2-17-09

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Sports Club
February 17, 2009

England League 1:

Crewe Alexandra vs. Southend Utd. over 2.5


Italy Serie B:

Empoli vs. Modena over 2

Sassuolo vs. Albinoleffe over 2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

Jefferson-sports


Nba
New Orleans-3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

igz1 sports

Early Tuesday Card !!
Monday Recap: 1-0 CBB (+90 pts)

CBB
4* Over 148.5 (-110) Austin Pea vs Jacksonville State

Good Luck !!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

fairway jay
Southern Mississippi r732
-8.0 (-110) / 3 units

fairway jay
Austin Peay r743
Jacksonville State r744
u149.0 / 4 units

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Leafs/Sabres over 6

Game 2 - Blackhawks/Lightning over 6

Game 3 - Flames -140

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

REASON FOR PICK: Scott Rickenbach’s NBA 2* (Top Play) New Orleans Hornets (-) @ Oklahoma City @ 8:05 PM ET – The first lines to come out on this game were in the 4.5 range yesterday afternoon. This morning we watched the line drop as low as a 2.5 in some books. This line move is offering fantastic line value to the Hornets. We understand what every one is likely looking at here – New Orleans struggled before the All Star break – but things can change quickly after the break. That is precisely what we see here. Much of the Hornets struggles prior to the break had to do with injuries. Now, even though Tyson Chandler (questionable) may not play tonight, the Hornets do have a healthy Chris Paul (note what he did in All Star game) plus David West came back in the final game before the All Star break. That means this team is ready to make a big push in the “second half” of the season.

The Hornets are truly fighting for their playoff lives as their slump before the break dropped them way back in the playoff standings and they could now be the team to fall into the dreaded #9 spot if their not careful. We feel this will result in New Orleans coming out of the break with plenty of energy and emotion. They’re facing a Thunder team that wasn’t playing very well entering the break either. Making matters worse for Oklahoma City is that they are one of the six teams in the Western Conference that are, essentially, already eliminated from playoff contention. While they’re playing for the future, that doesn’t necessarily help them in a game like this. They just don’t have the defensive skills to match-up with the Hornets. That’s why New Orleans has taken seven straight games against the Oklahoma City franchise.

Overall, the Thunder lost five of their last seven games entering the All Star break and they’ve already lost both match-ups with the Hornets this season. New Orleans has averaged 107 points in the two wins and this comes as no surprise as the Thunder have allowed 103 points per game on the season. By the way, the Hornets give up an average of just 93 points per game! You will see the difference in these defenses, on the floor, once again tonight. The Hornets Paul had a triple double with 29 points, 16 assists, and 10 rebounds against the Thunder in their last meeting. He will be unstoppable again tonight. Oklahoma City is improving but they’re still young and the more experienced Hornets have their sights set on a surge toward the post-season. That begins tonight. Play New Orleans minus the points as a Top Play selection.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

IC

Unit Play. #738. Take Vanderbilt +2 over Kentucky (Tuesday @ 9pm est). Glad things worked out as La Tech made a spirited come back in the final four minutes of the contest out west. Let's continue that mojo today with Vanderbilt as the home dog today against a very solid Kentucky team in the SEC. This game reminds me a lot of last year's series between these two squads. Note, that Kentucky defeated this team last year 79-33 in OT. Vandy then came back home and just routed this team in revenge as they were a 4 point chalk but ended up winning 93-52. Now, by no means is Vandy that good this year nor is Kentucky as bad as they were last year. But, Vandy still has revenge, this is a weekday when the majority of the public will take the favorite here in the SEC as Kentucky is the road chalk. Tack on the home court advantage for Vandy, the fact this game is televised and revenge, we have a making for a decent cover here on Vandy's home floor. Vandy is a very unique place to play as well given the makeup of the court and that will certainly throw off Kentucky in the early going as it did last year. Don't think that Vandy cannot matchup to the Wildcats here as they played earlier this year and Kentucky won by 10 points. Vandy does show some punch at home as they are 11-4 as they come off a rough loss to Tennessee on the road by 19 as they were a 10 point dog. With 70% of the public riding Kentucky here, note that the Wildcats who are top 25 in many power rankings, have lost to 80 teams such as Vandy before. The Wildcats if you remember lost to Ole Miss by 5 and were down at several points in the Arkansas game before coming back. Vandy has been dismal covering ATS spreads of late, but I think they are turning the corner a bit as they beat Ole Miss at home by 10, beat Auburn on the road by 7 and were competitive against South Carolina on the road. Given that this team only lost to Kentucky by 10 points on the road this year, Kentucky coming off a big road win, Vandy coming off a huge road loss, with the crowd behind them, as a small home dog on a weekday night fading the majority of the public, with revenge, I think all of these factors make for the 8 point difference as this team has a decent shot at winning Outright esp. if the refs are a bit generous with calls due to the home crowd. Vandy is 6-2 ATS as home dogs of late and Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in the SEC of late.

Good luck,

Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

IC

4 Unit Play. #705. Take Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5 over the Washington Wizards (Tuesday @ 7pm est). Let's kick off our 9th straight winning NBA Week on the right foot today. We were 3-1 last week, 5-2 the week before and 5-2 the week before that in the Association. I like the Timberwolves despite having no Al Jefferson. After all, this team still has a great deal of depth and it is not as if Washington is playing at full strength either. The Wizards still have no Haywood and Arenas who are both due back in Mid March. Thus, this game comes down to execution, heart and which team will have the "no-quit" attitude. With the exception of Butler and Jamison, Washington really does not have strong scoring options on this team. Take a look at the Wizard's last game when they were on the road at Charlotte and lost by double-digits, Butler dropped 26 and Jamison dropped 23, but outside that, the rest of the starting lineup of McGuire, Songaila and James had 7, 6 and 6 points respectively. Now, take a look at the Timberwolves who faced the Raptors at home and actually led most of the way, had balanced scoring from their starting five. Foye led the way with 33 points, Gomes with 17, Love with 15, Miller with 12 and Telfair with 11. I like the balanced scoring attack of Minnesota far more than Washington as I feel Minny is a team that is more focused on the "team" concept and frankly although McHale is a sorry GM, he is a great coach thus far and has really given this team a sense of confidence that they can compete in this league and their drastic increase in wins over the last two months is testament to that. Let's ride the Twolves here as they look to get the Outright on the road at Washington with more of a "team" concept play, a far more balanced scoring attack and frankly, a team that plays with more of a sense of urgency with a chip on their shoulder coming off a fourth quarter collapse against the Raptors as they look to get the second half of the season going on the right foot. The Twolves are 10-2 ATS as a road Underdog of late and the Wizards are 2-9 ATS as small favorites of late. Give me the dog and let me go contrary to a team that truly should not be laying points given their play this season.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

Erin Rynning
20* over wizards

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

BeatYourBookie.com

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Tuesday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Kentucky (-2) over Vanderbilt (NCAA)
(Super Tuesday Game of the Year)

Kentucky is 9-0 ATS in road games when the total is between 130 and 139.5
Kentucky is 6-1 SU & ATS as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons
Kentucky is 5-1 ATS after having won two of the last three games
Vanderbilt is 1-9 ATS in home games when the total is between 130 and 139.5



100* Play East Carolina (+8) over Southern Mississippi (NCAA)

Southern Mississippi is 0-8 ATS over the last 8 games
Southern Mississippi is 2-8 ATS vs. conference opponents this season
Southern Mississippi is 1-5 ATS coming off a conference loss


----------------------------------------------------------------------


Bonus Hoops & Hockey Plays

30* Play Minnesota (+3.5) over Washington (NBA)

Washington is 2-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
Washington is 7-17 ATS coming off an OVER the total this season
Washington s 6-16 ATS coming off a loss by 10 points or more


30* Play San Jose (-330) over Edmonton (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

Vernon Croy's **NCAAB SMASH OF THE WEEK** (6-1 86% CBB Run):

20 Units, Take Maryland ATS.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

RON RAYMOND’S 5* NHL BEST BET PICK + 2 BONUS PICKS

Pick # 1 Toronto Maple Leafs (105)


Pick # 2 New Jersey Devils (-115)


Pick # 3 Ottawa Senators (115)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

CHARLIE

cbb. kentucky @ vanderbilt over 135' (500*)
cbb. purdue-2' (30*)
cbb. ohio u+7 (20*)
cbb. seton hall+12 (20*)
nba. milwaukee+7(10*)
nba. ok city+3' (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

Handicapper: Mr East
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Pennsylvania Quakers @ Princeton Tigers - Tuesday February 17, 2009 7:00 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: Pennsylvania Quakers +3 (-110)

The Penn Quakers and Princeton are certainly used to playing for something, namely the IVY Title, but things have changed as these teams have struggled to get the players that are a touch above the rest of the Ivy. It still is an intense game, and a huge rivalry. I have a moneyline system that has actually won 87.5% of the time that is live in this one. The record stands at 26-4 to an average line of +126. The team that is the underdog in this situation, has actually won the game by an average of nearly 7 points. It is favoring Penn to not only get the cover, but to win the game outright! I;ll take the points in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 2-17-09

RON RAYMOND’S 5* NBA O/U GAME OF THE NIGHT

Pick # 1 Philadelphia 76ers / Indiana Pacers Over 211 -110



RON RAYMOND’S 5* CBB BEST BET WINNER!

Pick # 1 Kentucky /Vanderbilt Over 134.5 -110