Saturday 11/12/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:54 AM

Top Shot - Jerry Shottenkirk
TOP SHOT
Remington Park Selections
Saturday, November 12

1 st Race
1 ICY CAPE
5 TAY TAY’S BABY
7 STRONG WOMAN
6 DORITA’S HEART

2 nd Race
5 SMOKING GUITAR
1 OUTWORKTHEOKIEGIRL
6 OH NIKI
2 ALLEVIATE

3 rd Race
3 JOHNNY’S MOMENT
6 HULLINAHURRY
7 BLINGO
5 J F’S SENNA

4 th Race
2 GOOD SCOUT
1 THATSAFACTJACK
7 QUARTERBACK DAK
5 BELEW’S GOLD

5 th Race
6 LITTLE DRAMA
5 YANKEE INDIAN
8 BANJO BEAR
4 HE’S A BOMB

6 th Race
6 CUPID’S JOY
5 SHERRYS BEAR
2 MEMORABLE FLIGHT
4 DEN’S ROSE

7 th Race
8 MISSWISH
6 CHA CHA DANCER
1 SKY ECHO
4 IM THE BIGGER BEAR

8 th Race
3 BLAME IT ON MAMIE
9 PRINCESS NAYYY NAY
2 CHIM CHI GEMINI
4 BEBOP BABY

9 th Race
8 STILL ON THE BOOKS
2 NORTHERN ORBIT
11 AIR FORCE ANGEL
4 GOLD PRIZE

TODAY’S BEST BET
MISSWISH (7th)

PICK FIVE
(Races 1-5)
1-5 with 5-1 with 3-6-7 with 2-1 with 6-5-8 ($36)

PREMIER PICK FOUR
(Races 2-5)
5-1 with 3-6-7 with 2-1-7 with 6-5-8 ($27)

PRIMETIME PICK FOUR
(Races 6-9)
6-5 with 8-6 with 3-9-2-4 with 8-2-11-4 ($32)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:54 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 11/12/22

November 12, 2022

“WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW” – DEL MAR
By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

(For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing).

DEL MAR SPOTLIGHT RACES:

Fourth Race: Post: 2:00 PT
Top Pick: 4-Teena Ella (2-1)
War Front filly from the marvelous race mare Beholder makes her well-anticipated debut in this six furlong main track dash for juvenile fillies and has shown enough in her morning preps to expect a winning performance first crack out of the box, the presence of two highly regarded Bob Baffert entrants (3-Wudi and 7-Faiza) notwithstanding. The Richard Mandella-trained filly appears to be an excellent athlete with plenty of speed and has been given a solid foundation to be fit and ready. At 2-1 on the morning line, she’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

Fifth Race – Post: 2:30 PT
Top Pick: 5-Ballet Dancing (5/2)
The daughter of Medaglia d’Oro drops into a first-level allowance event after finishing a non-threatening but respectable fifth in the Del Mar Oaks-G1 over this course and distance in August and a recent steady, healthy work tab should have her primed for a major effort. The Simon Callaghan-trained filly lacks early speed but can turn it on late, and a repeat of her strong runner-up performance at this level two races back (subsequent third place finisher Rhea Moon has subsequently won a stakes race) should be good enough. Listed at 5/2 on the morning line, she offers good value in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

*

DEL MAR RECOMMENDED ROLLING EXOTIC STRATEGIES:

(Races 1-5)
1st race: 7-Feathers; 6-Octane; 3-Nice Ice
2nd race: 4-Memes; 5-Pittsburgh
3rd race: 10-Thebeestisyettobe; 2-Pride of the Nile
4th race: 4-Teena Ella
5th race: 5-Ballet Dancing

(Races 6-9)
6th race: 9-Post Facto; 10-Reign Over Me; 8-Rich Gold
7th race: 5-Burgoo Alley; 7-Warrens Candy Girl; 3-Sugar Fix
8th race: 1-Big Summer; 6-She’s Bulletproof; 9-Tiger Spice
9th race: 1-Ransomeware; 11-De la Luna

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:54 AM

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:55 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#7 Blingo He'll step back up after an improved effort with maiden claiming company, and I like that he should get a great trip hassling the guy just to his inside in the early going. Draw gives him the pressing edge.
#6 Hullinahurry He's a logical player from close range, but I do have a mild concern about the way he has given away ground late in both races. Guessing he's in a good spot turning for home, but maybe he's a bit dicey from there at a short-ish price?
#2 Texas Clubman Not super excited here beyond the top pair, but this debuter might be ready enough to make a little noise at first asking. Wouldn't surprise for a piece.
Race Summary Blingo and Hullinahurry should get similar trips right up near the top, but the former should be a better price on the rise, and the outside draw should let him control that battle from the start.

Remington Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#7 United Sister She turned in a much better effort when getting in with this type in that second career start, and her sort of one-paced style may play well while moving around two turns. Chance.
#4 Im the Bigger Bear She's probably one of the obvious players in here, but I worry that she's not much for passing horses and could be vulnerable late when she's likely to take some cash. That said, she might be too good on the drop.
#8 Misswish She has been hit or miss through two starts, but she might land a pretty dreamy trip while tracking the splits on the stretchout. Maybe.
Race Summary United Sister passed a few horses late when trying this level for the first time, and she's probably in range of what would be needed here if she has any upside around two turns.

Remington Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#9 Disco Danzing He has decent enough sprint form to think he can be competitive while moving around two turns with blinkers, and he figures for a really good trip right near the top here.
#8 Still on the Books He looks like a pretty good fit with the locals after a trio of maiden claiming tries in California, but I think he might be a little overbet in this spot.
#4 Gold Prize Not much wrong with his two-turn form other than the fact that he keeps settling for slices, but that kind of reliable form should land him a race like this one of these days.
Race Summary Disco Danzing has a right to be tough here while moving around two turns, as those last two sprint tries showed some noticeable improvement and suggest he's in line for a great trip.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:55 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Golden Gate - Race #1
Picks Notes
#5 SILK ROAD SALLY (5-1) Fits well on best, projects good trip at a decent price in speed-laden field.
#1 G*****O (8-5) Rallied for second in her last three races at one mile over the all-weather track.
#2 COCOA CENTS (6-1) Steady check-getter gets Alvarado on another jockey change.
Race Summary SILK ROAD SALLY won twice going a route of ground at Golden Gate early in the year, now arrives off a pair of fast-paced sprints against a repeat winner. She’s a good fit at this level and should work out a good stalking trip, so bet to win and place.

Golden Gate - Race #3
Picks Notes
#5 DAD’S LADY (6-1) No match for 7-2 firster but stayed on well for second in 5-1/2F debut at Fresno.
#3 TIJERA LEE (5-2) Even effort after slow start on drop from MSW ranks, gets second-time Lasix.
#4 SPUN BEAUTIFUL (7-5) Broke out, saved ground on backside, no impact when ridden, will be underlay.
Race Summary DAD’S LADY ‘ceded the pace’ to the debut winner, lacked room at the top of the stretch and held well to finish second in her debut at this distance. A slight move forward off that effort could go a long way in this field. Bet to win and place.

Golden Gate - Race #4
Picks Notes
#4 AGENT ZERO (10-1) In good form, flattened out in stretch at 1-1/2 miles, price attached.
#1 FULL OF LUCK (9-5) Doesn’t shy from photo-finish camera, won twice for higher tag recently.
#5 BIG CITY BANE (7-2) ‘Finished fast’ against repeater three back, romped in minor stakes last out.
Race Summary AGENT ZERO tracked a slow pace while off the rail in a 1-1/2-mile marathon, stayed in close contact with the leader, but raced evenly in the stretch and ran third in a five-horse field. He earned his top speed figure in the race prior and is a longshot possibility with second-time Lasix today. Play a 1-4-5 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:55 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
Gulfstream Park - Race 9

$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 9-10-11)

SO $20,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 100 • Purse: $29,000 • Post: 4:37P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500 OR LESS SINCE NOVEMBER 12, 2020 OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS.CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Front-runner. WICKED FINN is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WICKED FINN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distan ce/surface. TIMMY M.: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. FLY THE W: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. RACE CR AFT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
WICKED FINN
5/1

5/1
8
TIMMY M.
4/1

6/1
4
FLY THE W
9/2

6/1
2
RACE CRAFT
7/2

8/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
WICKED FINN
5

5/1
Front-runner
100

99

94.8

91.8

80.3
4
FLY THE W
4

9/2
Stalker
96

97

98.2

95.6

91.1
3
DUBBY DUBBIE
3

5/1
Stalker
95

90

74.0

86.0

77.0
7
MOMZA
7

6/1
Stalker
92

85

71.8

79.8

65.3
8
TIMMY M.
8

4/1
Trailer
100

101

102.6

97.6

94.1
2
RACE CRAFT
2

7/2
Trailer
99

98

97.0

98.0

90.5
9
POPPY'S BOYS
9

10/1
Trailer
97

96

86.8

89.4

79.4
1
BOLDNESS
1

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
97

92

88.2

83.6

70.1
6
MR MAC QUHAE
6

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
85

86

69.9

64.5

50.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:56 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

Evangeline Downs - Race 2	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Allowance • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 6:00P
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JESS O BLUE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. TRAVIS GOT GAME: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. KPBLING: Horse's win percentag e at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. LOUIE BLUES: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. ROGUES FAST SISTER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
7	JESS O BLUE	7/2	5/1
1	TRAVIS GOT GAME	12/1	5/1
3	KPBLING	9/5	8/1
5	LOUIE BLUES	6/1	9/1
4	ROGUES FAST SISTER	5/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	TRAVIS GOT GAME	1	12/1	Average	80	72	4.7	0.0	0.0
2	MY BUDDY BLUE	2	10/1	Average	74	63	4.6	0.0	0.0
3	KPBLING	3	9/5	Average	60	67	5.1	0.0	0.0
4	ROGUES FAST SISTER	4	5/2	Average	72	65	5.1	0.0	0.0
5	LOUIE BLUES	5	6/1	Average	76	66	4.4	0.0	0.0
6	PARTY MAKER	6	8/1	Average	69	49	4.7	0.0	0.0
7	JESS O BLUE	7	7/2	Average	82	70	4.1	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:56 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Aqueduct - Race #5 - Post: 2:16pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $37,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating:

#4 ARRIO (ML=8/1)
#2 AL'S PRINCE (ML=5/2)

ARRIO - The morning line odds on this gelding are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of conditioner Kantarmaci. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. Last time around the track was at Belmont at the Big A in a race with a class figure of 96. Dropping considerably in Equibase class figure in today's event puts him in a solid position in this event. You'll be making money right and left by turning your gambling cash onto this jockey/trainer combination. Finished eighth at Belmont at the Big A last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 8/1 right here, he looks like a possible contender. The outside post position didn't help this horse's chances last out at Belmont at the Big A. Today's inside post position should be just fine. This gelding garnered a strong speed figure of 88 in his last race. That speed rating should be lofty enough to win this time around. Ranks highest in earnings per race entered. A strong outing in this event can add to the lifetime total. AL'S PRINCE - When Davis and Englehart combine forces on horses the ROI has been wonderful at +68. This campaigner coming off a solid try in the last month is a serious competitor in my humble opinion.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TOP OF THE MINT (ML=3/1), #1 AIR SHOW (ML=3/1), #6 FOREVER WICKED (ML=5/1),

TOP OF THE MINT - Doesn't seem inspiring to me after the lack of any kind of closing ability on October 2nd. AIR SHOW - This pony hasn't been close at the finish recently. FOREVER WICKED - Speed figs of 78/75/70 are going the wrong direction.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #4 ARRIO on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:56 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19500 Class Rating: 63

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 DAWN'S LIGHT 2/1
# 4 DEXQUIRE 8/5
# 2 HEIDI'S SINATRA 10/1

I think DAWN'S LIGHT is a very good choice. Last time out, this gelding faced a rougher crew. Strong average Equibase speed figs in dirt route races make this equine a solid choice. With Gonzalez getting the mount, watch out for this animal. DEXQUIRE - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this horse look very good in this contest. He has a good opportunity in here as conditioner, Radosevich, has strong win rate with horses going this distance. HEIDI'S SINATRA - Have to think this entrant will do well following the quick return to the races. He should have a strong showing versus this easier field.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:56 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 89

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 27 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 12 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 INFINITY SKY 3/1
# 1 BERBERSLILBRIEBRIE 4/1
# 7 MEET ME HALF WAY 7/2

INFINITY SKY is my choice. Rivera has her trained soundly to break rapidly out of the starting gate. This mare has posted some nice finishes in her last several tries. Has run strongly when racing a dirt route race. BERBERSLILBRIEBRIE - Recent numbers for the rider - 19 win percent - make this mare stand out in this group. Could beat this field given the 83 speed figure recorded in her last outing. MEET ME HALF WAY - Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt route contests in this bunch. Ought to be considered - I like the figures from the last contest.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:57 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turf Paradise - Race #5 - Post: 2:46pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,400 Class Rating: 63

Rating:

#1 CHARLIE'S MAN (ML=6/1)
#2 BRENSON BUNS (ML=5/1)

CHARLIE'S MAN - It looks like the early speed horses may duel each other into the ground. When the real running starts this gelding should be cruising down the homestretch. Trainer Alvarez moves this horse down the ladder based on class rating points to face a lower class field. Look for a strong effort in this race. I just may give this one a good chance. Should improve off last race where he did run out of the money, but was within five lengths at the finish line. BRENSON BUNS - This rider/trainer duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +48. It's a big plus that this first timer has been working over the same track that he makes his debut at today. Going on Lasix for the first time. While a familiar handicapping angle, it's still quite important to factor in.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 GRACIE'S A TIGER (ML=7/2), #9 KATAR (ML=4/1), #3 BIG TIME ROB (ML=9/2),

GRACIE'S A TIGER - Don't believe this questionable contender will make an impact in today's race. That last speed figure was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's class figure. KATAR - Don't figure that this mount is worth 4/1 in this affair. BIG TIME ROB - This gelding hasn't had any promising efforts in sprint events in the last 60 days. Last spotted on Aug 11th at Canterbury Park. Probably needs to do some racing into form.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #1 CHARLIE'S MAN to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	1 with 2 with [3,4,5] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	1 with 2 with [3,4,5,7,8] with [3,4,5,7,8] Total Cost: $20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-12-2022, 11:57 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

11/12/22, CD, Race 4, 2.30 ET
11/12/22,CD,4,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:02:01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $150,000 (plus up to $20,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS 2021-22. After payment of 1% to all owners of horses finishing sixth through last, 62% of the remaining purse shall be paid to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth and 3% to fifth. Three Year Olds, 124 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Sweepstakes In 2022 allowed 2 lbs. of a stakes race in 2021 or two allowance, starter races for $25,000 or greater, or claiming races of $30,000 or greater since June 1, 2022 allowed 4 lbs. non-winners of such a race since then, allowed 6 lbs. Preference given to graded stakes winners, then graded stakes placed, then stakes winners in 2021-22, then by highest earnings in 2021-22. (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at Five and a Half Furlongs.).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Boat's a Rockin	5/1	Conner T	Kulp Brandon L.	JFL	14	64.29	2.64/$1
097.6781	2	Bad Beat Brian	5/2	Emigh C A	Vanden Berg Brittany A	T	14	64.29	2.64/$1
095.9011	8	Shelly Island	30/1	Alvelo J C	Cooney Susan S.	C	14	64.29	2.64/$1
095.4496	9	Seven Scents	5/1	Saez L	Morley Thomas	S	14	64.29	2.64/$1
094.9650	6	Petit Verdot	20/1	Geroux F	Van Berg Thomas L.		14	64.29	2.64/$1
094.7770	10	Chasing Artie	4/1	Gaffalione T	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	EW	14	64.29	2.64/$1
093.3784	11	Towing	30/1	Bejarano R	Vaccarezza Carlo		14	64.29	2.64/$1
092.3632	3	My Pal Mattie	8/1	Mora G	Thomas Lee		14	64.29	2.64/$1
090.1708	1	Spycraft	5/1	Beschizza A	Sharp Joe		14	64.29	2.64/$1
086.3165	4	Creative Credit	15/1	Ouzts P W	Haehn T. R.		14	64.29	2.64/$1
084.4528	5	C C's Kitten	30/1	Sanjur S	Meah Anna M.		14	64.29	2.64/$1

Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 25.00, ROI 0.86/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3219
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Race Distance Sprint

Saturday 11/12/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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