Sunday 8/28/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 07:23 AM

Sunday’s games

National League
Los Angeles (87-38) @ Miami (55-71)
— Urias is 6-1, 1.02 in his last seven starts.
— Dodgers are 11-1 in his last 12 starts
— under 17-5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 15-7-2
— He is 1-1, 6.75 in two starts vs Miami

— Dodgers are 48-14 in their last 62 games.
— Los Angeles is 42-22 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 47-125
— record in first 5 innings: 74-29-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.2-2

— Cabrera is 2-0, 0.00 in his last four starts (22.2 IP).
— Marlins are 5-2 in his starts
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 51-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Miami is 15-32 in its last 47 games.
— Marlins are 26-34 at home.
— under 18-6-2 last 26 games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-126
— record in first 5 innings: 46-55-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-8-0

Pittsburgh (47-79) @ Philadelphia (72-55)
— Contreras is 1-2, 3.15 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 4-7 in his starts.
— under 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 0-11
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Pirates are 4-17 in their last 21 games.
— Pittsburgh is 21-43 on the road.
— over 18-8-2 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-126
— record in first 5 innings: 37-66-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7-5

— Syndergaard is 3-0, 3.60 in four starts for Philly.
— Phillies are 4-0 in his starts.
— under 3-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He is 2-1, 1.65 in four starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Phillies are 22-8 in last 30 games.
— Philly is 39-29 at home.
— under 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-127
— record in first 5 innings: 54-51-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 0-3-2

Cincinnati (50-75) @ Washington (42-85)
— Lodolo is 0-1, 3.95 in his last five starts.
— Cincinnati is 7-5 in his starts.
— over 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Reds are 6-12 in last 18 games.
— Cincinnati is 24-39 on road.
— under 19-13-1 last 33 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-125
— record in first 5 innings: 41-64-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-5

— Corbin is 0-7, 10.09 in his last eight starts.
— Washington is 1-11 in his last 12 starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 9-25
— record in first 5 innings: 6-17-2
— He is 4-4, 4.08 in 11 starts vs Cincinnati.

— Washington is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
— Nationals are 19-46 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-127
— record in first 5 innings: 33-78-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4.2-3.2

Colorado (54-74) @ NY Mets (82-46)
— Marquez is 0-3, 4.75 in his last six starts.
— Colorado is 9-6 in his last 15 starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 6-13-5
— He is 3-2, 3.89 in six starts vs New York.

— Colorado is 11-25 in its last 36 games.
— Rockies are 18-42 on road.
— over 14-8-1 last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-125
— record in first 5 innings: 33-69-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-3

— Scherzer is 3-1, 2.63 in his last six starts
— Mets are 12-6 in his starts.
— under 8-4-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-5
— He is 2-4, 4.91 in 11 starts vs Colorado.

— Mets are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Mets are 43-19 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 46-128
— record in first 5 innings: 70–34-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.2-3

Chicago (55-72) @ Milwaukee (66-59)
— Sampson is 1-3, 5.48 in his last five starts.
— Chicago is 6-5 in his starts.
— under 8-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 1-8-2
— He is 0-0, 2.38 in four games (1 start) vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs are 14-9 in their last 23 games.
— Cubs are 27-34 on road.
— under 30-15-5 last 50 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-127
— record in first 5 innings: 51-56-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.2-2

— Lauer is 3-2, 2.10 in his last five starts.
— Brewers are 14-9 in his starts
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-7
— He is 1-0, 2.65 in three starts vs Chicago TY.

— Brewers are 9-15 in their last 24 games.
— Milwaukee is 32-25 at home.
— over 6-4-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-125
— record in first 5 innings: 54-46-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-4-3

Atlanta (79-49) @ St Louis (73-54)
— Odorizzi is 1-2, 5.03 in four starts for Atlanta.
— Braves are 2-2 in his starts
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 2-1, 2.91 in four starts vs St Louis.

— Braves are 15-3 in their last 18 games.
— Atlanta is 37-25 on road.
— under 4-3-1 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-128
— record in first 5 innings: 71-42-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3.1

— Wainwright is 1-1, 1.23 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 14-11 in his starts.
— under 6-4 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-3
— He is 10-4, 3.46 in 14 starts vs Atlanta.

— Cardinals are 20-6 in their last 26 games.
— St Louis is 41-22 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 44-127
— record in first 5 innings: 58-48-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-3.2

American League
LA Angels (53-73) @ Toronto (68-56)
— Davidson is 1-2, 6.00 in three starts for Anaheim.
— Angels are 1-2 in his starts
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Angels lost nine of last 12 games, but won last two.
— Angels are 27-38 on road.
— under 5-3-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 36-127
— record in first 5 innings: 56-52-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.2-2

— Stripling is 2-0, 2.28 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 5-0 in his last five starts
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-5
— He is 1-2, 4.78 in five starts vs Anaheim.

— Blue Jays got shut out the last two days.
— Toronto is 36-27 at home.
— under 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 41-125
— record in first 5 innings: 48-47-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-2

Tampa Bay (69-56) @ Boston (61-65)
— Kluber is 1-1, 5.64 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 8-2-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-1
— He is 2-1, 3.18 in three starts vs Boston TY.

— Tampa Bay is 15-8 in its last 23 games.
— Rays are 27-34 on road.
— over 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 36-126
— record in first 5 innings: 58-45-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.2-2

— Pivetta is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— over 12-4-1 last 17
— allowed run in first inning: 8-25
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12-5
— He is 1-3, 4.67 in five starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Red Sox are 8-7 in last 15 games.
— Boston is 31-33 at home.
— over 6-4 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-127
— record in first 5 innings: 49-49-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-2

Detroit (49-78) @ Texas (58-68)
— Hutchison is 0-3, 3.80 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 3-8 in his starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-1
— He is 2-0, 2.84 in four starts vs Texas.

— Tigers are 13-30 in their last 43 games.
— Detroit is 20-43 on road.
— under 20-6-2 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-127
— record in first 5 innings: 42-66-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3

— Arihara is 1-1, 2.31 in two starts.
— Rangers are 1-1 in his starts
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Rangers won five of last seven games.
— Texas is 28-35 at home.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 33-126
— record in first 5 innings: 45-54-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3.2

Baltimore (67-59) @ Houston (80-47)
— Voth is 3-0, 2.33 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 7-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 8-1-2
— He gave up two runs in an IP in relief vs Houston.

— Orioles are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— Baltimore is 30-35 on road.
— under 10-3 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-126
— record in first 5 innings: 50-56-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-1.1

— Verlander is 8-0, 1.48 in his last ten starts.
— Astros are 17-7 in his starts
— under 18-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-24
— record in first 5 innings: 15-3-6
— He is 10-5, 3.72 in 22 starts vs Baltimore.

— Astros are 17-12 in their last 29 games.
— Houston is 42-20 at home.
— under 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 44-128
— record in first 5 innings: 76-34-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-4

Cleveland (67-57) @ Seattle (68-57)
— Civale is 0-0, 1.99 in his last five starts.
— Guardians are 8-7 in his starts.
— under 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 75-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-5
— He is 1-1, 3.07 in two starts vs Seattle.

— Guardians are 13-5 in their last 18 games.
— Cleveland is 35-32 on road.
— under 13-3-2 last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-124
— record in first 5 innings: 50-49-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-2

— Ray is 2-0, 2.08 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 9-3 in his last 12 starts
— over 4-2-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12-5
— He is 1-3, 4.18 in six starts vs Cleveland.

— Mariners are 13-9 in their last 22 games.
— Seattle is 33-28 at home.
— over 7-4-1 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 38-126
— record in first 5 innings: 50-55-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3

Bronx (78-49) @ A’s (47-81)
— Schmidt threw 3 shutout IP (50 PT) in his first ‘22 start.
— New York is 1-0 in his starts (June 16).
— This is his fourth MLB start overall.
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— New York won five of last six games.
— New York is 33-29 on road.
— under 13-3-1 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 43-127
— record in first 5 innings: 62-39-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.2-3

— Logue is 0-4, 7.71 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 2-8 in his starts
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 2-8
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— A’s are 6-15 in their last 21 games.
— Oakland is 21-43 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 29-128
— record in first 5 innings: 40-68-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-3-3

Interleague games
Arizona (58-67) @ White Sox (63-64)
— Davies is 0-0, 2.18 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 8-12 in his starts
— under 13-7
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-8
— He gave up 7 runs in two IP in one start vs Chicago.

— Diamondbacks won three of last four games.
— Arizona is 26-35 on road.
— over 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 36-125
— record in first 5 innings: 51-43-31
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-1.2

— Cease is 0-2, 4.40 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 10-3 in his last 13 starts.
— under 4-1 last five at home
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 14-10-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— White Sox are 1-5 in their last six games.
— Chicago is 30-33 at home.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 32-127
— record in first 5 innings: 50-61-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-6

San Diego (70-58) @ Kansas City (51-77)
— Manaea is 1-1, 7.20 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 8-5 in his last 13 starts.
— over 15-4-1 last 20
— allowed run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 6-13-4
— He is 2-0, 3.63 in three starts vs Kansas City.

— Padres are 5-6 in last 11 games.
— San Diego is 35-30 on road.
— under 10-3 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-126
— record in first 5 innings: 57-41-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-5.1-2

— Heasley is 0-1, 1.74 in his last two starts
— Royals are 0-6 in his last six starts
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-3
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Kansas City is 4-11 in its last 15 games.
— Royals are 31-37 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 34-128
— record in first 5 innings: 48-61-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-4

San Francisco (61-64) @ Minnesota (64-61)
— Junis is 0-0, 2.63 in his last two starts.
— Giants are 8-5 in his starts
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 0-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2
— He is 1-1, 4.35 in eight starts vs Minnesota.

— Giants lost seven of last nine games.
— San Francisco is 27-35 on road.
— under 8-3-1 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-125
— record in first 5 innings: 50-53-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5-4.1

— Sanchez is 0-1, 4.00 in two starts for Twins.
— Twins are 1-1 in his starts
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 2-1, 4.41 in three starts vs San Francisco.

— Minnesota lost six of last eight games, but won last two.
— Twins are 37-28 at home.
— over 23-17-3 last 43 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-125
— record in first 5 innings: 63-44-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 07:39 AM

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Sunday, AUGUST 28, 2022
8/28 10:35 AM PT / 1:35 PM ET

MLB (955) PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS (956) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

Take: over

Reason: The Philadelphia Phillies got the shut-out win over the Pirates on Saturday, 6-0. That makes six straight wins for the Phillies, including two straight over the Bucs. They have outscored the Bucs in the two games, 13-4. Noah Syndergaard gets the start today for Philly with a 8-8 overall record in 19 starts and a 3.77 ERA. He's been slightly better of late with a 3-2 record in seven starts with a 3.63 ERA. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has lost seven straight after their setback on Saturday. They have also been outscored 14-54 over their last six games. Roansy Contreras will start today for Pitsburgh. Contreras is 2-4 in 11 starts with a 3.90 ERA. That ERA goes up to 4.89 ERA over his last seven starts. With Atlanta or NY having a strangle hold on the NL top Wild Card, it's a battle for the final two. Right now Philly has that 2nd spot, 2.5 games ahead of the Padres and five games ahead of the Brewers. They know they need wins against teams like Pittsburgh to keep their postseason hopes going. Can't lay the big price today with the Phils or even the Run Line. Your free play is on the OVER.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:02 AM

Jack Winningham
Per his YouTube today
Phillies run line

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:03 AM

No Smith or Bellinger for Dodgers today

No Hoskins for Phillies today

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:15 AM

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Picks: Sunday, August 28, 2022

Race 1: 3-1-6-2
Race 2: 1-3-2-6
Race 3: 7-3-10-2
Race 4: 3-10-2-7
Race 5: 10-4-8-1
Race 6: 8-6-1-3
Race 7: 1-6-9-7
Race 8: 4-5-6-3
Race 9: 10-7-4-11
Most Likely Winner: Cajun Brother #1 (Race 2)
Best Value: Smiling Molly #7 (Race 3)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:15 AM

Saratoga Picks: Sunday, August 28, 2022

Race 1: 4-2-9-7
Race 2: 1-4-3-5
Race 3: 2-7-3-4
Race 4: 2-5-6-1
Race 5: 4-7-2-9
Race 6: 9-8-4-3
Race 7: 3-1-6-2
Race 8: 1-7-4-8
Race 9: 4-1-7-2
Race 10: 12-5-3-4
Most Likely Winner: Microphone #4 (Race 5)
Best Value: Legends Can't Die #1 (Race 8)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:16 AM

Saratoga Picks: Breeders' Cup ticket up for grabs in Ballerina H. on August 28
By J.N. Campbell

Saratoga Picks: Sunday, August 28, 2022

Race 1: 4-2-9-7
Race 2: 1-4-3-5
Race 3: 2-7-3-4
Race 4: 2-5-6-1
Race 5: 4-7-2-9
Race 6: 9-8-4-3
Race 7: 3-1-6-2
Race 8: 1-7-4-8
Race 9: 4-1-7-2
Race 10: 12-5-3-4
Most Likely Winner: Microphone #4 (Race 5)
Best Value: Legends Can't Die #1 (Race 8)

Most Likely Winner: (Race 5: Microphone #4, 2/1):

Throughout this Meet, we have seen Chad Brown’s runners take significant money, but some have fallen through the tote cracks. I am sure this gelding by Siyouni (FR) will be the former, so I want to watch the board and see where the money is flowing. Jose Ortiz doesn’t have his brother’s numbers, but that doesn’t mean he cannot finish well on the turf. His mount is building towards a win, and I want to be ready when it happens. Anything lower than 9/5 is probably not something I want to accept. Get the popcorn out …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #4

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 8: Legends Can’t Die #1, 5/1):

I think it is always telling when a trainer makes the decision to “runback” a horse. We just saw George Weaver’s gelding by Valiant Minister score in an OC80kn1x at Saratoga … all on the frontend. The connections are going to keep moving in the right direction, and see if they can capture lightning in a bottle once more. Manny Franco is riding extremely well, and with 20+ wins at the Meet, that speaks to his hot hand. If he can get loose on the lead, and control those fractions … Weaver might be heading to the winner’s circle once again.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #1 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 9: Dirt, 7F, Ballerina H. (G1), $500k, 3+):

The Breeders’ Cup Challenge Series rolls on, and the schedule is going to be heating up, since we only have about 2 months until purple reigns. On Sunday afternoon, the horse to beat will be the well-travelled Ce Ce #1. Mike McCarthy is looking to ship his prized daughter of Elusive Quality back to The Spa for another attempt in this race. Last year, she faced Bob Baffert’s Gamine, and ended up 3rd. Of course, that wasn’t a setback because she won the BC F&M Sprint (G1) … what revenge! For her ’22 campaign, she stretched out to win the Azeri (G2) at Oaklawn Park. Most would tend to agree that shorter distances are her specialty. SoCal rider Victor Espinoza hops a flight, returning to Saratoga. I will use McCarthy’s ace, but I really like the look of Brad Cox’s Lady Rocket #4. By Tale of the Cat, I certainly think her early speed can be a weapon. Ricardo Santana rode her effectively at Churchill Downs in the Grade 3 Chicago S., and with a great break, she might be able to wrestle the lead away from others. Frank Fletcher has owned some good ones over the years. Rounding out a ticket, I also like Chad Brown’s Goodnight Olive #7 and Bill Mott’s Obligatory #2. The former is a class climber, while the latter is looking to get back on track after losing the Bed O’ Roses (G2) to rival Bella Sofia #5 (who is drawn in here). That Rudy Rodriguez runner is certainly powerful, but I am not particularly sold on her against this group. What a race we have on tap … the Breeders’ Cup is on the line!

Wagering Recommendation: $.10 Superfecta Wheel, 4 w 1/2/5/7 w 1/2/5/7 w 1/2/5/7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:16 AM

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks August 28
Joseph Aiello

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks August 28
In Spa Selections, our correspondent provides his Saratoga picks for key races on today’s Saratoga card!

Race 7 – Claiming 35000n3L

1. #2 Freedomofthepress (5-2) – Was favorite last time in an open allowance, and should improve with the class drop but needs to be more forwardly placed

2. #6 Summer at the Spa (6-1) – Made a solid closing move last time in a state-bred allowance, and one of his better efforts with a slightly better break put him in the mix here

3. #3 Train to Artemus (3-1) – Got a better post draw last time and took advantage against similar claiming company, and can do so here if she stays forward

4. #1 O’Gotten Girl (4-1) – Has run against better horses than this for most of her career, and won in her only try dropping into claimers so could show similar improvement again

Race 8 – Better Talk Now Stakes

1. #4 Wit (9-5) – Might be a bit over-bet considering this field has some interesting runners at a price, but building off his Hall of Fame puts him ahead of the rest

2. #1 Legends Can’t Die (5-1) – Won over this track last time in a gate to wire effort, but even if he might not get those fractions, still looks like a good play to finish well

3. #7 Napoleonic War (2-1) – Nearly won a grade II two back and drops from a grade I, but there may be some prices who have more upside here even if this one can win

4. #8 Riot House (8-1) – Camp David is interesting switching to turf dropping from the Matt Winn, but this gelding has won two in a row on the turf and is trending up here

Race 9 – Grade I Ballerina Handicap

1. #2 Obligatory (7-2) – This filly by Curlin may just get the best set up in here with plenty of others vying for the lead, and should be good value for Juddmonte Farms

2. #1 Ce Ce (2-1) – Seems like the best in here especially if she gets the right stalking trip, but others offer better value in this spot

3. #6 Travel Column (12-1) – Ran impressively first time for Bill Mott, with a chance to build off that effort at a nice price and comes off a sharp four furlong work

4. #5 Bella Sofia (7-2) – Her speed is enough to make it impossible to ignore her, even with Lady Rocket breaking to her inside, she will need to break well have winning chances

Race 10 – Maiden 105k

1. #12 Java Buzz (4-1) – Has run two seconds at Saratoga going this distance, and even with a tougher outside post, might have enough class to best this group

2. #11 Matt Doyle (10-1) – First time turfer adds lasix and get Jose Ortiz here, plus comes out of a maiden where he finished second to Early Voting

3. #9 Upper Level (8-1) – Will need to go out with a bit more modest of fractions this time if he wants a chance to win, but still has more speed than the others and could hit the board

4. #4 Steady On (5-1) – First time starter by Pioneerof the Nile comes off a bullet workout and has a bit more upside than some lightly raced ones in this field

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:16 AM

Ballarat jumps racing betting preview | Sunday, August 28
August 26, 2022 5:58 pm.
James Herbert

What Ballarat Races
Where Ballarat Turf Club
When Sunday, August 28, 2022
First Race 11:55am AEST
Ladbrokes Logo

Visit Ladbrokes

The Ballarat Turf Club is scheduled to host a six-race card on Sunday afternoon for Grand National Steeplechase Day, where all six races are to be held over the obstacles. Following plenty of rain in the Ballarat area, we are set to be racing on a track rated a Heavy 10, whilst the rail comes out 5m the entire circuit. The day of jumping starts at 11:55am AEST.
Grand National Steeplechase Top Tip – The Cossack

The Paul Nelson-trained The Cossack was simply too bad to be true in the Grand National Hurdle at Sandown on August 7, but we expect he will bounce back to his best in Sunday’s Grand National Steeplechase. The nine-year-old gelding is a genuine mudlark having won 11 of 13 on heavy going and it is a case of the wetter, the better for this bloke. The improving track at Sandown simply did not suit him, but if he gets more rain in the lead up to the Grand National, the more he will tighten in betting with online Bookmakers. Look for leading New Zealand hoop Shaun Phelean to have The Cossack settled towards the rear of the field upon settling. Armed with a strong jumps record and a nice turn of foot on the flat, The Cossack looks the one to beat in the Grand National Steeplechase of 2022.
Grand National Steeplechase

Race 6 – Silk #1 The Cossack (3)

9yo Gelding | T: Paul Nelson | J: Shaun Phelan (70kg)

$5.50 with Neds
Best Bet at Ballarat – Brungle Bertie

Coming off a midfield finish in the Crisp Steeplechase at Sandown, the Henry Dwyer-trained Brungle Bertie is sure to appreciate the drop back in grade to a BM120 Steeplechase. The seven-year-old gelding was not beaten far two starts back at Pakenham in similar conditions that he faces on Sunday. Lee Horner will no doubt want to have this bloke settled close to the speed as he is not necessarily armed with a turn of foot, he’s more of a grinder and will look to outstay his rivals in the testing conditions. From barrier three, he should gain the suck run in transit behind race favourite Roland Garros and if there is a chink in the favourites armour, Brungle Bertie will be there waiting to strike.
Best Bet

Race 5 – Silk #4 Brungle Bertie (3)

7yo Gelding | T: Amy McDonald | J: Lee Horner (69.5kg)

$3.80 with Palmerbet
Best Value at Ballarat – Yulong Rising

The Amy McDonald-trained Yulong Rising has been racing in consistent enough form to suggest he is a genuine winning chance on Sunday. Despite not winning in nearly three years, the seven-year-old gelding strikes a race that he can prove prominent in. He has three minor placings to his name from his last four starts, including two seconds, which surely suggests an overdue win is around the corner. He was left flat footed at Sandown last time out when the pace went into the race, but managed to pick up the bit in the home straight to be beaten four-lengths by Heir To The Throne. With a genuine tempo expected in the race, look for Lee Horner to have Yulong Rising camped off the leaders and if he is anywhere near his recent form, he looks a great play at a nice price with online betting sites.
Best Value

Race 3 – Silk #6 Yulong Rising (6)

7yo Gelding | T: Amy McDonald | J: Lee Horner (70kg)

$8 with Unibet
Sunday quaddie tips for Ballarat
Ballarat quadrella selections

Sunday, August 28, 2022

1-2-4-6
1-4
2-3
1-2

Investment: $32 for 100%

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:17 AM

Wyong racing tips & quaddie | 28/8/2022
August 27, 2022 7:56 am.
Nicholas Lloyd

What Wyong Races
Where Wyong Race Club – 71-73 Howarth St, Wyong NSW 2259
When Sunday, August 28, 2022
First Race 12:20pm AEST
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An eight-race card has been assembled for Sunday afternoon at the Wyong Race Club, and HorseBetting’s New South Wales racing analyst has found a couple of nice bets for you. The track is rated a Soft 5 and the rail is out 3m for the entire course. The meeting is scheduled to begin at 12:20pm AEST. Continue reading for our best bets and quaddie selections.
Best Bet at Wyong – Stonecoat

The Waterhouse & Bott team combine in the second leg of quaddie with three-year-old gelding Stonecoat. The son of Pierro won well on debut at Scone before having his next two starts in competitive Saturday races at Randwick and Rosehill Gardens respectively. In his latest outing, the gelding led the field before being claimed late by Manzoice and Backrower over 1300m. Now out to 1600m and having drawn the inside alley, Stonecoat will be able to control the tempo of the race and he should be too classy. This is very winnable for Stonecoat.
Best Bet

Race 6 – Silk #1 Stonecoat (1)

3yo Gelding | T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott | J: Joshua Parr (59kg)

$2 with Ladbrokes
Next Best at Wyong – Hawaii Five Oh

Hawaii Five Oh is the full brother the very talented Libertini, so his debut run will be very interesting. The Michael Freedman-trained three-year-old has shown enough at the trials to warrant being odds-on on debut, and with Nash Rawiller heading to Wyong for the ride, it only adds confidence. Drawn the inside alley, Nash will send the son of I Am Invincible to the front, where he can really dictate terms. A winning debut seems more than likely for Hawaii Five Oh.
Next Best

Race 1 – Silk #2 Hawaii Five Oh (1)

3yo Colt | T: Michael Freedman | J: Nash Rawiller (57kg)

$1.80 with Bet365
Best Value Bet at Wyong – Deniliquin

There isn’t massive value around for John Thompson’s Deniliquin, but we thought the $5 was a good enough price for the impressive last-start winner. The son of Adelaide bolted in at Kembla Grange last time out over 2000m when third-up, so he should take plenty of benefit out of that and appreciate getting out to 2100m. With Regan Bayliss on board from barrier seven, the five-year-old will get back in the run and he should be too classy for his rivals.
Best Value

Race 5 – Silk #4 Deniliquin (7)

5yo Gelding | T: John Thompson | J: Regan Bayliss (58kg)

$5 with Neds
Sunday quaddie tips for Wyong
Wyong quadrella selections

Sunday, August 28, 2022

4-9
1
2-3-9
2-3-4-8-10

Investment: $30 for 100%

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:17 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Del Mar, Gulfstream Park, and Saratoga for August 28, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

Let’s close out another solid week of racing! For the free pick 4, we will head back to Saratoga for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Del Mar and Gulfstream Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s GO!

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Saratoga:

Saratoga August 28, 2022

Race 7: Claiming

#2 Freedomofthepress takes a drop in class after running well against starter allowance company as of late. The class drop should make her tough in this spot. #3 Train to Artemus looks for two in a row today after winning at this same level at Saratoga two weeks ago.

Race 8: Better Talk Now Stakes
freestar

#7 Napoleonic War takes a drop in class after taking on much tougher company last time out. Two starts back, he was second in a solid Grade 2 race. #1 Legends Cant Die goes for two in a row today after dominating an allowance race over this track last time out in gate to wire fashion.

Race 9: Ballerina Handicap (G1)

#2 Obligatory has been improving steadily her entire career and seems ready to run a big race today. She should get an honest pace, which is what she needs to get the job done here. #4 Lady Rocket is tough to beat when at her best; however, she can be a bit inconsistent.

Race 10: Maiden Special Weight

#12 Java Buzz has hit the board in two straight starts at this class level. He has been good since coming back from the layoff. #2 Rockets Red Glare was a solid fourth on debut last time out and should move forward off of that effort today.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-10) 1,2,3,6 / 1,4,7,9 / 2 / 2,6,9,12 – $32

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:17 AM

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Sunday, August 28
Posted on August 26, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 1: FOREVER DIXIE (#10)

Among those with experience, Xigera (#2) is clearly the horse to beat. She got a 100 TimeformUS Speed Figure for her debut, which would be good enough to win most maiden races at this meet. She just had the misfortune of running into a pretty talented debut winner. Nevertheless, she showed good tactical speed and ran a professional race. She’s bred to be a nice turf horse as a half-sister to stakes winner Forty Under, and Phil Bauer is in the midst of a fantastic meet. I’m not against her, but I was interested in another experienced runner who could fly under the radar. Forever Dixie (#10) began her career on dirt and didn’t run that badly. However, she did appear to take a step forward on grass last time despite achieving another fifth-place result. She had to steady off heels moving into the clubhouse turn and then proceeded to race 2 to 3-wide throughout over a course that was favoring rail runners. She still looked a little ungainly in upper stretch, but was hitting her best stride late once Leparoux finally set her down. Now Mark Casse adds blinkers to a filly who has been a little green and makes a rider switch to Tyler Gaffalione. Casse is 23 for 129 (18%, $2.45 ROI) with maiden third time starters in turf routes over 5 years. As for firsters, I would rather use Wand (#4) and Mademoisellejackie (#9), who have both worked well on grass, instead of the Chad Brown pair.

RACE 8: SERIFOS (#2)

Despite not possessing much obvious turf pedigree, Wit (#4) appeared to take to this surface quite well in the G2 Hall of Fame. Reserved off a moderate early pace, he closed best of all down the center of the track in the stretch. The race was dominated on the front end, so he deserves credit for making up so much ground. Now he finds himself in an easier restricted spot, and will likely benefit from some speed in this affair. I slightly prefer his main rival Napoleonic War (#7), who is simply getting needed class relief after proving no match for a tougher group in the G1 Belmont Derby, where he just couldn’t see out the distance. He had run well in his prior starts on turf and seems like one that will really benefit from this cutback to a flat mile. They’re both logical, but I wanted to get a little more creative with a horse who figures to get overlooked. Serifos (#2) comes into this stakes event showing three awful races on the turf from the early part of his career. Yet that was before his connections gelded him, which seemed to turn him into more of an athlete. He just feels like a horse that has improved by leaps and bounds in the overall sense since last winter. He was beating lesser competition, but he was a visually impressive winner last time at Delaware despite the fact that his jockey lost the irons in the stretch. He’s actually bred for turf, as he is a half-brother to Group 2 Prix Dollar winner Alignement as well as multiple stakes-winning turf horse Alda. I just think he’s an intriguing new face at a price, going out for the trainer who conditioned the race’s namesake.

RACE 9: LADY ROCKET (#4)

Ce Ce (#1) comes into this Grade 1 Ballerina as the reigning champion. However, that accolade was bestowed because she won the most important race, beating Gamine when it counted in the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint. While she’s run well since then, she isn’t exactly a dominant force among these female sprinters, entering this race with a set of performances that don’t exactly make her a standout. I think she’s vulnerable and want to take some shots against her. Obligatory (#2) has been in fantastic form this year. She got the right pace setup in the Derby City Distaff, but she produced a fantastic stretch run to rally past the entire field. I won’t hold her recent loss to Bella Sofia against her, since she was arguably best after racing behind a slow pace. I actually think she’s the horse to beat here, but I am a little concerned about a lack of pace. My top pick is Lady Rocket (#4). Some will view her as a one-hit wonder, as that 9-length romp in the Go For Wand stands out among her running lines. However, I think she’s run better than it appears in her three starts since then. That was particularly the case in the Madison when she got involved in a wicked pace that fell apart. She was dueling that day with Kimari, who since returned to beat Bella Sofia in the Honorable Miss with a career-best performance. I won’t hold Lady Rocket’s Ruffian against her, since that has proven to be a key race, with multiple horses improving their speed figures out of it. She beat a pair of nice mares at Churchill last time, and appears to be coming into this Grade 1 test in excellent form. Brad Cox is an amazing 25 for 58 (43%, $3.22 ROI) with last-out winners in Grade 1 dirt races over the past 5 years.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:18 AM

Mountaineer Park Picks - Sunday, August 28, 2022

Race 1: 3-4-8-1
Race 2: 3-2-10-6
Race 3: 2-6-7-1
Race 4: 5-6-3-2
Race 5: 8-4-5-3
Race 6: 3-2-1-4
Race 7: 10-6-1-7
Race 8: 1-4-3-2
**Most Likely Winner: Machen's Ridge (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Blue Lily (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-28-2022, 11:18 AM

Monmouth Park Picks: Sunday, August 28, 2022

Race 1: 4-3-1-5
Race 2: 3-7-6-2
Race 3: 9-3-1-5
Race 4: 5-2-1-7
Race 5: 6-2-7-3
Race 6: 8-5-3-6
Race 7: 7-5-1-8
Race 8: 5-3-9-8
Race 9: 9-10-1-5
Race 10: 2-5-4-8
Most Likely Winner: Midnight Heiress (Race 1)
Best Value: Royal Urn (Race 5)

Sunday 8/28/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 8/28/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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