Wednesday 11/9/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20513

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Churchill Downs - Race #8 - Post: 4:33pm - Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $127,000 Class Rating: 96

    Rating:

    #2 BOURBON THUNDER (ML=6/1)
    #5 LEGIONNAIRE (ML=8/1)


    BOURBON THUNDER - Be loyal to this horse. Coming off the pace, I think he'll be in a wonderful spot to demolish them in the stretch. This horse looks like a possible overlay in this field at morning odds of 6/1. Finished fourth in last race at Churchill Downs but was close at the wire. LEGIONNAIRE - Last race out, finished ninth on the soft turf at Keeneland. Expect better right here. Last time around the track, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A good sign he can close well, and should be right there at the finish this time.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 BEN DIESEL (ML=5/2), #1 GRANTHAM (ML=7/2), #3 CLASSIC MOMENT (ML=4/1),

    BEN DIESEL - This less than sharp equine will likely be at the back of the pack as this bunch crosses the finish. GRANTHAM - This young horse isn't going to beat the veterans today, maybe another time. Ran long ago on Mar 12th. We should see a race or two. CLASSIC MOMENT - Earned a mediocre speed rating in the last race in an Allowance race on October 14th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that rating.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #2 BOURBON THUNDER to win. Have to have odds of at least 2/1 or better though
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,5]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20513

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



      Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:30pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,700 Class Rating: 79

      Rating:

      #1 PERSONAL MEADOW (ML=9/2)
      #5 GRAND FIBER (ML=6/1)


      PERSONAL MEADOW - You'll be generating money left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this jockey/conditioner combination. This racer coming off a sharp effort in the last thirty days is a contender in my humble opinion. Breaking from the inside, this entrant should have a distinct edge. His front running style should serve him well in this short race of 4 1/2 furlongs. GRAND FIBER - A thoroughbred coming back this quickly after a sharp outing is a good omen. It looks like Morales had to be in the know about this gelding on October 14th when riding him for the initial time. Back atop again today. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a comeback.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MISCHIEVOUS JESSE (ML=1/1), #4 STRETCH THE TRUTH (ML=7/2), #6 SCOTTY SILVER (ML=8/1),

      MISCHIEVOUS JESSE - Would have to perk up off that fifth place finish last time out of the box to make an impact here. STRETCH THE TRUTH - Speed figures tell a narrative of lessening physical condition. SCOTTY SILVER - Won't be easy for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the vulnerable competitors list.


      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #1 PERSONAL MEADOW to win if you can get at least 3/2 odds
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,5]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Pass
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20513

        #18
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe Indianapolis

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 74

        FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2022 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 9 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 INDIANA BRED MAIDEN RACES AND LIFETIME CONDITIONAL CLAIMING RACES

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 2 MOMOS HUMOR 3/1
        # 1 KHOZYS CROWN 2/1
        # 6 WHERETHEMONEYWENT 9/5
        MOMOS HUMOR looks very good to best this field. Ran a solid last race. A solid 77 avg Equibase class figure may give this mare a distinct class edge versus this group. Solid average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this horse a key contender. KHOZYS CROWN - The rapid return to the races points to a reliable effort this time out. She has competitive class ratings, averaging 79, and has to be considered in this competition. WHERETHEMONEYWENT - Has put up strong Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. This equine has a fantastic win percentage in dirt sprints.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20513

          #19
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

          Parx Racing - Race 8
          Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta 10 cent Superfecta
          Starter Allowance $25,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 94 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 3:34P
          (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 9 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDER IN ALLOWANCES).
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * GUILLAUME: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. HELOSTHISMARBLES: Horse has run a Go od Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. EXPENSIVE CUT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. IRISH HONOR: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
          2
          GUILLAUME
          3/1
          5/2
          7
          HELOSTHISMARBLES
          4/1
          7/1
          8
          EXPENSIVE CUT
          5/1
          8/1
          1
          IRISH HONOR
          9/2
          10/1

          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          2
          GUILLAUME
          2
          3/1
          Stalker
          103
          98
          81.8
          95.2
          91.2
          7
          HELOSTHISMARBLES
          7
          4/1
          Stalker
          90
          90
          72.4
          85.0
          77.5
          8
          EXPENSIVE CUT
          8
          5/1
          Stalker
          90
          87
          69.6
          80.7
          74.7
          1
          IRISH HONOR
          1
          9/2
          Alternator/Stalker
          94
          84
          64.2
          81.2
          74.7
          6
          KODAPENDENT
          6
          5/1
          Trailer
          81
          85
          53.2
          73.4
          59.4
          3
          LEASE
          3
          8/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          88
          83
          85.8
          74.6
          66.1
          5
          TEXAS BASIN
          5
          12/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          93
          94
          63.2
          77.8
          65.3
          4
          SKILLFUL
          4
          5/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          89
          88
          60.0
          80.8
          68.8

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20513

            #20
            Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dover Downs

            P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
            RACE 13
            2 2 YUENGLING 9/2 Davis, Allan - 14 487.51
            5 5 WATCH HER DANCE 8/1 Dalious, Barton - 11 438.45
            9 9 SAKE BOMB 5/2 Kirby, Victor - 11 429.32
            1 1 JUST CALL ME SONG 7/2 Stafford, Art Jr - 14 420.83
            6 6 APRIL ANGEL 6/1 Davis, Tyler - 2 408.28
            4 4 SOUTHWIND DUBAI 10/1 Dennis, George - 8 405.61
            8 8 GRANTTWENTYTHREE 12/1 Davis, Eric - 6 388.48
            3 3 ODDS ON DELTA 12/1 Wolfenden, Ross - 10 382.33
            7 7 ZAREIP 15/1 Horsey, Ceba - 1 297.48

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20513

              #21
              Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Flamboro Downs

              P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
              RACE 10
              1 1 BETTOR B GOING 15/1 Harris, J Bradley - 19 533.29
              2 2 TWIN B POWERBALL 8/5 Macdonald, Brett A - 16 530.50
              9 9 HUNTER HILL 6/1 Coulter, Scott - 16 516.65
              7 7 LETS GET PICKLED 8/1 Kelly, Colin - 15 501.98
              5 5 IDEAL PERCEPTION 3/1 Haughan, Anthony P - 11 499.50
              8 8 DONTPOKETHEDRAGON 5/2 Cullen, Travis A - 22 483.31
              6 6 ARUKIDINME CABBIE 4/1 Henry, Travis J - 14 478.37
              3 3 LIFE IS BETTER 12/1 Desroche, Ryan P - 7 459.73
              4 4 MAGICAL ALBERT 10/1 Sorrie, Austin - 13 454.61

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20513

                #22
                Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 3 - Post: 4:44 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$5000 - FILLIES & MARES N/W $1500 IN LAST 4 STARTS
                CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                # 8 BAD SAMMIE 7/2
                # 9 D GS ELSA 9/2
                # 1 NICE TRIP 10/1
                Look no further than BAD SAMMIE as the wager in here. Good for a win wager just off the terrific prior class numbers. Have to like this race horse. D GS ELSA - Has very nice speed figs and quite possibly has to be thought of for a bet today. The 83 avg class number may give this mare a distinct advantage in the field of starters. NICE TRIP - Racing solidly, earned a bang-up TrackMaster speed fig in her last competition (71).

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20513

                  #23
                  Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.



                  Race 3 - Post: 7:24 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$5500 - NON WINNERS $2250 IN LAST 4 STARTS
                  CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                  # 5 CRUZEN CASSI 2/1
                  # 9 ALTAR CALL 3/1
                  # 1 REV IT UP MAN 3/1
                  CRUZEN CASSI will not be denied the score in this event. This race horse could get the top prize here beginning from the Northfield Park 5 position. ALTAR CALL - When the trainer Loney puts Tharps up for the drive competitive things happen. Take a look at the 21 win percent. Don't pass over a horse with these connections. Driver/trainer ratings are looking really strong. REV IT UP MAN - Drawing the 1 position at this track has lead to an above average win clip. Overall numbers appear good. Can't throw out at this point.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20513

                    #24
                    Free play from Mike Wynn

                    Free Pick: CBB Boise St -6 over South Dakota St

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20513

                      #25
                      Free play from Totals4U

                      Wednesday's Free Selection: Detroit Pistons/Boston Celtics under 225 1/2


                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20513

                        #26
                        Free play from #1 Sports

                        Wednesday's Free Play: Minnesota Timberwolves + 3 1/2

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20513

                          #27
                          Free play from Huddle Up Sports

                          Wednesday Free Play
                          Cleveland -5

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20513

                            #28
                            Free play from Kenny Towers







                            Your Free Pick for Wednesday - Clev/Sac OVER 226

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20513

                              #29
                              Free play from Hollywood Anthony

                              Your Free Play from Hollywood

                              MLB Take Denver -5 1/2

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20513

                                #30
                                Free play from Roz Wins

                                ROZ FREE Selection WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 9, 2022
                                FREE
                                CFB
                                112. B.Green +2.5 (4 PT / 7 ET)

                                Comment

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