Friday 7/29/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #1

    Friday 7/29/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #2
    Friday’s games

    National League
    NY Mets (61-37) @ Miami (47-52)
    — Bassitt is 2-2, 2.73 in his last four starts.
    — Mets are 10-8 in his starts.
    — over 8-4 last 12
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-18
    — record in first 5 innings: 10-5-3
    — He is 0-2, 3.55 in two starts vs Miami TY.

    — Mets are 3-0 in their last three games.
    — Mets are 30-20 on road.
    — under 8-4-1 last thirteen games.
    — scored run in first inning: 35-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 51-26-21
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-x

    — Alcantara is 1-1, 1.24 in his last four starts.
    — Marlins are 13-7 in his starts.
    — under 9-3 last dozen
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-20
    — record in first 5 innings: 8-4-8
    — He is 1-1, 2.86 in three starts vs New York TY

    — Miami is 8-12 in its last 20 games.
    — Marlins are 22-23 at home.
    — over 5-3 last eight games.
    — scored run in first inning: 16-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 36-44-19
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-8.1

    Philadelphia (52-47) @ Pittsburgh (40-59)
    — Falter is 0-1, 6.23 in three starts this month.
    — Philly is 4-2 in his starts.
    — under 5-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-6
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
    — He threw a scoreless IP in relief vs Pittsburgh.

    — Phillies are 6-8 in last fourteen games.
    — Philly is 26-22 on road.
    — over 3-0-1 last four games
    — scored run in first inning: 25-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 39-42-18
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

    — Quintana is 2-1, 3.78 in his last six starts.
    — Pittsburgh is 10-9 in his starts.
    — under 9-7-3
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-8-4
    — He is 0-1, 3.38 in six starts vs Philly.

    — Pirates lost nine of last 11 games.
    — Pittsburgh is 21-26 at home.
    — under 3-2 last five games
    — scored run in first inning: 20-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 32-48-19
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3.1

    St Louis (52-47) @ Washington (34-66)
    — Mikolas is 0-5, 4.99 in his last five road starts.
    — St Louis is 11-9 in his starts
    — under 6-1 last seven
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-20
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-7-4
    — He is 2-2, 4.85 in four starts vs Washington.

    — Cardinals are 9-13 in their last 22 games.
    — St Louis is 23-27 on road.
    — under 8-2 last ten road games
    — scored run in first inning: 34-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 44-39-16
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-x

    — Anibel Sanchez is 0-2, 6.30 in two starts.
    — Washington is 0-2 in his starts
    — under 2-0
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-2
    — record in first 5 innings: 0-2
    — He is 2-4, 3.34 in eight starts vs St Louis.

    — Washington won three of last four games.
    — Nationals are 15-36 at home.
    — under 4-1 last five games.
    — scored run in first inning: 30-100
    — record in first 5 innings: 27-62-11
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-7.1-x

    Arizona (45-53) @ Atlanta (59-41)
    — Bumgarner is 3-1, 4.32 in his last four starts.
    — Arizona is 9-11 in his starts
    — over 4-2 last six
    — allowed run in first inning: 11-20
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-12-1
    — He is 8-4, 2.69 in 16 starts vs Atlanta.

    — Diamondbacks are 6-1 in last seven games.
    — Arizona is 18-26 on road.
    — under 8-5 last thirteen games
    — scored run in first inning: 28-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 39-35-24
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-x

    — Wright is 4-0, 2.61 in his last five starts.
    — Atlanta is 9-1 in his last ten starts.
    — under 9-3 last 12
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 13-4-2
    — He is 1-0, 1.29 in two games (1 start) vs Arizona.

    — Braves are 36-14 in their last 50 games.
    — Atlanta is 33-21 at home.
    — over 8-0-1 last nine games
    — scored run in first inning: 29-100
    — record in first 5 innings: 55-34-11
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-x

    Los Angeles (66-32) @ Colorado (45-55)
    — Urias is 6-0, 2.82 in his last seven starts.
    — Dodgers are 11-8 in his starts.
    — under 13-4-2
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 11-6-2
    — He is 2-1, 6.75 in three starts vs Colorado TY.

    — Dodgers are 27-8 in their last 35 games.
    — Los Angeles is 31-17 on the road.
    — under 17-11-2 last 30 games
    — scored run in first inning: 37-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 57-25-16
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-2

    — Kuhl is 1-0, 9.18 in his last four starts.
    — Colorado is 10-8 in his starts.
    — over 3-0 last three
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-18
    — record in first 5 innings: 4-8-6
    — He is 3-2, 3.41 in five starts vs Los Angeles.

    — Colorado lost six of last eight games.
    — Rockies are 29-25 at home.
    — over 8-4 last dozen games.
    — scored run in first inning: 30-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 29-52-18
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-6

    Cubs (40-58) @ San Francisco (49-50)
    — Stroman is 1-0, 2.02 in his last five starts.
    — Cubs are 4-8 in his starts.
    — over 6-5-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-12
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-3-2
    — He is 0-1, 3.46 in two starts vs San Francisco.

    — Cubs won six of last seven games.
    — Cubs are 20-26 on road.
    — under 14-4-3 last 21 games
    — scored run in first inning: 35-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 38-44-16
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-4.1

    — Cobb is 0-1, 3.60 in his last five starts.
    — Giants are 6-9 in his starts
    — over 10-5
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-15
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-6-6
    — He is 0-0, 1.50 in one start vs Chicago.

    — Giants are 1-7 in their last eight games.
    — San Francisco is 27-22 at home.
    — over 3-2 last five games
    — scored run in first inning: 22-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 39-41-19
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-1.2-2.1

    American League
    Kansas City (39-60) @ Bronx (67-33)
    — Bubic is 1-1, 3.60 in his last four starts.
    — Royals are 5-10 in his starts.
    — under 6-2 last eight
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-15
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-6-6
    — He is 0-1, 3.68 in two games (1 start) vs New York.

    — Kansas City got shut out the last three days.
    — Royals are 17-30 on road.
    — under 7-1 last eight games
    — scored run in first inning: 28-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 35-47-19
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-1.1

    — Cole is 3-2, 3.00 in his last six starts.
    — New York is 14-6 in his starts.
    — over 4-1 last five
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-20
    — record in first 5 innings: 13-1-6
    — He is 4-1, 2.04 in six starts vs Kansas City.

    — New York is 6-10 in its last 16 games.
    — New York is 38-12 at home.
    — over 14-5 last nineteen games
    — scored run in first inning: 34-100
    — record in first 5 innings: 52-26-22
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-4-3

    Detroit (40-60) @ Toronto (55-44)
    — bullpen game

    — Tigers are 4-13 in their last 17 games.
    — Detroit is 15-33 on road.
    — over 9-5 last fourteen games
    — scored run in first inning: 21-100
    — record in first 5 innings: 31-55-14
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-4

    — Manoah is 2-1, 1.77 in his last three starts.
    — Blue Jays are 12-7 in his starts
    — under 3-1 last four
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 11-4-4
    — He is 0-0, 2.84 in one start vs Detroit.

    — Blue Jays won 10 of their last 12 games.
    — Toronto is 32-20 at home.
    — over 39-19 last 58 games
    — scored run in first inning: 36-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 41-35-23
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4.1-4

    Cleveland (50-48) @ Tampa Bay (52-46)
    — Bieber is 1-2, 5.06 in his last four starts.
    — Guardians are 7-3 in his last ten starts.
    — under 9-6 last 15
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-18
    — record in first 5 innings: 8-7-3
    — He is 1-2, 3.09 in four starts vs Tampa Bay

    — Guardians are 7-4 in their last eleven games.
    — Cleveland is 25-29 on road.
    — over 7-3 last ten games.
    — scored run in first inning: 30-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 38-40-20
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-3.2-1

    — Springs is 0-0, 5.79 in his last four starts.
    — Tampa Bay is 9-3 in his starts.
    — under 7-2-1 last ten
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-12
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-3-6
    — He is 0-0, 3.38 in two relief stints vs Cleveland.

    — Tampa Bay lost five of last six games.
    — Rays are 31-18 at home.
    — over 18-12-2 last 32 games
    — scored run in first inning: 29-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 46-34-19
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-5.1-2

    Seattle (54-46) @ Houston (65-35)
    — Ray is 3-1, 2.37 in his last eight starts.
    — Seattle is 12-8 in his starts.
    — over 5-1 last six road starts
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-20
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-9-4
    — He is 1-1, 11.25 in two starts vs Houston TY.

    — Mariners are 17-4 in their last 21 games.
    — Seattle is 27-23 on road.
    — under 7-2 last nine games
    — scored run in first inning: 28-100
    — record in first 5 innings: 39-43-18
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-2

    — Verlander is 5-0, 1.06 in his last six starts.
    — Astros are 14-4 in his starts.
    — under 15-3
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-18
    — record in first 5 innings: 11-3-4
    — He is 4-1, 2.60 in five starts vs Seattle TY.

    — Astros lost three of last four games.
    — Houston is 31-14 at home.
    — under 9-4 last 13 games
    — scored run in first inning: 35-100
    — record in first 5 innings: 59-28-13
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-2.1

    A’s (38-63) @ White Sox (49-49)
    — Kaprielian is 1-0, 2.05 in his last four starts.
    — A’s are 8-7 in his starts.
    — over 7-3-1 last 11
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-15
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
    — He is 0-0, 2.25 in one start vs Chicago.

    — A’s are 12-8 in their last 20 games.
    — Oakland is 21-30 on road.
    — under 26-12-2 last 40 games
    — scored run in first inning: 25-101
    — record in first 5 innings: 33-53-15
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-x

    — Lynn is 0-2, 8.55 in his last four starts.
    — White Sox are 5-3 in his starts.
    — over 4-3-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-8
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
    — He is 4-1, 3.68 in eight starts vs Oakland.

    — White Sox are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
    — Chicago is 21-27 at home.
    — over 6-4 last ten games
    — scored run in first inning: 23-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 42-45-11
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-3

    Texas (44-54) @ LA Angels (42-57)
    — Perez is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
    — Texas is 13-2 in his last 15 starts.
    — over 7-2 last nine
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-3-7
    — He is 7-6, 4.01 in 17 starts vs Anaheim.

    — Rangers are 8-17 in last 25 games.
    — Texas is 23-28 on road.
    — under 4-2 last six games
    — scored run in first inning: 23-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 36-43-19
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-1.2-4

    — Sandoval is 0-4, 7.11 in his last four starts.
    — Angels are 7-9 in his starts.
    — over 3-1 last four
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 8-7-1
    — He is 0-1, 3.38 in three starts vs Texas.

    — Angels are 15-40 in their last 55 games.
    — Angels are 22-28 at home.
    — under 4-0 last four games
    — scored run in first inning: 28-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 47-40-12
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-3

    Interleague games
    Baltimore (50-49) @ Cincinnati (38-60)
    — Baltimore hasn’t named a starter.

    — Orioles are 15-5 in their last 20 games.
    — Baltimore is 21-29 on road.
    — over 7-5-1 last thirteen games.
    — scored run in first inning: 17-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 38-48-14
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-5.2-3.1

    — Minor is 0-5, 7.39 in his last six starts.
    — Reds are 1-8 in his starts.
    — under 3-0 last three
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-9
    — record in first 5 innings: 1-5-3
    — He is 2-1, 2.20 in five starts vs Baltimore.

    — Reds are 10-6 in last 16 games.
    — Cincinnati is 22-31 at home.
    — over 8-5 last thirteen games
    — scored run in first inning: 24-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 31-52-15
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2-2.1

    Milwaukee (55-44) @ Boston (50-50)
    — Woodruff is 3-0, 2.20 in his last five starts.
    — Milwaukee is 9-5 in his starts.
    — over 7-4 last eleven
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-14
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
    — He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

    — Brewers won five of last six games.
    — Milwaukee is 29-24 on road.
    — over 6-1 last seven games
    — scored run in first inning: 33-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 44-37-18
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-x

    — Bello is 0-2, 10.50 in three starts.
    — Red Sox are 0-3 in his starts.
    — over 2-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-3
    — record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
    — He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

    — Red Sox lost 15 of last 20 games.
    — Boston is 25-25 at home.
    — over 14-6 last 20 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 28-100
    — record in first 5 innings: 38-38-24
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-3.1

    Minnesota (52-46) @ San Diego (55-46)
    — Ryan is 1-0, 2.45 in his last four starts.
    — Minnesota is 10-5 in his starts.
    — under 9-6
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-15
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-5-4
    — He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

    — Minnesota is 5-9 in its last 14 games.
    — Twins are 25-24 on road.
    — over 13-3 last 16 games
    — scored run in first inning: 36-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 49-34-14
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-5-x

    — Snell is 2-0, 3.20 in his last four starts.
    — Padres are 2-9 in his starts.
    — under 7-4
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-11
    — record in first 5 innings: 1-6-4
    — He is 1-2, 7.15 in five starts vs Minnesota.

    — Padres are 11-18 in last 29 games.
    — San Diego is 25-21 at home.
    — over 3-0-1 last four games.
    — scored run in first inning: 26-100
    — record in first 5 innings: 47-30-23
    — bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-1
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #3
      Jim Feist

      Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, JULY 29, 2022
      7/29 07:15 PM PT / 10:15 PM ET

      MLB (961) CHICAGO CUBS VS (962) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

      Take: over

      Reason: The Cubs and Giants play game two of their series here tonight in San Francisco. The Giants took the opener on Thursday, 4-2. That loss snapped a Cubs six-game win streak. During that win streak the Cubs allowed three runs or fewer in each contest. Marcus Stroman will start today for the Cubs. Troman is 2-5 in his 12 starts with a 4.38 ERA. He's been good on the road though, with a 2-2 record and 2.31 ERA. And overall his last seven starts he's posted a 3.82 ERA. The Giants playoff hopes drop each games as they now are below .500 at 49-50. Coming into this season it was the Giants bullpen that was one of the best in baseball. This season, horrible at 4.55 ERA. And last seven games, a 8.68 ERA. Alex Cobb starts for the Giants tonight with a 3-4 record and 4.62 ERA. Cobb allowed eight hits and four runs last time out to the Dodgers over 5 2/3 innings. The way the Giants bullpen has been and both starters average at best, your free play for Friday is on the OVER.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #4
        Charles Town Picks - Friday, July 29, 2022

        Race 1: 6-2-3-4
        Race 2: 7-3-1-2
        Race 3: 2-8-4-1
        Race 4: 8-9-1-4
        Race 5: 6-1-5-10
        Race 6: 2-1-3-5
        Race 7: 7-1-8-4
        Race 8: 8-9-4-1
        **Most Likely Winner: Make Way #7 (Race 2)**
        **Best Value: See That Girl #6 (Race 5)**
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #5
          Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Picks: Friday, July 29, 2022

          Race 1: 11-8-3-7
          Race 2: 3-9-10-2
          Race 3: 6-2-5-11
          Race 4: 12-2-5-1
          Race 5: 8-5-10-6
          Race 6: 5-7-1-4
          Race 7: 4-8-2-10
          Race 8: 9-3-4-7
          Most Likely Winner: A Little Bit Crazy #12 (Race 4)
          Best Value: She's Bulletproof #4 (Race 7)
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #6
            Ellis Park Picks - Friday, July 29, 2022

            Race 1: 3-8-2-1
            Race 2: 6-3-1-5
            Race 3: 1-4-6-2
            Race 4: 2-3-7-5
            Race 5: 5-4-8-3
            Race 6: 2-8-5-1
            Race 7: 5-8-9-1
            Race 8: 6-9-4-3
            **Most Likely Winner: Coastal Charm #6 (Race 2)**
            **Best Value: Teton Thai #2 (Race 4)**
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #7
              Gulfstream Park Picks - Friday, July 29, 2022

              Race 1: 6-4-8-3
              Race 2: 2-5-3-1
              Race 3: 4-2-7-5
              Race 4: 11-6-7-12
              Race 5: 5-2-1-6
              Race 6: 4-3-7-6
              Race 7: 7-8-3-1
              Race 8: 2-1-6-5
              Race 9: 4-5-8-2
              **Most Likely Winner: Mabee Luckynwild (Race 7)**
              **Best Value: Power (Race 2)**
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #8
                Laurel Park Picks - Friday, July 29, 2022

                Race 1: 4-5-1-3
                Race 2: 3-2-5-1
                Race 3: 4-6-10-1
                Race 4: 2-5-6-1
                Race 5: 5-4-2-6
                Race 6: 1/1A-8-6-2
                Race 7: 5-2-6-1
                Race 8: 6-1-3-4
                Race 9: 7-1-9-4
                **Most Likely Winner: Fortes #3 (Race 2)**
                **Best Value: Tattooed #6 (Race 8)**
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #9
                  Monmouth Park Picks: Friday, July 29, 2022

                  Race 1: 5-2-1-4
                  Race 2: 4-5-6-3
                  Race 3: 1-6-2-5
                  Race 4: 2-3-4-1
                  Race 5: 4-7-2-3
                  Race 6: 6-2-1-3
                  Race 7: 3-4-1-5
                  Race 8: 5-4-2-8
                  Most Likely Winner: Making It (Race 1)
                  Best Value: Kentucky Knight (Race 6)
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #10
                    Saratoga Picks: Friday, July 29, 2022

                    Race 1: 2-3-5-1
                    Race 2: 5-2-7-9
                    Race 3: 3-7-2-6
                    Race 4: 10-3-6-12
                    Race 5: 5-7-10-2
                    Race 6: 10-4-9-7
                    Race 7: 4-7-9-3
                    Race 8: 10-4-1-11
                    Race 9: 7-5-9-1/1A
                    Race 10: 10-12-6-4
                    Most Likely Winner: Chuck Willis #10 (Race 8)
                    Best Value: Built Different #10 (Race 10)
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #11
                      Woodbine Picks - Friday, July 29, 2022

                      Race 1: 7-3-1-4
                      Race 2: 1-7-6-2
                      Race 3: 3-1-5-4
                      Race 4: 7-4-5-1
                      Race 5: 4-1-3-5
                      Race 6: 6-7-2-4
                      Race 7: 5-7-8-4
                      Race 8: 9-8-10-7
                      **Most Likely: Calusa Donnie (Race 6)**
                      **Best Value: Gendragon (Race 4)**
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #12
                        Frank Carulli: Saratoga Late Pick 4 | Friday, July 29, 2022
                        by Frank Carulli

                        With an average field size of 10 entrants and no morning line favorites at less than 2-1, Friday’s 50-cent Late Pick 4 at Saratoga could pay off big for those who correctly solve the sequence. Here’s a look at a suggested $64 wager:

                        SAR 7th race (4:18 EST) -- ARTORIUS was well-handled in a determined one-mile maiden victory in his second start. He saved ground until bursting through a 2-path seam in early stretch, then battled to the wire for a photo-finish victory. The third- and sixth-place finishers in that race came back with easy Maiden Special Weight scores, further enhancing Artorious’ chances despite starting outside in the $135,000 Curlin Stakes. He, like others in the race, could use it as a stepping stone to the Travers, a race his champion sire Arrogate won in 2016. WESTERN RIVER beat a suspect field to break his maiden, was compromised by a stumbled start and 5-wide stretch run in the G-III Peter Pan Stakes racing without Lasix, then controlled the pace in a 1-1/2-mile allowance romp against four rivals. His class will be tested in this spot, but he’s clearly improved as a 3-year-old and worth using at 8-1 on the morning line.

                        SAR 8th race (4:56 EST) -- FAUCI rallied for a win, two seconds and three thirds in his last six grass starts from 5-1/2 to 6-1/2 furlongs. He exited a triple-key race two starts back and made a late run at one of those winners, Artemus Citylimits, before that rival came back to win again in a 3X allowance with a 98 Beyer. CHUCK WILLIS won his last six starts outside of graded stakes company by a combined 18 lengths. He dueled through fast fractions before the deep closers arrived to finish 1-2-3 in the G-II Highlander. His speed is compromised with LYRICAL POET (2-2 at 5-1/2F) starting from the rail but drawing outside could suit him well in this spot.

                        SAR 9th race (5:32 EST) -- BALTASAR dueled to the top of the stretch while 3-wide and in-hand but settled for second best in a longer sprint last out. LIFE CHANGER finished 1-1/2 lengths behind Baltasar but he was in tight behind rivals twice in the stretch and closed well enough to suggest that he can turn the tables. ON THE HILL rallied into a fast pace for second in the same spot and could have even more of it today. VIRKAM shook a duel and beat a next-out winner, now enters a 24-percent claim barn at tempting odds. He, too, could sit a good stalking trip from the rail.

                        SAR 10th race (6:08 EST) – RADIANT GEM is the most accomplished turf runner in the field with back-to-back wins and $76,000 in earnings, but this is anybody’s race, so go deep in the Pick 4 and hope you’re alive going into the finale.

                        Suggested 50-cent Ticket

                        SAR 7th Race: 1, 9
                        SAR 8th Race: 4, 10
                        SAR 9th Race: 2, 3, 5, 9
                        SAR 10th Race: 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 12

                        COST: $64
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #13
                          AI Picks: $5K Hit & Split Pick 4 at Del Mar | Friday, July 29, 2022

                          Friday night’s Del Mar card includes a $5,000 Hit & Split promotion for Xpressbet and 1/ST BET players. Take down the late pick four (Races 5-8) and collect the partimutuel winnings as well as your share of an additional $5,000 with other players on the 1/ST and Xpressbet platform who also connect.

                          To assist your handicapping, top selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

                          You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds.

                          Del Mar // Race 5 // 8:58 pm ET // claiming

                          #8 Little Rachel (2-1) // 23%W
                          #1 Red Hot Lass (8-1) // 16%W
                          #9 Tropicana Girl (6-1) // 14%W
                          #5 Seven Sisters (4-1) // 11%W

                          Del Mar // Race 6 // 9:27 pm ET // $100,000 Daisycutter Handicap

                          #5 Leggs Galore (8-5) // 32%W
                          #7 Twilight Gleaming (9-5) // 18%W
                          #1 Royal Address (3-1) // 14%W
                          #4 She’s So Nice (8-1) // 10%W

                          Del Mar // Race 7 // 9:56 pm ET // allowance

                          #2 Race Judicata (3-1) // 23%W
                          #10 Smoothlikebuttah (6-1) // 21%W
                          #8 She’s a Joker (4-1) // 9%W
                          #7 Ko Olina (12-1) // 9%W

                          Del Mar // Race 8 // 10:25 pm ET // maiden claiming

                          #9 Hulk (3-1) // 28%W
                          #1 Mongolian Kingdom (10-1) // 16%W
                          #7 King Rob (4-1) // 16%W
                          #5 Rye Runner (8-1) // 12%W
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #14
                            Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, July 29, 2022

                            by Al Cimaglia

                            The Meadowlands has a 13-race program scheduled with the headliners being 2-year-old trotters battling in the Doherty and Haughton Eliminations. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

                            Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                            Race 6

                            2-Kilmister (3-1)-Couldn't ask for a better start for a freshman with wins on the 1/2 and 7/8's in NY. Came off cover both times and Sears has options here. Might race near the top of the stack this time and be in position at the head of the stetch to make it a 3-peat.
                            6-Dahlquist Hanover (8-1)-Gets some post relief and looks like a player if minds manners. Has the gate speed to be on the point or in the pocket and either trip could work for a picture.

                            Race 7

                            2-Lovely Lady May (7/2)-Comes off a nice win in its M1 debut last week. The .56 back half was good to see and the month off may have worked wonders.
                            3-Always A Force (5-1)-Tried a different plan in last and left with a rush from post 9. Did come a close 3rd and could be better here. Wasn't Todd McCarthy's pick, he stuck with #2 but Tetrick should put this veteran in play.
                            4-Ship Wreck Beach K (3-1)-Camera shy 4-year-old comes off a big try performance to cash the top check versus this kind last week. Draws well, Dunn's choice over #9 and best to respect chances for a repeat.

                            Race 8

                            2-Secret Volo (10-1)-Could fit better with this field and should be on the point or in the pocket in the early going. Looks like a live price play and has battled hard with a couple of tough fillies.
                            6-Brunella (3/1)-This was Gingras' choice over #4, another Takter pupil, and that could be telling. May look to get the top and this pilot knows how to steal a quarter. If that's the case, she could be difficult to catch.


                            Race 9

                            1-Hammer Time (3-1)-Gingras owns this 8-year-old and it made a winning debut for the Burke barn last week. The issue has been breaking stride and is a threat if minds manners again.
                            2-Keystone Cecilia (10-1)-Was used a couple of times in a 6-30 win at the Big M. Then jumped up in class at Philly and didn't fare well. Dave Miller gets the nod here, he could work a suck around trip and then take a shot down the lane.
                            6-Majestic J (7/2)-Alagna 3-year-old has been camera shy and has breaking issues, but the speed is there to beat this bunch. This is a scattered group so will include although not worth the risk if bet hard.
                            9-Brickhouse Babe (9/2)-Here is another Walner 3-year-old and has hit the board in 7 of 18 at M1 with 3 pictures. Mark Mac steers and he should be rolling late. Looks like a player at square price if the pace is brisk.


                            0.50 Early Pick 4

                            2,6/2,3,4/2,6/1,2,6,9
                            Total Bet=$24
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #15
                              Saratoga Picks: Late Pick 4 the best value on July 29
                              By J.N. Campbell


                              Saratoga Picks: Friday, July 29, 2022

                              Race 1: 2-3-5-1
                              Race 2: 5-2-7-9
                              Race 3: 3-7-2-6
                              Race 4: 10-3-6-12
                              Race 5: 5-7-10-2
                              Race 6: 10-4-9-7
                              Race 7: 4-7-9-3
                              Race 8: 10-4-1-11
                              Race 9: 7-5-9-1/1A
                              Race 10: 10-12-6-4
                              Most Likely Winner: Chuck Willis #10 (Race 8)
                              Best Value: Built Different #10 (Race 10)

                              Late Pick 4 … Races 7-10

                              Race 7: Dirt, 1 1/8th, Curlin S. $135k, 3

                              We are going to start this sequence with a bang, and if you are a colt that couldn’t make tomorrow’s Jim Dandy (G2), then this is the haven. Out of this field of 9, only Rudy Brisset’s Western River #1 is entered in both races. He might scratch, and stick with the “Dandy.” When it comes to a top selection, I am sure many a bettor will be leaning heavily on Kenny McPeek’s Creative Minister #7. The Kentucky-based trainer has a pair entered in this race, but this son of Creative Cause will be the focal point. That is probably right, especially since he ran in 2 of the Triple Crown races … the Preakness (G1) and the Belmont (G1). The former was a race that most liked because he was 3rd behind Early Voting and Epicenter. I know he has the ability to win a contest like this one, and with the services of Dylan Davis for the 1st time, that makes him even tougher. Let’s include him, but when it comes to my choice, I much prefer Todd Pletcher’s Make It Big #4. I actually saw this entry win the Springboard Mile $400k at Remington Park in December. Red Oak Stable was working with Saffie Joseph at the time, but they transferred their prize to Pletcher right after the son of Neolithic ended up 10th in the Sam Davis (G3) at Tampa in February. Taking their time getting him back to the track, the colt returns to a spot that is within the realm of the possible, and I like the switch to John Velazquez. The maturity that he has gained these past few months will be an asset, and his price has the chance to be in the double-digit range. Going longer … might be something that he is ready to take on. One other runner that is worth a hard look is Chad Brown’s Juddmonte homebred, Artorius #9. By the great Arrogate, who we lost, this colt broke his maiden last time at Belmont. He exhibited some strong foot late in the game, going a mile. He has never had the opportunity to go 2-turns, so that is definitely a question mark. Ridden by Irad Ortiz, he should have the opportunity to prove himself against much tougher company. These connections are just rolling along right now. It’s a must to include their 3-yr-old. Let’s use all 3 of these runners to get this ticket moving!

                              Leg 1: 4/7/9 (3-Deep)

                              Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager, WPS #4 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



                              Race 8: Turf, 5
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