown time and again in his other five wins on turf he does not need the lead to win.
Other horses I could not argue with anyone over if they asked my opinion are; Change of Control (1), who missed by a neck in the Unbridled Sydney Stakes last month; 2021 Jaipur Stakes winner Casa Creed (4), who lost three times after that and twice this year in Saudi Arabia and Dubai but who is working well; Filo Di Arianna (9); Smokin' Jay (10), who finished second in a stakes on Preakness day as well as Turf Sprint third and fourth place finishers, respectively, Gear Jockey (12) and Gregorian Chant (13).
Win bets:
Scuttlebuzz (8) should be considered for a win wager at odds of 5 to 2 or more.
Because of their high odds, Chasing Artie (11) and True Valour (3) can be considered for win bets, for smaller amounts as compared to Scuttlebuzz, at odds of 5 to 1 or more.
Exactas:
Scuttlebuzz (8) over ALL
Chasing Artie (11) over ALL as well as the opposite, which is ALL over Chasing Artie (11).
These bets can be made for smaller amounts as compared to those with Scuttlebuzz because of higher odds on Chasing Artie.
Arrest Me Red (5) over Change of Control (1), True Valour (3), Casa Creed (4), Filo Di Arianna (9), Smokin’ Jay (10), Gear Jockey (12), Gregorian Chant (13).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Energy Downs 307 Racing

Energy Downs 307 Racing - Race 7	$2 Exacta / $1 Trifecta
Stakes • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 82 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 3:42P
COWBOY STATE OPEN DERBY - FOR THOROUGHBRED THREE YEAR OLDS . $500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. PREFERENCE BY TOTAL EARNINGS. FIELD WILL BE LIMITED TO TEN (10) STARTERS. $10,000 ADDED (PLUS FEES). SATURDAY JUNE 11, 2022. WEIGHT: 126.LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. THE BIG SHOW is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * THE BIG SHOW: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the hi ghest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	THE BIG SHOW	2/1	1/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	THE BIG SHOW	4	2/1	Front-runner	85	81	77.0	75.8	73.8
5	MALIBU ROSE	5	4/1	Stalker	59	62	54.3	52.0	43.0
2	DANCING COSSACK	2	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	67	65	51.4	51.4	46.4
3	FLUSHING FLASH	3	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	60	25	30.4	31.2	21.2
1	ARBUCKLE OUTLAW	1	3/1	Alternator/Non-contender	60	67	30.0	49.6	42.6
6	THE BONDSMAN	6	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	54	44	20.0	39.4	30.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Gate Fields - Race #9 - Post: 6:15pm - Stakes - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 103 Albany S.

Rating:

#4 ULTIMATE BANGO (ML=7/2)
#7 PERFECTIONISTIC (ML=10/1)
#9 PSYCHO DAR (ML=6/1)


ULTIMATE BANGO - In this race here, this fine animal has garnered the highest speed rating at the distance, so I have to give him the edge. Gelding scored his last race here on April 30th as a shipper. I think he looks like a winner once again. Taking this jockey/conditioner combination is a smart choice. He got a decent speed rating the last time he tried this trip. PERFECTIONISTIC - Mathis has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to be wary of the longer priced half. PSYCHO DAR - Calvario has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware the longer priced half. Ayuso knows this horse pretty well. Strong win percentage of 67 when horse and jock team up.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 GIVE ME THE LUTE (ML=2/1), #2 WAR GAMES (ML=5/1), #5 CAROLINA MIA (ML=8/1),

GIVE ME THE LUTE - This questionable contender showed very little last time out finishing sixth. Don't see any hint of any improvement in today's race. WAR GAMES - A bit of a less than stellar effort when this gelding finished ninth. This gelding hasn't had any positive efforts in short distance affairs in the last couple months. This gelding garnered a speed figure in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's race. CAROLINA MIA - Earned a common speed rating last out in an Allowance race on May 20th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #4 ULTIMATE BANGO to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,7,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,7,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[4,7,9] with [4,7,9] with [4,5,6,7,9] with [4,5,6,7,9] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:	[4,7,9] with [4,7,9] with [4,6,7,9] with [1,4,5,6,7,9] with [1,4,5,6,7,9] Total Cost: $72