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Monday 10/10/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
1* Free Sharp Play on Raiders +7 -105
Bet the Raiders (+7) as a big road dog against the Chiefs on Monday Night Football. I like Kansas City to win this game, but I feel there's just too much value with Las Vegas catching a full touchdown in this matchup. This is a brutal spot for the Chiefs. As much as they hate the Raiders, it's just not as big a game to them given how they have dominated this series. KC just played at Tampa Bay last week, which was their first crack at Brady and the Bucs since losing to them in the Super Bowl. Next week they have one of the most anticipated games of the entire regular-season with their showdown against the Bills. Raiders got the offensive fire-power to keep pace with KC's offense and keep this within the number. Play Las Vegas +7!
Romania Liga 1 Monday Free Pick OVER 2 in U Craiova 1948 vs Chindia Targoviste @ 10:30 AM ET -
The key here is U Craiova 1948 will be strong on their home pitch and is off a 2-2 draw on the road. At home, U Craiova 1948 has scored at least 1 goal in 4 of 5 matches and averaged 1.5 goals scored in those 4 home matches. Chindia Targoviste has a knack for getting involved in high-scoring matches. The visitors have seen 9 of their 11 matches this season total at least 2 goals. In fact, those 9 matches have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. This total opened up at 2.25 or 2.5 and is now down to 2 and I feel we have solid line value here. Chindia Targoviste is averaging scoring 1 goal per match on the road this season and you know the hosts should score as well given the above. That said, how likely is a 1-1 draw? Only about 25% given the YTD results for these two clubs. In my mind we have about 75% odds on at least a 2-1 match here. Free Pick OVER 2 in U Craiova 1948
Monday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Las Vegas and Kansas City at 8:15 pm et on Monday.
We've seen a string of low-scoring NFL primetime games and while that obviously has no real effect on the way tonight's affair plays out on the field, I do think it helps to keep the total in check as bettors become a little more hesitant to 'auto-bet' the 'over' in these spotlight games. I believe we're set up for a shootout as the Raiders head to Kansas City to challenge the Chiefs on Monday. The Chiefs woes in pass defense have been somewhat masked by the explosiveness of their offense this season and I expect that to continue to be the theme on Monday night. The Raiders have actually been moving the football at will but haven't been able to finish enough drives with seven's rather than three's to avoid a disappointing 1-3 start. It's worth noting that Las Vegas QB Derek Carr will be facing a weaker secondary, in my opinion, than he saw last Sunday at home against the Broncos. Here, we'll note that the 'over' has gone 14-8 in the Raiders last 22 games as an underdog and 10-6 in their last 16 contests where the total was set at 49.5 points or higher, as is the case here. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 18-12 in the Chiefs last 30 games against AFC opponents and has also cashed in all four meetings in this series over the last two seasons. Take the over.
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