Saturday 8/27/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 05:58 AM

Saturday’s games

National League
Pittsburgh (47-78) @ Philadelphia (71-55)
— Beede is 0-2, 8.25 in four starts.
— Pirates are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He is 0-1, 6.23 in two starts vs Philly.

— Pirates are 4-16 in their last 20 games.
— Pittsburgh is 21-42 on the road.
— over 18-7-2 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-125
— record in first 5 innings: 37-65-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-x-7

— Gibson is 1-1, 5.51 in his last three starts
— Phillies are 9-5 in his last 14 starts.
— over 3-1-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-13-1
— He is 1-0, 4.26 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Phillies are 21-8 in last 29 games.
— Philly is 38-29 at home.
— under 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-126
— record in first 5 innings: 53-51-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-0-3

Los Angeles (87-37) @ Miami (54-71)
— May allowed no runs, one hit in his first ’22 start (5 IP).
— Dodgers are 1-0 in his starts
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 2-0, 0.84 in two starts vs Miami

— Dodgers are 48-13 in their last 61 games.
— Los Angeles is 42-21 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 47-124
— record in first 5 innings: 74-29-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4.2

— Alcantara is 1-2, 4.91 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 15-10 in his starts
— under 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-9
— He is 0-3, 14.79 in four starts vs Los Angeles.

— Miami is 14-32 in its last 46 games.
— Marlins are 25-34 at home.
— under 17-6-2 last 25 games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-125
— record in first 5 innings: 46-55-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-8

Cincinnati (49-75) @ Washington (42-84)
— bullpen game

— Reds are 5-12 in last 17 games.
— Cincinnati is 23-39 on road.
— under 18-13-1 last 32 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-124
— record in first 5 innings: 41-64-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2-2

— Espino is 0-2, 5.57 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 5-8 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-5
— He is 0-0, 5.40 in four games (1 start) against the Reds.

— Washington is 5-7 in its last 12 games.
— Nationals are 19-45 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-126
— record in first 5 innings: 33-78-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-4.2

Colorado (54-73) @ NY Mets (81-46)
— Freeland is 0-1, 6.86 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 12-12 in his lstarts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-11-4
— He is 2-0,2.25 in three starts vs New York.

— Colorado is 11-24 in its last 35 games.
— Rockies are 18-41 on road.
— over 14-7-1 last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-124
— record in first 5 innings: 33-68-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.2-3.1-3

— Peterson is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts
— Mets are 10-5 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-3
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in one start vs Colorado.

— Mets are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Mets are 42-19 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 45-127
— record in first 5 innings: 69-34-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-1.2

Chicago (55-71) @ Milwaukee (65-59)
— Smyly is 2-1, 1.13 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 7-10 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-2
— He is 1-0, 1.00 in two starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs are 14-8 in their last 22 games.
— Cubs are 27-33 on road.
— under 29-15-5 last 49 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-126
— record in first 5 innings: 51-56-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-4.2

— Woodruff is 0-0, 3.75 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 13-6 in his starts
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-3
— He is 0-1, 8.68 in two starts vs Chicago TY.

— Brewers are 8-15 in their last 23 games.
— Milwaukee is 31-25 at home.
— over 6-3-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 43-124
— record in first 5 innings: 54-46-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5.2-4

Atlanta (79-48) @ St Louis (72-54)
— Morton is 1-0, 2.49 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 12-7 in his last 19 starts
— over 18-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 9-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-9-3
— He is 3-12, 5.23 in 19 starts vs St Louis.

— Braves are 15-2 in their last 17 games.
— Atlanta is 37-24 on road.
— under 4-2-1 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-127
— record in first 5 innings: 70-42-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-2-3

— Wainwright is 1-1, 1.23 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 14-11 in his starts.
— under 6-4 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-3
— He is 10-4, 3.46 in 14 starts vs Atlanta.

— Cardinals are 19-6 in their last 25 games.
— St Louis is 40-22 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 44-126
— record in first 5 innings: 58-47-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-2-4

American League
LA Angels (53-73) @ Toronto (68-56)
— Ohtani is 1-4, 4.24 in his last six starts.
— Angels are 1-5 in his last six starts
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-5
— He is 1-1, 5.25 in two starts vs Toronto.

— Angels lost nine of last 11 games.
— Angels are 26-38 on road.
— under 4-3-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 36-126
— record in first 5 innings: 56-52-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2-3.2

— Manoah is 0-1, 4.86 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 3-7 in his last ten starts
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-5
— He is 1-0, 2.84 in two starts vs Anaheim.

— Blue Jays are 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Toronto is 36-26 at home.
— under 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 41-124
— record in first 5 innings: 48-47-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-4

Tampa Bay (69-56) @ Boston (61-65)
— Springs is 3-0, 2.49 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 12-5 in his starts.
— under 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-7
— He is 0-0, 3.09 in nine games (1 start) vs Boston.

— Tampa Bay is 15-7 in its last 22 games.
— Rays are 27-33 on road.
— over 3-0-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 36-125
— record in first 5 innings: 58-44-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-5.2

— Hill is 1-1, 7.02 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 9-9 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 8-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 2-0, 3.45 in 13 games (4 starts) vs Tampa Bay.

— Red Sox are 7-7 in last 14 games.
— Boston is 30-33 at home.
— over 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-126
— record in first 5 innings: 48-49-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5.1-3

Detroit (48-78) @ Texas (58-67)
— Rodriguez is 2-1, 1.93 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 3-6 in his starts.
— over 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6
— He is 3-1, 5.73 in six starts vs Texas.

— Tigers are 12-30 in their last 42 games.
— Detroit is 19-43 on road.
— under 20-5-2 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-126
— record in first 5 innings: 41-66-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-5

— Arihara is 1-1, 2.31 in two starts.
— Rangers are 1-1 in his starts
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Rangers won five of last six games.
— Texas is 28-34 at home.
— under 6-4-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 32-125
— record in first 5 innings: 45-53-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

Baltimore (66-59) @ Houston (80-46)
— Kremer is 1-0, 2.19 in his last two starts.
— Orioles are 9-5 in his starts.
— under 10-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Orioles are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Baltimore is 29-35 on road.
— under 9-3 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-125
— record in first 5 innings: 49-56-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-1

— Urquidy is 4-0, 2.52 in his last six starts.
— Astros are 9-3 in his last 12 starts
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 16-5-2
— He is 1-0, 1.08 in two starts vs Baltimore.

— Astros are 17-11 in their last 28 games.
— Houston is 42-19 at home.
— over 9-7-1 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-127
— record in first 5 innings: 76-33-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-4

Cleveland (66-57) @ Seattle (68-56)
— Plesac is 0-4, 6.92 in his last five starts.
— Guardians are 8-14 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-5
— He is 1-0, 2.25 in one start vs Seattle.

— Guardians are 12-5 in their last 17 games.
— Cleveland is 34-32 on road.
— under 13-3-1 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-123
— record in first 5 innings: 50-48-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-2

— Castillo is 1-1, 3.16 in four starts for Seattle.
— Seattle is 2-2 in his starts
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He is 0-3, 7.85 in four starts vs Cleveland.

— Mariners are 13-8 in their last 21 games.
— Seattle is 33-27 at home.
— over 7-3-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 38-125
— record in first 5 innings: 49-55-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-2-3

Bronx (78-48) @ A’s (46-81)
— German is 1-1, 2.82 in his last four starts.
— New York is 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He is 0-1, 6.56 in four starts vs Oakland.

— New York won its last five games.
— New York is 33-28 on road.
— under 12-3-1 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 43-126
— record in first 5 innings: 62-39-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-1.2

— Oller is 1-1, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 3-8 in his starts
— over 6-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-11
— record in first 5 innings: 2-9
— He is 0-0, 3.86 in two relief stints vs New York.

— A’s are 5-15 in their last 20 games.
— Oakland is 20-43 at home.
— over 5-4 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 29-127
— record in first 5 innings: 40-68-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6.1-3

Interleague games
Arizona (57-67) @ White Sox (63-63)
— Kelly is 0-0, 2.25 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 1-4 in his last five starts
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 13-6-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Diamondbacks lost four of last six games.
— Arizona is 25-35 on road.
— under 8-5 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 36-124
— record in first 5 innings: 50-43-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2-4

— Martin is 1-3, 4.09 in four starts, all on the road.
— White Sox are 1-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— White Sox are 22-18 in their last 40 games.
— Chicago is 30-32 at home.
— under 17-10-3 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-126
— record in first 5 innings: 50-60-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-4

San Diego (69-58) @ Kansas City (51-76)
— Darvish is 0-3, 3.98 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 3-7 in his last 10 starts.
— under 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 16-3-4
— He is 3-1, 2.16 in six starts vs Kansas City.

— Padres are 4-6 in last ten games.
— San Diego is 34-30 on road.
— under 9-3 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-125
— record in first 5 innings: 56-41-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.2-5.1

— Lynch is 0-1, 4.57 in his last four starts
— Royals are 9-11 in his starts
— under 8-5 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Kansas City is 4-10 in its last 14 games.
— Royals are 31-36 at home.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 33-127
— record in first 5 innings: 48-60-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-5

San Francisco (61-63) @ Minnesota (63-61)
— Cobb is 1-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 1-5 in his last six starts
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-7
— He is 3-3, 5.68 in eight starts vs Minnesota.

— Giants lost six of last eight games.
— San Francisco is 27-34 on road.
— under 7-3-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-124
— record in first 5 innings: 49-53-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-5

— Gray is 1-1, 2.49 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 11-8 in his starts
— over 9-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 2-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-4
— He is 2-1, 3.52 in four starts vs San Francisco.

— Minnesota lost six of last seven games.
— Twins are 36-28 at home.
— over 23-16-3 last 42 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-124
— record in first 5 innings: 63-43-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 08:51 AM

Canterbury Park Picks - Saturday, August 27, 2022

Race 1: 2-1-5-6
Race 2: 5-7-1-3
Race 3: 7-3-5-1
Race 4: 1-3-5-4
Race 5: 1-5-8-2
Race 6: 1-7-8-4
Race 7: 4-5-1-3
Race 8: 3-2-7-5
Race 9: 6-1-2-4
**Most Likely Winner: Kid's Inheritance #7 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Da Ghost #1 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 08:51 AM

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Picks: Saturday, August 27, 2022

Race 1: 5-2-7-3
Race 2: 6-7-5-8
Race 3: 1-4-2-7
Race 4: 2-7-1-3
Race 5: 4-2-7-5
Race 6: 7-3-8-2
Race 7: 4-11-3-8
Race 8: 3-6-1-4
Race 9: 10-8-1-7
Race 10: 5-4-9-6
Most Likely Winner: Kid Corleone #3 (Race 8)
Best Value: Lexington Humor #4 (Race 7)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 08:52 AM

Ellis Park Picks - Saturday, August 27, 2022

Race 1: 5-6-9-2
Race 2: 2-7-6-1
Race 3: 2-1-6-8
Race 4: 10-5-1-6
Race 5: 7-2-5-1
Race 6: 11-5-3-1
Race 7: 4-6-1-7
Race 8: 3-2-9-6
**Most Likely Winner: Beyblader #2 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Collectorate #7 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 09:40 AM

Gulfstream Park Picks - Saturday, August 27, 2022

Race 1: 3-1-8-10
Race 2: 8-4-1-5
Race 3: 1-5-3-7
Race 4: 1-3-8-2
Race 5: 5-6-3-2
Race 6: 6-7-1-3
Race 7: 8-1-4-6
Race 8: 6-2-4-1
Race 9: 6-1-4-5
Race 10: 7-3-2-6
Race 11: 3-4-1-7
**Most Likely Winner: Souper Duper Ready #1 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: J P Cornetta #3 (Race 1)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 09:41 AM

Monmouth Park Picks: Saturday, August 27, 2022

Race 1: 4-1-6-5
Race 2: 8-6-2-5
Race 3: 4-2-7-5
Race 4: 4-6-5-2
Race 5: 3-1-2-5
Race 6: 4-6-1-7
Race 7: 5-2-7-1
Race 8: 3-2-4-1
Race 9: 1-2-5-7
Race 10: 2-6-7-5
Race 11: 3-2-6-5
Most Likely Winner: Backatya (Race 4)
Best Value: Bourbon Spirit (Race 9)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 09:41 AM

Saratoga Picks: Saturday, August 27, 2022

Race 1: 3-6-4-7
Race 2: 4-8-5-7
Race 3: 2-9-4-6
Race 4: 5-2-4-3
Race 5: 4-1-3-7
Race 6: 10-2-6-5
Race 7: 7-3-1/1A-5
Race 8: 9-6-1-2
Race 9: 2-5-3-1
Race 10: 3-1-6-10
Race 11: 1-8-5-6
Race 12: 4-2-5-7
Race 13: 8-2-1-6
Most Likely Winner: Broome #3 (Race 10)
Best Value: Three Two Zone #4 (Race 5)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 09:41 AM

Woodbine Picks - Saturday, August 27, 2022

Race 1: 6-2-3-1
Race 2: 3-7-5-2
Race 3: 2-1-4-5
Race 4: 8-5-3-2
Race 5: 6-5-2-3
Race 6: 11-2-1-4
Race 7: 5-4-3-1
Race 8: 4-1-2-3
Race 9: 7-1-2-3
Race 10: 1-5-2-4
**Most Likely: Moqadama (Race 9)**
**Best Value: Astrological (Race 4)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 09:41 AM

Race of the Week: Pat O'Brien at Del Mar | Saturday, August 27, 2022
By: Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
The 1/ST BET and Xpressbet handicapping teams have you covered on Travers Saturday from Saratoga in the free, exclusive digital 1/ST Travers Wager Guide. Get the insights from Eddie Olczyk, Jeff Siegel, Jeremy Plonk, Millie Ball, Zoe Cadman, Michelle Yu, Jon White, Brian Nadeau, Tom Quigley, Dustin Fabian and the 1/ST BET artificial intelligence. Bettors playing Travers Day at Saratoga with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can take advantage of a whopping $25,000 in Hit & Split bonuses surrounding the day’s key bets and races.

We'll spread our wings to the west coast in this Race of the Week space to give players more handicapping options. The Grade 2 $250,000 Pat O'Brien is Del Mar's premier race in the Breeders' Cup Sprint division and goes as Race 9 on the program.

Field Depth:
The field of 10 boasts Grade 1 winners AMERICAN THEOREM, SPEAKER'S CORNER and GET HER NUMBER. Grade 2 winners add depth via RESTRAINEDVENGEANCE and PRINCIPE CARLO. Meanwhile, DEFUNDED is Grade 1-placed and 9 of these 10 have been graded-placed. SPEAKER'S CORNER has kept the strongest company lines of the bunch and ventures from New York.

Pace:
Stablemates LAUREL RIVER and DEFUNDED are fast early, as is PRINCIPE CARLO and SPEAKER'S CORNER. There won't be many breathers in this 7-furlong test. If a closer fires his best shot, he'll be in with a chance.

Our Eyes:
AMERICAN THEOREM proved the west's best sprinter in the Bing Crosby over 6 furlongs to open the Del Mar meet. He may be better at this 7-furlong trip, owing to his previous route stamina. He's a finisher and a closer, but doesn't come from the clouds, and that makes him dangerous in most any pace scenario.

SPEAKER'S CORNER is here because Jackie's Warrior has domain over the Grade 1 Forego at Saratoga the same-day. You can't blame the road trip after facing national powerhouses Flightline and Life is Good in his last 2 starts. That he hooked up with that pair in the Met Mile and Nerud answers the age-old sprint question: Does he have California speed? The answer is yes. Of the front-runners in this O'Brien, he's most trusted.

CZ ROCKET won this race in 2020 and was runner-up as the favorite in 2021. We know he fits here on his best, and the 8-year-old got a nice allowance prep over the track in July to set the table. He's incredibly consistent and gets a good pace to chase into. This will be his third straight start from the rail draw.

Among the others are Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile third-place finisher RESTRAINEDVENGEANCE as well as the runners-up in the Bing Crosby (GET HER NUMBER) and Triple Bend (PRINCIPE CARLO). GET HER NUMBER is the most attractive of that group off recent form and likely pace set-up. Meanwhile, LAUREL RIVER makes the jump from back-to-back allowance wins at Del Mar a year apart to the stakes ranks for Bob Baffert and leading jockey Juan Hernandez.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
SPREAKER'S CORNER is 6 for his last 7 in the exacta and has missed only 1 trifecta in 11 starts.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
GET HER NUMBER was 7-1 in the Bing Crosby and might go even a bit higher than that. He'll be running late.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$80 exacta SPEAKER'S CORNER over AMERICAN THEOREM. $20 exacta AMERICAN THEOREM over SPEAKER'S CORNER.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 09:42 AM

Weekend GamePlan for Aug. 27, 2022: Picks for Travers, Sword Dancer, H. Allen Jerkens

Marcus Hersh

Technical Analysis probably wins the Ballston Spa as an odds-on favorite, and Jackie’s Warrior is a universal cinch in the Forego, but the rest of the Saratoga stakes slate doesn’t have to chalk out. Search Results can be included in your Personal Ensign plans, even if she wasn’t quite included in this Weekend GamePlan.

Travers

I don’t think contention runs especially deep in this Travers. Rich Strike will go down as an eternally baffling Derby winner. Ain’t Life Grand has no path to victory. The connections of Gilded Age would heartily celebrate third.

Early Voting showed regression, not progress, in the Jim Dandy, and his Chad Brown-trained stablemates, Zandon and Artorius, hold more appeal. Artorius impressed in the Curlin, but that third start peak came with a perfect trip. I can’t see him making the necessary jump to truly contend. It’s crazy that Zandon in the Jim Dandy raced in front of Epicenter, and I don’t think that race’s dynamics worked in Zandon’s favor. I could see his camp using the race more as a pure prep than Epicenter’s, and this might be the time to play Zandon. Personally, I didn’t love either of two recent works available on video, and Zandon doesn’t quite seem to have filled into his narrow frame yet.

Epicenter’s frame is anything but narrow. His evolution from a pace player who got beat in the Lecomte because he went too fast, to a horse capable of a last-to-first rally into the slow Jim Dandy tempo has been remarkable. He can be ridden closer Saturday if connections so desire, and Epicenter is formidable.

:: Visit the Saratoga Handicapping Store for Past Performances, Clocker Reports, Picks, Betting Strategies and more.

Still, I’ll play Cyberknife, whose development might even exceed Epicenter’s. Cyberknife in his early races either was incapable or unwilling to grasp being a professional racehorse. He refused to run straight and declined to put forth the full breadth of his ability, running with rather than past his rivals.

Even in the Matt Winn, Cyberknife didn’t want to leave behind Howling Time, his inferior. That’s what made his Haskell such a breakthrough. If Cyberknife got a good trip it was because he made his own luck, moving with turf-like acceleration into the spot Taiba vacated before the far turn. Cyberknife’s stretch run was exceedingly athletic.

While Taiba came to the furlong grounds in the clear with a full head of steam, Cyberknife had ducked to the rail and accelerated a second time, coming through a hole with supreme confidence. Of all the Travers breeze videos online, Cyberknife’s work to me has been the strongest. His gallop-out on Aug. 20 was tremendous, and the colt’s willingness now to race inside and ability to make multiple moves serves him well from post 1.

Sword Dancer

I hadn’t realized before doing replay work how similar Broome’s trip in the Breeders’ Cup Turf was to War Like Goddess’s in the BC Filly and Mare Turf – both horses were moved prematurely, ran the turn brilliantly, and were narrowly beaten on the trip.

:: Get Saratoga Clocker Reports from Mike Welsch and the Clocker Team. Available every race day.

It was no coincidence Broome ran so well in his lone start around three turns in the BC Turf. Rain on Friday night or not, the Saratoga course will suit Broome, who won a pace duel with Irish Derby winner Westover last out in the King George but had nothing late for romping winner Pyledriver. Broome has been ridden to lead his last two starts, which means he can take up a good position Saturday – and take the measure of American grass horses more than a cut below what he’s been facing.

H. Allen Jerkens

Video of Jack Christopher’s workouts since he gamely tried to stay nine furlongs in the Haskell strongly suggest he will bounce back to form shortening up to his preferred trip. Still, Jack Christopher comes into this a touch overrated, his lack of real competition and a perfect trip in the Woody Stephens producing an inflated victory.

The Amsterdam top two, Gunite and Accretive are fine, and Conagher is fast, but I like Actuator.

Actuator raced greenly in the Indiana Derby while moving from a maiden win to a Grade 3 and making his two-turn dirt debut, and not only did he still win, Actuator won with plenty in the tank, if you carefully watch his rider the final half-furlong. That race’s runner-up, Best Actor, easily was best Monday in the Smarty Jones, and Actuator’s win two back at this seven-furlong distance was faster and more visually impressive than his Indiana Derby.

He cuts back in trip off what looks like a strong brace of workouts and will be the right price to take a shot in the Jerkens.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 09:42 AM

Saratoga Picks: Loaded Travers card a stakes extravaganza on August 27
By J.N. Campbell

Saratoga Picks: Saturday, August 27, 2022

Race 1: 3-6-4-7
Race 2: 4-8-5-7
Race 3: 2-9-4-6
Race 4: 5-2-4-3
Race 5: 4-1-3-7
Race 6: 10-2-6-5
Race 7: 7-3-1/1A-5
Race 8: 9-6-1-2
Race 9: 2-5-3-1
Race 10: 3-1-6-10
Race 11: 1-8-5-6
Race 12: 4-2-5-7
Race 13: 8-2-1-6
Most Likely Winner: Broome #3 (Race 10)
Best Value: Three Two Zone #4 (Race 5)

All-Stakes Summary with Selections …

Race 4: Turf, 1 1/16th, Ballston Spa S. (G2), $400k, F&M 4+

It is probably safe to say that Chad Brown has this race blanketed. We can also assert that Klaravich Stables’ Technical Analysis #5 is head-and-shoulders above the rest. If you are looking for a clear “Single” in any horizontal wager, then this might be your play. By Kingman (GB), a sire that has a European reputation for producing grass runners, this filly has quite a resume. Coming into this race, she has a number of ticks to the good. Getting class relief, a turnback in distance, and Jose Ortiz in the irons … she has all the makings to record another “graded” victory. The only threat she faces is from her stablemate, Lemista #2. Jockey Flavien Prat was on fire at the Meet, and you never know when he can unleash a furious rally.

Selection: 5

Wagering Recommendation: $50 Win #5

Race 5: Dirt, 7F, Forego S. (G1), $600k, 4+

Named for a famed and beloved racehorse from the 1970s, you are going to have the opportunity to see what has to be a future Hall of Famer … Kirk and Judy Robison’s Jackie Warrior #3. The former Derby Trailer made the switch to dirt sprinting for Steve Asmussen, and it was a seamless transition. He has amassed a career record of 16/12-1-1 … amazing. I have played against this colt by Maclean’s Music many times, and with Joel Rosario aboard, he has turned me back. I am not done trying to take a stand … that could be deemed as pigheadedness, but I will choose to look at it as a betting opportunity. I am going to back Ray Handal’s Three Two Zone #4. The young trainer is looking for that 1st stakes score, and wouldn’t it be great if it was against this HOF trainer, and future HOF horse? In a short amount of time, Handal has given his new charge a real boost. Sometimes a trainer switch can really help a horse take a major step forward. A 4-yr-old colt by Street Sense, he clearly likes the track, after winning a high level OC80kn3x last month. That speed fig he posted, with Dylan Davis aboard, was spectacular. This could be his time! Admission … if “Jackie’s” is on, he will be very tough, but speed can be matched by one thing … speed.

Selection: 4

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager, WPS #4 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Race 8: Dirt, 7F, Allen Jerkens Memorial S. (G1), $500k, 3

The Jerkens, named for that famous trainer who would try most anything, is going to be a fun one on this Saturday. To most, it appears to be a match race between the young upstart, Michael Tomlinson’s Conagher #1, and Chad Brown’s fireballer, Jack Christopher #6. Of course, the latter will be the favorite with Jose Ortiz in the irons. But it is not a foregone conclusion that the son of Munnings will win the day. In his defense, he does love to sprint, and most would agree (after his failure in the Haskell Invitational at Monmouth) that it is a more appropriate distance. I am going to turn my back on both of these entries because I like the “other” Brown play in this spot—Accretive #9. This gelding by Practical Joke is going to be a much better price on the tote. Irad Ortiz just continues to lead the jockey standings at the Meet, and that speaks to his aggressive ability. Opponents of his “style” might think he is dangerous, but I would argue that being a jockey is … not for the faint of heart. Has he made poor choices in the saddle … certainly … but when it comes to making quick decisions, he is the best of the best … turf and dirt. With only a pair of races to his credit, his mount on Saturday afternoon could be in a position to improve after just missing in the Amsterdam S. (G2). Klaravich Stable has yet another talented runner in their midst, and I would not count him out. Look for his odds to be more than square … 5/1? Yes, please …

Selection: 9

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Box, 1/6/9

Race 9: Dirt, 1 1/8th, Personal Ensign S. (G1), $600k, F&M 4+

It is time for yet another rematch race in the distaff division … Ladies! Assemble! Once again Letruska #1 (Gutierrez), Search Results #2 (Brown), Clairiere #3 (Asmussen), Crazy Beautiful #4 (McPeek), and Malathaat #5 (Pletcher) will tee it up! Coming into this race off the Shuvee S. (G2), it would appear that Asmussen’s Stonestreet homebred by Curlin has the edge. She won nicely over her foes that are drawn to the outside this time around. Brown’s entry is the only runner to not compete in a G1 last time out. She prepped for this race by winning at a short price in the Molly P. (G3) at Monmouth. Loads of folks gawked as she romped to victory by 3-lengths. I think the biggest question mark coming into this spot is just how Fausto Gutierrez’s greatest charge will handle herself after a disappointing loss in the Odgen Phipps (G1) on the Belmont Stakes undercard? Jose Ortiz has a big task ahead of him, and it remains to be seen if the defending champ can take care of business once again. My top selection will be Search Results #2. The added distance should not be an issue, and Flavien Prat is blistering the competition right now. Klaravich Stables owns a solid runner. If you get 7/2 on the tote … that looks to be a fair price. What a race this is going to be!

Selection: 2

Wagering Recommendation: $50 Win #2

Race 10: Turf, 1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 09:42 AM

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks August 27

Joseph Aiello

In Spa Selections, Saratoga correspondent Joseph Aiello provides Saratoga picks for a handful of key races at Saratoga, including all of the exciting stakes action!

Follow along all meet with all the exciting action (and good betting opportunities)!

Tiz the Law
Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks August 27
In Spa Selections, our correspondent provides his Saratoga picks for key races on today’s Saratoga card!

Race 4 – Grade II Ballston Spa Stakes

1. #2 Lemista (3-1) – With less speed here, Technical Analysis is likely to leave, which sets up well for this mare who ran much better last time by stalking the early leader and can do so here

2. #5 Technical Analysis (1-1) – Has the big advantage of being what seems to be the lone speed here, so if Jose Ortiz controls the pace, this filly should be able to hold off the others

3. #4 Fluffy Socks (7-2) – Hasn’t been winning outside of a grade II in October, but pretty consistently hits the board and can do so here with Irad Ortiz Jr. in the irons

4. #3 Our Flash Drive (4-1) – Ran well in the De La Rose three weeks ago, and already had won two grade III races, so one that can be bet to upset if the price is higher than this

Race 5 – Grade I Forego Stakes

1. #5 Cody’s Wish (7-2) – Winner of five of his last six, this one seems like the next best to Jackie’s Warrior, and has improved with his stalking style which should have him near the lead

2. #3 Jackie’s Warrior (1-2) – This is a much tougher spot than the Vanderbilt, but he still wins easily if the fractions are modest, otherwise this race could set up for a long-shot closer

3. #6 Pipeline (8-1) – For Jackie’s Warrior to lose, Cody’s Wish and this colt may need to apply some early pressure, with this looking like one who will improve with distance relief

4. #4 Two Three Zone (12-1) – Has looked impressive since switching into the barn of Raymond Handal, taking well to the Saratoga track last time and working well recently too

Race 8 – Grade I H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes

1. #6 Jack Christopher (6-5) – Still ran very well in the Haskell despite it being too far for him, and should be sitting off Conagher with every chance to pass in the stretch with his class

2. #1 Conagher (7-2) – This race could shape into a stretch battle between Jack Christopher and this likely leader if the pace isn’t too fast, and this colt may be best at seven furlongs

3. #9 Accretive (9-2) – This gelding’s sire, Practical Joke, won this race five years ago, and this may be a good spot if the top two go out too fast providing winning chances from off the pace

4. #8 Gunite (6-1) – Gets the slight edge over some promising long-shots like Actuator, but this might not be the best spot for him with the two speeds even if he has run well at the Spa

Race 9 – Grade I Personal Ensign Stakes

1. #2 Search Results (7-2) – The key for this filly will be how fast Letruska goes early, if she is able to sit in second off a more modest pace, she can win at good value

2. #3 Clairiere (6-5) – Seems like the best one going of the bunch right now, as this filly by Curlin has taken a step forward this year and is a top win contender here

3. #1 Letruska (3-1) – Last year, this mare would have been favored among this field, but now at this distance, she needs to go around a forty-seven half to wire this field

4. #5 Malathaat (5-2) – Might be overlooked because she couldn’t get by Clairiere in back to back efforts, but still can win with a fast pace as she prefers distance more than the others

Race 10 – Grade I Sword Dancer Stakes

1. #8 Soldier Rising (15-1) – Not quite as classy as most others, but has put forth two of his best races at the right time and has run well at this distance

2. #6 Gufo (9-2) – One that should improve going a mile and a half, he hasn’t been as sharp recently but adds blinkers and shouldn’t be as far back this time

3. #1 Adhamo (7-2) – Adds an extra furlong from his last race victory, and just seems to be rounding into form for this race by not dropping back too far in the early goings

4. #3 Broome (3-1) – Channel Maker has been running well recently too and can be considered, but this six year old has versatility here that some others do not have

Race 11 – 153rd Grade I Travers Stakes

1. #8 Zandon (5-1) – The connections had this colt by Upstart aimed for the Travers since the Derby trail, and even if this doesn’t appear to be the ideal distance or pace set-up, he should improve with a mid-pack trip as opposed to the Jim Dandy, and might be a sneaky good value here to finally get past Epicenter for the first time

2. #6 Epicenter (7-5) – This colt by Not This Time has clearly separated himself from the top three year olds this year, but still faces challenges here being that he will likely need to be more forward even if he has the versatility to best this field both ways, with the results coming down to Joel Rosario’s timing and aggressiveness in this spot

3. #1 Cyberknife (7-2) – Tough of what to make of this colt by Gun Runner who has two Grade I wins including an impressive Haskel last time, but it still might take his best and then some to be a winner here even if he employs a running style that has him sitting in third or fourth early with what should be a ground-saving trip along the rail

4. #5 Artorius (9-2) – Can make a case for the big longshots to close and hit the board, but if Early Voting isn’t able to handle the lead, this inexperienced colt by Arrogate may find himself in the perfect stalking position to take a step forward like his sire did six years ago, although this one could be feast or famine with the step up in class

Race 12 – Maiden 88k

1. #2 Feathers Road (7-2) – This gelding by Quality Road seems due for a win and has run much better on turf, but will need a good set up to rate here

2. #7 Heymackit’sjack (3-1) – Adds blinkers which is a plus considering his best efforts have come with forwardly-placed trips, so look for a potential gate to wire ride in this one

3. #4 Empire Sky (4-1) – Two thirds in two races, but ran in open maidens at Monmouth showing good enough turn of foot to be involved late in this state-bred group

4. #1 Kreesa (5-1) – Give a play to this first timer by Big Brown who trains in the Donk barn and gets Velazquez here who has won with Donk already this meet

Race 13 – Allowance 115000n1x

1. #1 Parnac (3-1) – Rosario and Clement team up with this filly who ran a sharp speed figure first time in North America, but might need more pace to aim at than is in here

2. #2 Invincible Gal (5-2) – Certainly has more class than the rest here which is a plus, but never seems to win and frequently finishes second, but she should hit the board

3. #9 Miss Tapirado (5-1) – This sneaky mare by Tapit took a clear step forward last time being positioned mid-pack and off the pace, and can compete and win building off that effort

4. #4 Wicked Groove (8-1) – Has won her only try at this distance, and even if she has slightly less class than others, seven for nine in the money on the turf should put her in the mix

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 09:43 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Del Mar, Gulfstream Park, and Saratoga for August 27, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

It’s Travers Day, Let’s GO!!! For the free pick 4, we will head back to Saratoga for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Del Mar and Gulfstream Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Happy Travers Day everyone!

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Saratoga:

Saratoga August 27, 2022

Race 10: Sword Dancer Stakes (G1)

#3 Broome adds intrigue to a division that has left a lot to be desired so far this year. If he shows up with the sort of effort that he showed last year at the Breeders Cup, then the rest of these are likely running for second. #1 Adhamo has been a consistent runner since showing up in the United States.

Race 11: Travers Stakes (G1)
freestar

#6 Epicenter has shown up with solid efforts in lower graded races; however, just missed in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes. This is a race that his name written all over it, though, especially after a dominant victory in the Jim Dandy Stakes over this track. #1 Cyberknife looks for two great races a in a row after winning the Haskell Stakes last time out.

Race 12: Maiden Special Weight

#7 Heymackit’sjack nearly won at this level and distance here last time out. #2 Feathers Road third against our top choice last time out.

Race 13: Allowance

#1 Parnac runs second off of the layoff while also running for the second time in the United States. #2 Invincible Gal was third last time out and should improve today with this being her second start off of the layoff.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 10-13) 1,3,5,6 / 6 / 2,4,7,9 / 1,2,4,9 – $32

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-27-2022, 09:44 AM

Daily Racing Tips – Warracknabeal – August 27th

Home - Expert Tips - Harry White - Daily Racing Tips – Warracknabeal – August 27th

Harry White

RSN Expert Form Analyst Harry White has the best Daily Racing Tips for the Warracknabeal meeting on Saturday the 27th of August for the RSN Punter.

Along with our Daily Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus Interstate Racing Tips, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: True Entire Circuit
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 7
Weather: Fine
Penetrometer: 5.71
Harry White Warracknabeal Tips

Warracknabeal, 27th August 2022

Race 1 Selections: 3,12,10,6
Race 2 Selections: 3,6,10,2
Race 3 Selections: 9,11,2,5
Race 4 Selections: 9,12,8,2
Race 5 Selections: 1,8,3,7
Race 6 Selections: 2,6,1,3
Race 7 Selections: 3,9,5,1
Race 8 Selections: 11,4,2,7
Best Bet

Race 2 – 3. His Zedness
Value Bet

Race 7 – 3. Khoekhoe
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 1,3,7,8
Quaddie 2: 1,2,6
Quaddie 3: 3,5,9
Quaddie 4: 2,4,7,11
Play Of The Day

All up Race 3 #9 into Race 4 #9

Saturday 8/27/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Saturday 8/27/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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