Friday 6/17/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 07:34 AM

Friday’s games

National League
Philadelphia (33-31) @ Washington (23-43)
— Falter is 0-1, 7.04 in two starts.
— Phillies are 1-1 in his starts
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He threw 3.1 scoreless IP in three relief stints vs Washington.

— Suarez is 0-3, 6.26 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 7-5 in his starts
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He is 2-0, 1.42 in eight games (1 start) vs Washington.

— Phillies won 12 of last 14 games.
— Philly is 14-14 on road.
— over 18-6-1 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-64
— record in first 5 innings: 28-29-7

— Adon is 0-8, 7.88 in his last nine starts.
— Nationals are 1-11 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-12
— record in first 5 innings: 0-11-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Espino allowed a run in 3.2 IP (53 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— Nationals are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 0-1, 6.38 in six games (3 starts) vs Philly.

— Washington lost eight of last ten games.
— Nationals are 11-23 at home.
— over 18-7 last 25 games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-66
— record in first 5 innings: 21-40-5

Atlanta (37-27) @ Cubs (23-40)
— Morton is 0-0, 7.08 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 7-5 in his starts.
— over 11-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5
— He is 4-6, 5.44 in 16 starts vs Chicago.

— Braves won their last 14 games.
— Atlanta is 17-13 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 17-64
— record in first 5 innings: 33-24-7

— Thompson allowed 12 runs in 3.2 IP in his last two starts.
— Cubs are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He gave up a run in 3 IP, in a relief stint vs Atlanta.

— Cubs are 5-16 in their last 21 games.
— Cubs are 11-24 at home.
— over 17-9 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-63
— record in first 5 innings: 24-29-10

Milwaukee (35-30) @ Cincinnati (23-40)
— Lauer is 0-1, 8.40 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 7-4 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-4
— He is 1-4, 4.25 in seven starts vs Cincinnati.

— Brewers lost 10 of last 12 games.
— Milwaukee is 20-18 on road.
— over 13-6 last 10 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-65
— record in first 5 innings: 25-27-13

— Greene is 1-0, 0.75 in his last two starts.
— Reds are 3-9 in his starts.
— over 2-1-1 at home
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-4
— He is 0-2, 11.25 in two starts vs Milwaukee.

— Reds won three of last four games.
— Cincinnati is 12-17 at home.
— over 4-1 in last five games
— scored run in first inning: 18-63
— record in first 5 innings: 20-33-10

San Francisco (35-27) @ Pittsburgh (25-37)
— Rodon is 1-0, 2.40 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 0-4 in his last four road starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He is 1-1, 8.31 in two starts vs Pittsburgh

— Giants are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— San Francisco is 16-13 on road.
— over 25-16-3 last 44
— scored run in first inning: 12-61
— record in first 5 innings: 31-21-9

— Thompson is 1-0, 2.30 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 5-6 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco

— Pirates lost nine of last ten games.
— Pittsburgh is 13-17 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 14-62
— record in first 5 innings: 20-32-10

Miami (28-32) @ NY Mets (42-23)
— Garrett is 1-1, 5.19 in two starts.
— Miami is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 0-0, 0.00 in one start (5 IP) against the Mets.

— Miami won six of last nine games.
— Marlins are 13-19 on road.
— over 10-7 last seventeen games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-61
— record in first 5 innings: 24-26-11

— Carrasco is 4-1, 4.28 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 7-5 in his starts
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-1
— He is 2-0, 2.08 in five starts vs Miami.

— Mets are 13-6 in their last nineteen games.
— Mets are 21-9 at home.
— over 16-7-1 last 24 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-65
— record in first 5 innings: 36-19-10

San Diego (41-24) @ Colorado (27-36)
— Gore is 2-1, 2.95 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 5-4 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-1
— He gave up six runs in 2.1 IP, in one start vs Colorado.

— Padres won 11 of last 14 games.
— San Diego is 24-11 on road.
— over 17-4 last 21 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-65
— record in first 5 innings: 35-20-10

— Freeland is 1-0, 2.08 in his last two starts.
— Rockies are 6-6 in his starts.
— under 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-1
— He is 4-5, 3.89 in 14 starts vs San Diego.

— Colorado is 12-27 in its last 39 games.
— Rockies are 16-19 at home.
— under 9-3-1 last thirteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-64
— record in first 5 innings: 21-34-9

American League
New York (47-16) @ Toronto (37-26)
— Montgomery is 2-0, 1.33 in his last three starts.
— New York is 6-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— He is 2-1, 3.98 in eight starts vs Toronto.

— New York won 18 of last 21 games.
— New York is 18-9 on road.
— under 8-3-1 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 22-63
— record in first 5 innings: 35-12-16

— Stripling is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (11 IP).
— Toronto is 4-3 in his starts.
— under 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-3
— He is 0-4, 4.50 in six games (3 starts) vs New York.

— Blue Jays are 19-9 in their last 28 games.
— Toronto is 20-12 at home.
— over 17-5 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-63
— record in first 5 innings: 27-21-15

Tampa Bay (35-28) @ Baltimore (28-37)
— Baz allowed 5 runs in 2.1 IP in his first ’22 start.
— Rays are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay is 1-5 in its last six games.
— Rays are 14-15 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 19-63
— record in first 5 innings: 30-21-12

— Kremer is 1-1, 4.82 in two starts.
— Orioles are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 0-1, 5.63 in two starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Orioles are 6-7 in their last 13 games.
— Baltimore is 15-15 at home.
— over 22-7-1 last 30 games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-65
— record in first 5 innings: 19-35-11

Texas (30-33) @ Detroit (24-39)
— Gray is 0-2, 4.20 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 4-6 in his starts.
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Rangers are 6-9 in last 15 games.
— Texas is 16-15 on road.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 15-63
— record in first 5 innings: 20-28-15

— Skubal is 3-1, 2.90 in his last five starts.
— Detroit is 7-5 in his starts
— under 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-2
— He is 1-0, 1.50 in one start vs Texas.

— Tigers lost nine of last 12 games.
— Detroit is 15-22 at home.
— under 38-21-1 last 60 games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-63
— record in first 5 innings: 17-36-10

White Sox (30-31) @ Houston (39-24)
— Giolito is 1-1, 8.62 in his last three starts
— White Sox are 4-6 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-2
— He is 2-3, 3.71 in five starts vs Houston.

— White Sox won their last three games.
— Chicago is 17-14 on road.
— over 12-4 last sixteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-61
— record in first 5 innings: 26-28-7

— Valdez is 5-1, 2.53 in his last six starts.
— Astros are 7-5 in his starts.
— under 8-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
— He is 1-1, 3.38 in three games (2 starts) vs Texas.

— Astros won three of their last four games.
— Houston is 16-10 at home.
— under 33-14 last 47 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-63
— record in first 5 innings: 37-20-6

Kansas City (21-41) @ A’s (22-43)
— Lynch is 0-3, 9.60 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 4-7 in his starts
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in one start vs Oakland.

— Kansas City is 13-31 in its last 44 games.
— Royals are 9-20 on road.
— over 16-10 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-62
— record in first 5 innings: 18-33-11

— Montas is 1-2, 4.15 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 3-10 in his starts.
— under 8-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-6
— He is 2-1, 3.08 in four starts vs Kansas City.

— A’s are 8-24 in their last 32 games.
— Oakland is 7-23 at home.
— over 11-6-1 last eighteen games
— scored run in first inning: 17-65
— record in first 5 innings: 18-36-11

LA Angels (29-35) @ Seattle (28-35)
— Lorenzen is 1-1, 4.42 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 6-4 in his starts.
— over 7-0 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-10
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3
— He gave up a run in 1.1 IP in relief vs Seattle.

— Angels lost 18 of last 21 games.
— Angels are 13-17 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 24-65
— record in first 5 innings: 34-25-6

— Ray is 1-1, 4.24 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-2
— He is 1-0, 0.00 in one start (7 IP) vs Anaheim.

— Mariners are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Seattle is 14-15 at home.
— under 10-1 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 18-64
— record in first 5 innings: 23-30-11

Interleague games
St Louis (37-28) @ Boston (34-30)
— Wainwright is 0-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.
— Cardinals are 8-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He is 1-0, 2.57 in one start vs Boston.

— Cardinals won five of last seven games.
— St Louis is 16-15 on road.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 21-65
— record in first 5 innings: 30-25-10

— Wacha is 1-1, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 7-3 in his starts.
— under 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-0-4
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis

— Red Sox won 11 of last 14 games.
— Boston is 15-15 at home.
— under 11-5-2 last eighteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-64
— record in first 5 innings: 27-20-17

Minnesota (37-28) @ Arizona (30-35)
— Smeltzer is 2-0, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— Minnesota is 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Minnesota is 4-2 in its last six games.
— Twins are 17-14 on road.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 23-66
— record in first 5 innings: 36-21-9

— Bumgarner is 0-4, 5.73 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 5-8 in his starts- they were shut out in his last three.
— under 3-0-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-9-1
— He is 1-1, 11.05 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— Diamondbacks are 8-13 in last 21 games.
— Arizona is 15-18 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 16-65
— record in first 5 innings: 22-26-17

Cleveland (32-27) @ Los Angeles (39-23)
— Plesac is 1-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Cleveland is 4-7 in his starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Guardians are 14-4 in their last 18 games.
— Cleveland is 16-17 on road.
— under 4-0 last four road games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-59
— record in first 5 innings: 22-22-15

— Kershaw is 2-1, 1.64 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 4-2 in his starts
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He is 1-0, 4.50 in two starts vs Cleveland.

— Dodgers are 6-9 in their last fifteen games.
— Los Angeles is 19-10 at home.
— under 13-5-2 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-62
— record in first 5 innings: 37-17-8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:32 AM

Today’s Free Horse Picks – Friday, June 17th 2022
By Reggie Garrett

We are covering 6 tracks on Friday, June 17th, 2022. Reggie Garrett has his picks for each race at Gulfstream Park, Santa Anita Park, Belmont Park and more. Good luck and enjoy!

Belmont Park – 1:00 ET
Race 1: 2 Contemporary Art
Race 2: 6 King Moonracer
Race 3: 1 Stormi Cat Lady
Race 4: 6 Miss Tapirado
Race 5: 5 Barbara
Race 6: 2 Pretty Clever
Race 7: 9 Jannie Mae
Race 8: 3 Fire Sword
Race 9: 10 Ria’s Angel

Churchill Downs – 12:45 PT
Race 1: 4 Frills
Race 2: 1 Sis Boom Bob
Race 3: 5 Crimson Rose
Race 4: 9 Towhead
Race 5: 3 Keystone Field
Race 6: 8 Runway Magic
Race 7: 9 American Apple
Race 8: 5 Angitude
Race 9: 3 Hippodrome

Gulfstream Park – 2:55 ET
Race 1: 6 Jazzy T
Race 2: 8 Ginrin
Race 3: 1 Mai Ty One On
Race 4: 6 Lee Ann’s Warrior
Race 5: 2 Campeador
Race 6: 7 Trevess
Race 7: 3 Dakota Boy
Race 8: 2 Vive Bien
Race 9: 7 Peachy Weachy
Race 10: 10 Baker Block

Monmouth Park – 2:00 ET
Race 1: 5 Outstanding Island
Race 2: 2 Along the Way
Race 3: 3 Munnys Gold
Race 4: 2 Like What I See
Race 5: 7 We Ready
Race 6: 5 That’s Right
Race 7: 1 Uncle Ned
Race 8: 6 Spark

Santa Anita Park – 1:00 PT
Race 1: 9 Velvet
Race 2: 2 Talkative Gal
Race 3: 5 Redline
Race 4: 3 Today Matters
Race 5: 1 She’s a Joker
Race 6: 7 Lady Maryann
Race 7: 4 Carpe Vinum
Race 8: 3 Apprehend
Race 9: 7 Johnny Podres
Race 10: 7 Manitowish
Race 11: 8 Heartbreaker

Woodbine – 1:10 ET
Race 1: 6 Qian B C
Race 2: 3 Crafty Conquest
Race 3: 6 Dixie Bin
Race 4: 9 Ice Road
Race 5: 3 Anarchy
Race 6: 3 Tale of Perfection
Race 7: 1 Born Happy
Race 8: 8 Northern Passage

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:32 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Belmont Park, Churchill Downs, and Santa Anita for June 17, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

It’s time for another great Friday of racing! For the free pick 4, we will head to Belmont Park for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Churchill Downs and Santa Anita for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s go!

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Belmont Park:

Belmont Park June 17, 2022

Race 6: Allowance Optional Claiming

#4 Khali Magic has hit the board in four straight races against similar horses; however, her best race was last time out, which came at a similar distance as todays race. #6 Wailin Josie has a close third behind our top choice last time out. She is also pretty consistent on this circuit.

Race 7: Maiden Claiming

#4 Lemme Get It runs off of a layoff today, but drops down in class, which should help her chances. Look for him to get to the front today. #10 Halofied debuts today for a trainer who usually has his horses ready to roll on debut. Her workout pattern is solid.

Race 8: Allowance Optional Claiming

#4 Chateau looks to be the lone speed in this race, which obviously is going to make him dangerous. He also looks to be the class of this field. #2 Three Two Zone looked great last time out against allowance company; however, this is the toughest field he has ever faced.

Race 9: Maiden Claiming

#10 Rias Angel moves over to the turf today after running decent last time out over the dirt at a higher level. This drop down in class should help out as well. #11 Bointheback has been close at this class level in his last two starts might like the stretch out in distance today.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-9) 4,6 / 4,5,6,8,9,10 / 4 / 4,5,6,9,10,11 – $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:32 AM

Belmont Park Picks - Friday, June 17, 2022

Race 1: 4-2-1-6
Race 2: 5-11-4-9
Race 3: 6-2-4-5
Race 4: 5-6-4-1
Race 5: 8-1-6-3
Race 6: 4-6-2-3
Race 7: 3-10-9-8
Race 8: 2-4-5-3
Race 9: 10-8-7-11
**Most Likely: Khali Magic (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Gracefully Wild (Race 7)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:33 AM

Churchill Downs Picks - Friday, June 17, 2022

Race 1: 4-3-5-2
Race 2: 4-8-1-6
Race 3: 5-2-4-6
Race 4: 2-9-5-6
Race 5: 1/1A-4-3-6
Race 6: 1-8-6-5
Race 7: 6-9-8-2
Race 8: 5-1-9-4
Race 9: 11-9-1-3
**Most Likely: Crimson Rose (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Missionary Work (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:33 AM

Monmouth Park Picks - Friday, June 17, 2022

Race 1: 2-7-8-5
Race 2: 3-2-5-6
Race 3: 6-5-3-8
Race 4: 6-3-1-5
Race 5: 4-2-7-1
Race 6: 2-8-6-7
Race 7: 5-3-1-7
Race 8: 4-2-1-6
**Most Likely Winner: Appraisal (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Candy Cane Lane (Race 7)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:36 AM

Santa Anita Picks - Friday, June 17, 2022

Race 1: 9-5-3-4
Race 2: 1-4-2-3
Race 3: 4-3-5-1
Race 4: 1-5-4-3
Race 5: 2-1-3-8
Race 6: 1-3-7-6
Race 7: 5-3-2-1
Race 8: 3-2-7-6
Race 9: 7-5-4-6
Race 10: 9-3-8-1
Race 11: 8-7-4-5
**Most Likely: Macadamia (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Work To Live (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:36 AM

Woodbine Picks - Friday, June 17, 2022

Race 1: 4-2-1-6
Race 2: 4-5-3-2
Race 3: 2-4-6-1
Race 4: 5-1-9-6
Race 5: 2-3-4-10
Race 6: 7-2-5-6
Race 7: 1-7-4-6
Race 8: 2-1-5-9
**Most Likely Winner: Menagerie (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Moment Of Peace (Race 4)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:37 AM

Charles Town Picks - Friday, June 17, 2022

Race 1: 2-6-1-3
Race 2: 1-3-5-2
Race 3: 3-8-3-1
Race 4: 2-1-8-6
Race 5: 9-2-1-3
Race 6: 7-1-6-3
Race 7: 3-4-7-1
Race 8: 9-5-1-2
**Most Likely Winner: Road Slew #2 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Split The Pack #2 (Race 4)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:37 AM

Delaware Park Picks - Friday, June 17, 2022

Race 1: 5-4-2-1/1A
Race 2: 6-2-1-5
Race 3: 8-2-7-5
Race 4: 6-3-1-4
Race 5: 6-10-7-1
Race 6: 1-6-3-7
Race 7: 7-8-1-4
Race 8: 3-6-7-1
**Most Likely Winner: Bon Fire Diva #6 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Princess Zuri #8 (Race 3)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:37 AM

Gulfstream Park Picks - Friday, June 17, 2022

Race 1: 6-3-1-4
Race 2: 9-5-8-1
Race 3: 3-1-6-5
Race 4: 6-8-1-2
Race 5: 3-8-7-1
Race 6: 7-8-2-3
Race 7: 3-8-4-1
Race 8: 1-3-8-6
Race 9: 7-8-4-2
Race 10: 9-2-4-6
**Most Likely Winner: Trust Me #9 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Loud N Proud #3 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:37 AM

Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Friday, June 17

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Friday's meetings at Market Rasen, Newmarket, Goodwood, Redcar and Ayr.

Market Rasen

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.00 Fast Forward

1.35 Durragh

2.10 Give Me A Cuddle

2.45 Teescomponentsfly

3.20 Mahler’s Promise

3.55 Vinnie’s Getaway

4.35 Thirsty Weather

GIMCRACK

1.00 Fast Forward

1.35 Whatcoloristhewind

2.10 The Bold Thady

2.45 Art Man

3.20 Costly Diamond

3.55 Post No Bills

4.35 Ilanz

Newmarket

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.16 Legende D’art

5.54 Self Praise

6.29 Judith

7.04 Return To Dubai

7.39 Duelist

8.10 Stunning Beauty

8.44 Amor De Mi Vida

GIMCRACK

5.16 Legende D’art

5.54 Self Praise

6.29 Judith

7.04 Cosmic Desert

7.39 Total Lockdown

8.10 Divine Magic

8.44 Thakrah

Goodwood

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.25 Galeron

6.00 Nathanael Greene

6.35 Way Of Life

7.10 Rum Cocktail

7.45 Country Pyle

8.15 Golden Sands

GIMCRACK

5.25 Borough

6.00 Madame Ambassador

6.35 Way Of Life

7.10 Chief White Face

7.45 Thundersquall

8.15 Golden Sands

Redcar

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.20 Man Made Of Smoke

1.50 Sea The Casper

2.20 Wootton’sun

2.55 Copper And Five

3.30 True Blue Moon

4.10 Rum Going On

4.50 Ey Up Its The Boss

5.21 Prodigious Blue

GIMCRACK

1.20 What A Dude

1.50 Tuxedo Junction

2.20 Rollajam

2.55 Cassy O

3.30 Hajjam

4.10 Time To Rumble

4.50 Ey Up Its The Boss

5.21 Proclivity

Ayr

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.12 Asean Legend

5.47 Iris Dancer

6.22 Molinari

6.57 Grand Canal

7.32 Sixcor

8.05 Otto Oyl

8.37 Yaaser

GIMCRACK

5.12 Asean Legend

5.47 Iris Dancer

6.22 Flying Moon

6.57 Spantik

7.32 Sixcor

8.05 Otto Oyl

8.37 Yaaser

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:41 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 6-17-22

June 17, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 5-Ma France; 9-Velvet; 6-Peanut Butter Cup

Forecast: The opener is a wide-open maiden turf sprint for older fillies and mares offering several possibilities. We’ll go three-deep and hope that’s enough. Ma France, second in her debut in Ireland earlier this year in an all-weather maiden sprint, makes her U.S. debut for top local grass trainer P. D’Amato following a series of decent workouts that should have her plenty fit. Due to various reasons (form, connections, etc.) she is certain to receive plenty of play and in fact is listed as the 2-1 morning line favorite. We’ll put her on top but won’t single her. Velvet, off the track for almost 15 months, returns with a strong work tab that catches the eye for trainer R. Mandella, who shows superior stats (26%, massive ROI) with layoff runners. She’s four years old with only three prior outings but she has run well sprinting on grass in the past and figures to enjoy this extended sprint distance. Peanut Butter Cup displayed some talent last fall as a 2-year-old in decent local maiden grass races and could easily be a better type this time around. She returns as a first-time Lasix user and might be a late threat, so we’ll toss her in at 8-1 on the morning line.

Notable Workouts:

Rebel Girl (May 12, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.2h). Grade: C+
Second best between horses down the lane with Whiskey Blue (5f, 1:01.4h) and O Brother (5f, 1:02.4h), never really asked much while coming the final quarter mile in ordinary :26 flat for L. Powell. Brought a ton of money ($285,000) at the 2021 OBS April sale, where she was impressive previewing a quarter mile in :10 flat but never made it to the post during her juvenile year and has been training locally for at least six months before finally making the entries. Doesn’t train like a sprinter but is bred for grass and may show a lot more when given a chance on the lawn.
View Workout Video

Quick Romance (June 10, Santa Anita, :49.2h TT)). Grade: B-
Broke off a length behind Barrister’s Ride (4f, :49.3h TT) in training track drill for S. Ruis and was a ridden a bit through the lane to finish about a head back at the wire, splits of :25.1 and :49.2, slow early but decent late. Has bit of run, probably not a sprinter, brought $500,000 as a yearling, likely a down-the-road type on grass.
View Workout Video

Wishing on a Star (June 4, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.3h). Grade: B-
Broke off slightly behind outside Empire Gal (5f, :59.4h) and hit the wire a head back while under mild urging (workmate going easily), final quarter mile :24.4. Been away since last October, looks about the same this time around. Probably needs turf.
View Workout Video

Ma France (June 5, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.3h TT). Grade: B-
Okay drill outside Rose Dawson (same time) slow early but workmanlike through the lane, final quarter mile :24.2 while being niggled at and chirped to, head-and-head at the wire. Ran well earlier this year (second of 14) in an all-weather maiden sprint in Ireland and should be a fit on this circuit, though she we doubt she’s a speed type. Bred to enjoy grass on both sides of her pedigree.
View Workout Video

Peanut Butter Cup (June 11, Santa Anita, 3f, :37hg). Grade: B-
A tad second best outside Havana Love (5f, 1:01.3hg) without being asked much in gate drill for R. Hess, Jr., splits of :23.4 and :35.1, much faster than given and looking fairly decent in the process. Displayed ability last summer at Del Mar going long on the grass and should return a bit better than she left. Pedigree suggests she’ll may be most comfortable over a distance of ground.
View Workout Video

Anacapa (June 11, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.4h TT). Grade: B
Worked alone on training track for Gaines and came the final three furlongs in :12 flat and :35.3, mild coaxing in the closing stages. Useful sort seems fit enough by now, probably not a real quick sort, perhaps more of a grinder.
View Workout Video

Anacapa (June 6, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.4hg). Grade B
Solo gate work for C. Gaines, splits of :24.1, :35.4, :47.3 and 1:00 flat on our watches, never really asked much in steady drill, eased up at the wire in 1:14.4. Was $250,000 purchase at last year’s Fasig-Tipton Santa Anita sale but it’s taken a year to get her to the races. Route type?
View Workout Video

Jubilee Lake (June 3, Santa Anita, 4f, :48h TT). Grade: B
Solo training track drill for N. Drysdale, final three furlongs in :11.2 and :35.4, not really asked much through the lane. Away since November, didn’t show much at all in three juveniles starts but could be a bit better this time around.
View Workout Video

Velvet (June 8, Santa Anita, 4f, 1:14.1h). Grade: B
Fitness-building drill, ridden a bit through the lane while perhaps a tad second best at the wire inside Man Among Men (not really asked, up there), the continued out to seven furlong pole under some coaxing, splits of :22.4, :48 flat and 1:01.2 for the final five furlongs for R. Mandella. Been away for more than a year, seems to be coming back in good enough shape and may display improvement off the layoff. Form suggests she might be most comfortable as a late-running turf sprinter.
View Workout Video

Charlotte Harbor (June 11, Santa Anita, 4f, :46.4h). Grade: B-
In blinkers, urged hard through the lane to record fast time while even outside Salta (same time) for K. Desormeaux, final three furlongs in :11.1 and :35.1. Okay work, perhaps not as good as final time might indicate.
View Workout Video

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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B+
Single: 3-Pequena Tormenta

Forecast: Pequena Tormenta was quite unlucky when a close third in a similar starter optional claiming sprint for fillies and mares last time out and a good case can be made that she was best when beaten. The daughter of Dialed In blew the start from the rail and was several lengths behind during the opening stages of the race, displayed sharpspeed to move up and be within striking range down the backstretch, went to climbing behind horses midway on the turn, angled widest of all entering the lane and then stayed on gamely through the lane. She shows a bullet half mile workout (:46 4/5, fastest of 79) since that race, and with just three outings on her resume she certainly has room for further improvement. At 3-1 on the morning line she’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Violent Runner (June 11, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:03.2h). Grade: C
Solo main track drill for J. Sadler, final three furlongs in :12.1 and :38.3, very late changing leads despite being urged to do so. Crushed a soft maiden field by nine lengths last month but this move wasn’t very encouraging.
View Workout Video

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RACE 3: Post: 2:06 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference: 4-Shut Up Michael; 2-Cowboy Charlie

Forecast: Shut Up Michael has established his preference as a late-running turf sprinter and gets a chance for a repeat score in this extended grass sprint for $75,000 sophomore claimers. The P. D’Amato-trained gelding has worked well since registering a career top victory over this course and distance last month despite a less-than-deal trip, so with clear sailing today he will have every chance for a repeat score. in time. Cowboy Charlie finished a close third behind our top pick last time out but removes blinkers and benefits from a significant seven point shift in the weights. As the projected controlling speed, the Stay Thirsty colt should have his chance to wire the field.

Notable Workouts:

Shut Up Michael (June 5, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h TT). Grade: B
Broke off a length in front inside Bolden (5f, 1:00.2h TT) and finished head-and-head with that one in solid work without undue pressure, splits of :24.2, :36.2 and 1:00.2 on our watches, nice drill while maintaining his form. Most effective as a late-running turf sprinter.
View Workout Video

Redline (May 28, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.1h). Grade: B-
Broke off far behind Forever Mo (5f, 1:02.3h) and collared that one late to prove clearly best by a length while being ridden through the lane, splits :24.2, :36.3 and 1:01.4 on our watches, a few tickets slower than given. Okay work, nothing great, may prefer one corner.
View Workout Video

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RACE 4: Post: 2:40 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 5-Corsica Flavor; 1-King Rob

Forecast: Corsica Flavor, purchased a year ago for $240,000, finished second in a maiden $50,000 affair in late February, returns almost four months later for $20,000 and clearly is being culled from the stable. The son of Mastery shows a bullet :59 4/5 drill (fastest of 24) 11 days ago, further illuminating the “for sale” sign. You have to use him under the assumption that he has at least one decent race left in him, though you can’t really be sure. King Rob, second in his last pair, lands the good rail and should inherit a good pace-prompting trip. He’s hit the board in five of eight career starts and should be in the fray once again. We’ll try to survive and advance using just these two in rolling exotic play in a race that probably should otherwise be left alone.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:10 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 7-Miss O’Brien; 2-Iconic Sky; 3-Queen of Pompeii; 1-She’s a Joker

Forecast: The fifth race is a stronger-than-par allowance optional claiming turf sprint for fillies and mares. Miss O’Brien returned off a long layoff to handle a representative maiden field with authority over the local lawn last month and has looked noticeably sharp in the morning since. She is clearly a much better filly this year than last after joining the D. Blacker barn and with D. Van Dyke staying aboard she can be expected to produce a forward move and be dangerous despite the class hike. Iconic Sky earned a big figure winning an all-weather allowance sprint at Golden Gate Fields last month, and if she can duplicate that performance in her first try on turf the daughter of Vronsky will be a serious contender. Queen of Pompeii shows the route-to-sprint angle that we like and broke her maiden over this course and distance two races back with authority with a speed figures that makes her a major player. The daughter of Temple City projects to settle in mid-pack and then have her chance from the quarter pole home. She’s A Joker took advantage of an ideal rail-skimming trip to graduate over this grass course last month, and while she didn’t have a whole lot behind her and her number was soft, the daughter of Practical Joke seems likely to improve with added experience. Toss her in as a back-up or a saver.

Notable Workouts:

Queen of Pompeii (June 10, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.4h TT). Grade: B
Easy solo five furlong training track drill for C. Gaines, final three furlongs in :12 flat and :37 flat, never really asked much. Maintains her edge.
View Workout Video

Miss O’Brien (4f, :49.4h) TT). Grade: B+
Stout restraint early and never asked through the lane, final three furlongs in :12.1 and :36.3, quite sharp. Comes off clever comeback win and should step forward again next time.
View Workout Video

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RACE 6: Post: 3:40 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 4-Tamarando Coast; 6-Lucy L; 7-Lady Maryann

Forecast >: State-bred maiden fillies and mares sprint five and one-half furlongs in the fifth race, with the first-timer Tamarando Coast deserving of a reasonable chance at 6-1 on the morning line. The J. Bonde-trained filly looked fairly decent in a gate work May 30 (see below), and in a race in which the main players all have lower-than-par speed figures a fresh face may be the way to go. Lucy L is a another first-timer that qualifies as a “must use.” She has done some solid work leading up to her debut for trainer T. Yakteen, and with leading rider J. Hernandez taking the call the daughter of Informed should be very competitive first crack out of the box. Lady Maryann has the benefit of two prior races and is the most dangerous of the known element. A distant second in a fast race last month while more than six lengths clear of the rest, the daughter of Curlin to Mischief should be on or near the lead throughout, and if she can shake loose early without pressure she may be hard to run down.

Notable Workouts:

Tamarando Coast (May 30, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.3hg). Grade: B
Went off slowly but really picked it up entering the far turn and finished under coaxing in strong fashion, splits of :25 flat, :36.1 and :47.3 for J. Bonde. Sophomore filly has enough ability to act with moderate state-bred maidens and seems fit enough. Worth a look in the right spot.
View Workout Video

Lucy L (June 11, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.1h). Grade: B
Slightly second but was not asked outside Armagnac (same time) looking pretty nice for an un-raced state-bred sophomore filly, splits of :23.1 and :47.4, a couple of ticks quicker than given. Definitely can run some and should be a live item in her debut.
View Workout Video

Sapadilla (May 25, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.2h). Grade: C+
Broke off far in front of Eleuthera (5f, 1:00.3h) but was no match for that one in the final furlong while being ridden, two lengths back at the wire, splits of :23.3 :49 for the final half mile. Note that the official work tab has these two official times; Sapadilla should have received the slower final time
View Workout Video

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RACE 7: Post: 4:10 PT Grade: A-
Single: 5-Macadamia

Forecast: Macadamia makes her U.S. debut for P. D’Amato, and as a two-time Group-1 winner from Brazil she seems likely to outclass this first-level allowance field. The local workouts have been especially impressive, so we’re expecting a major performance by this daughter of Hat Trick for a barn that always does well with foreign (mostly European) imports. The first-time Lasix user is listed at 5/2 on the morning line and at that price she’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Carpe Vinum (June 6, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1h TT). Grade: B
Always a good worker and was strictly on her own, splits of :12 flat and :36.4 for the final three furlongs, plenty left late. Maintains her form.
View Workout Video

Macadamia (June 11, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.3h TT). Grade: B+
In blinkers, broke off just behind outside Gold Phoenix (same time) and proved slightly best approaching the wire, very slow early but strong in the final stages, splits of :26 flat, :38.4 and 1:02.3 on our watches. Import from Brazil looks like the real deal and is plenty fit for her local debut for P. D’Amato. Was multiple Group-1 winner in South America.
View Workout Video

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RACE 8: Post: 4:40 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 2-Law Abidin Citizen; 3-Apprehend

Forecast: Law Abidin Citizen won at this $50,000 allowance optional claiming level last month and was claimed by trainer Eddie Truman, who wheels him back for the same price. This barn can be aggressive with its new merchandise, so the lack of a class hike makes sense with a $69,000 purse being offered as an inducement to stay put. Apprehend, away since New Year’s Eve when he won a maiden special weight sprint at Oaklawn Park with a solid figure, sports an impressive series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs that should have him fit and ready. The son of Arrogate isn’t a quick type but at this six and one-half furlong distance he’ll have every chance to settle early and blast home late. We’ll give Law Abidin Citizen the edge on top but include both in rolling exotic play.

Notable Workouts

Houndstooth (June 6, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:12.2h TT). Grade: B+
Came the final five furlongs in :23.4, :35.3 and :59 flat in solo training track drill for S. Miyadi, ridden hard and urged through the lane to finish all out. Excellent final time but was asked for her best. Form suggest she prefers the dirt.
View Workout Video

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RACE 9: Post: 5:10 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 5-Bolden

Forecast: Bolden returned better than he left when remaining unbeaten in two starts last month with a thoroughly convincing six length win in a state-bred allowance sprint that produced a speed figure better than par for this open allowance affair. The son of Square Eddie is plenty fast but can be content to stalk and pounce if the race flow dictates. Two bullet workouts since raced tell us he’s got plenty more to give, so even though this will be his first try on turf he should offer value in the win pool and in the various exotics at his morning line of 8/5, assuming you get can get it.

Notable Workouts:

Bolden (June 5, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h TT). Grade: B+
In blinkers, finished under a stout hold while stride-for-stride with Shut Up Michael (same time), final quarter in :24 flat, very nice. Unbeaten in two starts and should be tough to beat once again on the raise.
View Workout Video

Rocky Gibraltar (June 11, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h). Grade: C+
Ridden and urged hard through the lane to be even but slightly second best with Little Rachel (same time), final half mile in :23.2 and :48.4. Recently gelded but looked about the same, probably would appreciate a class drop.
View Workout Video

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RACE 10: Post: 5:40 PT Grade: B+
Single: 1-Winhappy

Forecast: Winhappy won a fast, highly-rated $20,000 claiming sprint at Del Mar last July and was haltered by trainer P. Aguirre in what appeared to be a timely claim. However, the new connections were unable to run him back, and finally, after 11 months of inactivity, the speedy 4-year-old gelding returns at that same level in a field he should be able to outrun. The fact that the son of Runhappy is waiver protected makes this placement quite logical. With a clean break from his rail post he projects as the controlling speed, and at anywhere near his morning line of 6-1 he will offer excellent wagering value in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

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RACE 11: Post: 6:10 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 3-Breakfast Ride; 2-Missed Call

Forecast: Breakfast Ride earned a strong number when easily dispatching an outclassed maiden $40,000 field on the main track last month and today, in a sign of confidence, he is protected against a starter allowance field that he should be able to handle if he can duplicate his dirt form on grass. Worth noting is a very impressive workout (see below) that gives strong indication that the son of Distorted Humor is ready to step forward again. Missed Call is the one to fear most. The Dialed In gelding scored at first asking over this course and distance earlier this month when, after a bit of slow start, he rallied from mid-pack to win going away like a nice sort. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with a very slight preference on top to Breakfast Ride.

Notable Workouts:

Breakfast Ride (June 10, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1h). Grade: B+
Even but best outside Southern Horse (same time) for J. Sadler, final three furlongs in a solid :36.2 while breezing every step of the way (workmate asked). Got a confidence-building win with dropped into a maiden claimer and appears ready to produce significant forward move based on this drill.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2022, 08:41 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 17, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Hoosier Park has a 13-race Friday night card set to go. The feature rolls in Race 10, an Open 1-2 Pace with a $22,000 purse. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10 as well, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

3-Mac's Big Boy (8-1)-Steps-up after a sharp score and was Tetrick's choice. This level will be a challenge but comes into this face primed and draws inside of main foes.
8-Tellmeaboutit (9/2)-This 6-year-old also comes off a nice win and will need a top try to best this bunch. But Oosting has gate speed to work with so could land in a good seat and roll by late.
9-Sectionline Bigry (6/5)-Probably desrrved a better fate in the Battle of Lake Erie. This 7-year old knows how to win at HoP with an outside post draw and has hit the board in 8 of 10 here with 6 wins.

Race 11

1-The Longest Yard (9/5)-Broke poorly in the slop last week and was far back early. Program chalk shouldn't blush at this competition and looks like the one to beat.
5-RIP Wheeler (5/2)-Has been racing well and seems to do well on an off-track as 2 of 3 recent efforts were on a wet surface. Should be forwardly placed from this post and Bates should keep this gelding in the hunt.

Race 12

3-Uncmprmising Z Tam (8-1)-Last 2 tries at this class came on an off-track where the the record is only 1 for 25. But the effort in last from the 8-hole was very good and was used hard early. Looks worthy of a swing and should be a better price this time than 5/2.
5-Kneedeep N Custard (9/5)-Fell short versus better after trying to wire the field. Drops and looks like a major player.

Race 13

1-Rock Solid Image (15-1)-Interesting price shot who had excuses in last coming off a sick scractch and then racing on a sloppy track. Should fit with this crew and on drop and Oosting could work an efficient trip from the rail.
6-Ana Freet N (3-1)-Cullipher ships this veteran from M1 and should be in the mix with this group. Has hit the board in 7 of 10 here and has a 149.2 mark in Anderson.
7-Caption This (7/2)-Has the gate speed to duck into a close-up seat. There aren't any monsters in this field so best to respect this 4-year-old who can close in a hurry.