Sunday 8/7/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:50 AM

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Picks: Sunday, August 7, 2022

Race 1: 7-2-9-1
Race 2: 2-6-7-10
Race 3: 10-3-1-6
Race 4: 2-7-8-3
Race 5: 1-5-4-6
Race 6: 8-1-7-5
Race 7: 2-11-5-8
Race 8: 10-8-6-2
Race 9: 4-1-8-6
Race 10: 2-9-7-5
Race 11: 7-5-10-1
Most Likely Winner: Zookeeper #10 (Race 3)
Best Value: Big Hand #2 (Race 7)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:51 AM

Saratoga Picks: Sunday, August 7, 2022

Race 1: 7-8-3-1
Race 2: 1-5-3-4
Race 3: 3-2-6-5
Race 4: 5-2-4-1
Race 5: 6-1-8-5
Race 6: 2-6-9-4
Race 7: 3-1-2-6
Race 8: 4-8-1-5
Race 9: 4-6-1-5
Race 10: 3-8-10-1
Most Likely Winner: Certified Loverboy #7 (Race 1)
Best Value: Plum Ali #4 (Race 9)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:51 AM

Ellis Park Picks - Sunday, August 7, 2022

Race 1: 2-7-9-1
Race 2: 6-2-1-4
Race 3: 8-2-5-6
Race 4: 11-1-4-7
Race 5: 8-10-2-4
Race 6: 1-7-6-2
Race 7: 1-9-10-5
Race 8: 3-5-10-1
Race 9: 4-9-10-2
**Most Likely Winner: True Jedi #2 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Redhairedcolleen #8 (Race 3)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:51 AM

Gulfstream Park Picks - Sunday, August 7, 2022

Race 1: 2-4-7-6
Race 2: 4-5-1-3
Race 3: 4-1-5-7
Race 4: 3-4-5-1
Race 5: 2-5-6-1
Race 6: 2-6-7-1
Race 7: 8-5-1-9
Race 8: 5-4-7-1
Race 9: 6-3-1-8
Race 10: 2-6-8-1
**Most Likely Winner: The Beast #6 (Race 9)**
**Best Value: Boca Guy #2 (Race 6)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:51 AM

Laurel Park Picks - Sunday, August 7, 2022

Race 1: 5-2-3-1
Race 2: 9-2-1-5
Race 3: 5-2-8-7
Race 4: 8-1-7-9
Race 5: 5-4-9-11
Race 6: 5-8-1-9
Race 7: 6-2-3-5
Race 8: 3-6-8-1
Race 9: 3-2-6-1
Race 10: 10-7-2-1
**Most Likely Winner: Sponsored #5 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Speak Your Mind #5 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:52 AM

Monmouth Park Picks: Sunday, August 7, 2022

Race 1: 6-1-4-2
Race 2: 5-3-6-2
Race 3: 7-5-3-2
Race 4: 7-5-4-8
Race 5: 6-5-1-3
Race 6: 7-10-8-5
Race 7: 3-10-8-9
Race 8: 2-4-3-8
Race 9: 9-7-5-3
Race 10: 2-6-3-8
Race 11: 9-3-4-1
Most Likely Winner: Jerry's Turn (Race 1)
Best Value: He's Smoking Now (Race 4)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:52 AM

Woodbine Picks - Sunday, August 7, 2022

Race 1: 6-2-1-7
Race 2: 10-5-3-2
Race 3: 6-4-5-3
Race 4: 10-6-5-2
Race 5: 4-8-1-3
Race 6: 10-11-5-3
Race 7: 1-7-3-5
Race 8: 3-1-5-7
Race 9: 6-5-3-1
Race 10: 6-2-1-7
Race 11: 1-6-2-11
**Most Likely: Silent Runner (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Ghoul (Race 4)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:52 AM

Saratoga Picks: Fillies take to the turf in G1 Oaks on August 7
By J.N. Campbell

Saratoga Picks: Sunday, August 7, 2022

Race 1: 7-8-3-1
Race 2: 1-5-3-4
Race 3: 3-2-6-5
Race 4: 5-2-4-1
Race 5: 6-1-8-5
Race 6: 2-6-9-4
Race 7: 3-1-2-6
Race 8: 4-8-1-5
Race 9: 4-6-1-5
Race 10: 3-8-10-1
Most Likely Winner: Certified Loverboy #7 (Race 1)
Best Value: Plum Ali #4 (Race 9)

Most Likely Winner: (Race 1: Certified Loverboy #7, 7/2):

It may not look like it, but Ray Handal’s colt by Mendelssohn has some excellent ability. I like a runner that tries the same company level on the 2nd time out. The West Paces and Twin Sports folks paid $230k for this one, and they wanted Handal to take over the training schedule. That was a shrewd move because the young conditioner has a strong program for success. I like it when Dylan Davis gets aboard this barn’s mounts, and I would expect a much better result this time around. Mendelssohn is a sire for Coolmore that is just getting started. Watch out … what a price!

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #7

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 9: Plum Ali #4, 6/1):

I am a fan of this filly by First Samurai from way back (as in ’21 at Keeneland’s Spring Meet). Christophe Clement has put her up against the best in the turf mile division, and that has given her some excellent class lines. Even though her last 2 races had less than stellar results, but in her defense, there was nothing easy about the G3 Beaugay S. at Belmont nor the G2 Nassau S. at Woodbine. Coming into this race, she has a real chance to take this opportunity to the bank. Manny Franco is riding well against a colony that is incredibly strong. Michael Dubb and Madaket Stables make for a strong ownership duo …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #4 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 7: Turf, 1 3/16ths, Saratoga Oaks Invitational S. (G1), $700k, 3F):

While the “Oaks” did not come up with as full a field as its counterpart, the Saratoga Derby (G1), it still has some betting opportunities. In many ways, this is a re-match race between Chad Brown’s McKulick #2 and Charlie Appleby’s With The Moonlight #3. They went head-to-head in the Belmont Oaks (G1), and the Klaravich red-lettered “KS” ended up on top over the Godolphin homebred. This might be the opportunity to strike back against his rival. Jockey William Buick is in-town to try and right the ship, and he certainly has the ability to get the job done. I am willing to back Appleby, but I also like Brendan Walsh’s New Year’s Eve #1. Here is a filly by the now-deceased Kitten’s Joy that looks the part. Sure, she did not show-up in the “Oaks,” but that doesn’t mean that she doesn’t have the resume to be in the gate. Tyler Gaffalione is a rider that can transcend his current stats at the Meet. Grass riding is one of his specialties, and I like his chances. Am I bold enough to put him at the top of my ticket … no … but he is going to be a superb price … Here is the wager … it is easy as 1-2-3 …

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Box, 1/2/3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:53 AM

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks August 7
Joseph Aiello

Race 4 – Grade III Adirondack Stakes

1. #2 Naughty Gal (8-5) – Looked dominant last time out in her second start, and appears to be a step ahead of these two year olds at the moment

2. #3 Promise of Hope (4-1) – Won easily in her debut, and might have another step up in improvement that could make her an interesting win play here

3. #1 Apple Picker (5-1) – This filly by Connect cruised to an easy wire to wire win first time out, and could stay aggressive here but will likely face tougher fractions

4. #4 Sabra Tough (7-2) – Didn’t break well last time, but can be more of a factor with a better break and showed the ability to pass horses in defeat last time

Race 7 – Grade III Saratoga Oaks Invitational Stakes

1. #2 McKulick (8-5) – The best of the Chad Brown trainees in this field, this filly by Frankel wins here with a clean mid-pack trip

2. #5 Contemporary Art (6-1) – Improved second time out with a bit more distance, so should like going longer and won pretty easily sitting off a slower pace

3. #3 With The Moonlight (5-2) – Got passed by McKulick in the Grade I Belmont Oaks Invitational, but did some of the dirty work there and is a good play to finish well here

4. #6 Oakhurst (10-1) – Joel Rosario has been too good to pass up, and will certainly have this closer moving late, distance shouldn’t be a problem, but still a step up in class here

Race 8 – Alw 115000n1x

1. #5 Colorful Mischief (5-2) – Gaffalione and Pletcher have had a good winning percentage together this year, and can win as long as this one starts in third or fourth early

2. #4 Empire Hope (3-1) – A good win in her debut, this filly by Empire Maker may end up preferring to go two turns, but is a good play if the pace is a bit quicker

3. #1 Wicked Hot (9-2) – Doesn’t seem like one that is a huge winning threat, but has good consistency and should be a bit better value than this

4. #6 Minute Waltz (6-1) – Ten for fourteen in the money, but with just one win this looks like one to use in exotics

Race 9 – Fasig-Tipton De La Rose Stakes

1. #6 Our Flash Drive (9-2) – Comes out of a Grade II where she was up on a faster pace, and could be a bigger threat if the pace is a bit softer this time around

2. #5 Jouster (5-2) – Last year, this one exclusively started with the lead, now adjusting to a stalking approach which gives her some versatility as others tend to rate here

3. #1 Love and Thunder (3-1) – Made a pretty big move from last by ten lengths to only lose by a length last time at this distance, and has real winning chances as long as she is a bit closer

4. #4 Plum Ali (6-1) – Maybe appears to be a slight step below some others right now, but certainly has the class to compete and hits the board at a fifty percent clip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:53 AM

Turf Stakes Spot Plays for Ellis Park on Aug 7
John Mucciolo

The last four races on the Sunday card at Ellis Park are black-type races on the green with some competitive fields set to go postward.
Race 6 – Twin Spires Turf Sprint

A total of 10 will vie in the 5 1/2-furlong dash. #1 Totally Boss (9-2) might be rounding back into his best form following a fine allowance coup at Churchill last time out. The Rusty Arnold charge was a sharp stakes winner on the surface last season and will be tough to hold off with his top performance. Brian Hernandez Jr. will be up.
Race 7 – Centennial Distaff Turf Mile

#9 Demodog (5-1) gets the nod. American Pharoah filly was a decent third over a yielding course here in her first race off an 11-month absence, and I expect a nice move forward in this affair for conditioner Brendan Walsh and pilot Vincent Cheminaud. A contested early tempo will aid the four-year-old's stretch kick.
Race 8 – Laguna Distaff Turf Sprint

A total of 10 fillies and mares will speed 5 1/2 panels. Eddie Kenneally’s #3 Brokke Marie (5-1) is the one for me at what I believe to be a generous price. Winner of the Monrovia S. (G2) at Santa Anita two back, the six-year-old daughter of Lemon Drop Kid is consistently very good on the lawn, and the mare also has room for improvement being lightly raced. Rafael Bejarano will take the reins.
Race 9 – Evan Williams Turf Mile

The finale attracted an overflow field of 14 in a tough handicapping assignment. The closer features numerous legitimate contenders. I have to take a shot with #1 Kittansett (15-1) in his turf debut for trainer Paulo Lobo. Bay son of American Pharoah was a $1.4 million yearling purchase who looks to be coming into his own while going 2-for-2 this campaign, and is bred to like the lawn, too. The rail post could be tricky, but I can’t pass up the price on the Kentucky-bred with Alex Achard in the stirrups.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:53 AM

Saratoga Oaks Value Plays for Aug. 7
John Mucciolo

The Sunday feature at Saratoga is the lucrative $700,000 Saratoga Oaks (G3). Contested at 1 3/16 miles on the Mellon turf course, the affair for sophomore fillies attracted a strong field of six, with three hailing from the ever-dangerous barn of Chad Brown. I believe that the morning-line choices will be formidable in the contest, but value can still be had in the vertical gimmicks.

#3 With the Moonlight (5-2) gave a nice impression of herself when second in the Belmont Oaks (G1) while making her stateside debut last time out. Conditioned by Charlie Appleby, the high-class daughter of Frankel was part of a swift pace most recently but still gamely held on to be runner-up, and she figures to receive a more favorable voyage on Sunday.

The Godolphin homebred is the pace of the race this time around and figures to establish more sensible splits while on top soon after the break. With the Moonlight will be tough to corral in the stretch with regular pilot William Buick coming in to ride.

Brown’s #2 McKulick (8-5) proved that running 10 furlongs was no problem when driving home a decisive winner of the Belmont Oaks in her latest venture. By Frankel, the Klaravich colorbearer has yet to register a subpar race in her lifetime, and it’s a big bonus that she broke her maiden on debut in her lone prior try at the Spa, as well.

The three-year-old bay possesses a strong turn of foot, though she is not likely to receive the dream journey that unfolded for her last time out. Nonetheless, she rates a major chance with Irad Ortiz Jr. back in the stirrups.

#6 Oakhurst (10-1) will need a major step forward to challenge the top pair in this tilt, but she gives me the impression of a filly who is sitting on her best effort to date. The daughter of Mr Speaker has fine current form with two wins and a second from three tries this season, and I loved her prep for this event when a smart second in the Wild Applause S. over one mile at Belmont.

The Kentucky-bred could appreciate the added ground of this heat and will sit a bit closer to the pace from the start. Joel Rosario inherits the ride atop the exotics contender.
Saratoga Oaks Value Wagers

$30 trifecta 3 with 2 with 6 ($30)
$15 trifecta 2 with 3 with 6 ($15)
$2 trifecta 2,3 with 6 with 2,3 ($4)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:54 AM

Busan Sunday: Race-By-Race Preview (August 7)

Busan flies solo on Sunday with a bumper 15-race card from 10:45 to 18:00. Here are the previews:

Busan Race 1: Class 6 (1000M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

Juvenile maidens in the opener with all but two racing for the first time. That pair showed ability though. (3) JEULGEOUNYEOJEONG won a June trial and was sent off as an odds-on favourite on debut on July 17th. She jumped out well but couldn’t get to a good winner, ultimately ending in 2nd. It was a fast time, she should have come on for the experience, and she won’t need to improve much to win this. (6) BUILD UP sat midfield in a small field on his debut on July 10th. He ran a solid 3rd in a fair time and with some natural improvement can be close here. As for the first-timers, (7) GREAT MISS led all the way in her trial, crossing the line almost a second ahead of anything else. If she brings that form to the races, she’ll go close. (4) THUNDER FURY and (9) PEGACORN, the latter a winner of a slow heat, are others who can make a bold showing first-up.
Selections (3) Jeulgeounyeojeong (6) Build Up (7) Great Miss (4) Thunder Fury
Next Best 9, 1
Fast Start 3, 4, 7, 9

Busan Race 2: Class 6 (1000M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

The second division of the juvenile maiden, this time with four of the nine having raced previously. This time we’ll side with a newcomer in the shape of probable favourite (9) PAN STAR. She showed prominently in her trial, working through the line well in a good time. She won’t need to improve much on that to win here. (2) JEONGMUN SPECTER also showed well in his trial, leading for most of the way and crossing the line 2nd in a fair time and from a nice draw can make a bold showing first up. (4) HANEUL JEWANG is another newcomer who ran 2nd in his trial and can make an impact. As for the ones with experience, (5) THUNDER CROWN ran a decent enough 4th on debut and should have come on for the run while (8) WONDERFUL ANDOVER came through a tricky maiden and can also improve.
Selections (9) Pan Star (2) Jeongmun Specter (4) Haneul Jewang (5) Thunder Crown
Next Best 8, 3
Fast Start 2, 3, 4, 9

Busan Race 3: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

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Maiden three-year-olds. (1) GRAPHENE KING will be favourite and is the one to beat. He improved to finish runner-up on his second career appearance over 1400M on July 8th when leading almost the entire way around. He comes back in trip, draws nicely on the inside, and may take some beating. (2) GAMDONG ENERGY has mixed her form across six starts so far but has put in some fair performances at this distance. She can settle on pace or handy here and should be in the finish. There are four debut-makers and among them (9) HONOR CAL is the one who caught the eye in trials. She led for most of the way around before crossing the line 3rd in what was a fast run heat. If she brings that form to the races, she won’t be far away. (6) SPICE ECTON is another debut-maker. He sat handy in his trial, running on for 2nd and while it wasn’t a fast time, he can be competitive in this company. (4) STAR MATTA perhaps the best of the rest.
Selections (1) Graphene King (2) Gamdong Energy (9) Honor Cal (6) Spice Ecton
Next Best 4, 7
Fast Start 1, 2, 7, 11

Busan Race 4: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

(4) SMILEY LARRY settled back on debut over 1200M on July 17th before running on and finishing 3rd. He comes up slightly in trip today which may suit and with some natural improvement can have winning chances here. The main danger is (10) PURE MAGIC. He has been consistent across his three starts so far with a best of 2nd over 1200M in June. He has been on or close to the pace on each occasion so a wider draw today perhaps isn’t to his advantage but there isn’t much speed in this race so he may be able to get to the front without much difficulty anyway. If he can, he will take some going past. (7) ETERNAL ACE was 5th behind Pure Magic last time out. That was his third time finishing in that position but in this company, he should be getting closer today. (8) SIMON TOP GUN and (6) ORANGE STAR are other possibles for the minors.
Selections (4) Smiley Larry (10) Pure Magic (7) Eternal Ace (8) Simon Top Gun
Next Best 6, 9
Fast Start 1, 7, 8, 10

Busan Race 5: Class 6 (1400M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

(1) CHAMP GO returns to action for the first time since March. He has a 2nd place to his name at this distance which he recorded in January in a time faster than any of the others here have recorded. He comes down 3kg on his last start, draws well and while he didn’t offer too many clues in a trial two weeks ago, at his best he can win this. (3) DOCTOR KHALIFA has steadily improved across four outings to date. He overcame gate ten last time out on July 22nd to run a close 3rd over this distance and makes a quick return. He can settle just behind any early pace and run on. (8) SUNSHINE STAR returns to action for the first time since March when he ran a much improved 3rd over a mile. He trialed up adequately three-weeks ago and has a chance first-up here. (2) NAREUCAT and (10) QUEEN OF SPIRIT among others in the frame.
Selections (1) Champ Go (3) Doctor Khalifa (8) Sunshine Star (2) Nareucat
Next Best 10, 9
Fast Start 1, 5, 6, 10

Busan Race 6: Class 6 (1400M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

(3) EURO STAR has hinted at ability across her seven starts to date and comes in off a 4th place finish over a mile on July 22nd. She jumped out well that day and was handy throughout and in a race where the form is patchy to say the least, she has as good a chance as any. The drop in trip may allow her to overturn the form on (10) DANGDAE BLUE, who ran 2nd in that July 22nd race. That was a significant improvement for him and one that he can build on here despite the inconvenience of the widest gate. (4) HORAENGI returns to racing for the first time since December. She trialed up very nicely two weeks ago and she does have the fastest time of any of these for the distance. She can go well first up. (9) JEONGMUN CHITA and (5) THE PRINCESS look to be other potential improvers.
Selections (3) Euro Star (10) Dangdae Blue (4) Horaengi (9) Jeongmun Chita
Next Best 5, 8
Fast Start 1, 3, 4, 9

Busan Race 7: Class 5 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

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Small field but we do finally get to some horses who have actually won a race after all the preceding class 6’s. (2) GOOD SOCKS has actually won two although they were a long time ago. She returned from a layoff of more than a year to run 2nd to stablemate Black Olive on July 8th leading most of the way. She comes up 2kg for that run but she should also be much the better for it and from a good draw, can win. (7) INDY CHOICE led at his latest start on July 10th before finishing 3rd behind good winner Shaka. He took a couple of races to get to grips with this level but looks ready to go close again. (3) BAEK GU was 4th in that same race, continuing a consistent run of form. She is versatile and it would be no surprise if she was in the money again. (4) TAMNA HANEUL and (1) A. ONCE others to consider.
Selections (2) Good Socks (7) Indy Choice (3) Baek Gu (4) Tamna Haneul
Next Best 1, 5
Fast Start 2, 3, 5, 7

Busan Race 8: Class 5 (1300M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

(10) SEOBU TEUKGEUP was a beaten favourite over 1400M at this class on July 17th, having been on pace and leading into the straight. She comes back slightly in trip and despite the wide draw, she can get it right this time. (2) HWARANG SKY got her win at this distance two starts back at class 6 level. She then ran a decent 4th of seven on her first try at this class on July 17th. She carries a light weight here, draws nicely and can be competitive. (1) UNJU STAR ran 2nd to Hwarang Sky two starts back before getting a maiden win of his own at this distance on July 15th. He is up in class here but down in weights and can measure up in this company. (5) GREEN CHEETAH enters off back-to-back 3rd place finishes, both at 1200M. She likes to be on or close to the speed and draws well to do exactly that and can be in this a long way. (3) GEUMA INFINITE among others in the hunt.
Selections (10) Seobu Teukgeup (2) Hwarang Sky (1) Unju Star (5) Green Cheetah
Next Best 3, 7
Fast Start 5, 6, 7, 10

Busan Race 9: Class 5 (1300M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

Possibly the most competitive race on the card with plenty of potential winners. There are three standouts. (4) HOLLYWOOD PARTY made all to win at class 6 level over 1200M in June before coming close to repeating the trick at this class and distance on July 17th, ultimately finishing a close 2nd. She only comes up 1kg in the weights and has a solid chance. (5) DAEJI SPECIAL has won at this distance and enters off a last start 2nd over 1200M when on pace throughout. He draws better today and should be in the finish. (3) TRIPLE JILJU beat Daeji Special two starts back when the pair ran 3rd and 5th respectively over this distance. He followed up with a strong 2nd on July 24th when settling midfield and running on. He has the fastest time of any of these at the distance and shouldn’t be dismissed. (9) ANY LINE and (8) ART KELLY are among others who can enter the calculations.
Selections (4) Hollywood Party (5) Daeji Special (3) Triple Jilju (9) Any Line
Next Best 8, 2
Fast Start 3, 4, 8, 11

Busan Race 10: Class 5 (1600M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

(3) YASAENGHWA is very consistent at this class with a 2nd and two 3rd place finishes since being promoted after her maiden win. She is well suited under today’s set weights, she likes to race forward and with a nice drawn, she has a big chance. (2) POKPUNG JILJU is two starts into this preparation following a full ten months out. Those two races have yielded back-to-back runner-up finishes by narrow margins. He comes up in the weights and does tend to get a bit far back in his races but the step up in trip and probable slower tempo may suit him. (1) HOLLYWOOD QUEEN may be interesting at a potentially good price. She won at class and distance in June and she does get back and run on. An apprentice claim makes her nicely in here. (7) YONGCHEON was a last start winner over 1400M in class 6 when settling midfield and running on. He doesn’t get any weight relief but may be up to a place. (8) HERO MAN another in the frame.
Selections (3) Yasaenghwa (2) Pokpung Jilju (1) Hollywood Queen (7) Yongcheon
Next Best 8, 4
Fast Start 3, 5, 6, 8

Busan Race 11: Class 4 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

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(5) BLACK OLIVE is three for three and is up in class and in distance here. There was a gap of more than a year between her first and second starts and she has won her latest two well. She is nicely weighted here and the additional trip shouldn’t pose too many problems. (7) MAN OF THE STAR won well at this distance at class 5 level two starts back before leading briefly then weakening over a mile on his first try at this level. He too comes in under a light weight and back to 1400M can be a danger. (9) SEOGWI POINT has finished 3rd in both attempts at this class so far, both over the distance. She can settle midfield and run on so the draw shouldn’t be an issue and she can challenge for at least a place again. The up in class (4) UNJU OCEAN along with (6) ILNYEOM CHEONHA are others in the money hunt.
Selections (5) Black Olive (7) Man Of The Star (9) Seogwi Point (4) Unju Ocean
Next Best 6, 10
Fast Start 4, 5, 6, 7

Busan Race 12: Class 4 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

(1) EUNSEONG YEONGUNG has won at class and distance and comes in having run a good 2nd on July 15th when beaten by one of today’s rivals. He comes up a little in the weights but that is balanced by the inside gate which should help in this tough race. (7) H. DAY has five top-three finishes from six starts so far. And has back-to-back runner- up finishes in two tries at this level, both over 1200M. He runs on well and while he is up in trip and slightly in the weights, he has solid claims here. (8) BEASTLY was the winner of that July 15th race ahead of Eunseong Winner. He has the challenge of a wider barrier and 4.5kg extra on his back today, but he will be a danger. (5) WINNER’S TIME is another last start class and distance winner who gets an additional 4.5kg today but who can also be considered from a nice draw. (6) CHEONGDAM DRIVE tends to get a bit far back but can run on into some money.
Selections (1) Eunseong Yeongung (7) H. Day (8) Beastly (5) Winner’s Time
Next Best 6, 2
Fast Start 4, 5, 7, 8

Busan Race 13: Class 4 (1800M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

(3) SINBIHAN GANGJA as nine top-three finishes but a win has so far remained elusive. That could change here. Remarkably he is yet to go further than a mile, a distance that he has a good record at. He is nicely drawn and has been settling back in his races and running on and the tempo at this distance may suit. An apprentice jockey keeps his carried weight light. The probable favourite is (10) KING GRACE. It took him ten attempts at class 6 to get his maiden win but class 5 detained him just one start as he overcame the same wide gate he draws today to win over this distance. A hat-trick is possible. (8) ANNIKA GIRL was a big winner over this distance on her latest start on July 8th at class 5 level when she made all. That was her maiden win at her fifteenth attempt but she can measure up in this company. (5) CHOEGANG MARINE, another one up in class following a last start win, in his case over a mile, and (1) ACE JACKPOT are others to enter the calculations. A special mention for (9) ONNURI GANGJA, who makes his 100th career start here. It probably won’t be his second win but he did manage a 3rd place at this distance two starts back.
Selections (3) Sinbihan Gangja (10) King Grace (8) Annika Girl (5) Choegang Marine
Next Best 1, 7
Fast Start 2, 5, 6, 7

Busan Race 14: Class 3 (1800M) Handicap / KRW 75 Million

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(8) BURUI GEOM had a hard time in the Minister’s Cup over 2000M at Seoul in June but returned but returned to shallower waters to win here over a mile at class 4 level on July 10th. He comes up in class here but down in weight and he has won at this distance already. (11) TRIUMPH CAT has won his last two starts at a mile and 1800M, bringing him up in class here. He gets a big weight drop which can compensate for the wide draw and he looks right in this. (9) HAPPY WOMAN may be a chance at an each-way price. Disregard her last start when having her first shot at 1800M and at this class, and instead go on her prior solid record. She does go better when racing forward so the barrier may not help, but don’t rule out. (2) CHANGE BACK and (10) GALAXY ROAD are other solid chances.
Selections (8) Burui Geom (11) Triumph Cat (9) Happy Woman (2) Change Back
Next Best 10, 1
Fast Start 8, 9, 10, 11

Busan Race 15: Class 2 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 90 Million

(3) BEOLMAUI STAR is a winner of three from seven and is up in class but very much down in weight. He likes to lead and from a nice draw should win the start and prove very hard to pass. He’ll be favourite in what is, nevertheless, a good race. (7) BUSANHANG GALMAEGI is up in class having won three of his latest four, all at today’s distance. He too gets a nice weight drop and while he does have the challenge of some other on-pace runners drawn inside of him, if he can find a good position, he can be in this a long way. (2) COPY THAT is worth consideration on his latest start when he won at this class over 1400M with some of today’s rivals back down the track behind him. He was handy to midfield that day, but he struck the front 300M out and won well. A 3kg apprentice claim keeps him competitive here. Draw a line through the latest outing from (6) DOCTOR FASHION. That was at 1400M behind Copy That but he comes back to a distance over which he is a four-time winner and it should suit more. (1) TOP FIRE another in the hunt.
Selections (3) Beolmaui Star (7) Busanhang Galmaegi (2) Copy That (6) Doctor Fashion
Next Best 1, 5
Fast Start 3, 6, 7, 9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:54 AM

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Sunday, August 7
Posted on August 5, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 4: SABRA TUFF (#4)

Likely favorite #2 Naughty Gal seemingly needed her debut, in which she raced a bit greenly. This daughter of Into Mischief took a big step forward second time out, showing improved early speed before drawing off to an impressive 9-length victory. The time she ran matched the Debutante on the same card, and she earned a nice figure. A repeat of that performance will make her awfully tough, and she’s looked strong in her recent training. This early-developing type appears to have a size advantage over her competition at this stage. She picks up Luis Saez and goes out for a barn that knows how to win 2-year-old stakes at the Spa. She might have a bit of speed to deal with on the front end since debut winners #1 Apple Picker and #3 Promise of Hope both want to be forward as well. I’m taking a shot against the favorite with #4 Sabra Tuff. This filly showed some real tenacity in her debut, rushing up to take the lead after a slow start and fending of multiple challenges through the stretch. The runner-up returned to win her next start, improving her TimeformUS Speed Figure by 10 points. She moved up to stakes company in her second start at Churchill and used completely different tactics, rating in last early before slicing through the pack to run up into second through the stretch. She obviously has to get a little faster, but I like the versatility and willingness that this filly has displayed. It doesn’t hurt that she gets a rider upgrade to Irad Ortiz and lands in a spot where her experience should serve her well.

RACE 7: WALKATHON (#4)

This G3 Saratoga Oaks didn’t draw the largest field, but it’s an interesting cast of 6 promising 3-year-old fillies. #2 McKulick has to be considered the one to beat off her convincing victory in the G1 Belmont Oaks last time out. She had been mildly compromised by trips and pace scenarios in her first two starts of the year, but Irad Ortiz was able to work out a beautiful journey for her last time. She saved ground on the turns and was produced into the clear with plenty of time to run down the leaders. However, she’s now cutting back slightly in distance and landing in a race that doesn’t feature that much speed. We also got 5-1 on her last and she’ll be a fraction of that price today. #3 With the Moonlight didn’t have a major excuse in the Belmont Oaks, but I like that she’s stayed in this country to train since that race. She looked awesome working in company with Derby starter Nations Pride last week and could be sitting on an improved effort. Yet I’m most interested in the horse who defeated McKulick at Churchill. #4 Walkathon may get somewhat overlooked here despite the fact that she’s undefeated on turf. While she did have the pace in her favor when she won the Regret last time, she figures to get an even more favorable setup this time. Only With the Moonlight has the tactical speed to go with her, and I’d imagine that Leparoux will allow Walkathon to go forward and secure a solo lead. She can really motor along when she gets into a comfortable rhythm, and I believe this talented Kentucky shipper will be tough to reel in.

RACE 9: ASSERTIVE STYLE (#8)

Two of the likely favorites in this spot exit the Perfect Sting last month at Belmont. #5 Jouster won that day, getting a pretty good trip. She’s steadily been rounding back into top form since tailing off in the second half of her 3-year-old season. However, now she’s stretching back out around two turns and I think last time was the time to have her. I actually prefer #1 Love and Thunder out of that Perfect Sting, since she made an early move into contention on the far turn before flattening out. Trakus caught her running that third quarter in 22.25 seconds, so it’s understandable that she had little left for the stretch. However, she’s just not a reliable win candidate, having settled for too many minor awards in the past, so I have trouble picking her on top. #6 Our Flash Drive also makes sense as she ships in from Canada. It appears that she has really improved as a 4-year-old and figures to sit a good stalking trip. Yet I want to get a little more creative with my top selection. #8 Assertive Style has never won on the turf, but she has run well on this surface the last couple of times that she’s tried it. It also seems like she’s subtly improved since the claim by Tom Morley. She achieved a graded stakes placing behind two talented rivals in the Vagrancy two back. And she actually ran deceptively well in the Intercontinental last time, having to alter course in the stretch before hitting her best stride too late. Now she stretches out, but she’s successfully routed on the dirt in the past so stamina shouldn’t be an issue. She could also potentially be the speed in a race that doesn’t feature a clear front-runner, and Javier Castellano is making all the right moves currently.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-07-2022, 07:54 AM

LAUREL PARK PICKS AND PONDERINGS: AUGUST 7, 2022
John Piassek

RACE 1: CLAIMING $25,000 (N/W2L), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 6 FURLONGS

5-2-6-3

After a pair of stakes races yesterday, it’s back to the usual fare today. Eight races on the program. #5 Sponsored (8-5) sat the pace and drew off to a very impressive 7 1/4-length maiden win last out, with a career-top brisnet figure of 85. He’s one of two in here who has never lost against winners, and more recently raced of the two, and has a much-higher last-out figure. #2 Raise a Speights (2-1) got involved in a speed duel against tough n/w1x foes last out and backed up. Should enjoy the class relief here. #6 Showing Off (8-1) broke his maiden last out at Parx in mid-April, and has run a 76 two times in three career starts. He hasn’t raced in a while but has good recent workouts.

RACE 2: MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT, 2-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES, 5 1/2 FURLONGS (GRASS)

10-6-4-2 (DIRT: 9-2-10-1)

Gerald Brooks and Carl Hess Jr. thought enough of #10 Anotherdaygoneby (3-1) to ship her to Saratoga for a grass race, after three increasingly promising races at Presque Isle Downs. However, the race was washed off to the dirt. She stayed in the race and finished fifth after a wide trip. That’s a clue that they think the grass is her best surface. We’ll find out here. #6 Skylar’s Sister (6-1) goes first-time out for Dale Capuano. She’s been working very well, including a bullet drill two works ago and a workout on the grass last Sunday. I’m interested to see what kind of action she takes. #4 Queen’s Garden (2-1) goes for the Shug McGaughey/Forest Boyce combo which always gets bet and often wins. Her dam, Queen’s Parade, was graded stakes-placed on grass.

RACE 3: CLAIMING $10,000 (CONDITIONED), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 6 FURLONGS

5-2-6-4

The rainbow pick 6 starts here. Someone took down the jackpot yesterday, which means the odds of a decent-sized pot for the mandatory payout on closing day have shrunk significantly. Alas. #5 Green Eyes (8-5) goes third off the layoff and switches back to dirt. In her last start on this surface, she went gate-to-wire and crushed a n/w2L field by seven lengths. In fact, both of her wins have come in her last two dirt starts. #2 Special Freedom (9-2) showed little over a muddy track last out but ran in the 70s in her two prior races. She’s shown flashes of good form in her past and will need her best stuff to win this one. #6 So Gracious (4-1) made decent ground to get third last out and should close for a piece.

RACE 4: MAIDEN CLAIMING $30,000, 3, 4, AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, 1 1/8 MILES (GRASS)

4-8-6-7

The late pick 5 begins in this race, which is for amateur jockeys. #4 See Out (4-1) showed real early speed for the first time in his last race, and although he faded late, he ran a lifetime-best figure of 78. He’s lightly-raced and races third off a long layoff. #8 Imagine It All (9-5), like See Out, has raced just three times. He’s closed well in sprints but has never gone around two turns before. He has a shot but I don’t know if he’s worth a win bet stretching out in distance so much. #6 Swallow Beach (12-1) takes a drop in class and improved to a 74 in his last start. He has no early speed but can close for a minor share at a good price.

RACE 5: MAIDEN CLAIMING $12,500, 3, 4, AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES AND MARES, 5 1/2 FURLONGS

9-11-5-7

#9 Devious (2-1) was well-bet on grass in her first start for the Claudio Gonzalez barn last out, but showed little after opening up a clear early lead. She’s getting class relief and switching back to dirt, a surface she’s shown some aptitude on. #11 Illusion of Hope (9-2) has improved dramatically in each of her last few dirt starts. She wasn’t close to the pace in her last few and left herself with too much to do. It might behoove her to stay closer to the lead. #5 Speak Your Mind (12-1) was a promising fourth, with a career-best figure of 64, on grass at Colonial Downs last out, and keeps Jevian Toledo in the saddle.

RACE 6: ALLOWANCE (N/W1X), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, MD-BRED, 5 1/2 FURLONGS (GRASS)

5-7-9-10 (DIRT: 7-5-11-9)

#5 Tauber (3-1) was impressive in his first start of the year last out. He closed well in the last eighth and lost by just a nose to front-running winner Premier Choice. He should improve second off the layoff. #7 Heir Port (4-1) is also racing second off the layoff. He consistently runs in the mid-80s on dirt and showed promise against better on the grass last year. He led most of the way last time out and got caught late. That was a bit out of character for him, so it remains to be seen what Jeiron Barbosa will do here. #9 Monster Mason (6-1) chased the pace and got third at 27-1 last out, in the same race that Tauber exits.

RACE 7: ALLOWANCE (N/W1X), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 1/8 MILES

4-3-2-1

#4 Maximum Impact (6-1) has improved sharply in his last few dirt races, including a solid second from off the pace last out. He’s a bit pace-dependent but will be the right price. #3 Shofar (2-1) has won three of his last four starts. He went gate-to-wire going 1 1/2 miles in his most recent dirt race, and will certainly be close to the pace. #2 Awesome Man (3-1) showed heart on the lead tow in gate-to-wire, defeating Bad to the Bone, who won his next start and is also in this race. This one has early speed and the post advantage.

RACE 8: CLAIMING $25,000 (N/W2L), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 5 1/2 FURLONGS (GRASS)

3-6-8-7 (DIRT: 2-3-6-9)

#3 Never Satisfied (9-5) overcame a wide trip to finish a solid third against better in his last start on grass. In his most recent start on dirt, he made a big move but flattened out and held second. #6 Kamak (9-2) races for the first time since late May and first time for Jane Cibelli. He closed well last out and just missed getting second against similar at Monmouth Park. #8 Fomo (5-2) had a tough trip last out against tougher. He had clearer sailing two races back and closed for second.

Sunday 8/7/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 8/7/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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