Sunday 10/2/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Jacksonville is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Jacksonville's last 19 games
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEW YORK JETS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS

The fans at Acrisure Stadium will be treated to a game between the New York Jets and the Pittsburgh Steelers when they take their seats on Sunday.

Oddsmakers opened the Steelers as -3.5-point favorites versus the Jets, while the game's total opened at 42.5.

The Steelers were a 29-17 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Browns. They failed to cover the +4-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (46) made winners of OVER bettors.

In their last action, New York was a 27-12 loser at home against the Bengals. They failed to cover the +6.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (39) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

New York:
Team record: 1-2 SU,1-2 ATS
NY Jets is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
NY Jets is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games on the road

Pittsburgh:
Team record: 1-2 SU,1-1-1 ATS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

Next up:
New York home to Miami Sunday, October 9
Pittsburgh at Buffalo Sunday, October 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Pittsburgh Steelers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games when playing NY Jets
Pittsburgh is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Jets

New York Jets
NY Jets is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
NY Jets is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
NY Jets is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games on the road
NY Jets is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Jets is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Jets is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ARIZONA CARDINALS VS. CAROLINA PANTHERS

The fans at Bank of America Stadium will be treated to a game between the Arizona Cardinals and the Carolina Panthers when they take their seats on Sunday.

Oddsmakers opened the Cardinals as -3-point favorites versus the Panthers, while the game's total opened at 46.5.

Carolina won its last outing, a 22-14 result against the Saints on September 25. The Panthers covered in that game as a +2-point underdog, while the 36 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Arizona lost its last outing, a 20-12 result against the Rams on September 25. The Cardinals failed to cover in that game as a +3-point underdog, while the 32 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Arizona:
Team record: 1-2 SU,1-2 ATS
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road

Carolina:
Team record: 1-2 SU,1-2 ATS
Carolina is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
Carolina is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games

Next up:
Arizona home to Philadelphia Sunday, October 9
Carolina home to San Francisco Sunday, October 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
Carolina is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Arizona is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Arizona's last 17 games on the road
Arizona is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Arizona is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DENVER BRONCOS VS. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Sunday when the Denver Broncos and the Las Vegas Raiders meet at Allegiant Stadium.

Oddsmakers opened the Raiders as -2-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game's total opened at 46.

The Raiders were a 24-22 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Titans. They failed to cover the -2-point spread as favorites, while the total score (46) made winners of OVER bettors.

The Broncos were a 11-10 winner in their most recent outing at home against the 49ers. They covered the +1.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (21) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Denver:
Team record: 2-1 SU,1-2 ATS
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 14 games

Las Vegas:
Team record: 0-3 SU,0-3 ATS
Current Streak: lost 3 straight games.
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Denver home to Indianapolis Thursday, October 6
Las Vegas at Kansas City Monday, October 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Las Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Las Vegas's last 18 games at home
Las Vegas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Denver
Las Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Las Vegas's last 11 games when playing Denver
Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

Denver Broncos
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 14 games
Denver is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
Denver is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Las Vegas
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 11 games when playing Las Vegas
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS

The New England Patriots and the Green Bay Packers will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Lambeau Field.

Oddsmakers opened the Packers as -6.5-point favorites versus the Patriots, while the game's total opened at 42.5.

Green Bay was a 14-12 winner in its last match on the road against the Buccaneers. They covered the +1-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 26 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

New England lost its last outing, a 37-26 result against the Ravens on September 25. The Patriots failed to cover in that game as a +2.5-point underdog, while the 63 combined points took the game OVER the total.

New England:
Team record: 1-2 SU,0-2-1 ATS
New England is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 7 games

Green Bay:
Team record: 2-1 SU,2-1 ATS
Green Bay is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games
Green Bay is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games

Next up:
New England home to Detroit Sunday, October 9
Green Bay home to New York Sunday, October 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games
Green Bay is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Green Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 9 games at home
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing New England

New England Patriots
New England is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 7 games
New England is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 8 games on the road
New England is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing Green Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

The Kansas City Chiefs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Raymond James Stadium.

Oddsmakers opened the Chiefs as -1.5-point favorites versus the Buccaneers, while the game's total opened at 48.

Tampa Bay lost its last outing, a 14-12 result against the Packers on September 25. The Buccaneers failed to cover in that game as a -1-point favorite, while the 26 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Last time out for Kansas City, they were a 20-17 loser as they battled the Colts on the road. The Chiefs failed to cover in the match as a -4.5-point favorite, while 37 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Kansas City:
Team record: 2-1 SU,1-2 ATS
Kansas City is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City's last 11 games
Kansas City is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road

Tampa Bay:
Team record: 2-1 SU,2-1 ATS
Tampa Bay is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Tampa Bay is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

Next up:
Kansas City home to Las Vegas Monday, October 10
Tampa Bay home to Atlanta Sunday, October 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Tampa Bay is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Tampa Bay is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City's last 11 games
Kansas City is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Kansas City is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Week 4 Bet Now, Bet Later:

Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles: Bet Now
Arizona Cardinals (+1) at Carolina Panthers: Bet Later
Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Under 47.5): Bet Now
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (Over 43): Bet Later

Jacksonville Jaguars (+7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles: Bet Now

Damn, this is a sexy game.

Not only do we get two of the most improved teams in 2022 butting heads, but we get also a great narrative with former Philly coach Doug Pederson returning to the Linc in Week 4. Jacksonville crashed SoFi Stadium and roughed up the Chargers for a 38-10 blowout win, but still opened as big as +7.5 for this game at respected online shops.

This spread has settled in at Eagles -7 at most books but places like PointsBet are dealing -6.5 shortly after odds hit the market. If you’re buying into Jacksonville’s current form, grab all the points you can.

Philadelphia is flying at 3-0 and crushed former QB Carson Wentz in Washington on Sunday. That said, those three wins have come against DC, Minnesota, and Detroit — not as sexy as slapping around the Colts and Chargers (the Jags did lose to the Commanders in Week 1, however).

On top of that, Jacksonville is wet dream fodder for football analytics nerds, ranked out No. 7 in offense EPA per play and No. 3 in EPA allowed per play — a tick higher than Philadelphia.

Arizona Cardinals (+1) at Carolina Panthers: Bet Later

The Cardinals could easily be 0-3 entering this trip to Carolina. But that was to be expected considering the quality of competition this team has faced out of the gate. Arizona has taken on Kansas City, Las Vegas, and the L.A. Rams — a murderer’s row of quality QBs. Next up: Baker Mayfield?

You can flip that logic for the 1-2 Panthers, who are coming off a win over New Orleans in Week 3. Carolina’s defense has kept the team competitive, especially on Sunday with a first-quarter scoop and score that turned out the be the difference. But the Panthers have faced the likes of Jacoby Brissett, Daniel Jones, and jacked-back Jameis Winston.

Arizona has injuries on both sides of the ball but Kyler Murray is by far the best quarterback Carolina has had to face this season. Kliff Kingsbury is hoping to have WR Rondale Moore back for Week 4 after he’s sat with the hamstring injury and Hollywood Brown is stepping up big for this passing game.

If you’re not convinced about Carolina, wait it out. And I mean wait. The Panthers have been a popular pick on Sundays, with last-minute money showing up in all three games and moving Carolina late. This spread is already up to Cardinals +1.5 and even +2 at some shops. Hold out for more if you’ve got cash for the Cardinals.

Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Under 47.5): Bet Now

The Under seems like an automatic play in Bucs games now. Tom Brady and this offense are really struggling, and I’m not sure getting back some of those receivers is an instant fix. The Buccaneers' battered offensive line has given up six sacks and isn’t giving Brady enough time for deeper plays to develop.

Kansas City comes into Week 4 having lost a little shine following a dead-armed loss to Indianapolis on Sunday. The Chiefs' scoring attack made a big splash with 44 points in Week 1 but has looked earthbound ever since, culminating in just 17 points against the previously disappointing Colts on Sunday.

The Kansas City defense, however, is playing well above expectations. The Chiefs checked the Colts to only 259 yards and sacked QB Matt Ryan five times. Kansas City has wrangled some top-tier passers to start 2022, owning the 10th rated EPA per dropback.

Tampa Bay’s stop unit continues to hold the team together and did a great job limiting Aaron Rodgers and the Packers attack for the final three quarters of Sunday’s two-point loss. The Bucs are No. 1 in EPA allowed per play and have allowed a grand total of just 27 points through three games.

This total had a look-ahead line of 53 points before the start of the season. It officially opened at 47.5 and started dropping at a number of books on Sunday night. Plunder this Sunday Night Football Under now.

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (Over 43): Bet Later

The Colts avoided DEFCON 1 levels of panic with a big home win over Kansas City in Week 3, but the victory has a rotten core as the Indy offense truly struggled again a week removed from a shutout loss to Jacksonville.

The Colts put up 20 points on an embarrassing 3.75 yards per play. They only came away with a win thanks to a generous amount of turnovers, miscues, and a muffed punt from KC. That’s a big reason why this total hit the board at 44 points and why it quickly slid down to 43 as of Sunday night.

But on the other side of the field is Tennessee. The Titans have given up a ton of yardage through three games, but the final scores haven’t always shown that ineptitude. Tennessee currently sits 30th in EPA allowed per play, well off the mark for Indianapolis’ last two defensive opponents.

As for the Titans’ offense, it’s starting to gain traction. Derrick Henry had a good day in Week 3, amassing 143 yards of offense and Ryan Tannehill ranked out No. 5 in EPA per dropback among passers on Sunday afternoon (+0.344).

These AFC South rivals conjured closing totals of 51 and 47 points in their two meetings last year and while they may not be as electric to start 2022, there’s a high ceiling for offense inside the fast track of Lucas Oil Stadium.

If you’re not soured on the Over, kick back and wait to see if early Under play keeps walking this one down before getting involved.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Week 4
Trend Report

Miami @ Cincinnati
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Miami is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

Minnesota @ New Orleans
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 12 games on the road
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Cleveland @ Atlanta
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

Buffalo @ Baltimore
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Buffalo is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Washington @ Dallas
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

LA Chargers @ Houston
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Chargers's last 9 games
LA Chargers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games at home

Seattle @ Detroit
Seattle
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 14 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games

Tennessee @ Indianapolis
Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tennessee's last 11 games on the road
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Tennessee

Chicago @ NY Giants
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Chicago

Jacksonville @ Philadelphia
Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

NY Jets @ Pittsburgh
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

Arizona @ Carolina
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Arizona is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

Denver @ Las Vegas
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

New England @ Green Bay
New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 8 games on the road
Green Bay
Green Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing New England

Kansas City @ Tampa Bay
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City

LA Rams @ San Francisco
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Week 4

Sunday’s games
Vikings (2-1) vs Saints (1-2) (@ London)
— Vikings scored two TD’s in last 7:50 of LW’s 28-24 win over Lions.
— Last two games, Minnesota has only two plays of 20+ yards.
— Last 2+ years, Minnesota is 6-12 ATS as a favorite.
— Minnesota has converted only 10-34 third down plays.
— Since 2018, Vikings are 12-20-2 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Since 2018, Vikings are 13-16 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— All three Viking games stayed under the total.
— Cousins is 62-62-2 as an NFL starter.

— Saints lost last two games 20-10/22-14, scoring 3 TD’s on 26 drives.
— New Orleans turned ball over 8 times last two games (minus-7)
— New Orleans has been outscored 29-10 in first half.
— Saints are 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 games as an underdog.
— Saints are 13-39 on 3rd down so far this season.
— Since 2019, New Orleans is 10-5-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Saints are 3-5 ATS in last eight games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Winston is 34-46 as an NFL starter, 6-5 with the Saints.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Saints (-7) won last meeting 52-33 two years ago.
— These teams both play in domes; unusual that they’ll play each other outdoors.

Browns (2-1) @ Falcons (1-2)
— Cleveland scored 28.3 ppg in its 2-1 start
— Browns ran for 217-184-171 yards in first three games.
— Cleveland converted 22-46 third down plays in two games.
— Browns have scored nine TD’s on 30 drives.
— Since 2013, Cleveland is 3-9 ATS as a road favorite.
— Browns are 8-2 ATS in last ten games vs NFC teams.
— Browns are 13-18 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
— All three Cleveland games went over the total.
— Brissett is 16-24 as an NFL starter, for four different teams.

— Falcons scored 26-27-27 points in its 1-2 start.
— Atlanta scored seven TD’s, tried eight FG’s on first 27 drives.
— Falcons have converted 12-30 third down plays.
— Last two years, Falcons are 3-7 ATS coming off a win.
— Atlanta is 6-3 ATS LY in last nine games with spread of 3 or less.
— Falcons gave up 27 ppg in their first three games.
— All three Atlanta games went over the total.
— Mariota is 31-35 as an NFL starter.

— Underdogs won/covered last five meetings.
— Browns won 26-24/17-13 in last two trips to Atlanta.
— Last five series games stayed under the total.

Bills (2-1) @ Ravens (2-1)
— Buffalo outgained first three opponents, 1,324-642.
— Bills outscored first three opponents 50-7 in second half.
— Buffalo converted 25 of first 41 third down plays.
— Last 3+ years, Buffalo is 9-6 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last 3+ years, Buffalo is 10-4 ATS coming off a loss.
— Bills are 9-1 ATS in last 10 games with spread of 3 or less.
— All three Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Josh Allen is 44-25 as an NFL starter.
— Since start of ’21, Bills are 0-7 SU in games decided by 8 or less points.

— Ravens scored 38-37 points in their last two games.
— Ravens have scored 12 TD’s on 31 drives this season.
— Baltimore allowed 9.0/8.6 yards/pass attempt in last two games.
— Baltimore outscored first three opponents 52-23 in first half
— Ravens are 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
— Since 2016, Baltimore is 7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three years, Ravens are 9-0 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Jackson is 40-16 as an NFL starter.

— Ravens won three of last four series games.
— Average total in last four meetings. 32.8.
— Bills are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Baltimore.
— Four of last five series games stayed under total.

Commanders (1-2) @ Cowboys (2-1)
— Washington gave up 27.3 ppg in its 1-2 start.
— Commanders have been outrushed 401-245 in three games.
— Washington lost its only road game, 36-27 (+2.5) at Detroit.
— Commanders are 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road dog.
— Washington lost field position by 11-12-9 yards in Weeks 1-3.
— Last 3+ years, Commanders are 11-20-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Since 2019, Commanders are 5-4 ATS in NFC East road games.
— QB Wentz is 45-43-1 as an NFL starter.

— QB Rush is 3-0 as starter, leading 4th quarter GW drive all three games.
— Dallas allowed only three TD’s on 29 drives this season.
— Last two weeks, Cowboys allowed 3.9/4.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Since 2017, Dallas is 14-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Cowboys have converted only 11-38 third down plays.
— Last five years, Dallas is 12-3 ATS in NFC East home games.
— Last 4+ years, Cowboys are 11-15 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Under is 2-0-1 in their games this season.

— Cowboys won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Washington is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Dallas.
— Over is 9-3 in last 12 series games.

Seahawks (1-2) @ Lions (1-2)
— Seattle got waxed 27-7 LW; their only TD was a blocked FG.
— Since halftime of Week 1, Seattle has been outscored 30-7.
— In last three halves, Seattle has run 65 plays for 263 yards, no points.
— In two games, Seahawks have been outgained 806-469.
— Last two years, Seahawks are 7-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last two years, Seattle is 10-5 ATS coming off a loss.
— Geno Smith is 14-22 as an NFL starter.

— Detroit gave up 28-27-28 points in its 1-2 start.
— Lions have run ball for 511 yards in three games.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 4-15-1 SU, 14-6 ATS.
— Lion opponents have scored 12 TD’s on 33 drives.
— Lions are 9-5 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
— Over is 4-1 in Detroit’s last five games.
— This is 2nd time in last 26 games Detroit has been favored (1-0 ATS)

— Seattle won six of last seven series games.
— Seahawks (-8) waxed Detroit 51-29 LY, running ball for 265 yards.
— Seattle is 1-2 ATS in last three trips to the Motor City.

Chargers (1-2) @ Texans (0-2-1)
— Chargers have injury issues on both sides of ball.
— Chargers have been outscored 58-24 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 76-75-26 yards in first three games.
— Last three years, Chargers are 4-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Chargers don’t have takeaway in last two games (minus-3 TO’s)
— QB Herbert is playing with fractured rib cartilage.
— Last 3+ years, Chargers are 10-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.

— Texans are 0-2-1 SU, but haven’t trailed at halftime yet.
— Texans have been outscored 37-19 in second half.
— Houston was outrushed 607-249 in first three games.
— Texans are 5-3-1 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.
— Texans have 4 TD’s on 33 drives this season (13 3/outs)
— Houston is converted only 10-40 third down plays.
— Texans have scored 27 points on seven red zone drives.
— 2nd-year QB Mills is 2-11-1 as an NFL starter.

— Texans won three of last four series games (41-29 LY).
— Chargers covered three of last four visits to Houston.
— Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games.

Titans (1-2) @ Colts (1-1-1)
— Tennessee gave up 28 ppg in its 1-2 start.
— Titans have been outscored 57-7 in second half.
— Opponents have converted only 8-35 third down plays.
— Opponents have also gained 401 yards/game.
— Tennessee has been outgained 1,204-907 in three games.
— Since 2019, Titans are 6-3 ATS in AFC South road games
— Tennessee is 6-4 ATS in last 10 games coming off a win.
— Tannehill is 75-64 as an NFL starter.

— Colts have been outscored 61-16 in quarters 1-3 this season.
— Indy has only four TD’s on 33 drives this season.
— Home team is 3-0 ATS in their games so far.
— Colts scored only 34 points in ten trips to red zone.
— All three of their games stayed under the total.
— Last five years, Colts are 15-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Indy is 17-15-1 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
— Ryan is Colts’ 6th different starting QB the last six years.

— Road team won five of last six series games.
— Titans won/covered four of last five visits to Indianapolis.
— Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Bears (2-1) @ Giants (2-1)
— Chicago ran ball for 180-281 yards in last two games.
— Bears have been outscored 45-20 in first half this season.
— Bears have outscored foes 32-12 in second half.
— Chicago is 23-45 passing in three games, with 235 net passing yards.
— Bears have converted only 12-35 third down plays.
— Last 3+ years, Chicago is 7-12 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 3+ years, Chicago is 9-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
— 2nd-year QB Fields is 4-9 as an NFL starter.

— Giants have been outscored 25-9 in first half this season.
— Giants outscored opponents 47-34 in second half.
— Big Blue has converted only 11-39 on third down.
— Giants ran ball for 508 yards in first three games.
— Last five years, Giants are 29-27 ATS coming off a loss.
— Under is 2-0-1 in Giant games this season.
— Daniel Jones is 14-26 as an NFL starter.
— Last two weeks, Giants averaged 4.4/4.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Giants are favored for just 4th time in last 21 home games.

— Bears are 3-0 vs Giants last three years, holding Big Blue to 10 ppg.
— Home side won last seven series games.
— Chicago is 3-2 ATS last five road series games, losing last three SU.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.

Jaguars (2-1) @ Eagles (3-0)
— Jaguars won last two games, 24-0/38-10.
— Since 2018, Jaguars are 12-18-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— While HC in Philly, Pederson was 10-13 ATS as a road dog.
— Last four years, Jaguars are 5-9 ATS coming off a win.
— Jacksonville opponents have only 24 points in 7 red zone drives.
— Last two weeks, Jaguars converted 14-30 third down plays.
— Jaguars outscored foes 48-17 in second half.
— 2nd-year QB Lawrence is 5-15 as an NFL starter.

— Philly won its first three games, scoring 38-24-24 points. .
— Eagles have run ball for 451 yards, converted 22-35 third down plays.
— Eagles led first three games 24-14/24-7/24-0 at halftime.
— Philly didn’t score in second half of their last two games.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 4-0 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 2+ years, Philly is 7-8 ATS coming off a win.
— Last four years, Eagles are 6-11 ATS vs AFC teams.
— 3rd-year QB Hurts is 12-11 as an NFL starter.

— Doug Pederson coached Eagles from 2016-20, winning a Super Bowl.
— Eagles won last three series games; their last loss was in 2006.
— Jaguars lost 24-18/34-17 in last two visits to Philadelphia.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.

Jets (1-2) @ Steelers (1-2)
— 2nd-year QB Wilson makes his first ’22 start here.
— Jets won their only road game, 31-30 in Cleveland.
— Jets had 295-309-252 passing yards, in their first three games.
— Last 2+ years, Jets are 12-22 ATS as an underdog.
— Jets are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Last 4+ years, Jets are 18-28 ATS coming off a loss.
— Opponents have converted 20-38 third down plays.
— Wilson is 3-10 as an NFL starter.

— Steelers scored 14-17 points in losing last two games.
— Pittsburgh has only four TD’s on 31 drives this season.
— Steelers were +5 in turnovers in their only win, in OT over Bengals.
— Opponents have converted 23-49 third down plays.
— Steelers are 1-5 ATS in last six games as a home favorite.
— Last 3+ years, Steelers are 8-10 ATS coming off a loss.
— Trubisky is 30-25 as an NFL starter.

— Teams split last eight meetings— last one was in 2019.
— Jets are 2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Pittsburgh.
— Last five series games stayed under the total.

Cardinals (1-2) @ Panthers (1-2)
— Cardinals have been outscored 56-13 in first half this year.
— Arizona has been outscored 43-7 in first half this season.
— Arizona gained 365 yards on 81 plays LW, but didn’t score a TD in 20-12 loss.
— Cardinals have converted only 12-43 third down plays.
— Arizona is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Arizona is 6-8 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
— Kyler Murray is 23-26-1 as an NFL starter.

— Carolina got first win LW, despite being outgained 426-293.
— Panthers’ two losses were by total of five points.
— Panthers were held under 300 yards (261-275-293) in all three games.
— Last three years, Carolina is 3-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Carolina has converted only 10-37 third down plays.
— Last five years, Carolina is 15-17 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Last 3+ years, Carolina is 16-36 SU.
— Panthers are 3-8 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Mayfield is 31-33 as an NFL starter.

— Carolina won four in row, 7 of last 9 series games.
— Cardinals are 1-4-1 ATS in last six visits to Charlotte.
— Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.

Patriots (1-2) @ Packers (2-1)
— QB Jones is out here with a high ankle sprain.
— 18-19 SU since Brady left; 8-10 ATS on road.
— Last 2+ years, Patriots are 4-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— New England is minus-4 in turnovers (1-5) this season.
— Last 2+ years, Patriots are 9-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last 2+ years, Patriots are 4-5 ATS vs NFC teams.
— Opponents have converted 19-40 third down plays.
— Backup QB Hoyer is in his 13th year; he is 16-23 as an NFL starter. His last win came in 2016, for the Bears (0-14 since then)

— Packers won last two games, giving up 2 TD’s on 19 drives.
— Green Bay has scored 38 first half points, only 10 in second half.
— Green Bay opponents have converted only 7-31 third down plays.
— Last 3+ years, Packers are 15-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Green Bay is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
— Last two games, Green Bay won field position by 9-12 yards.
— Last four years, Packers are 10-6-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Rodgers is 152-77-1 as an NFL starter.

— New England won three of last five series games.
— Patriots split last two visits to Lambeau Field.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.

Broncos (2-1) @ Raiders (0-3)
— Broncos is 2-1 in first three games, despite scoring 16-16-11 points.
— Broncos are 2-1 and they haven’t led at halftime yet (0-2-1).
— Denver was +3 in turnovers last week, struggled to an 11-10 win.
— Last two opponents converted 3-23 third down plays.
— Denver has scored 18 points in seven red zone drives.
— Denver is 12-9-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road dog.
— Last two years, Broncos are 5-8 ATS coming off a win.
— Since 2019, Denver is 2-6-1 ATS in AFC West road games.
— All three Denver games stayed under the total.
— QB Wilson is 115-61-1 as an NFL starter.

— Raiders lost first three games, by 5-6-2 points.
— Raiders ran ball for 64-80-96 yards in first three games.
— Las Vegas is 5-12 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
— Since 2019, Raiders are 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Las Vegas lost only home game in OT to Arizona; they led 20-0 at half.
— Las Vegas is 8-4 ATS in last 12 AFC West home games.
— Raiders have gone under their team total all three games.
— Derek Carr is 57-74 as an NFL starter.

— Raiders won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
— Broncos are 0-6 ATS in last six road series games.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.

Chiefs (2-1) @ Buccaneers (2-1)
— Chiefs scored 44-27 points in Weeks 1-2, were held to 17 at Indy LW.
— Chiefs scored only 30 points on last seven red zone drives.
— Last 3+ years, Kansas City is 12-11-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Chiefs had kicking issues LW, missing PAT and 34-yard FG.
— Kansas City opponents went under team total in all three games.
— Since 2019, Chiefs are 6-4 ATS coming off a loss.
— Chiefs are 17-6-1 ATS in last 24 games where spread was 3 or less.
— Mahomes is 61-16 as an NFL starter.

— Last two games, Tampa Bay was outscored 17-3 in first half.
— Bucs have allowed only three TD’s on 35 drives.
— Bucs have scored only three TD’s on 32 drives.
— Tampa Bay has scored 16 points on five red zone drives.
— Tampa Bay is 9-2-1 ATS in last 12 games as a home dog.
— With Brady at QB, Bucs are 4-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— All three Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Brady is 309-87 as a NFL starter, 31-11 in Tampa.

— Buccaneers won five of last six series games.
— Bucs won last meeting 31-9 in Super Bowl two years ago, in Tampa.
— Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Tampa Bay.

Monday’s game
Rams (2-1) @ 49ers (1-2)
— Rams won last two games, outscoring foes 34-9 in first half.
— Rams have been outscored 51-17 in second half of games.
— Rams have converted 15-31 third down plays.
— Last 3+ years, LA is 9-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Rams are 10-5-1 in last 16 NFC West road games.
— Rams are 12-7 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Stafford is 18-6 as QB of the Rams.

— 49ers are 1-2 so far, despite outgaining foes 971-681.
— 49ers outscored first three opponents 34-3 in first half.
— 49ers have been outscored 34-13 in second half.
— SF have scored only 30 points in nine red zone drives.
— Last 5+ years, 49ers are 6-9-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
— All three 49ers games stayed under the total.
— 49ers are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or less.
— QB Garoppolo is 37-17 as an NFL starter.

— 49ers won six of last seven series games; loss was in LY’s NFC title game.
— Underdogs covered last seven meetings.
— Rams are 2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Santa Clara.
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Week 4 Gridiron Betting Angles

Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
The Buccaneers are 8-0 ATS since 2019 when they scored less than 20 points last game.

Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Falcons are 0-11-1 ATS since 2018 at home when they allowed more than 290 passing yards last game.

OU Trend
Matchup: Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Giants are 0-9 OU since November 15, 2020 when they ran for at least 125 yards last game.

Choice Trend
Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
The Jaguars are 0-10 OU since Janaury 2021 as a 5-16 point underdog.