Sunday 8/14/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 07:07 AM

Sunday’s games

National League
Atlanta (69-46) @ Miami (49-64)
— bullpen game

— Braves are 5-0 in their last five games.
— Atlanta is 32-24 on road.
— over 16-5-3 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-115
— record in first 5 innings: 63-40-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-7

— Garrett is 0-3, 6.46 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 5-7 in his starts.
— under 9-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-1
— He is 0-1, 9.00 in one start vs Atlanta.

— Miami is 10-25 in its last 35 games.
— Marlins are 23-31 at home.
— under 10-2-2 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-114
— record in first 5 innings: 41-52-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.1-10

Chicago (47-65) @ Cincinnati (44-67)
— Thompson is 2-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-2
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in five games (1 start) vs Cincinnati.

— Cubs are 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Cubs are 23-31 on road.
— under 23-8-4 last 35 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-112
— record in first 5 innings: 44-51-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-5

— Dunn allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (70 PT) in his first ‘22 start.
— Reds are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Reds are 2-7 in last nine games.
— Cincinnati is 24-34 at home.
— under 14-5-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-112
— record in first 5 innings: 36-59-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-2.2

San Diego (63-53) @ Washington (38-77)
— Snell is 3-1, 1.19 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 4-10 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-4
— He is 1-0, 3.27 in two starts vs Washington.

— Padres are 3-1 in last four games.
— San Diego is 31-28 on road.
— over 12-5-1 last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-114
— record in first 5 innings: 53-36-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-2

— Espino is 0-2, 5.63 in his last five starts.
— Nationals are 5-6 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-4
— He allowed 3 runs in 2.1 IP in relief vs San Diego.

— Washington lost 12 of last 16 games.
— Nationals are 18-41 at home.
— over 7-3-1 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-115
— record in first 5 innings: 30-73-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-4

Philadelphia (63-50) @ NY Mets (74-40)
— Wheeler is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
— Philly is 11-4 in his last 15 starts.
— under 4-2-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-2
— He is 0-1, 3.38 in two starts vs New York TY.

— Phillies are 13-3 in last 16 games.
— Philly is 31-24 on road.
— under 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 31-113
— record in first 5 innings: 45-48-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-0

— Bassitt is 3-1, 2.91 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 13-8 in his starts
— over 10-5 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-4
— He is 1-0, 1.54 in two starts vs Philly TY.

— Mets are 16-3 in their last 19 games.
— Mets are 39-19 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-114
— record in first 5 innings: 63-28-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3

Milwaukee (61-51) @ St Louis (62-51)
— Ashby is 0-4, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 1-9 in his last 10 starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 3-9-3
— He is 0-1, 2.92 in four games (1 start) vs St Louis.

— Brewers lost seven of last 11 games.
— Milwaukee is 32-29 on road.
— under 4-0-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 38-112
— record in first 5 innings: 49-40-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3

— Mikolas is 1-2, 9.00 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 14-9 in his starts.
— under 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-4
— He is 1-2, 4.42 in three starts vs Milwaukee TY.

— Cardinals are 9-3 in their last 12 games.
— St Louis is 36-21 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 39-113
— record in first 5 innings: 52-42-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-1

Arizona (52-61) @ Colorado (51-65)
— Henry is 1-1, 3.75 in his first two MLB starts.
— Arizona is 1-1 in his starts
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Diamondbacks are 6-3 in last nine games.
— Arizona is 20-32 on road.
— over 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 34-113
— record in first 5 innings: 44-40-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2

— Feltner is 1-1, 7.33 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 2-7 in his starts.
— over 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Colorado is 8-16 in its last 24 games.
— Rockies are 33-29 at home.
— over 8-3 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-113
— record in first 5 innings: 31-60-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

Pittsburgh (45-68) @ San Francisco (55-57)
— Thompson is 0-3, 8.55 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 2-7 in his last nine starts
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-13
— He is 0-1, 4.15 in one start vs San Francisco.

— Pirates are 2-7 in their last nine games.
— Pittsburgh is 21-40 on road.
— over 10-5-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-114
— record in first 5 innings: 36-55-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-5

— Wood is 2-1, 3.93 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 4-2 in his last six starts
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-4
— He is 6-3, 3.13 in 12 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Giants won five of last seven games.
— San Francisco is 31-27 at home.
— over 8-4-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-113
— record in first 5 innings: 46-47-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-1

American League
Cleveland (59-53) @ Toronto (61-51)
— Bieber is 3-0, 1.35 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 14-7 in his starts.
— under 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 2-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-4
— He is 2-1, 4.38 in four starts vs Toronto.

— Guardians are 17-9 in their last 26 games.
— Cleveland is 31-31 on road.
— under 6-0-1 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-113
— record in first 5 innings: 47-44-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-2.1

— Gausman is 1-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (14 IP).
— Blue Jays are 11-10 in his starts
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-2
— He is 3-3, 2.27 in six games (5 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— Toronto is 35-22 at home.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-112
— record in first 5 innings: 44-43-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-4.1

Baltimore (59-54) @ Tampa Bay (59-53)
— Lyles is 3-0, 1.59 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-2
— He is 1-2, 7.43 in three starts vs Tampa Bay TY.

— Orioles are 24-10 in their last 34 games.
— Baltimore is 26-33 on road.
— over 9-3-1 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-113
— record in first 5 innings: 44-53-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3.2-4.1

— Rasmussen is 1-1, 2.41 in his last four starts (18.2 IP).
— Tampa Bay is 13-6 in his starts.
— over 10-4-1 last 15 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-1
— He is 0-0, 5.40 in two starts vs Baltimore TY.

— Tampa Bay is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— Rays are 34-22 at home.
— under 7-5-2 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-112
— record in first 5 innings: 49-41-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-3

Detroit (43-72) @ White Sox (58-56)
— Alexander is 0-2, 3.00 in his last two starts.
— Tigers are 0-7 in his starts.
— under 6-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-6
— He is 1-4, 4.62 in seven starts vs Chicago.

— Tigers are 7-25 in their last 32 games.
— Detroit is 17-39 on road.
— under 13-2-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-115
— record in first 5 innings: 36-62-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-3

— Lynn is 1-2, 5.09 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 6-5 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-2
— He is 6-3, 3.43 in ten starts vs Detroit.

— White Sox are 17-11 in their last 28 games.
— Chicago is 27-29 at home.
— under 11-6-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-114
— record in first 5 innings: 47-52-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-2

Seattle (62-53) @ Texas (50-63)
— Gilbert is 0-2, 6.15 in his last five starts.
— Seattle is 15-8 in his starts
— over 5-3 last eight starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 13-8-2
— He is 1-0, 1.62 in three starts vs Texas TY.

— Mariners are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Seattle is 31-27 on road.
— over 5-1-2 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-115
— record in first 5 innings: 45-50-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.1-3

— Perez is 1-1, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 15-8 in his starts
— over 8-0 last eight starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 3-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-10
— He is 0-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Seattle TY.

— Rangers are 14-26 in last 40 games.
— Texas is 24-32 at home.
— over 5-0-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 27-113
— record in first 5 innings: 39-50-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-6.1-4.2

A’s (41-73) @ Houston (74-41)
— Irvin is 3-2, 2.38 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 7-13 in his starts
— under 8-1-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 10-20
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-3
— He is 2-1, 2.19 in four starts vs Houston TY.

— A’s are 2-10 in their last 12 games.
— Oakland is 24-35 on road.
— under 33-18-2 last 53 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-114
— record in first 5 innings: 36-61-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3.1-2.2

— Javier is 0-3, 3.05 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 8-9 in his starts
— under 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3
— He is 0-1, 4.70 in two starts vs Oakland TY.

— Astros are 10-6 in their last 16 games.
— Houston is 38-18 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 39-115
— record in first 5 innings: 68-32-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3

Minnesota (58-54) @ LA Angels (50-64)
— Archer is 0-2, 7.41 in his last four starts.
— Twins lost his last five starts
— under 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-3
— He is 6-2, 2.50 in nine starts vs Anaheim.

— Minnesota is 11-17 in its last 28 games.
— Twins are 27-29 on road.
— over 20-9-1 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-112
— record in first 5 innings: 58-38-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-4

— Davidson allowed six runs in 4 IP, in his first Angels’ start.
— Angels are 0-1 in his starts
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Angels are 8-6 in their last 14 games.
— Angels are 25-33 at home.
— under 13-5-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-114
— record in first 5 innings: 52-46-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-5

New York (72-42) @ Boston (56-59)
— Taillon is 2-0, 4.10 in his last five starts.
— New York is 17-5 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-4
— He is 1-0, 5.73 in two starts vs Boston TY

— New York is 2-8 in its last ten games.
— New York is 31-27 on road.
— under 3-0-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 41-114
— record in first 5 innings: 57-32-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-4

— Wacha is 2-0, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— His last start was June 28
— Red Sox are 9-4 in his starts.
— over 3-0-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-1-4
— He is 1-1, 3.35 in six starts vs New York.

— Red Sox are 3-7 in last ten games.
— Boston is 28-30 at home.
— under 3-0 last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-115
— record in first 5 innings: 43-45-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-3

Interleague games
Los Angeles (79-33) @ Kansas City (47-68)
— Anderson is 4-0, 1.74 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 16-3 in his starts
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 13-4-2
— He is 0-1, 2.77 in two starts vs Kansas City.

— Dodgers are 40-9 in their last 49 games.
— They’ve won 12 games in a row.
— Los Angeles is 39-18 on road.
— over 8-2-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-112
— record in first 5 innings: 69-25-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2.1-6

— Singer is 2-1, 2.04 in his last five starts.
— Royals are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 5-0 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Kansas City won six of last 10 games.
— Royals are 28-34 at home.
— over 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-115
— record in first 5 innings: 44-52-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4-6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:01 AM

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Picks: Sunday, August 14, 2022

Race 1: 3-1-5-6
Race 2: 5-1-6-2
Race 3: 8-3-6-7
Race 4: 4-1-3-5
Race 5: 6-4-2-5
Race 6: 5-2-6-1
Race 7: 2-9-4-7
Race 8: 7-5-4-9
Race 9: 10-2-8-6
Race 10: 8-6-10-3
Most Likely Winner: Keychain Girl #5 (Race 2)
Best Value: Applecross (IRE) #7 (Race 8)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:01 AM

Ellis Park Picks: Sunday, August 14, 2022

Race 1: 3-1-4-7
Race 2: 1-3-2-6
Race 3: 7-5-10-1
Race 4: 7-8-2-12
Race 5: 2-6-5-1
Race 6: 12-9-3-6
Race 7: 8-4-5-7
Race 8: 10-2-5-8
Race 9: 6-2-9-3
Most Likely Winner: Patna #8 (Race 7)
Best Value: Salute The Flag #10 (Race 8)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:01 AM

Saratoga Picks: Sunday, August 14, 2022

Race 1: 7-1-5-10
Race 2: 8-1-5-2
Race 3: 5-4-1-2
Race 4: 7-2-8-3
Race 5: 6-2-8-4
Race 6: 6-8-3-10
Race 7: 4-2-8-6
Race 8: 5-4-6-2
Race 9: 1-2-5-4
Race 10: 2-3-8-9
Most Likely Winner: Brattle House #5 (Race 8)
Best Value: Moma #8 (Race 2)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:02 AM

Gulfstream Park Picks - Sunday, August 14, 2022

Race 1: 2-3-6-1
Race 2: 3-6-7-4
Race 3: 6-4-1-2
Race 4: 6-3-4-1
Race 5: 5-3-8-7
Race 6: 7-6-2-1
Race 7: 4-7-6-2
Race 8: 1-4-5-7
Race 9: 2-4-7-3
Race 10: 2-6-9-4
**Most Likely Winner: Harrys Onthebeach #2 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Byzantine Empire #7 (Race 6)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:02 AM

Laurel Park Picks - Sunday, August 14, 2022

Race 1: 5-4-8-7
Race 2: 4-5-7-1
Race 3: 6-5-2-1
Race 4: 2-6-7-3
Race 5: 12-9-6-5
Race 6: 2-4-8-3
Race 7: 3-2-6-5
Race 8: 10-12-4-2
**Most Likely Winner: In Vain #2 (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Amunet #6 (Race 3)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:04 AM

Ellis Park Picks: Pea Patch hosts stakes laden schedule on August 14
By J.N. Campbell

Ellis Park Picks: Sunday, August 14, 2022

Race 1: 3-1-4-7
Race 2: 1-3-2-6
Race 3: 7-5-10-1
Race 4: 7-8-2-12
Race 5: 2-6-5-1
Race 6: 12-9-3-6
Race 7: 8-4-5-7
Race 8: 10-2-5-8
Race 9: 6-2-9-3
Most Likely Winner: Patna #8 (Race 7)
Best Value: Salute The Flag #10 (Race 8)

Most Likely Winner: (Race 7: Patna #8, 5/1):

You cannot negate the power of Brad Cox and Juddmonte. Here is one of their homebreds that is looking to get back on track after a miss in the Grade 3 Indiana Oaks. Maybe it was an off-track that afternoon? Whatever the case, the well-bred filly by Into Mischief has the ability to rate from just off-the-pace. Joe Talamo takes over, and the cutback in distance should be something his mount can take advantage of, if she can get a bit of pace to run into. The price should be superb, but I doubt seriously that it will end close to 5/1.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #8

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 8: Salute the Flag #10, 15/1):

Looking for some value on this Sunday card, I am a super fan when it comes to horses trained by Larry Jones. He is one of those conditioners that knows his business, and runs an impeccable operation. I have watched this filly by Curlin this past year with more than just a passing interest. Following her progress at Oaklawn, she finally broke her maiden in late March with a late run against some stiff MSW90k Co. Jones sought to get her into the ALLW Co. pipeline at Churchill, and she really took to the 2-turn competition. I think she is sitting on a major race, and looks incredibly fit after a break. Mitch Murrill is a jockey that doesn’t always get the press he is due. What a price on the tote board this one will be! How about double-digit odds? Yes indeed …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #10 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 9: Dirt, 1 Mile, Ellis Park Derby, $200k, 3):

It is time to head to the 1-mile chute at Ellis for the big one … the Runhappy Ellis Park Derby! This is a great option for 3-yr-olds that maybe were not quite accomplished enough to point to Saratoga for the summer. Still, a win in a race like this one will be a feather in the connection’s cap, so to speak. The class of this field resides either with Vicky Oliver’s Trademark #9, a gelding by Upstart or Dallas Stewart’s son of Into Mischief, Strava #2. The former makes a ton of sense to back, since he is dropping out of the Indiana Derby (G3). His performance in that race was suspect, especially since he was loose-on-the-lead … Rafael Bejarano just could not keep his mount in-play, despite setting some honest fractions. Now, Oliver makes an interesting rider switch to Gerardo Corrales in an attempt to notch his 1st stakes victory. As for the latter, Brian Hernandez rides for Stweart, and they are looking to build on a resounding OC80kn1x victory at Churchill back in early June. John Velazquez was aboard, and he romped with a 6-length score … very impressive. This is going to be a tougher spot, but having battled big fields before, he could be ready for his 1st stakes score. I am going to use both of these top-rated runners, but for a price play, I would not count out the talent of Steve Asmussen’s Chasing Time #6. You will probably remember this son of Not This Time from the Derby Trail. He competed in some high-end races in the Arkansas Series, and even though he did not win the Chick Lang (G3) at Pimlico or the Woody Stephens (G1) at Belmont, those travels have helped to build his resume. The MyRacehorse clan will be out in force, for sure, but I am hoping they do not drive his price down too far from 8/1. This is where Rafael Bejarano lands, and he missed at Ellis when he piloted this one in an OC75kn3l … time for some redemption. What can we say about the reach of HOF-er Asmussen? Wow … that is all I’ve got … What a race to cap this card … should be a good one …

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Box, 2/6/9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:04 AM

DRF's Horse Racing Playbook for Sunday, August 14, 2022
DRF Staff

Daily Racing Form has served as the most trusted source of news and information about the sport since 1894, and moving forward we have decided to provide a free daily playbook – something that both hardcore horseplayers and casual observers can reference to get informed of each day’s action.

1:11 MTH 3rd WELL SHES HANDSOME (#5, 8-1) comes out of three straight dirt races where a plethora of speed set things up for the closers (note the "C" symbols in DRF pp's) and she now lands in a field that's a little short on early foot, an ideal situation for pace handicappers; has license to steal this if she can shake loose in the opening stages. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

1:31 WO 2nd FORESTER'S TURN (#6, 8-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Ron Gierkink). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

1:37 MTH 4th BRAMBLE BLAZE (#3, 8-1) is out of an unraced dam but Regal Rose has produced four multiple winners, including a pair of multiple stakes winners in Bramble Queen and Bramble Bay, and those runners earned their 18 combined wins exclusively on the turf; this colt has some decent works and meets a seemingly average field for his debut. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

1:39 SAR 2nd FOREVER DIXIE (#9, 8-1) debuted sprinting on dirt, where she failed to break sharply from the gate and then wound up chasing the talented Naughty Girl (returned to win the Grade 3 Adirondack last weekend) around the track before just missing third; bred to get better with distance and with this surface switch. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

1:43 LRL 3rd LUNAR ICE (#3, 8-1) stalked three wide and in between, dropped inside and finished evenly along the rail in turf debut. Dilodovico barn successfully utilized the "blinkers on" and "sprint to turf route" combo with maiden winner Gogo Chanel (11-1 odds) on June 18. By Travers winner Keen Ice, she has the pedigree and body type to appreciate stretching out. -Dan Illman | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

1:55 GP 4th WHAT A CORKER (#4, 5-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Marty McGee). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:13 LRL 4th MARATHONER (#5, 6-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Dan Illman). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:33 MTH 6th ET'S MAGIC MAN (#3, 10-1) didn't run badly at all in his turf/route debut last time out, considering he was against the race flow and he made a mid-race move there; has enough speed to at least stay close, no small consideration given the lack of a clear-cut pace scenario in this field. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:43 LRL 5th It was tough for closers to make up ground on Aug. 5, but PHRA PHROM (#4, 8-1) rallied from last along the rail to finish behind the two favorites in a $45,000 claimer. He's hit the board in his last two starts, appears to be rounding into form, and should appreciate today's extra furlong. Rodriguez lands here instead of Espresso Lungo. -Dan Illman | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:49 SAR 4th EBBEN (#6, 6-1) was impressive winning over this distance at Keeneland while angling to the inside late back in April, then faced a much tougher field in his next start and was no match; drops slightly off the claim for Amoss while cutting back to sprint; tactical colt has won three of his last four non-stakes starts over seven furlongs on fast dirt. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

3:00 GP 6th Been a terrific last few weeks for Fausto, who began this week having won with 6 of his last 11 Gulf starters, niiiice; here's OTUMBA (#6, 9-2) giving the trainer a solid chance to add to that hot streak when returning to the main track on a class drop of note; Constitution filly had little impact in her 7/9 return, but this seems a far lighter spot, and besides, she may've needed one; relying on her to kick off this late pick-5 (R6-10). -Marty McGee | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

3:55 SAR 6th ROYAL POPPY (#5, 15-1) looked quick breezing 10-flat before going for $170k in April, and she has continued to train forwardly since, including that nice work on 8/6 when getting the better of a mate; Handal has upped his game with first-time starters over the past year or so. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

1:55 GP 4th WHAT A CORKER (#4, 5-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Marty McGee). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:08 GP 8th Give FIRST GOLD (#2, 12-1) a pass for that subpar 7/23 return and look back on that 5/21 runner-up try vs. these same type of bottom-rung N2L types, and she might even rate a big chance in this uninspiring group, even with that 1-for-17 slate she's carrying around; sneaky ground-saving trip under Camacho perhaps nets a surprise; seems the right kind of race to take a flyer. -Marty McGee | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:15 LRL 8th SASSY BABE (#12, 12-1) utilized her good tactical speed to get forward from the inside post, eased outside the pacesetter on the turn, and wore that one down to score 17 days ago. She took a big step forward in her second start following a 171-day break, and can get close to the lead once again. -Dan Illman | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:25 CBY 5th ROSEHILL ROAD (#9, 8-1) lost by a nose and a head in two of her last four starts so she is due some better luck. She goes second out for new barn and draws more outside today. She does have some speed but can stalk a bit. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

5:01 LAD 3rd AWESOME ARCH (#5, 10-1) is by a 6% debut sire. Her dam went 6-0-1-0 and earned 3K. All 3 sibs beat winners. Works are longer and we bet this filly was working somewhere before coming here. Vergas gets a leg up and is 29% for this barn. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

5:18 WO 9th STREGA (#1, 6-1) has worked nicely since a dull turf try on the inner course June 24, and could win this second leg of the Canadian Triple Tiara at a square price. Hernandez picks up the mount and he combined with KA to capture the Woodbine Oaks with the brilliant Moira. -Ron Gierkink | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

5:38 LAD 4th BACKGATE BELLE (#10, 10-1) ran a Beyer top last out even though it was only her second start on the grass. Now she gets back to the dirt and that is a 67% move for this barn (2 for 3). The only knock is this outside post going this distance. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

5:40 CBY 7th GIGGLEBOX (#8, 12-1) is by a 13% debut sire and a 19% debut turf sire. Her dam went 3-0-1-0 and banked 6K (2-0-1-0 on the turf). Two of four sibs won. One of three sibs won on the grass with the best a multiple winner of 368K (won turf debut). We will roll the dice on this first time starter that may love the green all at a price. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:00 HST 3rd ACE DEUCE (#4, 4-1) did not get beat by much when facing tougher in his latest, came back with two solid interim works, and is reunited with Reyes who was aboard when he easily handled MUSTACHIO three back and also when he was the runner-up for the price two back. -Randy Goulding | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:22 LAD 6th CYPRIANO (#1, 6-1) is the value. This race came up tough and might be worth remembering. As for this gelding, his most recent was better and now he goes second out for new barn and team Broberg is having a great meet. We think this guy gets over looked on the tote today. -Scott Ehlers | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:23 WO 11th NASHTRICK (#2, 8-1) has been pointed to this seven-furlong N1X on the main course since a belated fourth around two turns on the inner turf July 3. He has some speed to chase and has trained forwardly. -Ron Gierkink | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:30 HST 4th A TREE OF LIFE (#6, 5-1) might be worth a stab at what should be a decent price. He was not wearing blinkers when he romped by over 12 lengths in a bottom level maiden race and could turn things around with the shades coming off following a couple of disappointing efforts in two tries with winners. -Randy Goulding | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:49 LAD 7th JOHNNYSJOURNEY (#8, 5-1) just ran a turf Beyer top and now goes third off the layoff. Isn't this guy a new turf horse even though he rarely tries it? He did not get a clean trip last out yet still ran a solid 2nd at 16-1. Last chance for a good price? -Scott Ehlers

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:04 AM

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks August 13
Joseph Aiello

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks August 14
In Spa Selections, our correspondent provides his Saratoga picks for key races on today’s Saratoga card!

Race 8 – OC 65200n2x

1. #4 Betsy Blue (2-1) – This one was sitting on a nice effort last time, but still came up just short which has been an issue at Saratoga, but she is primed for a win at this distance

2. #5 Brattle House (1-1) – Deserved favorite who has never finished worse than second, she will grab the early lead but seems best going eight furlongs

3. #2 Halo City (12-1) – Has finished second in both tries at the Spa, and is one that could make a nice move late if Brattle House goes too fast and should be a good price

4. #6 Sweet Willemina (9-2) – Hits the board at a pretty good clip, albeit usually against softer competition, but a consistent 2. performer who can run with this group

Race 9 – Mahony Stakes

1. #2 Big Invasion (1-2) – This colt wins based on his victory in the Grade III Quick Call as Joel Rosario should have him moving late

2. #5 That’s Right (6-1) – Has some early speed that makes him dangerous at a shorter distance such as this, with a perfect record at five and a half

3. #6 Surprise Boss (15-1) – Did the dirty work last time, but has run well at Saratoga and could win with a stalking trip as well as on the lead

4. #7 Determined Kingdom (20-1) – Has run his best at this distance, and should be a good number that can run well if That’s Right and Surprise Boss go out too fast

Race 10 – Alw 50000s

1. #8 Relate (9-2) – Off the claim for Todd Pletcher, this one won impressively last time out in maiden claiming company, but should continue to improve after clearly taking well to the turf

2. #2 Brazillionaire (4-1) – Won last time over this track, and has hit the board in ten of eleven lifetime on the turf so maybe the most consistent runner here

3. #3 Reckless Spirit (8-5) – Doesn’t seem to win as often as he should, even when dropping down to claimers, but still higher upside than most here

4. #9 Seaver (6-1) – Got the right pace last time but still wasn’t able to hang on, although seems to be on the improve and gets a suitable distance at a mile here

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:05 AM

Seoul Sunday: Race-By-Race Preview (August 14)

With Busan taking the weekend off, the only Sunday meeting is at Seoul where there is a day time meeting of 15 races from 10:45 to 18:00. Here are the previews:

Seoul Race 1: Class 6 (1000M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

Juvenile maidens kick things off with five of the eight racing for the very first time. The hot favourite though will be the only one to have two starts under his saddlecloth in the shape of (1) WONPYEONG KILLAR. After running 5th on debut, he ran a good 2nd on July 2nd settling back and running on. He won’t need to improve much on that performance to win here. The greatest danger may come from a front-running debut-maker. (3) BIG SMART went through three trials, improving each time and crossed the line first in the latest of those when on pace throughout. The time wasn’t fast but she has had a month for potential improvement and could put in a bold showing. (7) TAKE MUSIC also showed towards the head of the field in her trial and similarly may go well here. The other experienced pair of (6) STARLET and (5) TOHO SKY are others to consider.
Selections (1) Wonpyeong Killar (3) Big Smart (7) Take Music (6) Starlet
Next Best 5, 2
Fast Start 3, 4, 57

Seoul Race 2: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

It would be surprising if (3) DONGTEUJA WAY doesn’t have a win in him sooner rather than later. He has performed fairly in his two starts so far recording a time for this distance faster than anything else in the race when 5th on July 3rd. He has trialed since then, stopping the clock in a good time and from a good draw should be on pace and can win. (7) YEONHUI SARANG has been improving in recent outings with a 4th place at this distance on July 16th her best so far. She’ll be on or close to the pace here and can go even closer. (1) NB JEONSA has a 3rd place to his name over this distance and from a great draw should be in the mix again. (8) POSA POSA and (4) STAR PRINCESS are others capable of filling out the minors.
Selections (3) Dongteuja Way (7) Yeonhui Sarang (1) NB Jeonsa (8) Posa Posa
Next Best 4, 2
Fast Start 1, 3, 6, 7

Seoul Race 3: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

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Tricky race. (5) BLACK BEOMI just about gets the nod following her much-improved 2nd place over this distance on June 4th when overcoming a wide draw to sit handy and run on. Without an apprentice claim today, she comes up 3kg in the weights but she finds herself with a better draw and she can win. (1) MY GONGJU is another who improved on his latest appearance, running a goof 3rd over this distance in a fair time on June 12th. He has tended to get too far back in his races so far and the inside gate should help today. (7) GUK HYANG has been consistently close across her eleven starts and has posted some decent times. She will settle back and can run into some money. (2) HANGANG HERO and (9) BANGTAN YEOGEOL among others in the placing frame.
Selections (5) Black Beomi (1) My Gongju (7) Guk Hyang (2) Hangang Hero
Next Best 9, 6
Fast Start 2, 5, 6, 9

Seoul Race 4: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

(7) JEONGMUN PAPAGO is set to be the hot favourite here. Following an inauspicious debut, he has finished 3rd and 2nd in two subsequent starts, that 2nd coming over this distance last time out on July 2nd when handy all the way and beaten by a good winner. His time that day was faster than anything else in this race has registered for the distance and he should break through here. (6) VICTORY SAM is two starts into a comeback following almost a year out. She’s been on pace in both of them and stayed on fairly for 4th over 1300M on July 2nd. She should be at peak fitness for this, can lead again and be in it a long way. (8) WONDERFUL MUSKET returned from fifteen months out to run a creditable 3rd over this distance on July 3rd. She should be fitter for that run and can go close. (5) DEVIL K and (2) JAKDUKONG others in the hunt.
Selections (7) Jeongmun Papago (6) Victory Sam (8) Wonderful Musket (5) Devil K
Next Best 2, 1
Fast Start 5, 6, 7, 9

Seoul Race 5: Class 6 (1400M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

Another race with a probable short-priced favourite. (4) RESERVED JOHN has run well across her five starts to date, culminating in a runner-up finish over 1300M on July 10th. She has been finishing off her races well and the additional trip today can suit. The most experienced horse in the race is (8) BITNANEUN JILJU and while that is a somewhat dubious honour at class 6, he has run well enough at this distance including his last start 4th. A similar run here will see him closer. There isn’t much early speed here so (3) VINCERO KING should be able to get to the lead from a good draw. He is up in weight from his 3rd place over 1200M on July 9th but he should be competitive here. (2) HANI and (5) BLOW MIND are others who can make a bid for the minors.
Selections (4) Reserved John (8) Bitnaneun Jilju (3) Vincero King (2) Hani
Next Best 5, 1
Fast Start 1, 3, 4, 7

Seoul Race 6: Class 5 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

(4) LAST PUNCH has been ultra-consistent across her eight starts so far with her latest outing producing her best finish when 2nd 1200M, coming from well off the pace. She has run well at this distance before and from a good gate, can this time sit on or close to the pace and then run on. Today can be her day. The probable favourite is (9) JAY PHOENIX. He is yet to finish any worse than 3rd in three starts and he steps up to this distance for the first time having run 2nd on his first try at class 5 over 1200M on June 11th. He should be able to overcome the wide gate to get on pace and he has every chance. (8) YEONGUNG DAEMA and (3) SMART BYEOL came home 3rd and 5th when they raced each other at class and distance on July 3rd and both can be aiming to improve here. (1) FIRST ROAD, the only one in the field to have won at the distance, is another in the placing frame.
Selections (4) Last Punch (9) Jay Phoenix (8) Yeongung Daema (3) Smart Byeol
Next Best 1, 6
Fast Start 1, 4, 8, 9

Seoul Race 7: Class 5 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

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(5) NAOL ACE comes up in class following an all the way score over this distance on July 2nd. That win had been coming and while this is harder, he looks to have more improvement in him, he draws well to get to the lead, and he can win again. (7) MYEONGJIN CANDY produced a similar gate-to-wire win at class 6 level two starts back before running 4th on his first try at this level on July 1th having led in the early stages. An apprentice jockey keeps his carried weight very light and another win is possible here. (1) FEDERAL EYE comes back in trip following recent outings at further. He has a runner-up finish to his name at this distance and from the inside gate can go well. (8) RUN TO GOAL and (2) KING MOUNTAIN among others who can enter the calculations.
Selections (5) Naol Ace (7) Myeongjin Candy (1) Federal Eye (8) Run To Goal
Next Best 2, 3
Fast Start 2, 3, 5, 7

Seoul Race 8: Class 5 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

(7) NUT PLAY comes up in class having won at start number two over 1000M on July 2nd when handy early and running on. He comes up in trip too but should be equal to the challenge and can win here. (6) GREENBACK enters in consistent form with a 4th and two 3rd place finishes from his latest three outings, all at this class and distance. He is versatile but should be on pace here and can be a real danger. (8) CAMP SAVER is yet to win but comes up in class after too many near-misses at class 6. An apprentice jockey brings the weight down to such an extent that he looks very nicely in here and can put in a big run. (3) FLY STAR and (1) CONCORD SPARK others who can be considered for the minors.
Selections (7) Nut Play (6) Greenback (8) Camp Saver (3) Fly Star
Next Best 1, 10
Fast Start 3, 6, 7, 10

Seoul Race 9: Class 5 (1300M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

A very competitive race. (11) TOUCH NINE just about gets the pick. He has a 5th and a 3rd from her two tries at this level, both at 1200M. His one previous attempt at this distance was one of only two times he missed out on the top five, but that was a while back and he should be ready for another go. He has overcome wide draws before to run well and has as good a chance as any here. (6) MAGIC RUSH could be a chance at what should be an each-way price. He can mix his form but looks nicely in and may be able to get the lead. (2) SMART HIGH comes down considerably in the weights with an apprentice climbing aboard. She gets her best draw for some time here and those two factors combined can enable her to go close. (4) P N S VILL ran 4th to Touch Nine’s 3rd when they raced one another on July 9th and should be competitive again. (3) CHAPEL PRINCESS comes up in class following a maiden win at start four and can measure up under a light weight.
Selections (11) Touch Nine (6) Magic Rush (2) Smart High (4) P N S Vill
Next Best 3, 9
Fast Start 1, 2, 6, 8

Seoul Race 10: Class 5 (1700M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

(5) LUNAR SILVER is the likely favourite here having almost led from gate-to-wire at class and distance on July 17th, ultimately finishing 2nd. She previously ran 6th of ten in the final leg of the filly Triple Crown and should be ultimately destined for a slightly higher level than this. (2) JIGEUMYEOGIE has run solid times at this distance and enters with recent form reading well. He tends to get back in his races before running on, but he may have an easier early passage here given the draw. He’s worth thought at probably big odds. (7) GEUMA CHIC makes her first start at the distance. She is yet to win in four starts but has placed twice and last time rana good 4th at this class over 1400M and there looks to be more improvement in the tank. (12) GREEN FEELSTAR and (10) SWEET JUICEBAR are among others to take into account.
Selections (5) Lunar Silver (2) Jigeumyeogie (7) Geuma Chic (12) Green Feelstar
Next Best 10, 6
Fast Start 1, 5, 6, 7

Seoul Race 11: Class 4 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

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(6) VYING BLADE made be a perennial runner-up but he will be hot favourite to finish on top here. He gets a better draw than he did last time out when a narrow 2nd at this class and distance and this time he should be hard to hold out. If he does manage to find one too quick again, then it’s likely to be (7) TOP CLASS. He got back-to-back wins over 1200M to be rapidly promoted to this class and can have his first go at the level, over 1400M, disregarded. He should be on pace and can go all the way. (2) DAESE MANSE should be available at an each-way price. She hasn’t run since the end of April and does come up in class, but she is down in weight and is right in this on her best form. (1) RAON THE TIGER can have her latest outing dismissed when wide from barrier twelve. He should get a far easier run here and is a place chance. (8) HWA SSI BYEOK another in the frame.
Selections (6) Vying Blade (7) Top Class (2) Daese Manse (1) Raon The Tiger
Next Best 8, 10
Fast Start 3, 6, 7, 9

Seoul Race 12: Class 4 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

(7) ENERGIZER comes in off the back of three consecutive runner-up finishes with a class rise in the middle of them. She beat a couple of these on her latest start on July 9th when handy to the lead and running on and in this field, she can go one better. (8) NAMSAN CHOCOLATE comes up in class following a narrow win in a fast time over this distance on July 10th. She draws a bit wider but comes down slightly in the weights and is a top chance here. (9) DONGHAENG dead-heated for 4th behind Energizer last time out having led for much of the race and is worth another chance, especially given that most of the others with good starts have drawn even wider. (11) MAGIC GRACE and, at probable big odds, (4) GLOBAL SUN are others who can potentially challenge.
Selections (7) Energizer (8) Namsan Chocolate (9) Donghaeng (11) Magic Grace
Next Best 4, 1
Fast Start 8, 9, 10, 11

Seoul Race 13: Class 4 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

We’ll take a chance here on (10) TAP QUALITY. It took him twelve goes to get his maiden win, but he promptly followed it up with another, bolting in last start in a fast time. He comes up in class but remains low in the weights with an apprentice on board and while this is undoubtedly tougher, he shouldn’t be dismissed. (1) WONPYEONG COD was a touch unlucky last time as he suffered early interference leading him to settle right back and then ran on well for a close 3rd. He’s lightly raced with scope for more improvement, is nicely drawn and is a big chance. (4) SAENAE POWERFUL is a winner of two over 1300M and led most of the way around when 3rd over 1400M on July 2nd. He comes up in the weights for that but should be competitive again. (5) MAKALU POWER and (3) TINA are among others with placing claims.
Selections (10) Tap Quality (1) Wonpyeong Cod (4) Saenae Powerful (5) Makalu Power
Next Best 3, 7
Fast Start 4, 6, 9, 10

Seoul Race 14: Class 1 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 110 Million

(1) CLEAN UP HAPPY will be a short-priced favourite here, having won at his first class 1 start at this distance in May before taking his chance against the best Korean sprinters at level weights in the SBS Sports Sprint and running well. This should suit, he is nicely drawn and looks hard to beat. (7) YEONHUI ILCHUL comes up in class, but she has run some very good times for the distance. She is down a full 4.5kg in the weights and that should enable here to be very competitive. (5) M J POWER has solid recent form at this class and is very well suited under the set weight conditions. An apprentice being engaged means he is down a full 7kg on his last start he can be expected to be running on strongly. (8) MIGHTY GO has a good 1400M record and comes back in trip today. He tends to settle midfield and works home well and with a repeat of recent starts, could sneak a place. (2) CHEUNGDAM GENIE another in the hunt.
Selections (1) Clean Up Happy (7) Yeonhui Ilchul (5) M J Power (8) Mighty Go
Next Best 2, 4
Fast Start 1, 6, 7, 8

Seoul Race 15: Class 3 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 75 Million

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(5) SKY MANGCHI has won three of his last four starts, including at this class and distance and at his latest outing he was a good 4th when trying two-turns for the first time. He likes to race forward and is nicely drawn for a big show here. (9) JOY BROTHER is a four-time winner at this distance including his latest two, the most recent at this class. He carries his fair share or weight here but is worth thought. (2) MYEONGJIN DAY has some good 1400M runs in his record and was a last start winner over 1700M. He comes up in class but is down in weight and while he does tend to get a bit back in his races, there should be strong pace to run at here. (6) MONSTER K has won at 1400M and got demoted to 2nd last time after a good run over 1200M. He is up in weight but is a big chance if he can settle forward from a nice draw. (12) TAKTUEIN another capable of finding the money.
Selections (5) Sky Mangchi (9) Joy Brother (2) Myeongjin Day (6) Monster K
Next Best 12, 8
Fast Start 5, 6, 10, 12

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:05 AM

Daily Racing Tips – Coleraine – August 14th

Home - Featured - Daily Racing Tips – Coleraine – August 14th

RSN927

RSN Expert Form Analyst Trav Noonan has the best Daily Racing Tips for the meeting at Coleraine on Sunday the 14th of August for the RSN Punter.

Along with our Daily Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus Interstate Racing Tips, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: True Entire Circuit
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 5
Weather: Showers
Penetrometer: 5.68
Trav Noonan Coleraine Tips

Coleraine, 14th August 2022

Race 1 Selections: 3,6,7,9
Race 2 Selections: 2,1,3,6
Race 3 Selections: 8,6,3,4
Race 4 Selections: 4,2,6,1
Race 5 Selections: 5,2,7,3
Race 6 Selections: 1,7,2,3
Race 7 Selections: 3,9,12,10
Best Bet

Race 7 No3 – Weightman
Value Bet

Race 3 No8 – Latin Beat
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 2,4
Quaddie 2: 2,3,5
Quaddie 3: 1,2,3,7
Quaddie 4: 3,9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:05 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Del Mar, Gulfstream Park, and Saratoga for August 14, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

Let’s try to round out another week in a strong way! For the free pick 4, we will head back to Saratoga for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Del Mar and Gulfstream Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out.

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Saratoga:

Saratoga August 14, 2022

Race 7: Allowance Optional Claiming

#3 Spungie returns off of a layoff today; however, she has numbers that are good enough to beat this group. Two starts back he defeated a similar field easily at Belmont Park. #2 Home for Christmas was second in a similar race to this one last time out over this track. Two starts back she was a gate to wire winner at Belmont Park.

Race 8: Allowance Optional Claiming
freestar

#5 Brattle House has been ultra-impressive in her last two starts, blowing out the competition by multiple lengths. This is a logical spot for her to make two straight victories. #4 Betsy Blue was a neck away from winning at this level last time out at Saratoga.

Race 9: Mahony Stakes

#2 Big Invasion goes for his sixth straight win in this spot, while dropping down a bit in class after winning a Grade 3 race over this track last time out. He looks like a clear standout in this spot. #1 Cadamosto makes his United States debut in this spot after running decently overseas.

Race 10: Starter Allowance

#8 Relate goes for two straight victories after a solid win in his turf debut last time out at Belmont Park. We might see improvement with this being his second start over the surface. #3 Reckless Spirit was a neck away from winning at this level at Belmont Park in his last start.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-10) 1,2,3,4,7,8 / 5 / 2 / 1,2,3,8,9 – $15

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:06 AM

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Sunday, August 14
Posted on August 12, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 2: BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (#2)

Towhead (#5) was a participant in that no-contest race last time, in which she was ridden to win while some others were eased, thinking the race was called off. She did benefit from a relatively slow early pace that day, but she could find herself in a similar position here. I’m not against her, and she should benefit from experience, but she’s pretty obvious this time. Another runner who experience who has a right to improve is Forever Dixie (#9). She showed some ability in her debut behind a runaway winner and there’s enough turf pedigree to suggest she might handle it. Yet there appear to be some talented first time starters in this field. Chad Brown has entered a pair, and I actually prefer the one who could be a bigger price. Conseillante (#7) is out of a dam who has produced 6 winning foals from as many to race, topped by G1 Santa Anita Oaks winner Paradise Woods. While that one was a dirt specialist, 4 of this dam’s other foals won on turf, including stakes winner Forest Chatter. She’s worked decently for this debut and seems well suited to this spot. My top pick is Beautifulnavigator (#2). She was purchased for $81k at the Goffs Orby sale in Ireland. A member of the first crop for BC Mile winner Expert Eye, she’s out of a dam who won once in 18 starts, sprinting on turf in England. She’s produced 4 overseas winners, topped by multiple listed stakes winner Tabarrak, who was best between 7F and 8F on turf. Ken McPeek has decent statistics in this situation. She looked best from the gate in that July 28 drill, and it seems like a good sign that Luis Saez is riding for this barn.

RACE 5: GLITTER UP (#4)

Mrs. Green (#2) is clearly the horse to beat after just missing by a nose at this level last time. She’s progressed with each start and seemed to benefit from the turnback in distance last time. That was arguably a tougher field than this one and she may just win by attrition, as many of her rivals in this spot have significant questions to answer. One of those is Sixth Street (#8), who turns back in distance as she makes her second start in this country for Brendan Walsh. She was more of a sprinter in Europe, and she just seemed like one who couldn’t finish going the mile last time. She actually traveled well into that race before stalling in the stretch, which leads me to believe that the turnback can work for her. Jorge Abreu has entered a couple of runners, but both seem hard to trust. Linear Thinking (#5) was once highly regarded, but she hasn’t raced in nearly 2 years and is a question going this short. I’m going in a different direction with Glitter Up (#4). This filly is bred to be more of a turf horse as a half-sister to turf specialists Sand Dancer and Shock Leader. I thought she took to grass pretty well in her lone attempt over it as a 2-year-old, setting the pace before getting run down in the final jumps. The filly that beat her, Lost My Sock, went on to run respectably against stakes company, flattering the form of that race. There’s some other speed in here, but she’s drawn well outside of them and should be a square price.

RACE 6: UPPER CASE (#4)

I’m taking a stand against possible favorite Chocolate Gelato (#8) as she makes her second start. She ran fine on debut, but there were some real expectations for her off an impressive series of workouts. I have some questions about the quality of that debut field she faced, and it feels like she’s stepping up into a tougher spot. Furthermore, Todd Pletcher is just 3 for 22 (14%, $0.78 ROI) with 2-year-old maiden second time starters in Saratoga dirt sprints over 5 years. I’m most interested in a couple of first time starters in a race that appears loaded with talent. One of those is Firing Bullets (#10), who has lived up to her name in recent weeks. This grey filly’s workouts for her debut have been very impressive. She was much the best from the gate in that July 27 drill, running well clear of a couple of overmatched workmates while showing real acceleration into the turn. She doesn’t have much pedigree, but she sold well after working a furlong in 9 4/5 at the 2-year-old sale. My top pick is another firster, Upper Case (#4). This $260k weanling purchase was subsequently an RNA for $725k as a yearling. The dam was unraced and her only foal to start is turf horse Ever Smart. The dam is a full-sister to G1 BC Dirt Mile winner Battle of Midway ($1.5 million). Bill Mott doesn’t have great stats with firsters at Saratoga, but this filly could be an exception. She’s been working very well, looking best in company in each of her last two works while obviously wanting to do more. I think there’s real talent here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2022, 10:06 AM

Monmouth Park Picks: Sunday, August 14, 2022

Race 1: 1-5-4-3
Race 2: 2-4-1-3
Race 3: 1-4-2-5
Race 4: 2-7-10-9
Race 5: 2-5-4-7
Race 6: 7-4-6-10
Race 7: 1-6-5-4
Race 8: 7-3-4-2
Race 9: 5-1-4-3
Race 10: 2-1-8-4
Race 11: 3-1-8-7
Most Likely Winner: Pearls And Heels (Race 3)
Best Value: Curteis (Race 6)

Sunday 8/14/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 8/14/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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