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10* Take Gonzaga (-34) over Loyola-Marymount (NCAA Power Play)
Loyola-Marymount
• 0-12 SU vs. Gonzaga on the road
• 6-15 ATS when the total posted is between 130 and 139.5 points
• 12-23 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons
5* Take Utah (+1) over Boston (NBA Bonus Play)
Utah
• 8-0 SU & ATS coming off a combined score of 205 points or more in 4 straight games
• 5-1 SU & ATS in the month of February this season
• 10-1 SU when playing their 2nd game in 5 days
Bonus Pays
5* Take Villanova (-18.5) over Rutgers (NCAA)
5* Take San Jose (-350) over Los Angeles (NHL)
NCAA
Play Duke (-11.5) over St. John’s* (Top NCAA Play)
St. John’s has lost 9 of the last 11 games and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 games vs. Duke. St. John’s has lost 10 of the last 12 games against the spread coming off a loss by 6 points or less and they are only averaging 62 points a game over the last 5 games.
Play St. Mary’s (-13) over San Diego* (Bonus NCAA Play)
San Diego has lost 6 of the last 7 games and they have also lost 43 of the last 49 games as an underdog of 10 points or more. San Diego is averaging 57 points a game on the road this season
NBA Hoops
Play San Antonio (-1.5) over Detroit (NBA Top Play)
NHL
Play Florida (+105) over Chicago* (NHL Bonus Play)
Trace Adams
1000* - Wisconsin Badgers, 500* - Xavier Musketeers After watching Indiana stink up the joint at home on Sunday, I want no parts of this team anymore this season.
Stanford -3.5
Thu Feb 19 '09 10:00p
The Stanford Cardinal visit the Oregon State
Beavers this Thursday night in a PAC 10
conference battle that favors the visiting team
coming out of this with a cover. Earlier this
season, the Cardinal over looked the Beavers,
which was a big mistake as they were bashed
in a embarrassing DD damn buster. Needless
to say the Cardinal will be in full revenge
mode, and ready to exact some big time
revenge, even though they are in enemy
territory..
The Cardinal have won 17 of the L/19 in this
series, and have covered 9 straight trips to
Cornvallis , and Im betting on a repeat
performance.
Play on the Stanford Cardinal
Bob Harvey
Washington +8.5
Thu Feb 19 '09 11:00p
First a brief history lesson. Washington is 1-21 at Pauley Pavilion. Their only victory came three years ago. This could be the Huskies best chance since to beat the Bruins again.
Washington has won six of eight against UCLA including an 86-75 win on January 14th in Seattle. In that game Isiah Thomas dominated on the outside and Jon Brockman owned the paint. The Huskies also have extra incentive tonight. They lead the Pac Ten and a win tonight would virtually terminate the Bruins hopes for a fourth straight conference title.
Defense and rebounding have plagued UCLA this season. But those decencies were very noticeable in Arizona last weekend when the Bruins lost to both AU and ASU. They allowed the Arizona schools to shoot a combined 54 percent and were scorched by the Wildcats who layed a 49 spot on the Bruins in the first half!
UCLA has also been a dreadful rebounding team grabbing an average of 28 per game, second worst in the conference. And with Alfred Aboya slowed with the flu, UCLA could be in for another long night against Brockman and the Huskies.
Washington leads the Pac Ten with an average of 41 boards per game with Brockman pulling down 11 per game, more than twice what Aboya is averaging.
The Bruins haven’t lost three straight since ’05. But they’re staring straight down the barrel of another loss tonight. The points are an absolute gift. Washington should win this one outright.
LT Profits
Stanford -4.0 (-110)
Thu Feb 19 '09 10:00p
The Oregon State Beavers went into Maples Pavilion a few days after Beavers coach Craig Robinson saw his brother-in-law Barack Obama inaugurated and upset the Stanford Cardinal 77-62. It is payback time tonight in Corvallis.
The Cardinal are coming off of a seven-point loss at California, missing the cover by a half-point. However, they have still been one of the better teams in the country against the spread, going a lucrative 14-7 ATS. This includes a fine 5-3, 62.5 percent road mark.
Now Stanford may be just 4-8 straight up inside the Pac-10, but they are ranked a respectable 48 in the Pomeroy Ratings, ranking 46 in adjusted offensive efficiency and 63 in adjusted defensive efficiency. Now they will no doubt be dragged into a deliberate style of play by Oregon State here, but the Cardinal have a very good effective field goal percentage of 52.4 percent, so the fewer possessions should not hurt them much.
The Beavers are obviously improved after being one of the very worst teams in the country last year, but they still appear outclassed here. They are rated 136 overall by Pomeroy, ranking 137 in offense and 151 in defense. This just goes to show that their upset road win at Stanford was a fluke, and a more focused Cardinal should have a rather easy time tonight.
Stanford gets their revenge in a big way in this spot.
50000* Play San Antonio (-1.5) over Detroit (NBA)
(NBA Game of the Year)
San Antonio is 10-2 SU when playing their 2nd game in 7 days
San Antonio is 17-4 SU coming off three non-conference games
San Antonio is 7-1 SU after having lost two of the last three games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU & ATS revenging a home loss vs. opponent
Oregon is 4-13 ATS as an underdog this season
Oregon is 3-10 ATS vs. conference opponents this season
Oregon is 1-8 ATS when revenging a loss vs. an opponent
The Jazz are not an elite team this season. The Celtics are. The Celtics are more than eager to prove that they, not the Lakers, are the team to beat again this season.
To prove that they must beat good teams on the road. This is an important road swing for the Celtics. So far so good with impressive road wins at New Orleans and Dallas.
Boston is playing well again, winning 15 of its last 17. The Celtics have covered 12 of their past 17. They have won nine consecutive road outings.
Boston beat the Jazz in December in Boston by nine points. The Celtics won both meetings last year, dealing Utah just one of its four home losses. Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen have lost a lot of games to Jerry Sloan through the years. They take great pride in winning at Salt Lake City.
The Celtics have had two extra days of rest to prepare for this matchup. The Jazz have already lost five times at home to Eastern Conference clubs..
It's not too much to ask of the Celtics to cover this low spread.
St.John's just doesn't have enough weapons to go at a Duke team that's intent on not having a letdown, having seen the room for error as far as a high seed goes diminish with recent subpar performances. Look for the Blue Devils to frustrate the Johnnies with their relentless defense, hitting enough threes to keep SJU at an arm's length in what will ultimately be a comfortable victory.
San Antonio at Detroit
Play: Over 180.5
After a tough win at MSG on Tuesday night, the Spurs look to continue their good fortune on their current road trip by extending the Pistons' misery. The trade deadline should come and go without the Pistons moving one of their major pieces, so even though that pressure is off, it's hard to imagine a team so flawed being able to come out and take the Spurs. Like the road team and the over here, as this one winds up 96-91 or thereabouts
Wunderdog NHL
Game: Montreal at Pittsburgh (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 6 +110
The Penguins just can't seem to find the magic that carried them to the Stanley Cup finals a year ago. The offense has been struggling off and on for most of the season, and right now it is off. The Pen's have managed just six goals in their last four games - something they are getting accustomed to in Pittsburgh. It has manifested itself at home as well, leading to six of the last eight played on home ice going UNDER the total. These teams have met twice this season and have failed to top this total. I don't see it happening here either and will go with the UNDER.
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