Sunday 10/30/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2022, 10:15 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Belmont at the Big A, Santa Anita Park, and Churchill Downs for October 30, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

It’s time for another great Sunday of racing! For the free pick 4, we will head to Belmont at the Big A for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Churchill Downs and Santa Anita Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s GO!

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Belmont at the Big A:

Belmont at the Big A October 30, 2022

Race 7: Maid of the Mist Stakes

#6 I’m Just Kiddin will move back to the dirt today after running well against tougher company on the turf. If she runs well over the dirt she will be tough in this spot. #8 Miracle was a close second at this level last time out, which was also over this track. She should run well again today.

Race 8: Ticonderoga Stakes
freestar

#5 Runaway Rumour is a consistent runner against stakes horses similar to what we have in this race today. Last time out she was less than a length away from winning at this level. #7 Marvelous Maude nearly won at this level last time out as well, finishing second by less than a length.

Race 9: Empire Distaff Stakes

#8 Let Her Inspire U goes for two straight wins after an impressive effort over this track last time out. She has been solid since returning to the races. #7 Brattle House drops back down to stakes company today after back to back runner up efforts against open company horses.

Race 10: Sleepy Hollow Stakes

#1 Arctic Arrogance was second last time out in his first try against stakes runners. Look for him improve in this start today. #2 Canarsie goes for two straight victories in this spot after a solid maiden special weight score in his debut race.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-10) 2,6,7,8 / 5,7,9,10 / 7,8 / 1,2,9 – $48

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2022, 10:15 AM

Belmont at the Big A Horses in Focus for Sunday, October 30
Posted on October 29, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 2: WAR TERMINATOR (#5)

I do quite like this turnback for expected favorite Frank’s Art (#4). I didn’t get the sense that stretching out was the right move for him when he went two turns over the summer, and maintain that view even though he ran fine in those races. He got rank when attempting to settle behind horses last time and only produced a muted run through the stretch. He displayed an explosive turn of foot in his career debut and I think he’ll handle this shorter trip. I just don’t love the likely short price on him, especially since I’m fond of one of his rivals. War Terminator (#5) got a tougher trip than Frank’s Art when they met on Aug. 10. He was 2 to 3-wide around the track during a time when rail position was essential on the inner turf course. He’s another who is better off going a little shorter than that. He stayed in that off the turf race last time, but now he’s getting back on the right surface. I don’t know why there’s been a trainer switch to Rob Atras, but this seems like a lateral move for a horse who just appears to be getting back into the right spot. The other horse that I would include at a price is Courageous Oh La (#7). He rarely gets much respect going out for low-profile connections, but he’s run well in all of his recent starts on this circuit, including a couple of turf tries. There is other speed in this race, but he appears to be quicker than the rest early and could take them a long way up front.

RACE 8: FINEST WORK (#4)

I’m not trying to beat Finest Work (#4) here, even though she’ll be a short price than last time. This filly upset the Hettinger at 8-1, but that victory shouldn’t have been much of a surprise, as she’s been subtly improving all year long. She was a little unlucky when she was beaten by Marvelous Maude at Saratoga three back, and she was a comfortable winner at Monmouth in early September. She unleashed a terrific turn of foot to take over in upper stretch last time before getting a bit leg weary in the last sixteenth. If anything, turning back one-sixteenth of a mile will only help her cause. Marvelous Maude (#7) also put in a good effort in defeat last time, but I don’t see why she’s supposed to turn the tables here. She’s typically overbet, as she was in the Hettinger, where she couldn’t quite catch Finest Work. I liked the way she found another gear to make it close late, but I think the slightly shorter distance of this race will work to Finest Work’s advantage instead. Runaway Rumour (#5) was also right there at the finish last time, but she’s lost 11 straight races. Perhaps the interesting new face is Spungie (#10), who showed real promise as a younger filly last year. She hasn’t run quite as fast in two starts since returning from a lengthy layoff, but her last victory was a step in the right direction and she could still have upside. I’ll use her underneath.

RACE 9: SUNSET LOUISE (#2)

I’m not particularly fond of either potential favorite in this Empire Distaff. Brattle House (#7) and Let Her Inspire U (#8) have been pretty popular with the bettors lately and could vie for favoritism here. The former seems especially dubious to me as she stretches out around two turns for the first time in her career. I’ve never thought added distance helps Brattle House, and she didn’t have any excuse to lose at a short price last time. She has met some solid open company rivals lately, but she’s failed to step forward since registering two runaway victories at Belmont earlier this year. Let Her Inspire U did handle the 9-furlong distance when she was a close second in the Fleet Indian, but I still don’t think this longer trip is a natural fit for her. She had to work harder than expected to win an allowance race at a short price last time, and I think the added ground works more to the advantage of the two fillies who finished just behind her. Caragate (#3)was third that day, and was arguably staying on best of all at the end of the race. She’s won going this distance before and seems like one of the few in here who is really suited to the 1 1/8 miles. She just has to get a little faster, and I think the horse who finished between these two in that Sep. 24 affair has a bit more upside. Sunset Louise (#2) hasn’t ever gone 9 furlongs, but she strikes me as one that will handle it. A daughter of Tonalist, she’s a full-sister to solid allowance performer The Reds, who has run well going this far. I loved her effort at Saratoga two back when she drew off impressively in a commanding performance. She found herself in an unfamiliar position on the lead last time after a surprisingly alert break, and she hung on well after setting some honest fractions. I like her stretching out and think she’s one of the few in this field who still might have a step forward in her. I would also use Ice Princess (#5), since she arguably has the most and best experience going this trip. However, I do wonder if her best days are behind her now.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2022, 10:16 AM

Declan Schuster's Hong Kong Selections and Analysis for Sunday, October 30, 2022

HAPPY VALLEY SELECTIONS
(Sunday, October 30, 2022)

Race 1: #3 Flash Famous, #1 Methane, #7 This Is Charisma, #10 Foxhunter Way
Race 2: #7 Hardly Swears, #6 Speedy Fortune, #5 Mega Bonus, #8 Triumphant Return
Race 3: #4 Kowloon Great, #2 Kungfumaster Panda, #11 All Is Ready, #5 Smiling Time
Race 4: #11 Red Impact, #2 More Than Enough, #8 Run The Table, #1 Jade Phoenix
Race 5: #6 Ace Talent, #3 Momentum Galaxy, #2 Lyrical Motion, #10 E Rainbow
Race 6: #7 Shining Fortune, #2 Jumbo Legend, #9 Fighting Star, #1 High Cloud
Race 7: #5 Above, #2 Nearly Fine, #1 Copartner Elites, #4 S J Tourbillon
Race 8: #7 Massive Action, #9 Seaweed Fortune, #10 E Legend, #2 Nimble Nimbus
Race 9: #3 Majestic Star, #10 Astrologer, #1 Campione, #2 Harmony And Rich
Race 10: #1 Power Koepp, #6 Winning Icey, #9 Stradale, #5 All Beauty

Race 1: Chaozhou Handicap

#3 Flash Famous has tumbled to a competitive rating. He’s returned in excellent order this term and a win in this grade is very, very close. #1 Methane has been consistent across his career without winning too many races in Hong Kong. Still, he’s a threat in this grade and Zac Purton’s booking bears close watching. #7 This Is Charisma is in form and racing well. He can test this group if he’s at his best. #10 Foxhunter Way has mixed his form but does step out here off a dangerous mark.

Race 2: Dongguan Handicap (2nd Section)

#7 Hardly Swears is racing well and is fit with two runs under his belt already this term. He finished off well last start and is tracking towards another win. Expect he can take another step forward here. #6 Speedy Fortune steps out on debut for John Size. He looks to have his fair share of ability and must be respected first-up for his handler. #5 Mega Bonus should get a sweet run from gate two. This will give him every opportunity late on. #8 Triumphant Return has ability. Keep safe.

Race 3: The Kwangtung Handicap Cup

#4 Kowloon Great should be fit with three runs under his belt already this term. He’s racing well and the inside draw should afford him every opportunity here in a very, very tricky contest. #2 Kungfumaster Panda is chasing back-to-back wins. He did well last start and pairs favourably with Zac Purton once more. #11 All Is Ready steps up in grade. He won well last start and will get his chance under the light weight here. #5 Smiling Time is finding his feet. Don’t discount.

Race 4: Fo Shan Handicap

#11 Red Impact ticks a number of boxes here. He draws well and Zac Purton’s booking is a strong push, especially as he steps out 2lb over his allotted weight. He can win here, with a ground-saving steer from that draw. #2 More Than Enough should push forward and get every opportunity. The wide gate will see him do a bit of work early though. #8 Run The Table should not be discounted. Expect he’s a decent each way price and he’s worth taking on a win and place line. #1 Jade Phoenix has claims.

Race 5: Huizhou Handicap

#6 Ace Talent steps out for his debut. He’s looked very, very good in trackwork and trials ahead of his first start. Expected he can make an impression here with the only concern being the tricky draw. #3 Momentum Galaxy returns to his preferred distance of five furlongs. He knows what it’s all about and Derek Leung’s booking bodes strongly. #2 Lyrical Motion has shown ability prior to his return this season. Zac Purton hops up and his latest trial was very impressive. #10 E Rainbow has claims. Next best.

Race 6: Dongguan Handicap (1st Section)

#7 Shining Fortune was unlucky last start and prior to that he travelled wide and without cover two runs back. This time he steps away favourably from gate two with Zac Purton up and, with a clean run throughout, he can win. #2 Jumbo Legend was devastating first-up. He chases back-to-back wins and has clearly returned in fantastic order this season. #9 Fighting Star mixes his form but has shown capabilities on his day. Take him into consideration at odds. #1 High Cloud has ability and can improve.

Race 7: Shenzen Handicap

#5 Above will relish every inch of the 11 furlongs on offer here. He’s third-up and should be fit with those two runs under his belt, especially after doing his best work late in each. #2 Nearly Fine has turned into a revelation this season. He’s chasing a hat-trick of wins and the rise in distance shouldn’t pose too much of a threat. #1 Copartner Elites gets up in distance. He should already be a winner but nevertheless, he’ll get every chance here. #4 S J Tourbillon is after consecutive wins. The distance will suit him big time.

Race 8: Zhaoqing Handicap

#7 Massive Action regularly races forward and he should be suited at Happy Valley, especially from gate one. Expect he pings to the front here and he should be able to improve with the one run under his belt already this term. #9 Seaweed Fortune is chasing back-to-back wins. He draws well and slots in light for the in-form Francis Lui stable. #10 E Legend is racing well and is not without a hope. #2 Nimble Nimbus is classy and remains a threat over this course and distance.

Race 9: Guangzhou Handicap

#3 Majestic Star returned in excellent order first-up on the dirt with a win. He’s just as good on the turf and the inside draw will suit here, especially under the hefty impost. #10 Astrologer will improve sharply second-up. He has the class and hopefully he can continue his ascent this season. #1 Campione is versatile. Expect he tries to cross from the wide gate with the heavy weight. #2 Harmony And Rich mixes his form but will relish being back in Class 2. Expect improvement.

Race 10: Zhuhai Handicap

#1 Power Koepp mixes his form but is racing well at the minute. He draws ideally for this contest and his fitness levels should be at their optimum. He could take a power of beating here with the right run. #6 Winning Icey is chasing a fourth consecutive win. This is another challenge but he’s returned this season in fantastic order. #9 Stradale steps out for his Hong Kong debut. He caught the eye with an impressive trial at the city circuit recently. #5 All Beauty has claims if he finds his best. Keep safe.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2022, 10:16 AM

Daily Racing Tips – Sha Tin Hong Kong – October 30th

Home - Featured - Daily Racing Tips – Sha Tin Hong Kong – October 30th

RSN927

RSN Expert Hong Kong Racecaller and Presenter Tom Wood has the best Daily Racing Tips for the Hong Kong Jockey Club Day meeting at Sha Tin on Sunday 30th of October starting at 4pm for the RSN Punter.

Along with our Daily Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus Interstate Racing Tips, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.
Tom Wood Sha Tin Tips

Sha Tin, 30th October 2022
SELECTIONS SHA TIN

Race 1 Selections: 9-5-3-1-11
Race 2 Selections: 5-6-2-8-7
Race 3 Selections: 2-4-5-12-8
Race 4 Selections: 3-2-4-6-12
Race 5 Selections: 2-4-8-6-3
Race 6 Selections: 2-4-7-10-8
Race 7 Selections: 2-5-1-10-4
Race 8 Selections: 2-10-1-3-5
Race 9 Selections: 9-12-3-10-5
Race 10 Selections: 6-2-5-9-1
BEST BET

Race 2 – 5 MEGA BONUS (WIN) – Three wide on pace last start wasn’t ideal, jockey change is key.
NEXT BEST

Race 10 – 6 WINNING ICEY (WIN) – Strong win last start, still can win with the extra 9lbs on his back.
VALUE

Race 4 – 3 TURIN WARRIOR (EW) – Made ground last start and the step up in trip should hopefully suit.
PLAY OF THE DAY

Race 10 – QQP 2,5,6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2022, 10:16 AM

Today’s Horse Racing Tips – 30th October 2022

by Racing & Sports

Racing and Sports highlight our standout plays at Australian TAB meetings for October 30.

GOULBURN: RACE 7 @ 4:55 PM

OSCAR ZULU (2) raced well in stakes grade last time in and is dynamite fresh with three first-up wins from five starts. Not asked to do much in a recent trial and looks well placed today. BABY RIDER (1) is a four-year-old entire who is having his first Australian run for the Bjorn Baker stable. Raced with distinction in France over the staying trips and looks primed for this with two sharp trials under his belt. Big watch. BLAZE A TRAIL (8) is a consistent type who races best over the 1400m and just looking for firmer footing. Will park just off the speed from the gate and take catching. SELECTIONS: Happy to be with Oscar Zulu.

MORNINGTON: RACE 4 @ 2:50 PM

PRADA GOSSIP (10) made nice improvement last start over the course and distance when just missing at double figure odds. He can go close again drawn ideally and from a forward position in the run. SIR ROCKFORD (3) has placed at all three starts including his past two as favourite. He looms as a danger. ITSUKUSHIMA (12) ran an encouraging race on debut behind a handy winner and creates interest with added fitness. Keep safe. SELECTIONS: Prada Gossip can go one better.
MT BARKER: RACE 7 @ 5:35 PM

COSMOPOLITAN GIRL (2) won three in a row prior to finishing second last at Ascot two starts back, she then bounced straight back to winning form last time out at Northam, she led all the way that day and was just too strong. She should be winning this as well. COUNT THE SESSIONS (3) has plenty of early speed and should have benefitted from his recent spell. He usually comes to hand quickly and is worth an each-way play today. STARAUTHORESS (5) is fresh up and has a good record on this track. He is seldom far away at this level and handles any track conditions. Watch for him late. SIR SNUGALOT (1) is a very consistent veteran performer who always tries his best. He performs well on this circuit and won't be far away. Include in all combinations. SELECTIONS: Cosmopolitan Girl win bet.
MUSWELLBROOK: RACE 2 @ 2:10 PM

KEEP ME LOYAL (2) was a dominant winner at Inverell over this sprint trip last time out and will have taken a lot of confidence from that victory. Can go right on with the job now. NICATOR (4) resumes here but showed enough when last in work to warrant serious consideration in a race like this. Sure to run a race while fresh. TITAN STAR (3) tends to mix his form but can play a major role if he brings his A-game. QUICK NICK (5) gets 4kg off with the claim and should give backers a sight. SELECTIONS: Keep Me Loyal to win.
NARACOORTE: RACE 3 @ 3:10 PM

HASTA LA MISSILE (2) was heavily backed when just missing at Penola fresh up. He has enough speed to settle close to the pace early and should go one better here. Follow your money. YOUR OUTATOUCH (6) ran a nice third at Horsham prior to going for a break. He looks to have some ability and deserves some respect in a field like this. Each-way. SPANISH COURAGE (5) has been given time to make his debut and his form at a couple of recent trials has been good. Follow any positive market moves. BONANSKI (8) has put together a brace of third placings and doesn't have to improve much to be right in the finish here. SELECTIONS: Hasta La Missile the bet.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2022, 10:17 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 10/30/22

October 30, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 4-Phenom
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Phenom has yet to earn a speed figure that is par for this level, but in a maiden special weight turf sprint for older fillies and mares that came up usually soft, the Phil D’Amato-trained sophomore appears to be something of a standout. A solid runner-up in a similar affair three weeks ago in her first outing since March, the daughter of Midnight Storm needs only to run back to that race to handle this modest task. At 9/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower, she can be used as a no value rolling exotic single but not much more than that.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): Let Him Do; 4-Flame Rider
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Let Him Do shows steadily rising speed figures, and after being freshened since late August he appears ready to produce another forward move in this starter optional claiming sprint for juveniles. The John Sadler-trained son of Good Magic lacks gate speed but can turn it on late, and with the switch to Juan Hernandez he should be capable of producing the last run. Flame Riderhas plenty of zip, but his stick is suspect. A 10 length maiden claiming win in early September earned a strong number, but in two subsequent outings he was beaten a combined 38 lengths after flashing early speed but then stopping badly through the lane. A bullet half mile workout four days ago (:46 4/5) is promising, so if he can shake loose early, he might take this field a long way.

Notable Workouts:

Let Him Do (Oct. 21, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.2h). Grade: B
In blinkers, mostly on his own looking solid while coming the final three furlongs in :12 flat and :36.3. Doing well and looks ready for a top effort.
View Workout Video

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RACE 3: Post: 2:02 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Deise Delight
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Deise Delight is listed as the 9/5 morning line favorite by likely will go lower as a logical rolling exotic single in this mile turf event for restricted (nw-2) $32,000 claimers. A good runner-up in a starter allowance affair sprinting at Del Mar in late August, the Irish-bred mare can handle this longer trip and is the likely controlling speed from her favorable inside draw. The only concern is the somewhat suspicious drop in class, especially since the Doug O’Neill-trained mare was a voided claim last year. Let’s hope she has at least one good one left.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:31 PT Grade: C
Main ticket (in order of preference): Kitten Calls; 7-Baby’s Dream
Backups/Savers: none

Forecast: We’ll go two-deep in this bottom rung maiden claiming main track router for older fillies and mares, but not with any degree of confidence. Kitten Calls, a distant runner-up at this bottom rung level last time out while well clear of the others, is guaranteed a ground saving trip from her favorable rail draw and has better that par figures for this level. She rates top billing by default. Baby’s Dreams, with just three prior outings, probably has more room to improve, and this class drop to the bottom in her second start off a long layoff may prove to be the winning ticket. However, this will be her first start on dirt, and her pedigree is strictly grass, so who knows what she’s capable of doing? Tread lightly here.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:01 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): Big Beauty
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Big Beauty was almost four lengths clear of the rest when a sharp runner up in a fast downhill turf sprint three weeks ago, and a repeat of that race today should be more than sufficient to handle this allowance optional claiming flat course sprint for state-bred fillies and mares. The Joh Sadler-trained daughter of Mr. Big lacks tactical speed but can turn it on late, and over a course and distance that usually favors the late runners she should be along in plenty of time. At 5/2 on the morning line, she’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Fort Warren; 2-Texthelegend
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Trainer Bob Baffert holds the aces in this maiden juvenile sprint, with a couple of first timers that are highly regarded. Fort Warren has done everything in the morning like a very good prospect and seems plenty fit and ready to score at first asking, assuming he doesn’t make any mistakes from the rail. He’s clearly bred for distance (Curlin) but appears to have more than his share of early speed. Texthelegend, a son of Justify, has been impressive as well, though we suspect he won’t show his best stuff until tried over a distance of ground. Both should be used in rolling exotic play. With Fort Warren getting the bulk of our action.

Notable Workouts:

Fort Warren (Oct. 24, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:12.4hg). Grade: B+
In blinkers, tons best over She Go Go (4f, :50hg) while mostly on his own throughout in very impressive gate work for B. Baffert, splits of :24 flat, :35.2, :47 flat and 1:12.4 to the wire, merely coasting in the final furlong. Plenty fit, Curlin 2-year-old colt appears to have plenty of ability.
View Workout Video

Texthelegend (Oct. 22, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2hg). Grade: B
Not a quick type but did well under some late coaxing in team gate drill outside Mr. Fisk (5f, 1:00.3hg) for B. Baffert, splits of :24.1, :35.4, :47.2 and 1:00.1 on our watches, solid move while getting geared up for debut. Nice prospect for sure, probably will prefer a distance of ground, eventually. Workmate, by Arrogate, probably will be okay later on.
View Workout Video

Spun Intended (Oct. 15, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3hg). Grade: B
In blinkers, much best over Papale (5f, 1:01.2hg) for M. Glatt, ridden throughout, splits of :24.1, :35.4, :47.2 and 1:00.3, useful type drill for juvenile son of Hard Spun. Not bad, may be a down the road type.
View Workout Video

Habeas (Oct. 22, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.3hg). Grade: B-
Second best outside Saffa’s Day (same time) while being ridden most of the way, splits of :24 flat, :35.1, :47 flat and :59.3, doing his best to the end (workmate breezing) for J. Sadler. Tend to want to see one first, maybe a route type.
View Workout Video

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RACE 7: Post: 4:01 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Gallovie; 6-Annie Graham
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Here is a wide open six furlong grass grab bag for $25,000 claiming fillies and mares. Best advice is to include as many as your budget allows. We’re intrigued by the route-to-sprint angle for Gallovie in her first start since being haltered by Kristin Mulhall for this price just 15 days ago. She was a solid runner-up in that race after striking the front in mid-stretch, and the feeling is that as a one-run type she might be best suited as a late-running sprinter, or at least that’s what her previous form indicates. Regular rider Ryan Curatolo knows her well and stays aboard. Annie Graham, claimed in three of her last four starts, switches to grass, and while her only prior turf start was poor, she is clearly better now than she was then. The daughter of Grazen has good tactical speed, and though she was a lethargic third when 3/5 in her most recent outing earlier this month, a repeat of her race before last earned a number that would easily handle this assignment.

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RACE 8: Post: 4:31 PT Grade: C
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Divine Feminine; 5-Fireman Dan; 8-Pioneering Papa; 10-Stayin’ Out Late
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: This is an inscrutable affair in which nothing would surprise. Devine Feminine is a late-running sprinter and needs a pace meltdown to have his best chance, but it could happen, especially at this abbreviated sprint distance in which quick early fractions are likely. He’s a perfect one-for-one at five and one-half furlongs and his numbers put him right there. Fireman Dan, third when beaten a neck in the same race Devine Feminine just finished second in, will be dangerous if he can turn in two alike, although consistency has never been his strong suit. Pioneering Papa plummets in class and at this level should have his chance to regain his best form. However, the barn has been ice cold this meeting. Stayin’ Out Late is nicely drawn outside and takes a sharp drop in class. With back numbers that are better than these but with dull recent form, he’s a hard one to classify but worth tossing in somewhere.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:01 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Shes’a Perfectlady
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Shes’a Perfectladyhas won half of her six career starts sprinting on turf at Santa Anita, and after finishing fourth in a recent Hillside dash the John Sadler-trained filly moves back to the flat course, which she clearly prefers. We’re expecting her to settle in the second flight and then take hold at the quarter pole and have every chance from there. At 3-1 on the morning line, she’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

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RACE 10: Post: 5:31 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-With This Vow; 1-Angel Nadeshiko; 8-Tayet
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: With This Vow is a four-time winner eligible for this race due to her being entered for the $50,000 tag, and while her recent good form was established on grass, she can handle dirt just as well. In fact, she’s been first or second in three of four career starts on the local main track and her speed figures are solid. Angel Nadeshiko is questionable around two turns – she seems most effective sprinting – but from her rail post she’s certain to employ gate to wire tactics and if not pressured early could take this field a long way. Tayet is a one-paced grinding type but a fit on figures and projects to settle in the second flight. If the pace types cave in, he’ll be in the right spot to pick them up.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2022, 10:17 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

October 30, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Northfield Park has a 14-race card scheduled with the feature coming in Race 3, a Fillies and Mares Open Pace with a $18,000 purse. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

4-Osceola Hanover (9/5)-Wired the field last week and may do the same now but may not need a 26.3 opening quarter to take control. Faces older but looks a cut above the rest and if Davis Jr provides a sharp steer, it could be time for another picture.

Race 12

2-Type A Personality (7/5)-Ronnie Wrenn grabs the lines and this Ryan Miller trainee has hit the board in 17 of 23 this year with 11-wins. Many have come at the Fairs but has 2 wins in 3 starts at Nfld. Comes into this affair on a 2-race win streak and should make it a 3-peat.

Race 13

1-Hangon Cowgirl (4-1)-Not loving the 3-weeks off but this is a race of camera shy horses and at least this mare has hit the board in 10 of 21 starts. Will overlook having only 1 win here, Myers sticks and should be better in the 2nd start since returning to this oval.
5-Sister Said (2-1)-The race should go through this 4-year-old mare but winning 2 straight is not in her DNA. Over the past 2-years she is 3 for 37 and all the wins have come since 8-10.
8-Morning Miracle (6-1)-Won versus this kind off a covered trip on 10-9. The price is right to take a swing and could score again. But is trip dependent so will need some lively fractions like a .56 first half, and that is a possibility.

Race 14

4-Sarahs Surprise (4-1)-Beaten odds-on chalk appears to be in the best form of the year. Likes to come off cover and chances go up if #6 blasts out and sets the tone for a quicker opening half.
5-Roar Hanover (7/2)-This will be the 2nd start for the Rhoades barn and Merriman. The last effort by this veteran was a marked improvement and is a must use.
6-Cinderella Delight (5/2)-Came off a sick scratch, then looked bumpy on the track and finished dead last on 10-16. Has missed a start and will include, does fit well with this crew if 100%. Has won 7 of 22 at Nfld and 8 of 36 this year so this mare does make a lot of starts. Willing to assume the connections have her in racing shape.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

4/2/1,5,8/4,5,6
Total Bet=$9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2022, 10:17 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Churchill Downs - Race #5
Picks Notes
#4 Bengals Go He showed some tracking pace and stayed on well in the debut run, and a similar kind of early start should leave him in a great spot while getting around two turns in this second lifetime start.
#7 Pyrenees He took a big step forward last out when moving to a route trip for the first time, but his lack of early speed is a small concern for me. Might be along too late again?
#2 Sam Stormy The debut on turf at Kentucky Downs was decent enough, and he should get overlooked on the board here while moving over to the main track. Wouldn't be a total shock.
Race Summary Bengals Go gets blinkers for this one after a useful debut run going short at Keeneland earlier this month. He was wide that day and might be in a beautiful spot to get a first-jump trip with these.

Churchill Downs - Race #6
Picks Notes
#8 Dre Me Less She ran into a buzzsaw in the debut run and came back to roll a $50,000 maiden claiming group in the follow up. There are the obvious questions of class here, but she might be heading in the right direction.
#7 Fun and Feisty She's obviously capable of something better than she showed last out when facing Grade I company, and her formidable late kick makes her a real threat to pick these up late.
#1 Hoosier Philly She looked good at first asking, and the filly who chased her that day came back to run okay behind a runaway stakes winner here.
Race Summary Dre Me Less is worth a price look on the rise into stakes company after turning in a sharp score against softer last time out. I'm hoping she has another step forward in her here, as that might keep her in the frame.

Churchill Downs - Race #10
Picks Notes
#3 Jace's Road Tactical type stepped up with a pretty solid effort against Grade III company over the local surface last month, and he's tough here if he has even a small move forward in him in this third start.
#6 Red Route One His dirt debut was okay when a distant third in Grade I company here, but I worry he's going to be overbet off that effort, and I would like to see him validate it.
#5 Two Phil's He was shockingly far off the pace when trying Grade I company last time out, and while there are some other potential forward players lined up today, I think there is a decent bit of talent here, and I'm willing to give him another look here.
Race Summary Jace's Road should land a great trip here while getting first jump, and I'm hoping the presence of Red Route One will keep the price playable.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2022, 10:18 AM

Kristpicks

belmont at the big a - sunday, october 30, 2022 // post time - 12:35 p.m. Est

- daily selections for october 30 -

race 1: 4 - forever amy 12-1
5 - weekend rags 6-1
6 - bustin hot 6-1

race 2: 1 - mister chairman 6-1
6 - athenry 6-1
4 - frank's art 5-2

race 3: 8 - reggae music man 10-1
2 - wudda u think now 7-2
5 - perfect munnings 3-1

race 4: 2 - barese 7-2
3 - sea foam 5-2
4 - dr. Blute 4-1

race 5: 1 - city man 6-5
6 - sanctuary city 7-2
5 - jerry the nipper 9-2

race 6: 8 - mosienko 9-2 - best bet
7 - betsy blue 2-1
6 - bank sting 9-5

race 7: 4 - little linzee 10-1 - longshot
7 - recognize 10-1
5 - gambling girl 7-2

race 8: 10 - spungie 8-1
9 - giacosa 6-1
4 - finest work 3-1

race 9: 2 - sunset louise 8-1
8 - let her inspire u 3-1
7 - brattle house 2-1

race 10: 5 - starquist 7-1
6 - shadow dragon 9-1
2 - canarsie 7-2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2022, 10:18 AM

Belmont at the Big A Hotlist - October 30

October 29, 2022

Today’s New York Hot List races to watch – Sunday, October 30, 2022
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race [NY, Alw 85000 N1X, 6F TURF] – (4) Frank’s Art (A) was rank on the backstretch last time at Saratoga and rallied for third matching a high speed figure for this field of horses. (6) Athenry found a couple of strong fields in his last two starts following an open company score in a starter allowance. (5) War Terminator changes barns to Rob Atras and gets back on the grass after hating a sloppy track earlier in the month. (1) Mister Chairman was the favorite in all three of his starts for the Clement barn and moves back to state-bred competition where he broke his maiden at the Spa.

3rd race [NY, Hudson, 6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-30-2022, 10:18 AM

Churchill Downs Hotlist - October 30

October 29, 2022

Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List races to watch
Sunday, Oct. 30, 2022

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (8) Onasa makes his career debut for Rivelli and looks best in this spot. (5) Olazabal is worth a look off the Foster claim. (2) Two Eagles River can be a threat in his debut. (3) Birthday Munnings has speed and could last for a share. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-8.

3rd race – (7) Alpha Bella (B) was a game second in her first trip around two turns and looks best here. (2) The Alys Look rallied for third in her debut and should welcome two turns. (8) Tiny Temper rallied belatedly for second and should be a stretch threat here. (9) Sun Valley Road could be poised for a big effort in her debut. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-7-8-9.

5th race – (7) Pyrenees was an improved second in his first try around two turns and merits top billing here. (11) Rocket Can put in a bullet work for this and could be ready for a better try. (1) Magnificent Mile could work out a good trip from the rail. (4) Bengals Go should be a factor at this distance. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-7-11. Doubles: 1-4-7-11 with 2-6-7-8.

6th race – (6) Naughty Gal comes off two miserable efforts but has been working smartly and could be poised for an improved effort. (2) Peacock Lass was an impressive winner in her second start and should be a main threat off her most recent try. (8) Dre Me Less looked good in a claimer and might be a factor here. (7) Fun and Feisty could perk up in this spot. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-6-7-8.

10th race – (3) Jace’s Road was a game third in his stakes debut and should move forward in this spot. (1) Top Recruit flopped on a wet track but could rebound over a dry surface. (5) Two Phil’s can be a threat on his best try. (7) Frosted Departure disappointed last time but seems better than that effort. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-7.

No.

Letter/Last race

Today’s race

Comment

(7)

Alpha Bella

B, 10/2

3 CD

Was an improved second last time

**ConleyPicks** · 10-30-2022, 10:38 AM

Free play from Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Cleveland -4 1/2 over NY Knicks

**ConleyPicks** · 10-30-2022, 10:38 AM

Free play from Totals4U

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Chicago Bears/Dallas Cowboys under 42 1/2

**ConleyPicks** · 10-30-2022, 10:39 AM

Free play from #1 Sports

Early Sunday's Free Play: Los Angeles Clippers - 3 1/2