Saturday 10/22/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Free play from Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play SATURDAY, OCTOBER 22, 2022
FREE
CFB
340. Buffalo +7.5 (10 PT / 1 ET)

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Free play from Hawkeye Sports

Early Saturday's Free Pick: Boston College Golden Eagles + 20 1/2

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Free play from High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Saturday: Marshall Thundering Herd + 12 1/2

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Scott Rickenbach

EPL Saturday Free Pick OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Everton vs Crystal Palace @ 10 AM ET

The full focus for Everton here at home is to finally get some goal-scoring going. They are tied with Wolverhampton for worst mark in the league in terms of goals scored at home with just 3 in 5 matches! Crystal Palace only has 3 goals in 4 road matches this season and they are seeking their first win on enemy territory this season. That said, this one sets up well for a very aggressive attacking effort from each club. It is contrarian to what the markets are expecting here but I fully expect it to cash. I know 2's are available but I am so confident with this one that I am recommending the over 2.5 at solid plus money with this one. Everton has scored a goal in each of last two matches on home pitch. 3 of last 4 Crystal Palace matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, each of the last 3 matches between these clubs have totaled at least 4 goals! Free Pick OVER 2.5 +135 in Everton

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Jesse Schule

This is a free play on Iowa+30
We all know that Iowa is terrible offensively, but does that warrant a 30 point spread here at Ohio State? After all the Hawkeyes are 3-3 and their three losses came against Michigan, Iowa State and Illinois by an average margin of less than seven points. Iowa is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and while their offense is terrible, we can expect some regression to the mean. Let's not forget that Iowa ranks #3 in the country in scoring defense allowing less than 10 points per game. This is a big number, I'll take the points.
GL,
Jesse Schule

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ASA

#354 ASA FREE PLAY ON Clemson -13.5 over Syracuse, Saturday at 12 PM ET

We’ve been looking for a spot to fade the Cuse and we feel this is it. We like the value on Clemson here as they were favored by this same number 13.5 @ Syracuse last season and their last meeting with the Orange at home in 2020 the Tigers were favored by 47.5 points! These 2 have met 9 times since 2013 with Clemson favored in each by an average of -25 points and now we’re getting the Tigers under a TD. In the last 4 meetings between these 2 in Clemson, the Tigers have won all 4 by an average score of 47-16. The Cuse are definitely improved this year but we still feel they are overvalued with a 6-0 record. They’ve played only 1 road game this season and that was @ UConn, one of the worst teams in college football. They’ve faced a very easy schedule (88th SOS) with one really solid win vs Purdue and the Orange were outgained in that game by 180 yards at home so a bit lucky to say the least. The last 3 games for the Orange were less than impressive beating a bad Virginia team by 2 points on a last second FG, beating a terrible FCS team Wagner, and then topping NC State last week who played without their starting QB for the first time this season. Even with that it was a one score game with under 4:00 minutes remaining. Clemson has no reason to look ahead as they have bye on deck and played a tight game @ Cuse last year winning 17-14 (again as 13.5 point favorites). At 2 TD’s or less we’re on Clemson at home on Saturday.

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John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Miami -8.5


This is a good time to back the Miami Hurricanes after they failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games. But they actually played well in four of those five games and easily could have covered. They outgained Southern Miss by 214 yards in a 23-point win, outgained Texas A&M by 127 yards but lost by 8, outgained UNC by 68 yards but lost by 3 and outgained Virginia Tech by 201 yards and only won by 6. Now they face a Duke team they have outscored a combined 95-10 over the past two seasons. They should get right here against a suspect Duke defense and keep pouring on the points in this one. Duke is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games against good offensive teams that average 425 or more yards per game. The Blue Devils are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games. Give me Miami.

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Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Wisconsin -2


I like the outlook of the Wisconsin Badgers the rest of the way with interim head coach Jim Leonhard instead of Paul Chryst, who was fired after an upset home loss to Illinois. Turns out Illinois might be the best team in the Big Ten West this season. Leonhard was next in line to take over for Chryst anyway. It was an impressive debut for him as he led the Badgers to a 42-7 win at Northwestern. The Badgers did come back and lose 28-34 (OT) at Michigan State last week, but I think this is now a 'buy low' opportunity on them. If they had won and covered that game against the Spartans, they would be closer to 7-point favorites here against Purdue, which is about where this line should be. It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Boilermakers after winning four consecutive games coming in. Those four wins came against FAU (by 2), Nebraska (by 6), Minnesota and Maryland (by 2). They are just squeaking by. This will be their toughest test of the entire season, and I don't expect it to go very well for them Saturday.

Wisconsin has pretty elite numbers for being just 3-4 at this point. The Badgers are averaging 6.3 yards per play on offense and averaging 0.7 yards per play more than their opponents typically allow. They are giving up 5.4 yards per play on defense, holding opponents to 0.3 yards per play less than their season averages. They are outgaining opponents by 0.9 yards per play. Compare that to Purdue, which is only outgaining the opposition by 0.3 yards per play on the season.The Badgers simply own the Boilermakers. Wisconsin is 15-0 SU & 12-3 ATS in its last 15 meetings with Purdue. Amazingly, 12 of those 15 victories have come by 17 points or more. Jeff Brohm is a great head coach, but he hasn't been able to figure out the Badgers. It should be more of the same in 2022 with the Badgers winning their 16th consecutive meeting. Bet Wisconsin Saturday.

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Rob Vinciletti

The PAC 12 Comp play is on UCLA plus the 6-7 points.

The Bruins are 6-0 and that sets them up in a solid system that plays on dogs that have won their first 6 if their opponent is off a double digit win. These teams have covered over 80% long term.Both Teams have a high powered offenses. However, UCLA has a better defense. The Bruins have covered 7 of their last 8 on the road and 6 of 8 after putting up 450+ yards. Oregon has failed to cover 7 of 10 after putting up 450+ yards and 8 of 11 after a spread win. Look for UCLA to get the cover. On Saturday the TV Game of the Year with a powerful 18-0 System goes in SEC action and we have an Executive Level TIER 1 in BIG 12 Action. There is a Top BIG 10 Play and a TOP Level Total. We have a 14-0 NHL Power System play ans another NBA early Season Totals System play. Jump on as we have another huge card. For the CFB Comp play. Take the 6-7 points with UCLA. Rob V-

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Liberty +7 -110

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Freddy Wills

Oregon -6.5 1.1% Free Play


UCLA is the public dog of the week getting 70%+ of the action yet Oregon is a big favorite here at home where they have been dominant. Perhaps it’s the weather, perhaps it’s the strength of schedule UCLA has faced, or their first true road game or the fact that their defense has some red flags. This line seems a bit weird, and Bo Nix is playing great and has throughout his career at home. I think UCLA has given up 30+ points 3x this season, and Oregon will be the best defense they face thus far. Oregon also #1 epa rushing offense, compared to UCLA who ranks 87th in EPA. I think the Ducks get it done and are stronger in the trenches with a rainy game I trust Oregon at home more.

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Mike Lundin

Mike Lundin's Texas vs Oklahoma State Free Pick


This looks like a good spot to back Oklahoma State to bounce back from an OT loss at TCU last Saturday. Also, despite the loss, they still covered the 5-point spread. The Cowboys are an undefeated 4-0 home in Stillwater and they beat Texas Tech by double digits in their last home game. Texas is the better team, but the Cowboys rank No. 4 in scoring offense and the home town crowd should give them the extra push needed to keep this close. Cowboys are 20-4-2 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win. Cowboys are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. Longhorns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
FREE PICK ON OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS+6

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Marc Lawrence

Play - Oklahoma State+6 1/2 (Game 380).
Edges - Cowboys: Head coach Mike Gundy 26-6 and 13-5 ATS at home off a loss versus winning foes; and 4-1 ATS last five as a home dog … Longhorns: Head coach Steve Sarkisian away versus foes with a better record in his career … We recommend a 1* play on Oklahoma State. Thank you and good luck as always.

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Joseph D'Amico

Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Take Oklahoma State+6
Game 380.
12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.
The Texas Longhorns travel to Boone Pickens Stadium to face the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Both of these teams have one loss in the conference. And trust me when I tell you, the winner of this game will be watching the TCU/Kansas State matchup later today. The Horned Frogs and the Wildcats are both undefeated in Big 12 play. This game has serious implications here folks. In all honestly, on both of my sets of power ratings, I have Oklahoma State -1 and -4. Yes, they have covered four of the last five outings. Yes, they are playing at home. And yes, they should be in serious bounce-back mode after suffering a three-point overtime loss on the road last week against TCU. I get it guys. I understand the Longhorns have won their last three games. But going on the road to Stillwater to face an angry Cowboys team coming off their first defeat of the season, is going to be a tough task. Oklahoma State has a more potent offense without question. I know the Texas defense is a top-20 stop-unit. But I believe they will be backpedaling most of the game here. I do expect Longhorns quarterback, Quinn Ewers, who has been healthy the last few weeks and tossed seven touchdown passes, is going to have quite a bit of success in the air. But the more well-balanced, more-explosive offense of Okie State and their very loyal fan base, are going to play huge parts in this matchup. Giving them points here is a mistake. This is going to be a very close game. I like the Cowboys. Let’s not forget they have covered five of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. Oklahoma State is also 11-2-1 ATS the last 14 games played vs. conference foes, 20-4-2 ATS the last 26 games played following an ATS win, 10-3 ATS the last 13 games played following a SU loss, and 16-5-1 ATS the last 22 games played overall. Texas is 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played vs. Big 12 teams, 2-5 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS loss, 1-4 ATS the last five games played on the road, and 1-4 ATS the last five games played on the road vs. teams with a winning home record. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

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Jeff Alexander

1* NCAAF - Arizona St/Stanford FREE Pick on Arizona St +3