Tuesday 10/25/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Blue Jackets-200

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Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Red Wings -103

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Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Blue Jackets -200

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Joseph D'Amico

Tuesday’s FREE WINNER: Washington Wizards-5
Game 532.
4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.
For today’s Free Play let’s head on over to an Eastern Conference matchup at Capital One Arena where the Detroit Pistons travel to take on the Washington Wizards. Granted, this is not a marquee matchup. Neither team is expected to go very far this season. But that doesn’t mean we can’t make money off of them. After starting of the campaign off with a win at home against Orlando, Detroit has now dropped two in a row, both on the road. Not only were they SU losses, they have failed to cover both, losing on Friday to New York by 24-points and then on Saturday to Indiana by nine-points. By the way, both the Knicks and the Pacers are touted to finish last in their divisions. So, things aren’t looking too good for the Pistons folks. This is a team that’s covered just one game over there last six outings going back to last season. They’re absolutely horrible. To make matters worse, they are a visitor against a Wizards team that has covered seven of the last eight meetings against them in Washington. No, Washington is not highly-touted this season either. But the Wizards have put forth three very strong efforts so far this season going 2-1 They beat Indiana on the road and then bested Chicago at home. They did drop their last game, two nights ago in Cleveland. However, they didn’t push the Cavaliers into overtime. Their offense leaves a lot to be desired. But their defense has been stellar. They rank eighth, yielding just 108.0 points per game thus far. And are absolutely attacking the glass on the defensive side. Coming off their first loss of the campaign and returning back home, I expect the Wizards to crash the Pistons here. Take Washington. Thank you.

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Jesse Schule

This is a free play on CAL-135

The Flames catch Pittsburgh playing the second game of a back to back after losing 6-3 in Edmonton last night. You would expect the Pens to start their backup goaltender here in tonight's game. The Penguins are 1-5 in their last six road games, and they've lost four of their last five when playing a third game in four nights. The Flames are 10-4 in their last 14 home games, and they are 22-8 in their last 30 games playing on 2 days rest.
GL,
Jesse Schule

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Ricky Tran

Ricky's 1* play on Over Sabres/Kraken
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant.
Key Trends:
- The Over is 3-1-1 in the Kraken last 5 overall.
- The Over is 7-2-1 in the Sabres last 10 games following a win.
- The Over is 9-1-1 in the Sabres last 11 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Verdict: We should see plenty of scoring in this game.

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Lightning -120

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Mike Lundin

Mike's Golden Knights vs Sharks Free Pick
The Golden Knights will be playing on no rest following a 3-1 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday. I still don't think they'll have much trouble against the Sharks who they have owned on the road, winning seven straight meetings at SAP Center. The Sharks are off to a slow 2-6 start to the season and they have yet to record a win on home ice.

FREE PICK ON VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS-170

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AAA Sports

1* FREE PLAY LA+112
This isn't the dominant Lightning team of year's past. At least not right now it isn't. Tampa is 3-3 after a 5-3 home win over the Islanders on the weekend. The Lighting continue their Western swing with a game at the Ducks tomorrow night. The Kings are 3-4 after a 4-3 loss in the Nation's capital on Sunday. These teams are in fact evenly matched at this point right now, but LA won't be taking this one lightly after losing five straight in this series. At this price, I'd recommend a second look at the home side in this one.
AAA Sports

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Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Golden Knights -170

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:25pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,900 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#7 FIANNA HILLS (ML=7/2)
#3 LADY BREANNA (ML=8/5)


FIANNA HILLS - It looks like Batista had to know this mare on Oct 12th when riding her for the first time. Back aloft again today. This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Batista gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. LADY BREANNA - Jock jumped on this mare's back for the 1st time on October 3rd. Should 'know' the animal even better in today's race. Don't often see a positive ROI like +78. This rider/trainer pair has done well together over the last 12 months. This mare is in excellent form right now. Finished first last out and comes back soon.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 OUR FLIRTATION (ML=4/1), #6 RIVA BELLE (ML=5/1), #2 NOT SHY (ML=5/1),

OUR FLIRTATION - A stretch-runner like this one needs a ding-dong battle to set things up and she isn't likely to get one this time out. RIVA BELLE - Last effort was too strong. Not too far of a reach to expect a 'performance bounce' today. NOT SHY - Difficult to put your dough on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as often as this horse does. A pattern of dropping speed figs 54/48/43 for this questionable contender. This less than sharp equine ran a quite unimpressive speed figure last time around the track. She shouldn't improve and will likely suffer defeat in today's event running that fig.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - LADY BREANNA - The race on October 3rd had a class rating of 69 while today's class rating is 64. I got to bet this one on such a big drop.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #7 FIANNA HILLS on the nose if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 1	W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Claiming $16,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 97 • Purse: $18,100 • Post: 6:00P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 25 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 25 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MARTINKELLY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in th e top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HASHTAG WINNING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SOUTH SEA: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Ratin g at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). CANT STOP THIS MAN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winni ng distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
2	MARTINKELLY	2/1	4/1
5	HASHTAG WINNING	3/1	5/1
3	SOUTH SEA	5/2	6/1
1	CANT STOP THIS MAN	5/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	CANT STOP THIS MAN	1	5/1	Front-runner	92	93	93.2	75.6	68.6
3	SOUTH SEA	3	5/2	Front-runner	101	78	90.8	79.2	74.2
2	MARTINKELLY	2	2/1	Alternator/Front-runner	99	90	71.6	92.0	88.5
4	FIRE DOWN BELOW	4	4/1	Trailer	95	79	55.8	78.4	69.9
5	HASHTAG WINNING	5	3/1	Trailer	101	95	53.6	88.6	83.1

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Zia Park

Zia Park - Race 1	1st Half Early $1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 66 • Purse: $29,000 • Post: 12:30
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PLAIN TAP WATER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MALMO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. PLAIN TAP WATER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CAPITAL JOKE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Ratin g.
1	MALMO	9/5	3/1
4	PLAIN TAP WATER	5/1	5/1
2	CAPITAL JOKE	8/5	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	PLAIN TAP WATER	4	5/1	Alternator/Front-runner	60	44	53.3	41.3	35.8
1	MALMO	1	9/5	Stalker	58	65	47.4	61.6	58.1
2	CAPITAL JOKE	2	8/5	Stalker	66	52	20.7	44.7	41.2
6	SUPER BESLIU	6	10/1	Trailer	51	45	14.3	41.9	34.4
5	PINEY BLUFF	5	12/1	Trailer	0	0	11.4	32.2	23.2
3	WEST TEXAS COWBOY	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	37.9	21.8	10.8

Unknown Running Style: BLUE JEAN BOURBON (6/1) [Jockey: Fuentes Luis A - Trainer: Lambert Casey T].

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17700 Class Rating: 85

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 25. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 BLUE SAGE 5/1
# 5 SIERRA DIAMOND 10/1
# 3 JAIL HOUSE CODE 3/1

My pick for this event is BLUE SAGE. Will almost certainly go to the front end and may never look back. SIERRA DIAMOND - Looks solid versus this group and should be one of the front-runners. JAIL HOUSE CODE - Solid average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this racer a solid contender. She should be given a shot given the competitive speed figs.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 86

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES IN 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 MILITARY DRILL 6/1
# 11 TAPSOLUTION 3/1
# 10 BIG CHICKEN MAN 9/2

MILITARY DRILL is my choice. He ought to be considered given the decent speed figs. Ought to be given a shot in this race if only for the solid speed figure earned in the last outing. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field recently. TAPSOLUTION - Must be carefully examined in here if only for the quite good speed rating put up in the last contest. Is a sharp contender based on figures earned recently under today's conditions. BIG CHICKEN MAN - He looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. Has to be given consideration based on the respectable Equibase Speed Fig put up in the last race.

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