Thursday 7/14/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks - Thursday, July 14, 2022

Race 1: 3-1-8-4
Race 2: 5-1-7-3
Race 3: 6-2-1-5
Race 4: 8-3-4-1
Race 5: 6-9-2-1
Race 6: 5-8-1-4
Race 7: 9-10-2-1
Race 8: 1-2-12-6
Race 9: 7-8-2-1
Race 10: 2-7-1-4
**Most Likely Winner: Polka Polenta #6 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Paddy's House #9 (Race 7)**

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware Park

Delaware Park - Race 8	Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 4:00P
(PLUS UP TO 50% OTHER SOURCES) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $7,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TAHAWEEL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
10	TAHAWEEL	12/1	2/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	ANAHIYA'S DREAM	6	5/1	Front-runner	64	45	77.8	28.8	18.8
3	WINNINGFORPLEASURE	3	10/1	Alternator/Front-runner	0	0	70.2	47.6	37.6
9	ADRIANA ES BONITA	9	6/1	Alternator/Front-runner	58	52	58.1	42.8	30.8
7	MISSPOKEN	7	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	53	47	69.2	42.7	32.2
10	TAHAWEEL	10	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	71	66	67.2	58.7	56.2
8	CHALK HILL	8	7/2	Alternator/Trailer	53	41	44.5	39.0	28.0
1	SHE SO COOL	1	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	24.5	24.0	17.0
4	CELESTIAL DIVA	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	62	40	69.2	37.2	20.7
2	CINNAMON DREAM	2	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	58.7	32.1	18.1
5	MAJESTIC'S GIRL	5	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	34.6	34.6	19.1

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Allowance - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $35100 Class Rating: 81

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 14 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 RYAN'S SWORD 3/1
# 1 NOCASHREFUNDS 5/1
# 5 SO COURAGEOUS 8/1

I lean toward RYAN'S SWORD here. He has been racing admirably lately while recording sharp speed figures. This gelding looks good in this competition since Runco has a strong win percentage with horses going this distance. Will most likely go to the lead and could never look back. NOCASHREFUNDS - The speed rating of 81 from his latest race looks strong in here. Might best this group here, showing solid figs of late. SO COURAGEOUS - This gelding obviously likes the distance, going 2 / 10 in his races as of late.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 72

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 14, 2022 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. TEXAS BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 MYSTERIOUS STAR 10/1
# 9 LONESHILOHSPECIAL 7/2
# 3 LACEY BOSS 5/2

MYSTERIOUS STAR is the top bet in this contest especially at such a decent 10/1. She looks respectable in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Could beat this field given the 70 speed figure garnered in her last outing. LONESHILOHSPECIAL - With a very strong 71 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. Has to be given a shot versus this group displaying solid figs as of late and an average speed figure of 59 under similar conditions. LACEY BOSS - Shows evidence of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 69 speed fig which is one of the top in this field. Is a definite contender - given the 72 Equibase Speed Figure from her most recent race.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belterra Park - Race #8 - Post: 3:58pm - Allowance - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,600 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#2 SOFIA STRONG (ML=8/1)
#6 ISLE OF GRACE (ML=6/1)
#8 KITING (ML=9/2)
#7 BOURBON PRINCESS (ML=7/2)


SOFIA STRONG - Ouzts was aboard this filly last out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This animal didn't run well on a track listed as good in her last race at Belterra Park. You probably should toss that showing. ISLE OF GRACE - This filly is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprinters that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. The jockey and trainer combination here have a high winning percentage when they join forces. Based on this filly's recent efforts, she should benefit from this contest's shorter trip. KITING - After the event aboard this animal on June 30th, the rider is going to 'know' the filly much better. Have to give this filly a chance. Ran a good outing last time around the track within the last month or so. This filly is utmost in earnings per start. Take a long look at this horse in the saddling enclosure. BOURBON PRINCESS - This filly is in good condition. Ran first on Jun 27th. Horse has improved at least 2 speed rating points in last two races. I look for that positive increase to continue in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CLASSY CHROME (ML=5/2), #3 A PAYCHEQUE SMILE (ML=5/1), #1 FUR BIZ (ML=8/1),

CLASSY CHROME - Tough to wager on any horse in a sprint clash at 5/2 when she hasn't shown any competitive efforts in sprints in the last couple of months. On a downward moving sequence. Equibase speed figures keep lessening. A PAYCHEQUE SMILE - This filly hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two outings. Should have at least finished in the money in the last sixty days in a short distance clash to be any kind of value at short odds in a sprint. FUR BIZ - The effort last time around the track on June 17th probably won't hold up against stiffer competition when they turn for home.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 SOFIA STRONG to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	2 with [6,7,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	2 with [6,7,8] with [6,7,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	2 with [6,7,8] with [6,7,8] with [6,7,8] Total Cost: $6

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

07/14/22, SAR, Race 5, 3.21 ET
07/14/22,SAR,5,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Majority Partner	9/2	Castellano J	Englehart Jeremiah C.	SW	181	40.33	1.27/$1
098.7489	8	Hereby	8/1	Davis D	Clement Christophe		181	40.33	1.27/$1
097.7846	4	Tommy Gun(b+)	3/1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Weaver George	JL	181	40.33	1.27/$1
097.0645	6	Cold Walker	6/1	Carmouche K	Servis John C.		181	40.33	1.27/$1
094.7224	9	Josie's Thunder	15/1	Velazquez J R	Donk David G.		181	40.33	1.27/$1
093.8230	2	Catching Cupid	7/2	Rosario J	Baker Charlton	TE	181	40.33	1.27/$1
093.3267	7	The Institute	10/1	Ortiz J L	De Paz Horacio		181	40.33	1.27/$1
093.0784	1	Clingman(b+)	10/1	Saez L	Hennig Mark A.	C	181	40.33	1.27/$1
089.9055	10	Waralo	30/1	McCarthy T	Englehart Chris J.		181	40.33	1.27/$1
089.1861	5	Sensibleconclusion	10/1	Cancel E	Barker Edward R.		181	40.33	1.27/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 47.50, ROI 1.49/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2511
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Purse Not Greater Than $100K

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park

Canterbury Park - Race 4	Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Daily Double / $.50 Rolling Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) $.50 Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 6:40P
FOR MN-BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Stalker. THAT'S NOT FUNNY is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * THAT'S NOT FUNNY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
9	THAT'S NOT FUNNY	2/1	5/2

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	OPTION	5	15/1	Front-runner	62	41	91.0	28.4	16.4
1	ANGEL'S MAGIC	1	7/2	Front-runner	68	66	80.4	58.4	54.9
12	SPEEDY DAREDEVIL	12	20/1	Front-runner	0	0	78.7	32.2	17.2
10	DYNAMOMETER	10	9/2	Front-runner	69	56	55.0	55.0	42.0
9	THAT'S NOT FUNNY	9	2/1	Stalker	70	68	92.0	63.5	61.5
7	MINNESOTA RED	7	6/1	Stalker	68	66	57.2	54.8	46.8
8	PIRATE BIRD	8	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	58	57	41.7	50.2	42.7
3	FLY WITH CLASS	3	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	39.8	41.7	23.7
4	TAHKODHA KNIGHT	4	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	60	36.8	36.8	27.8
6	SLIM CHANCE	6	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	60	40	31.8	25.6	5.1
2	LL'S CLASSY DUDE	2	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	25.6	25.6	6.1

Unknown Running Style: STAGECOACH BOYS (10/1) [Jockey: Roman Constantino - Trainer: Berndt Joel].

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #4 - Post: 7:22pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#5 LADY MUNNINGS (ML=4/1)
#8 TRUE HEIRESS (ML=3/1)
#6 BALI (ML=6/1)


LADY MUNNINGS - Likes to go to the head of the pack and the fact that today is a shorter distance should help. Trainer Perez moves this thoroughbred down the ladder based on class rating points to face a lower class field. Look for a nice race given the class advantage. When I handicap a race on the grass, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This fine animal has the highest average class in the entire field. I just may give this one a good shot. Should improve off last race where she did run out of the money, but was within 5 lengths at the finish line. TRUE HEIRESS - The jockey and conditioner combination have a beneficial ROI when they join forces. BALI - I think this mare is ready to run a good one. She's had enough races around the track since the vacation and should be fit. Have to give this mare a good shot. Ran a good effort last time out within the last 30 days. A repeat of that recent performance on June 24th where she registered a speed rating of 79 looks high enough to score in this contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 RACINGINTHESTREET (ML=8/5),

RACINGINTHESTREET - The morning-line choice is suspect here with the lack of morning drills.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 LADY MUNNINGS is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [5,6,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[5,6,8] with [5,6,8] with [3,5,6,7,8] with [3,5,6,7,8] Total Cost: $36

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TAMPASPORTSHANDICAPPER

ATLANTA R.LINE -1.5

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Tom Stryker

#955 ATLANTA -1.5 w/ Wright over Washington with Sanchez

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VegasInsider (Kevin Rogers)

MLB
Mariners - Rangers
Marco Gonzales over 3.5 Ks (-110)

Astros - Angels
Reid Detmers under 3.5 Ks (+105)

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Oskeim Sports

Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (-112)
Milwaukee Brewers -106

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Profit On Sports

L.A. Dodgers -150

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY:BOSTON/TAMPA BAY OVER the total of 7