Tuesday 6/28/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Jun 28 '22, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Reds vs Cubs

Play on: Cubs -113 at circa

My free play is on the Chi Cubs at 8:05 ET.
The Brewers and Cardinals were expected to battle for the NL Central title in 2022 and that is what has played out as the season approaches July 4th. The Reds were coming off an 83-79 season in 2021 and likely had some hopes of joining the Brewers and Cards in the 2022 division 'fight' but there was "No Joy in Wrigleyville" entering 2022, as the Cubs were coming off a 71-91 season. Cincy's dreadful 3-22 start basically 'killed' the Reds' 2022 plans, while the Cubbies dipped below .500 with a loss on April (6-7) and have remained a sub-.500 team since. The two bottom-dwellers in the NL Central open a three-game series tonight in Wrigley. The 25-47 Reds are 13-24 on the road, while the 28-45 Cubs are 13-25 at home. That said, ONE team HAS to win tonight!
Luis Castillo (2-4, 3.71 ERA) will take the mound for the Reds, while the Cubs counter with Keegan Thompson (7-2, 3.10 ERA). Castillo was 15-8 in 2019 but is coming off a 2021 season in which he was 8-16 in 33 starts. The Reds were 11-22 in those starts, giving Castillo the worst moneyline mark of ANY starter (-$1,265). Castillo missed spring training and the first 28 games with a right shoulder strain and didn't make his 2022 debut until May 9. This is only his ninth start of the current season, and he takes the mound 0-2 with a 4.07 ERA in four June starts (Reds are 0-4!). Thompson pitched 53.1 innings last season (32 appearances) but has been the 'star' of Chicago's pitching staff in 2022. He's made 16 appearances, including six starts. He's struggled on the road with a 5.40 ERA and BAA of .280 but at home, his ERA is 1.50 and BAA is .176.
Cubs Win! Cubs Win!
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Jun 28 '22, 8:40 PM in 1h
MLB | LAD vs COL

Play on: OVER 11 -110

1* Free Pick on Dodgers/Rockies over 11 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

Jun 28 '22, 8:40 PM in 1h
MLB | Dodgers vs Rockies

Play on: [B]Dodgers -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Jun 28 '22, 9:38 PM in 2h
MLB | White Sox vs Angels

Play on: White Sox +117 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Chicago White Sox +117
The Chicago White Sox will be highly motivated for a victory tonight against the Los Angeles Angels. They have lost five of their last six games during one of their worst stretches of the season. Now we are getting them at a great value as underdogs in Game 2 after losing Game 1 by a single run.
The White Sox have the clear advantage on the mound tonight. Johnny Cueto has proven to be an excellent addition to the rotation and has turned back the clock. He has posted a 2.93 ERA and 1.116 WHIP in seven starts this season, including a 1.08 ERA and 0.920 WHIP in four road starts. Cueto has never lost to the Angels, going 4-0 with a 1.34 ERA and 0.802 WHIP in five career starts against them.
Chase Silseth has struggled in his four starts for the Angels this season, going 1-2 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.470 WHIP, including 0-1 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.848 WHIP in two home starts. He should not be favored over Cueto and the White Sox tonight.
The White Sox are 6-2 in their last eight road games. Chicago is 13-5 in its last 18 during Game 2 of a series. The Angels are 5-14 in their last 19 home games. Los Angeles is 9-23 in its last 32 games overall. The Angels are 2-11 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with less than a 1.15 WHIP. Bet the White Sox Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander

Jun 28 '22, 9:38 PM in 2h
MLB | White Sox vs Angels

Play on: White Sox +117 at William Hill

1* MLB - White Sox/Angels FREE PICK on White Sox +117
Tuesday's Free MLB Pick is on the Chicago White Sox as a +117 road dog against the Los Angeles Angels. Big time value here with Chicago, as they have a massive edge on the mound. White Sox will give the rock to Johnny Cueto, who has pitched much better than his 1-4 record would suggest. Cueto has a 2.93 ERA over 7 starts with a 1.08 ERA in 4 road outings. It will be Chase Silseth on the mound for LA. Silseth has a 4.96 ERA in 4 starts and a 5.20 ERA in 2 road outings. After throwing 6 scoreless innings in his first start, Silseth has allowed 9 runs on 17 hits in his last 16 1/3 innings (3 starts). Bet the White Sox +117!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays

Jun 28 '22, 9:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Padres vs Diamondbacks

Play on: Padres -110 at Mirage

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Padres -110

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Sean Murphy

Jun 28 '22, 9:45 PM in 2h
MLB | Tigers vs Giants

Play on: Giants -190 at circa

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on San Francisco over Detroit at 9:45 pm et on Tuesday.
The Giants were crushed by the Reds by a 10-3 score on Sunday. After an off-day on Monday, I look for them to bounce back against the Tigers on Tuesday. Carlos Rodon will take the ball for San Francisco. He owns a Cy Young Award-caliber 2.34 FIP and 1.09 WHIP this season, allowing only 2.81 runs per nine innings. He should have little trouble containing a Tigers offense that averages only 2.7 runs per game on the road this season, going 11-22 along the way. Tarik Skubal will counter for Detroit. He's having a fine season in his own right but run support continues to be an issue. The Tigers have mustered just two runs in Skubal's last three starts combined. We're being asked to lay a steep price with the Giants here but I believe it could be even higher. Expect the off-day yesterday to have served San Francisco well, noting that it hadn't been idle since June 16th. Also note that the Giants are 42-18 when coming off two losses in their last three games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by 1.2 runs on average in that spot. Take San Francisco.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Jun 28 '22, 9:45 PM in 2h
MLB | Tigers vs Giants

Play on: Tigers +185 at Ace

FREE PLAY on Tigers +185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Jun 28 '22, 10:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Orioles vs Mariners

Play on: Orioles +154 at SC Consensus

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Baltimore Orioles +154
The Baltimore Orioles have quietly gone 9-4 in their last 13 games overall with eight of the nine wins as underdogs of +130 or higher. They have faced the Blue Jays, Rays and White Sox during this stretch as well. They beat the Mariners 9-2 as +135 underdogs last night and have scored 4 runs or more in five of their last six. Robbie Ray has been a little disappointing for the Mariners this season at 6-6 with a 4.07 ERA in 15 starts. Dean Kremer has been too good to be this big of an underdog to Ray and the Mariners. Kremer is 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA in his four starts this season. Ray's teams are 12-25 (-24.8 Units) in his 37 career starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175. Give me the Orioles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Jun 28 '22, 10:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Orioles vs Mariners

Play on: [B]Orioles +1