Sunday 9/11/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 5-14-3 ATS in its last 22 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

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LAS VEGAS RAIDERS VS. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

The Las Vegas Raiders and the Los Angeles Chargers will meet on the gridiron at SoFi Stadium on Sunday in a battle of division rivals.

Oddsmakers opened the Chargers as -4-point favorites versus the Raiders, while the game's total opened at 51.5.

Los Angeles lost its last outing, a 35-32 result against the Raiders on January 09. The Chargers failed to cover in that game as a -3-point favorite, while the 67 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Last time out for Las Vegas, they were a 26-19 loser as they battled the Bengals on the road. The Raiders failed to cover in the match as a +6-point underdog, while 45 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Next up:
Las Vegas home to Arizona Sunday, September 18
Los Angeles at Kansas City Thursday, September 15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
LA Chargers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games at home
LA Chargers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
LA Chargers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
LA Chargers is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
LA Chargers is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing at home against Las Vegas

Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games
Las Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Las Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Las Vegas is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Las Vegas is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS. ARIZONA CARDINALS

The fans at State Farm Stadium will be treated to a game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Arizona Cardinals when they take their seats on Sunday.

Oddsmakers opened the Chiefs as -1.5-point favorites versus the Cardinals, while the game's total opened at 50.5.

Last time out for Arizona, they were a 34-11 loser as they battled the Rams on the road. The Cardinals failed to cover in the match as a +3-point underdog, while 45 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Last time out for Kansas City, they were a 27-24 loser as they battled the Bengals at home. The Chiefs failed to cover in the match as a -7-point favorite, while 51 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Next up:
Kansas City home to Los Angeles Thursday, September 15
Arizona at Las Vegas Sunday, September 18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Kansas City is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Kansas City is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Kansas City is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS

U.S. Bank Stadium has a Week 1 contest on tap for Sunday as the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings play their season openers.

Oddsmakers opened the Packers as -1.5-point favorites versus the Vikings, while the game's total opened at 48.5.

In their last action, Minnesota was a 31-17 winner at home against the Bears. They covered the -3.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (48) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Green Bay was a 13-10 loser in its last match at home against the 49ers. They failed to cover the -6-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 23 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

Next up:
Green Bay home to Chicago Sunday, September 18
Minnesota at Philadelphia Monday, September 19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 8-15-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing at home against Green Bay

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 8 games
Green Bay is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEW YORK GIANTS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS

The New York Giants and the Tennessee Titans will be battling on the gridiron at Nissan Stadium on Sunday in season-opening action.

Oddsmakers opened the Titans as -6.5-point favorites versus the Giants, while the game's total opened at 43.5.

Last time out for Tennessee, they were a 19-16 loser as they battled the Bengals at home. The Titans failed to cover in the match as a -4-point favorite, while 35 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

The Giants were a 22-7 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Football Team. They failed to cover the +6-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (29) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Next up:
New York home to Carolina Sunday, September 18
Tennessee at Buffalo Monday, September 19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Tennessee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games
Tennessee is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Tennessee is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants

New York Giants
NY Giants is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Giants's last 11 games
NY Giants is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games on the road
NY Giants is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
NY Giants is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee

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TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS VS. DALLAS COWBOYS

The fans at AT&T Stadium will be treated to a game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Dallas Cowboys when they take their seats on Sunday.

Oddsmakers opened the Buccaneers as -2.5-point favorites versus the Cowboys, while the game's total opened at 52.5.

Last time out for Dallas, they were a 23-17 loser as they battled the 49ers at home. The Cowboys failed to cover in the match as a -3-point favorite, while 40 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Tampa Bay lost its last outing, a 30-27 result against the Rams on January 23. The Buccaneers failed to cover in that game as a -3-point favorite, while the 57 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Next up:
Tampa Bay at New Orleans Sunday, September 18
Dallas home to Cincinnati Sunday, September 18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Dallas's last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Dallas is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BALTIMORE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. in the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in the last 2 seasons.

NEW ENGLAND is 94-56 ATS (32.4 Units) as a dog since 1992.

CLEVELAND is 16-4 Under (11.6 Units) against the NFC South since 1992.

PITTSBURGH is 93-62 ATS (24.8 Units) as a dog since 1992.

CHICAGO is 60-34 Under (22.6 Units) as a home dog of <=7 since 1992.

DETROIT is 64-40 Over (20 Units) in home games in the 1rst half of the season since 1992.

INDIANAPOLIS are 57-36 ATS (17.4 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.

JACKSONVILLE is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) at home when the total >=49.5 in the last 3 seasons.

LAS VEGAS are 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

MINNESOTA is 38-21 ATS (14.9 Units) in home games as a dog since 1992.

TENNESSEE is 60-35 ATS (21.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

DALLAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in the 1rst half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Week 1
Trend Report

Indianapolis @ Houston
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Houston
Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis

San Francisco @ Chicago
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games

New Orleans @ Atlanta
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games

Jacksonville @ Washington
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Jacksonville's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville

Philadelphia @ Detroit
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

New England @ Miami
New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New England's last 13 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Cleveland @ Carolina
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games

Baltimore @ NY Jets
Baltimore
Baltimore is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Jets
Baltimore is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Jets's last 14 games

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

Las Vegas @ LA Chargers
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games at home

Kansas City @ Arizona
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Kansas City is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Green Bay @ Minnesota
Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

NY Giants @ Tennessee
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Giants's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants

Tampa Bay @ Dallas
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Total Trend

* New Orleans at Atlanta: The Saints welcome back QB Jameis Winston from injury, while the Falcons turn over their starting quarterback chores to QB Marcus Mariota. The OVER cashed in each of the two meetings between these NFC South Division rivals last season.

While the UNDER is still 8-3 in the past 11 meetings against divisional teams for the Saints, again, the OVER went 2-0 vs. ATL in 2021. And the OVER is 7-1 in the past eight openers for the Saints. For the Falcons, the OVER has cashed in six of the past eight against divisional foes, although the UNDER is 4-1 in their past five season openers.


* Pittsburgh at Cincinnati: The Steelers haven't officially named a starting QB, although it is fully expected Mitchell Trubisky will be that guy after the depth chart released earlier this week revealed as much. As such, it is believed that the Steelers will rely heavily upon the run game more, especially with sophomore RB Najee Harris. That means more lengthy drives and running of the clock, which tend to be a favorite to UNDER bettors.

The defending AFC champion Bengals hit the OVER in their home meeting with the Steelers last season, a 41-10 blowout which nearly saw Cincinnati take care of the 43-point total themselves. The UNDER cashed in the first meeting, and the Bengals held the Steelers to 10 points in each of the two battles. For the Bengals, the OVER was 3-0 in their three home games against division rivals in 2021.


* New England at Miami: The Patriots head down to South Florida to contend not only with the Dolphins, but with the heat and humidity in September. It's often not a pleasant mix, especially for northern teams.

The OVER cashed in the regular-season finale at Hard Rock Stadium on Jan. 9, a 33-24 victory by the Dolphins. These teams met in Week 1 in Foxboro last season, with the Dolphins coming away with a stunning 17-16 as the UNDER cashed.

The Dolphins boast a new-look offense, with WR Tyreek Hill as the big-splash addition to give QB Tua Tagovailoa a new weapon downfield, while RB Chase Edmonds comes in to bolster the run game.

The UNDER is 4-0 in the past regular-season openers for the Pats, although the OVER went 4-1 in the final five divisional games in 2021. The UNDER is 10-4 for the Dolphins in the past 14 Week 1 affairs, while going 7-3 in the past 10 against division rivals.


* Indianapolis at Houston: The Colts turn to QB Matt Ryan to run the offense, their third different veteran starter under center in the past three seasons after a year of QB Philip Rivers (retired), and a year of QB Carson Wentz (now in Washington).

The UNDER cashed in both of the meetings in 2021, and the games weren't particularly close, either. Indianapolis won 31-3 in a Week 6 meeting at home, while winning 31-0 at NRG Stadium in Week 13. In fact, Indy cashed the UNDER in five of six divisional matchups last season, and the UNDER is 8-1 in its past nine against the NFC South overall.

The OVER is actually 8-3 in the past 11 home games for the Texans, but the UNDER has hit in six consecutive meetings against the Colts at NRG, and the UNDER is 18-6 in the previous 24 meetings in this series.


* Green Bay at Minnesota: The Packers had quite the offseason shuffle of personnel, especially for the receiving corps. WR Davante Adams is now playing his football with the Las Vegas Raiders, while WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling is now plying his trade with the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Packers were able to pile up the points in 2021 against the Vikings, rolling up a pair of OVERs while posting 31 in the first meeting in the Twin Cities in Week 11, and 37 in the Week 17 matchup at home. In fact, Green Bay was 5-1 to the OVER in six divisional games in 2021.

The Vikings were no stranger to the OVER in 2021, either, finishing 7-1 in the final eight regular-season games. That stretch included a perfect 5-0 vs. NFC South, including both meetings with the Pack.


* Las Vegas at L.A. Chargers: The Raiders have a new weapon in Adams, as Vegas looks to keep up with the AFC West rivals who also made giant offseason personnel additions. The Chargers are expecting QB Justin Herbert to take another giant step forward, and would love to bring a Super Bowl trophy to SoFi like the Rams did in 2021.

These teams split the OVER-UNDER in two regular-season matchups in 2021, with the UNDER cashing in a Week 4 matchup in L.A., and the OVER hitting in a wild Week 17 affair which required overtime.

The Bolts ended up hitting the OVER in the final six regular-season games, while going 9-2 in the final 11 games overall. That includes the final four home games. L.A. scored 32, 34, 29, 28, 37 and 41 to close out the campaign, so you can understand why expectations for Herbert and the offseason are sky high.


* San Francisco at Chicago: The 49ers will have a new look under center, as San Francisco goes with QB Trey Lance ahead of long-time starter QB Jimmy Garoppolo, now the backup.

These teams met last season on Halloween in Chicago, with the 49ers winning 33-22 behind Jimmy G in an OVER result. For the 49ers, the UNDER was 4-2 in six trips to either the Eastern or Central Time Zone in 2021.

The Bears offense showed some signs of life down the stretch with QB Justin Fields, going for 22 or more points in four of the final seven regular-season games, with the OVER 4-2 in the final six. The UNDER was 3-1 in the final four home games for Chicago, however.


* Philadelphia at Detroit: These teams met in Week 8 in Detroit, and the Eagles found plenty of treats in the end zone on Halloween with a 44-6 rout of the Lions. Detroit saw plenty of hard knocks in that game, and will have revenge on its mind.

The Eagles posted 26 or more points in four of the final five regular-season games, as QB Jalen Hurts and the offense really took a big step forward down the stretch. The OVER was 4-1 in the final five outings, and the OVER is 7-3 in Philly's past 10 as a favorite.

The Lions offense scored 29 or more points in three of the final four regular-season games, and expectations have been ratcheted up a bit in Motown, especially due to head coach Dan Campbell's infectious attitude. The OVER is 16-7 in the past 23 games at home for the boys in Honolulu Blue and Silver, while going 16-5 in the previous 21 regular-season openers.


* Baltimore at N.Y. Jets: The Ravens hit the road where they were 5-3 to the UNDER last season, although the OVER cashed in the final two games away from home.

Meanwhile, the Jets are hoping to take a turn toward respectability, but they could get off to a slow start. QB Zach Wilson (knee surgery) suffered a knee injury in the preseason opener, and he needed arthroscopic surgery to repair the ailment. If he isn't ready Sunday, QB Joe Flacco would make the start against his former team, and that smells like an UNDER result waiting to happen.

The UNDER is 5-0 in the past five for Baltimore as a favorite, while going 11-4 in the past 15 on the road, and 4-0 in the past four as a road fave. For Gang Green, the OVER is 6-2 in the past eight at home, and most trends point to the OVER. But again, they might start the season with a backup signal caller. And the UNDER is 4-0 in the past four September games for the Jets.


* Jacksonville at Washington: The Jaguars hope to finally get out of the basement of the standings and show some progress, but if the winless preseason is any indication, it's gonna be another tough road to hoe in 2022.

The Jaguars saw the UNDER cash at a 5-0 clip against the NFC last season, scoring 19, 7, 10, 14 and 7 in those five outings. The UNDER was also 5-2 in the final seven road games of 2021, and 6-2 if you count a game in London against the Miami Dolphins.

The Commanders, then named the Washington Football Team, managed to cash the UNDER at a 10-7 clip last season. The UNDER hit in the final five home games for Washington in 2021, while the UNDER is 11-4 in their past 15 games when favored, including 7-3 in the past 10 as a home fave.


* Cleveland at Carolina: The Browns made a controversial signing in the offseason. Perhaps you heard about it on social media or somewhere. Anyway, that signing spelled the end of the stay in Cleveland for QB Baker Mayfield, who just happened to get traded to Carolina, the Week 1 opponent for the Browns. In Week 1 in 2021, the Panthers faced the Jets, after acquiring QB Sam Darnold from New York last offseason. What's with the Panthers starting a QB against their former team in the very first game each season?

Cleveland scored 20 or more points in each of its preseason games to hit the OVER each time, which is a far cry from the UNDER run it closed the regular season on. The UNDER was 6-1 in the final seven regular-season games, which prompted the team to go out and mortgage the future on the controversial QB Deshaun Watson. He is suspended for the first 11 games, so it will be QB Jacoby Brissett serving as a caretaker/bridge until Watson is eligible to return. Expect plenty of running with RBs Nick Chubb and/or Kareem Hunt, and that means UNDER results, most likely.

The Panthers scored 17, 10, 6 and 14 in the final four regular-season games in 2021, so Mayfield will be a breath of fresh air for an offense needing some excitement. If RB Christian McCaffrey can manage to stay healthy, that will do wonders for this offense, and the prospects for OVER bettors, too. The UNDER was 3-2 for Carolina vs. AFC in 2021, but the OVER hit in the final two encounters against the AFC.


* N.Y. Giants at Tennessee: The Giants open the season in Nashville, and this game features two injury-prone running backs looking to get off to a quick start while managing to stay healthy. If New York's Saquon Barkley and Tennessee's Derrick Henry can start strong, that's good news for their teams, but, of course, it's good news for UNDER bettors, too. Again, a strong run game runs the clock.

The Giants averaged 25.0 PPG in the preseason, hitting the OVER three times. Is that a sign of things to come? Fans of Big Blue, and potential OVER bettors, hope so. The UNDER finished on a 9-2-1 run for the G-Men in the final 12 outings, and cashed in each of the five contests against AFC foes in 2021.

The Titans struggled to find consistency in the preseason, scoring 13 or fewer points on two occasions. In games against the NFC, the Titans saw the UNDER go 3-2 last season, including a 2-1 mark in three games at Nissan Stadium. The UNDER closed on a 5-1 run for the Titans, too, including the AFC Divisional Round playoff game against the Bengals.


* Kansas City at Arizona: The Chiefs made some news in the offseason, sending Hill to Miami, while adding WRs Juju Smith-Schuster and Valdes-Scantling to the receivers room. But it was the defense in the preseason making some big waves, allowing just 43 total points to hit the UNDER in all three exhibition games. Time will tell if that effort carries over into the regular season, and it faces a big test against Cardinals QB Kyler Murray and the high-flying Arizona offense.

Kansas City saw the UNDER cash in four of five meetings against NFC teams last season, going 1-1 on the road. The Arizona defense was picked apart for 23 or more points in each of its three preseason games, cashing the OVER in each outing. However, against AFC teams in 2021, the UNDER was 4-1 for the Cardinals, with the loan OVER result a 37-14 rout in Cleveland in Week 6.

The OVER has cashed in the past seven regular-season openers for Kansas City, while going 17-7 in the past 24 games in the month of September. For the Cardinals, the UNDER might be 21-8 in the past 29 games in September, but the OVER is 5-2 in their past seven as a home 'dog.


* Tampa Bay at Dallas: The Buccaneers welcome back the ageless QB Tom Brady for his third season in Tampa. The 45-year-old is still performing at a high level, and this offense posted 405.9 total yards per game and 30.1 PPG to rank second in the NFL in both categories. However, the OVER had just a slight 9-8 edge in the regular season, as the defense really stiffened up down the stretch. The OVER is 5-1 in the past six regular-season openers, including 2-0 in the past two with Brady under center.

The Cowboys were an UNDER machine from Halloween on last season, going 8-3 in the final 11 regular-season games, with an UNDER result in their NFC Wild-Card Game loss to the 49ers. The OVER is 13-6 in the past 19 for the Pokes at Jerry World, while going 5-2 in the past seven as a home 'dog.

These same teams met in Week 1 last season, with Brady's Bucs coming out ahead with a 31-29 win at Raymond James Stadium as the OVER easily connected.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Washington Commanders (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jags lost and failed to cover last four on road a year ago en route to 2-6 spread mark away from home.
J’ville also enters 2022 on 13-5 “under” run.
Wash actually 6-2-1 vs. spread down stretch last season and was “under” last five at Fed Ex.
Doug Pederson Jags debut.

Tech Play: Commanders, Under


Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bengals have won and covered last three meetings.
Tomlin 4-4 as road dog in reg season a year ago, but was 11-3 previous 14 in role.
Cincy closed 2021 by covering eight in a row, was also “under” last five in 2021.
Bengals, Under

Tech Play: Bengals, Under


New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Belichick has had problems in past at Miami even with some of his Super Bowl teams.
He’s 2-7 SU and vs. spread last nine on road vs. Dolphins and has lost and failed to cover last three in series.
Dolphins closed last season 8-1 S, 7-2 vs. line.
McDaniel Miami debut.

Tech Play: Dolphins


Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Birds covered 5 of last 7 on road in reg season a year ago, including 44-6 romp at Ford Field.
Despite poor overall mark a year ago, Lions did manage covers in 6 of 8 at home (though not vs. Philly), and were a solid 11-6 vs. line overall, covering eight games in which they didn’t win outright!

Tech Play: Eagles


Cleveland Browns vs. Carolina Panthers (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Mayfield game! Browns lost and failed to cover six of last eight a season ago.
Panthers however lost and failed to cover their last seven in 2021, losing and failing to cover last six in Charlotte.

Tech Play: Browns


San Francisco 49ers vs. Chicago Bears (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Niners won and covered at Soldier Field last Halloween, part of their 8-4 spread mark away from Santa Clara.
SF now 20-8 vs. spread as visitor since 2019.
Niners also “under” 7-1 last eight in 2021. Bears were 1-5 vs. line last six at home a year ago.
Matt Eberflus Bears debut.

Tech Play: Niners


Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Last year, Colts won and covered both meetings by near-identical 31-3 & 31-0 scorelines.
Indy has covered six of last seven in series, and Reich had covered six straight on the road last season before last-game loss at Jags.
Texans actually decent 5-4 for Culley at home in 2021 despite overall poor SU mark of 4-13.
Last five “under” in series.

Tech Play: Colts, Under



Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Jets (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens have won and covered 5 of last 6 openers (L came last year at Raiders), though they did drop 4 of 5 as road chalk during injury-plagued 2021.
Jets have failed to cover in four of last five openers, also just 12-21 vs. spread last two seasons.

Tech Play: Ravens


New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Saints have won and covered last four at Falcons.
NO covered 6 of last 8 on road a year ago.
Before both meetings went “over” a year ago, five straight were “under” in this series.
Falcons failed to cover all seven at Mercedes Benz last season (one “home” game in London vs. Jets).
Dennis Allen Saints debut.

Tech Play: Saints


New York Giants vs. Tennessee Titans (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Daboll Giants debut. G-Men closed 2021 with a whimper, lose and failed to cover last six and seven of last eight.
Once sparkling road dog marks dissipated down stretch, dropping last four in role after 13-3 previous 16 getting points away.
NY also on 18-5 “under” run since mid 2020. Titans were “under” 5 of last 6 in 2021, and covered 6 of last 8 in Nashville during reg season a year ago.

Tech Play: Under


Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
O’Connell Vikings debut.
Teams have split the past two seasons.
Pack dropped four of last five vs. spread in 2021 after covering 11 of first 13.
No covers last three away in 2021 for Pack.
Four straight “over” in this series.
Vikes “over” 7 of last 8 in 2021.

Tech Play: Over

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Arizona Cardinals (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Chiefs have won last seven openers, covering five of those.
KC, however, only 5-8 vs. spread last 13 away, and just 12-19 against line last 31 on board.
Chiefs “over” 7 of last 8 in 2021.
Cards have covered last three openers, and 5-1 vs. spread in first two games of each of last three seasons.
Kingsbury also 5-1 last six as dog.
But Az only 2-7 vs. line last nine as host.

Tech Play: Cardinals, Over



Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
McDaniels debut for Raiders, remember he won and covered his first six when at Denver in 2009 in last head coaching gig.
Teams have split the past two seasons, three of those four meetings “over” as well.
Raiders were just 3-5 vs. spread last eight away a season ago, Chargers “over” last six in 2021

Tech Play: Over


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Same opener as last year only that one was in Tampa and Bucs prevailed 31-29 on a Thursday night, but no cover.
Bucs only 4-5 vs. spread away last season.
Cowboys opened with seven straight covers a season ago but were just 2-4 vs. spread last six in Arlington.
Bowles Bucs debut.

Tech Play: Cowboys