Thursday 9/22/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372270

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
    PURCHASE

    Bar

    Belmont at the Big A - Race #1 - Post: 2:05pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $95,000 Class Rating: 79

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #3 GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE) (ML=6/1)
    #8 FOURWAY STOP (ML=9/2)
    #5 CALY BALI (ML=4/1)


    GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE) - With no recent past performance lines, one of the variables I look at are trainer stats, and Dutrow has a +178 percent ROI rate with first timers. A race on the turf, so pedigree is very important. This one has one of the best turf sire stats in the entire field. FOURWAY STOP - This thoroughbred has recorded the best recent turf speed rating at the distance and surface. Last out on the turf, this horse was solid. Anything close in today's race, and this one should win. CALY BALI - The jock and trainer combination have a beneficial ROI when they unite. My pick is right here, and I'll tell you why. Cox wins 25 pct with 1st time starters.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #7 EIN GEDI (IRE) (ML=3/1), #11 LEXI'S SPIRIT (ML=7/2), #1 PASSIONATE DREAM (ML=6/1),

    EIN GEDI (IRE) - If she goes off near the morning line odds of 3/1, I'll have to pass. LEXI'S SPIRIT - This filly hasn't had any positive efforts in short distance affairs in the last couple months. Unlikely that the speed fig she notched on Aug 25th will hold up in this race. PASSIONATE DREAM - Would have to move up off that fifth place finish last time to make an impact here.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE) - Dutrow is fantastic with a first timer. Terrific win percentage.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #3 GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE) is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [3,8] Box [3,5]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [3,5,8] Total Cost: $6
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    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20787

      #17
      mike Wynn: Cleveland-135

      Totals4U: Arizona/LA Dodgers Under 7

      #1 Sports: Arizona+175

      Huddle Up Sports: Texas-135

      Teyas Sports: Texas-135

      John Anthony Sports: Cleveland

      Chris Tudor: Illinois-18.5

      Platinum Plays: Arizona+180

      Arthur Ralph: 72-32 8 in a row Indians-125

      Vegas Steam Line: San Diego-135

      Tony Sacco: LA Dodgers

      Razor Sharp: Cleveland-135

      Atlantic Sports: Seattle-225

      Sharp Bettor: Twins-125

      Hawkeye Sports: Chicago White Sox+125

      The Last Call: Toronto-120

      High Stakes Syndicate: Seattle-225

      Hollywood Anthony: Boston Under 8.5

      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372270

        #18
        Belmont Park Tip Sheet - September 22

        September 21, 2022

        BELMONT AT THE BIG A TIPS - THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
        Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money % of the time at this track.
        RACE #1 $95,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 2:05 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 9-2 8 Fourway Stop J Velazquez
        PLACE 3-1 7 Ein Gedi [IRE] M Franco
        SHOW 7-2 11 Lexi`s Spirit J Velazquez
        WILD CARD 8-1 6 Personal Pursuit L Saez
        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Caly Bali D Davis
        ALTERNATE 2 6-1 3 Galileo`s Jewel [IRE] J Castellano
        * EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 7/8/11 BOX, 6/7/11 BOX
        RACE #2 $40,000 CLAIMING
        7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET
        BEST BET: #4 RUN UP THE SCORE
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 5-2 4 Run Up the Score M Franco
        PLACE 9-5 5 Monshun D Davis
        SHOW 5-1 2 Reigning Chick I Ortiz Jr.
        WILD CARD 6-1 6 Belarus K Carmouche
        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 1 Preposterous J Lezcano
        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Shaolin L Saez
        * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
        RACE #3 $110,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
        1 3/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:09 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 9-2 2 Creative Cairo M Franco
        PLACE 7-5 6 Rocky Sky F Prat
        SHOW 5-2 3 Wicked Groove I Ortiz Jr.
        WILD CARD 1-1 7 Baby Man J Gomez
        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 4 Community Adjusted T McCarthy
        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Starship Mallomar J Rendon
        * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
        RACE #4 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:38 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 3-1 2 With Know Name I Ortiz Jr.
        PLACE 9-2 7 Testa Dura J Lezcano
        SHOW 6-1 1A M. C. Double R J A Gomez
        WILD CARD 8-1 5 Destin Hoofman M Franco
        ALTERNATE 1 5-1 4 Saratoga Banker M Rowland
        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 9 Fast Study J L Ortiz
        * EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
        RACE #5 $77,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:09 PM ET
        BEST BET: #5 STONEWALL STAR
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 7-2 5 Stonewall Star M Franco
        PLACE 8-1 1 Three Unions E Cancel
        SHOW 6-1 9 Caribbean Breeze J L Ortiz
        WILD CARD 6-1 6 Mayas Dream L Saez
        ALTERNATE 1 3-1 3 Silver Skillet F Prat
        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 La Conquistadora K Carmouche
        * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/5/9 BOX, 1/6/9 BOX
        RACE #6 $90,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
        6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 9-2 5 Deep Cover E Cancel
        PLACE 5-2 12 Majority Partner J Lezcano
        SHOW 4-1 3 Yarrow F Prat
        WILD CARD 5-2 1 Not Phar Now M Franco
        ALTERNATE 1 6-1 8 Swashbuckle D Davis
        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 2 Shiraz L Saez
        * EXACTA: 5-12 BOX, 12-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 3/5/12 BOX, 1/3/12 BOX
        RACE #7 $65,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
        1 1/16 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 2-1 5 Dreamful L Saez
        PLACE 5-2 7 Ocean Air I Ortiz Jr.
        SHOW 6-1 4 Maybe Later J Lezcano
        WILD CARD 8-1 1 Quaria Thunder J Castellano
        ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Quaria Thunder J Castellano
        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 9 Lady of Thoroton M Franco
        * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
        RACE #8 $105,000 ALLOWANCE
        6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET
        BEST BET: #6 MOSIENKO
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 7-5 6 Mosienko L Saez
        PLACE 4-1 2 Snicket T McCarthy
        SHOW 2-1 3 To a T J Castellano
        WILD CARD 12-1 5 Chloe Rose J Lezcano
        ALTERNATE 1 10-1 1 Chasing Cara J A Gomez
        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Firing Carol J Samuel
        * EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
        RACE #9 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
        6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET
        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
        WIN 4-1 9 Birthday Time I Ortiz Jr.
        PLACE 10-1 3 Mostly Harmless D Davis
        SHOW 9-2 1 Always Connected E Cancel
        WILD CARD 10-1 11 Belleshazza M Franco
        ALTERNATE 1 7-2 4 Lady Firefoot J Lezcano
        ALTERNATE 2 5-1 2 Spicy Ginger L Saez
        * EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-11 BOX
        * TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 1/3/11 BOX
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        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20787

          #19
          Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
          9/22 12:37 PM PT / 3:37 PM ET

          MLB (917) SEATTLE MARINERS VS (918) OAKLAND ATHLETICS

          Take: over

          Reason: Seattle with a tough loss on Wednesday to the A's, 1-2. The loss puts the Mariners in 3rd place in the AL Wild Card race, 1/2 game back of Tampa Bay and 2.5 games back of Toronto. However, they still maintain a 4-game lead over 4th place Baltimore. George Kirby will look to get the M's back in the win column today. Kirby is 7-4 in his 22 starts with a 2.98 ERA. He's been very good of late, going 4-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.11 ERA. The A's can continue to be a thorn in the side of the Mariners and Adrian Martinez will try and do just that. Martinez is 4-5 in is nine starts with a 5.77 ERA. Martinez has allowed 11 runs over his last 8 2/3 innings. Your free play is on the OVER.

          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372270

            #20
            1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Mariners -1.5
            2. Gameday Network MLB – Reds +140
            3. Sports Action 365 MLB – Giants under 11
            4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – White Sox over 7
            5. VegasSI.com MLB – Blue Jays -115
            6. Sam Casey MLB – Guardians -140
            7. Henry Brown Sports MLB – Astros -1.5
            8. Winning Big Sports MLB – Mariners -1.5
            9. Lou Panelli MLB – Dodgers -1.5
            10. Platinum Info Club MLB – Yankees over 8
            11. William E. Stockton MLB – Blue Jays -115
            12. Vincent Pioli MLB – Astros -1.5
            13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Rays +105
            14. SCORE MLB – Twins over 8
            15. Tony Campone MLB – Phillies +125
            16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Cubs +100
            17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Giants -110
            18. VIP Action MLB – Reds +140
            19. South Beach Sports MLB – Royals over 8
            20. LV Sports Commission MLB – Mariners -1.5
            21. NY Players Club MLB – Astros -1.5
            22. Fred Callahan MLB – Yankees -150
            23. LV Private CEO Club MLB – Blue Jays -115
            24. Michigan Sports MLB – Royals +115
            25. National Consensus Report MLB – Angels +130
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            • Bankroll19
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2019
              • 131

              #21
              PickersMx
              Free Pick


              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372270

                #22
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Horseshoe Indianapolis

                Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race 8
                Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) 10 Cent Grand High 5 (Pentafecta)
                Optional Claiming $40,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 93 • Purse: $38,000 • Post: 5:50P
                (PLUS UP TO 40% INDIANA STATE BRED SUPPLEMENT) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $30,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BOCA BOY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. KEEPIN IT CLASSY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LT. JUNIOR GRADE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TAPIT'S SPIRIT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MEAN JAKEY: Horse ran ks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                5
                BOCA BOY
                6/1
                6/1
                1
                KEEPIN IT CLASSY
                7/2
                7/1
                6
                LT. JUNIOR GRADE
                3/1
                7/1
                4
                TAPIT'S SPIRIT
                6/1
                7/1
                3
                MEAN JAKEY
                8/1
                9/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                3
                MEAN JAKEY
                3
                8/1
                Front-runner
                87
                90
                84.2
                84.2
                77.7
                4
                TAPIT'S SPIRIT
                4
                6/1
                Front-runner
                99
                87
                76.2
                82.2
                73.7
                5
                BOCA BOY
                5
                6/1
                Front-runner
                101
                100
                73.4
                71.8
                65.8
                1
                KEEPIN IT CLASSY
                1
                7/2
                Stalker
                97
                81
                78.8
                87.6
                83.6
                6
                LT. JUNIOR GRADE
                6
                3/1
                Stalker
                98
                94
                75.0
                85.4
                77.9
                2
                KAELY'S BROTHER
                2
                4/1
                Trailer
                83
                84
                57.8
                77.2
                66.2
                7
                POLAR WIND
                7
                7/2
                Trailer
                97
                79
                51.0
                84.2
                75.2
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372270

                  #23
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                  Remington Park - Race #8 - Post: 10:23pm - SO - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,850 Class Rating: 82

                  Rating:

                  #4 DOBBINS G (ML=8/1)
                  #5 UNITED PATRIOT (ML=5/1)
                  #6 CRUISIN CUE (ML=10/1)
                  #2 FRA MAURO (ML=2/1)


                  DOBBINS G - I like when a race sets up this way. This gelding has the lone pace to demolish this field. This gelding is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Gustafson. A little change in scenery has got to do this horse well. Reading the PP lines, it seems like he likes to visit the winner's circle on different tracks. I like the case that this gelding's last rating, 76, is tops in this field. UNITED PATRIOT - Was in a non-classified race race at Canterbury Park in the last race. That event had an Equibase class figure of 98 and he is moving down in this event. A certain contender. I wouldn't worry too much about the layoff; this horse is ready to run today. He has the highest earnings per start. Check out this horse. CRUISIN CUE - Faced tougher last out at Lone Star Park. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this one on my list of strong contenders. FRA MAURO - This horse could be tough today, especially since Torres rode last out and now should be better acquainted with this one. Trainer Broberg moves this thoroughbred down in class ranks to face weaker company. Look for a nice race at this level. Broberg brings him back again. I suggest you stick with this strong gelding.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #1 WAVERUNNER (ML=5/2), #3 TIMELY REPLY (ML=6/1),

                  WAVERUNNER - When examining today's class rating, he will have to earn a much better speed rating than last out to vie in this dirt route. TIMELY REPLY - Pedestrian speed rating last time around the track at Remington Park at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this questionable contender will improve too much in today's event.


                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #4 DOBBINS G to win. Have to have odds of at least 4/1 or better though
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,5,6]

                  TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                  None
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372270

                    #24
                    VegasInsider (Kevin Rogers)

                    NFL
                    Steelers - Browns over 40.5
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372270

                      #25
                      Teddy Covers

                      West Virginia -3
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 372270

                        #26
                        Tony Finn

                        Cleveland Browns Under 38.5
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 372270

                          #27
                          Andy Lang

                          Myles Jack OVER 8.5 Tackles+Assists
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 372270

                            #28
                            Totals4U

                            Thursday's Free Selection: Arizona Diamondbacks/Los Angeles Dodgers under 7
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 372270

                              #29
                              Atlantic Sports

                              Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Seattle Mariners - 225
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 372270

                                #30
                                Platinum Plays

                                Your Free Pick: the Arizona Diamondbacks +180 over LA Dodgers
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