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Re: 2-16-09
NCAAB
Monday, February 16
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Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM CANISIUS vs. LOYOLA
Canisius is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Loyola
Canisius is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Loyola
Loyola is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Canisius
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Loyola's last 5 games when playing Canisius
7:00 PM PITTSBURGH vs. CONNECTICUT
Pittsburgh is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Connecticut
Pittsburgh is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 8 games at home
7:30 PM COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
College of Charleston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Appalachian State
College of Charleston is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Appalachian State is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
7:30 PM SIENA vs. IONA
Siena is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iona
Siena is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Iona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Iona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
8:00 PM MARIST vs. SAINT PETER'S
Marist is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Saint Peter's
Marist is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Saint Peter's is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Marist
Saint Peter's is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
9:00 PM LOUISIANA TECH vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
Louisiana Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
New Mexico State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Louisiana Tech
New Mexico State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana Tech
9:00 PM TEXAS vs. TEXAS A&M
Texas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas A&M
Texas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Texas
Texas A&M is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing TexasComment
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Re: 2-16-09
NHL
Monday, February 16
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Trend Sheet
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2:00 PM PITTSBURGH vs. NY ISLANDERS
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of the NY Islanders last 13 games
7:00 PM DALLAS vs. COLUMBUS
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
7:00 PM NY RANGERS vs. ST. LOUIS
NY Rangers are 2-4-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Rangers last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-3-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
8:00 PM OTTAWA vs. NASHVILLE
Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Ottawa is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Nashville is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
9:30 PM EDMONTON vs. PHOENIX
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games at home
10:30 PM ATLANTA vs. LOS ANGELES
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at homeComment
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Re: 2-16-09
NCAA Basketball Picks
Texas at Texas A&M
The Longhorns are just 3-7 ATS against conference opponents this season, while the Aggies are 6-3 ATS as an underdog. Texas A&M is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+2). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, FEBRUARY 16
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: Pittsburgh at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 77.299; Connecticut 81.950
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 3
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-3)
Game 503-504: Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 53.283; New Mexico State 58.100
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 5
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 9
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+9)
Game 505-506: Texas at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 68.631; Texas A&M 68.453
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Texas by 2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+2)
Game 507-508: Canisius at Loyola-MD
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 47.483; Loyola-MD 50.645
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 3
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 7
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+7)
Game 509-510: College of Charleston at Appalachian State
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 53.647; Appalachian State 52.171
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 1
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (+1)
Game 511-512: Siena at Iona
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 60.268; Iona 55.306
Dunkel Line: Siena by 5
Vegas Line: Siena by 4
Dunkel Pick: Siena (-4)
Game 513-513: Marist at St. Peter's
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 45.780; St. Peter's 50.898
Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 5
Vegas Line: St. Peter's by 3
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (-3)Comment
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Re: 2-16-09
Today's NHL Picks
Dallas at Columbus
The Stars look to rebound from a 6-2 loss at Chicago on Saturday and build on their 10-4 record after losing by 2 goals or more in their previous game. Dallas is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Stars favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+105). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, FEBRUARY 16
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Pittsburgh at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.409; NY Islanders 11.747
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-180); 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+160); Under
Game 53-54: Dallas at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.966; Columbus 12.019
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+105); Under
Game 55-56: NY Rangers at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.670; St. Louis 10.336
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+100); Over
Game 57-58: Ottawa at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.429; Nashville 12.219
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+120); Under
Game 59-60: Edmonton at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.465; Phoenix 11.229
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-110); Over
Game 61-62: Atlanta at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.787; Los Angeles 12.457
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-215); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-215); OverComment
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Re: 2-16-09
SPORTS ADVISORS
(4) Pittsburgh (23-2, 12-6-1 ATS) at (1) Connecticut (24-1, 11-10 ATS)
The top two teams in the Big East are set to battle it out in Connecticut when Pitt visits the Huskies in a matchup of two of the country’s Top-5 teams.
The Panthers have won five straight games (3-0-1 ATS) and scored an 85-69 win over Cincinnati on Saturday, pushing as a 16-point favorite. The Pitt offense has been clicking on all cylinders lately, averaging 86.4 points per game on 53.7 percent shooting during the five-game winning streak, but defensively Jamie Dixon’s squad has surrendered nearly 70 ppg on 48 percent shooting.
UConn comes into this one riding a 13-game winning streak (7-5 ATS), including Saturday’s 62-54 victory at Seton Hall, with the Huskies falling short as 9½-point favorites. Jim Calhoun’s team has been held under 70 points in four straight games, but it has given up 61 points or fewer in seven straight games and 10 of 12 during the winning streak, yielding an average of 58.5 ppg during this stretch. The Huskies, who are playing without third-leading scorer Jerome Dyson (knee injury), are 12-1 at home this season but just 2-6 ATS.
UConn sits alone atop the league standings at 12-1 (8-5 ATS), including 6-1 at home (3-3 ATS). Pitt is 10-2 in conference (7-4-1 ATS), including 4-2 on the road (3-3 ATS).
These rivals are nearly identical statistically, with Pitt averaging 78 ppg and 48.5 percent shooting while UConn averages 76.9 ppg and 48 percent shooting. Defensively, the Panthers allow 62.2 ppg on 40.6 percent shooting, while the Huskies yield 60.5 points a game and limit the opposition to 37.3 percent from the field.
The home team is on a 3-0 run in this rivalry (2-1 ATS), with Connecticut getting a 60-53 win last year as four-point favorites. However, the Panthers are 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings, including 3-1 in their last four trips to Connecticut. In fact, the visitor has cashed in five of the last eight regular-season meetings.
The Panthers are on ATS streaks of 4-0 overall, 7-3 ATS on the road, 3-0-1 in Big East action, 4-1 on Mondays and 3-1-1 after a straight-up victory. UConn is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven at home, but they are on ATS upticks of 5-2 overall, 5-1 in Big East play and 9-3-1 on Mondays.
For Pitt, the over is on runs of 16-6 in Big East games and 5-2 after a spread-cover, but the under is 7-3 in its last 10 against teams with a winning record. The Huskies are on “under” streaks of 4-0 overall, 5-2 at home, 5-1 in Big East play, 6-1 on Mondays and 7-3 against teams with a winning record, The under has also been the play in seven of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
Texas (17-7, 9-12 ATS) at Texas A&M (17-8, 10-7 ATS)
Archrivals do battle at Reed Arena when the Longhorns roll into College Station, Texas, to meet Texas A&M in a Big 12 showdown.
Texas snapped its three-game funk with two straight wins last week, beating Oklahoma State 99-74 and cashing as an 8½-point home favorite on Tuesday and then scoring an 85-76 overtime road win in Colorado on Saturday, falling short as an 11½-point chalk. The Longhorns are just 1-4 ATS in their last five, averaging 77 ppg but giving up 72.4.
Texas A&M has lost three straight and six of its last eight, including Saturday’s 72-68 setback at Baylor on Saturday, but the Aggies got the cash as 5½-point road ‘dogs. Texas A&M, which has lost its last three games by a total of 15 points, is 5-1 ATS in its last six contests (all in conference) despite an offense that averages just 69.3 ppg.
The Longhorns are 6-4 in conference play, but just 3-7 ATS, including 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS as a visitor. Texas A&M is 3-7 SU and 6-4 ATS in the Big 12, including 3-2 SU and ATS at home.
The home team is a perfect 9-0 (7-2 ATS) in this series dating back to 2005, including Texas’ 67-58 win back on Jan. 24, but the Aggies cashed as 12-point pups. Last year in College Station, A&M prevailed 80-63 and easily covered as 3½-point favorites. In fact, the Aggies are 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
Texas is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 Monday games, but it is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 against teams with a winning record, in addition to its ongoing 1-4 ATS slump (all in Big 12 play). The Aggies are on pointspread runs of 5-1 overall (all in Big 12 action), 7-3 after a spread-cover, 6-3 as an underdog this season, 9-2 after a straight-up loss and 5-1 against teams with a winning record.
The ‘Horns have stayed under the total in six of their last seven Monday games, but they have topped the posted price in four of their last five after a straight-up win. For the Aggies, the under is on streaks of 6-2 overall, 6-2 at home, 5-1 on Mondays and 5-2 after a spread-cover.
ATS ADVANTAGE: TEXAS A&M and UNDERComment
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Re: 2-16-09
Cajun Sports
Texas vs. Texas A&M
Play: Texas -2
Reed Arena in College Station will be the site for ESPN’s second game of their College Basketball double-header on Monday night featuring the hometown Texas A&M Aggies and the visiting Longhorns from the University of Texas. The Horns enter tonight’s game off back-to-back wins over Oklahoma State 99 to 74 and at Colorado 85 to 76. A&M has not been so fortunate losing their last three in a row which included losses at Oklahoma 77 to 71 at home versus Kansas State 65 to 60 and finally on the road at Baylor 72 to 68.
College Basketball teams that are coming off a loss straight up but a win ATS and going ‘under’ in their last game and are now installed as a home underdog of 2.5 to 6 points are 34-61-3 ATS. If that loss came on the road the record for our play against team is 29-54-2 ATS. If this is a conference game our home underdog has a record of 66-92-6 ATS with any line range but if the line range is 2.5 to 6 points the record for our play against team is 23-44-1 ATS. If our play against team is involved in a division game as a home underdog their record is 9-24-1 ATS and if we use the same line range their record is 2-9-1 ATS.
College Basketball teams winning straight up but losing ATS on the road in their last game and are now a conference road favorite their record is 87-61 ATS. College teams that won straight up on the road and are now on the division road with a line range of 2.5 to 6 points have a record of 87-59-1 ATS. If our play on team went ‘over’ in their last game and are now a division road favorite their record is 45-25 ATS and if we have the same line range as above their record is 25-9 ATS. We also note that Texas after winning straight up but losing ATS on the road now facing a conference opponent has gone 7-1 ATS. If Texas went ‘over’ in that game and now has the same line range their record is a perfect 5-0 ATS.
Texas has a team offensive efficiency rating of 110.1 which ranks 52nd in the nation while the Aggies have a rating of 107.5 which is good for 82nd. The Longhorns have a defensive efficiency rating of 89.1 which ranks 16th in the country while the Aggies have a rating of 95.4 for 68th. Texas has a significant advantage on the defensive end and should be able to control the pace and tempo at both ends of the floor in tonight’s contest which will translate into a Horns victory and cover for us in College Station tonight.
Texas is 17-7 SU and 9-12 ATS on the season with a record of 7-5 SU and 6-6 ATS on the road averaging 69.6 points per game versus teams that allow 68.8 points per game, defensively the Longhorns are holding their opponents to 65.2 points per game versus teams that average 72.8 points per game. The Aggies are 17-8 SU and 9-8 ATS overall on the season including 13-2 SU at home but only 2-5 ATS. Texas A&M has really struggled in conference play posting a record of only 3-7 SU but they are 5-4 ATS averaging 67.3 points per game versus teams that allow 69.2 points per game, defensively the Aggies allow 70.2 points per game versus teams that average 72.3 points per game.
Finally we have two college basketball systems that are active for tonight’s game. The first tells us to Play Against CBB home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against an opponent off a road win, 82-44 ATS since 1997. The second and final system tells us to Play On CBB road teams as a favorite or pick with a team shooting 32-36.5 percent from the three-point line against a team that is allowing 32-36.5% percent from behind the arc after a game where a team made 55 percent of their shots or better, 46-14 ATS the last five seasons.
Combine all the fundamental, situational and technical factors and we have a solid play on the Longhorns tonight, so lay the short price and hook em!
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (2) Texas Longhorns 74 Texas A&M Aggies 67Comment
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Re: 2-16-09
Mikey Sports
NCAA-B | Feb 16
Coll Charleston vs. Appalachian St
Coll Charleston 0-110 at SIA > 6h.
FREE CBB play
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Texas Longhorns -2½ get better of Texas A&M Aggies
Game Time: 02/16/2009 09:00 PM -
By: Cajun Sports | cajun-sports.com
This Big 12 rivalry isn't quite the marquee game we thought it would be at the start of the season. Lay the points on the Texas Longhorns at the Texas A&M Aggies tonight.
Reed Arena in College Station will be the site for ESPN’s second game of their college basketball doubleheader on Monday night featuring the hometown Texas A&M Aggies and the visiting Longhorns from the University of Texas.
The Horns enter tonight’s game off back-to-back wins over Oklahoma State (99-74) and at Colorado (85-76). A&M has not been so fortunate losing their last three in a row which included losses at Oklahoma (77-71), at home versus Kansas State (65-60) and finally on the road at Baylor (72-68).
College basketball teams that are coming off a loss straight up but a win ATS and going Under in their last game, and now installed as a home underdog of 2½ to 6 points are 34-61-3 ATS. If that loss came on the road the record for our play against team, the record is 29-54-2 ATS. If this is a conference game our home underdog has a record of 66-92-6 ATS with any line range. If the line range is 2½ to 6 points, the record for our play against team is 23-44-1 ATS. If our play against team is involved in a division game as a home underdog, their record is 9-24-1 ATS, and if we use the same line range their record is 2-9-1 ATS.
College basketball teams winning straight up but losing ATS on the road in their last game and are now a conference road favorite, their record is 87-61 ATS. Teams that won straight up on the road and are now on the division road with a line range of 2½ to 6 points have a record of 87-59-1 ATS. If our play on team went Over in their last game and are now a division road favorite, their record is 45-25 ATS, and if we have the same line range as above their record is 25-9 ATS.
We also note that Texas, after winning straight up but losing ATS on the road and now facing a conference opponent, has gone 7-1 ATS. If Texas went Over in that game and now has the same line range their record is a perfect 5-0 ATS.
Texas has a team offensive efficiency rating of 110.1 which ranks 52nd in the nation while the Aggies have a rating of 107.5 which is good for 82nd. The Longhorns have a defensive efficiency rating of 89.1 which ranks 16th in the country while the Aggies have a rating of 95.4 for 68th. Texas has a significant advantage on the defensive end and should be able to control the pace and tempo at both ends of the floor in tonight’s contest which will translate into a Horns victory and cover for us in College Station.
Texas is 17-7 SU and 9-12 ATS on the season with a record of 7-5 SU and 6-6 ATS on the road averaging 69.6 points per game versus teams that allow 68.8 points per game, defensively the Longhorns are holding their opponents to 65.2 points per game versus teams that average 72.8 points per game. The Aggies are 17-8 SU and 9-8 ATS overall on the season including 13-2 SU at home but only 2-5 ATS. Texas A&M has really struggled in conference play posting a record of only 3-7 SU but they are 5-4 ATS averaging 67.3 points per game versus teams that allow 69.2 points per game, defensively the Aggies allow 70.2 points per game versus teams that average 72.3 points per game.
Finally we have two college basketball systems that are active for tonight’s game. The first tells us to play against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 off three straight losses against conference rivals against an opponent off a road win, going 82-44 ATS since 1997. The second and final system tells us to play on road teams as a favorite or pick with a team shooting 32-36.5 percent from the three-point line against a team that is allowing 32-36.5% percent from behind the arc after a game where a team made 55 percent of their shots or better, 46-14 ATS the last five seasons.
Combine all the fundamental, situational and technical factors and we have a solid play on the Longhorns tonight, so lay the short price and hook 'em!
Projected Final Score: Longhorns-74 Aggies-67
Free Pick: Texas -2½ (-110)
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Texas A&M Aggies +2 corral the Texas Longhorns
Game Time: 02/16/2009 09:00 PM -
By: We Cover Spreads | wecoverspreads.com
The Aggies are desperate for a win as they come in riding a 3-game losing skid. Take the bucket and Texas A&M at home in the Reed Arena vs. the Texas Longhorns.
A Big 12 battle in the Lone Star State as Texas (17-7) faces off with Texas A&M tonight. Texas comes in winners of their last two games and A&M comes in on a three game skid.
The Aggies started off hot on 14-1 run this year notching a couple of good non-conference wins under their belt. They beat LSU, Alabama, and Arizona. They've gotten off to a bad start in conference play going just 3-7 S.U. They are 6-4 ATS in conference play. Texas has been up and down and hard to read this year. They have some nice quality wins against UCLA, Wisconsin, and Villanova. They are 6-4 in conference play but have posted a struggling 3-7 ATS mark.
Texas hasn't won in College Station since 2004. These games aren't usually close either,seven of the last 10 have been decided by double figures. The Longhorns are 0-6 ATS in the last six meetings here.
We think the Aggies can win the battle in the paint tonight. Bryan Davis (10.6 PPG 6.2 RPG 31 blocks) and Chinemelu Elonu (9.8 PPG 7.4 RPG 44 blocks) have the edge both offensively and defensively against centers Connon Atchley (5.5 PPG 3.7 RPG 37 blocks) and Dexter Pittman (8.7 PPG 4.3 RPG 19 blocks). Gary Johnson (11.3 PPG and 5.9 RPG) is a solid forward for the Longhorns that the Aggies have to concentrate on tonight as well up front. The key matchup though will be when Josh Carter (13.3 PPG) for the Aggies and Damion James (15.5 PPG and 8.5 RPG). Both are tough players who can get the ball to basket and play defense. Carter has been streaky beyond the arc hitting just 36% of his three pointers. He can drive to the hole and draw the foul and is hitting an amazing 87% of his free throws. James won the first battle this year outscoring Carter 28-9.
The first meeting between these two teams A&M shot better from the floor and beyond the arc. It was the foul trouble that Bryan Davis got himself into and they lost his presence in the paint. The Longhorns won the battle on the glass and reeled in 13 offensive boards to A&M's 6 offensive boards. They must be more aggresive tonight in order to win this game. Elonu had 5 blocks for the Aggies in the first meeting and they will need the same defensive play from him again tonight. He also added 12 points and must put up similar numbers tonight.
The Longhorns are shooting just 40% from the floor in Big 12 play on the road this year. If guys like Josh Carter and David Sloan shots are on tonight than that could spell trouble for the Longhorns if they can't get a rhythm going on the road. They are just hitting 26% of there shots from beyond the arc in all road games this year. A.J. Abrams seems to struggle as of late against the Aggies averaging just 8.6 PPG in his past three meetings against them. He is shooting an awful 26% from the field against Texas A&M in those games.
The Longhorns last four visits to College Station they are just shooting 35% from the field, they struggle shooting in this building for some reason. tonight we are going to back the Aggies with the home crowd and the two points.
Free Pick: Texas A&M +2 (-110)Comment
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