Friday 10/14/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dale’s Picks by Track Announcer Dale Day
REMINGTON PARK

Race 1
4 Properly Connected
2 Afraidofthebunny
1 Devito
3 Tapiture Jones

Race 2
2 Gray Zone
9 Bendelene
10 Lemons Is Gone
5 Missiszippy Bling

Race 3
8 Raining
7 Shotgun’s Vision
1 Bling Moon
6 Joan’s Song

Race 4
2 Why Behave
6 Bionica
4 Black Kat Taps
1 Birdie Curdy

Race 5
9 Twice The Price
7 Make Mine Wine
6 West Texas Rain
1 Dubronsky

Race 6
4 Super Empire
1 Good Liquor
2 Liam’s Nessy
9 Lisa G

Race 7
2 Robert Who
11 Dare To Be Wild
7 Grazen In The Park
4 Ramshack

Race 8
9 Disc Jockey
6 Big Power Red
7 R Doc
5 Varnished

Race 9
8 Belews Gold
10 My Pal Mattie
9 Choos Ur Adventure
6 Let’s Go Alamo

PREMIER PICK 4
RACES 2-5

PRIMETIME PICK 4
RACES 6-9

DALE DAY-LY DOUBLE
RACES 1 & 2

KICKOFF PICK 3
RACES 3, 4 & 5
PICK 5
RACES 1-5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's National Best Plays - 10-14-22

October 14, 2022


Jeff Siegel’s Best Plays for Friday, October 14, 2022

Belmont at the Big A First Race – Post time: 12:35 ET
6-Inflationary (5-1)

Juvenile son of Into Mischief was purchased by a sharp outfit for $475,000 as a yearling and makes his debut from a cozy outside post in this one-turn mile affair with a series of workouts that should have him plenty fit. The Chad Brown-trained colt lands Flavian Prat, one of the barn’s “go-to” riders (30% and a strong ROI), so all indications are that this is a colt with plenty of ability and extremely live and well-meant first crack out of the box. At 5-1 on the morning line, he’s worth a gamble in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.


Keeneland Seventh Race – Post time: 4:12 ET
12-Strobe (9/5)

Won at first asking on the Kentucky Derby program at Churchill Downs like a colt with immense talent but makes his first start since after taking the summer off in this first level allowance sprint that came up fairly competitive. The son of Into Mischief earned a stakes quality speed figure in victory, so if he returns as well as he left the Brad Cox-trained sophomore should be capable of handling this class hike in stride. We’ll make him a win play and rolling exotic single and hope to get close to his morning line of 9/5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

October 14, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

The finest Indiana Breds will be competing for more than $2.3 million in purses on Hoosier Champions night. There will be eight Super Finals on the card for 2 & 3-year-olds, each with a $250,000 purse. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 12. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 12

3-Always Gonna B You (12-1)-This filly shouldn't be 12-1 but hoping so. Came on swiftly down the lane after being locked in on the rail. Last week was the 1st start since 9-19 and the 1st time back at HoP since 7-23. Could be sitting on a big try.
6-JK's Rollin Baby (8/5)-Comes off 2 powerful decisive wins and is a main player. My only concern is this being the 3rd start in 14 days, and we are coming to the end of the season. Otherwise, should be difficult to down.
10-Marvelous Marsha (7/2)-Winner of 4 in a row has hit the board in 12 of 13 this year and shouldn't be counted out despite starting in the 2nd tier. The 2 has gate speed and De Long could land in a decent early seat. The faster the pace the better because Marsha can fly late.

Race 13

3-Coach Stefanos (8/5)-Took no prisoners in a 1.50 romp versus this kind on 10-6. That was the 2nd start on Lasix and it really kicked in. This Miller trainee rolled the 2nd half in 54.1 and coasted home with a .27 final panel after coming 1st over. Stringing along and looking for more of the same.

Race 14

1-Sure Thing Herman (5-1)-Had little chance off a tough trip from post 11. Did finish willingly to come on for 4th and now could get back to its winning ways starting from the rail. Bender has some options with this post draw and the 3-year-old knows his way to the HoP winner's circle (16-8-1-3).
3-Big Law (15-1)-Started from the 2nd tier, had an issue around the opening turn and raced wide for the entire way. Needless to say, that trip didn't end well but was game for most of the mile. Miller could work a sweet journey and be in striking range turning for the wire.
5-Soaring Now (6/5)-Winner of 3 straight showed some guts down the lane and has won 9 of 17 at HoP. Stutzman trainee is ultra sharp, and the race probably goes through this 3-year-old.

Race 15

5-BB Lucky Boy (2-1)-Has the gate speed to land on the point or right behind the main foe below. Dunn needs to ration the speed and this pilot will keep the George trainee in play from start to finish.
6-Ultra Image (5/2)-This is the other George pupil with Tetrick between the pipes and is probably the one to beat on this oval. Should be racing on the point or close to it and the HoP record of (15-5-3-2) is one to respect.

0.50 Late Pick 4

3,6,10/3/1,3,5/5,6
Total Bet=$9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli: Laurel Park Late Pick 4 Analysis Friday, Oct. 14

October 14, 2022 | By Frank Carulli

LAUREL PARK LATE PICK 4 ANALYSIS
Friday, October 14

Laurel Park’s scheduled turf races last Friday were switched to the main track, resulting in short fields and payouts. This week’s Late Pick 4 features a 12-horse $40,000 claiming route and nine-horse Maiden Special Weight sprint on the lawn, perhaps leading to a lucrative payout for a 50-cent base wager. Here’s a look at the action:

LRL 6th race (3:23 EST) -- In his last three turf starts, C MY MEISTER met the likes of multiple stakes winner Red Danger (3-8 turf, $442k), Grade III winners Coinage and Main Event, Hawthorne Derby runaway winner Speaking Scout and Prince of Wales Stakes victor Duke of Love. He was outrun in a turf-to-dirt optional claiming race off the layoff earlier this month, but must be used in the leadoff leg. CASH ROCKET saved ground to the stretch, patiently waited for a seam to burst through, and won going away in his first start for a claiming price. Trainer Brittany Russell’s runners repeat 21 percent of the time and win at a 26 percent rate in their second start off a six-month layoff. (If the race is switched to the main track, use numbers 1, 4 and 13)

LRL 7th race (3:57 EST) -- ORDER OF THE KETTLE will be an underlay after he recovered from a slow start and rallied into photo-finish view in a well-bet debut. But no one in that field had posted a Beyer speed figure higher than a 46 going into the race, so the suggestion is to take him off the ticket or include several others. Hit the ‘ALL’ button.

LRL 8th race (4:31 EST) -- GRAND ESCAPE can be excused for a rough trip last out and he is a strong play off his first two running lines. He kicked clear late in a productive 4-1/2F race at Penn National in his debut, then chased the favorites in a rapid-paced stakes at Colonial Downs. He finished third, well clear of Bandits Heart, who came back to win the $50,000 Dover Stakes at Delaware Park. He is today’s solo play.

LRL 9th race (5:03 EST) – SAUCY ran a game second to 2-to-5 winner Better Call Mama, who repeated in a $40,000 claimer. She gets Lasix today but will have company on the front end in the form of Saratoga invader DIAMANT DAMHSA and perhaps others. DETERMINED CHARM could sit the ideal trip after she overcame traffic mid-turn and rallied for second behind the 3-2 winner on the cutback to 5F. SISTER MAC, whose dam was a multiple graded stakes-winning sprinter, will be running late and is a must use on the ticket. KRONE gets on the ticket as a longshot as trainer Mark Shuman is 18-percent with first-time starters on the lawn. (If the race is switched to the main track, use numbers 2, 4, 5 and 11)

Suggested 50-cent Ticket
LRL 6th Race: 1, 10
LRL 7th Race: ALL
LRL 8th Race: 1
LRL 9th Race: 2, 7, 8, 11
COST: $40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6
Picks Notes
#3 Noid He'll step up into this next condition off a nice win last time out, and he figures to be in line for a nice trip spying the speed again here. Wouldn't be a shock right back.
#6 Hot Fudge Sonde He just handled some of these last time out when second, and I like that he has some versatility in his running style to give his rider some options out of the gate.
#2 Spanglish His recent form isn't a whole lot to look at, but he ran some races earlier this year that would keep him in the frame at a decent price. Shares?
Race Summary Noid and Hot Fudge Sonde are tough to get past in this one, and I'll try to get Spanglish in the picture at a price to boost the gimmicks.

Charles Town - Race #7
Picks Notes
#4 Strong Fiber He'll step into open company off a couple sharp wins with statebred friends, and he should be right up on the splits again here while looking to prompt the pace and finish.
#3 Mr Tingles He'll rise again off the claim after romping against claiming company in that last one, but he'll probably need a bit better for the new team, as he has sometimes struggled with similar in the past.
#7 Settlement Date He's another in with a chance here while likely to flash a little forward speed from the outside. That said, he doesn't always back up his good races, so I would want a fair price to sign on to see if he can bring something similar here.
Race Summary Strong Fiber looks the part in here while looking for a third score in a row, and his form has been super consistent with the exception of the two runs surrounding the layoff.

Charles Town - Race #8
Picks Notes
#10 Ballymena This 14-start maiden is not exactly brimming with excuses at this point, but maybe the change of scenery wakes him up just enough to be competitive with these.
#6 Maysville Miss She's a pretty honest type who figures to be in the mix again here, but she's typically a bit one-paced in the lane. Needs better than the modest effort at 3/5 last out.
#4 Irish Saumurai She has form from Florida that can make her tough here, but I worry about her lack of early speed and whether she'll leave herself too much work to do here.
Race Summary Ballymena is meeting a couple logical players who might be a bit overbet, and she's likely to bounce back here off the unusually flat run last out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#9 TACTICAL CHEECH (3-1) Knocking on the door for first win, can knock it down in this spot.
#7 CHEF MENTEUR (7-2) Ran well fresh, has tactical speed, distance should suit him well.
#3 WINTER’S GHOST (8-1) Faded against top one as the favorite for new connections.
Race Summary TACTICAL CHEECH rallied for second in his last three starts, once against a 3-to-5 winner, twice while 6-wide and the latest on a sloppy track at today’s distance. He draws outside but can upstage to a victory with a clean trip. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#1 DIVINE CONNECTION (3-1) Seeks re-run of long sprint two starts back in second start for new barn.
#2 SONICUS (6-5) Speed, best numbers, drifted on lead at this distance two back and got caught.
#6 MORE GLORY (8-1) Late-runner exits fast-paced races, use underneath in gimmick wagers.
Race Summary DIVINE CONNECTION stalked the winning favorite Alluramore (2-7, $69k) in the 4-path but lacked kick in a 6F statebred allowance. She earned her top speed figure when second at this distance in the race prior, though she benefited when the 2-1 second favorite ran into early trouble. Bet to win and place and play 1-2 and 1-6 exactas.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#5 TOUT ENSEMBLE (8-1) Ranged up 4-wide on turn, flattened out after early trouble in MSW ranks.
#7 FELINE (3-1) Plagued by poor starts, Zayas replaces apprentice jockey and picks up 10 pounds.
#4 SHEZA SPITFIRE (6-1) Close up until stretch in last three starts on a fast track, lacked punch.
Race Summary TOUT ENSEMBLE is a live price play on the drop from Maiden Special Weight company. She was squeezed back to last and raced wide throughout at 7F. She loomed boldly while 4-wide for the stretch drive but flattened out. Bet to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hawthorne
PURCHASE
Hawthorne - Race 6

$1 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 20 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $1 Daily Double


SO $20,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 5:00P
(RAIL AT 20 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2022 OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 14 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES). IN THE EVENT THAT THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF IT WILL BE CONTESTED AT ONE MILE AND ONE-SIXTEENTH ON THE MAIN TRACK.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. TELLMEONASUNDAY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SLIME QUEEN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MAD GRACE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distan ce/surface. TELLMEONASUNDAY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SHABAM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LEA RO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
9
SLIME QUEEN
10/1

6/1
3
MAD GRACE
10/1

7/1
13
TELLMEONASUNDAY
10/1

7/1
10
SHABAM
3/1

8/1
8
LEA RO
9/2

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
13
TELLMEONASUNDAY
13

10/1
Alternator/Front-runner
86

81

56.2

77.2

71.7
9
SLIME QUEEN
9

10/1
Stalker
85

87

80.6

78.6

70.1
8
LEA RO
8

9/2
Stalker
89

89

77.5

81.2

61.7
3
MAD GRACE
3

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
88

79

81.6

80.0

74.5
7
SEAWARD
7

15/1
Trailer
87

75

78.8

72.0

52.0
10
SHABAM
10

3/1
Trailer
87

83

73.8

83.2

75.2
2
ACCORDING TO ASPEN
2

8/1
Trailer
88

79

71.8

78.4

66.9
6
UPTOWN QUEEN
6

5/1
Trailer
89

86

69.8

76.7

71.2
11
MIZZEN ASH
11

12/1
Trailer
91

79

55.2

79.0

56.5
12
INDICIA
12

8/1
Trailer
85

82

52.6

79.6

63.1
5
COME ON SWEET PEA
5

6/1
Trailer
86

73

45.5

67.9

53.4
1
ON A TOUR
1

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
86

80

89.3

76.8

57.8
4
CELESTIAL SPIN
4

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
87

79

74.2

71.6

53.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belmont at the Big A
PURCHASE
Belmont at the Big A - Race 9

Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)


Maiden Claiming $40,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $47,000 • Post: 4:54P
(RAIL AT 18 FEET). (UP TO $8,178 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (1.5% AFTERCARE ASSESSMENT DUE AT TIME OF CLAIM OTHERWISE CLAIM WILL BE VOID). (IF THE STEWARDS CONSIDER IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT ONE MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.)
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. LADY FIREFOOT is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LADY FIREFOOT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. VAGARIES (IRE): Horse rank s in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. BRISKY FROLIC: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BIRTHDAY TIME: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return o n investment is at least +20.
4
LADY FIREFOOT
6/1

9/2
12
VAGARIES (IRE)
9/2

6/1
8
BRISKY FROLIC
4/1

7/1
9
BIRTHDAY TIME
5/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
11
TEMERITY
10

20/1
Front-runner
0

0

59.6

59.6

37.6
8
BRISKY FROLIC
7

4/1
Stalker
83

74

87.2

75.8

68.3
12
VAGARIES (IRE)
11

9/2
Stalker
79

79

72.3

76.3

70.3
9
BIRTHDAY TIME
8

5/1
Stalker
83

76

68.5

74.7

67.2
6
LINN PIER
5

30/1
Stalker
78

68

65.6

65.8

48.3
4
LADY FIREFOOT
3

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
84

72

106.2

77.7

72.2
3
BELLESHAZZA
2

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
79

78

76.8

71.8

57.3
14
THE SWEATY FOX
14

15/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

71.1

73.9

54.9
1A
LINEAR THINKING (IRE)
15

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
82

82

67.3

67.3

51.8
10
MISCREANT
9

10/1
Trailer
79

79

67.8

75.4

61.9
5
SINGALONG
4

20/1
Trailer
74

68

64.6

64.0

44.5
2
GEOMETRIQUE
1

30/1
Trailer
83

66

57.7

71.6

51.1
7
EXOTIC CAT
6

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
79

72

64.6

70.0

54.5
13
IRONIC LADY
13

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

64.5

52.1

30.1








Unknown Running Style: FLYWHEEL EFFECT (7/2) [Jockey: Ortiz Jr Irad - Trainer: Brown Chad C].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Warriors -4.5
2. Gameday Network NBA – Hawks -2
3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Rockets +1
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Cavaliers over 210.5
5. VegasSI.com NHL – Jets -135
6. Sam Casey NHL – Lightning over 6.5
7. Henry Brown Sports NHL – Red Wings -160
8. Winning Big Sports NHL – Sharks +175
9. Lou Panelli NBA – Celtics -1.5
10. Platinum Info Club NBA – Knicks -3.5
11. William E. Stockton NBA – Mavericks -7
12. Vincent Pioli NBA – Nuggets under 225.5
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Hawks -2
14. SCORE NHL – Lightning -1.5
15. Tony Campone NHL – Hurricanes -1.5
16. Chicago Sports Group NHL – Jets under 6.5
17. Hollywood Sportsline NHL – Canadiens +140
18. VIP Action NBA – Mavericks -7
19. South Beach Sports NBA – Warriors -4.5
20. LV Sports Commission NBA – Hawks -2
21. NY Players Club NBA – Pacers -1
22. Fred Callahan NHL – Lightning -1.5
23. LV Private CEO Club NHL – Canadiens over 6.5
24. Michigan Sports NHL – Sharks +175
25. National Consensus Report NHL – Jets -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasInsider (Kevin Rogers)

NCAAF
SMU -13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ross Benjamin

CFB

Navy Midshipmen +13'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U

Friday's Free Selection: New York Rangers/Winnipeg Jets over 6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports

Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Detroit Red Wings - 170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports

Friday's Free Play: Tampa Bay Lightning - 170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: Atlanta/Philadelphia Under 7