Sunday 7/10/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brandon Lee

Jul 10 '22, 2:35 PM in 1h
MLB | Twins vs Rangers

Play on: Rangers -109 at linepros

Sunday's MLB Free Pick: Texas Rangers -109
I'll take my chances with the Rangers as a slim -109 home favorite against the Twins. Texas has won each of the first two games in this series. They squeaked out a 6-5 win on Friday and then held on for a 9-7 win on Saturday.
That's now 4 times in their last 5 games that Texas has scored 6 or more runs. I like them to stay hot against Minnesota's Dylan Bundy. In 9 road starts this season, Bundy has posted a 5.89 ERA and 1.444 WHIP.
Rangers will turn to Dane Dunning. While Dunning has a not so great 4.15 ERA and 1.339 WHIP on the season, he owns a strong 2.83 ERA and 1.007 WHIP over 8 home starts. Give me the Rangers -109!
Confidence Rating: 5 (Scale of 1-10)

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Dave Price

Jul 10 '22, 2:35 PM in 1h
MLB | MIN vs TEX

Play on: [B]OVER 8

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Info Plays

Jul 10 '22, 3:27 PM in 2h
NASCAR | Chase Elliott vs William Byron

Play on: William Byron -110 at BetVegas

1* FREE INFO PLAY on William Byron -110

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Dustin Hawkins

Jul 10 '22, 3:27 PM in 2h
NASCAR | Bubba Wallace vs Tyler Reddick

Play on: Tyler Reddick +100 at circa

1 Dimer on Tyler Reddick +100

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Timothy Black

Jul 10 '22, 4:07 PM in 3h
MLB | HOU vs OAK

Play on: OVER 8 -105

1* Best Bet on Astros/A's over 8 -105

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Jeff Alexander

Jul 10 '22, 4:07 PM in 3h
MLB | Astros vs A's

Play on: A's +165 at Ace

1* MLB - Astros/A's FREE PICK on A's +165
Sunday's Free MLB Pick is on the Oakland A's as a +165 home dog against the Houston Astros. This is just too good a price to pass up on the A's in this one. Oakland will have one of their better starters going in Cole Irvin. Big key with Irvin is how good he has been at home this year. Irvin owns a sensational 1.49 ERA and 0.992 WHIP in 7 home starts. That includes an outing at home vs Houston earlier this season, where he held the Astros to just 1 run in 5 2/3 innings. Houston's Jake Odorizzi is 1-4 with a 4.05 ERA in 10 career starts vs Oakland. Bet the A's +165!

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Kenny Walker

Jul 10 '22, 4:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Rockies vs Diamondbacks

Play on: Diamondbacks -101 at circa

Free Pick on Diamondbacks

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Scott Rickenbach

Jul 10 '22, 4:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Giants vs Padres

Play on: Padres -115 at BetVegas

*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday Free Pick San Diego Padres -115 vs San Francisco Giants @ 4:10 ET - The Padres Gore is undefeated in his 6 home starts with this season with a .174 BAA and a 0.76 ERA and these numbers are nothing short of ultra impressive. The Giants Wood has a 6.75 ERA in his 7 road starts this season and opponents have hit .303 against him away from home. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, prior to the Giants tight win yesterday, San Francisco had lost 14 of 18 games! Prior to that tight loss yesterday, San Diego had won a respectable 10 of last 17 home games and so I like this pick with action. Looking for Padres to bounce back off yesterday's tight loss. Free Pick SAN DIEGO -115

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Marc Lawrence

Jul 10 '22, 4:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Rockies vs Diamondbacks

Play on: Rockies -102 at Ace

Play - Colorado Rockies w/Marquez vs Gilbert (Game 961).
Edges: Rockies: Marquez 8-3 last eleven starts versus Diamondbacks, including 5-2 in Arizona … Diamondbacks: Gilbert 7.55 ERA and 1.50 WHIP this season; and Arizona 10-22 in division games, and 1-4 in Game Four of a series this season … With that, we recommend a 1* play on Colorado. Thank you and good luck as always. *Note: All pitchers' records are team starts.

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John Martin

Jul 10 '22, 4:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Rockies vs Diamondbacks

Play on: Rockies -101 at Ace

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Colorado Rockies -101
The Colorado Rockies should crush the Arizona Diamondbacks today. German Marquez has pitched very well against a brutal schedule here of late with his last six starts coming against the Dodgers (twice), Padres (twice), Twins and Giants. Marquez has a 4.08 ERA in 19 previous starts against the Diamondbacks. Tyler Gilbert is 0-3 with a 7.55 ERA in four starts for Arizona this season. He gave up 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings in his only previous start against the Rockies. Colorado is scoring 5.3 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. Give me the Rockies.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13500 Class Rating: 63

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. 2# A DEBUTANTES ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 MS. JONALESKA 3/1
# 8 MISS SOLY 7/2
# 1 BELLA LARGO 10/1

I think about MS. JONALESKA here. Morales has a formidable winning percentage of 34 in juvenile races. Make a note that this horse runs on Lasix today. Has to be given consideration given the sire figures TrackMaster shows on this juvenile. MISS SOLY - Morales has a reliable win percent of 34 in juvenile races. Morales and Navarro have won 16 percent of their races giving this racer a very good chance.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belmont Park - Race #7 - Post: 3:47pm - Allowance - 11.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $92,000 Class Rating: 98

Rating:

#5 QUEEN BOURBON (ML=4/1)
#3 BALLYMORE STAR (IRE) (ML=15/1)
#2 EYLARA (IRE) (ML=7/2)


QUEEN BOURBON - Stay with this horse. No other viable pace gives this animal a strong chance at the winner's circle. BALLYMORE STAR (IRE) - This filly should improve after adding Lasix in the last race and getting it again today. EYLARA (IRE) - This trainer brings horses to the turf ready to win, winning over 20 percent of the time under similar conditions. Prat and Clement have had terrific success together over the last year. This horse has the class to win the race. A tactical ride by Prat, and this one could bound home the winner. This filly is in excellent form right now. Ended up second last race out and comes back quickly.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 CLASSIC COLORS (ML=3/1), #4 STEPPER (ML=4/1), #6 RHEAUME (ML=6/1),

CLASSIC COLORS - The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a vulnerable contender. STEPPER - When examining today's class figure, she will have to garner a better rating than last out to vie in this turf route. RHEAUME - Unlikely that the speed figure she recorded on Jun 25th will be enough in this affair.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #5 QUEEN BOURBON on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park

07/10/22, MTH, Race 5, 2.15 ET
07/10/22,MTH,5,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:01:01 CLAIMING. Purse $27,500. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since May 10 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500, For Each $1,000 To $10,500 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	1	Trilogy	9/2	Hernandez A	Abrams Ronald B.	S	34	64.71	2.66/$1
097.8302	2	Baby Boomer	6/1	Camacho S	Bennett Gerald S.	W	34	64.71	2.66/$1
096.8126	3	Mission Wrapitup	7/2	Diaz. Jr. H R	Jones Eduardo E.		46	47.83	1.97/$1
096.3152	9	Gran Malbec	6/1	Rodriguez A A	Navarro Marcial	J	34	64.71	2.66/$1
096.2702	6	Cactus Jack	8/1	Vargas. Jr. J A	Russo Frank	T	34	64.71	2.66/$1
095.8022	10	R Boy Bode	10/1	Juarez N	Thompson Marcus George		34	64.71	2.66/$1
095.7434	4	Minnesota Lucky	3/1	Gonzalez J L	Nunn Douglas	FL	34	64.71	2.66/$1
095.6245	7	Luckytobeinamerica	15/1	Jimenez A	Borges Israel		46	47.83	1.97/$1
095.2420	5	Youshouldbesolucky	12/1	Ferrer J C	Iordan Leo		34	64.71	2.66/$1
095.0220	8	Diesel	12/1	Rivera L D	Bedard Alan	EC	34	64.71	2.66/$1

Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 29.41, ROI 1.22/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.1698
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Race Distance Sprint -with-
[Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Less Than Today

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Lone Star Park - Race #3 - Post: 11:56am - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#1 B'ESAME ME MUCHO (ML=5/1)
#5 TEXAS TIDELANDS (ML=5/2)


B'ESAME ME MUCHO - After the race aboard this equine on June 25th, the rider is going to be in touch with the mare much better. TEXAS TIDELANDS - Taking a trip down the class ladder; has the class ability to make her presence felt.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MIDNIGHT FLYER (ML=3/1), #6 COURTNEY FAY (ML=7/2), #3 KIMBELL'S STRATEGY (ML=9/2),

MIDNIGHT FLYER - This racer ran a mediocre speed figure last race out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely suffer defeat in today's race running that figure. COURTNEY FAY - This filly earned a speed figure in her last race which probably isn't good enough in today's race. KIMBELL'S STRATEGY - Tough for me to be investing on this sort of maiden breaker. Tough to put your cash on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as often as this entrant does.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #1 B'ESAME ME MUCHO to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

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Monmouth Park Hotlist - July 10

July 8, 2022

Today’s Monmouth Park Hot List races to watch
Sunday, July 10, 2022
By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (2) Cassation rallied nicely for second last time and should relish the stretchout to two turns. (1) Irish Boolum figures to appreciate the added distance. (7) Hello Pop is worth a look from the outside post. (6) Forever Chocolate could be a factor in the stretch. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2. Exactas: 1-2 over 6-7 and 6-7 over 1-2. Doubles: 1-2-6-7 with 1-3-4.
2nd race – (4) Mountain Lilly promises to be tough to catch in this field. (3) Unified Ride should fare better on a dry track. (1) Sassy Like Julia can be a factor at this level. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4.
4th race – (3) Stratofortress has been no worse than second in his last six starts and should prove best. (1) Powerfully Built might benefit from his comeback race and may move forward here. (2) Brewmeister should be a stretch threat in this field. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3.
6th race – (4) Commandperformance finds a field he can handle and should finally break his maiden. (1) Carvellian Quest looks like the main threat. (2) Loose Goose might appreciate a turf-to-dirt switch. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4.
9^th race – (6) Golden Brown stretches out and should welcome a return to a two-turn distance. (9) He’spuregold won his last and can pose a big threat in this field. (3) There Are No Words has a lot of speed and just might hang on against this field. (2) Leo Monte comes off a win and should not be overlooked here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6-9.