Wednesday 10/19/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

Will Rogers

The Kraken are just 1-3 to date, and while they could be tough at times at home last year, they face a powerful team in St Louis on Wednesday. Grubauer has not started well in net for the Kraken allowing more than four goals a game, and faces Binnington who had a fine season last year, in his first start this year.
The Kraken offense has been up and down to date, but was held to just 3 goals over their last two games. The Blues started strongly on offense, scoring 5 in their first and only game. St Louis was 3-0 against Seattle last year and I'm betting they win on Wednesday as well. Take the Blues on the money line.-136

[ConleyPicks]

Dave Price

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Mavs/Suns OVER 216
The Key: The Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns are without two key defenders that they had last season. The Mavericks are without Jalen Brunson, which I don't think hurts them as much on offense as people think. They will likely play faster with Spencer Dinwiddie than they did with Bruson on offense. The Suns are without Jay Crowder, who is pissed off he lost his starting job and sitting out. He is one of their best perimeter defenders. Cam Johnson is in for him instead and gives the Suns more of an offensive punch than Crowder did. These should be two of the most efficient offenses in the NBA again this season. This is a pretty low total when you compare the totals of the rest of the NBA games on opening night. I like the price we are getting with the OVER. Take the OVER.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicappers' Consensus for Wednesday, October 19

KEENELAND

	Scott Hazelton	Tom Leach	Jeremy Plonk	Gabby Gaudet	Kim Nelson
1	4 Heir to Greatness 2 Command Central 10 Order of Merit	4 Heir to Greatness 7 Get Through 10 Order of Merit	10 Order of Merit 3 Aristocat 4 Heir to Greatness	4 Heir to Greatness 3 Aristocat 10 Order of Merit	4 Heir to Greatness 10 Order of Merit 9 One Cool Dude
2	9 Pout 8 Sweet Truffles 2 Backstreet Affair	8 Sweet Truffles 1 Tyrona 6 Save Grace	1 Tyrona 8 Sweet Truffles 2 Backstreet Affair	6 Save Grace 1 Tyrona 5 Somebody Loves Me	4 Ughrouda 2 Backstreet Affair 1 Tyrona
3	5 Sister Annie 3 Lady Goldstart 1 Super Wonder Girl	5 Sister Annie 6 Music City Star 7 Dulcimer Dame	2 Tipsy Gal 8 Magical Peapod 9 Beachside Bunny	8 Magical Peapod 4 Sofia Strong 3 Lady Goldstart	3 Lady Goldstart 6 Music City Star 5 Sister Annie
4	9 Zap Motion 5 Steely Danza 8 Towing	9 Zap Motion 10 Nineties Country 1 Gold Heritage	9 Zap Motion 1 Gold Heritage 10 Nineties Country	4 Oro de Moro Moro 1 Gold Heritage 9 Zap Motion	9 Zap Motion 10 Nineties Country 4 Oro de Moro Moro
5	8 American Starlet 3 Laugh and Play 7 Quaria Comet	2 In My Opinion 7 Quaria Comet 8 American Starlet	8 American Starlet 3 Laugh and Play 7 Quaria Comet	8 American Starlet 2 In My Opinion 4 Only Kidding	3 Laugh and Play 8 American Starlet 9 Morgs World
6	4 Permafrost 6 Cyclone Mischief 8 Presider	3 Seeking Unity 8 Presider 6 Cyclone Mischief	6 Cyclone Mischief 7 King d'Oro 4 Permafrost	6 Cyclone Mischief 12 Wicked Secret 8 Presider	6 Cyclone Mischief 8 Presider 5 Wadsworth
7	7 Prevalence 6 Chattalot 3 Hollis	7 Prevalence 6 Chattalot 2 Here Mi Song	7 Prevalence 2 Here Mi Song 1 South Bend	3 Hollis 7 Prevalence 6 Chattalot	1 South Bend 7 Prevalence 3 Hollis
8	9 Opening Buzz 11 Top Gun Girl 8 Arlyne's Crown	11 Top Gun Girl 1 Shannon 9 Opening Buzz	11 Top Gun Girl 9 Opening Buzz 1 Shannon	9 Opening Buzz 6 Kant Believe It 5 Chromeplated Heart	1 Shannon 9 Opening Buzz 11 Top Gun Girl

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Dayton Raceway

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 10/19 DAYTON RACEWAY
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 7- - PACE 10/19 DAYTON RACEWAY
5 Rosa's Rebel 5/2 599.74 100 88.3 76.0 1:54.7 Miller, Brett 22
8 Fort El Said 10/1 563.73 80 53.3 76.0 1:55.1 Kauffman, Kayne 18
1 Pike N Perch 9/2 541.24 80 35.0 75.0 1:54.8 Mccown, Cameron 9
2 Something Great 7/2 533.42 90 MUD 60.0 75.0 1:55.9 Smith, Jeremy 19
4 Badger Quinn 3/1 522.98 90 56.7 75.0 1:56.2 Smith, Tyler 20

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrington Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 11 - Post: 7:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$7500 - H & G NW 2

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 3 BAD BOY TOO 9/5
# 1 SWING VISION 8/5
# 2 BLUE COLLAR BILLS 4/1

The consensus this time is that BAD BOY TOO is the one to beat. Many bettors will recognize the outstanding TrackMaster Speed Rating in the last affair. Stacks up against any horse in this field of starters. SWING VISION - Starters win from this post at Harrington Raceway with better than average regularity, suggesting this strong bet. Worth considering here on the basis of the statistics in the speed rating department alone. BLUE COLLAR BILLS - With one of the strongest drivers in terms of crossing the wire first, don't count this gelding out of the affair. Has very good speed figs and most likely has to be considered for a wager in this event.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Post: 8:35 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$20000 - 3-5 YO F& M NW 6 P-M RACES OR $75,000 LT SIRE STAKE RACES EXCLUDED

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 5 SOMESWEETSOMEWHERE 9/2
# 6 MABALENE N 7/2
# 4 COMMANDER CATHY N 3/1

Hard not to back SOMESWEETSOMEWHERE as the top selection for this one. Has a clear-cut shot for this one, if she can race to her back class. Zeron and Toscano have a formidable working relationship. Fantastic results from their races. MABALENE N - Worth a close look here given the ratings in the speed fig department alone. The number crunching team happens to know that when you put Bartlett and Tritton together good results are not far behind. COMMANDER CATHY N - Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a rather good 82 TrackMaster Speed Rating. This entrant looks dangerous considering the high class ratings. We wouldn't recommend tossing out of any exotics.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Flamboro Downs

CompuBet Free Pick!

CompuBet 10/19 FLAMBORO DOWNS
Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
Race#: 3- - PACE 10/19 FLAMBORO DOWNS
3 Maching Time 4/1 543.65 100 31.7 78.0 1:56.9 Fillion, Samuel 21
4 Mortgage My Villa 5/2 511.76 90 10.0 77.0 1:56.8 Moore, Tyler 17
9 Menlo Park 6/1 509.87 60 X 21.7 82.0 1:56.3 Cullen, Travis A 29
6 Sports Nation 2/1 502.96 60 >21 38.3 81.0 1:56.2 Ryan, Jason D 18
5 Freds Night 12/1 498.19 90 10.0 76.0 1:56.9 Byron, Stephen R 14

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 7
6	6	CRAZYCAT	12/1	Chindano, Joseph Jr - 18	487.53
4	4	MIGHTY SURF	9/2	Merton, Michael - 19	482.67
8	8	E R SHANE	7/2	Aldrich, Bruce Jr - 15	480.14
7	7	CHIP CHIP CONWAY	4/1	Taggart, Jim Jr - 17	469.48
5	5	CINNAMON STICK	8/1	Merton, Gregory - 21	457.74
3	3	STICK WITH ME KID	5/2	Sowers, Mcgwire - 15	456.43
1	1	FAIR GLIDER	6/1	Parker, Brandon - 14	455.84
2	2	FREDDIE MAC	3/1	Dibenedetto, Kyle - 10	443.82

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 9
5	5	MEADOWBROOK EVA	8/5	Stahl, Ryan - 8	404.66
3	3	JAZLEYN	4/1	Flowers, Derrick - 11	375.01
4	4	SISTERALICE	5/1	Thompson, Jason - 7	337.32
8	8	MERIT	15/1	Ebersole, Luke - 7	322.42
9	9	SWAN'S LADY	25/1	Grismore, Greg - 11	316.13
6	6	TT'S DIVA	15/1	Deaton, Elliott - 8	307.15
1	1	J'S COALIE	5/1	Driver, Tim - 10	295.15
7	7	CLAYCREST DELIGHT	25/1	Sugg, Kurt - 10	254.39
2	2	SO CURIOUS	8/1	Lems, Chris - 14	0.00

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Whoops I have been posting in wrong thread sorry CPAW

no worries, I do it all the time.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday’s games
Philadelphia @ San Diego (Phillies lead, 1-0)
Nola is 4-1, 1.44 in his last five starts.
He is 5-9, 3.00 in 16 road starts.
He is 2-0, 0.71 in two playoff starts.
He is 2-4, 3.11 in eight starts vs San Diego.

Phillies are 6-1 in playoff games this month.
Phillies are 72-47 since they changed managers.
Phillies are 44-42 on road this year.
Phillies are in the playoffs for first time since 2011.

Snell is 3-1, 1.34 in his last six starts.
He is 4-8, 3.56 in 15 home starts this year.
Snell is 3-3, 2.89 in nine playoff starts.
He is 0-3, 4.91 in four starts vs Philadelphia.

Padres are 5-4 in their playoff games so far this month.
San Diego is 46-38 at home this year.
Padres are in the playoffs for 2nd time since 2006 (2020 other time)

Phillies are 5-3 vs San Diego this year; road team won six of the eight games. Phillies got shut out in all three losses.

New York @ Houston (Game 1 of ALCS)
Taillon is 14-5, 3.92 in 31 starts this year.
He is 7-3, 4.36 in 16 road starts this year.
He gave up hits to all three batters he faced in his only playoff appearance.
He is 0-1, 4.58 in three starts vs Houston.

New York is 27-8 in their last 35 games.
New York is 43-40 on road.
New York is in playoffs for sixth year in row- their last World Series title was 2009.

Verlander is 2-1, 3.21 in his last five starts.
He is 10-1, 1.64 in 15 home starts.
He is 14-11, 3.62 in 31 playoff starts.
He is 9-7, 3.44 in 23 starts vs New York.

Houston is 9-3 in their last 12 games.
Astros are 57-26 at home.
Houston is in playoffs for 6th year in row- they were in World Series three of last five years.

Astros are 5-2 vs New York this year, 3-0 at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Wizards -1
2. Gameday Network NBA – Nets under 230.5
3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Cavaliers +2.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Mavericks +4.5
5. VegasSI.com NHL – Avalanche -1.5
6. Sam Casey NHL – Panthers -1.5
7. Henry Brown Sports NHL – Kraken +110
8. Winning Big Sports MLB – Phillies +100
9. Lou Panelli MLB – Astros over 7
10. Platinum Info Club MLB – Phillies under 6.5
11. William E. Stockton NHL – Avalanche over 6.5
12. Vincent Pioli NHL – Panthers -2.5
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NHL – Kraken +110
14. SCORE NBA – Cavaliers +2.5
15. Tony Campone NBA – Nuggets -7
16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Mavericks +4.5
17. Hollywood Sportsline NBA – Hornets pk
18. VIP Action MLB – Phillies +100
19. South Beach Sports MLB – Astros -1.5
20. LV Sports Commission MLB – Phillies under 6.5
21. NY Players Club MLB – Astros over 7
22. Fred Callahan MLB – Phillies +100
23. LV Private CEO Club NHL – Panthers -1.5
24. Michigan Sports NHL – Avalanche over 6.5
25. National Consensus Report NHL – Kraken +110