Service Plays Sunday 9/18/22

[Can'tPickAWinner]

3 Rivers Sports

MLB
3* #921/922 Baltimore/Toronto under 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfatherlocks sept 18th picks

nfl
rare 20k unit pick
2 massive 10k unit picks

*** rare 20k unit pick ***

indianapolis colts -3


*** massive 10k unit picks ***

#1 - new england patriots -3

#2 - arizona cardinals +5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PROFOOTBALLDOC (4-1 for season)
SIC Score is our proprietary numerical injury grading system that incorporates the health of every NFL team and individual players to give sports bettors, DFS players and fantasy owners an edge each week during the season. While it purposely doesn’t take into account coaching, schemes or matchups, SIC Scores give an accurate assessment of team/player overall health heading into a game.

Patriots -2.5
It is rare for a non-quarterback to make such a huge impact but T.J. Watt is that difference maker. With his pectoral muscle tear, the Steelers defense will be on the defensive. Pittsburgh took Cincinnati to overtime in Week 1 but needed four interceptions to do so and we doubt they can come close to the seven sacks this time. New England didn’t fair well in the heat of Miami but should bounce back. Despite running back shortages, they use a committee system out of the backfield anyways. Bet against a Belicheck team starting 0-2. We picked the game earlier in the week at SIC picks when the line was -1, but still like it now at -2.5.

Panthers +2
Blindly choosing the team with a >10 point SIC score advantage get you to 59% winners against the spread across the last two seasons. The Panthers are double digits healthier on offense and defense against the Giants. With New York’s secondary and pass rush issues, Baker Mayfield is positioned to get into the win column.

Bucs & Saints Under 44
I get this game is being played in a dome but the health analysis says under. Both teams have offensive injury issues and both have relatively healthy defenses. The Buccaneers entire left side of the offensive line is injured from LT, LG to C. There are wide receiver issues with 5 out of 7 on the injury report and Chris Godwin is out, not to mention Leonard Fournette with a hamstring issue. The Saints have Alvin Kamara with a rib issue (but should play), Jameis Winston still trying to regain his mobility after ACL and Michael Thomas pushing thru his hamstring (and ankle) issue. We trust the injury analysis more than the reputation of a high scoring game.

Bengals -7
The better play was to get in on the Bengals -2.5 as the news of the Dak Prescott thumb injury was spreading but it is still reasonable at -7. The Cowboys issues go beyond their QB. The starting left tackle and left guard are out as well as the top safety and wide receiver Michael Gallup. Meanwhile the Bengals starters are completely healthy. Even WR Tee Higgins will clear the concussion protocol to play. One can see the double digit injury advantage above and the poor passing offense injury score.

Bears & Packers Under 41.5
I know this seems risky to take an under that is low that involves Aaron Rodgers but the Packers offensive issue run deep and the Bears have an O line shuffle. Green Bay has Allen Lizard listed as questionable with an ankle but did not log a full practice all week. Expect the bookend starting tackles to be out again and the Packers left guard is trending toward missing as well. Both sides are pretty healthy defensively and it seems unlikely both teams will get to 20 points.

Honorable mentions (doesn't count for or against record): Washington +1 and Miami +3.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Clay Travis

NFL six pack for today:
Lions -1,
Bucs -2.5,
Steelers +3
Dolphins-Ravens over 43.5
Falcons +10
Texans +10

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Tony George

6* Indianapolis -3.5

4 Units - #927 Seattle (+105) vs LA Angels *4 EST

[Iowethe man]

Michael Lombardi
plays off vsin

Jets +6.5
San Fran -9
Titans +10
Eagles -2.5

[Longslab242]

Who got IC PICKS.?

[Bear's Fan]

Maddux added

Washington Pk

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Bondi:

4 Green Bay
3 New England ML
3 Denver

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Norm Hitzges

2* Green Bay -10
1* New Orleans +2.5
1* New England -2
1* San Francisco -8.5
1* Las Vegas -5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS Covers
NFL 1:05 pm Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens -3 for 1 units


NFL 4:30 pm Houston Texans at Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos -10 for 1 units

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Dr. Bob Stoll

Jets + 6.5

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Tom Stryker

29-10 ATS NFL Conference GOW
Panthers

17-4 ATS NFL High Roller Investment
Bengals

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Strike Point Sports

6* Green Bay -10

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Tim Michael

10% GOM

Cincinnati Bengals +2.5

T.M. Selection: Cincinnati Bengals

I like the Cincinnati Bengals to win this game against the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday. Joe Burrow was making every Bengals fan pull their hair out in Week 1. I don't think I've ever seen him play that bad and yet, he set them up to win the game not only once, but twice. They would have won last week if they didn't get their PAT blocked to send it to OT, and if their long snapper didn't mess up the snap. But, week 1 is done, and the defending AFC Champs are not going to want to start 0-2 whatsoever. Tee Higgins got knocked out of the game last week with an injury, and most likely will miss this game as well, but that just makes Jamarr Chase and Tyler Boyd hungrier to get yardage. Dallas, who played in the Sunday Night game in week 1, struggled against the run. Leonard Fournette ran wild on them and they were unable to contain the Bucs. The one good thing for them was their 3rd down, and red zone defense. If it wasn't either of those situations, the Bucs were picking them apart. With Joe Burrow off a season where they were a play away from winning the Super Bowl, I just don't see him playing badly in back to back games to start 2022. Expect Who Dey nation to rise to the occasion in Dallas on Sunday.

T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Bengals

*EDIT: With Prescott now ruled out, the line has climbed considerably. This is still a play on the Bengals up until -7. (I now expect them to win by even more than 10.)