Sunday 11/20/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jesse Schule

Free Play: Ecuador vs Qatar Draw +220

This is a free play on a draw. The opening match of the 2022 FIFA World Cup figures to be a snooze fest. You have the host country Qatar taking on Ecuador in a game that could very well end in a scoreless draw. Ecuador has not conceded a goal in their last five matches, and they have only scored once during that span. Qatar has posted a clean sheet in three of it's last four matches. Ecuador has played to a draw in seven of their last 10 World Cup qualifying matches. It's likely that both teams would be content to settle for a single point here in the opening match.
GL,
Jesse Schule

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Scott Rickenbach

World Cup Sunday Free Pick UNDER 2.5 goals -140 in Qatar vs Ecuador @ 11 AM ET - If you shop around there is under 2.5 available on this one and that offers exceptional value when you look at the recent results involving these clubs. Qatar wants to play a defensive style and Ecuador has consistently been delivering clean sheets. Goals will likely be at a premium here and the under is worth a look here as a result. Free Pick UNDER 2.5 goals -140 in Qatar

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Sal Michaels

Free Play on La Salle +4 1/2 -110

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Rob Vinciletti

The Sunday night Game of the Year headlines along with 4 powerful plays including a TIER 1 Side and TOP Total going early. We also have an NBA Platinum Supreme and College Hoops. NFL Comp play below.


The NFL comp Play is on the Under in the Cleveland at Buffalo game at 1:00 eastern. The line is adjusted with the venue switch. The game applies to a powerful 70-14 under system with a 12-0 subset below . The Bills blew the game last week blowing a 17 point lead. They have not scored a touchdown int he 4th quarter since week 6. Both teams were inept on defense last week both allowing over 30. Expect a big improve from both here. Cleveland has gone under 6 of 8 after allowing 150+ rush yards and 5 of 7 on the road. The Bills are 5-0 Under at home vs a team with a losing road record, 5 of 6 under after allowing 30+ points and 6 of 7 overall of late. Look for this game to stay under. On Sunday our Sunday night NFL Play of the Year headlines along with a Top Early card that includes 4 plays in the NFL and an NBA Platinum Supreme Side. Jump on now as we continue to cash out in all sports. For the NFL Comp play. Go with the Under here. Rob Vinciletti

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Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Browns +8 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

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Stephen Nover

Free Play: Giants-3

A healthy Saquon Barkley has regained his superstar status. The Giants bend-but-don't-break defense is giving up the ninth-fewest points per game in the league. Brian Daboll is a strong coach of the year candidate. The result is the Giants are 7-2.
Yet the Giants are only a field goal favorite against the Lions while playing at home with weather a factor.
It's a bargain to back the home chalk.
The Lions are drawing too much respect for the little two-game win streak they put together beating the Packers - the underachievers of the year - and nipping the defenseless Bears, 31-30, on the road last Sunday.
Let's not forget the Lions are last in total defense and scoring defense. That means they have the worst defense in the NFL. They also rank second-to-last in run defense. Barkley leads the NFL in rushing.
Daboll versus Dan Campbell is a monster mismatch. Before nipping the Bears, the Lions were 0-11-1 on the road under Campbell.
The Giants are giving up 19.2 points a game. The Lions surrender 29.3 points a game. The Giants also have the league's second-ranked defense in the red zone. The Lions' top playmaker, D'Andre Swift, has done very little the past few weeks because of assorted injuries. The Lions no longer have T.J. Hockenson.
Jared Goff turns into Jared Goof when he has to play in cold weather instead of a temperature-controlled dome. The numbers on Goff in cold weather are an 18 point scoring average, 67 percent losses, a completion percentage under 50 percent and a turnover increase of nearly four times more than when the temperature is a non-factor. The Sunday forecast is for the temperature to be in the 30's with wind blowing at 15-20 mph.
The last time the Lions won three in a row was 2017. Don't look for them to reach that mark here against the Giants.

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Bills -7 1/2 -110

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Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Maryland-1 -110

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Mike Lundin

Mike's Commanders vs Texans NFL Free Pick
Texans+3 +100
This is ugly, but I could see the Commanders coming out flat following their upset win at the up to that point undefeaed Philadelphia Eagles Monday night. They are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games and it's very hard to play with that level consistently. The Texans are in a buy low spot after four straight losses and a 1-3 ATS run.
Commanders are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.

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Vic Duke

Bears/Falcons 1:00: Bears now control the #1 rushing offense in the NFL. Four weeks back on MNF, the Bears installed QB Power as a staple in their offense and no team has been able to stop it since. Over that span, the Bears notched 33, 29, 32 on NE, Dallas and Miami, respectively. And those are some pretty good defenses! They followed up dropping 30 on Detroit last week. Today, Atlanta, which is one of the worst defensive teams in football, will have their hands full. The Atlanta secondary struggles to defend while the pass rush (1.3 sacks per game) doesn't help them out much. And Chicago's talented Claypool should be worked in the rotation along with Mooney, St. Brown and TE Kmet to work one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. But offensively, Atlanta can move the ball and the Bears have their defensive weaknesses - one being the run stop unit which allows 142 YPG. The #4 rush offense in the NFL should find their way in the end zone with loaded weaponry, including C. Patterson, Pitts and #1 draft choice London. Falcons are 7-1 O/U after playing Panthers. Bears, now an "over" heavy team, are 4-0 O/U after scoring more than 30 points, and 5-1 O/U off a SU loss. "Over" it is!

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Dave Price

Dave's Sunday Free Play:
1* on New Orleans Saints -2.5


The Key: The New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Rams are both a mess right now. But I think the Rams are the bigger mess, and the Saints should be favored by more at home here. The Rams are broken on offense even with Matthew Stafford returning. Their offensive line cannot protect him, and now he's going to be without his favorite weapon on Cooper Kupp, who left last game with an injury. Kupp has 75 receptions for 812 yards and 6 touchdowns this season and has been the lone bright spot on this team. He is one of the few non-QB's worth at least a point to the spread, if not more. The Saints beat the Raiders 24-0 at home two games back before losing 13-27 at home to the Ravens. Then they were in a tough spot last week going on the road and losing to a Pittsburgh team that was rested off a bye and got TJ Watt back. The Rams will offer much less resistance. They know their season is basically over at this point, while the Saints still have slim hope playing in the weak NFC South, which is led by Tampa Bay at 5-5. They're only two games back and have a fighting chance. The Rams rank 29th in scoring at 16.4 PPG and 32nd at 282.7 YPG even with a healthy Stafford and Kupp for most of the year with the exception of one game. This offense is going to be even more lost without Kupp now. The Saints rank 10th in total offense at 358.4 YPG and I trust them to move the ball more consistently this week. Take New Orleans.

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John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Atlanta Falcons -2.5


The Chicago Bears became the first team in NFL history to score at least 29 points in three consecutive games and lose all three. That's because they can't stop anyone and are allowing 38.3 points per game in their last three. While their offense is good, that offense takes a hit this week with the loss of their best RB in Khalil Herbert. TE Cole Kmet is banged up and even though he is expected to play, he won't be anywhere near 100%. That's a big blow because has has scored five touchdowns the past three games. I trust this Atlanta defense to get more stops than Chicago, and for Atlanta to pretty much be able to name their score. Atlanta is a run-heavy team, and Chicago ranks 28th against the run in allowing 142 rushing yards per game. The Bears are also 24th allowing 4.7 yards per carry. Atlanta is at least respectable against the run ranking 11th in yards per carry allowed. Their big issue is their secondary, but the Bears aren't going to be able to exploit it. I like the fact that the Falcons have extra rest coming into this one after playing last Thursday. The Bears are probably pretty gassed after playing in four consecutive shootouts and not having their bye week yet. Give me the Falcons.

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ASA

#465 ASA FREE PLAY ON Chicago Bears +3 over Atlanta Falcons, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - This line of Atlanta -3 tells us the oddsmakers feel this game right now would be a pick-em on a neutral site. We disagree. We’d have Chicago favored on a neutral site. The Bears are playing very well right now. Their offense has been fantastic averaging 31 PPG over their last 4. They lead the NFL in rushing at 201 YPG and they’ve rushed for at least 235 yards in 5 straight games! They’ve figured out to best utilize QB Fields over the last month and he’s been fantastic throwing for 8 TD’s and 2 interceptions while rushing for 467 yards over the last 4 games. They should have a field day vs an Atlanta defense that allows 120 YPG rushing and ranks 25th DVOA vs the rush per Football Outsiders. We’re not sure the Falcons can keep up offensively here. Their offense has gone in the tank scoring 17 points or less in 4 of their last 6 games. They have topped 315 total yards just once in their last 6 games and they’ve lost 4 of their last 6 after starting 2-2. The Birds have also gone 0-4 ATS their last 4 games after covering their first 6. Atlanta has been outgained in 9 straight games after outgaining the Saints in the opener. They rank 28th in YPP margin (Chicago ranks 20th) and since the beginning of last season the Birds have been a home favorite 6 times going 0-6 ATS and winning only 1 of those games outright. Chicago is the better team right now and getting points. We’ll take it.

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Matt Fargo

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our Sunday Free Play. The Rams season could be on the line in this game as a loss here drops them to 3-7 and possibly three games out of the final playoff spot in the NFC with a 49ers win on Monday night. Los Angeles has dropped three straight games as the offense has gotten nothing with just 14.7 ppg and 228.4 ypg over that stretch and now they have to go on without Cooper Kupp who is out with an ankle injury. The offense has been kept in check all season so this is nothing new as the Rams are dead last in total offense and No. 29 in scoring offense with a lot of this due to a non-existent rushing game that is averaging a mere 68.1 ypg with Cam Akers being one of the bigger disappointments in the league. The defense has held its own as they are No. 6 overall and can stop this Saints offense that has been equally as bad of late as their own. New Orleans has dropped two straight and four of its last five games and is a half-game behind the Rams in the Wild Card picture so this game is important for them as well but they are one of the most banged up teams in the league with nine starters out. They will try to get Alvin Kamara going but he has been a big disappointment this season as well as will go up against a Rams rushing defense that is No. 6 in adjusted run defense EPA. The New Orleans defense has played well for the most part but could struggle against the Rams passing game as the Saints are No. 22 in passing defense EPA, and their pass rush is No. 26 in pressuring the quarterback. Here, we play against home favorites averaging between 18 and 23 ppg after two straight losses by 10 or more points going up against teams allowing between 18 and 23 ppg. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) since 1983. Play (463) Los Angeles Rams

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Sean Murphy

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Indianapolis at 1 pm et on Sunday.
I don't feel this game has shootout potential as the Eagles look to bounce back from Monday's divisional loss to the Commanders - their first setback of the season - and the Colts find themselves in a clear letdown situation traveling home after an 'upset' win in Las Vegas. I fully expect to see the Eagles offense play 'keep-away' in this one as they continue to battle through the absence of top run-stopper, DT Jordan Davis. Philadelphia hasn't proven capable of slowing opposing ground attacks in Davis' absence and will certainly want to keep the football out of Colts RB Jonathan Taylor's hands as much as possible here. Somewhat vulnerable in the secondary as well, at least in the middle of the field, the Eagles don't figure to be exploited by the Colts lukewarm passing attack. Indianapolis, while struggling for stretches, has for the most part been able to limit its opponents' offensive ceilings, allowing no more than 27 points in a game this season - that coming back in mid-October against Jacksonville. Here, we'll note that the 'under' is 26-11 in the Eagles last 37 games following three consecutive 'over' results, as is the case here, leading to an average total of 40.6 points in that situation. The 'under' is also 42-25 in the Colts last 67 games following a two-game road trip, resulting in an average total of 44.0 points in that spot. Take the under.