Andrew McInnis
4% New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets +100 M Scherzer (RHP), C Burnes (RHP) Must Start
4% New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets +100 M Scherzer (RHP), C Burnes (RHP) Must Start
| Sep 19 | Dwayne Bryant | 3% | [MLB] (957) San Francisco Giants at (958) Colorado Rockies Time: 8:40 PM EDT |
Colorado Rockies +110 J Junis (RHP), C Kuhl (RHP) Must Start |
| Analysis: 8:40 PM ET -- MLB Game: 957 San Francisco Giants at 958 Colorado Rockies Play: 958 COLORADO +110 List Pitchers: Junis & Kuhl Bet Size: 3% Line Parameters: 3% play at +100 or better 2% play at -101 to -110 1% play at -111 to -120 -> Play ON Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. 30-15 (67%) over the last 5 seasons. -> Play ON Home teams (COLORADO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games. 62-32 (66%) over the last 5 seasons. -> COLORADO is 45-23 in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was COLORADO 6.2, OPPONENT 5.2 -> SAN FRANCISCO is 11-21 after batting .200 or worse over a 3-game span this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.0, OPPONENT 5.2 -> SAN FRANCISCO is 6-14 after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.1, OPPONENT 5.7 -> SAN FRANCISCO is 9-18 after 3 or more consecutive losses this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.8, OPPONENT 6.1 -> COLORADO is 17-6 in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. The average score was COLORADO 6.1, OPPONENT 5.0 -> COLORADO is 8-0 in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was COLORADO 6.1, OPPONENT 3.5 |
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| Sep 19 | Adam Trigger | 5% | [NFL] (289) Tennessee Titans at (290) Buffalo Bills Time: 7:15 PM EDT |
Tennessee Titans +10.0 (-110) |
| Analysis: Titans (7:15PM ET ESPN) – Saving the best for last (hopefully) in NFL Week 2 as we head to Monday Night Football for a MAX BET when the Buffalo Bills battle the Tennessee Titans at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. Probably not the bet many of you saw coming but even I can’t resist fading the Bills and betting on the Titans off an overreaction this big. I love the Bills this season, my only NFL futures bet this year was Bills to win the Super Bowl at +650 but, like any team, there will be bumps along the way and I wouldn’t be surprised if one of those bumps occurred here. I also can’t stand this Titans team, I think Ryan Tannehill is an awful quarterback and this team got significantly worse from last year to this year, which I cashed in on with a 4% BEST BET winner on the Giants last week. Even if I’m right about both of those things, there’s just no way the Titans should be getting 10 points in prime time here. Tennessee still possesses an above average defense and will have answers for at least some of the Bills plethora of offensive weapons. Josh Allen has the potential to torch just about any defense but he was nearly perfect (save the two interceptions) so it’s possible he doesn’t replicate that effort this week. For as good as the Bills played they still turned the ball over four times and THAT certainly isn’t going to fly on a regular basis in the NFL for any team. The Titans led virtually all game last week, if they hold on to win they are probably more like +7.5 in this game so the +10 is just a monster number and I have to come in and make a big bet on it here. I’ve been critical of the Titans offense because they lost two of their top receivers from last season and Derrick Henry has put a ton of miles on his body, but Tennessee should be in a far better position to battle the Bills pass rush than the Rams were here. Derrick Henry might be more of an injury liability than he was earlier in his career but it’s only Week 2 so Henry is still fresh and the Titans should be able to move the chains by giving the ball to Henry and letting him do his thing here. If there’s one area the Bills defense can be had it’s against the run, the Rams couldn’t run the ball and got blown out but the Titans won’t have that same problem as they feature one of the top backs in the league. At worst, the Bills have to respect Henry which means Tannehill will have some openings and he threw for 266 yards on the Giants last weekend so I think he can at least be serviceable here. By no means am I saying the Titans are a better team than the Rams but I do think it’s very possible they match up far better with the Bills than the Rams did. If the Titans have everything working this will be a tough out for the Bills and if the Bills are up to the task it’s likely it won’t be by more than double digits. |
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