Wednesday 8/17/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 05:50 AM

Wednesday’s games

National League
Philadelphia (65-51) @ Cincinnati (45-69)
— Suarez is 2-0, 2.22 in his last five starts.
— Philly is 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— over 12-5 last 17
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-7
— He is 1-0, 3.86 in five games (1 start) vs Cincinnati.

— Phillies are 15-4 in last 19 games.
— Philly is 33-25 on road.
— under 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 31-116
— record in first 5 innings: 47-49-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-3

— Lodolo is 0-1, 4.91 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 6-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Reds are 3-9 in last dozen games.
— Cincinnati is 25-36 at home.
— under 15-7-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-115
— record in first 5 innings: 37-61-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-4-5

Chicago (48-67) @ Washington (39-79)
— Smyly is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (11.2 IP).
— Cubs are 6-9 in his starts.
— under 12-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-1
— He is 1-0, 3.38 in five starts vs Washington.

— Cubs are 7-4 in their last eleven games.
— Cubs are 24-33 on road.
— under 23-11-4 last 38 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-115
— record in first 5 innings: 45-53-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.1-3.1-5

— Abbott is 0-2, 6.92 in three starts.
— He pitched for the Cubs last year.
— Nationals are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Washington lost 14 of last 19 games.
— Nationals are 19-43 at home.
— over 9-4-1 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-118
— record in first 5 innings: 31-75-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-5

San Diego (64-55) @ Miami (51-65)
— Clevinger is 2-1, 3.42 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 9-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-2-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Padres are 4-3 in last seven games.
— San Diego is 32-30 on road.
— over 12-8-1 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-117
— record in first 5 innings: 54-38-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-4

— Lopez is 0-2, 8.10 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 12-11 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 9-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-5
— He is 1-0, 5.40 in one start vs San Diego.

— Miami is 12-26 in its last 38 games.
— Marlins are 25-32 at home.
— under 13-2-2 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-117
— record in first 5 innings: 44-52-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-5

NY Mets (75-42) @ Atlanta (72-46)
— Scherzer is 2-0, 1.30 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 5-2 in his last seven starts
— under 7-3-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-5
— He is 2-0, 0.64 in two starts vs Atlanta TY.

— Mets are 17-5 in their last 22 games.
— Mets are 35-23 on road.
— under 7-3 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-117
— record in first 5 innings: 64-30-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-6

— Odorizzi is 0-1, 5.19 in two starts for Atlanta.
— Braves are 1-1 in his starts
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 0-2, 3.38 in three starts vs New York.

— Braves are 8-0 in their last eight games.
— Atlanta outscored Mets 18-1 last two nights.
— Atlanta is 39-22 at home.
— over 17-7-3 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-118
— record in first 5 innings: 65-41-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-2.1

Colorado (51-67) @ St Louis (64-51)
— Marquez is 0-2, 3.75 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 4-2 in his last six road starts.
— under 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-5
— He is 2-1, 2.59 in seven starts vs St Louis.

— Colorado is 8-18 in its last 26 games.
— Rockies are 18-37 on road.
— over 9-4 last thirteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-115
— record in first 5 innings: 31-62-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-2

— Montgomery is 1-0, 0.00 in two starts for St Louis (11 IP).
— St Louis is 2-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Cardinals are 11-3 in their last 14 games.
— St Louis is 38-21 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 39-115
— record in first 5 innings: 53-43-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-1-4

Los Angeles (80-35) @ Milwaukee (62-53)
— Gonsolin is 3-0, 2.16 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 17-4 in his starts
— under 9-4-1 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 2-21
— record in first 5 innings: 14-2-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Dodgers are 41-11 in their last 52 games.
— They’ve won 13 of their last 15 games.
— Los Angeles is 40-20 on road.
— over 9-4-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-115
— record in first 5 innings: 70-27-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-4

— Lauer is 2-1, 2.50 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 13-8 in his starts.
— under 5-3-2 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-6
— He is 6-0, 2.56 in nine starts vs Los Angeles.

— Brewers are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— Milwaukee is 30-23 at home.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 39-115
— record in first 5 innings: 51-41-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-5-4

Arizona (53-63) @ San Francisco (58-57)
— Davies is 0-2, 5.48 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 6-12 in his starts
— under 12-6
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-7
— He is 1-4, 3.96 in eight starts vs San Francisco.

— Diamondbacks are 7-5 in last dozen games.
— Arizona is 21-34 on road.
— under 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 35-116
— record in first 5 innings: 46-41-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-2-1.2

— Rodon is 3-0, 1.47 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 4-1 in his last five home starts
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 13-8-2
— He is 0-2, 7.36 in two starts vs Arizona TY.

— Giants won eight of last ten games.
— San Francisco is 34-27 at home.
— over 9-6-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-116
— record in first 5 innings: 48-48-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

American League
Kansas City (48-70) @ Minnesota (60-55)
— Lynch is 1-0, 2.20 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 8-10 in his starts.
— under 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-2
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in three starts vs Minnesota TY.

— Kansas City is 7-6 in its last 13 games.
— Royals are 19-36 on road.
— over 13-7 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-118
— record in first 5 innings: 45-54-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-2

— Mahle is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts for Minnesota.
— Twins are 2-0 in his starts
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 1-0, 2.79 in two games (1 start) vs Kansas City.

— Minnesota is 13-18 in its last 31 games.
— Twins are 33-25 at home.
— over 21-11-1 last 33 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-115
— record in first 5 innings: 60-39-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-3

Baltimore (61-55) @ Toronto (61-54)
— Voth is 2-0, 2.93 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 7-2 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 0-9
— record in first 5 innings: 7-1-1
— He is 0-1, 3.86 in three games (1 start) vs Toronto.

— Orioles are 26-11 in their last 37 games.
— Baltimore is 28-34 on road.
— over 10-5-1 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-116
— record in first 5 innings: 45-54-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4.1-2

— Stripling is 1-1, 4.32 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 9-6 in his starts
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-4
— He is 1-0, 5.84 in five games (2 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last ten games.
— Toronto is 35-25 at home.
— over 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-115
— record in first 5 innings: 44-45-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5.2-3.1

Detroit (45-74) @ Cleveland (61-55)
— Norris threw 4.2 scoreless IP (64 PT) in his first ‘22 start.
— Tigers are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
— He is 4-5, 4.50 in 21 games (9 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Tigers are 9-27 in their last 36 games.
— Detroit is 19-41 on road.
— under 15-3-2 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-119
— record in first 5 innings: 37-63-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.2-3

— Quantrill is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (13 IP).
— Guardians won his last seven starts.
— over 11-2-1 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 3-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-5
— He is 1-1, 3.60 in two starts vs Detroit TY.

— Guardians are 19-11 in their last 30 games.
— Cleveland is 30-24 at home.
— under 8-2-1 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 37-117
— record in first 5 innings: 48-45-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-7-3.2

Tampa Bay (62-53) @ New York (72-45)
— Kluber is 1-2, 7.54 in his last four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 9-5 in his last 14 starts.
— over 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-12-1
— He is 0-1, 2.25 in two starts vs New York TY.

— Tampa Bay is 8-4 in its last 12 games.
— Rays are 27-31 on road.
— under 10-5-2 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-115
— record in first 5 innings: 52-41-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 0.2-7-4

— German is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.
— New York is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 3-1, 6.40 in six starts vs Tampa Bay.

— New York is 2-11 in its last 13 games.
— They scored one run the last three games.
— New York is 41-17 at home.
— under 6-0-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 41-117
— record in first 5 innings: 57-35-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3-2

A’s (42-75) @ Texas (52-64)
— Oller is 0-2, 5.63 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 2-7 in his starts
— over 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-9
— record in first 5 innings: 1-8
— He gave up five runs in 5 IP vs Texas April 22.

— A’s are 1-9 in their last ten games.
— Oakland is 25-37 on road.
— under 35-19-2 last 56 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-117
— record in first 5 innings: 37-62-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-4

— Hagans is 0-1, 5.79 in two starts.
— Rangers are 1-1 in his starts
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Rangers are 16-27 in last 43 games.
— The fired their manager Monday.
— Texas is 26-33 at home.
— over 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 27-116
— record in first 5 innings: 40-51-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3.1

Houston (75-44) @ White Sox (62-56)
— Valdez is 2-0, 1.98 in his last two starts.
— Astros are 13-5 in his last 18 starts
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-5
— He is 2-1, 3.68 in four games (3 starts) vs Chicago.

— Astros are 11-8 in their last 19 games.
— Houston is 36-25 on road.
— over 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 41-118
— record in first 5 innings: 71-32-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-0.1-1

— Kopech is 1-2, 2.45 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 9-12 in his starts.
— under 8-1-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 9-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-2
— He is 0-1, 6.00 in two games (1 start) vs Houston.

— White Sox are 20-11 in their last 31 games.
— Chicago is 30-29 at home.
— under 12-6-3 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-117
— record in first 5 innings: 48-54-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-4

Seattle (64-54) @ LA Angels (51-66)
— Kirby is 2-0, 2.31 in his last two starts.
— Seattle is 10-6 in his starts
— under 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-4
— He is 1-1, 2.25 in two starts vs Anaheim TY.

— Mariners are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— Seattle is 33-28 on road.
— over 8-1-2 last eleven road games
— scored run in first inning: 35-118
— record in first 5 innings: 45-52-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3

— Toussaint threw 5 shutout IP (71 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— Angels are 1-0 in his starts
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle

— Angels are 9-8 in their last 17 games.
— Angels are 26-35 at home.
— under 14-7-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-117
— record in first 5 innings: 54-46-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3.2

Interleague games
Boston (58-59) @ Pittsburgh (45-69)
— Hill is 0-1, 8.49 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-4
— He is 4-2, 3.12 in 11 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Red Sox are 4-1 in last five games.
— Boston is 29-29 on road.
— under 4-0-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-117
— record in first 5 innings: 45-45-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-2

— Contreras is 2-2, 6.15 in his last six starts.
— Pirates are 4-5 in his starts
— His last start was July 7.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Pirates are 2-9 in their last 11 games.
— Pittsburgh is 24-30 at home.
— over 11-5-2 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-116
— record in first 5 innings: 36-57-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4.1-7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 09:59 AM

Saratoga Picks: Wednesday, August 17, 2022

Race 1: 1-6-5-8
Race 2: 1-4-2-3
Race 3: 7-6-3-4
Race 4: 5-7-4-6
Race 5: 8-2-5-6
Race 6: 2-8-3-6
Race 7: 6-4-2-7
Race 8: 4-1-2-6
Race 9: 3-8-5-10
Race 10: 7-6-10-8
Most Likely Winner: Kemba #5 (Race 4)
Best Value: Mo Rewards #2 (Race 6)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:00 AM

Saratoga Picks: Meet enters final few weeks on August 17
By J.N. Campbell

Saratoga Picks: Wednesday, August 17, 2022

Race 1: 1-6-5-8
Race 2: 1-4-2-3
Race 3: 7-6-3-4
Race 4: 5-7-4-6
Race 5: 8-2-5-6
Race 6: 2-8-3-6
Race 7: 6-4-2-7
Race 8: 4-1-2-6
Race 9: 3-8-5-10
Race 10: 7-6-10-8
Most Likely Winner: Kemba #5 (Race 4)
Best Value: Mo Rewards #2 (Race 6)

Most Likely Winner: (Race 4: Kemba #5, 2/1):

Trainer Ray Handal had some magnificent success at The Spa last summer, but this year he has only enjoyed a pair of trips to that hallowed winner’s circle. He might be making another one, if Joel Rosario can do what he does best on the turf … come from off-the-pace. This seasoned mare by Hard Spun has tons of experience at this level, even though she only has 1 career win to her credit. I would like to see Handal enjoy this score. His runner is in-form, and she should be able to “handle” a crowd like this one rather easily.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #5

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 6: Mo Rewards #2, 6/1):

I realize that Rudy Rodriguez is not having the best Meet … actually, his outfit has really stunk. However, just because you are 1 for 50, doesn’t mean that you cannot turn it around in an instant. There is much to like about this colt by Uncle Mo, and he has the chance to improve after running 9F at this same level last time. Rudy “Rod” is making a keen decision, and it could pay off. Not only is this 3-yr-old bred for the turf, but he just missed taking a piece of the money … good things to come …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #2 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 9: Turf, 1 Mile, NY Stallion S., $150k, 3, NY Breds):

Let’s face facts … if you can find a way to beat Danny Gargan’s professional-looking Dakota Gold #8, then you are surely going to be paid handsomely. This colt by Freud is the class of this field, and I am sure that being even money will be the case come post time. Irad Ortiz continues to get over bet over the course of the Meet, and I would expect that to continue. After running nicely in last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), he came back to win one of these “Stallion Series” races at Belmont in June. Next, he lost by a head to Practice Squad in the Violette S. $125k … everyone expected him to win. He will be in the mix late in this race, but I like Barclay Tagg’s Shinsun #3. Not only will this gelding be ridden by Luis Saez, but the son of A Shin Forward has advanced up the class ladder with a pair of good efforts. Tagg’s young runner broke his maiden on debut, then swam in open company in a tough Starter race at The Spa against eventual winner, Catch That Party. Ending up 3rd, it was a game effort, and something to build on. The veteran trainer continues to amaze in races of this caliber, and I like Saez and that aggressive style of his, and you can bet that this one is going to be more than a square price on Wednesday afternoon in the “feature.” Cutting back to a mile should suit too … Here is the bet!

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Cold, 3 w 8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:00 AM

Interstate Racing Tips – August 17th

Home - Featured - Interstate Racing Tips – August 17th

RSN927

Form Analyst caller Darren Flindell covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Canterbury Park on Wednesday the 17th of August.

Rail Position: True
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Heavy 8
Weather: Fine
Penetrometer: 5.94
Darren Flindell Canterbury Park Tips

Canterbury Park, 17th August 2022

Race 1 Selections: 8,1,4,11
Race 2 Selections:8,1,6,4
Race 3 Selections: 7,1,4,2
Race 4 Selections:1,5,9,4
Race 5 Selections:5,11,3,6
Race 6 Selections:5,9,8,3
Race 7 Selections: 5,2,1,3

Form Analyst Howard Walter covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at Ipswich on Wednesday the 17th of August.

Rail Position: +6m 1100m-W/Post; +4m Remainder
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 5
Weather: Fine
Howard Walter Ipswich Tips

Ipswich, 17th August 2022

Race 1 Selections: 7,4,1,3
Race 2 Selections: 1,2,3,6
Race 3 Selections: 4,5,11,1
Race 4 Selections: 8,6,5,4
Race 5 Selections: 12,7,11,9
Race 6 Selections: 9,1,6,10
Race 7 Selections: 6,4,5,3
Race 8 Selections: 3,4,7,8
Best Bet

Race 3 No 4 Island Magic
Best Value

Race 5 No 12 Always Praying
Quaddie

Race 5: 7,11,12
Race 6 :1,6,9,10
Race 7: 3,4,5,6
Race 8: 3,4
Play Of The Day

Win & Place all-up Race 3 Number 4, Race 4 Number 8, Race 5 Number 12.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:00 AM

Daily Racing Tips – Cranbourne– August 17th

Home - Featured - Daily Racing Tips – Cranbourne– August 17th

Mark Hunter

RSN Expert Form Analyst Mark Hunter has the best Daily Racing Tips for the meeting at Cranbourne on Wednesday the 17th of August for the RSN Punter.

Along with our Daily Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus Interstate Racing Tips, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: Out 9m Entire Circuit
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Heavy 10
Weather: Overcast
Penetrometer: 6.76
Mark Hunter Cranbourne Tips

Cranbourne, 17th August 2022

Race 1 Selections: 4,6,1,7
Race 2 Selections: 5,2,7,6
Race 3 Selections: 1,10,11,6
Race 4 Selections: 4,5,1,2
Race 5 Selections: 12,13,8,3
Race 6 Selections: 1,4,2,3
Race 7 Selections: 5,6,7,1
Race 8 Selections: 1,2,8,4
Best Bet

Race 7 Number 5 THE AWESOME SON
Best Value

Race 3 Number 1 SATURN ISLE
Quaddie

Quaddie 1:3,7,8,12,13
Quaddie 2:1,2,4
Quaddie 3:5,6
Quaddie 4:1
Play Of The Day

Parlay 2,3,4 for the Win
Race 2 Number 5 REDNECK RUM
Race 3 Number 1 SATURN ISLE
Race 7 Number 5 THE AWESOME SON
Race 8 Number 1 ZIPPING BOY

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:01 AM

Today's Racing Tips: Wednesday August 17th
August 16th 2022, 7:47pm, By: Billy Bestford

It’s another Wednesday which means some strong metro racing across the country. Cranbourne will host an eight race card in Melbourne while a drying Canterbury track will see seven races take place across the day.

As usual, Billy Bestford has had a look across all the meetings and has found his best racing tips for the day.

Today's Racing Tips: Wednesday August 17th
Canterbury Race 1

Think the Waterhouse Bott stable could have a smart 3yo on their hands here with (8) Scientist. Two trials to date have resulted in a 9L win and a 3L win, showing good sustained speed throughout. One of those was on wet ground and should handle conditions on offer today. Tim Clark sticks for the ride after being on board for those trials and I think he can get this horse straight to the lead and prove tough to run down at a track which usually favours on-pace runners.

(1) Northern Beaches showed plenty of promise in debut prep, holding his own in in some decent races. Has trialled up nicely for his return and shouldn’t remain a maiden for long.

(4) Ambassadors has looked the part at his trial work leading into this and was pretty unlucky at only run we saw of him here at this track. A drying surface will probably help his chances and clearly has ability.

(6) Kapakiri next best.

(8) Scientist
$2.40 (2.5 units)
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Cranbourne Race 4

(4) Xtra Gear resumes from a long spell so you’d think first up on a bog track probably not ideal. With that being said he has jumped out in top order and on best form he’s the one to beat. Competed in group 2 company last prep and should handle the wet conditions. From a good draw today and a small field I think he sees every chance.

(3) Rich Divinity rises a few grades off the back of a debut win but it has plenty of merit. That was on heavy ground and no doubt he improves into his second run.

(5) Botany won well on debut then was far from disgraced in a good race at Caulfield. Has been jumping out okay and the stable are flying at the moment.

(1) Rolling Moss is down in grade and gets his favoured heavy track. With a good apprentice claim he could run them off their legs.

(4) Xtra Gear
$3.40 (1 unit)
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Cranbourne Race 5

(13) Sociabeel was solid fresh and should be all the more improved now. Had jumped out well leading into then and I like her rising slightly in trip. I think the current price is pretty fair and she will be winning a maiden soon.

(3) Reactivate beat Sociabeel home first up with the winner of that race running in race 4. That first up effort was his best run to date and looks to have come back in good order.

1300m should suit (12) Lago’s Daughter and she was very good through the line on debut. Stable has been going well and she gets in here with just 54.5kg on her back.

(4) Sconaero looks the best value chance.

(13) Sociabeel
$6.50 (1 unit)
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Canterbury Race 4

Think (1) Leo looks extremely hard to beat here back in grade and from a good draw. No prizes for finding him but just looks to get everything in his favour today. Was only beaten half a length to the smart Matoai first up in a strong 78 and should strip fitter for that run now. Jmac jumps on from a low draw and this horse should get the job done against these.

(3) Not Another Reiby was solid enough fresh and will be suited if the track is drying out. Has been in good form of late and should improve 2nd up now.

(6) Resilient Star can run a race at an EW price. Is up in grade but will benefit from a good fresh effort and I think his best form could see him fill a placing.

(5) Buckin’ Beauty was solid in a similar race here last time out and looks a chance.

(1) Leo
$1.75 (4 units)
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Canterbury Race 6

(9) Twilight Affair started single figures against Shades Of Rose first up and we saw how dominant that horse was again on the weekend. Expect Clark to find the front here from barrier 2 and she was a winner 2nd up last prep. Will enjoy the Canterbury track and with added fitness now she will prove tough to catch. Still lightly raced and upside is there.

(2) Roots is the class runner and contested some black type races towards end of last prep. Is unbeaten from two fresh runs and she has stacks of talent. Just think these could be a bit sharp for her over 1250m.

(5) Petulant has been a model of consistency this prep but is struggling to win one. She maps well and has hoof on the till for another win.

(4) Centro Storrico will find this easier than last couple of starts when well fancied. She may need some luck from out wide but can pull of a big finish.

(9) Twilight Affair
$3.80 (2 units)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:01 AM

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks August 17
Joseph Aiello

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks August 17
In Spa Selections, our correspondent provides his Saratoga picks for key races on today’s Saratoga card!

Race 1 – Grade I Jonathan Sheppard Handicap

1. #1 Down Royal (9-2) – A winner of her last three, including the Grade I A.P. Smithwick earlier this meet, this mare is in top form with a good chance here

2. #6 Snap Decision (6-5) – This gelding has run well at Saratoga in the past, and comes off a non-hurdle race at Colonial where he finished a near third

3. #5 Redicean (15-1) – Definitely has the class to contend here, consistently taking on the top graded company in hurdle and steeplechase races and is a solid finisher

4. #7 Chief Justice (10-1) – Finishes in the money in over half of his starts, with a near loss last time to Down Royal by a neck, and a nice wire to wire win in April

Race 7 – Maiden 83k

1. #2 Red Hot Chick (8-1) – This grey two year old should be going to the early lead with Luis Saez which makes her dangerous first time out at this distance

2. #7 Crypto Mama (3-1) – Finished second by four lengths in her debut, but probably still needs to take a slight step forward to be a winner here

3. #5 Amazon Barbie (5-1) – Gaffalione and Catalano have won on their only mount together this meet, and team up with this filly by Bernardini who comes off a bullet work

4. #8 Happy Warrior (8-1) – Castellano and Morley have been sharp this meet, especially with longshots, and this first timer should be a fair price on the board

Race 8 – Alw 95000n1x

1. #2 Silken Dollar (3-1) – Hasn’t run her best the last two, but Saez being aggressive here should put this filly in the mix at this distance

2. #6 Mia Bea Star (3-1) – Only three wins in over thirty career starts, but hits the board in nearly half of her races so one that should be close here

3. #5 Caramocha (7-2) – Seems to run her best at eight furlongs, but still one that might need to have a career best effort to be a winner even in this group

4. #1 U Guys Are No Fun (5-2) – This Finger Lakes shipper hasn’t run well in her two at the Spa, but has good speed figures compared to this field and gets Rosario here

Race 9 – New York Stallion Series Stakes

1. #8 Dakota Gold (3-5) – The classiest of this field by a good margin and the most accomplished, this one should win here barring a rough trip

2. #3 Shinsun (8-1) – Has shown some solid turn of foot closing in his two tries, but might need a bit more pace than is in here to chase

3. #5 Marinara Sauced (5-1) – Chad Brown trainee has been in the mix in his three races, but might be another that would benefit from more distance or a faster pace

4. #6 Silent Running (30-1) – Probably not a winner considering he hasn’t broken his maiden yet, but has improved drastically on turf and could round out the top four at a price

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:01 AM

Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Wednesday, August 17

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Wednesday's meetings at York, Wolverhampton, Kempton, Musselburgh and Worcester.

York

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.50 Ghathanfar (nap)

2.25 Oviedo

3.00 Deauville Legend

3.35 Mishriff

4.10 Alfred Boucher

4.45 Fast Response

5.20 Rogue Spirit

GIMCRACK

1.50 Ancient Times

2.25 Local Dynasty (nb)

3.00 Aikhal (nap)

3.35 Baaeed

4.10 Frankenstella

4.45 Sandbeck

5.20 Streets Of Gold

Newmarket – 1.50 Dusky Lord (nb); 3.00 Secret State (nap).

Northerner – 4.10 Soapy Stevens (nap); 4.45 Sandbeck (nb).

Wolverhampton

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.05 Amasova

1.40 Lady Hamana

2.15 Gold Souk

2.50 Torvi

3.25 Hot Team

4.00 Dew You Believe

4.35 Thunder Flash

GIMCRACK

1.05 Amasova

1.40 Princeville

2.15 Lindwall

2.50 Sir Gregory

3.25 Wurlitzer

4.00 Rose Fandango

4.35 Thunder Flash

Kempton

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.05 Three Dons

5.40 Storyinthesand

6.15 Roar Emotion

6.50 Ward Castle

7.20 Uzincso

7.50 Crystal Casque

8.20 Shalfa

GIMCRACK

5.05 Three Dons

5.40 Bush Rose

6.15 Peace of Mine

6.50 Greenscape

7.20 Kaatibb

7.50 Profound Alexander

8.20 Shalfa

Musselburgh

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

2.05 Good Measure

2.40 Leading Company

3.15 Sixcor (nb)

3.50 Gweedore

4.25 Timbukone

4.56 Will He Dance

GIMCRACK

2.05 Good Measure

2.40 Sweet Fortune

3.15 Impressor

3.50 Manigordo

4.25 Emerald Lady

4.56 Cuban Cigar

Worcester

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

4.29 Princess Midnight

5.00 Chess Player

5.32 Peregrine Run

6.05 Light N Strike

6.40 Accidental Rebel

7.10 Cluain Aodha

7.40 Present Storm

8.10 Envol De La Cour

GIMCRACK

4.29 Midnight Jewel

5.00 Chess Player

5.32 Grand Sancy

6.05 Retrospect

6.40 Cawthorne Lad

7.10 Paris Dixie

7.40 Bagan

8.10 Sheila Nash

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:02 AM

Hanson: Spot Plays for Day 1 of Ebor Festival at York Aug. 17
Vance Hanson

The final major English racing fixture of the summer takes place this week at York, which presents its four-day Ebor Festival from Wednesday through Saturday. All three Group 1s at the meeting are Breeders' Cup Challenge Series races, but whether they'll have any impact on happenings at Keeneland in early November remains to be seen.

There are three Group offerings on Wednesday, highlighted by odds-on favorite Baaeed's attempt to maintain his perfect record in the Juddmonte International (G1), his first race beyond a mile.
Race 2: Acomb (G3), 9: 25 a.m. ET

This seven-furlong race for two-year-olds is restricted to those that have broken their maidens since July 7, thus the more precocious types and most prior stakes winners are ineligible. Nonetheless, it's a fascinating group of juveniles, several of whom have shown significant promise.

Although most visually impressed with early favorite Local Dynasty's debut win at Newmarket earlier this month, I can't quite latch on to his current price in the 5-2 range. From a betting standpoint, #8 Oviedo (12-1) is a more attractive alternative.

A $175,000 yearling purchase, Oviedo turned in a notable debut win at Doncaster July 21 over the Acomb distance. Settling nicely in midpack, Oviedo switched outside for running room a few furlongs out, glided to the lead inside the final quarter-mile, and responded well when shaken up late to win by 1 1/4 lengths from a next-out winner.

By Lope de Vega, Oviedo is out of a half-sister to dual Group 1-winning two-year-old Chriselliam and multiple Group 2 winner Very Special.

I have no firm opinion on Race 3, a six-horse renewal of the Great Voltigeur (G2), which serves as a potential St Leger (G1) tune-up for most in the field. So, on to the International.
Race 4: Juddmonte International (G1), 10:35 a.m. ET

#2 Baaeed (2-5) is tempting fate by putting his unbeaten 9-for-9 record on the line in this event. Frankel, to whom he's sometimes compared, had no problem negotiating the stretch-out here in the penultimate start of his illustrious career. However, this race has seen some massive upsets. Brigadier Gerard lost the only race of his career in the inaugural edition 50 years ago. More recently, Golden Horn lost in 2015 to the unheralded filly Arabian Queen as an odds-on choice.

In Baaeed's favor is the competition. While generally good, they are at times an erratic bunch.

If pressed to reveal a betting strategy, I'd fade second choice Mishriff and use others underneath Baaeed in an exacta. A powerful six-length winner of this event last year, Mishriff has run some head-scratching races this year. Book-ending a fine effort in the Eclipse (G1) was a last-place finish in his title defense of the Saudi Cup (G1) and a distant third in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth (G1). While he clearly doesn't relish the 1 1/2 miles of the latter race, losing by 10 lengths to Pyledriver after missing by a much smaller margin the year prior suggests we're not quite dealing with a horse close to the peak of his powers.

#7 Native Trail (8-1), who was right behind Mishriff in a photo for second in the Eclipse, looks to me a more logical threat to keep progressing and chase the favorite home. I'd also consider a small saver exacta on #1 Alenquer (20-1), runner-up here a year ago, in the second spot. Although he's generally proved inferior to Mishriff in prior meetings, he's seemingly capable of better than what he showed in the Eclipse, where he faded late after setting the pace.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:02 AM

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Wednesday, August 17
Posted on August 15, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 5: MIJA (#5)

This maiden special weight could feature some talented first time starters, though that also appeared to be the case in Sunday’s race at this same level, which was dominated by a runner with experience. Binsky (#7) is the only filly in his field with a start under her belt and she figures to benefit from it as she faces a group of newcomers. Linda Rice is 8 for 23 (35%, $2.97 ROI) with 2-year-old maiden second time starters over the past 5 years. This filly was slow into stride in her debut, but was staying on well at the end. The only knocks against her are that the race was falling apart after some quick early fractions and she was the only MTO entrant in a field of turf-meant horses. I think she’ll do better here, but there are some interesting first time starters. Justifying (#8) could take some money for Steve Asmussen, who typically excels with his juvenile debut runners. She looked slightly second-best to another unraced filly in that Aug. 6 workout and seems like one that may ultimately want more ground. Padma (#6) was second-best in company with the highly-regarded Upper Case in her most recent drill, but that one disappointed in her debut on Sunday. My top pick is Mija (#5), a Stonestreet homebred daughter of Spinaway winner Rachel’s Valentina, and granddaughter of the great Rachel Alexandra. She’s by Curlin, so she’s another who may ultimately want to go farther than this. However, I like the way she’s been working into this debut. She looked best in company in that July 31 drill and then always seemed to have more in the tank when holding the edge over a stablemate from the gate on Aug. 7. Some may be deterred by the fact that John Velazquez is named on her, but he still rides some good ones for this barn.

RACE 7: CRYPTO MAMA (#7)

This auction-restricted maiden event features a couple of fillies with experience who could attract support. U Glow Girl (#6) seems likely to take money again after getting bet down to 2-1 favoritism in her career debut. She contested a fast opening quarter that day before fading and deserves some credit for finishing ahead of her other pace rivals. However, she lost by 13 1/2 lengths to a winner who was only 2 lengths off the lead at the first call. Perhaps Leave No Trace is just a talented specimen, but I want to see some confirmation of that race’s quality after the runner-up returned to regress on turf. Brad Cox is 32 for 105 (30%, $1.49 ROI) with 2-year-old maiden second time starters in dirt sprints over 5 years. These runners win, but they tend to get overbet. I’m taking the other second time starter Crypto Mama (#7). Kelly Breen is 9 for 30 (30%, $2.00 ROI) under those same parameters mentioned above for Cox. She may not have been facing the strongest field at Monmouth in her debut, but I liked the way she stayed on at the end. That pace was pretty slow relative to the final time, with all TimeformUS Pace Figures color-coded in blue. She was the only one to be passing runners late on a day that is also coded as favoring speed. She seems like one that will surely appreciate added ground as a daughter of Cloud Computing, and she gets a rider upgrade to Joel Rosario. The other horse I’d use is firster Oh Donna (#4). I liked her OBS sale workout and Ray Handal has had some success with debut runners over the past few years.

RACE 9: SHINSUN (#3)

I readily acknowledge that Dakota Gold (#8) is a likely winner of this New York Stallion Series stakes. I’ve just seen a pattern of him getting continuously overbet and foresee him once again going off at odds that make him an unappealing wagering prospect. It was ludicrous that he got pounded down to 1-5 last time when facing a field that included a couple of rivals with quality. He had every chance to go by the winner late and was unable to get his head in front, failing to perform up to expectations. I pegged him at 3-5 on the morning line here, but won’t be surprised when he gets bet down much lower than that even in this 10-horse field. All of his rivals are running significantly slower speed figures, but a few of them are coming into this race with upside. My top pick is Shinsun (#3), who makes just the third start of his career. He wasn’t beating much of a field in his career debut against maiden claimers, but I really liked the way he leveled off through the stretch, mowing down rivals while appearing to gather momentum approaching the wire. He stepped way up in class to try starter allowance foes last time and rose to the challenge, again unleashing a furious stretch bid to nearly get up for second. He’s going to require some pace here to have a chance at the upset, but I think he has another step forward in him and I’m going to get rewarded at a square price if able to defeat this favorite.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:02 AM

Canterbury Park Picks - Wednesday, August 17, 2022

Race 1: 3-7-8-2
Race 2: 5-6-1-2
Race 3: 2-3-5-1
Race 4: 6-4-3-1
Race 5: 3-8-2-1
Race 6: 9-5-3-1
Race 7: 5-1-6-3
Race 8: 4-1-8-2
Race 9: 2-7-5-1
Race 10: 4-8-2-1
Race 11: 3-2-6-1
**Most Likely Winner: Silver Dash #3 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Coming Up Aces #3 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:02 AM

Colonial Downs Picks - Wednesday, August 17, 2022

Race 1: 5-1-3-2
Race 2: 6-2-1-4
Race 3: 5-7-4-1
Race 4: 1-8-7-4
Race 5: 6-3-9-1
Race 6: 4-2-1-11
Race 7: 3-4-1-7
Race 8: 1-6-2-5
Race 9: 7-4-9-1
Race 10: 3-7-4-5
**Most Likely Winner: Scoober #5 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Lady Azteca #6 (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:02 AM

Delaware Park Picks - Wednesday, August 17, 2022

Race 1: 3-2-5-1
Race 2: 6-3-4-7
Race 3: 5-4-6-2
Race 4: 7(MTO)-10-9-5
Race 5: 2-9-7-8
Race 6: 10(MTO)-12-3-2
Race 7: 4-3-5-6
Race 8: 2-4-8-7
**Most Likely Winner: Growl Tiger (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Swifty Devil (Race 1)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-17-2022, 10:03 AM

Finger Lakes Picks - Wednesday, August 17, 2022

Race 1: 3-5-4-1
Race 2: 2-4-1-5
Race 3: 6-1/1A-4-3
Race 4: 6-3-2-1
Race 5: 3-1-7-6
Race 6: 7-8-3-1
Race 7: 4-5-1-7
Race 8: 1/1A-2-7-5
**Most Likely Winner: Patrol #6 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: County Cork #3 (Race 5)**

Wednesday 8/17/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Wednesday 8/17/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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