Saturday 9/17/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371133
    #121
    Los Alamitos Tip Sheet - September 17

    LOS ALAMITOS TB TIPS - SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 17, 2022
    Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
    RACE #1 $10,000 CLAIMING
    5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET
    BEST BET: #8 SCRATCHY APACHE
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 8 Scratchy Apache R Ramirez
    PLACE 6-5 3 McWherter A Cedillo
    SHOW 4-1 4 Majestic Wind T Baze
    WILD CARD 5-1 7 Bobs Sniper E Payeras
    ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Mr Freebie H R Lopez
    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Big Cheddar C Ortega
    * EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX
    RACE #2 $50,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
    6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
    BEST BET: #4 THREE POINT OH
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 4 Three Point Oh E A Maldonado
    PLACE 3-1 5 Mining Crypto J D Lopez
    SHOW 3-1 1 Roubaix A Alsagoor
    WILD CARD 10-1 3 Sisters Revenge T Baze
    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 6 Glorious Spring R A Vazquez
    ALTERNATE 2 5-1 2 Kaylas Joy D A Herrera
    * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
    RACE #3 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
    1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:27 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-5 6 Western Cape R A Vazquez
    PLACE 8-1 3 Lens Luck T J Pereira
    SHOW 3-1 5 Candy for Carmel E A Maldonado
    WILD CARD 6-1 1 Rafikki A Cedillo
    ALTERNATE 1 10-1 4 Ivory Sky D A Herrera
    ALTERNATE 2 20-1 2 Go Laker Go T Baze
    * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
    RACE #4 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
    6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:58 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 9 Hiding the Brick J Valdivia Jr.
    PLACE 10-1 4 Asphalt Andy R Ramirez
    SHOW 8-5 5 Mask Off R A Vazquez
    WILD CARD 5-1 1 Cross Examine D A Herrera
    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 8 Mongolian Box A Cedillo
    ALTERNATE 2 30-1 6 Sierra Pass A W Locke
    * EXACTA: 9-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 4/5/9 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
    RACE #5 $16,000 CLAIMING
    6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:31 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 1-1 6 Butkus R A Vazquez
    PLACE 5-1 3 Arthur Spooner T Baze
    SHOW 8-1 2 Me Macho R Ramirez
    WILD CARD 5-1 5 Smiling At Val T J Pereira
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 Prince Magician E A Maldonado
    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Economical K Frey
    * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
    RACE #6 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
    5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:05 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 5 Paytricia E A Ellingwood
    PLACE 7-2 3 Smiling Princess T J Pereira
    SHOW 2-1 6 Eddies On Patrol R Curatolo
    WILD CARD 10-1 4 Draw Near T Baze
    ALTERNATE 1 15-1 8 Runaway Sally A W Locke
    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 2 Shelly Nose Best C Ortega
    * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
    RACE #7 $29,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
    6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:35 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 3-1 6 Little Rachel T Baze
    PLACE 5-1 7 Pistachio Princess E Payeras
    SHOW 8-1 4 Harpers Gallop H I Berrios
    WILD CARD 6-1 5 Respectfully D A Herrera
    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 3 Bye Bye Bertie E A Maldonado
    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 9 Equilove K Frey
    * EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX
    RACE #8 $75,000 STAKES
    1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:05 PM ET
    BEST BET: #1 BIG CITY LIGHTS
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 2-1 1 Big City Lights J J Hernandez
    PLACE 7-2 4 Desmond Doss D Van Dyke
    SHOW 8-1 3 Crash Corrigan R A Vazquez
    WILD CARD 9-5 2 The Chosen Vron H I Berrios
    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 Luvluv E A Maldonado
    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 Appreciated R Curatolo
    * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
    RACE #9 $50,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
    1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:35 PM ET
    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
    WIN 7-2 2 Odonata A Cedillo
    PLACE 7-2 7 Nielson M E Smith
    SHOW 12-1 6 South Coast Route R Gonzalez
    WILD CARD 5-2 9 Gandolfini R A Vazquez
    ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Chicknfingerfriday T J Pereira
    ALTERNATE 2 8-1 8 Omnipresent E A Maldonado
    * EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX
    * TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371133
        #122
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Churchill Downs

        Churchill Downs - Race 7
        Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / Pick 5 (7-8-9-10-11)
        Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 105 • Purse: $300,000 • Post: 3:50P
        OPEN MIND S. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.
        Contenders
        Race Analysis
        P#
        		 Horse
        Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds

        		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CHEETARA (CHI) is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BELL'S THE ONE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. CHEETARA (CHI): Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. SCONSIN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/su rface. JOYFUL CADENCE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
        4
        		BELL'S THE ONE
        6/5
        5/1
        3
        		CHEETARA (CHI)
        15/1
        5/1
        1
        		SCONSIN
        8/5
        5/1
        2
        		JOYFUL CADENCE
        7/2
        8/1
        P#
        Horse (In Running Style Order)
        Post
        Morn
        Line
        Running Style
        Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure
        Finish Figure
        Platinum
        Figure
        3
        		CHEETARA (CHI)
        3
        15/1
        		 Front-runner
        101
        97
        90.4
        90.4
        82.4
        2
        		JOYFUL CADENCE
        2
        7/2
        		 Stalker
        103
        92
        81.0
        95.6
        87.6
        5
        		CLUB CAR
        5
        5/1
        		 Trailer
        97
        96
        73.4
        91.8
        83.8
        1
        		SCONSIN
        1
        8/5
        		 Trailer
        105
        103
        60.8
        102.6
        99.1
        4
        		BELL'S THE ONE
        4
        6/5
        		 Trailer
        107
        101
        46.6
        101.8
        99.8
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371133
            #123
            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park


            09/17/22, GP, Race 9, 4.29 ET
            09/17/22,GP,9,1M 70Y [All Weather] 1:39:04 STAKES. Our Dear Peggy Stakes. Purse $65,000. FILLIES, TWO YEARS OLD. Free nomination by Sunday, September 4. $650 to enter. A $100 supplementary nomination may be made prior to closing time of entries. After payment of 1% to all owners of horses finishing sixth through last, 60% of the remaining purse shall be paid to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 5% to fourth and 3% to fifth. Weight: 122 lbs. Non-winners of a race other than maiden or claiming allowed 2 lbs; a race other than claiming, 4 lbs. Starters to be named by usual time of closing. All fees shall be paid prior to the race. No Lasix Permitted Within 24 Hours of Post Time.
            . . . .
            Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
            100.0000 6 Blind Spot 3/1 Zayas E J Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. SWL 196 36.22 1.05/$1
            097.5250 1 Extra Indy 8/1 Vasquez M A Williams Matthew J. FEC 119 34.45 1.07/$1
            097.2106 2 Born Dapper 5/2 Gonzalez E Thomas Jonathan T 636 24.84 0.81/$1
            095.1155 5 Jellybean 5/1 Jaramillo E David Carlos A. J 636 24.84 0.81/$1
            094.1774 4 Black Ice 20/1 Perez E De La Cerda Armando 119 34.45 1.07/$1
            093.2937 3 Dropkick Queen 20/1 Meneses M O'Dwyer Jeremiah 636 24.84 0.81/$1
            093.0921 10 Vai Via 10/1 Leon S Sano Antonio 636 24.84 0.81/$1
            092.5661 11 Stephanie's Charm 8/1 Beato I Jimenez Jose M. 636 24.84 0.81/$1
            091.9808 9 Rock This Towne 12/1 Reyes L Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. 119 34.45 1.07/$1
            089.8338 7 Mo Town Madison(b+) 20/1 Krigger K Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. 119 34.45 1.07/$1
            088.8990 8 Mursal 20/1 Rios J M Jimenez Jose M. 636 24.84 0.81/$1
            Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.03, ROI 0.98/$1
            Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.4750
            [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
            [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Best Speed
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              Comment

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