Sunday 10/23/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20541

    #16
    Free play from Atlantic Sports

    Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Portland Trail Blazers + 3

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20541

      #17
      Free play from Sharp Bettor

      SharpBettor FREE Play SUNDAY, OCTOBER 23, 2022
      FREE
      NFL
      460. Ravens -6.5 (10 PT / 1 ET)

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20541

        #18
        Free play from Hawkeye Sports

        Early Sunday's Free Pick: Houston Texans + 7

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20541

          #19
          Free play from The Last Call

          Sunday's Early Free Play: (504) Atlanta Hawks - 10 1/2


          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20541

            #20
            Free play from High Stakes Syndicate

            Free Selection for Early Sunday: Carolina Panthers + 13


            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20541

              #21
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belmont at the Big A

              Belmont at the Big A - Race 6
              Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 6 &7, Pick 3 ($1) (6-8) Pick 4 (.50) (6-9)
              Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Outer Turf • Age 3 CR: 101 • Purse: $120,000 • Post: 3:16P
              CARLE PLACE S. - (RAIL AT 36 FEET). OUTER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. NON-LASIX RACE PURSUANT TO 4043.2 (7)(E)(5) LASIX NOT PERMITTED WITHIN 48 HOURS OF POST TIME. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $120 EACH WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION; $600 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $600 TO START. FOR HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED, A SUPPLEMENTAL PAYMENT OF $600 (ALONG WITH THE ENTRY AND STARTING FEES) MAY BE MADE AT ANY TIME PRIOR TO THE CLOSING OF ENTRIES. THE PURSE TO BE DIVIDED 55% TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 12% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH, 4% TO FIFTH AND 3% DIVIDED EQUALLY AMONGST THE REMAINING FINISHERS. WEIGHT. 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A GRADED SWEEPSTAKE IN 2022 ALLOWED 2 LBS.; OF A SWEEPSTAKE OTHER THAN STATE-BRED IN 2022 ALLOWED 4 LBS.; OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE-BRED ALLOWANCE IN 2022 ALLOWED 6 LBS. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER. THE NEW YORK RACING ASSOCIATION RESERVES THE RIGHT TO TRANSFER THIS RACE TO THE MAIN TRACK. CLOSED SATURDAY, OCTOBER 8, 2022
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * THAT'S RIGHT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) i s at least 50. TOO MANY TWIZZLERS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. CYBERVIKING: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. RUN CURTIS RUN: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. SURPRISE BOSS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
              2
              THAT'S RIGHT
              9/2
              6/1
              4
              TOO MANY TWIZZLERS
              5/1
              6/1
              11
              CYBERVIKING
              2/1
              6/1
              5
              RUN CURTIS RUN
              4/1
              7/1
              7
              SURPRISE BOSS
              12/1
              10/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              8
              JUST JEREMY
              8
              30/1
              Front-runner
              90
              89
              107.3
              77.6
              52.6
              2
              THAT'S RIGHT
              2
              9/2
              Front-runner
              98
              100
              106.6
              95.4
              83.4
              3
              OUTLAW KID
              3
              5/2
              Front-runner
              92
              97
              96.4
              78.6
              68.1
              7
              SURPRISE BOSS
              7
              12/1
              Front-runner
              99
              94
              89.6
              93.6
              81.6
              5
              RUN CURTIS RUN
              5
              4/1
              Front-runner
              103
              103
              86.2
              89.0
              82.5
              13
              LEDDY
              13
              7/2
              Front-runner
              88
              88
              85.8
              78.6
              58.6
              12
              DOT'S DOLLAR
              12
              3/1
              Front-runner
              94
              90
              76.8
              68.3
              51.3
              1
              LEGENDS CAN'T DIE
              1
              10/1
              Stalker
              93
              95
              82.6
              81.2
              73.2
              10
              SOSUA SUMMER
              10
              8/1
              Stalker
              91
              94
              80.2
              88.6
              74.6
              6
              GROOMS ALL BIZNESS
              6
              12/1
              Stalker
              94
              93
              77.3
              86.8
              74.3
              9
              MAYA PRINCE
              9
              15/1
              Trailer
              88
              90
              67.8
              78.8
              59.3
              11
              CYBERVIKING
              11
              2/1
              Trailer
              98
              99
              57.8
              95.4
              81.4
              4
              TOO MANY TWIZZLERS
              4
              5/1
              Trailer
              91
              99
              57.2
              89.3
              81.3

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20541

                #22
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                Golden Hour Wagers - Race #3 - Post: 5:08pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $39,000 Class Rating: 88

                Rating:

                #5 ZOOKEEPER (ML=3/1)
                #6 KOLOMIO (ML=5/2)
                #3 BLUEGRASS RYDER (ML=6/1)


                ZOOKEEPER - Lone speed horses can be tough to run down. Here's a lone front running sort facing sluggish sorts today. KOLOMIO - Cerin has a very solid win percent in grass routes. This gelding should be in shape and ready to win. It looks like Bravo had to 'know' this gelding on August 26th when riding him for the first time. Back on board again today. With 'blinkers-on' this gelding should be very competitive. This horse is at the top in earnings per race. He looks nice in today's event. BLUEGRASS RYDER - I expect a lot from this horse. His speed ratings under similar conditions are tops in this field. Based on his last TrackMaster turf rating alone, I'm going to play this horse. Running on the grass today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CARRIZO SPRINGS (ML=4/1), #8 SCHMEAR (ML=6/1), #4 SOUTH COAST ROUTE (ML=6/1),

                CARRIZO SPRINGS - Finished seventh last time out of the box. Would have to get better to land in the top three in today's race. The speed rating last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a possibly overvalued equine. SCHMEAR - M/L odds of 6/1 make this mount a pass by my examination. SOUTH COAST ROUTE - Awfully difficult to wager on this horse when he hasn't been showing any fighting spirit lately. Garnered a mediocre speed figure last race out in a Maiden Special race on September 17th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number.

                GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - BLUEGRASS RYDER - Having the best speed fig last race of 81 at Santa Anita on October 10th. This colt has an excellent chance to win here.




                STRAIGHT WAGERS: #5 ZOOKEEPER is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20541

                  #23
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 8 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $8400 Class Rating: 80

                  QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 4 THREE JS FORTUNE 3/1
                  # 1 INVITED 5/2
                  # 6 MAGNANIMOUS V 9/5
                  My pick in here is THREE JS FORTUNE. Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this event. Meeting a much less demanding bunch than last time out. Has put up reliable speed figs in short races in the past. INVITED - Could provide positive gains based on very strong recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 69. He has quite good class ratings, averaging 79, and has to be considered here. MAGNANIMOUS V - Tough to pass on this colt with Nicasio in the saddle. Has been running solidly lately and ought to be on or close to the lead early on.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20541

                    #24
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 7 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 71

                    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE OCTOBER 23 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 8 ALLOWED 1 LBS.A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 23 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 6 LADY ALEXANDRIA 5/1
                    # 1 WICKED QUEEN 3/1
                    # 2 BLESSING TOO 5/2
                    LADY ALEXANDRIA looks to be a quite good contender. Could provide positive dividends based on decent recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 71. This filly has a good win percent in dirt route races. Is a key contender - given the 69 Equibase Speed Figure from her most recent race. WICKED QUEEN - Will likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the halfway point of the race. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Velez ought to have this filly in excellent position to win the race. BLESSING TOO - Has respectable front-end speed and will almost certainly fare very well against this group of horses. With a very strong 68 speed figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest.

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20541

                      #25
                      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland


                      10/23/22, KEE, Race 3, 2.04 ET
                      10/23/22,KEE,3,7F [Dirt] 1:20:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $43,000 (includes up to $11,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
                      . . . .
                      Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                      After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
                      100.0000 8 Trepat(b-) 8/1 Morales E Ennis John L 115 32.17 1.43/$1
                      096.7274 9 River Boy(b+) 6/1 Saez L McGaughey III Claude R W 115 32.17 1.43/$1
                      096.2388 3 Hyper Speed(b+) 12/1 Gaffalione T Zito Nicholas P. 115 32.17 1.43/$1
                      095.0662 5 Chelonian 3/1 Geroux F Cox Brad H. 115 32.17 1.43/$1
                      093.6998 4 Eternally Grateful 8/1 Riquelme J Jones J. Larry F 115 32.17 1.43/$1
                      093.6913 6 Ulumalu 9/2 Hernandez. Jr. B J McPeek Kenneth G. E 115 32.17 1.43/$1
                      093.1265 1 O'Conner Sunset 4/1 Corrales G Ward Wesley A. JT 133 25.56 1.32/$1
                      092.9981 7 Martini Shot(b+) 20/1 Arrieta F Barkley Jason 115 32.17 1.43/$1
                      092.0284 10 Doc Ballard 10/1 Lanerie C J Lightner Mary SC 115 32.17 1.43/$1
                      091.5145 2 Attila the Dun 20/1 Hernandez C J Waltz Brian 133 25.56 1.32/$1
                      Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 27.59, ROI 1.07/$1
                      Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.2726
                      [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
                      [All Dirt] Not First Race After 45 Days Off

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20541

                        #26
                        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

                        Will Rogers Downs - Race 7
                        $2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta / $2 Daily Double (.50) Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)
                        Claiming $10,000 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 77 • Purse: $12,880 • Post: 2:48P
                        QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (MULTIPLE WINNERS PREFERRED).
                        Contenders
                        Race Analysis
                        P#
                        Horse
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Accept
                        Odds

                        Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * POWER OF ROYALTY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SUPRISE SECRET: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMast er Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TS WAVE AS I FLY BYE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's dist ance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
                        4
                        POWER OF ROYALTY
                        3/1
                        3/1
                        6
                        SUPRISE SECRET
                        4/1
                        5/1
                        7
                        TS WAVE AS I FLY BYE
                        7/2
                        6/1

                        P#
                        Horse (In Running Style Order)
                        Post
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Running Style
                        Good
                        Class
                        Good
                        Speed
                        Early Figure
                        Finish Figure
                        Platinum
                        Figure
                        1
                        CORONA RED ROCKET
                        1
                        5/1
                        Fast
                        67
                        57
                        3.2
                        0.0
                        0.0
                        2
                        R SECRET WEAPON
                        2
                        8/1
                        Slow
                        67
                        64
                        8.6
                        0.0
                        0.0
                        3
                        FM RENE
                        3
                        12/1
                        Average
                        60
                        58
                        0.0
                        0.0
                        0.0
                        4
                        POWER OF ROYALTY
                        4
                        3/1
                        Average
                        78
                        82
                        0.0
                        0.0
                        0.0
                        5
                        DEES A TRAVELIN
                        5
                        12/1
                        Slow
                        66
                        57
                        7.5
                        0.0
                        0.0
                        6
                        SUPRISE SECRET
                        6
                        4/1
                        Average
                        73
                        69
                        5.9
                        0.0
                        0.0
                        7
                        TS WAVE AS I FLY BYE
                        7
                        7/2
                        Slow
                        76
                        73
                        6.9
                        0.0
                        0.0
                        8
                        FOLLIES SPECIAL DASH
                        8
                        5/1
                        Average
                        65
                        62
                        3.9
                        0.0
                        0.0

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20541

                          #27
                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                          Belmont at the Big A - Race #9 - Post: 4:54pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $45,000 Class Rating: 73

                          Rating:

                          #4 FOLLOW THE FED (ML=7/2)


                          FOLLOW THE FED - In her 1st race, this equine was beat up badly. She should improve in today's race. In the last race, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A pretty good sign she can close well, and should be right there at the finish line this time.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #3X PEBBLE LANE (ML=5/1), #3 MA MI JO DREAMS (ML=5/1), #9 AMANDA'S FOLLY (ML=6/1),

                          PEBBLE LANE - Awfully hard to bet on this vulnerable equine when she hasn't been showing any gumption recently. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this animal as a possibly overvalued contestant. MA MI JO DREAMS - This filly hasn't had any recent favorable outcomes in short distance contests. Tough to wager on her in this contest. AMANDA'S FOLLY - This thoroughbred just hasn't looked sharp of late. Today's race is 7 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance contest in the last couple of months. Not the best of omens.

                          GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - FOLLOW THE FED - I relish wagering on big class droppers like this one. Much easier bunch this time.




                          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #4 FOLLOW THE FED to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
                          EXACTA WAGERS: Pass

                          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                          Pass

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20541

                            #28
                            Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Leamington Raceway

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.



                            Race 7 - Post: 3:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$4200 - N/W $1350 LAST 3 STARTS
                            CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                            # 5 LYONS IMAGE 2/1
                            # 3 BET ON BRETT 8/1
                            # 4 MO BETTOR 3/1
                            We've got good feelings LYONS IMAGE is going to get the victory. Could very well be the best in the field of starters here, showing great figures of late. Avg speed is a solid 74. Good for a win wager just off the stellar prior class markings. Have to like this race horse. Loved this gelding's last race. Ran a big 67 TrackMaster SR. Major player. BET ON BRETT - Have to give the nod to a entrant coming out of the Leamington Raceway 3 position. The win pct is really good, way above normal. Could very well be the most competitive in the grouping here, showing nice rankings of late. Average speed is a solid 71. MO BETTOR - Cannot put a finger on it, but favor this gelding for a play.

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20541

                              #29
                              Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness

                              P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                              RACE 4
                              2 2 HOME'N DRY 5/2 Gray, Shawn T - 18 507.72
                              3 3 INXS 6/1 Randall, Jay - 14 485.63
                              4 4 MAJESTIC FIRE 12/1 Beckwith, Brett - 15 474.47
                              7 7 SEVEN ON THE ROCKS 9/2 Stark, John Jr - 19 467.75
                              6 6 GRINDER 10/1 Devaux, Jim - 18 465.89
                              1 1 MYSTICAL SOMOLLI 4/1 Fluet, Phil - 11 465.17
                              5 5 MR HOUDINI 8/1 Hennessey, Wally - 21 453.46
                              8 8 ER SOPHIA 15/1 Cross, Brian - 8 442.56
                              9 9 MR COOL SEAEYRE N 3/1 Derue, Jordan - 16 427.30

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20541

                                #30
                                Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Red Mile

                                Always check program numbers.
                                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                                Race 7 - Post: 3:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$9000 - NW $4,100
                                CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                                # 2 HARPER 9/2
                                # 5 ANOTHER DAILY COPY 6/1
                                # 10 HEAVY PRESSURE 5/1
                                Really keen on the chance of HARPER taking down the winner's share in this one. It's sometimes tricky to consider solely based on class, but this mare has among the most favorable class figures of the field. Many smart handicappers will recognize the amazing TrackMaster SR in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this group of animals. ANOTHER DAILY COPY - This entrant looks strong considering the high class ratings. Don't toss out of any exotics. The knowledge group saw this horse's name on a bumper sticker. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. HEAVY PRESSURE - Can't forget the connections here, a 22 winning rate, one of the most solid at getting into the winners circle. You have to get behind a horse that wins a lot, very attractive win statistic.

                                Comment

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