Tuesday 6/28/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

1* Padres

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Bryan Rosica

2* Red Sox

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Vegas Black Card Club

Braves-Phillies under 7.5

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Timothy Black

Jun 28 '22, 7:05 PM in 10m
MLB | A's vs Yankees

Play on: [B]A's +1

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Dave Price

Jun 28 '22, 7:05 PM in 10m
MLB | Braves vs Phillies

Play on: Phillies -110 at BetVegas

Dave's Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Philadelphia Phillies -110
The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies have the edge on the rubber tonight over the Atlanta Braves. Zack Wheeler is 6-4 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 13 starts this year, and 4-2 with a 1.49 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 7 home starts. Wheeler is 9-7 with a 3.14 ERA in 22 lifetime starts against the Braves, and 2-1 with a 1.57 ERA in his last 4 starts against them while yielding only 5 earned runs in 28 2/3 innings. Charlie Morton is 4-3 with a 4.84 ERA in 14 starts this year, and 2-3 with a 5.64 ERA in 7 road starts. Morton is 5-5 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against the Phillies. Take Philadelphia.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Jun 28 '22, 7:07 PM in 12m
MLB | Red Sox vs Blue Jays

Play on: Red Sox +128 at Caesars

1* Free Sharp Play on Red Sox +128
The Red Sox (+128) are worth a look as a decently priced road dog against the Blue Jays in Tuesday's MLB action. Toronto won the series opener 7-2 in Monday, but it's Boston that has been playing the better baseball of late. Red Sox had won 7 in a row before the loss. Toronto had lost 7 of 10 before the win. Both starters have been impressive in 2022. Red Sox are swinging the hotter bat of the two, as Boston comes in hitting .295 with a .370 OBP and .452 slugging as a team over their last 7 games. Play the Red Sox +128!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jesse Schule

Jun 28 '22, 7:07 PM in 12m
MLB | Red Sox vs Blue Jays

Play on: [B]Red Sox +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Jun 28 '22, 7:07 PM in 12m
MLB | Red Sox vs Blue Jays

Play on: Blue Jays -132 at circa

1* on Blue Jays -132

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Jun 28 '22, 7:10 PM in 15m
MLB | Twins vs Guardians

Play on: Guardians +102 at Ace

Free Pick on Guardians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Jun 28 '22, 7:10 PM in 15m
MLB | Astros vs Mets

Play on: Astros -115 at BetVegas

Play - Houston Astros w/Valdez vs Carrasco (Game 979).
Edges - Astros: Valdez 1.95 ERA with 0.91 WHIP away this season; and Houston 10-1 on Tuesdays this season … Mets: 0-5 last five games in this series; and Carrasco 0-3 last three starts against Houston … With that, look for the Mets to fall to 3-6 in interleague games this season here tonight. We recommend a 1* play on Houston. Thank you and good luck as always. *Note: All pitchers' records are team starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Jun 28 '22, 7:10 PM in 15m
MLB | Brewers vs Rays

Play on: Rays -110 at William Hill

Tuesday's MLB Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -110
I'll take my chances on the Rays as a slim -110 home favorite against the Brewers. Tampa Bay has owned NL teams over the last 2 seasons, going 25-6 on the money line in interleague games. Rays are also 76-43 in their last 119 as a favorite of -150 or less and 34-14 in their last 48 in a game with a total of 7 or less.
Milwaukee is getting respect here because they are starting a big name in Brandon Woodruff and the Rays are going with 23-year-old Shane Baz. Thing is, Woodruff has not lived up to expectations in 2022, especially away from home. He's 1-3 with a 8.14 ERA and 1.810 WHIP in 5 road starts. Baz on the other hand has posted a solid 4.15 ERA and 1.077 WHIP in 3 starts. He's been great in his last two outings, giving up just 1 run on 6 hits in 10 2/3 innings. Baz now has a 3.08 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 6 career starts. Give me the Rays -110!
Confidence Rating: 5 (Scale of 1-10)

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Dustin Hawkins

Jun 28 '22, 7:10 PM in 15m
MLB | Twins vs Guardians

Play on: Guardians -105 at Caesars

1 Dimer on Guardians -105

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Matt Fargo

Jun 28 '22, 7:10 PM in 15m
MLB | Brewers vs Rays

Play on: Rays -110 at circa

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our Tuesday Free Play. Tampa Bay is coming off a weekend sweep over the Pirates which was much needed following a 3-9 stretch that included five losses against the Yankees and the Rays are in fourth place in the American League East, trailing New York by 13 games. They are now 25-15 at home which are the second most home wins in baseball and are catching a great number in the series opener. Pitching has led the way for Tampa Bay as it is No. 5 in runs allowed per nine innings, No. 4 in batting average allowed and No. 5 in opposing OPS. Tampa Bay is 17-1 in its last 18 games against the money line against National League teams with a team batting average of .245 or worse. Milwaukee has won two straight games while going 7-3 over its last 10 games. The Brewers remain in first place in the National League Central as they are a half-game ahead of St. Louis and they come in with a solid 23-18 record on the road but 15 of those wins are against teams with a losing record. Pitching has been their strength as well as they are in the top half of baseball in those three main pitching categories and turn to Brandon Woodruff who has one of the worst splits in baseball with a 1.59 ERA at home compared to an 8.15 ERA on the road. The Brewers are 1-8 in their last nine games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play on American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season, after allowing two runs or less. This situation is 114-77 (59.7 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (978) Tampa Bay Rays

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Jun 28 '22, 7:45 PM in 50m
MLB | Marlins vs Cardinals

Play on: Marlins +142 at William Hill

1* Free Play on Marlins +142

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Black Widow

Jun 28 '22, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Reds vs Cubs

Play on: Cubs -108 at Caesars

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Cubs -108