Tuesday 6/28/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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NHL
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie

Fort Erie - Race 5	WPS, Exactor, 20 Cent Triactor, Daily Double, 20 Cent Superfecta 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7), 20 Cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Optional Claiming $12,500 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $24,108 • Post: 5:57P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE MAY 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $12,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (LIMITED TO 10 STARTERS)(*PLUS UP TO $4,725 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS). IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN ON THE TURF, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF FIVE FURLONGS ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SWIRLING CANDY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SWIRLING CANDY: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layof f. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. GIMBALA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). APPOINTED: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. HIGH SOCIETY GIRL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or ro ute)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
8	SWIRLING CANDY	3/1	3/1
4	GIMBALA	6/1	8/1
1	APPOINTED	5/1	9/1
7	HIGH SOCIETY GIRL	4/1	9/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	SWIRLING CANDY	8	3/1	Front-runner	85	87	90.4	82.4	76.9
7	HIGH SOCIETY GIRL	7	4/1	Front-runner	74	70	84.4	65.4	55.4
4	GIMBALA	4	6/1	Front-runner	85	86	75.8	58.8	51.3
5	DREAMINOFPASSION	5	7/2	Stalker	76	82	77.0	72.8	63.8
1	APPOINTED	1	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	90	80	80.0	76.0	70.0
2	MY FINAL TRICK	2	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	77	69.1	61.5	51.0
3	EVER SO D'WILD	3	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	90	74	63.0	64.9	56.9
6	BENADETTE'S LADY	6	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	73	61.6	68.0	53.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday’s games

National League
Atlanta (42-32) @ Philadelphia (39-35)
— Morton is 0-0, 1.29 in his last two starts.
— Atlanta is 8-6 in his starts.
— over 11-3
— allowed run in first inning: 7-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He is 5-5, 4.79 in 13 starts vs Philly.

— Braves won 19 of their last 24 games.
— Atlanta is 18-15 on road.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 19-74
— record in first 5 innings: 38-27-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-x

— Wheeler is 3-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 7-6 in his starts
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-1
— He is 9-7, 3.20 in 22 starts vs Atlanta.

— Phillies won three of last four games.
— Philly is 19-17 at home.
— over 21-12-1 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-73
— record in first 5 innings: 30-32-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6.1-x

Pittsburgh (29-44) @ Washington (28-48)
— Quintana is 0-2, 5.95 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 7-7 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-2
— He is 0-1, 7.88 in two starts vs Washington

— Pirates are 1-5 in their last six games.
— Pittsburgh is 12-24 on road.
— over 9-7 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 17-73
— record in first 5 innings: 25-35-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-4

— Corbin is 2-3, 9.89 in his last five starts.
— Nationals are 3-12 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-1
— He is 4-2, 3.14 in 11 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Washington is 5-2 in its last seven games.
— Nationals are 13-26 at home.
— over 21-13 last 34 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-76
— record in first 5 innings: 24-44-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3-4

Miami (33-39) @ St Louis (42-34)
— Garrett is 1-2, 5.29 in four starts.
— Miami is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 0-0, 4.15 in one start vs St Louis.

— Miami is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— Marlins are 19-20 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 13-72
— record in first 5 innings: 26-30-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2-3

— Hudson is 1-2, 7.16 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 5-1 in his home starts
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-3
— He is 1-0, 0.93 in three games (1 start) vs Miami.

— Cardinals are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— St Louis is 23-15 at home.
— over 11-4-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-76
— record in first 5 innings: 34-31-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-8-2

Cincinnati (25-47) @ Cubs (28-45)
— Castillo is 0-2, 5.18 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 3-6 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-2
— He is 6-5, 3.95 in 15 starts vs Chicago.

— Reds lost eight of last 11 games.
— Cincinnati is 13-24 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 19-72
— record in first 5 innings: 22-39-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-x

— Thompson is 1-0, 0.75 in his last two starts.
— Cubs are 6-2 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
— He threw 3 scoreless IP in four relief stints vs Cincinnati.

— Cubs are 10-21 in their last 31 games.
— Cubs are 13-25 at home.
— over 22-14 last 36 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-73
— record in first 5 innings: 27-34-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-7.2-x

Los Angeles (45-27) @ Colorado (32-42)
— Kershaw is 2-1, 1.61 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 5-3 in his starts.
— over 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-2
— He is 11-6, 4.57 in 24 starts at Colorado.

— Dodgers are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Los Angeles is 25-15 on the road.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 23-72
— record in first 5 innings: 42-19-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-2

— Freeland is 2-0, 3.00 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 7-7 in his starts.
— under 5-3 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-2
— He is 3-8, 4.42 in 17 starts vs Los Angeles.

— Colorado lost five of last seven games.
— Rockies are 20-19 at home.
— under 10-4 last fourteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-74
— record in first 5 innings: 24-39-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-0

San Diego (45-30) @ Arizona (33-41)
— Manaea is 1-0, 3.91 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— over 9-0-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-5
— He is 1-0, 1.38 in two starts vs Arizona this year.

— Padres lost three of last four games.
— San Diego is 24-14 on road.
— under 7-4 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-75
— record in first 5 innings: 38-24-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-x

— Gallen is 0-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
— Arizona is 7-6 in his starts
— under 8-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-2-4
— He is 1-2, 3.31 in six starts vs San Diego

— Diamondbacks are 11-19 in last 30 games.
— Arizona is 18-21 at home.
— over 9-4-1 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 18-74
— record in first 5 innings: 25-30-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.2-x

American League
Minnesota (42-33) @ Cleveland (36-33)
— Smeltzer is 4-1, 3.27 in eight starts.
— Minnesota is 5-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1
— He is 2-2, 4.31 in five starts vs Cleveland.

— Winder is 2-1, 2.93 in three starts.
— Minnesota is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Minnesota is 9-7 in its last 16 games.
— Twins are 19-16 on road.
— under 8-5-1 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 28-76
— record in first 5 innings: 42-24-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-2

— Plesac is 1-1, 2.70 in his last five starts.
— Cleveland is 5-8 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-4
— He is 0-2, 5.28 in five starts vs Minnesota.

— bullpen game

— Guardians are 0-5 in their last five games.
— Cleveland is 16-14 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-69
— record in first 5 innings: 24-28-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-3

A’s (25-50) @ New York (54-20)
— Montas is 1-1, 4.74 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 3-12 in his starts.
— under 10-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-6
— He is 1-0, 0.00 in two games (1 start, 8 IP) vs New York.

— A’s are 11-31 in their last 42 games.
— Oakland is 17-22 on road.
— under 7-5-1 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 20-75
— record in first 5 innings: 23-40-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3.2-3

— Sears blanked Baltimore for 5 IP in his first ‘22 start.
— New York won his only start.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— New York is 14-4 in their last 19 games.
— New York is 32-9 at home.
— over 5-3-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 25-74
— record in first 5 innings: 39-17-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-2.1

Boston (41-32) @ Toronto (41-31)
— Wacha is 3-0, 2.55 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 9-3 in his starts
— under 7-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-0-4
— He is 1-1, 3.91 in four starts vs Toronto.

— Red Sox won 19 of last 24 games.
— Boston is 22-16 on road.
— under 4-2-1 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-74
— record in first 5 innings: 33-23-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-3.1

— Stripling is 3-1, 1.31 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 5-4 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-3
— He is 2-3, 6.52 in seven starts vs Boston.

— Blue Jays are 5-8 in their last thirteen games.
— Toronto is 22-14 at home.
— over 25-7 last 32 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-73
— record in first 5 innings: 30-27-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-5.1-2

Texas (35-37) @ Kansas City (26-46)
— Gray is 2-0, 1.45 in his last three starts.
— Rangers are 6-6 in his starts.
— over 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-3
— He is 0-1, 2.70 in one start vs Kansas City.

— Rangers are 6-4 in last ten games.
— Texas is 18-17 on road.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 18-72
— record in first 5 innings: 25-31-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-7-3

— Heasley is 1-0, 3.38 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 3-5 in his starts
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-2
— He is 0-1, 2.70 in one start vs Texas.

— Kansas City is 6-5 in its last eleven games.
— Royals are 13-24 at home.
— under 8-3-1 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 19-72
— record in first 5 innings: 21-38-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-0.2-4.1

White Sox (34-38) @ LA Angels (35-40)
— Cueto is 1-2, 2.89 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5
— He is 4-0, 1.34 in five starts vs Anaheim.

— White Sox lost five of their last six games.
— Chicago is 16-22 on road.
— over 16-11 last 27 games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-72
— record in first 5 innings: 30-34-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-2-2

— Silseth is 1-2, 4.96 in four starts.
— Angels are 1-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Angels are 9-23 in their last 32 games.
— Angels are 20-22 at home.
— under 13-4-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-76
— record in first 5 innings: 40-28-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2

Baltimore (35-40) @ Seattle (34-41)
— Kremer is 2-0, 1.08 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 3-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 0-0, 5.00 in two starts vs Seattle.

— Orioles are 14-10 in their last 24 games.
— Baltimore is 17-23 on road.
— over 24-14-1 last 39 games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-75
— record in first 5 innings: 25-38-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-1-3

— Ray is 1-0, 0.90 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 8-7 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-2
— He is 2-3, 5.34 in six starts vs Baltimore.

— Mariners are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Seattle is 15-19 at home.
— under 11-4-1 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 22-75
— record in first 5 innings: 27-36-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-5

Interleague games
Houston (45-27) @ NY Mets (47-26)
— Valdez is 1-1, 5.00 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-3
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Astros won nine of their last 13 games.
— Houston is 25-16 on road.
— under 11-5-1 last 17 road games
— scored run in first inning: 23-72
— record in first 5 innings: 42-21-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-x

— Carrasco is 1-2, 8.78 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 8-6 in his starts
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
— He is 4-4, 4.34 in nine starts vs Houston.

— Mets are 18-10 in their last 28 games.
— Mets are 24-10 at home.
— over 21-10-2 last 33 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-74
— record in first 5 innings: 39-21-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-1.2

Milwaukee (42-33) @ Tampa Bay (40-32)
— Woodruff is 2-1, 3.60 in his last three starts.
— This is his first start since May 27
— Milwaukee is 6-3 in his starts
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
— He is 1-0, 0.00 in one start (6.1 IP) vs Tampa Bay.

— Brewers won three of last four games.
— Milwaukee is 23-18 on road.
— over 4-0-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 27-75
— record in first 5 innings: 32-29-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-x

— Baz is 0-1, 4.15 in three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Tampa Bay is 4-1 in its last five games.
— Rays are 25-15 at home.
— over 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 21-72
— record in first 5 innings: 34-23-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-x

Detroit (28-44) @ San Francisco (39-33)
— Skubal is 0-3, 9.88 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 7-7 in his starts
— under 8-2-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.

— Tigers lost 10 of their last 14 games.
— Detroit is 10-22 on road.
— under 42-25-2 last 69 games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-72
— record in first 5 innings: 19-41-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4.1-x

— Rodon is 2-0, 0.43 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 6-8 in his starts
— under 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-1
— He is 4-2, 5.33 in nine starts vs Detroit.

— Giants are 2-6 in their last eight games.
— San Francisco is 20-16 at home.
— under 11-6-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 16-71
— record in first 5 innings: 34-27-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-6.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Interstate Racing Tips – June 28th

Home - Featured - Interstate Racing Tips – June 28th

RSN927

RSN Form Analyst Shayne Montgomery covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Taree on Tuesday the 28th of June.

Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: +3m Entire
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 7
Weather: Fine
Shayne Montgomery Taree Tips

Taree, 28th June 2022

Race 1 Selections: 6,3,1,4
Race 2 Selections:6,1,10,9
Race 3 Selections: 1,3,15,6
Race 4 Selections:6,10,9,2
Race 5 Selections:3,9,7,10
Race 6 Selections:5,3,4,9
Race 7 Selections:5,4,1,8
Race 8 Selections:5,3,6,10
Race 9 Selections: 5,2,9,8
Best Bet

Race Eight, 5-KARAOKE KING
Next Best

Race Three, 1-CHAMELEON CHOICE
Best Value

Race Four, 6-CRYSTAL’S LEGACY
Quaddie

Quaddie 1:3,4,5,9
Quaddie 2:1,4,5,8
Quaddie 3:3,5,6,10
Quaddie 4:2,5,8,9
Play Of The Day

Race Three, 1-CHAMELEON CHOICE all up Race Eight, 5-KARAOKE KING

Sky Racecaller Kiaarn Holland covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at the Townsville on Tuesday the 28th of June.

Rail Position: +0.5m 1000m-W/Post; +2m Remainder
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 5
Weather: Fine
Kiaarn Holland Townsville Tips

Townsville, 28th June 2022

Race 1 Selections: 2,3,1,5
Race 2 Selections:4,2,5,11
Race 3 Selections: 3,8,1,2
Race 4 Selections:5,1,3,11
Race 5 Selections:3,1,2,5
Race 6 Selections:7,3,6,2
Race 7 Selections:3,6,1,5
Race 8 Selections:2,7,9,12
Best Bet

Race 3 Number 3
Value Bet

Race 2 Number 4
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 3,1,2
Quaddie 2: 7
Quaddie 3: 3,6,1
Quaddie 4: 2,7,9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belterra Park Picks - Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Race 1: 4-2-5-3
Race 2: 8-7-1-4
Race 3: 7-6-8-3
Race 4: 5-2-3-4
Race 5: 5-2-4-6
Race 6: 2-6-1-4
Race 7: 1-2-7-8
Race 8: 9-1-7-4
**Most Likely Winner: No Bang No Boom #4 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Joyful Heart #9 (Race 8)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mountaineer Park Picks - Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Race 1: 4-1-8-5
Race 2: 5-6-2-3
Race 3: 7-10-9-4
Race 4: 4-5-6-3
Race 5: 3-6-2-4
Race 6: 2-3-6-5
Race 7: 3-2-4-1
Race 8: 4-3-7-2
**Most Likely Winner: Colonel Mke #7 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Coosa River #5 (Race 2)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Parx Racing Picks - Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Race 1: 4-3-6-1
Race 2: 3-2-1-5
Race 3: 7-8-2-1
Race 4: 5-4-6-1
Race 5: 6-2-4-1
Race 6: 4-5-2-1
Race 7: 8-11-2-4
Race 8: 6-7-1-2
Race 9: 5-12-1-2
Race 10: 3-5-2-8
Race 11: 5-3-2-8
**Most Likely Winner: Bellamy'spartygirl #6 (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Mackenzie's Novva #5 (Race 11)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Finger Lages Picks - Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Race 1: 3-1-4-5
Race 2: 3-6-1-2
Race 3: 5-6-1-2
Race 4: 1-6-4-2
Race 5: 5-3-2-6
Race 6: 6-2-3-5
Race 7: 5-6-1-2
Race 8: 9-2-1/1A-4
**Most Likely Winner: Front Porch #3 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Gateway Guardian #9 (Race 8)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Horseshoe IndianapolisPicks - Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Race 1: 3-6-7-1
Race 2: 1-5-2-4
Race 3: 5-6-1-3
Race 4: 3-2-8-9
Race 5: 8-3-2-1
Race 6: 11-3-2-6
Race 7: 9-2-5-7
Race 8: 8-11-1-4
Race 9: 5-8-7-2
Race 10: 5-7-2-4
**Most Likely Winner: Jericho Express #9 (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Jayla #3 (Race 4)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thistledown Picks - Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Race 1: 6-3-2-1
Race 2: 5-1/1A-3-4
Race 3: 4-6-7-3
Race 4: 6-2-1-4
Race 5: 6-2-3-5
Race 6: 6-7-1-3
Race 7: 6-4-8-1/1A
Race 8: 8-1-5-10
**Most Likely Winner: Lilac Lace #6 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Natalia's Temple #6 (Race 4)**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Tuesday, June 28

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail


Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Tuesday, June 28

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Tuesday's meetings at Hamilton, Brighton, Chepstow and Stratford.

Hamilton

ROBIN GOODFELLOW GIMCRACK

1.15 Lumacho 1.15 Catch The Paddy

1.45 Shaladar 1.45 Head Chef

2.15 Frisky 2.15 Frisky

2.45 Ghaly 2.45 AUSTRIAN THEORY

3.15 Madame Ambassador 3.15 Ravenscraig Castle

3.50 Iris Dancer 3.50 Kats Bob

4.25 Mokaman 4.25 Refuge

Brighton

ROBIN GOODFELLOW GIMCRACK

1.30 Beau Roc 1.30 Beau Roc

2.00 De Vegas Kid 2.00 Kratos

2.30 Toy Box 2.30 Toybox

3.00 Shut Up And Dance 3.00 Mrembo

3.35 Positive Impact 3.35 Dukedom

4.10 Sun Emperor 4.10 Sun Emperor

4.45 Sly Madam 4.45 Local Bay


Chepstow

ROBIN GOODFELLOW GIMCRACK

4.55 Joy Choi 4.55 Joy Choi

5.25 Dresden Green 5.25 Crosstitch

6.00 Astrophysics 6.00 Spring Our Man In Havana

6.30 Sweet Idea 6.30 No Saint

7.00 Infiniti 7.00 Silver Infiniti

7.30 Edinburgh Rock 7.30 Cicely

8.05 Fellowship (nb) 8.05Fellowship

Stratford

ROBIN GOODFELLOW GIMCRACK

6.20 Carys' Commodity 6.20 Calva D'Auge

6.50 Atlantic Strom 6.50 Dino Velvet

7.20 Justified 7.20 Justified

7.50 Cremant 7.50 On Springs

8.20 Larusso 8.20 Larusso

8.50 Shady Daisy 8.50 Mactavish

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selections Belterra Park – June 29
by Ed Meyer

Smooth weather in the forecast and that will bring out the crowds to enjoy three turf races from a card of eight. – Should be a good day to watch and wager on some Ohio racing! – Best of luck!



Belterra Park / Wednesday


Race #1


#2 – Mutual Confidence = 3rd off the layoff for Cirilo Gorostieta and Agustin Gomez. They win 27% on this move and his only turf effort was last October at Mountaineer in the allowance ranks. They drop in class today and fit like a glove in this field.
Race #2

#4 – Paynted = He is a horse for the course going 5/6 ITM for Steve Cannon and Perry Ouzts. – They are dropping in class and going from a sprint to a route where they score 25%.
Race #3

#2 – General Ginny = 3rd off the layoff and was just bested at the wire last out as the beaten favorite – Switch to top rider Santiago Gonzalez and she is 10/12 ITM at BtP.
Race #4

#5 – Bourbon Buns = 4th start off the layoff and her last two races came off the turf – Drops down in class and her dam has 7 starts, 6 winners, and 2 turf winners. Thiago Canuto aboard for Jeffrey Jackson who is 5/6 ITM without a win as of yet.
Race #5


#2 – Chloe’s Angel = Shows good speed for the Shetron barn with Verno Bush in the saddle. Four wide into the lane last out and finished a game 2nd.

Race #6

#2 – Nilsby = Son of Nyquist for trainer Dane Kobiskie who is winning at 36% for the meet – John McKee in the irons and he is getting his picture taken at a 28% clip. – They are winning 44% as a team and the barn drops down two class levels where they win 37% – The rider is 11/14 ITM the past week.
Race #7

#11 – Henry Mac = Late runner who finished 2nd in the $100k Sydney Gendelman Stakes. – Ethan West and Luan Machado team up together and that last race was taken off the turf due to rain, and West looks to get the job done today.
Race #8

#1 – Pacific Coast = Hails from the Tim Hamm barn with Luis Reyes and they win 24% the past 60 days as a team. – She gets the rail and drops back to a sprint where Hamm wins 21% of the time.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday Myths: Credence to 7-Furlong Specialists?

June 27, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

Seven furlongs is a specialist’s distance.

Background:

With Saturday’s Princess Rooney Stakes at Gulfstream one of the calendar’s most important 7-furlong sprints annually, the old racetrack axiom that 7-furlong races are for specialists comes to mind. The distance is demanding on the fleet dashers, but quicker than most routers can handle. Let’s see if the numbers suggest.

Data Points:

I fired up the Betmix database to look at all 7 furlong dirt races run this year in the US. I wanted to see how horses performed exiting races shorter, longer and at the same trip. A total of 916 races were surveyed. I also looked at horses in those 3 scenarios in terms of how often each category won over 7 furlongs.
I also extended that out to look at the last 10,000 such starters at 7 furlongs to see if 2022 was representative, long-term.

//

This year so far:

7-furlong entrants who last raced shorter than 7 furlongs won 13.5% with a $0.70 ROI for every $1 bet.
7-furlong entrants who last raced longer than 7 furlongs won 12.4% with a $0.68 ROI for every $1 bet.
7-furlong entrants who last raced 7 furlongs won 15.7% with a $0.80 ROI for every $1 bet.

//

Over the past 10,000 starters at 7 furlongs:

7-furlong entrants who last raced shorter than 7 furlongs won 12.2% with a $0.75 ROI for every $1 bet.
7-furlong entrants who last raced longer than 7 furlongs won 11.4% with a $0.73 ROI for every $1 bet.
7-furlong entrants who last raced 7 furlongs won 14.0% with a $0.80 ROI for every $1 bet.

//

This year so far:

Horses exiting races shorter than 7 furlongs won 462 of the 916 races at 7-furlongs (50.4%).
Horses exiting races exactly at 7 furlongs won 192 of the 916 races at 7-furlongs (21.0%).
Horses exiting races shorter than 7 furlongs won 239 of the 916 races at 7-furlongs (26.0%).

**first-time starters accounted for the other 23 victories**

Bottom line:
Both current and long-term, horses exiting 7-furlong races won 7-furlong races at a higher strike rate (+2.2% short-term, +1.8% long-term) than those changing distances. Horses remaining at 7 furlongs also had the higher ROI (+$0.10 short-term, +$0.05 long-term). Those horses remaining at the same distance are fewer in number and therefore accounted for the least amount of total victories as horses stretching out in distance easily won the most races. But there’s no doubt when you find a horse for 7 furlongs exiting a 7-furlong race, the specialist distance assumption rings true by a decent margin. And this narrow study does not even account for past success at the 7-furlong trip.

Additional details:

You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, consider which tracks have the most impact in terms of 7-furlong specialists.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #6
Picks Notes
#7 Adios Bobby Hoping he can get the jump on some of the finishing threats, as he has enough speed to track the pacesetter in the early going, and he ran pretty well here last year. Interesting at a price.
#4 Golden Oak I really hoped for better from him last out when he got back around two turns, and I'll give him a little thought in this third start off the break. Some of the back route efforts fit well here, and he'll be a decent price.
#2 Koosman He was no threat at 9-5 last out when catching a runaway winner, but he still handled the rest of that crew pretty easily. He's the one to beat, but I'm not sold that he's going to offer a fair price stacked against his realistic chances of winning this.
Race Summary Adios Bobby might get a nice trip tracking the pace, and that should allow him to keep the likely chalk in his sights throughout. Think he owns a couple efforts here from last year that would fit well with these.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7
Picks Notes
#6 Straight Madness Think she might land the perfect trip in here with a few potential forward players drawn further inside, and maybe they hook up early to set things up for this one to come alive late.
#1 Shoshanah Her second career start produced an easy win on the engine, but I worry that she's going to have some company and might have to hustle a little bit early if they're going to try to land the lead.
#2 Ettaplace She has a few lengths to turn on the top choice here, but I could see her getting a cozy type of trip while tucked in behind the speed early on. First jump could get her home.
Race Summary It'll be interesting to see how this shakes out from a pace perspective with three of them coming off of committed frontrunning efforts. Straight Madness is a reliable enough finisher, and on paper this pace should at least play out on the fair side, giving her a chance to show up late.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8
Picks Notes
#12 Estilo Diferente Think the price will be right to see if the new footing wakes her up at all in this one after a dull effort when last seen in April at Tampa. Perhaps a little time off did her good, and she's not too far removed from some races that would make her interesting here.
#7 Dontlosethatnumber Forward player usually puts the 'nothing' in 'all or nothing pace,' but there is not a lot of confirmed speed in here, and I wouldn't be shocked at all to see her get a good break and run these off their feet.
#1 Northern Transit She's the one to beat while dropping in for this second start with winners, and she should be within striking range of the early splits heading into the turn.
Race Summary Estilo Diferente gets a price call in a race where there isn't a whole lot to get excited about, and I am hoping the surface switch gives her a chance to turn the form around after she took some time off following the dreadful run last out -- give her an excuse for that one and the form becomes more interesting here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Pocono Downs - Race #8
Picks Notes
#2 CAPTAIN’S STAR Money poured in, shuffled on turn off layoff, can make amends.
#3 IRISH SONG Finished behind ‘Captain,’ gets ample pace to rally into.
#7 KAY SAGE No anxious moments as odds-on favorite against weaker field.
Race Summary Captain’s Star was shuffled from pocket position in the third quarter, re-rallied into contention and flattened out late as the 3-to-5 favorite. She draws favorably and should reward her loyal backers in her second start off a year layoff. Play 2-3 and 2-7 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #10
Picks Notes
#7 WILLIAM HANOVER Capitalized on good trip to win with first-time Lasix, moves inside out.
#2 JABBERWOCKY Led by city block through fast fractions, got caught.
#6 AUSSIE HANOVER Acclimated locally, likely to be put into play earlier from rail.
Race Summary William Hanover benefited from good racing luck to win, but he finished good enough to earn a repeat call with second-time Lasix. He was gapped in the pocket while the favorite broke stride behind him. Then he found a seam between rivals in mid-stretch just in time to kick clear of the closers. Bet to win and place.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#6 SERENITY CRUISE Chased sharpie two back, slowed by traffic in latest.
#1 SHOSHIE DEO Held for minor awards in three straight against the same winner.
#8 THE FIXER Led and held second in prior two tries from post 8.
Race Summary Serenity Cruise took back from the rail, got shuffled to seventh in the third quarter and finished willingly in mid-pack in the stretch. He chased a 4-to-5 runaway in the race prior and is a good value play in this spot. Bet to win and place.