Wednesday 9/14/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371138

    #16
    Today’s Free Parx Winning Horse Picks
    From Ultimate Capper

    Free Parx Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 14th, 2022:

    Post Time: 12:55 ET

    Race 1: 5 Two Princes
    Race 2: 6 Miss Beth’el
    Race 3: 8 Lionessofbrittany
    Race 4: 3 Mutasallem


    The following 4 races are part of today’s Parx Pick 4
    Race 5: 1 Hay Nineteen
    Race 6: 7 Callmethebreeze
    Race 7: 3 Spectacular Kid
    Race 8: 2 Easy Day

    Race 9: 5 Bucks Are Moving
    Race 10: 5 Jet Force
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371138

      #17
      Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Wednesday, September 14

      By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

      Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Wednesday's meetings at Yarmouth, Kelso, Beverley and Sandown.

      YARMOUTH

      ROBIN GOODFELLOW

      2.10 Priscilla’s Wish

      2.45 Obelix

      3.20 Ville De Grace (nb)

      3.55 Bolthole

      4.30 X J Rascal

      5.00 Cancan In The Rain

      5.37 Majeski Man

      GIMCRACK

      2.10 Rabat

      2.45 Obelix (nb)

      3.20 Queen Of The Skies

      3.55 Lattam

      4.30 X J Rascal

      5.00 Liberation Bay

      5.37 Society Lion

      Newmarket – 3.55 Lattam (nap).


      BEVERLEY

      ROBIN GOODFELLOW

      1.42 Caracristi

      2.17 Bedazzling

      2.52 Vetiver

      3.27 Impeachment

      4.02 Elegant Erin (nap)

      4.35 Broadspear

      5.05 Dandy’s Angel

      GIMCRACK

      1.42 Martin’s Brig

      2.17 Chattel Village

      2.52 Rosette

      3.27 Pendlebury Lane

      4.02 May Blossom

      4.35 Iftikhaar

      5.05 Tele Red

      Northerner – 2.52 Anjo Bonita (nb); 5.05 Tele Red (nap).


      SANDOWN

      ROBIN GOODFELLOW

      1.50 Phoenix Star

      2.25 Local Dynasty

      3.00 Leadenhall

      3.35 Escobar

      4.10 New Heights

      4.40 Savrola

      5.10 Meleri

      GIMCRACK

      1.50 Sir Benedict

      2.25 Local Dynasty

      3.00 Striking Star

      3.35 Bayside Boy (nap)

      4.10 I’ll Be There

      4.40 Savrola

      5.10 Golden Chain

      Newmarket – 2.25 Local Dynasty (nb).


      KELSO

      ROBIN GOODFELLOW

      3.40 Mortlach

      4.15 Solo Saxophone

      4.45 Raecius Felix

      5.15 Genever Dragon

      5.45 Gold Des Bois

      6.15 Living’s Boy An Co

      6.45 Lady Stanwix

      GIMCRACK

      3.40 Mortlach

      4.15 Latino Fling

      4.45 Raecius Felix

      5.15 Genever Dragon

      5.45 Tico Times

      6.15 Getaman

      6.45 Moonshine Molly
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371138

        #18
        Today’s Kentucky Downs Hot List races to watch
        Wednesday, Sept. 14, 2022

        By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
        Hot List Key:
        A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
        *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
        *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
        * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
        2nd race – (2) Decanted (A) missed by a nose in his career debut and moves from the outside post to the rail. Should make amends here on closing day. (3) Mendelssohn Joy gets a nice rider switch to Gaffalione and may wake up here. (8) Sherlock’s Jewel was a competitive fourth in his debut and should take a step forward. (7) Ten Days Later should be well-suited by turf. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-7-8. Doubles: 2-3-7-8 with 5-6-9-12.
        3rd race – (6) Lashara will welcome a return to turf and should prove best. (12) Champagne Ivy should respond to the turnback to a sprint. (5) Rogue Too might perk up back on turf. (9) Lady Arsinoe comes off a nose win and should be a main factor here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-9-12.
        5th race – (8) Duke of Hazzard had some early trouble and never flashed his typical speed. Should be dangerous with a smooth trip. (3) Kentucky Ghost gets some class relief here and may wake up. (9) Field Pass was fourth against tougher company and merits attention here. The (1) entry of King Cause and Starting Over should not be overlooked. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-8-9.
        7th race – (12) Point Well Taken (C) was bet down from 7-2 to 5-2 and just missed with a nice rally. Atones for that setback here. (4) Rosalita also just missed and should be a main threat. (3) Awesome Ally Vee may benefit from a dirt to turf switch. (8) Fiddle should handle the longer distance just fine. Betting strategy: 12 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-8-12.
        9th race – (2) Really Good was an impressive debut winner and looks best here. (5) Castleknock ships in from Del Mar after a strong turf debut. Looks like the main competition. (6) Bourbon Therapy can make his presence felt here. (1) Mayfield Strong should benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-6.
        No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
        (2) Decanted A, 9/1 2 KD Missed by a nose last time
        (12) Point Well Taken C, 9/5 7 KD Was a strong second
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371138

          #19
          No Yordan Alverez for Houston today
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371138

            #20
            AI Picks: Ky Downs Closing Day Stakes | Wednesday, September 14, 2022

            Today’s closing day at Kentucky Downs features a trio of stakes races. To assist your handicapping, top selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

            You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds.

            Kentucky Downs // Race 9 // 5:57 pm ET // Kentucky Downs Juvenile Mile

            #5 Castleknock (9-2) // 30%W
            #1 Mayfield Strong (4-1) // 16%W
            #2 Really Good (5-2) // 12%W
            #8 Reckoning Force (5-1) // 8%W

            Kentucky Downs // Race 10 // 6:31 pm ET // Gun Runner Stakes

            #11 Wicked Fast (15-1) // 25%W
            #7 Stitched (7-2) // 13%W
            #6 Fuerteventura (9-2) // 10%W
            #12 American Mayhem (4-1) // 7%W

            Kentucky Downs // Race 11 // 7:05 pm ET // One Dreamer Stakes

            #8 Navratilova (5-1) // 30%W
            #6 Curly Ruth (12-1) // 14%W
            #7 Alms (7-2) // 8%W
            #2 Burning Ambition (6-1) // 8%W
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371138

              #21
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.




              Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 75

              FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 2 ROBERT'S GHOST 5/2
              # 4 ELDON'S SAMURAI 6/1
              # 3 WICKED TOUGH 10/1
              ROBERT'S GHOST looks quite good to best this field. Shows evidence of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 62 speed figure which is one of the top in this group of horses in this race. There is a respectable chance that this entry's late pace will improve with second time Lasix. Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. ELDON'S SAMURAI - He has a good opportunity here as trainer, Flores, has strong win rate with horses going this distance. Ought to come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved swiftly to the lead recently. WICKED TOUGH - Has been running solidly lately and ought to be up on the lead early on.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371138

                #22
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                Delaware Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:00pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $42,000 Class Rating: 88

                Rating:

                #8 SAREEHA (IRE) (ML=8/5)
                #6 TIZ KOBE TIME (ML=3/1)


                SAREEHA (IRE) - Suarez and Motion perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +56 return on investment for a rider and trainer. A repeat outing from any of last three outings, and this one should be in the winner's circle photo. TIZ KOBE TIME - I like that latest contest on August 19th at Monmouth Park where she ended up third. Rode this thoroughbred on August 19th and Jimenez is right back in the irons this race. This horse has increased her speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth taking a look at. Expect better today as this filly gets Lasix for the second time.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #2 LADY LOOKOUT (ML=3/2), #5 STERN CHASER (ML=9/2),

                LADY LOOKOUT - Never really did much at all in the last race on August 5th. Hard to bet on in today's event. STERN CHASER - 9/2 odds isn't enough for this thoroughbred when checking the most recent showings.

                GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SAREEHA (IRE) - Comparing last speed ratings in this field, nobody beats this filly. Tops in the field with a last speed rating of 88 on Aug 6th.





                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #8 SAREEHA (IRE) to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,8]

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                8 with 6 with [3,5,10] Total Cost: $3
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: 8 with 6 with [2,3,5,7,10] with [2,3,5,7,10] Total Cost: $20
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371138

                  #23
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                  Charles Town - Race #3 - Post: 7:57pm - Maiden Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,300 Class Rating: 61

                  Rating:

                  #3 BIG PERFECTION (ML=9/2)


                  BIG PERFECTION - This jockey and handler's equines have been generating a positive ROI. Trainer Perez moves this horse down the class scale to face a lower class field. Look for a sharp performance this time out. Don't throw this horse out due to his last event at Charles Town where he finished tenth in the slop. Should improve this time around.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #5 FOREVER THE BOSS (ML=5/2), #4 TIME TO WISH (ML=3/1), #6 FOREST FROST (ML=7/2),

                  FOREVER THE BOSS - You should normally gamble against low-odds horses that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. TIME TO WISH - Today's race is 4 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance affair in the last couple months. Not the greatest of signs. This animal hasn't been hitting the board in either of his last two efforts. FOREST FROST - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some success lately in sprint contests in order to wager on him.



                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #3 BIG PERFECTION on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Skip

                  TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                  None
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371138

                    #24
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                    6. Sam Casey MLB – Pirates +135
                    7. Henry Brown Sports MLB – Mets -1.5
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                    11. William E. Stockton MLB – Twins -1.5
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                    15. Tony Campone MLB – Giants +115
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                    Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
                    16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Astros -1.5
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                    21. NY Players Club MLB – Giants +115
                    22. Fred Callahan MLB – Astros -1.5
                    23. LV Private CEO Club MLB – Athletics +140
                    24. Michigan Sports MLB – White Sox -1.5
                    25. National Consensus Report MLB – Twins -1.5
                    Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
                    1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Orioles -150
                    2. Gameday Network MLB – Yankees -125
                    3. Sports Action 365 MLB – Padres +140
                    4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Rays +105
                    5. VegasSI.com MLB – Mets -1.5
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371138

                      #25
                      Mike Wynn

                      Free Pick: Texas w/Dunning -150 over Oakland
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371138

                        #26
                        Razor Sharp

                        BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON OVER the total of 8
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371138

                          #27
                          Totals4U

                          Wednesday's Free Selection: Milwaukee Brewers/St Louis Cardinals over 7 1/2
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371138

                            #28
                            Atlantic Sports

                            Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Houston Astros - 260
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371138

                              #29
                              #1 Sports

                              Wednesday's Free Play: Kansas City Royals + 170
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 371138

                                #30
                                Platinum Plays

                                Your Free Pick: the Chicago Wsox -230 over Colorado
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